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2009 Top 50 Free Agents

It's time for the third annual MLB Trade Rumors Top 50 Free Agents list!  The entire list of available free agents can be found here.

A note before we begin - this is a complicated puzzle, and I'll be satisfied if I'm correct on a quarter of these guesses.  If your favorite team seems under-represented, keep in mind that the list doesn't account for trades or every single free agent.

1.  C.C. Sabathia - Yankees.  The guess here is that the Yankees will make C.C. an offer he can't refuse, and he'll sign a seven-year deal.  Sabathia is the key to the Yankees' offseason.

2.  Mark Teixeira - Angels.  The Angels can probably afford one of Sabathia, Teixeira, and K-Rod.  They need Tex the most.

3. Manny Ramirez - Dodgers.  I think Manny will ultimately sign a deal in the four-year, $100MM range.

4.  Francisco Rodriguez - Mets.  The buzz at the time of this writing is that the Mets will pass on K-Rod and look to sign Fuentes.  However, there aren't many big-money teams with closer vacancies, and I can see Rodriguez's price dipping down to the four-year, $56MM range.

5.  A.J. Burnett - Orioles.  I am uneasy about this prediction.  We know Burnett would like to play there, but will the O's even enter the bidding?  They do need starting pitching badly, and theoretically Burnett will still be effective when they are ready to contend.

6.  Derek Lowe - Yankees.  This would set up a rotation of Sabathia/Wang/Lowe/Pettitte/Chamberlain.  Very solid on paper.

7.  Orlando Hudson - Cardinals.  Hudson, the top free agent second baseman, would be a large upgrade over Adam Kennedy.

8.  Adam Dunn - Nationals.  The Nats attempted to make a free agent splash last year with Torii Hunter.  They're known to be looking for a cleanup hitter.

9.  Ryan Dempster - Cubs.  Seems to be Jim Hendry's top offseason priority.  The two have a strong relationship, but Dempster may still score a competitive four-year contract.  It should be noted that Hendry has a strong record of keeping his own free agents when he wants to, despite much hand-wringing leading up to each signing.

10.  Ben Sheets - Braves.  Under this scenario, the Braves are unable to land Jake Peavy via trade.  Sheets is one of many possible free agent pitchers the Braves may consider.  The Red Sox or Dodgers could be other suitors.

11.  Mike Mussina - Retirement.  I will go with the media sentiment that Moose is set to retire despite such a strong 2008.

12.  Raul Ibanez - Braves.  Even after bringing in two starters, they'll have money left over for left field.

13.  Pat Burrell - Rays.  Burrell belongs in the AL, and the Rays have an open DH spot and the need for a righthanded hitter.

14.  Bobby Abreu - Cubs.  His defense isn't a perfect fit at Wrigley, but they do crave a left-handed middle of the order bat.  Fitting his salary in could be tricky.

15.  Brian Fuentes - Brewers.  If C.C. signs elsewhere, the Brewers will be able to spread their cash to fill various needs.

16.  Andy Pettitte - Yankees.  Once again, it's Yankees or retirement for Pettitte.

17.  Rafael Furcal - Dodgers.  The interest is mutual.  Furcal is the top free agent shortstop.

18.  Casey Blake - Twins.  If the Twins don't like the asking prices for Garrett Atkins and Adrian Beltre, Blake may be the best third baseman on the free agent market.

19.  Milton Bradley - Blue Jays.  The buzz is that the Jays will take a look at Giambi, but Bradley is a nice fit as well at DH.

20.  Jason Giambi - Athletics.  The A's are looking for a power hitter on a short-term deal, so a reunion makes sense.

21.  Orlando Cabrera - Twins.  Completing the Twins' new-look infield.  Blake and Cabrera should be capable of league-average production.

22.  Jamie Moyer - Phillies.  The seventh-best free agent starter, based on 2008 numbers.  The Phils may look to add an additional starter for depth.

23.  Kerry Wood - Cubs.  A longtime Cub with a strong relationship with Hendry.  Moving Marmol to the closer role would weaken the Cubs' pen overall, so they'll try to hammer something out.

24.  Kenshin Kawakami - Red Sox.  Signing Kawakami for the rotation would allow the Sox to keep Masterson in the pen and let Bowden and Buchholz come along at their own pace.

25.  Randy Johnson - Angels.  An improvement on Garland, and they get the bonus of his 300th win.

26.  Oliver Perez - Dodgers.  One possible fit for Perez, who is just 27 years old.  There is a strong San Diego connection, but you have to figure money will get in the way (Perez is represented by Scott Boras).

27.  Randy Wolf - Astros.  Ed Wade has long been a fan of Wolf, and hopes to re-sign him.  There won't be much money left over after that.

28.  Mark Grudzielanek - Indians.  Grudz only makes sense here if the Indians miss out on bigger infield targets and shift Jhonny Peralta and Asdrubal Cabrera.

29.  Ray Durham - Diamondbacks.  The D'Backs figure to add one of the veteran second basemen on a short-term deal.

30.  John Smoltz - Braves.  I see no reason Smoltz would leave after all these years.

31.  Ivan Rodriguez - Mets.  Omar Minaya seems to be a fan, and Pudge may provide an upgrade behind the plate on a one-year deal.

32.  Freddy Garcia - Indians.  Not sure if he'll sign for one year, but Garcia could stabilize a shaky rotation.

33.  Trevor Hoffman - Padres.  Can you picture him playing anywhere else?

34.  Brad Penny - Blue Jays.  Not that the Jays need more injury risk, but they've been connected to Penny in trade talks before.

35.  Jeremy Affeldt - Indians.  Affeldt could be a creative closer candidate for the Tribe.  He may jump at the opportunity to pitch the ninth inning.

36.  Jon Garland - Brewers.  If Sabathia and Sheets leave, Garland can step in to eat some innings.

37.  Paul Byrd - Pirates.  The Pirates are said to want to add a veteran starter to the rotation.  Neal Huntington knows Byrd from his Cleveland days.

38.  Braden Looper - Giants.  If Jonathan Sanchez is traded for a power hitter, the Giants might want a veteran to soak up innings.

39.  Edgar Renteria - Cardinals.  The American League hasn't worked out for Renteria.  If he'll take a one-year deal, the Cardinals could bring him back.  Pairing him with a (hopefully) strong defender like Hudson could work.

40.  Joe Crede - Dodgers.  If Crede can get past back problems, he might be a bargain on a one-year deal.

41.  Koji Uehara - Royals.  The Royals were interested in Hiroki Kuroda last year.  Maybe they'll add some rotation depth with Uehara.

42.  Nick Punto - Rays.  Cork Gaines suggested this idea to me.  Seems feasible, unless Punto craves a starting job.

43.  Damaso Marte - Cardinals.  I thought the Yanks would exercise his $6MM option, but a recent report indicated otherwise.  The Cardinals appear willing to spend some coin on a lefty reliever.

44.  Juan Cruz - Tigers.  A dark horse closing candidate, if he can improve his control.  The Tigers don't have much money to work with this winter.

45.  Mark Kotsay - Reds.  Kotsay can step in at center field for a year to allow younger players to come along.

46.  Jason Varitek - Red Sox.  Tek may find that no team is willing to give him an acceptable multiyear deal.

47.  Garret Anderson - Angels.  The Halos will decline his $14MM option, but may look to bring him back at a lower salary.

48.  Odalis Perez - Nationals.  They need a veteran to eat innings, and Perez is as good as any.  If he demands multiple years, the Nats may choose to move on.

49.  Felipe Lopez - Orioles.  Lopez mashed with the Cards, though it was a short stint.  If Scott Boras doesn't get crazy over those 169 plate appearances, the Orioles could give him a shot on a one-year deal.

50.  Jim Edmonds - Mariners.  On a one-year deal, Edmonds could play center or DH against righthanders.

Honorable mentions: Rocco Baldelli, Joe Beimel, Doug Brocail, David Eckstein, Tom Glavine, Jerry Hairston Jr., Eric Hinske, Chan Ho Park, Jason Isringhausen, Cesar Izturis, Greg Maddux, Kevin Millar, Tomohiro Nioka, Darren Oliver, Miguel Olivo, Juan Rivera, David Weathers


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Comments

"New stadium + all that money coming off the books = three type A free agents"

= giving up lots of picks and your farm going to crap. See the last few years. I think someone on ESPN wrote about this.....Olney, or Caple or someone.........

Tim I am a diehard dodger fan and I was just wondering why whenever you talk about where you think Oliver Perez is going you always say the dodgers. Why is tis

christian-

What kind of math are you using? 100 million plus. WOW.

Zig-

No way the Yankees sign Teix, CC, and AJ. And I pray they do not they sign Burnett.

And I highly doubt that Brackman will be in Triple A next year. It is just not likely coming off surgery.Why would you rush him up to Triple A?

do you think the dodgers would be better off using money to sign CC or MANRAM

mattkemp27

manny, he refreshed your team from a certain division loss, he is the guy you want back

I really think K-Rod stays an Angel.

He doesn't get the 15MM from anyone, and he gets quintessentially the same offer from Angels and Mets, and he takes the Angels because he knows he will get lambasted in NY.

"do you think the dodgers would be better off using money to sign CC or MANRAM"

Manny. Billingsley-Kuroda-Kershaw-McDonald-someone is a perfectly legit 1-2-3 punch. Just add someone to shore up the back end of that rotation (Garland?)

yea but if they go with a rotation like that then they are relying on three young starters who all look promising, but they are still VERY young

turnthe2-

The Yankees had the 6th best farm system in baseball according to Baseball Prospectus. So, I am not sure how that equates to our farm "going to crap".

As I said, I don't recall who wrote the article, but there was a point in the past few years that they didn't have a good farm. I don't rememeber who wrote the article.

Yes they will get some picks back. I agree. But I highly doubt they will woo everyone into playing for their team. This has become a much more competitive sport. The Rockies were in the World Series last year and the Rays this time.......Just because they have 26 championships doesn't mean every player has a lifelong dream to fulfill to play for them.

Didnt the Dodgers "offer" Manny a 30 mil a yr contract or was that just a rumor?

And CC would be asking for less money from the Dodgers then Yanks.

The Yanks will spend plenty of money, the question is, will they spend it wisely?
CC & Tex are wise signings, no matter what the price. Burnett (who I like) is often injured and Manny is the exact opposite of what they claim they are trying to do..get younger and better defensively.
Whomever thinks the yanks can't sign Tex, CC and Burnett, should those 3 want to come to NY, hasn't followed the Yanks very long.

As for the Yanks "growing their own players" they have right now Jeter, Posada, Mo, Joba, Wang, Cano & Melky, all who came up thru the Yankee farm system. Their minors are ranked in the top 10 by Baseball Prospectus. In fact they had more "homegrown" players on the 2008 opening day 25 man roster than both the Sox and the Mets.

Fair enough Zig, fair enough.

I believe its more realistic for the Sox to get Teixeira then for the Yankees to get all three of CC, Tex and Burnett.

As for the Lowell situation, the Twins would definitely try him out if the Sox pick up all of his remaining contract.

A team like the Twins would do that. This is why I feel that if the Sox DO get Tex it will be there only move.

It would clost the 20+ million and the 9 million for Lowell's contract.

Even less realistic, now that I ponder that.

No, I believe Theo will have interest but ultimately he will stay in LA.

"This has become a much more competitive sport. The Rockies were in the World Series last year and the Rays this time.......Just because they have 26 championships doesn't mean every player has a lifelong dream to fulfill to play for them."

I agree..with what the AL east looks like right now, going to the Yanks (or for that matter the Sox) for "a chance to win" is no longer a given. The East will now be a 3 or maybe even a 4 team race. If a player is going to look for a team where he can win, he might be better off going to a team like the White Sox or the Twins, they will probably have an easier road to the playoffs.

jacoby, tek (wasn't drafted but came through their system), youk, pedroia, lester, papelbon, delcarmen, moss were opening day 25 man roster.....just as many as the yankees.......

Teixeira is going to the Red Sox. Not the Angels.

Yeah ... counting Varitek is a bit of a stretch given that he spent 2+ years in the Seattle organization. Sort of like us counting Edwar or Veras just because they got their first chances in NY.

"This just in. In a stunning move, the Yankees have signed every single free agent pitcher on the market, just because they can afford it."

Having a big budget is one thing, but Cashman is not going to sign Burnett, Sabathia AND Teixeira. I will eat my hat if they even sign any combination of two of them. Cashman and Hal at least have some vague clue what they're doing and will pull rank over that blithering idiot Hank. Locking up two seven plus year deals when you already have as many disastrously long contracts on the books would be career suicide.

I think the Yankees will get Sabathia, and they're welcome to him with his career 8.61 Yankee Stadium ERA and his questionable build (A lot of people are saying a long term deal on him is throwing money away, considering the breakdown rate of pitchers of his body type).

As for the Sox, again, just because you have money coming off the books doesn't mean you go out ant blow it for the sake of blowing it. I don't think they'll stand pat, but they're sure as Hell not going out and signing a bunch of marquee free agents just to keep themselves near the luxury tax limit. My guess is they'll make pushes for Teixeira and Burnett, just to see if they can get them, or to at least drive the asking price up for the Yankees.

They'll "inquire" into Sabathia just for the sake of driving up the price for the Yankees, who're well known as his most likely high bidder, but I've yet to see anything indicating Epstein and company are legitimately interested in him.

Teixeira, they'll show legitimate interest in just because no one with that kind of money wouldn't be interested. I don't know that they'll sign him, but they'll probably make a serious effort.

I think Burnett is possibly a high target for them. His AL East numbers are good, but his injury history is terrible and considering he's into his thirties now, there's no guarantee he'll get better. Burnett will almost definitely opt out of his contract, as the odds are against him ever being of this much value again. I'm on the fence on him. His numbers sound great to have, but he's been so plagued by injuries that I can't imagine giving him anything more than four years.

The GMs run the teams instead of the fans for a reason. If the overall Sox fanbase had its say, Varitek would be signed to a five year, $100 million deal and Ellsbury would be locked up as a higher priority than guys like Pedroia and Youkilis.

I would be just as pleased if the Sox signed one of Epstein's beloved "project pitchers" (A low cost, high potential free agent like Colon) as a backup in case one of our current guys doesn't pan out. From there, I'd be content to see Theo sign Papelbon and Youk to longer deals while we can still get them for a reasonable price and start something rolling on Pedroia just in case he starts raking in his now customary manner come May. Between locking up their four top young priorities (Papelbon, Youk, Pedroia and Lester), the Sox could easily bridge the gap in salary coming off the books if they really felt like it, and that'd be money much better spent than going out and signing someone like Sheets just because they can.

"In fact they had more "homegrown" players on the 2008 opening day 25 man roster than both the Sox and the Mets. "

The problem with your assessment there is that three of those guys, in fact three of their biggest impact guys of that list, have been with the team for over a decade now and are among the highest paid players in their positions. Jeter, Posada and Rivera are well past the youth movement ideal.

While the Sox have less overall "homegrown" players on a technicality, they have a higher amount of high impact youth on their current roster. Homegrown is nice when you're playing trivia, but youth and current/future ability is a lot more important.

Zig, not to mention that the young guys are due for raises.


AJ Burnett is more realistic, Theo would not have to start Wakefield in a playoff game ever again.

I'm still holding out for Tex, though.

turnthe2-

Money talks, and they have a lot of it. IMO, I see them getting one of Teix or CC. I am torn between which I would prefer. Eventually you need to move someone to first. And with all the catching in the lower levels, the talk is moving Montero to first. I do not really want to block anyone. However, Teix is an offensive asset that would be great. Personally, I would LOVE to sign Manny. You can say whatever you want about the guy, but simply put, he can MASH. And he does not seem like he is slowing down.

With CC, the Yankees get an ace, but there is always so much risk signing pitchers to long term deals. IMO, I see Mussina coming back. I just do not feel like this was his last year. As for Andy, I would like to cut ties with him. I just do not like what I saw at the end of the year. I would like to see Phil and IPK in the rotation, again. I am not ready to give up on IPK. Personally, I would like to bring back Pavano for a one year incentive laced deal. I feel like he has something to prove, and could at least pitch better then league average.


add on next year that there is a 99% chance that Masterson and Lowrie are on the opening day roster.

Thank you Obsessions

Man I hope to god Tim is wrong. Pudge and K-Rod equals a whole lot of nauseated Met fans. How do you have them losing their number 3 starter, and signing Pudge but not replacing their pitching? There is no reason whatsoever for Pudge to be on the Mets. He is not an upgrade over their current catching situation. I wouldn't even be interested in Pudge if he would play for free.

Just because the Angels need Teix more than the Red Sox, doesn't give the Angels an advantage in acquiring him. The Angels have $25 million coming off the books, the Red Sox have $40 million coming off the books. The Red Sox are clearly in a position to give Teixeira the more expensive contract.

"Personally, I would LOVE to sign Manny. You can say whatever you want about the guy, but simply put, he can MASH. And he does not seem like he is slowing down."

I've said this to more than a few people on this site, but the last thing the Yankees need is mashing at this point. They already have one of the most potent lineups in the MLB to go with one of the least consistent overall pitching staffs. Honestly, if I had my say as Cashman, I'd push hard for Teixeira and let everyone else duke it out for Sabathia and Burnett. Burnett's a huge injury risk and Sabathia's numbers in NY are abysmal. Teixeira's bat's not solving anything, but really, the Yanks haven't been particularly defensively sound at first base, and with an aging shortstop who seems to lose a step every year he sticks around, a solid defensive first baseman is a must. Hell, look at the Sox with Lugo hanging out at short. They'd have been screwed without a solid first baseman.

The Yankees' biggest need is pitching, but I think they'd be best served signing Tex and exploring a trade for Peavy.

"Hopefully Yankees get Mark Teixeira, Bobby Abreu, Mike Mussina, Andy Pettitte, CC Sabathia, AJ Burnett...Hopefully, they pick up Damaso Marte's option as well"

I hope you're saying this as someone who's rooting against the Yankees, cause that's a pretty ridiculously ill advised agenda right there.

Obsessions..I agree with you on the homegrown thing. But the discussion was about the players, not the impact they have had this year or in the future.
The Yanks have and have had a good minor league system for the past few years, good not great, but it certainly is not the crap the haters try to make it seem like.

yankeegirl49,

read the article above. Doesn't make the Yanks farm look so hot.......

"now as for you delutional redsox fans.. understand this if the yankees want them the yankees get them you cant win a bidding war against the yankees cause money is of absolutley no issue whatsoever ......remember your not the yankees your a small town team ...you dont get who you want.....you get who the yankees dont want."

Daisuke Matsuzaka argues otherwise.

"I hope you're saying this as someone who's rooting against the Yankees, cause that's a pretty ridiculously ill advised agenda right there."

Ill advised? Unrealistic as anything, sure, but aside from Pettitte all of those guys were really good last year. None that I wouldn't want to see in the Bronx.

turnthe2..
I read it, but the farm is more than just drafting. I agree, they lack when it comes to drafting. However they have a strong record of signing players from Latin America and have recently gotten some young guys in the deals for RJ & Sheffield.
Also, I have no issue with drafting comparrisons with teams like the Sox, but let's not compare what the Yanks do with what the Rays do. When you have the #1 pick for 11 years in a row, you had better have some impact players, if not, someone needs to look at the scouting dept and the front office.

"I've said this to more than a few people on this site, but the last thing the Yankees need is mashing at this point. They already have one of the most potent lineups in the MLB to go with one of the least consistent overall pitching staffs. Honestly, if I had my say as Cashman, I'd push hard for Teixeira and let everyone else duke it out for Sabathia and Burnett. Burnett's a huge injury risk and Sabathia's numbers in NY are abysmal. Teixeira's bat's not solving anything, but really, the Yanks haven't been particularly defensively sound at first base, and with an aging shortstop who seems to lose a step every year he sticks around, a solid defensive first baseman is a must. Hell, look at the Sox with Lugo hanging out at short. They'd have been screwed without a solid first baseman.

The Yankees' biggest need is pitching, but I think they'd be best served signing Tex and exploring a trade for Peavy.
"

Wrong. The Yankees pitching has been similar for 3 years. Last year was their best team era year out of the last 3. The only difference was that their 900 run offense dropped down to the mid 700's this year. It has been discussed here before. The Yankees offense was what killed them in 2008. Not their pitching. Not at all. Like I said, the pitching has been about the same since 2006. In 06 and 07, the yankees scored a ton of runs, and in 08, they scored close to 200 less then they did in 06/07. Their pitching improved slightly.

We did not need Dice K that much. And you guys kinda over paid for him also.

0bessions-

Their line-up has the potential to be dangerous. I think Cano will rebound, they can only improve from the catcher's spot. However, Nady seems a little flukey. Abreu is most likely gone, as is Giambi. Personally, I would like to retain Abreu, and deal Nady. Sign Manny, and have him rotate with Matsui and Damon and Matsui between RF and DH. I believe Posada will be able to handle 120 game behind the plate. I agree that it is very optimistic, however, he has had this surgery before and reacted very well. I do not expect him to put up his 2007 numbers, but i do believe he is capable of above league average. As for first, maybe sign someone defensive minded i.e. Doug Mientkiewicz.

C - Posada/Molina
1B - Mientkiewicz
2B - Cano
3B - A Rod
SS - Jeter
RF - Manny/Matsui/Damon
CF - Gardner/Damon
LF - Abreu
DH - Manny/Matsui/Damon

"Wrong. The Yankees pitching has been similar for 3 years. Last year was their best team era year out of the last 3. The only difference was that their 900 run offense dropped down to the mid 700's this year. It has been discussed here before. The Yankees offense was what killed them in 2008. Not their pitching. Not at all. Like I said, the pitching has been about the same since 2006. In 06 and 07, the yankees scored a ton of runs, and in 08, they scored close to 200 less then they did in 06/07. Their pitching improved slightly."

Your argument is rendered effectively meritless when you consider the fact that the Yankees outscored the AL pennant winner, heck, they outscored the alleged offensive juggernaut of the Angels by a pretty decent margin. The only thing your argument proves is that the Yankees' pitching has been inconsistent for years, which is something I'd never argue against. Pitching has been the Yankees' most clear and obvious need for years now and nothing they have done has corrected it. Unless the Yankees sign a solid ace, they are doomed to either missing the playoffs entirely or yet another first round exit.

Hell, the Sox managed to make a great run in the postseason, but when you boil it down, the problem was they were outpitched. It's commonly accepted that great pitching beats great hitting any day of the week.

You need a good combination of pitching and offense to win consistently. The Yankees have a good offense, but mediocre overall pitching.

Thirty5Thirty6,

Honestly, I thought Minty was a great pick for the Yankees when they got him. Unfortunately for them, they had a log jam of epic proportions at first and their power first philosophy won out to disastrous results.

Tex would solve that problem for them while not having to sacrifice defense in the outfield on a guy like Manny. You think it's painful watching Abreu try and field (And I know it is, he's given me chuckles as the opposition, no offense)? Try putting Manny in a foreign position. Much respect to him as a hitter, but he will be bloody lost out there. You put Tex out there and go for a defensive minded, but offensively limited center fielder and you can try a Damon/Matsui platoon on DH/RF, where Damon's missing step wouldn't be as notable (Though his noodle arm could be a huge problem). Honestly, a beautiful scenario for them, in a dream world, would be to land Tex and somehow pry Crisp from the Sox, as he is a Hell of a slick fielder, though inconsistent with the bat.

Paul Byrd, a Pirate? Yikes. We don't need another Matt Morris.

The Giants are much more likely to go after Pat Burrell than Manny.

0bessions-
Whoops. That should read...
LF - Manny/Matsui/Damon
RF - Abreu

And though I agree that Teix would be a great signing. I personally do not like that eventaully someone has to go to first. Whether it is Posada, or one of the catching prospects, or less likely Jeter.

"We did not need Dice K that much. And you guys kinda over paid for him also."

I would do it all over again if I was Theo considering the counter move made by the Yanks was Igawa...

yankeesgirl49- Look at the return for RJ and Sheff.

RJ- Alberto Gonzalez(traded to the Nats), Ross Ohlendorf(included in Marte/Nady swap), Luis Vizcaino (never in their farm, and Steven Jackson (i think he is still in the farm)

Sheff- Anthony Claggett (minors), Humberto Sanchez (minors), and Kevin Whelan (minors).

They only good thing to come out of that trade was Ohlendorf who was spun to the Pirates. I know Sanchez had an elbow problem but none of these players have impacted the big club yet in the slightest.

Obsessions..
I posted this in another thread, but it bears repeating.
In 2008 the Yankees lost FIVE games where Darrell Rasner gave up 4 or fewer runs. Add in the 2 they lost when Moose gave up 2 and 3 runs and the Yanks would have been right in the playoff mix. Granted the pitching hasnt been great by any stretch of the imagination, but in 2008 the bigger problem was the offense, or lack thereof. I believe the Yanks were near the bottom of all 30 teams when it came to hitting with RISP.
If Rasner gives up 3 runs and you are the Yankees, you HAVE to win those games.

Turnthe2..

Again, I was not talking impact, that wasn't the point. The point being made was that the minors werent as bad as people would like to believe.

TurnThe2, its a retrospective article. We all know the Yankees ignored the draft for too long, that's nothing new, but Olney talking about 1997-2005 doesn't really matter when it comes to analyzing their minor league system in 2008. BP ranked them 3rd heading into 2007, 6th coming into 2008. I'll even grant that they should be dropping after a terrible high draft, but they aren't anywhere near as desolate as you may want them to be.

Burnett to the Os?
Burrell to the Rays?

C'mon Tim. The Bradford deal was the first time the Rays took money on a contract. There not going to pay 15 mil on a DH. Baldelli could do a better job than Burrel.

Burnett to Os is crazy. They got to start rebuilding and their going to spend 16 mill on a pitcher. Hes going to the Yanks instead of Os (I think).

BTW

Did Mike Mussina retire or something? How is he not a Top 50 or not even a Honarable Mention.

yankeesgirl49-

"....and have recently gotten some young guys in the deals for RJ & Sheffield. " That was your words. Almost all of those players are gone and did nothing for the farm or big team......

So what is your point in saying how good the farm is and bring up non-exisiting players? That's like saying "that's a damn good BLT sandwhich" even though you don't have the B......

Toweny..
Signing Tex and CC IS tossing out tons of money.
Why do you think they can't afford it anymore? Are they going broke all of a sudden?
They can afford what they chose to afford.

Mets will pass on KRod and go for Fuentes. They'll also sign Derek Lowe, a couple of other guys for the bullpen, and hopefully a LF like Adam Dunn or Manny. Ollie and Pedro will sign elsewhere. Dan Murphy, a young guy with alot of potential is currently playing 2b in the Arizona fall league. If the Mets don't have enough confidence in Murphy, sign Orlando Hudson. I think Murphy is pretty good so I think they'll stick with him. The Mets offensive holes are a power hitting LF, a better 2B and youth at catcher. Here's what the lineup could look like to open CitiField if everything went right:

SS Reyes
CF Beltran
LF Manny/Dunn
3B Wright
1B Delgado
2B Murphy/ Hudson
RF Church
C Schneider/Castro

Rotation

SP Santana
SP Lowe
SP Pelfrey
SP Maine
SP Niese or some other 2nd-tier FA/ AAA pitcher

Pen

Joe Smith
Pedro Feliciano
Chad Cordero
Jeremy Affledt
Brian Stokes
Bobby Parnell
Brian Fuentes

Hopefully that's good enough to win it in '09! Go Mets!

yankfan1 mosse was #11

turnthe2-

Ohlendorf essentially turned into Marte and Nady. As for the Sheffield deal, Sanchez looks to be a beast, even after the injury. And Claggett is 23 in AA, and Whelan is 24 in AA. While Whelan doesn't seem to be much Claggett actually looks pretty good.

Moose is Number 11

I could definitely see the Twins in on Blake but i doubt they lose Punto and Felipe Lopez will probably be more likely then Orlando Carbrera

Thirty5Thirty6,

We have not seen the full outcome of the Sheff trade but what are the rankings on these players? how have they helped the farm like yankeesgirl49 has been claiming?

There are tons of players who sit in the minors for years and years and do nothing. What help have they established? I can name off a ton of Sox prospects but that doesn't mean squat. I love the sox but I'm not about to scream to high heaven how great Lars Anderson is. Until a player reaches the bigs, really they are just fillers until deemed worthy or needed.

Same argument, new year. There is no point in arguing with the "haters".
The word "failure" is used..well, let me tell you, unless there are a few 8 year olds posting here EVERY SINGLE Yankee fan here has seen more success in their lifetime than fans of any other team.
Unlike small market teams, the Yanks were always able to afford to make mistakes and that is not going to change no matter what the economic climate of baseball is.

Towney why would the yankees have moved giambi at the trade deadline? Incase you forgot they were buyers at the deadline not sellers?

Turn..

Again, the original discussion was not how much the farm has helped the big club. The book is still open on the players mentioned as some are still in the minors.
I NEVER claimed they helped the big club, not once. All I said and all my point was, is that the farm is not as bad as some would like to make us think. The book is still open on guys like Sanchez, Clagett, Jackson, Melancon, Austin Jackson etc.

I'm not a "hater" you rebutled me and i back....and now you come up with "everyone hates the yankees cause they win" spare me.

I respect that they have put together some good teams and hate how they have contributed some to the economic state of the game. And one day they may make a mistake they can't recover from.

Yankee Stadium produced $327 million in revenue last year. Tops in mlb. New Yankee stadium is conservatively expected to double that.
http://www.crainsnewyork.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080803/FREE/170216934

The Yankees are going to spend, but they can't buy every FA. I expect CC and Lowe to be suiting up for the pinstripers next year.

turnthe2-

I completely agree. We haven't seen the outcome of the Sheffield trade. However, I think the prize of that trade is Sanchez, who is in the top 10 in the organization.

And I also agree, that prospects are just that, prospects.

Whatever happened to Yu Darvish? Tazawa isn't in the top 50 either?

TurnThe2: Agree and disagree. I wish MLB had a salary cap (and floor) as well but, until then, to hate the Yankees for reinvesting in their team seems misguided.

Turn..I wasnt referring to you with the term hater..it was a general statement. Thats why I put it in a separate post from the one I responded to you with.
I actually appreciate your insight in your posts. They make a lot more sense than a lot of others I read here, and elsewhere, even if I dont always agree with them. You know as well as I do, that there are a whole lot of people that rip and are negative about the Yanks no matter what they do, just for the sake of hating them.

ok so given that you think the dodgers will sign manny over CC...who do you think will be more valuable..especially given that manny is very good in the playoffs and the last two years CC has struggled

"In 2008 the Yankees lost FIVE games where Darrell Rasner gave up 4 or fewer runs. Add in the 2 they lost when Moose gave up 2 and 3 runs and the Yanks would have been right in the playoff mix."

And the Sox lost NINE games where Tim Wakefield gave up four or fewer runs and eight of those had him giving up three or less. Those nine games alone would've put the Sox as the top team in the MLB. Hell, Jon Lester only gave up three runs in game seven of the ALCS, but did you see the Sox in the World Series?

That's less indicative of the quality of the offense and more indicative of the quality of the opposing pitching. The Yankees still finished in the top ten offenses in the MLB last season. If you've got a team stacked with power hitters like they do, it's kind of ludicrous to lay the blame at the offense's feet when your rotation consists primarily of Andy Pettite, a musical chairs game consisting of rookies and Sidney Ponson plus one actually consistent pitcher in Mussina combined with a bullpen featuring guys like Marte and Farnsworth at alternating parts of the season, I think it's pretty clear where the blame lies.

Their offense was full of quality sluggers and good overall hitters, but their pitching staff has not been able to put together a consistent season since 2004. Common sense says that's their primarily problem.

obsessions-

2008- yankees Scored 789 runs, Allowed 727 runs

2007 Scored 968 runs, Allowed 777 runs

2006 Scored 930 runs, Allowed 767 runs

2005 Scored 886 runs, Allowed 789 runs

2004- Scored 897 runs, Allowed 808 runs

basically since 2004 the pitching has been getting better and between 07 and 08 the offense lost 220 runs.

yankee fans are so stupid...the team that they fielded last year really wasnt that great...your pitching was horrible and when you have a bad season like this one you go out and try to buy everyone saying that you basically have "unlimited and money and will do whatever it takes to get sabathia"...if it were up to me there would be a 150 mm salary cap so that the yankees would actually have to get some talent for themselves

0bsessions-

When your offense scores a hundred and some odd less runs then the year before, and your pitching staff actually pitched better then the year before, then the offense is to blame.

"And the Sox lost NINE games where Tim Wakefield gave up four or fewer runs and eight of those had him giving up three or less."

That's because they were missing Varitek's bat in the lineup.

Again, people are underestimating the Orioles in FA. There's a good chance Teixeira and Burnett will both be Orioles. They will make a bigger splash in FA than people really think because of the geographical preference of both Tex and AJ.

The O's will take advantage of players that actually want to play in Baltimore and can be a long-term solution.

Mike Lowell- 34 and coming off major hip surgery owed 2/24. Yea youre right they wont have to eat money if they trade him for a bag of range balls

Thank you for spelling out my joke, RSD.

"...understand this if the yankees want them the yankees get them you cant win a bidding war against the yankees cause money is of absolutley no issue whatsoever."

"They can afford what they chose to afford."

...and you wonder why people hate Yankees fans! You actually think that's a GOOD thing. I like THAT team; the one that tries to BUY their championships. Ugh. Where's the fun in rooting for an organization like that? Sure, they'll win, but at what cost? You have no connection to the players and the business side of baseball begins to bleed onto the field. Awesome. The Yanks are the baseball equivalent of Walmart. As an O's fan, I have to find my pleasures wherever I can and NOTHING has brought me more pleasure over the past several years than watching the Evil Empire slowly crumble. Here's hoping you get everything you ask for...and that it blows up in your faces.

I don't wonder why people hate Yankee fans at all. Im glad Im hated, I LIKE being hated. People don't hate losers, they hate teams that win all the time.and THAT is what I care about.
I don't care if the Yanks spend a BILLION dollars. They are playing by the rules. The rules that have them paying YOUR team. The rules that every single owner BUT George Steinbrenner voted yes on. Maybe teams should stop pocketing their profits and put them back into their team. I wouldn't mind a salary cap, as long as there was a salary floor to go with it. There are teams out there whos entire payroll is lower than the amount of money they get from revenue sharing. Force them to spend more if youre gonna force the Yanks to spend less. Until there is a cap, the Yankees are doing what they are allowed to do. If people don't think a good portion of the other teams and owners love what the Yanks do, then they have a lot to learn about the business side of baseball.

As an O's fan, I have to find my pleasures wherever I can and NOTHING has brought me more pleasure over the past several years than watching the Evil Empire slowly crumble.

That is so unbeleivably pathetic. Maybe if peter angelos pried open that big wallet of his you could have had a few better teams to root for since 83. Although I guess if my team made about 150 mil a year and payroll was only 68 mil id be bitchy too.

Can we at least get an ignore button? RSD's comments make me want to puke.

You are completely off on Lowell. Major hip surgery - yea, it was. Lowell is going to be a 35 yr. old 3B who has never hit well outside of a park that didn't have a wall in left. The Twins won't be giving up anything great for him, if they even want the guy.

Good job on the list Tim. I disagree with some players such as the Nats with Dunn and the O's with Burnett, but good job overall.

Too all the Red Sox fans crying;

Your team came 1 game away from the WS, and that was without Mike Lowell, last years WS MVP. All of a sudden, you guys say "SIGN SHEETS, SIGN TEX!!!"

...yea, the Yankees by championships. Don't give me that crap no one on the Yankees is homegrown, starting homegrown players this season - Posada, Cano, Jeter, Wang, Chamberlain, Rivera...add in the CF hole, everyteam needs to add players, every GM has a ton of money - the Yankees just have GMs more willing to spend. Get over yourselves.

Um, Wong, if you're team had ever won, or had good investors, or good GMs over the years, you would have a high payroll team now. The Red Sox will probably be a 150$ mil. team in the season, Yankees at 180...why? Because the fans come to their games. They come to the games because the team wins. Don't whine because the other team doesn't get enough fans in the seats, etc.

beng4l-

I was quoting the person above me who is an orioles fan. Im a yankee fan myself and think its ridiculous that people admonish the yankees for actively spending money they earn to try and make the team better and competetive enough to win a WS every year. I was pointing out as an example that the orioles gross about 150 million dollars a year and their payroll is about 68. Where does the other 90 million go? Right into the owners pocket.

2 world series in 5 years is not a dynasty.

Turnthe2, let's look at this:

Torii Hunter got 5 yrs. 18 mil per from the ANGELS

Gary Mathews Jr. is getting 42 mil over the next 4 yrs. from the ANGELS

Carlos Silva is getting 12 mil a yr. for 4 yrs from the MARINERS

Barry Zito is getting 109 mil over the next 6 yrs. from the GIANTS

Jose Guillen is getting 12 mil. per for 3 yrs from the ROYALS

Todd Helton will make over 55 mil over the next 4 yrs from the ROCKIES

Vernon Wells is making nearly 18 mil per the next 5 yrs. from the JAYS

It isn't just the Yankees. Every team is blowing out the bank to keep their best players, simple as that. Some of them are certainly bad, but you see how bad the Market is now - that is why the Yankees are upping payroll so much, they need it if they want to sign someone with as good of a performance as CC has the last two season.

RSD,

You continue to prove why you shouldn't have a right to post on this board. I try to debate points with other people. You simply whine, hoping people will agree with your biased opinions.

Wong,

Ah, my mistake. Good post then.

Hahahah rsd you truly bring nothing to the table except really bad insults that you clearly think are genius. Too funny, keep up the good work.

My bad I kinda skimmed through it.

Moose should come back though.

Tommy... Tim has a job. That's why you're on this site. Great feedback there though. Really constructive. Sheets is a gamble, but if the Braves bring in Ibanez, land Peavy, and sign Sheets... that gamble could make legitimate World Series contenders soon.

Do all Red Sox/Yankee fans just completely rule out the Angels as re-signing Teixeira? The whole "we're going to sign every huge free agent!!" mentality is always good for kicks I suppose though. If Tex is smart, he'll stay in LA. Less pressure, nicer weather, and a younger team that's going to be better for a long time.

But hey, Tex makes perfect sense for the Red Sox because the Twins will just welcome Mike Lowell for $24MM with open arms, despite his age and injuries this season. Those small and middle market teams will gladly take your garbage, because in a perfect world, everything works out for the East Coast teams. Hey, maybe Minnesota will even do something nice and give you Kevin Slowey or Scott Baker for Lowell! Yeah! There's some Beantown Logic...

(Apologies in advance to Red Sox/Yankee fans who don't have their heads up their asses, I realize you're out there, it just unfortunately seems that you're too few and far between at times)

MorneauVP,

There are only 2 teams in the MLB - BOS and NYY. The other 28 are there to feed them their best prospects in exchange for their injured, overpaid underperformers. I also heard there's this place called the National League, though Hank wants to abolish it.

I could see Jason Giambi to the Diamondbacks. They need power, shift CoJack to LF, do something with Byrnes, and trade Tracy.

He'd come cheap, and DBacks can easily get back in playoffs with quality power bat.

Only problem is Byrnes. Eric Byrnes.

MorneauVP,

If you were paying attention at all most Sox fans here were realizing the difficulty in trading Mike Lowell.

Everyone except for RSD, thought that the Sox would have to put up most if not all of Lowell's remaining salary.

Did anyone except RSD mention that we were going to acquire a top prospect? Or Slowey or Baker, for that matter? No.

I do believe the Angels will resign Teixeira. I know that the Sox and Yanks will be aggressive in their attempts to lure him, though.

Maybe if Pohlad would actually spend some cash on his team then the Twins could afford to sign some of their big name free agents and not let them walk out the door.

the twins just signed mauer, morneau, nathan, and cuddyer to contracts. they didn't resign torii hunter because he is in the downturn in his career and he's not worth 18 million dollars a year, especially on a team with a 60/70 million dollar payroll. Santana was traded because he was a diminishing AL pitcher, just look at the stats. He is much better in the NL and once again, wouldn't have been worth the money for the midmarket twins. The twins should be commended for what they do as a mid-market team, they've won 4 divsion titles since 02 and have been in contention 6 of the last 7 years.

"The twins should be commended for what they do as a mid-market team, they've won 4 divsion titles since 02 and have been in contention 6 of the last 7 years."

Agreed. It's not like the Twins are the Pirates. They're in contention, although they haven't been to an ALCS since 2002. If you can get it done with a low payroll, go for it.

I want to see one of Slowey or Baker locked up though. Pitching is getting expensive, and both those guys look solid. :-D

MorneauVP, I would like to point out that while Hank may want to abolish the NL, Theo & Co. may not want to as they love sweeping them in the WS.

minnesotatwins,

Admit it. You could have had a vastly superior package of Jon Lester, Justin Masterson and Jed Lowrie from the Red Sox.

Twins got screwed on that deal with the Mets because they overplayed their hand. No denying that.

More like Johan forced our hand. I will admit that package is better than what we got, but that was not available when we asked for best offers and you must count the advantage of having Johan in the NL. It was a rookie GM in Bill Smith that made about a C- trade. and RSD Neshek is a key part to our bullpen and a huge reason we struggled last year. If you think we will even consider more than a B level prospect for Lowell with the sox eating 1/2 to 2/3 of his salaries you are on something.

Texiera is going to resign with the Angels, no doubt. Lowell is so overated its unbelievable. If he didnt have the wall in Fenway he would be garbage.

Now people are going to complain about the Yankees left field porch. Let me hear it.

"Lowell is so overated its unbelievable"

oh god; kettle, pot, black, etc.

Den Orath,

Thats exactly what I'm talking about. You guys overplayed your hand, when the Sox called they said take it or leave it and you won't get this offer again.

That's where the Twins screwed up, they tried to make this a very long process, and it was.

Instead, you guys get Deolis Guerra (of course with the rest of junk).

I never could understand that, why take a 19 year old single A pitcher when you could have players ready to go.

The Jacoby package would be looking good now too.

Beyond me.

Tim,

I just wanted to say that you did a great job with this. It's easy for everyone to try and pick apart your list like they are all experts when they know nothing. Even someone as experienced as Buster Olney or someone like that would have a hard time trying to perdict these things. Keep up the good work.

Soxcurse, the Twins know they got screwed in the deal and the packages the Sox and Yanks were offering were much better. The only reason they didn't take those offers is because they wanted him in the NL so the only time they'd face him is in the WS.

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