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4:07pm: Jack Curry of the New York Times weighs in. He can see the Mets bumping their offer to $39MM for three years, but agrees that they won't add a fourth year (despite four-year deals given to inferior pitchers in recent times).
8:43am: MetsBlog's Matthew Cerrone says a Derek Lowe signing is "feeling inevitable" for the New York National League club. They'll have to up their three-year, $36MM offer; Cerrone sees the Mets as unlikely to guarantee a fourth year or reach $15MM per.
According to John Harper of the New York Daily News, Lowe told a friend that the Red Sox never showed serious interest. Harper thinks the Mets' limit is three years and $40MM.
The Mets' competition for Lowe is unclear. The Phillies, Yankees, and Red Sox don't seem interested. Still, if Lowe is coming at a discount you have to wonder if the Braves, Indians, Rangers, Brewers, and Cubs will get involved (entirely speculation).
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Well to the speculation that the Braves would get in on Lowe, I haven't heard a single rumor saying that the Braves have interest in him. So two things could be happing from the Braves perspective, 1)The Braves are interested but keeping it much more quite because of how open they were with the Furcal and Burnett sagas. 2) They're really not interested in Lowe and don't want to get into a bidding war with the Mets. Maybe they're waiting til Lowe signs and can get a better deal a secondary option.
Posted by: BravoMan | December 31, 2008 at 08:57 AM
If the Braves want to have a shot at the playoffs this year, then they need to get involved in this bidding. 3 year 45 mil should get this done. Lowe may not be as filthy as Burnett but over the next 3 years Ill take Lowe over Burnett all day...
Posted by: bennie2323 | December 31, 2008 at 09:00 AM
I wonder why the Red Sox didn't show any interest on Lowe. Maybe because his agent is a loser? Maybe because the Red Sox is afraid that if they get involved Boras is going to go to the Yankees and tell them that the Red Sox is interested to drive his price up?
Posted by: terry180 | December 31, 2008 at 09:06 AM
The Braves aren't interested in dealing with Boras, that much is pretty clear.
As for your list Tim, none of those other then the Braves really fit the "East Coast" preference that Lowe has indicated he has. They would really have to go above and beyond the Mets offer to be able to convince him otherwise (Sorta like the Yankees w/ Sabathia).
Posted by: AdropOFvenom | December 31, 2008 at 09:06 AM
I heard the Braves were not interested in Lowe so there is there is almost no competion and excuse for the Mets to not get Lowe
Posted by: Jon | December 31, 2008 at 09:07 AM
I agree about the 3 yrs $45 mil. It's a competitive offer. Then if you lose on the biddng then just move on to Sheets or Kawakami. I don't see the harm in at least giving Lowe an offer.
Posted by: BravoMan | December 31, 2008 at 09:08 AM
Terry, I think the Red Sox lack of interest has more to do with the personell already on their roster. Not exactly much of a need with a 1-2-3 of Beckett, Lester and Dice-K. I also think they are unlikely to want to invest in a long-term deal for a Pitcher when they have Buchholz, Masterson, Bowden not far away from the Majors for those last couple spots.
Posted by: AdropOFvenom | December 31, 2008 at 09:08 AM
Yea I don't think the Red Sox want to put up with Boras' crap after the Tex saga, so I don't see them getting in this. I don't see the Yankees getting in it either. The Yankees 5th starter will be Pettitte or Hughes.
Posted by: BravoMan | December 31, 2008 at 09:11 AM
Lowe's been quoted directly talking about an East Coast preference?
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | December 31, 2008 at 09:12 AM
I wonder if the whole Texeira situation with BOS will cost Boras' other clients (Lowe, Varitek) a chance to sign with BOS.
Posted by: sp_da_man | December 31, 2008 at 09:12 AM
Lowe should not have burned his bridges in Los Angeles. The Dodgers need him and he could get a better deal with them he would take his house of the market and stick out there...
Posted by: MikeClarke | December 31, 2008 at 09:19 AM
The Red Sox can't rely on Buchholz because he was a disaster in 2008. Masterson is better fit for the bullpen and Bowden is inexperienced. As of now they only have four pitchers in the rotation. I'm not sure Penny is going to do well in the AL. I think its a good idea to look for another starter. I think after the fiasco with Tex the Red Sox are not going to be comfortable dealing with Boras in the future.
Posted by: terry180 | December 31, 2008 at 09:20 AM
"Lowe's been quoted directly talking about an East Coast preference?
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | December 31, 2008 at 09:12 AM"
Lowe hasn't said it directly, but (At least) a half-dozen different reports have pegged Lowe for having a preference for a Contender on the East Coast. The Mets are the only team that really fits that description that seems to be interested. Yankees brought in Sabathia and Burnett, Red Sox brought in Penny and have had limited at best interest in Lowe, Phillies kept Moyer and brought in Park, and seem to be spent pretty much right up to their budget, Braves don't seem interested in dealing with Boras. Rays seem much more likely to pursue a bat, ect.
"The Red Sox can't rely on Buchholz because he was a disaster in 2008. Masterson is better fit for the bullpen and Bowden is inexperienced. As of now they only have four pitchers in the rotation. I'm not sure Penny is going to do well in the AL. I think its a good idea to look for another starter. I think after the fiasco with Tex the Red Sox are not going to be comfortable dealing with Boras in the future."
Beckett, Lester, Dice-K, Wakefield, Penny/Buchholz/Bowden is a very good rotation as is. If they were to pursue anybody, I think it would be, again, on a short term deal as to not block their young pitching. For my money, I would have pursued Sheets over Penny, but to each his own.
Posted by: AdropOFvenom | December 31, 2008 at 09:28 AM
I don't see the Red Sox going for Lowe, given their young pitching and relative strength in their rotation. Beckett, Dice-K and Lester is arguably the best 1-2-3 punch (Lincecum-Johnson-Cain?) in baseball assuming that they are all healthy. They should save their money and use it to get another big time bat to replace Manny.
As an aside, I really hate Metsblog. It is so painfully obvious that Matt Cerrone is a thief. He must simply come on this site two or three times a day and then reposts whatever news Tim and Co. gather. I read both sites all the time and can't remember the last time Cerrone had something before it was on MLBTR. In addition, Cerrone's analysis of a players skills typically cite things like BA, RBI, Wins, and grittiness. On top of all that, you get his arrogant posts saying things like "I was among the first to report that Lowe was going to only get three years" on all of his posts, when it is painfully obvious that that is the case. He doesn't report anything, he simply steals actual work from MLBTR.
Posted by: WrightReyes57 | December 31, 2008 at 09:29 AM
I seem to be experiencing Deja-vu, Mets, watch out for the inevitable Boras shyster move.
Posted by: Gosser128 | December 31, 2008 at 09:30 AM
"I wonder if the whole Texeira situation with BOS will cost Boras' other clients (Lowe, Varitek) a chance to sign with BOS."
Didn't the Yanks have the better bid? How can the Sox be upset with Boras for that?
Posted by: Nick-YF | December 31, 2008 at 09:34 AM
Matt Cerrone is a fool if he believes the signing of any Boras client is inevitable.
Posted by: Chris | December 31, 2008 at 09:36 AM
"Matt Cerrone is a fool if he believes the signing of any Boras client is inevitable."
Has there ever been a Boras client who didn't sign a contract?:)
Posted by: Nick-YF | December 31, 2008 at 09:41 AM
Buchholz will still be an ace, mark my words.
...or don't if he implodes in June. :)
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | December 31, 2008 at 09:41 AM
According to a friend who lives in Boston, the local news last night was reporting that the Marlins want Jacoby and Buchholz for Hanley. Is it insane to have not already taken that deal?
Posted by: WrightReyes57 | December 31, 2008 at 09:49 AM
damn, the philles better get interested...we would be a real force with him..add 10 w's with that inning eater.spend money cheap asses. the economy isnt going to stop phils fans from spending too much of their income to get tickets..its philly!
Posted by: huey | December 31, 2008 at 09:54 AM
i really hate the yanks so i hope boston gets hanley..couldnt imagine that guy motivated on a good club..scary numbers.
Posted by: huey | December 31, 2008 at 09:55 AM
"I wonder if the whole Texeira situation with BOS will cost Boras' other clients (Lowe, Varitek) a chance to sign with BOS."
I hope so. I actually think the Red Sox have a great opportunity to make Boras look like a fool and I hope they do. They should offer Varitek a 1 year- 4 million dollar take it or leave it contract. I imagine that it would be the best offer he gets, and it is a drastic cut from the 10 mil that Boras foolishly rejected in arbitration.
Posted by: themfightnwords | December 31, 2008 at 09:55 AM
Also...
I would love to see the Mets add Dunn or Abreu, with preference to Dunn. Dunn can fill in one of the OF slots this season, and come out late in games for Reed who should provide better defense. When Delgado is gone next year and there doesn't project to be any prototypical power firstbasemen on the market, Dunn can move over to 1B.
Given that the price of these guys should be very reasonable, the Mets would be insane to not pick up an additional bat. Of course they could just sign Manny and I would be a very happy camper.
Posted by: WrightReyes57 | December 31, 2008 at 09:56 AM
According to a friend who lives in Boston, the local news last night was reporting that the Marlins want Jacoby and Buchholz for Hanley. Is it insane to have not already taken that deal?
you're right dude, if this is in fact the case, it is insance that the Red Sox haven't jumped on it.
Posted by: Gosser128 | December 31, 2008 at 09:57 AM
Last year with Sox Lowe was demoted to bullpen, yes. I wonder what the Dodgers did to make him so valuable now.
Posted by: Cyyoung | December 31, 2008 at 09:59 AM
Multiple people have mentioned the Teixeira situation as a reason Boston wouldn't want to work with Boras. But why? New York gave a better bid, and from all the reports I've seen if Boston had bid higher they could have had him instead. Why would they be bitter about that? It's not like Boras asked for a signed offer sheet and used it to make New York up their offer.
Posted by: Socrus | December 31, 2008 at 10:01 AM
Has there ever been a Boras client who didn't sign a contract?:)
Posted by: Nick-YF | December 31, 2008 at 09:41 AM
Haha!! Gotcha.
Let me rephrase. Matt Cerrone is a fool if he believes that the signing of a Scott Boras client to a specific team is inevitable.
Posted by: Chris | December 31, 2008 at 10:02 AM
The Braves werent interested when the price was 5 year 90 mil, a 3 year deal would def interest them Id think...
Posted by: bennie2323 | December 31, 2008 at 10:02 AM
I'm having trouble seeing the Cubs get in on Lowe. It's possible I guess but clearly they want a hitter. With all the corner outfielders available (more outfielders available than teams looking for them) they'll easily get one. Unless they've got more money to spend than we think or their ownership situation gets cleared up quick and the new owner approves it I think they'll be done after getting their hitter. Lowe would be interesting in Wrigley but it's a long shot at best.
Posted by: pageian | December 31, 2008 at 10:07 AM
Boras is a powerful agent, maybe if Lowe signs back in the AL, he will have a stipulation in his contract the team he faces that day, will have to take out the DH, and have pitcher hit. I remember last year with Sox he got bombed in Fenway, something like 10 runs in 3 innings, against Rangers.
Posted by: Cyyoung | December 31, 2008 at 10:12 AM
The reason for Boston not having serious interest in is because of the handful of off the field issues he had there. in addition to some of the "rumblings" around LA of the same, Lowe to Boston wasn't the great fit most thought it would be.
Posted by: aj7380 | December 31, 2008 at 10:14 AM
wrightreyes -
I find that VERY hard to believe. Ellsbury and Buchholz for Ramirez? Come on...Ellsbury is never going to be anything more than a decent outfielder, so the Marlins would basically be trading Hanley for Buchholz, someone they don't even need.
Posted by: m26555 | December 31, 2008 at 10:15 AM
"Last year with Sox Lowe was demoted to bullpen, yes. I wonder what the Dodgers did to make him so valuable now."
Played in the NL West.
Posted by: WrightReyes57 | December 31, 2008 at 10:20 AM
3 years for $36mm? Lowe is a decent pitcher but aging and now grossly overpaid. I guess the Mets are desperate for pitching.
Posted by: nycdodgerfan | December 31, 2008 at 10:22 AM
I'll believe Boston doesn't have serious interest in Lowe when he signs. At this point, Boston, the NYY, the Angels, a lot of teams should be kicking the tires if this is the highest offer.
Posted by: Nick-YF | December 31, 2008 at 10:22 AM
"wrightreyes -
I find that VERY hard to believe. Ellsbury and Buchholz for Ramirez? Come on...Ellsbury is never going to be anything more than a decent outfielder, so the Marlins would basically be trading Hanley for Buchholz, someone they don't even need.
Posted by: m26555 | December 31, 2008 at 10:15 AM"
Take it with a grain of salt, it was from the local news. Also, I didn't hear it myself, just what my friend told me. It does however seem to coincide with what Tim posted the other day.
Posted by: WrightReyes57 | December 31, 2008 at 10:22 AM
Boras usually gets what he wants for his players but sometimes you get a Kyle Loshe 2008 who slips through and gets a terrible contract. These are the players you have to try and get. My guess this year it will be Oliver Perez due to his inconsistency.
Boras is in a tight spot this year because there is only one suitor each for Manny and Lowe but if their prices fall enough I can see more mid market teams getting in on the bidding.
In an outfield and Pitching Market this deep it is hard to get the max amount of players for your players because there are many other options out there.
The Mets were in a perfect position for Krod and now in a great position for Lowe.
Posted by: tinski | December 31, 2008 at 10:23 AM
Have the Wilpons said they don't want to raise the payroll over a certain level for the Mets in 2009.
Posted by: tinski | December 31, 2008 at 10:26 AM
Sox were smart they would put Masterson in starting rotation. Almost mirror image of Lowe.
Posted by: Cyyoung | December 31, 2008 at 10:27 AM
Buccos are secretly going after em....
Posted by: BuccoNation | December 31, 2008 at 11:12 AM
unless the braves have a trade almost worked out for a pitcher that noone has heard about then expect them to be interested in Lowe And do not expect to hear much about it - Wren is going to want to keep it as quiet as possible
Posted by: Z3R0 | December 31, 2008 at 11:20 AM
Frank wren needs some fire under his behin, because he has stupidly going after injury prone player that he knows he has no chance of signing when you are going up against teams like the yankees and the dodgers. He needs to come back and realize that he needs quality players for his teanm like lowe, and someone like bobby abreu, or dunn. Or get busy making a trade for swisher or nady preferably nady, because swisher average was worst than francouers average and we all know what kind of year he had.
Posted by: tmac2 | December 31, 2008 at 11:35 AM
if the mets really aren't going past 3 years and 40 million, frank wren needs to make an offer of 4 years and 52 million, with the willingness to go to 60. Accomplishes two things: keeps lowe from the mets and gives us our top of the rotation starter. Re-sign smoltz and the rotation is set.
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | December 31, 2008 at 12:09 PM
or if they really wanted to smack the mets in the face they would sign Lowe And perez and bring smoltz back for 1 more year - then trade vazquez next winter so he does not block hanson -
Posted by: Z3R0 | December 31, 2008 at 01:43 PM
To all those Braves fans out there who are pissed that the Braves aren't doing anything while the Cubs are attempting to reopen negotiations for Peavy and the Mets are close to landing Lowe, fear not. Frank Wren's been very open with the media with Furcal, Burnett, and Peavy and none worked out. Im pretty confident that Wren is coming up with a sneaky scheme right now. Im pretty sure that Johnny Schurloltz told him from now to deal his way and that way is silent but deadly lol. Happy New Year everyone:)
Posted by: BravoMan | December 31, 2008 at 02:53 PM
Cyyoung: "Last year with Sox Lowe was demoted to bullpen, yes. I wonder what the Dodgers did to make him so valuable now."
Sent him to AA?
Posted by: Little Bear | December 31, 2008 at 04:23 PM
With Hanley on the sox...they would be scary..
SP - Beckett
SP - Matsuzaka
SP - Lester
SP - Wakefield
SP - Penny
1. H. Ramirez
2. Pedroia
3. Ortiz
4. Youkilis
5. Bay
6. Lowell
7. Drew
8.
9. Varitek
and for a CF, they should package up Lugo(eat some salary) and package a prospect for a decent CF. I dont think they even need bucholz and ellsbury. Bucholz will be a pretty good top of the rotation pitcher and ellsbury can be a very good leadoff man, but to get the best shortstop in the game today who is signed wayy below market value...id take that trade in a heartbeat.
Posted by: kingfelix93 | December 31, 2008 at 04:30 PM
Take out Varitek and put in Bard there.
Posted by: Cyyoung | December 31, 2008 at 04:39 PM
"Last year with Sox Lowe was demoted to bullpen, yes. I wonder what the Dodgers did to make him so valuable now."
Lowe made himself more valuable by dropping his BB rate and increasing his K rate. Also, Lowe was never in the 'pen in 2004, other than in the ALDS.
"Played in the NL West."
Not particularly, seeing how Lowe gets murdered at Coors to the point that they restructured their rotation around games there. I will say, however, that playing at Dodger Stadium was a plus for him because he doesn't give up a lot of HRs (the one real way Chavez Ravine is a hitter's park) and because the stadium has the best infield in baseball.
"According to a friend who lives in Boston, the local news last night was reporting that the Marlins want Jacoby and Buchholz for Hanley. Is it insane to have not already taken that deal?"
If that is true, the Sox should take that deal every day and twice on Sundays.
"The reason for Boston not having serious interest in is because of the handful of off the field issues he had there. in addition to some of the "rumblings" around LA of the same, Lowe to Boston wasn't the great fit most thought it would be."
The "rumblings" you speak of were those that Lowe was porking Carolyn Hughes behind his wife's back, which was completely true. Lowe just married Hughes.
Posted by: AA | December 31, 2008 at 04:41 PM
"According to a friend who lives in Boston, the local news last night was reporting that the Marlins want Jacoby and Buchholz for Hanley. Is it insane to have not already taken that deal?"
No way you can get Hanley for Jacoby & Buchholz, you'd need to add Lars and/or Bowden just to start the conversation..
Posted by: kelmo | December 31, 2008 at 04:45 PM
"I remember last year with Sox he got bombed in Fenway, something like 10 runs in 3 innings, against Rangers."
And what game was that?
Posted by: vtadave | December 31, 2008 at 04:52 PM
BravoMan (2:53),
We can only hope. Because if FW doesn't have a deal or two in the works, 2009 is going to be a really lousy year.
Posted by: ink-stained scribe | December 31, 2008 at 05:46 PM
ink-stained scribe,
I hear yea my man and don't worry it'l work out. We've got money, prospects, and a market that's still full of talent.
Posted by: BravoMan | December 31, 2008 at 06:03 PM
"As an aside, I really hate Metsblog. It is so painfully obvious that Matt Cerrone is a thief. He must simply come on this site two or three times a day and then reposts whatever news Tim and Co. gather. I read both sites all the time and can't remember the last time Cerrone had something before it was on MLBTR. In addition, Cerrone's analysis of a players skills typically cite things like BA, RBI, Wins, and grittiness. On top of all that, you get his arrogant posts saying things like "I was among the first to report that Lowe was going to only get three years" on all of his posts, when it is painfully obvious that that is the case. He doesn't report anything, he simply steals actual work from MLBTR."
You are right on the money. Metsblog is garbage. Comparing Metsblog and MLBTR is like comparing the NY Times with People Magazine.
Posted by: nrmax88 | December 31, 2008 at 06:43 PM
Nrmax88 and WrightReyes are right on the money. Its amazing that people can take Metsblog seriously.
Why bother reading a site that essentially copies all its information from MLBTR and the 20/20 flashes from our local sports station WFAN. And to say that his analysis is worthless would be kind.
Posted by: Chris | December 31, 2008 at 06:56 PM
SP Johan Santana LHP
SP Mike Pelfry RHP
SP Derek Lowe RHP
SP John Maine RHP
SP Jon Niese LHP
Solid Rotation, all things considering... IMO
Posted by: Rolling{Night}Hawk{09} | December 31, 2008 at 07:35 PM
I've got to believe that the Braves will get in on Lowe, maybe because I've got not much else to believe in at this point! But I'd think that with the money they have to play with, they could overpay a bit or overextend a bit for Lowe, for two reasons: he's a solid front-end type of guy, and Frank Wren desperately needs to do something to restore hope in the fan base. I'd venture a guess at something like 4 years, $45 million range should at least get them close to a deal.
Posted by: MT Braves Fan | December 31, 2008 at 08:00 PM
If Lowe has to explore playing in the Mid West to get the deal he wants, why not just go back to the Dodgers?
Were things that bad in Los Angeles?
With Manny and Lowe for three years each, the Dodgers would have a legit shot for the next three years at winning...
Posted by: MikeClarke | December 31, 2008 at 08:04 PM
MT Braves Fan,
You're certainly right about Wren needing to restore hope to the fans. Everyone I've talked to wants something to happen very soon. Hopefully he's got something very good in store for The Braves fans.
Posted by: BravoMan | December 31, 2008 at 09:07 PM
"Were things that bad in Los Angeles?"
From the outside looking in, I see two issues Lowe may have had. 1) He just didn't like L.A. 2) He felt, justifiably, under-appreciated. The second one is easy to cure and I think the Dodgers went a ways toward doing that later last year. The first is hard to cure. Perhaps if the Dodgers convinced Greg Maddux to come on as a coach?
Posted by: AA | December 31, 2008 at 10:13 PM
im thinking Frank Wren is going to do some kind of deal just because he knows he has to to put butts in the seats.
i just feel as though with all of the stuff he has done that has gotten overly publicized he is being a little quieter and careful who he works with.
Towers told everything about the Jake Peavy, and it was said from the start that he was going after AJ. The Furcal thing was actually not found out about till it was "announced" the only reason that went sour is because other people announced it done when they found out about the term sheet then of course he signed with the dodgers.
just look at the Vazquez deal. no one knew about it and i have a feeling the next few deals he makes are gonna be the same way
Posted by: drumzalicious | January 01, 2009 at 01:05 AM