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Japanese amateur pitcher Junichi Tazawa is shaking things up - last week he asked the 12 Nippon Professional Baseball teams not to draft him. He wants to join an MLB team instead. His decision, coupled with interest from multiple MLB teams, is putting a major strain on MLB-NPB relations.
Peter Abraham of The Journal News had an informative article on the Tazawa situation yesterday. He says Tazawa's decision is testing an informal agreement that MLB will not sign Japanese prospects. Abraham says the Red Sox, Mets, Braves, and Dodgers have scouted Tazawa. The Tigers, Pirates, Cubs, and Mariners may also be in the mix. The Red Sox are said to be in the lead. There's no posting free for an unsigned player, though Tazawa may want a big league deal.
The Yankees will pass - GM Brian Cashman told Abraham he will honor the gentleman's agreement between the two leagues. When the Yanks sent Gene Michael to Japan last week, it was apparently to scout Yu Darvish. Darvish's availability this winter will hinge on the whims of the Nippon Ham Fighters. No one knows whether the Fighters will cash the 22 year-old in now for a possible $60-80MM posting fee.
NPB directors convened to discuss the Tazawa situation last week, and they're sending a delegation to the U.S. to meet with MLB. Abraham suggests NPB could strike back if Bud Selig doesn't step in to stop the pursuit of Japanese players before they are drafted. Abraham speculates Japan could pull out of the World Baseball Classic or even sign an American amateur player as retaliation. Or, as Patrick Newman suggested to me recently, a team like Softbank could jump in and sign Pedro Alvarez or Aaron Crow.
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if NPB thinks that any American amateur players especially top of the draft talent would sign there and end up stranding themselves there for X number of years they are crazy, sorry NPB your system is lousy and is being exposed as that, let Tazawa and other Japanese talent sign wherever they please!
Posted by: buttaplaydtoast | September 15, 2008 at 09:32 AM
I can see a few likely scenarios:
1) Tazawa is draft and told to deal with it.
2) Tazawa is drafted by an NPB team and immediately posted (if that's not against the rules), ultimately selling a draft choice by and NPB team.
3) A new agreement by the MLB and NPB where an amateur player can be signed, but MLB has to pay NPB a fee.
4) The retaliation by NPB would have to be very specific, sign amateur Americans with the promise of posting them after 2-3 seasons. Alvarez/Crow to Japan would be interesting.
Ultimately, MLB will fold with NPB raises a fuss because a) Selig is a coward and b) MLB actually does need good relations with NPB if it wants its market to expand into Asia. Not to mention New York and Boston have already begun their own expansions in Asia meaning if NPB raises a fuss, all 3 of those teams will likely not offer a contract.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | September 15, 2008 at 10:30 AM
that brings up an interesting thought... what are the chances that steinbrener and henry actually buy or start teams in the NPB? and if they did would they still have to post players, or could they trade freely with their american teams?
also, would it be reasonable for NPB to consider becoming somewhat of a winter league? that way some of their japanese stars could play in the mlb but also play and sell tickets in japan... plus developing mlb talent might choose the NPB over the dominican league etc... also increasing revenue for NPB. guys like wily mo pena could have a huge effect there.
Posted by: elmedius | September 15, 2008 at 10:50 AM
In some ways you have to sympathize with NPB, because we're taking all of their star players, or now they're potential star players. But I have to wonder why they think they deserve special treatment and why their amateur free agents are different then those in the Dominican Republic, ect.
I would still like to see some form of a Worldwide draft, perhaps it will have the same flaws as our current draft system does but it still levels the playing field some.
elmedius, NPB is different then US Baseball, instead of having individual owners the teams are instead owned by Major Corporations in Japan. It would be like having the Citi Mets and the Bank of America Yankees here. I'm not sure if there is anything preventing someone like Steinbrenner from purchasing one of those teams from a corporation, I would think that there would be years of legal battles between Steinbrenner and the owners of NPB and MLB sorting it out if Steinbrenner even tried to do so.
But hypothetically if he did, the rules strictly prevent trades in between MLB and NPB teams. Although it could create an interesting dilemma with the posting system where Steinbrenner could potentially post 100 million dollars to himself to talk to a Free Agent from his own team (All the more reason why they would never allow Steinbrenner to purchase an NPB team).
I would like the idea of using the NPB as a form of a winter league instead, but I find it highly doubtful that they have the ability to swallow their pride enough to the point where they would even consider it. Plus, Winter in Japan isn't ideal baseball conditions. They would need to have all indoor facilities to make that work.
Posted by: AdropOFvenom | September 15, 2008 at 11:26 AM
Why wouldn't Crow of Alvarez go to Japan for a year or three? Top NFL-talent bolted for the USFL when the money was right. I'd like to see if Crow or Alvarez would then have to be posted.
Posted by: The Management | September 15, 2008 at 11:58 AM
Well couldn't he just be thrown into the MLB Draft?
Posted by: XD23 | September 15, 2008 at 12:38 PM
ZD23- The MLB draft is not international yet.
Posted by: melonis rex | September 15, 2008 at 02:51 PM
"If NPB thinks that any American amateur players especially top of the draft talent would sign there and end up stranding themselves there for X number of years they are crazy, sorry NPB your system is lousy and is being exposed as that, let Tazawa and other Japanese talent sign wherever they please!"
Well, one could always do what Alfonso Soriano and Hideo Nomo did and use the retirement loophole.
"Well couldn't he just be thrown into the MLB Draft?"
Not how it works. Only Americans (excluding territorial Americans like Puerto Ricans) and Canadians are subject to the MLB Draft.
"Why wouldn't Crow of Alvarez go to Japan for a year or three?"
For one, the money is less. Also, who is to say those guys wouldn't still have to play in the Japanese minors for a year or three? It is not like Japan is a low level league. NPB is as good or a touch below MLB.
"Plus, Winter in Japan isn't ideal baseball conditions. They would need to have all indoor facilities to make that work."
It helps that most of the NPB facilities are indoor.
"I would like the idea of using the NPB as a form of a winter league instead, but I find it highly doubtful that they have the ability to swallow their pride enough to the point where they would even consider it."
Not to mention that we likely wouldn't have the same quality talent development that we get with guys like Ichiro, Nomo and Matsui.
Posted by: AA | September 15, 2008 at 04:42 PM
"GM Brian Cashman told Abraham he will honor the gentleman's agreement between the two leagues"
In historical context, isnt this offensive?
Posted by: themfightnwords | September 15, 2008 at 04:45 PM
Oh I know that. I meant as part of some agreement with the NPB would be that he couldn't be a free agenr. But he could be placed in the draft.
Posted by: XD23 | September 15, 2008 at 09:42 PM
Is this guy actually any GOOD??
Posted by: Sunny Reiser | October 30, 2008 at 01:16 PM
"Is this guy actually any GOOD??"
From what Ive read and watched of him he is good enough to be considered for the back end of someones rotation. He has the stuff. I just dont know how well it would work trying to coach such a young undeveloped talent with a language barrier.
Posted by: Phillip_Cannon | November 02, 2008 at 06:43 PM