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« Braves Stuck In The Middle | Main | Rich Harden Links »
5:36pm: The AP story is out. The Cubs get Harden and Chad Gaudin for Gallagher, Murton, Patterson, and catching prospect Josh Donaldson. Jim Hendry did his best to counter the Brewers' acquisition of CC Sabathia, and Gaudin is more than a throw-in. The A's get three MLB-ready players plus a solid offense-oriented catching prospect. Gallagher would have to be considered the centerpiece for Oakland.
5:25pm: Dave Kaplan of WGN Radio in Chicago reports that the Cubs have acquired Rich Harden from the A's. Sean Gallagher is reportedly part of the deal, and possibly Matt Murton. Hal McCoy says Eric Patterson and another minor leaguer are also included. More when I have it.
Harden, 26, has been dominant in 13 starts for the A's this year. The injury-prone Harden is a tantalizing player; he's only topped 130 innings once but has a career ERA of 3.42. The latest concern: decreased velocity/dead arm in his last start.
Harden has a $7MM club option for '09, which is highly likely to be exercised.
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nixa37, I agree with you on that. Harden's injury history definitely allows a team to get him at a discount. I also think the Sabathia deal helped move this deal along -- and not from the standpoint that the Cubs were desperate to make a deal to counter Milwaukee's;I think it helped in the sense that the Brewers set the market for a #1 starter and it only cost them one great prospect. Couple that with Harden's injury history and the writing was on the wall. Beane did well to get what he could under the circumstances. He knew he was going to get a lesser package for Harden than the Indians got for Sabathia. But he's a shrewd guy. The Indians may well end up with only one player (LaPorta) while Beane will likely get three major leaguers out of this deal. And as I mentioned earlier, you guys are going to really like Gallagher. He doesn't get the press that other prospects do but once you see him pitch, you're going to scratch your head and wonder why no one talks about him. I'd wager that Gallagher is what held this deal up for a month.
Posted by: crunchy1 | July 08, 2008 at 08:28 PM
Maybe so with regard to the reasons Gonzalez (though I don't know how walking 4-5 batters a game with nearly a hit per inning is pitching well) and De Los Santos haven't produced. But I'll bet the farm Gallagher has a better career than either one.
Posted by: crunchy1 | July 08, 2008 at 08:33 PM
Wow, this will probably go down as one of the bigger steals in a long time, grats Cubs and I hope he does the trick for ya. Ideally he and Dempster stay strong down the stretch, will make for some great baseball…
(although I’m pissed you didn’t somehow include Rich Hill, his going to Oakland for a change of scenery (esp to that stadium) might have been able to pull my fantasy team out of its tailspin)
“Beane really dropped the ball here.”
&
“If Harden can stay healthy, this is a steal for the Cubs. Gallagher's a #3, Donaldson's a decent prospect but not a first class prospect, and the other two are space fillers.”
…Do have to admit that I agree with those though; why would Beane sell low on an upper-level pitcher and solid reliever? Does make you kinda wonder if he knows something the rest of us are, as of yet, unaware of…
Oh and I guess I should address this (and the other) tool running around with my name on their minds…
“And for all the fans that said the Cubs didn't have enough to aquire a front line starting pitcher, I'm talking to you DARKSTAR, take this”
…Now, although I’m quite flattered that I’m the first thing you thought about when hearing this news; I’m surprised you guys are apparently unaware of who your team actually just traded for. See, I said they wouldn’t get Sabathia, that’s the only trade target I ever talked really about with Cubs fans ~ but your team didn’t trade for CC today… Just figured you might want to know… As far as what that does to your complaint; well you might want to direct it to one of the other hundred some-odd posters who were calling you guys annoying for showing up in every thread that didn’t have to do with you to troll ~ one of them has to be guilty of whatever you are attributing to me…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | July 08, 2008 at 08:36 PM
Not a Cubs fan at all but I tip my hat to the organization. This is a great pick-up for what they paid. All Harden has to do is be healthy come playoff time. Take it easy with him during the 2nd half and hope he gets healed up.
From the A's perspective I just can't understand this. One decent prospect and some fillers. I can only assume that Harden is more hurt than we know. Even at that though I would have guessed that Beane could have extracted more from different clubs.
Great, great move for the Cubs. Not at the same level as CC but huge nonetheless.
On a side note, wonder if the Brewers are kicking themselves right now? They could have landed Harden and kept LaPorta. Even if they don't have a place for him he could be available as piece to help land much needed bullpen help.
Posted by: bjsguess | July 08, 2008 at 08:39 PM
darkstar, darkstar, come out and play!!!
you arrogant prick. gee, i guess actual baseball people know a bit more about the quality of the Cubs prospects than you, typing away in your mom's basement, huh?
Next up: Marquis and Cedeno to the Jays for Burnett; Ceda and Randy Wells to the Rockies for Fuentes.
Posted by: Johnny Rotten | July 08, 2008 at 08:40 PM
“Also, I may be mistaken here, but haven't most of Harden's injury problems been shoulder related, as opposed to elbow related?”
Baseball Prospectous claims he has elbow (from 06) and shoulder (from 07) problems that the team doesn’t know how to address as a longterm solution. I could be mistaken, but I believe it was even his elbow which was bothering him last week as well…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | July 08, 2008 at 08:40 PM
I know Cubs Prospects I attend many minor league games , more than the majors.
Guys on the cubs I like Tony Thomas much more upside than Patterson and 3 years younger, Andres Torres switch hitting Outfielder .
Alessandro Maestri / Bill Muldowney / Marquez Smith / Kevin Kreier / Vitters / Ceda / Veal .
And there are many others I believe if you have been up and down 3 or more times and have failed each time to help your club you should lose your Prospect title , much like Military personal lose a strip or rank .
Posted by: baseballnuts | July 08, 2008 at 09:00 PM
This is a great move by hendry. I knew beane was going to want gallagher, but it also makes sense that he would like murton, an obp guy. Patterson, given a full season's time can hit .290 and steal 40 bases. I think crunchy made a great point when he said that beane got 3 major leaguers here, while the tribe will probably get 2. Laporta could be great, but I think gallagher could be better than most think as well. Gallagher, in that home park, could be blanton of last year, possibly even better on the road.
All around great deal for the cubs who couldn't use 3 of the 4 players they gave up. And I have to say, all the people who constantly biched about cubs fans constantly bringing up murton and patterson types, please take note and be properly humbled.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | July 08, 2008 at 09:01 PM
bjsguess, totally agree with a lot of what you said, however, I can't blame the Brewers for what they did. Sabathia is a #1 guy, an innings eater and he's historically been healthy. Giving up LaPorta is worth a shot at the big enchilada. If I'm a Brewers fan, I'm not sure I want Sheets and Harden heading my rotation. It's possible BOTHER those guys get hurt before they can do damage in October.
Posted by: crunchy1 | July 08, 2008 at 09:09 PM
Bother? I meant BOTH. I've had too many beers.
Posted by: crunchy1 | July 08, 2008 at 09:10 PM
amazing trade. THey didnt get Vitters OR Ceda. I like the pitchin now, and i also like next years staff. Think brewers have TWO pitchers leaving, cubs have a loaded Pitching staff. Look for the Cubs to dominate the NLC for along time to come.
Posted by: cubs land | July 08, 2008 at 09:13 PM
baseballnuts--
My own current top 10 Cubs prospect list, noting that I am willing to put anyone not currently on the 40-man on such a list:
1. Rich Hill
2. Josh Vitters
3. Jeff Samardzija
4. Felix Pie
5. Dae Eun Rhee
6. Andrew Cashner
7. Tony Thomas
8. Wellington Castillo
9. Jose Ceda
10. Casey Lambert
Honorable mentions: Veal, Maestri, Wells, Hoffpauir, Shafer
Posted by: Johnny Rotten | July 08, 2008 at 09:22 PM
I meant 25-man above....why doesn't this BB software allow you to edit your posts?
Posted by: Johnny Rotten | July 08, 2008 at 09:24 PM
I agree lets see if we can get Burnett from the Jays for Marquis and Cedeno.GO CUBS GO HEY CHICAGO WHAT DO YOU SAY THE CUBS ARE GONNA WIN TODAY!
Posted by: bcaine | July 08, 2008 at 09:34 PM
Beane is a shark, and rarely bested in trades. I'd put the over/under on Harden's starts before he hits the DL at five.
Clearly, Beane saw the writing on the wall which read "A VISIT TO THE DISABLED LIST IS COMING" and he made the best deal he could. Hendry, realizing Harden could go down, asked for Gaudin as insurance.
Given Beane's history of success, I'd never celebrate right off the bat; I'd wait a while.
Posted by: Devlsh | July 08, 2008 at 09:47 PM
Dark, I'd have liked to have seen Rich Hill involved too. Only because I think he and Piniella aren't a good fit. He needs a new boss and a new environment. Hill's a nice guy, you want to see him do well. Maybe the Cubs still hold out hope for the guy...or maybe Beane didn't want him. Either way, the Cubs have bought some time to let him work things out.
As much as I love Gallagher, this deal came way too easy. And it makes me a litte nervous. But if Harden can be healthy for the playoffs, then you are right, this could be the biggest steal in Cubs history. If he gets hurt, the Cubs haven't lost much in terms of their chances for this year...rather they are right back where they started. That is the genius in the deal and that's what made it a worthwhile risk. On Beane's side, he did well enough. He's got himself a solid starter, who's status as a prospect is underrated (in my opinion). He has an exciting offensive player and potential leadoff man in Patterson. And he's got a decent hitter in Murton who may just need a chance to play semi-regularly. I always felt he'd fit better in the AL anyway. And Beane may still get an offensive catcher in Donaldson... a nice commodity. Time will tell but I'm hoping this deal works out for both teams...really. Gallagher has been my favorite Cubs pitching prospect for the past 3 years. I can't start rooting against him now.
Posted by: crunchy1 | July 08, 2008 at 09:47 PM
Johnny Rotten
Thats a very nice list but Rich Hill is kinda a ? mark for me once somebody gets into that age bracket its realy a flip of the coin. Kinda like Adam Miller with The Indians Non David Huff and others have moved in front of him . The Way I look at it is with all the problems he has had if he makes it great.
But the Cubs just made the trade of the year
Posted by: baseballnuts | July 08, 2008 at 09:52 PM
If they could get Burnett out of the Jays also There would be many tears shed in Brewer Town .
And I just don't see how the cubs could be stopped you have a real manager and coaching staff not likely to make a stupid move .
And Soriano when he comes back he has shown he can carry a club .
My favorite CUB is THE RIOT
See in the Series!
GOOOOOOOOOO CUBSSSSSSS
From a Indians fan !
Posted by: baseballnuts | July 08, 2008 at 10:01 PM
Linus:
I want to test your assertion of fraudulent dealing and the case of the Nats-Reds deal. Looking back, the only one I could think of was the 06 trade sending Kearns/Lopez/Wagner for Thompson/Majewski/Bray/Clayton. (See http://www.bizjournals.com/cincinnati/stories/2006/07/10/daily49.html)
Your assertion about my naivete may only make sense IF the acquired players for both teams went down in 2006 immediately after being acquired. If a significant amount of time (T= 10 games sound fair?) passed between acquisition and injury, the injuries should be construed to be random and not representative of fraud. When these deals are consummated, they are done on the condition of a clean bill of health by both team docs.
The trade was made on July 13, 2006. Over the course of 2006:
For CIN:
Bray: Was a 1st Round pick and was 23 y/o at the time of the trade. Lefty RP.
2006: 50 IP at the ML level + 32 in the minors. Appeared in 29 G.
Verdict: No fleecing.
Majewski: 2nd round pick, 26 y/o at the time. Had pitched 86 IP in 2005 of 2.93 ERA, 55 IP at the time of the trade in 2006, 3.48 ERA.
2006: 15 IP, appeared in 19 G.
Verdict: Random injury, no fleecing. Was injured more than a month after acquisition.
Daryl Thompson: high level prospect, reached the ML in 2008.
Verdict: No fleecing
For WAS:
Kearns: Played 150 G total in 2006. Also 1st Rd. pick.
Verdict: No fleecing
Lopez: Played 156 G total in 2006, also 1st Rd. pick.
Verdict: No fleecing
Wagner: 23 y/o at the time. 1st Rd. pick.
2006: 30 IP at the ML level plus 47 IP at the AAA.
Verdict: no fleecing.
Conclusion: So who here was naive? Perhaps, it's not a matter of naivete, but a matter of ignorance.
All stats were from baseball-reference.com
Posted by: scrranger11 | July 08, 2008 at 10:14 PM
"you arrogant prick. gee, i guess actual baseball people know a bit more about the quality of the Cubs prospects than you, typing away in your mom's basement, huh?"
- Johnny Rotten
Even someone with such a deficient intellect can probably find something sharp, and their own wrist. Just remember down the block, not across the street.
Posted by: ArodSucksAtLife | July 08, 2008 at 10:21 PM
Also, my lack of writing in Royce Clayton was due to overlooking him. Regardless of that fact, he's a worthless player so even if he had come off the plane in a full body cast, the deal would not have been materially altered.
Posted by: scrranger11 | July 08, 2008 at 10:21 PM
I don't believe it was the slider that hurt Harden--pretty sure he didn't throw the slider much. He used to throw a splitter, which was his best out pitch. However, this year he has turned his change into a similarly effective out pitch and ditched the splitter.
Re Swisher deal, don't forget the "throw-in" for that deal...Mr. Ryan Sweeney, he has been performing well.
Posted by: Terd Ferguson | July 08, 2008 at 10:24 PM
I think we need to be careful. Obviously, Harden's health is a constant watch. I know this is a big move for us and I like it. I have a bit of caution though. Harden's last start had a 'dead arm' with velocity down a bit or maybe even hurting. Marshall pitched his best game last start. I would not start Harden right away. Let Marshall take his first start and then put him out there in his next slotted start. If you start Harden Saturday, keep him on a tight pitch count of 90 or 5 innings. Let's not blow this thing up before we get going.
Just a thought.
Posted by: studio179 | July 08, 2008 at 10:28 PM
What do the Blue Jays want with Jason Marquis? Oof!
I feel bad for smart baseball fans that cheer for the cubs on this site because they get lumped in with the dumb ones.
Posted by: The_Bunk | July 08, 2008 at 10:40 PM
Agreed Studio. The Cubs should monitor him closely. Harden's biggest impact would be in a short playoff series. (That is, of course, if we make it). If he can stay healthy until then, I'll breathe a lot easier.
Posted by: crunchy1 | July 08, 2008 at 10:49 PM
The Blue Jays have no use for Marquis. I hope this year he has a decent second half for us as any Cub fan would love .500 from him.
Posted by: studio179 | July 08, 2008 at 10:50 PM
Sweeney's been ok, but he hasn't hit for much power. If he can play a solid centerfield, you can get away with it. Otherwise, he may wind up a fourth outfielder. The deal really hinges on Gonzalez's ability to gain solid command of his solid breaking stuff. The A's will want to rebuild their rotation around him, Brett Anderson, and Gallagher, and possibly Duchsherer (sp?). I don't think they can count on De Los Santos at this point.
Posted by: crunchy1 | July 08, 2008 at 10:56 PM
The Jays wouldn't "want" Marquis; no GM could possibly be that dumb. But he'd be a partial contract offset that could make a Burnett trade palatable. Besides his inconsistency, injury history, and prickly attitude, what makes Burnett a difficult trade is his deal--he can either opt-out after this year, or he gets $24MM guaranteed for 09 and 10. So if he's good, he leaves; if he sucks, you're stuck with him.
If Hendry offered to say, pick up the remainder of Marquis' 08 money, then you might be able to get someone to take him. Mets? Phils? Tigers?
Posted by: Johnny Rotten | July 08, 2008 at 10:58 PM
Crunchy,
What do you think of a 'kind-a-sort-a' 6 man rotation? Maybe plug in Marshall here and there or even Gaudin for a start and keep Leiber as a long man. Or if Marquis pulls his usual second half, he is a plug in starter. I hope he goes .500 for us. I don't have the schedule in front of me, but it might make sense. I doubt they would do a straight 6 man rotation, but a 'kind-a-sort-a' 6 man rotation here and there in July and August might help keep Zambrano, Harden, Lilly and Dempster fresher. That is depending on the match ups.
Posted by: studio179 | July 08, 2008 at 11:01 PM
You could probably add Simmons and Cahill to that list as well. The A's still have some good arms ready to fill in for Harden, as well as any possible free agent losses they may have in the next couple of years.
Posted by: crunchy1 | July 08, 2008 at 11:01 PM
Johnny Rotten,
I would not put it past Brian Cashman to acquire Marquis if he was cheap enough. He would be an upgrade over the struggling Darrell Rasner right now.
That said, he's probably worth more to the Cubbies as a back of the end of the rotation starter or at worst a long reliever than any mediocre Class A prospect the team would receive.
Posted by: luissojo | July 08, 2008 at 11:06 PM
I think that's a pretty good idea, Studio. They have enough solid starters to pull it off. Dempster hasn't pitched this much in a few years, Harden has only pitched more than 130 innings once, Zambrano has piled on innings the past couple of seasons. It makes a lot of sense. The only thing is I'm not sure Piniella will buy into it. He's a competitive guy and he's going to try and win every game he can to ward off the Brewers and the Cardinals. That means putting his best guys out there whenever he can. Maybe the best we can hope for is that Marshall/Gaudin get a spot start here and there during a long stretch of games. I can see it happening more with Marshall since he's lefty and may match up better with some teams. If they can spot start him in Dempster or Harden's place from time to time, it would help. I think those two guys are our biggest concerns down the stretch.
Posted by: crunchy1 | July 08, 2008 at 11:09 PM
I agree Lou would not buy it. Those points you made are why I think they should spot start Marshall or Gaudin here and there. Getting Gaudin is important. It gives Lou another option and helps Marmol and Howry stay fresher.
Posted by: studio179 | July 08, 2008 at 11:20 PM
i am not trying to start an argument with anyone on this thread, but i would like to add my 2 cents worth
1. Got to tip my hat to hendry and the entire cubs organization, I didnt expect this deal to go down, and face it, you got a steal. You guys didnt give up much at all, and you got a young solid pitcher under club control for a few years (i think). The only concern you have with him is his health. For those who said this was a low risk, high reward deal, i disagree with you. This is a high risk, because harden could get hurt and be out a log time, but if he stays healthy, you have yourselves an absolute steal.
2nd, you honestly cannot say that the cubs will dominate the division from years to come. The brewers undoubtedly have an unbelievable farm system with names like jeffress, escobar, and gamel. You also cannot assume that we will lose both pitchers to free agency. I am very confident that attanasio will not let this team fall apart, with how much he has invested in this team. He will not let this city go into baseball exile like weve been in the last quarter century. I am implying that the cubs and brewers will be competing for the division title for years to come.
Posted by: glover28 | July 08, 2008 at 11:40 PM
Just seeing what you think about this. If the Cubs could get one more starter, who would you rather have Burnett or Maddux to finish out the year.
Posted by: uww1 | July 08, 2008 at 11:44 PM
Love Greg Maddux for no. 5, but I will take AJ Burnett (another #2) thanks.
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | July 08, 2008 at 11:57 PM
I think I would take Maddux, he knows most of the guys and is better in the clubhouse and has more experience in the playoffs. I have read that AJ is not a great clubhouse guy. What does everyone else think?
Posted by: uww1 | July 09, 2008 at 12:00 AM
This would be kind of cool:
Zambrano
Harden
Burnett
Dempster
Lilly
woah-goosebumps!
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | July 09, 2008 at 12:01 AM
I love Greg Maddux but I don't see how he'd make the top 4 Playoff rotation.
Zambrano
Harden
Dempster
Lilly
Who's he gonna knock out, Lilly?
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | July 09, 2008 at 12:04 AM
yes that looks really nice.
Zambrano
Harden
Lilly
Demster
Maddux
That looks really nice too...
Posted by: uww1 | July 09, 2008 at 12:05 AM
If your opponent was in a big park, say, San Diego, I would pitch him in the away games at Petco.
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | July 09, 2008 at 12:06 AM
I think I like our top 4 over Burnett too. Its hard to say. I just think Maddux presence is good to have in the clubhouse. I think either one would be amazing.
Posted by: uww1 | July 09, 2008 at 12:08 AM
does anybody on here think that the Cubs should get anther pitcher for insurace reasons?
Posted by: cubs land | July 09, 2008 at 12:08 AM
I'm surprised people are comparing this trade to the Sabathia trade. CC is the reigning Cy Young. Harden has pitched 77 innings this season, more than the last two seasons combined....that includes minor league rehab innings. Honestly, how many more innings does he have in him this season? Not many GMs are going to give up the moon for a pitcher with an injury history as spotty as Harden's. My guess is this was about as good as the A's were going to get at this point. Waiting it out likely would have hurt Harden's value rather than improved it.
Posted by: scatterbrian | July 09, 2008 at 12:09 AM
in other words:
Big - Z
Lilly
Dempster
Gaudin
Marquis
Posted by: scatterbrian | July 09, 2008 at 12:10 AM
I agree, his presence, he's great, I'd love for him to win it with the Cubs in his third stint. But, I just look at his numbers outside Petco, and I think I don't want to risk a 5-inning, 6 run outing in a playoff game. I know what you are saying though, he is the best pitcher of the modern era(steroid-free.)
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | July 09, 2008 at 12:11 AM
I would love to add a power bar first before a pitcher. DeJesus, Holliday not sure who else is available. Just throwing names out there.
Posted by: uww1 | July 09, 2008 at 12:14 AM
scatterbrian - Marshall is better than Marquis, I'd rather have him in there.
cubs land - Yes, I want AJ now too for rotation previously mentioned. It's so beautiful I'll list it again:
Zambrano
Harden
Burnett
Dempster
Lilly
If Harden gets hurt, Marshall #5
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | July 09, 2008 at 12:14 AM
or Gaudin.
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | July 09, 2008 at 12:18 AM
If we win Wednesday and Thursday we would be the first team with three 10 win pitchers. Then Add Harden to the mix, I am getting more and more excited.
Posted by: uww1 | July 09, 2008 at 12:26 AM
scatterbrian - I'll tell you why the Harden deal is comparable to CC. We are only looking at half a season and then the playoffs. My assumption is that both the Brewers and the Cubs make the playoffs without CC or Harden. Getting them was to secure their spots, but more importantly, to prepare them for the playoffs.
Now, all the Cubs have to do is take it really easy with Harden. Give him plenty of rest and do their best to have him healthy in a short format playoff series.
If this transaction was made over the winter and you had the benefit of both players for a full year then CC is absolutely the more dominant player. If all your asking Harden to do is to have a light pitching schedule and focus on being healthy come October then I think the deals are fairly comparable. Considering what the Cubs gave up this makes it a brilliant move for Chicago.
Again, not a fanboy here. I picked Miwaukee to win the Central and thought/think the Cubs are overrated. Still - that can't take away from this great move.
Posted by: bjsguess | July 09, 2008 at 12:41 AM
Coming off the brilliant trade of Harden Cub fans immediately return to their lunacy by wanting AJ Burnett. Why?
The guy is sporting an ERA near 5.00, has a WHIP of nearly 1.50. He will cost you $6m for the 2nd half of the season, prospects, plus you are faced with a no-win situation in the off-season. If he's good he walks, if he's bad or injured you are stuck with a worthless $10m/year pitcher.
Burnett is like Harden, except he is a mediocre pitcher when healthy. If you are lucky he might put up a sub 4.00 ERA in the NL. But is that really an upgrade?
Try finding some bullpen help first. Trading for a strong pen arm does several things. First, you take some innings off of Marmol and Wood's schedule (they both have pitched a ton so far). More importantly though, you prevent your primary competition (the Brewers) from upgrading their most vulnerable part of the team.
Posted by: bjsguess | July 09, 2008 at 12:47 AM
"Burnett is like Harden, except he is a mediocre pitcher when healthy. If you are lucky he might put up a sub 4.00 ERA in the NL"
Huh? Burnett is mediocre? How high are your standards? Try to keep in mind you are talking about someone who entered 2008 with a lower career ERA than Sabathia or Bedard, the two available guys he was being compared to.
Posted by: 92-93 | July 09, 2008 at 01:10 AM
bjsguess--
I agree, I've advocated the Cubs going after Brian Fuentes for some time now. I want another option for a bridge reliever to Wood, I'm concerned that Marmol has been overworked and Howry tends to blow up every 3rd or 4th outing.
LOVE the Cubs middle relief depth now though, it's really over the top. Wuertz, Lieber, Cotts, Eyre (currently on DL), now Gaudin, and I suppose, Marshall or Marquis are all options. Given the dearth of relievers on the market, gotta think Hendry has himself a couple of really nice ML-level trading chips here if he wants to keep playing the riverboat gambler.
Dodgers are ready to cut bait with Matt Kemp, hmmm.....they need a SS, relievers, a 5th starter, and ANYONE that can hit a longball. I think the Cubs can help them out :-)
Posted by: Johnny Rotten | July 09, 2008 at 01:43 AM
So it went from Burnett to Matt Kemp?
Maybe the Brewers will trade CC?
I think I have it figured out. Billy Beane must read this site, he's obviously aware of the general incompetency of most Cubs fans and decided to punish the rest of us by allowing them to gloat a little more.
Posted by: Meoveryouok | July 09, 2008 at 01:52 AM
Burnett doesn't even compare to CC. He has also spent time on the DL in five of the last six seasons. He has pitched 200 innings twice and each time, he followed it up with a couple years of injury problems. He just isn't a durable pitcher and can't be counted on for a full season much like Erik Bedard.
With Harden, I don't really know why everyone is so excited about him. Yes, he has some of the best stuff in the majors, but it doesn't mean anything if he isn't healthy enough to pitch and can't be counted on for even half a season at this point. Cubs fans here talk about him like he'll magically be healthy for the rest of his career just because he's in a different uniform. The guy is falling apart at the seams and that's probably a big reason why he came so cheap. Gallagher will probably have 3x as long of a career as Harden and looks like a pretty good pitcher in the making. You guys are excited about someone as injury prone as Harden and now, you want average A.J.? Why did you even bother letting Prior go? Saying you are obsessed with injury prone pitchers is an understatement. I hope it works out for you guys, though.
As for SOME of the Cubs fans that have participated in this thread, I can only shake my head at the unrestrained arrogance and the attacking of other posters who don't see things the way you do. When I first came to this site, there seemed to be a general dislike of Cubs fans and until this and the Sabathia threads, I didn't really see the full extent of why. Get a grip, will ya? Stop making yourselves look like idiots and start acting like you have some sense. Sure makes it hard to root for you.
Posted by: Sesshomaru | July 09, 2008 at 02:12 AM
The weird thing about this trade is that Beane really was under no pressure to trade Harden at this point.
1. The A's would have had an option on Harden for next year at a very affordable price (~$7M).
2. The A's are still arguably in the playoff race at 5 GB in the West and a little closer to the wild card.
3. The trade deadline is still 3 weeks away. Beane could have waited to see if his team stayed in the hunt or drifted further back AND could have got more teams bidding for Harden.
4. If they would have kept Harden until free agency, and then he left, the A's would have received 2 supplemental picks (I believe). Now the Cubs will have that benefit if Harden leaves as a free agent (after 2009). Someone correct me if I'm wrong on that point.
If Harden's not hurt, this is a steal for the Cubs.
Gallagher could turn out to be a quality player, but the other guys sent to Oakland are filler.
None of the players sent are impact players *in 2008*. Which, for the Cubs front office, the players, and fans, is all that really matters at this point.
Posted by: Kevin G. | July 09, 2008 at 02:33 AM
Well I was wrong about the Cubs not being able to get Harden. Congratulations to the Cubs. Even if he does turn out to be damaged goods, it's a great risk regardless of the outcome
I think Beane must have been really wary that Harden would go back on the DL before the trade deadline. Either that or he likes these prospects a lot more than their stats/profiles indicate
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 09, 2008 at 08:30 AM
seasons with 160+ IP
Wade Miller: 3
Rich Harden: 1
Posted by: jp | July 09, 2008 at 08:52 AM
jesus christ cubs fans 158 posts!!! i have nothing to say but to remind everyone the cards r still in it and when carp and wainwright come back its on. GO CARDS
Posted by: Joelcards | July 09, 2008 at 08:53 AM
Thanks to all the non-Cubs fans that have been cool and offered their congratulations. We appreciate it. Sorry for those of us that are completely arrogant...but its not all of us.
I think that this HAS to be considered a great trade from Hendry. If Harden can stay healthy, we have as good of a rotation, offense, and bullpen as anyone in the game. If not, we still have two different guys that can fill in starts, and I think it was brilliant for Hendry to get some insurance along with Harden. As Keith Law put it, thats a GREAT add on player in this deal!
I think those players help the A's as well. Patterson could really be an impact player. He can hit .290 and steal 30 to 40 bases in a full season.
That being said, here is what the Cubs haters have to realize. They gave up a good pitching prospect and 3 guys that they cannot use! Murton and Patterson were blocked at the major league level. There was just no way they were going to play other than here or there. Giving them up is brilliant, because they didn't factor in to our future here anyway! Then, Donaldson could end up making the bigs, but he wouldn't have been a big part even if he does make it, considering we have one of the best young catchers in the game.
So, we gave up Gallagher, which is the price you have to pay, but the other 3 weren't going to help us anyway. Great move by Hendry, plain and simple.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | July 09, 2008 at 09:50 AM
Well we're just a little excited, as well we should be, just got two very good pitchers, either of which alone, is worth what we gave up.
I agree the Cards are in it, I never ever count the Cards out. 2 of these 3 teams will make the playoffs. I actually hope it's the Cubs & Cardinals, becuase the Cubs would not match up well in an NLCS with the Brewers, and that is what is going to happen if they both make it.
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | July 09, 2008 at 09:54 AM
What power bats are available? Holliday? McClouth (not sure about this one)? DeJesus?
Posted by: uww1 | July 09, 2008 at 10:17 AM
Just a though what would it take to get Holliday?
Posted by: uww1 | July 09, 2008 at 10:22 AM
What would it take to get Fuentes?
Posted by: uww1 | July 09, 2008 at 10:22 AM
Fuentes
For
Wuertz/Cotts
Cedeno
Randy Wells
"Mid Level Prospect"
Posted by: uww1 | July 09, 2008 at 10:41 AM
Holliday
For
Vitters
Veal
Ascanio
Colvin
Posted by: uww1 | July 09, 2008 at 11:05 AM
The Cubs should now go after Fuentes and/or Burnett. Burnett isn't going to be terribly expensive, and Fuentes is also readily available. Think about a rotation of Z, Harden, Burnett, Lilly and Dempster. No one can match that. Add Fuentes to Wood, Marmol, Howry etc and the pen is unmatched as well.
What do the Cubs have left to trade? In no particular order they have Veal, Cedano, Hill, Pie, Theriot, Colvin, Samardizja (sp?), Ceda, Ascanio etc... Not a great lot to work with but definitely enough to get another deal or two done.
People tend to generalize too much without looking at specifics when it comes to deadline trades. Burnett can be had in part because of who he is and in part because of his contract situation. His price is going to be lowered accordingly, especially considering that Toronto would likely enjoy getting out of his contract and/or getting something in return considering he could leave at the end of the year. Simply put, he's not going to cost multiple high end prospects. The Cubs had enough to get Harden, but not Sabathia, and they still have enough to get more. Haters don't change reality just because they hate. The Cubs farm system, while not high end, is still productive. Just ask Billy Beane.
Posted by: pageian | July 09, 2008 at 11:36 AM
Its been a while but here are my humble comments...
This is a good trade for both A's and Cubs. Cubs get a legit #2 arm but he has some issues. Gaudin was a decent addition but his 4.90 ERA away from Oakland is a bit worrisome. The Cubs gave up some good but blocked players. So its a win/win. Unless Harden can't do at least 150 innings next year.
I don't think that the Cubs will do a 6 man rotation because it throws the routines off. It does give extra rest but could lead to 7 or 8 days between starts. I do think that there will be spot starters to provide some rest during long stretches but not a 6 man rotation.
The only place I see Marquis going is to San Diego in a deal for Maddux. The Pads are pretty much out of it, and Maddux has a hefty contract. I think that Marquis could do well in Petco. I imagine that the Cubs may throw in a few mil for next years salary.
I see the Cubs possibly making a play for Bedard since they still have all the their blue chips but they would need to re-sign him prior to the deal getting consummated. And with the cubs sale still in limbo I am not sure how this would flesh out.
All in all I am excited. Treat Harden with some kid gloves and I think this could be great for the Cubs.
Could this be the year?
Oh on the Brewers.. Someone mentioned and I am too lazy to look it up that the Brewers owner will want to re-sign Sabathia/Sheets. I think they are better served trying to lock up their position players, and getting the 4 draft picks for these 2. Sheets is great but like Harden a bit of a health risk. I think the Brewers have enough depth to come up with pitching to stay competitive. I personally think this is what they will do.
Posted by: Bleacher_Buddha | July 09, 2008 at 12:06 PM
@92-93
I will stand by earlier statement - Burnett is mediocre. I'll grant you that his career ERA is solid. But I really don't care what the guy did 8 years ago.
I look at the last three years. I see a guy who has been OK. Over that time he has posted 4.16ERA. He's pitched 135 and 165 innings in the previous 2 years. And he has been just awful this year. He's the wrong side of 30 and is a major injury risk. The only good news is that his arm should be relatively fresh because he just hasn't pitched much over his career (avg of about 140IP per year).
If we were having this discussion last year it would be a totally different situation. Last year he could have helped. He would have been an upgrade. This year he has been bad and Cubs have superior alternatives in house.
Finally, you mention that his career ERA is better than Sabathia and Bedard. The difference between those guys and Burnett is huge. Primarily because both of those guys have moved beyond just potential. They have managed to post big numbers. With Burnett everyone's wondering when he will finally match his stuff with end results. He has never been dominate and has flashed #1 starter numbers just twice, in 2002 and 2005.
Posted by: bjsguess | July 09, 2008 at 12:13 PM
A 4.16 ERA in three years of the AL East is pretty impressive. I would say thats about equivalent to what, a 3.65 in the NL Central? Maybe 3.8 at most...either way, an upgrade over Marquis. I actually am higher on Marquis than most though...I'd rather get Fuentes and be done. That rotation with that bullpen and an already potent offense has as good of a chance as any to get to the WS. They may even be favorites. Playoffs are a crapshoot though, so all you can do it try and get guys you think can dominate as starting pitchers and hope your offense clicks. This is why I think the Cubs and Brewers have really set themselves up well here.
I would LOVE to see the Cards go out and get a guy they have already been linked to in the past, AJ Burnett. Talk about putting the NL Central on the map in one week! This honestly may be the best division in baseball, after getting mocked all offseason!
Posted by: Aduncaroo | July 09, 2008 at 12:37 PM
I just don't see Holliday as a fit. Fukudome can't play center on an everyday basis and you can't platoon him. It would be nice to have Holliday though.
Posted by: studio179 | July 09, 2008 at 12:38 PM
Devlsh -- I think you hit it on the head. Whatever it looks like on the face value you can't take it as that. Beane is a master. Harden, when healthy, is a beast. Nobody questions that. But the A's know Harden intimately and recent event must indicate he can't keep it up and is probably starting to crash. So he's likely a write off.
So it's between Gaudin and Gallagher and I guess Gallagher has the better 'stuff' of the two. It's only this year that Gaudin had gotten his act together and only for a handful of starts, which doesn't prove he's improved.
I wouldn't doubt the Beane.
Posted by: toshiro | July 09, 2008 at 12:40 PM
The Cards have no business being where they are and yet I always respect their play and never count them out.
I always wanted a Cub/Cards/Brewers rivalry going. This year I get my wish. Top it off with the White Sox doing well and I really am loving this year. The thought of the Cubs winning against the Cards or Brewers for the division and then winning against one of those two for the NL crown would be a rush. Then the Cubs win against the White Sox for it all...
'Dream on', right. The odds are overwhelmingly against this happening. Yet the first half of the season is shaping up to be a possibility. Who knows.
Posted by: studio179 | July 09, 2008 at 12:50 PM
I think Fukudome is such a stud outfielder that he could easily play CF in Wrigley or in any studium. Holliday in RF and Soriano in LF. Maybe I am dreaming, but just imagine.
Also, I would love to add Maddux before Burnett. It would be a cliche if Maddux came back to the Cubs and they won the world championship.
Posted by: uww1 | July 09, 2008 at 01:01 PM
I still think maddux will go to milwaukee. Maddux would like to pitch for a contender and i think he could come up big come playoff time. The brewers could give tony gwynn jr for him.
Posted by: glover28 | July 09, 2008 at 01:17 PM
We aren't getting Holliday..fun to think about, but not happening. Lets focus on more realistic guys like Fuentes. Hell, I'm happy with what we have! Now lets just go out and get it done.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | July 09, 2008 at 01:20 PM
I would have no problem bringing Greg back. I don't care if he never started a game. His presence on the team would be helpful. I heard Dempster in an interview that he has talked to Maddux about pitching tips when he was a Cub last time. I'm sure others could learn something if they asked him. I'm not saying Greag can wave a magic wand over everyone. Who had Dempster winning 10 gaves at the break? I had him at 10-12 wins all year. I don't think he is coming here. I would not want him to go to the Brewers with his bro, either.
Posted by: studio179 | July 09, 2008 at 01:34 PM
I had read somewhere that Maddux for Marquis with Cash. I would do that and even add in a mid level prospect. Maybe it was on here somewhere from Tim.
Posted by: uww1 | July 09, 2008 at 01:39 PM
"Sweeney's been ok, but he hasn't hit for much power."
Was he really expected to though? No? He is a big boy, but has shown no propensity toward power hitting. He is a high average/high OBP speed player who bats left handed and has an excellent outfield arm..
Posted by: AA | July 09, 2008 at 08:02 PM
the cubs dont need anymore help. no more cub trades. the cards need burnett or holliday/fuentes to keep pace. we always play hard but i need to be realistic. both brwers and cubs were better on paper BEFORE the trades. numbers and stats dont win championships but they certainly help.
Posted by: Joelcards | July 09, 2008 at 11:33 PM
Yeah Joel, living in St. Louis, I have a respect for the Cards and the way they play. Still, especially with Mulder's showing tonight, they really need to take a long look at seeing what Burnett/Bedard would cost. I think Burnett is the better option for them, and is one of those players who can get hot and dominate in any given stretch. If that stretch happened to be the second half, you would be in great shape. I just don't see Wellemeyer/Piniero types being as reliable as you need down the stretch.
However, you are kind of playing with house money, since most didn't expect more than 3rd place from the Cards anyway...so who knows.
What about this?
Duncan and Reyes for Burnett? Jays need power and a pitcher for the rotation if he leaves, so seems like a win win to me...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | July 10, 2008 at 01:23 AM
You could even sub in Brenden Ryan for either of those guys if they are insistent on a young SS...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | July 10, 2008 at 01:24 AM