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Dunn Won't Cost A Draft Pick

The Diamondbacks' decision not to offer arbitration to Adam Dunn yesterday was an interesting development.  Now, the top home run hitter on the free agent market will not cost a draft pick to sign.  Ken Rosenthal says Dunn is sitting pretty, and should find increased interest.  He certainly makes more sense for the Nationals now, though they wouldn't want to go beyond two years.

Rosenthal says the D'Backs made a late run at signing Dunn to a two-year deal shortly before the arbitration deadline.  D'Backs GM Josh Byrnes said getting two draft picks for Dunn was a premise of the July trade, but since then "the poor economy has affected some things."  The Astros had a similar situation with Randy Wolf.  They chose not to offer arbitration to the Type B free agent, who earned $8.5MM this year.

The D'Backs expect the market for Orlando Hudson to be strong, and they were willing to accept the risk of offering arbitration to Brandon Lyon and Juan Cruz as well.


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Since 2004 (5 Seasons):
206 HR (leads MLB)
501 RBI (leads MLB)
.385 OBP

And he wont cost a draft pick...is 4yrs/60mil too much?

I think the Dbacks made the right decision here. With the economy the way it is, Dunn was a sunk cost. Risking debilitating your whole team to try for a couple of draft picks would have been foolish. They'll get picks for Hudson, Lyon and Cruz, which should be plenty for now.

tek costs a draft pick but not dunn, go figure

Ted although i like what you are saying i believe Ortiz, A Rod and Pujols have more HR's but that just goes to magnify your comment. There is also about ten above Dunn in Ribbies. Just sayin. sorry im a stat nut i guess

"Risking debilitating your whole team to try for a couple of draft picks would have been foolish."

Based on the assumption they wouldn't have immediately been able to trade him to another team...which they could have for a boatload of young talent. It's a moot point considering there was zero chance he would have accepted.

Although the money for next season would have been nice, I just didn't see Dunn accepting as he probably will get a long term deal; even if he had cost draft picks.

This goes to show how a bad contract (Eric Byrnes) can handcuff an organization at times.

I think if the D-backs weren't on the hook for Byrnes and $11 Million per season for the next two years they would have risked Dunn accepting arbitration.

Remember, Byrnes also has a No Trade Clause too; which makes him that much harder to move.

Last year, Byrnes made around $6 million and hit .200 playing only part of the season; now he gets a $5 million raise for 09. Ouch, that had to have something to do with it.

The D'backs figure offering arbitration to Dunn would be risky, but offering it to Lyon would not? Go figure.

Dunn will sign elsewhere, probably this week. Lyon should accept arbitration, he sux.

A - Remember though that Dunn is going to make a heck of a lot more money than Lyon. If Lyon accepts it's a minor cash outlay compared to if Dunn accepted.

Dunn is looking more and more attractive, defense be damned. If the Cubs could backload his contract enough to fit him into payroll for the next few years I would stick him in right field and then plant him at first when DLee's contract expires. Just a thought. That big of a left-handed bat would go a long way towards "fixing" the NL's best offense last year.... And if Peavy really is brought on board you're looking at one scary rotation as well. With the right moves and some creative payroll jockeying the Cubs could be a better team than they were in '08.

The difference between Dunn and Varitek...is the fact that the Sox would like Varitek back for just one year.

I would say if anything, this lowers the chances of the Nationals signing Dunn. The big market teams who did well last year's 1st round pick is now protected, whereas the Nationals 1st Round pick was protected already due to their rather poor record. This new wrinkle in regards to Dunn makes him much more valuable to those big market teams. Likely driving up the price on Dunn, and thus making the nationals pay more than they might have had to before.

On another note, this trade is a definite win for the Reds at this point...regardless of whether Owings and the crew do.

The only teams that really have the money for Dunn, that need an outfielder, are Yankees, Braves, Nationals, and maybe Mets.

I'd take Adam Dunn to bat #4 or #5 for the Mets in a heartbeat with the intention of having him take over for Carlos Delgado at first in 2010. This makes too much sense for the Mets, whether or not you'd have a block of power-hitting lefties there with Delgado and Dunn. You could easily put Carlos Beltran in the #2 spot, and then, if need be, you could trade another lefty in Ryan Church for starting pitching help.

Why should they go out and get another impact hitter to go along with Reyes, Wright, Delgado, and Beltran - just leave it alone with the belief that Fernando Tatis will bat over .300 again and Daniel Murphy will be a future Hall-of-Famer. This Omar Minaya is too much for me.

The Teej:

Ortiz:
200 HR

A-Rod:
208 HR (2 off)

Pujols:
205 HR

Dunn:
206 HR

Pretty exclusive company!

"The only teams that really have the money for Dunn, that need an outfielder, are Yankees, Braves, Nationals, and maybe Mets." - BravesRed

You forgot 1, the Angels. Dunn and Burrell would make up for not signing Teixeira, if it comes down to that.

The leads RBI statement was further off. ARod and Ortiz had more than a hundred more during that span.

RBIs since 2004:

Morneau: 507 (including a season with 74 games played)
Howard: 499 (including a season with 88 games played, and one with 19 games played)
Miguel Cabrera: 588
David Wright: 489 (including a season with 69 games played)
Pujols: 596
Delgado: 530
Beltran 522
ARod: 616
Aramis Ramirez: 526
Lance Berkman: 532
Bobby Abreu: 515
Carlos Lee: 548
David Ortiz: 630
Vladimir Guerrero: 566

and probably more...

"I think the Dbacks made the right decision here. With the economy the way it is, Dunn was a sunk cost. Risking debilitating your whole team to try for a couple of draft picks would have been foolish. They'll get picks for Hudson, Lyon and Cruz, which should be plenty for now."

No, foolish is declining to offer arbitration to a guy that all but certain to walk away, looking for a multi year deal. Even if Dunn were by some chance to accept arb, so what? If you really can't afford him, then trade him. Even if you move him for nothing but salary relief, you are no worse off then you are now. I love the D'Backs, and I love Josh Byrnes, but this one is a head scratcher.

"Based on the assumption they wouldn't have immediately been able to trade him to another team...which they could have for a boatload of young talent. It's a moot point considering there was zero chance he would have accepted."

Exactly. It makes no sense to me either.

"You forgot 1, the Angels. Dunn and Burrell would make up for not signing Teixeira, if it comes down to that."

Angels need a RF, not a LF, and if you look at Dunns numbers at RF, they are not impressive, and plus he hasn't played that many games at RF. Burrell has never played RF. So, that kind of leaves Angels out for Dunn and Burrell.

Either one of those guys can play 1st for LAA.

BravesRed,

Why do the Angels need a RF? Thats where Vlad plays. They need a LF to replace Garret Anderson and Juan Rivera. Dunn is the perfect fit for the Angels cuz they need a power lefty to put between Vlad and Hunter in the lineup.

RAWbert,

If I am correct, isn't Vlad the DH?

You are not correct. Vlad is the RF and DHs when they think he needs rest. GA was the DH most of the time.

"You are not correct. Vlad is the RF and DHs when they think he needs rest. GA was the DH most of the time."

What if Anderson doesn't re-sign? Where would that leave the Angels, especially with Vlad's knees? Vlad will most likely be the DH, if they don't re-sign Anderson or get someone else to DH.

Anderson won't resign, but the Angels have depth in the OF. Most likely Dunn would DH, Vlad would play RF, and Matthews or Willits will play LF. Then when Vlad needs rest he will DH, Willits or Matthews would shift to RF and Dunn would DH. Dunn is only an option if the Angels don't resign Tex. If the Angels sign Tex Kendry Morales will probably split DH time with Vlad and play LF.

i believe what ted williams was trying to say was Dunn is the only player in the last 6 years to have 40 or more home runs and at least 90 rbi.

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