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1:25pm: Sherman has more details on the Yankees' talks with Sabathia.
12:49pm: Rosenthal talked to a rival exec who sees no upside to Sabathia's opt-out clause. I think it could benefit the Yankees if Sabathia performs decently in the third year but the Yanks do not feel he'll be worth $92MM over the following four years. But, opt-out clauses obviously favor the player.
10:50am: For the first time, Brewers GM Doug Melvin confirmed he offered five years and slightly more than $100MM to Sabathia. Adding a sixth year was under serious consideration. Tom Haudricourt also learned from Melvin that Sabathia wanted an opt-out clause no matter where he signed, and the Brewers were prepared to offer one. Ken Rosenthal says the Brewers will not conduct a fire sale in the wake of Sabathia's departure; Melvin intends to "scramble for pitching."
10:14am: Tim Brown and Gordon Edes of Yahoo report that the deal is for $161MM over seven years (which would top Johan's average annual value).
The deal has an opt-out clause after the first three years, which are worth $69MM. The 31 year-old Sabathia will make his opt-out decision after the 2011 season with four years, $92MM remaining on the deal. He would have to buck the opt-out trend (or renegotiate) to make this more than a three-year, $69MM deal for the Yankees. That is not necessarily a bad thing for them.
8:07am: Ken Rosenthal is reporting that the deal is seven years for approximately $160MM - the fourth largest in MLB history. If that's the exact amount it's a hair under the average annual value of Johan Santana's deal.
7:53am: According to Joel Sherman of the New York Post, C.C. Sabathia has chosen to accept the Yankees offer after his latest meeting with Brian Cashman. The news first came in around 3:36am CST.
After three straight days of face-to-face meetings between GM Brian Cashman and Sabathia, the big lefty decided he wants to spend the next six years of his career as a Yankee. The decision came late last night after Cashman flew to see Sabathia at his home in San Francisco. By the time the meeting was concluded, Sabathia had informed the Yankees that he had made his decision to call New York his baseball home, the Post has learned.
Sherman says the deal is not finalized and that there are still "minor hurdles" to overcome. Sherman does not mention if the final offer was any different than the original six-year, $140MM offer or if the contract will require an opt-out clause as was previously speculated.
Cork Gaines writes for RaysIndex.com and can be reached here. Tim Dierkes also contributed to this post.
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Just glad this deal is over and done with.
Posted by: ballplaya | December 10, 2008 at 10:58 AM
"I think it's obvious that if CC get's hurt or is ineffective that he probably would want to high tail it out of town in 3 years anyway."
Um, sure. He turns into CC-the-Hutt and he'll just turn down $80M cause NY is just full of meanies.
Posted by: George Purcell | December 10, 2008 at 10:58 AM
George..
Why is it more likely he is hurt or sucks? Its a serious question..what have you seen from him that makes it "far more likely"?
Posted by: yankeegirl49 | December 10, 2008 at 10:59 AM
So if the Yankees were to sign CC initially to a 3 year/$69 mil deal people would have a problem w/ that?
NY, as we all know, is a uniqe place for reasons other than what happens between the lines. The Yanks understand that (see Randy Johnson, Rick Rhoden, etc). The Yanks only want players who can handle the heat and will be comfortable. This works well for both. If CC, and more importantly, CC's wife like it here and he continues to be the player he's been then maybe they stay, retructure, whatever. If he struggles or can't stand the heat, then the Yanks and CC shake hands and part ways. If in his 2nd year the deal's not working then, at minimum, you know there are 3 teams on the west coast that would love to have him, that he would love to go to and then Yanks could probably squeeze some good players from the deal. Plus the Yanks will continue to sign other pitchers and other prospects as well.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 10, 2008 at 11:01 AM
George Purcell,
Sabathia being hurt or sucky in the first 3 years is a possibility whether he has the opt-out clause or not. I don't see how this relates at all.
If there is no opt-out clause, he can still suck and be on the hook for all 7 years. But now there's a chance that he opts-out after 3 and bails the Yankees out of the last 4 years of the deal.
You still haven't explained why that's a bad thing.
Posted by: ajgdrums7814 | December 10, 2008 at 11:02 AM
Yankeesgirl, pitchers get hurt. Just a fact of life. MLB is littered with the careers of guys who looked good and then collapsed (cf. Bartolo Colon). Sabathia is even more prone to worry in this regards.
The most likely outcome for Sabathia is a couple of really good years and a troubling year.
Posted by: George Purcell | December 10, 2008 at 11:02 AM
soxmenace:
Nice way to blow money away on a left handed pitcher.....I remember barry zito was the cy young award winner and got signed to the giants and was never the same, HOPE THIS DON'T END THE SAME BUT WORTH HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS
________________________
Can you bring something better to the conversation? Barry Zito was washed up when he signed his FA deal and while he was a CY Young winner that was 5 years earlier when he was 24!! Even the Yanks passed on Zito. In fact they were never even considering signing Zito because it was obvious that he was on the down trend. His fastball was pushing 85-89 mph tops. And someone tell me please....who was bidding against the Giants that year?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 10, 2008 at 11:06 AM
AJG, it's heads-I-win-tails you lose.
Let's say that Sabathia is amazing for three years. Two Cy Youngs, World Series MVP, what have you. Baseball's economy is good and CC as a free agent is worth $25M a year.
If it was a true seven year deal then the Yankees are happy--they have a guy below market. (That, for example, is how the Manny deal worked out for the Sox). But CC's deal isn't that way--the Yankees will be forced either to pay the new market rate or let him walk to the Red Sox or Dodgers. Thus the heads-CC-wins.
On the other hand, CC becomes the suckmaster. The Yankees will never be rid of his contract--no matter how unhappy the Yankees are with him they are stuck with him. Period. Thus the tails-Cc-wins.
There is no positive aspect to the player option for the Yankees. None.
Posted by: George Purcell | December 10, 2008 at 11:07 AM
"If CC, and more importantly, CC's wife like it here and he continues to be the player he's been then maybe they stay, retructure, whatever. If he struggles or can't stand the heat, then the Yanks and CC shake hands and part ways."
Um, no. Cf. Carl Pavano, Kevin Brown.
Posted by: George Purcell | December 10, 2008 at 11:08 AM
This is interesting:
10:50am: For the first time, Brewers GM Doug Melvin confirmed he offered five years and slightly more than $100MM to Sabathia. Adding a sixth year was under serious consideration. Tom Haudricourt also learned from Melvin that Sabathia wanted an opt-out clause no matter where he signed, and the Brewers were prepared to offer one.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 10, 2008 at 11:08 AM
George..
I agree, pitchers do get hurt, but they can get hurt in year one (see Hughes, Phil) or they can get hurt..well, never (see Lowe, Derek). But the Yanks needed an ace and did what they needed to do to get the best one available.
I posted earlier..the best thing about having the Yankees cash flow is the ability to give guys a long term deal to reap the short term benefits. If her gives us 4 or 5 good years (his age says these years should be his prime), they wont have an issue with eating years 6 & 7.
Posted by: yankeegirl49 | December 10, 2008 at 11:09 AM
finally its over... now even though they have their ace, they really need to get someone to help the offense. we were hurt with injured pitchers but the offense slacked and hoping for a healthy posada/Matsui is a chance im not too fond of. They should try for someone under the radar, like a Dunn or if they would like, MAN-NY =]
Thoughts anyone?
Posted by: mRyAnkEe1231 | December 10, 2008 at 11:10 AM
Fenton,
So how many runs does character drive in? Exactly...all I know is all through the playoffs, as your piece of garbage team was winning, the team and the fans couldn't stop talking about the Mets. You guys have some inferiority complex, huh...Get over the Mets and worry about your own team.
Posted by: metzfan22 | December 10, 2008 at 11:11 AM
Geroge, what you fail to realize is that if Sabathia is great for the first 3 years and opts out, then his next buyer will have to give him another 6-7 year contract at $25 million a year.
Except now he's 31 years old, past his prime and ready to go on the decline (in ALL likelihood.) So now the Yankees just got Sabathia for a 3 year $69 million deal during 3 prime years of his career and then let him go somewhere else.
I don't lose in that scenario. I would much prefer to have 3 dominant years of Sabathia and then send him off to LA than to have 3 dominant years and then 4 mediocre years from him.
The second scenario is certainly possible, but that was a possibility NO MATTER WHAT. Even if there was no opt-out, the Yankees could have been stuck with a sucky Sabathia for 7-years. The opt-out clause doesn't alter that. It just gives the Yankees a chance that Sabathia leaves after 3 good years to seek a better contract or move to the west coast.
Posted by: ajgdrums7814 | December 10, 2008 at 11:11 AM
78, your argument makes no sense for one obvious reason. CC can choose to opt out but the yankees cannot opt him out. If he struggles then why is he going to opt out of an incredibly lucrative contract. Makes no sense. The opt out is bad for the yankees. All that really means is 3 years from now CC gets a raise if he continues to pitch well.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 10, 2008 at 11:12 AM
And Derek lowe 4 yrs 66M?? I hope that's just residual BS in case the Yanks couldn't sign Sabathia. I really hope they know they do not need both. Or the fact that when Hughes looks like a stud this year and the year is over and we're stuck with Lowe for another 3 years. And if Sabathia chokes this looks even worse. I guess on the bright side, wen Sabathia leaves after 3 years we'll still have Derek Lowe! and by then with all the deferred money he should be making about $17-18M.
2006 - 2008
42 - 33, 3.58ERA, 628IP, 609H, 48HR - .97H/IP .66K/IP, .25BB/IP, - 1.05WHIP, .254BAA
HOME
25-15, 2.95ERA, 320IP, 283H, 25HR, - .88H/IP, .70K/IP, .22BB/IP - 0.95WHIP, .235 BAA
AWAY
17-18, 4.24ERA, 308IP, 326H, 23HR - 1.06H/IP, .63K/IP, .29BB/IP, - 1.35WHIP, .273BAA
CAREER AT YANKEE STADIUM
3-5, 52IP, 68H, 20BB, 20K, 9HR, 6.02 ERA, 1.68 WHIP, 3.19 BAA
His park adjusted erw is 4.25. His career park adjusted era is 4.56
Na, he didn't benefit greatly from pitching in Dodger Stadium. Na, not at all. Two different pitchers home and away.
Let's also not forget that last year he had 70 AB facing a pitcher, and they hit .113 against him.
The #3 and #4 hitter averaged .266, 3.5hr, 15rbi.
Pitchers averaged .113, 0HR, 2RBI
When you spplant the production from a pitcher with that of a DH, you can expect his numbers to go up around 1 earned run (park adjusted ERA). Then factor in how pitching in Dodger Stadium helped elevate his overall performance and you have one over-priced Boras client that the Yankees are going to make another mistake on.
Posted by: Stat Man | December 10, 2008 at 11:17 AM
This is A-Rod part II.
In both cases, the Yanks signed the best talent available. There is no doubt that CC is a lights out pitcher. Great move from that perspective.
On the other hand, why don't people WANT to play for the Yanks? Granted we don't have all the details, but the published reports indicate that the Yanks paid about $50m more than the next closest bidder. Same exact thing they did with A-Rod.
If everyone is so excited to play in NY why are the Yanks constantly having to pay such a high tax to acquire players?
Posted by: bjsguess | December 10, 2008 at 11:18 AM
Still a lot of money for a guy who hasn't done well in the postseason. Especially 2007 against Boston.
Posted by: Gstill45 | December 10, 2008 at 11:19 AM
Sigh. There really is no point arguing with you about this, but let me try one last time.
By offering a seven year contract the Yankees are taking a considerable risk. Part of the compensation for that risk in a true seven-year contract is that they would receive below-market rates for Sabathia's performance in the ending years of his contract. The opt-out clause eliminates that possibility and thus the overall financial risk to the Yankees from the contract is increased significantly.
Could it work out in the Yankees favor in the end? Sure. But that isn't the way to bet.
Posted by: George Purcell | December 10, 2008 at 11:19 AM
Stat_Man
A DH does not raise an ERA one full run. Not even close.
Park factors, tougher division, etc might make some difference though.
Posted by: bjsguess | December 10, 2008 at 11:20 AM
George:
The post just said that CC wanted a 3 year opt out regardless of where he signed. If he has a great 3 year run with the Yanks and gives the Yanks what they need/want and then decides to leave then so be it. We got what we wanted for 3 years. If he wasn't going to sign with us w/o the opt out then what more is there to discuss?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 10, 2008 at 11:20 AM
Fire Sale for the Brewers!? Time to grab Prince Fielder Sabean!
Posted by: Joe505 | December 10, 2008 at 11:21 AM
I just heard on WEEI (the biggest sports radio station in Boston) that the Yanks are closing in on a 4 year deal with Derek Lowe. They were unsure on the $
Not sure how solid that is, so take it for what it's worth.
Posted by: Papelboner | December 10, 2008 at 11:26 AM
George,
You make a fair point about market rates, but that's only if you believe that they will continue to rise. I'm not entirely convinced of this. The market was huge in 2000, but then it calmed down. Now it has picked back up again. Do you think it will continue to rise to the point that average MLB starters are making $17 million a year? I think it's more likely that it calms back down as it did from 2003-2005.
Posted by: ajgdrums7814 | December 10, 2008 at 11:27 AM
Boston belongs to Me: Signing and bringing in a bunch of mega stars ALREADY DID NOT WORK. it's caled a clubhouse and we already had the Giuambi's and Pavano's and Sheffields and you know what, it didn't work.
We have two front line pitchers in Joba and Hughes. That;'s their projection by real baseball talen evaluaters.
I don't understand no one ever lieks my opinion, which is fine. But I'm the one who works for a ML team.
i'm sorry if this isn't fantasy baseball and there's an economy, a budget, a clash of egos and many other things to consider than say
oh yea sign burnett, sign lowe, hell lets sign k-rod now to a 7 yr deal that way when Mo is gone, we have the next best thing.
This is not MLB2K8. I understand this is a rumor site, but lets cut the crap that the yankees have a bottomless wallet and that free agency is always the answer to fill a hole.
Not to mention we have a plethora of power arms and a trade is not out of the question.
if we actually gave arbitration to Marte and let his weak ass go along with gimabi and Abreu, we could have actually gotten about 205 draft picks in compensation. instead you knew they were going to overpay for Sabathia. Everyone has been saying it and now everyones shocked. The Yankees were going to do every thing they could to get someone to compete with beckett and Shields and they have it.
The opt-out is just another way to cater to him and make him want to come here so he does not have to feel stuck here.
But let's see, we're 3 for 3 in opt-outs with only A-Rod reminaing with his team and we have yet to see Burnett. But JD Drew is now the template for opt-out clauses and their potential impacts.
Cano, melky and ian Kennedy are all available in the right package for the right player. So is Austin Jackson.
There's no need for Burnett or Lowe. At all.
Posted by: Stat Man | December 10, 2008 at 11:28 AM
78, there is a difference between the opt out being something they had to do and something good like you were claiming earlier. Usually when you have to do something it is not to your advantage.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 10, 2008 at 11:29 AM
''"A guy who averages 225 hits a season"
Mostly singles.
A LEAD OFF GUYS JOB IS TO GET ON BASE AND GET INTO SCORING POSITION. ICHIRO GETS ON BASE AN AVERAGE OF 273 TIMES IN A SEASON. IN THOSE 273 TIMES HE GETS INTO SCORING POSITION WITH OUT THE HELP OF ANY OTHER HITTER VIA XBH AND STEALS OF 2ND OVER 80 TIMES PER SEASON.DAMON GOT ON BASE LAST YEAR 221 TIMES AND MOVED HIMSELF INTO SCORING POSITION LESS THAN 60 TIMES.
"25 doubles"
That is not good. In fact, it is pretty horrible considering how many AB.
"8 triples"
Let's go sign Cristian Guzman!
"a .375 obp, 40sb with 9 cs"
Not bad.
375 OBP = DAMON LAST YEAR DAMON STOLE 29 WHILE BEING CAUGHT 8 TIMES ADVANTAGE ICHIRO
"110 runs, Ks less than 10%"
Not useful stats unless you want to talk about his BA, which you already do.
VERY USEFUL ACTUALLY BECAUSE DAMON STRUCK OUT (OR HAD NO CHANCE AT PUTTING THE BALL IN PLAY 20% OF THE TIME COMPARED TO ICHIROS 10%
"who is the best defensive outfielder in baseball with a great throwing arm"
He is not the best defensive OF in baseball by a longshot.
NME ANOTHER OUTFIELDER WHO IS AS GOOD AS ICHIRO AS AN ALL AROUND DEFENSIVE PLAYER. BELTRAN YES BUT THATS ABOUT IT
"is over rated at the same figure we paid Abreu last season."
Yes.
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | December 10, 2008 at 10:50 AM''
ALSO IM NOT SURE IF THROWING ARMS ARE THAT IMPORTANT TO YOU BUT I ONCE SAW CARL CRAWFORD SCORE ON A SACRAFICE FLY FROM SECOND BASE BECAUSE DAMONS ARM IS SO WEAK. THATS RIGHT SCORED FROM SECOND ON A SAC FLY
Posted by: paineinflicted | December 10, 2008 at 11:29 AM
I know there's an opt out clause but 7/160???
Seven years and one hundred and sixty million dollars.
Wow.
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | December 10, 2008 at 11:29 AM
The Brewers could not have had the next highest offer, right?
How do you go from 5/100~ to 7/160??
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | December 10, 2008 at 11:30 AM
bjsguess - no a DH does not. That's only one factor.
And by the way, the reason we have to overpay is because no one wants to play for the yankees anymore. It's as simple as that.
Irabu would only play for the yankees. I remember we had to trade someone just for his rights. Between the media, the fans 9aobviously players will remember the MVP season ARod had and stil got booed) the pressure to win and the money they subsequently make poses a tense relationship with fans and other possible players.
These are the yankees from the the old days, and these aren't even the Yankees of the 90s. No one wants to play for the Yankees anymore. Period.
Posted by: Stat Man | December 10, 2008 at 11:33 AM
I don't know what people don't understand.
He would have onl costed 20M but the Yankees knew that in order to balance his decision in his favor they had to add some weight tot he yankee side.
Thank iof it as a damns cale.
SoCal + 20M annual = happy.
NY + 140M does not = happy.
NY + 161M = happy.
And by the way, what other formal offers were even made? where did you think he would end up? The Giants couldnt afford a 6th yr, nor could the Brewers but they ponied up $100M. The guys talkin about SoCal, you really think then he wants to be in Milwaukee. Come on.
Posted by: Stat Man | December 10, 2008 at 11:35 AM
I think the mistake the yankees made was going to all these large contracts to begin with. It is not that no one wants to play for the yankees but its that no one wants to play for the yankees at a reasonable price. The yankees got a little trigger happy and now everyone the yankees want knows they have every right to demand a ton and they will get it.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 10, 2008 at 11:36 AM
walkoffblast:
Yes, the opt out clause favors the player but why does it matter? If CC wanted the option, and according to GM Bob Melvin he wanted an opt out from the Brewers as well, then so be it. IT DOESN'T MAKE A DIFFERENCE. It's quite obvious that a player has a way of getting away from a team that he no longer wants to be a part of (see Man-NY). I know that CC isn't that kind of guy but no team wants to keep a player who is unhappy.
A) CC has 3 great years, opts out and either the Yanks have to re-negotiate or see him walk.
Yanks, in effect, signed CC to a 3 yr/69 mil deal and had an ace pitcher for 3 years.
B) He sucks and decides to opt out and leave NY.
Yanks, cut their losses and move on.
C) He sucks and decides to stay.
Well isn't that the same result than if there were no opt out clause?
So to sum it up CC wanted a opt out PERIOD from anybody. The only rish they have now vs if they didn't give him an opt out is that after 3 years he can leave and the Yanks can take their 92 mil and apply it elsewhere.
What is the downside here people?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 10, 2008 at 11:38 AM
If Santana's 7th year is exercised, his whole contract would be worth $162.5 million.
If Santana's 7th year is declined, with the buy-out, his contract is essentially 6 years/$143 million. That's an average annual value of $23.83 million.
Sabathia's contract has an AAV of $23 million.
Posted by: xaseq | December 10, 2008 at 11:39 AM
^^^
That is very true. If the next best offer on the table was 5/100 and he signed for 7/160, it bodes well for other FA's.
I understand he wanted to play on the west coast but 2 years and 60 million dollars? It's a good signing, no doubt about that, but some shaky negotiating.
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | December 10, 2008 at 11:39 AM
YanksFan
How dare you try to use logic here! :)
Posted by: yankeegirl49 | December 10, 2008 at 11:41 AM
"There is no positive aspect to the player option for the Yankees. None."
CC's prime is spent in NY, they are not stuck paying ridiculous money for his decline.
If someone asked me do I want to pay a CY Young award winner 3 years 69 million, and then watch him leave at the start of his decline I'd be all over that in half a heartbeat.
Posted by: ArodSucksAtLife | December 10, 2008 at 11:42 AM
Has any PR announcement or anything come from the horses mouth as in CC? Have the Yankees came out and said "We got him." It really seems weird that everybody can confirm this except the two people involved...
Posted by: Joe505 | December 10, 2008 at 11:44 AM
You people are riduclous. Is there anyone here that feels that CC would've signed for less than Zito or Santana? Either you're being naive or you don't understand the business of baseball.
I'll call my shot. Tex will not sign for less than what Man-NY signed for with Boston which was 8/160.
The only reason why Peavy signed w/ the padres for what he signed for was becuase he wasn't on the open market. Webb, Beckett, etc wille clipse what Sabathia signed for if they continue to win Cy Young awards and 18+ win seasons.
Sabathia wanting to play in Cali DOES NOT = Sabathia did not want to play in NY but rather Sabathia didn't want to play ANYWHERE OTHER THAN CALIFORNIA. It was obvious that the other Cali teams, for various reasons, couldn't afford him (Giants because of Zito), Dodgers (too many holes and not enough cash) or the ANgels (pitching not a need and focused on Tex). Cashman wanted to secure his needs immediately and probably said, "If I added an extra year can we get this done"? I have no problem with that. If you know what you want and you know what you're willing to pay, then why play agmes?
And for the record can someone please tell me one player that the Yanks wanted, went after and shunned us to sign elsewhere for the same or less money?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 10, 2008 at 11:51 AM
xaseq wrote:
If Santana's 7th year is exercised, his whole contract would be worth $162.5 million.
If Santana's 7th year is declined, with the buy-out, his contract is essentially 6 years/$143 million. That's an average annual value of $23.83 million.
Sabathia's contract has an AAV of $23 million.
________________
What are you talking about? The opt out comes after his 3rd year so if he decides to use it and walk then the deal is reduced to 3/69 mil which IS the $23 mil you were talking about but that's on pay with what Santana is making 6/135= $22.5 mil per
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 10, 2008 at 11:54 AM
Yanksfan
Stop getting so worked up, remember you're just a fan. We don't need these half page tirades every time you disagree with us.
The 3 year opt out could be bad or could be good, we don't know what life 3 years from now we'll be. If we're in a depression, which sadly is a legitimate threat, I'm not leaving 100 million dollars on the table nor do I think baseball teams will hand out that kind of cash.
Then again it could work out perfectly for NY.
Either way you just try calming down.
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | December 10, 2008 at 11:56 AM
This deal is 1 more year and 1 mil per year more than Santana's deal and the Mets had to give up 4 prospects, one of which is now viewed as one of the best young CF in the game, in addition to the money and yet you people are still bitching.....amazing.
Yanks can't please anyone....except their fans. oh well.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 10, 2008 at 12:00 PM
I agree with yanksFan78.
You also have to think, salaries are going to rise.
Look at Roy Oswalt. I remember he was the talk of the indsutry when he signed a 5yr 75M deal. I believe that was during a season or right before a season. That off-season, some pitcher signed a ridiculous deal. Right now, Oswalt is a steal if the yankees are about to pay Derek Lowe about the same thing.
Say Sabathia doesnt suck and doesnt get even more fat, if he does stay an ace for the next 4-5 years, he may not look as bad when Hanley Ramirez and Carl Crawford hit the market. Jake Peavy is now talking an extension if he gets traded. You don't think he'll want "Sabathia" money? Imean thisis history people. Same every year.
A few years ago the Mets raised the bar for the cost of a 3rd starter. They gave Benson that 3yr/ 21M deal. then what happened? jon liweber got 3 years 20M, Jaret wright got 3 yrs/20M I think Adam Eaton and others.
Yesm, the yankees bet against thesmself with Arod and that one really I did not get. no one was going to top 250 but whatever, not my money.
But this. We had to overpay to get him. And now that we did, we just raised the bar for the price of an ace. every ace now that is about to hit the market will get dollars close to, or more than, Sabathia. Felix Hernandez comes to mind, is Roy halladay locked up? next year we;re going to be talking about how could team X give Player Y a 7 year 175M deal.
If you continue this theory, theoretically, there's goign to be a time when a player will command 50M a season. I'm not saying we'll see it, but in theory...
Posted by: Stat Man | December 10, 2008 at 12:02 PM
"A LEAD OFF GUYS JOB IS TO GET ON BASE AND GET INTO SCORING POSITION. ICHIRO GETS ON BASE AN AVERAGE OF 273 TIMES IN A SEASON. IN THOSE 273 TIMES HE GETS INTO SCORING POSITION WITH OUT THE HELP OF ANY OTHER HITTER VIA XBH AND STEALS OF 2ND OVER 80 TIMES PER SEASON.DAMON GOT ON BASE LAST YEAR 221 TIMES AND MOVED HIMSELF INTO SCORING POSITION LESS THAN 60 TIMES. "
Why are we talking about Damon?
"375 OBP = DAMON LAST YEAR DAMON STOLE 29 WHILE BEING CAUGHT 8 TIMES ADVANTAGE ICHIRO"
I agree it's a good OBP. Still not sure why we're talking Damon. Yes, that SB/CS is pretty nice.
"VERY USEFUL ACTUALLY BECAUSE DAMON STRUCK OUT (OR HAD NO CHANCE AT PUTTING THE BALL IN PLAY 20% OF THE TIME COMPARED TO ICHIROS 10%"
Which only directly effects his batting average. Which is exactly what I said.
"NME ANOTHER OUTFIELDER WHO IS AS GOOD AS ICHIRO AS AN ALL AROUND DEFENSIVE PLAYER. BELTRAN YES BUT THATS ABOUT IT"
Carlos Gomez is better than both just off the top of my head.
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | December 10, 2008 at 12:05 PM
Kenan_Kel:
I'm cool dude. I'm sitting back sipping on a Mohito, closing deals on my blackberry as we speak (yeah I know it's early but it's happy hour somewhere right?). (cough, cough) Hold on a sec...(cough, cough) I need to open a window (cough, cough), It's just that the stench from the hypocrisy in this room is stifling (cough, cough). (window opens and in wafts the air of reason and sensibility). I'm good.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 10, 2008 at 12:06 PM
"NME ANOTHER OUTFIELDER WHO IS AS GOOD AS ICHIRO AS AN ALL AROUND DEFENSIVE PLAYER. BELTRAN YES BUT THATS ABOUT IT"
Nick Markakis?
Posted by: wickedwitch | December 10, 2008 at 12:07 PM
"B) He sucks and decides to opt out and leave NY."
Chance of occuring: 0.0%.
Actually, I don't think the PA would allow it even if Sabathia were so inclined.
Posted by: George Purcell | December 10, 2008 at 12:08 PM
And for the record can someone please tell me one player that the Yanks wanted, went after and shunned us to sign elsewhere for the same or less money?
-------------------------
If you want to get technical, if you include the last offer the Yankees made to Andy Pettitte before he went home to Houston, the deal was larger than that of what he signed with the Astros and did so because he was hurt when they signed Sheffield and handled him more personally than they did himself. i didn'tt blame him. Steinbrenners having dinner with Sheffield talking money and Pettitte's wondering if he's coming back. Shouldn't have worked that way. But there's an example.
No one has shunned us. But it's going to take more Yankee money to bring in a person.
We dropped the ball on Beltran. beltran would have taken less money to play for the Yankees.
That's not going to happen anymore, unless it's related to dollars.
From now on, you'll see players come to the Yankees if and only if they outbid someone.
If the price is the same, and the player has a relationship with a coach or prefers a geographic region, the yanks are out of luck.
Posted by: Stat Man | December 10, 2008 at 12:09 PM
"And for the record can someone please tell me one player that the Yanks wanted, went after and shunned us to sign elsewhere for the same or less money?"
Didn't Andy Pettitte do that for his first gig in Houston? I could have sworn he left money on the table to go to Houston. I may be wrong though.
Here's something I thought was really odd. Someone earlier said the Yankees should go sign AJ, Lowe and Sheets and everybody mocked him.
Can someone honestly explain to me why they couldn't or wouldn't?
I grabbed a bunch of the current salaries, and assumed the following for those 4 new guys:
CC ~ 23.5M average
AJ + Lowe + Sheets ~ 50M total average.
If you add that 73.5M per year to the existing Yankee rosters (minus excpected arb bonuses and such), the Yankee payroll before luxury tax only goes up about 20M.
I calculated it at around $228M for all four of those additions, when they spent about $208M last year.
To me, this says there is NO way they are out of the Tex market. Would the Yankees really bat an eyelash at increasing last year's payroll by about $20M?
Yankee fans may not want them to do that, and rather focus on reducing payroll and overspending only in cases like this--where you nail down the #1 available free agent, and while I agree with that philosophy, I don't see them as being unable to go nuts in the FA market right now if they felt like it.
I thought the idea was quite interesting. To me, I'd definitely think there's no way they would completely be out of the running for anyone until ink is dry with another team.
So my question, Yankee fans:
"How would YOU feel if the Yankees did do something like this, and signed 4 of the 5 of CC, Tex, AJ, Lowe, and Sheets knowing it'd only increase the 2009 payroll by about $30M over the $208M they spent in 2008?"
Posted by: SaberGuy | December 10, 2008 at 12:10 PM
Salaries are going to rise and so will sabathias in 3 years. Possible scenario. Sabathia puts up pretty good numbers the next three years but has some iffy games against boston and in playoffs. He opts out and management talks tough but then ups his pay and years and sells it as he wants to be a yankee and chase 300 wins.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 10, 2008 at 12:10 PM
The Yankees want to cut payroll, not increase it. They will certainly not increase it by $20 million.
Believe it or not, the Yankees do have some budget limitations.
I can see them possibly signing Sabathia, Lowe and Sheets, but that's it. Teix won't be a Yankee, although I'd love it if he were.
Posted by: ajgdrums7814 | December 10, 2008 at 12:17 PM
Even if he opts out after 3 or 4 years, anybody who knows alot abt the yankees farm system will know that Brackman and Betances will be ready for the majors by then.
Posted by: Casanova Wong | December 10, 2008 at 12:22 PM
In theory the opt-out hurts the Yankees because the player is the only one with the option.
But #1 - if he would sign at $69/3 years, at least a third of the teams in baseball would jump at that deal.
#2 - if he performs so well that the wants to opt-out because he think he'll get more than $92M/4, then the Yankees got way more than their money's worth for the first 3 years.
#3 - if he dislikes NY so much that he wants to opt-out, then we wouldn't want him anyway.
So no, the opt-out clause really doesn't hurt at all. It COULD help, if he overestimates his market value in 2011, though this is unlikely.
Posted by: bobo | December 10, 2008 at 12:24 PM
"The Yankees want to cut payroll, not increase it. They will certainly not increase it by $20 million.
Believe it or not, the Yankees do have some budget limitations."
But we've never seen budget limitations before from the Yankees. They've routinely handed out large "loyalty" contracts to guys like Posada and Bernie Williams that are more expensive than market value. The contracts coming off the books are just being replaced by additions right now. Most likely, they'll still sit in the 180-200 range.
Would a 10% increase in payroll for a couple years really bother the Yankees if it meant steamrolling everyone this year?
http://mlbcontracts.blogspot.com/2005/01/new-york-yankees_111398168678860040.html
They've hung around 180-200M for 4 years. What's an extra $30M to dominate the entire season?
It's pretty obvious I'm just playing devil's advocate here, but think about it: they are not an $80M payroll team looking to double the payroll. 4 of the top 5 free agents would only be a 10% increase for them.
Posted by: SaberGuy | December 10, 2008 at 12:25 PM
How do you get more than your moneys worth on 23 million a year for a pitcher?
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 10, 2008 at 12:26 PM
How do you get more than your moneys worth on 23 million a year for a pitcher?
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 10, 2008 at 12:26 PM
If he pitches so well that his value after 3 years is more than this current contract. If the market keeps rising, this is very possible.
Posted by: ajgdrums7814 | December 10, 2008 at 12:28 PM
Because if he pitched so well that at age 30 he could sign another big contract then he probably pitched his ass off for those 3 years.
Posted by: Casanova Wong | December 10, 2008 at 12:28 PM
If Sabathia can get more than $23M a year after 2011, when some age-related decline is expected, then he is worth more than $23M a year, and was worth more than $23M a year from 2009-2011. Thus the Yankees, since they are paying $23M a year, would be getting more than their money's worth.
Posted by: bobo | December 10, 2008 at 12:30 PM
SaberGuy,
I hope you like knives because if you looked at the numbers you would know why.
I know someone will try and rip me for this but lets make general statements right now:
Lowe: I posted way back lowe's splits the last 4 years. The yankees dont have as good as an offense as the Dodgers, and a lot more runs are produced in their stadium, not to mention a DH. the numbers were already posted for Lowe, go look at them. $17M for a thirs starter,
Burnett; the guys has been in the leagues almost 10 years. He's played 2 full seasons and won 18 games once. Sure, live arm, had a bunch of hype around him all the time but he's soft. He's a glorified pavano. Remember Pavano? That's why.
And what;s wrong with cutting some payroll? We have two great pitchers in joba and Hughes (Joba has only been in the bullpen on the NY Yankees. never in his life was he ever NOT a starter so to say that's where he belongs is stupid. If pedro or ramdy Johnson in their prime came in and pitched one inning I'm sure they would have had sick dominant numbers too, but a)they're starters and best utilized throwing 200 innings and b)those guys that throw 100mph for one inning and expensable, as the Royals are showing us.
There's no reason we cant trot out a team with a 150M payroll and dominate.
There's no reason to sign these guys. this isnt fantasy baseball,this isnt Xbox. There's an economy, theres a budget, there are players and egos that dont get along....people ebfore you post, read through. All these bad statements have been poked through numerous times.
YOU DONT JUST SIGN EVERYONE AND ANYONE THIS IS OT A FANTASY LEAGUE.
By your logic, why dont the yankees dig up babe Ruth? Why dont the yankees make a Japanese team, andinstead of waiting for players to post, they can riad their own japanese team! Why don't they put the walls on retractable layers and when the away temam comes up, we can push back the fence 40 feet, why dont we control the wind so no one hits a home run.
to an intelligent baseball numbers person our claim of "why not sign everyone" sounds as ridiculous as what I just said.
And if you dont get it, then you just dont get it.
Posted by: Stat Man | December 10, 2008 at 12:32 PM
SaberGuy,
How many World Series' have we won with this spend all you want 150M+ payroll?
And how many teams not even picked to win have won since the last time the Yankees won. Diamondbacks, Angels, Rays got there, do you not see a changing landscape? Do you not understand industry trends? Obviously you dont and that's why you post comments on second rate rumor web sites and obviously don't have abusiness-oriented job, didn't go to college or play way too much xbox
That's why.
Posted by: Stat Man | December 10, 2008 at 12:35 PM
About 10 posts ago I talked about the salaries rising and how Sabathia can look like a steal. Used oswalt, benson as exmaples. Rather than regurgitating my idea/statement, why dont you make a comment about it or add to the discussion otherwise you're unwelcoming adding to the length of the topic and I'm tired of scrolling and reading comments that lack a basic understanding of the fundamentals of mgmt
Posted by: Stat Man | December 10, 2008 at 12:39 PM
What are you talking about? The opt out comes after his 3rd year so if he decides to use it and walk then the deal is reduced to 3/69 mil which IS the $23 mil you were talking about but that's on pay with what Santana is making 6/135= $22.5 mil per
*****************************
Santana is 6 year, $137.5 million WITH a option 7th year. The 7th year is $25 million (hence my $162.5 million figure). The buy-out on the 7th year is $5.5 million. So if the Mets don't wont Santana for a 7th year, they will have paid him $143 million for 6 seasons worth of work, $23.83 million AAV.
Posted by: xaseq | December 10, 2008 at 12:40 PM
bobo your logic is tragically flawed I will not even begin to teach you remedial kindgarten. suffice to say by your logic barry zito was worth more than his contract last year.
To others even if sabathia pitches his ass off (which is a hell of a lot of pitching I might add) it is pretty doubtful he exceeds 23 million dollars worth of production.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 10, 2008 at 12:41 PM
You know, I was tying to have a little fun with you all and everybody got defensive. I even clerarly pointe dout I was playing devil's advocate. Anyway...
Stat-Man,
Philosophically, I agree with you 100%, but I wasn't trying to point out what I think the Yankees should do, more of what they could still do and how it would affect the rest of the market.
What I am trying to point out is that there is NO reason for teams to sit on their laurels and think the Yankees are done shopping, even for Tex. Most of the "experts" like John Heyman are now saying Tex is a non-issue with the Yankees. I think as a rival GM, that would be a horrific comfort level to assume.
All I did is present an egregious case of over-spending which actually only increased the Yankee payroll by 10%. Most large market teams, even in this down economy, wouldn't have an issue jacking the payroll 10% if they thought that's what they needed to win a championship. I was just showing that same 10% increase is within the Yankees grasp.
Posted by: SaberGuy | December 10, 2008 at 12:44 PM
To the few of you on here that are actually capable of putting together articulate, thoughtful comments...good stuff.
Allow me to submit a question though...Yankees fans are saying that if CC pitches great for 3 years and then leaves for somewhere else that you will just cut your losses and look elsewhere. However, I have a hard time believing that the NY front office will really wash their hands of him. They have showed in the past that they are more than willing to persue older starting pitcher, so what makes you believe that they would be willing to part with Sabathia? I can certainly see them getting right back in the mix and paying more money than they had originally anticipated for his older seasons...but maybe that's just me. Would love to hear some other people's opinions.
Thanks in advance.
Posted by: Smoltz's Beard | December 10, 2008 at 12:48 PM
heres how the dominoes need to fall now:
burnett to bosox
salty + byrd/boggs/vallejo traded to bosox for buch
lowe to yanks
millwood traded to braves = salary room for the rangers
rangers sign sheets.
yes!
Posted by: tmoney352 | December 10, 2008 at 12:51 PM
Question: Can opt-out clauses be exercised by the team, or is it player only? I thought only the player could exercise the opt-out clause.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 10, 2008 at 12:54 PM
First of all, sweet handle smoltz's beard. I think the yanks set a precedent with arod where if a guy opts out to sign a bigger deal and they think he is worth it then they will retain him. As I mentioned before though alot depends on what the farm produces. We have two kids, who are likely to start the season in high-a who have ace written all over them. One is 6'8 the other is 6'11 both have 97+ fastballs and at least one really good offspeed pich with a developing third one. Realistically, one or both should be ready in three years time.It will probably give the yanks Fo something to think about when deciding to give a 30 yr old a long term contract knowing these two kids are lurking about.
Posted by: Casanova Wong | December 10, 2008 at 12:55 PM
Melonis- opt out clauses are exclusively used for players excercise only.
Posted by: Casanova Wong | December 10, 2008 at 12:56 PM
smoltz beard, that is what we have been trying to explain to them but apparently yankees fans are incapable of inferring the obvious.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 10, 2008 at 12:57 PM
I hope the Rays win the division next year by double digits...
Posted by: leftcoastbias | December 10, 2008 at 12:58 PM
Melonis Rex- I'm sure there is language stating that only CC can opt-out. Otherwise, it wouldn't make sense for CC to sign a contract that the Yanks could bail on after 3 years if he suffers a major injury.
Smoltz Beard- I think you're pretty much right on. What the Yanks fans are saying is if he decides NY isn't the place for him and wants to leave after 3 years, the Yanks can then reallocate those resources to other pitchers. But yes, they could definitely stay in the bidding and give CC more money to stay. I would imagine CC would forfeit his opt-out clause in exchange for an extension.
Posted by: Papelboner | December 10, 2008 at 12:58 PM
Smolt:
Plain and simple. If CC has 3 fantasic years and opts out then the Yanks might try to resign him and pay him what he's worth at that time, same as any other team. Also, if he decideds to opt out there might be other teams, especially the west coast teams that may have missed out our were not prepared, that might be competition later. But bottom line is, would CC have signed with us w/o the opt out clause. PLEASE keep in mind that according to Brew's GM Bob Melvin, CC wanted an opt out clause as well and they were willign to give it to him too.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 10, 2008 at 12:58 PM
Smoltz..
I dont think that can be answered now. It would depend on how good he really is for the first 3 years, how much interest there is from other teams and what other options the Yanks have at the time.
Posted by: yankeegirl49 | December 10, 2008 at 12:59 PM
I thought players decide opt out clauses. In that case, the Yanks front office will have no say so in CC. Someone care to clarify.
Posted by: studio179 | December 10, 2008 at 12:59 PM
Smoltz's beard, you're right. There's a good chance the Yankees are stupid and re-up with him for another insane contract.
I guess I'm really hoping that Sabathia wants to go out west after 3 years. I think getting this guy at 3 years $69 million and then parting ways is an absolute steal for NY. But of course, the opt-out isn't such a good idea if their intention is to re-negotiate after 3 years.
Posted by: ajgdrums7814 | December 10, 2008 at 01:00 PM
Burnett just excersised his opt out clause, so I assume when they say it is a 'player's opt out clause', it means just that. Yes...no?
Posted by: studio179 | December 10, 2008 at 01:01 PM
Smoltz's Beard:
Yes, I do think that if he pitches great and opt-outs (or threatens to), then the Yankees will renegotiate, like they did with ARod. Still, in that case, you're talking about him putting on such a great performance that paying him more from 2012-2015 could still be a net win.
If he is willing to opt out, it's reasonable to think that he may have been worth, say, $28M a year from 2009-2011, a net gain of $15M for the Yankees.
If he wants, say, $30M a year for 2012-2015, and that's the market rate at that point, well, that's the price you pay if you want him.
At that point, you have no idea what the staff will look like. Maybe their other starters are strong enough that they prefer to spend that money on offense.
But yes, to answer your question, it's definitely possible that they'll renegotiate. My point was just that it's unlikely he'll be worth so much more than $23M over the first 3 years to make opting out worth it, and if he does, the Yankees got a pretty big bargain from 2009-2011, so that softens the blow from the opt-out a bit.
Posted by: bobo | December 10, 2008 at 01:03 PM
The yankees have no say in his opt out clause in case some of you cannot figure that out for some reason.
78, why do you always get on these threads and repeat yourself so much. No one is talking about if they had a choice in giving him the clause, they are talking about how it affects things going forward.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 10, 2008 at 01:04 PM
LOL whoa whoa whoa did i see a post up there saying that the yankees should sign also aj burnett andy pettite, d lowe AND Manny? lol. yea.... why dont they go ahead and just sign the 2004 all star team.
Posted by: Santana/Beckett FTW | December 10, 2008 at 01:04 PM
Joba is better than lester and buccholz, lester is better than hughes and hughes/ buccholz is a toss up as both had terrible seasons last year.
Posted by: Casanova Wong | December 10, 2008 at 01:06 PM
The term "opt-out clause" has only been used for a player's option to the best of my knowledge.
There's no reason why a team couldn't have an opt-out clause however. In fact they do - any club option is an opt-out clause.
For example, a 4 year, $40M contract with a club option for the 5th year at $10M is the same thing as a 5 year, $50M contract with a club opt-out clause after 4 years.
Same goes for players with options.
Posted by: bobo | December 10, 2008 at 01:11 PM
walkoffblast wrote:
smoltz beard, that is what we have been trying to explain to them but apparently yankees fans are incapable of inferring the obvious.
__________________________
You're being very condesending now.
Simple fact: CC wanted an opt out in any deal he considered (not coming from a Cali team). He asked for one from the Brewers and the Yanks.
W/o the opt out and possibly the 7th year then maybe CC sits around to see where the Angels end up with Tex, the DOdgers with Furcal and Man-NY or what the Giants were willing to do.
If he has 3 great years and then leaves, quite honestly, most fans would be sorry to see him go, but for those 3 years we had one of the best SP in the games and that's the bottom line.
If the Yanks signed CC for 3/75 million do you honestly think that any fan would be upset because they didn't sign him for more than 3 years?
We have 3 more years of Rivera, Posada and possibly Jeter. The Yanks are trying to win now! CC and whoever else we get this winter gives us a great chance. The fact that they can rebuild their staff w/o giving up a single prospect is even better.
CC
Burnett/Lowe/Perez/Sheets
Wang
Joba
vs
Beckett
Matsuzaka
Lester
Wakefield
vs
Kazmir
Shields
Garza
Sonnanstine/Jackson
matches up very well.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 10, 2008 at 01:12 PM
YanksFanSince78 - don't feed the trolls :)
Posted by: bobo | December 10, 2008 at 01:14 PM
Sabe,
I hear ya. No problem. Some other people are sayin we should legitimately sign Burnett Lowe and Sheets. I saw someone had Furcal at 2B on their projected lineup so it was getting rather anoying.
I don't think the Yankees are out of the tex sweepstakes and I dont think they need to be.
I just do not agree, at all, in signing any other pitchers unless it's jon garland for a 3 yr deal or less and at or under 12M, or Andy Pettitte to fill that final hole.
Give me Pettitte or garland for the final hole, and tex at first. OK, Tex at first is a bit much but I agree with you then, they could keep going but I just dont' see Posada being able to play catcher. I think with Matusi-Damon-Posada we have too many hitting oriented players who cant run and cant throw. bringing in tex would clog Posada, damon and matsui's chance to play first and get some at bats, especially now that they have Swisher.
Unless Swisher plays first. Then you go hard for that Cano-Kemp deal, stick Kemp in center, nady in right Damon/Matsui in left, Posada/Matsui/Damon at DH and sig orlando "Defense is my middle name' Hudson for 2b.
Not everyone we sign though has to be a superstar. Hel, I'd love to grab a Greg Zaun for the hell of hit. But everyone wants a Michael Barret. Name recognition is so 90s.
Posted by: Stat Man | December 10, 2008 at 01:14 PM
Give me Sheets at 2/$30 or 3/$45 before Garland or even Pettitte. Most of Ben's injuries were flukes, unlike Burnett who has had trouble relating to his arms. Sheets comes at a very reasonable price and has potential to be a big reward.
Posted by: ajgdrums7814 | December 10, 2008 at 01:17 PM
There is a difference between an opt out clause and an option. A team option allows the team to void the remainder of the contract. I'm under the impression this is a player opt-out clause, as Rosenthal mentions nothing about the Yanks being able to void the contract after 3 years. This is exactly what he said, "One rival executive points out there is "no upside" to giving a player an opt-out clause such as the Yankees are doing for CC Sabathia.
If he performs well, Sabathia will likely exercise the opt-out after the third year and become a free agent. If he does not perform well or is injured, the Yankees are on the hook for the rest of his contract."
Posted by: Papelboner | December 10, 2008 at 01:17 PM
YanksFan78,
Thats a pretty soft pitching staff. Burnett/Lowe/Perez? Really? Why would you want one of them? Seriously. Other than the fact they're available, why them? Why not a trade, or a jon Garland. soemone tell me why these guys other than the fact they are FAs.
Thats all I have proposed directly.
It's like no one has any faith in Hughes.
Did anyone know fausto Carmona went like 1-10 with a 5 ERA his first full year? The kid wasnt dangled for Peavy for a reason and you all just discard him but guess what, you'll all be the first to jump on the bandwagon.
-SABATHIA
-WANG
-HUGHES
-JOBA
-ANYONE BUT PEREZ, SHEETS, BURNETT AND LOWE
bUT, IF WE WANT TO CONTINUE TO NOT GO TO THE WORLD SERIES AND PICK UPA NOTHER SOFT PITCHER PLAYING NO WHERE NEAR THE LIKES OF A nEW yORK, WITH A HISTORY OF INJURIES AND NOT A SINGLE DOMINANT SEASON UNDER THEIR BELT (OK MAYBE THAT ONE YR LOWE WON 21, BUT AGAIN, HE WAS ON THE RED SOX)
Sorry for the caps lock.
None of thoe pitchers are worth their money.
And it's like no one even considers a walk year. We see it every year and then all of youhave 20/20 hindsight. Helllo any mariners fans? I bet they know about walk years. where's Richie Sexson/ Has Beltre ever hit 30 homeruns after his 49 homerun walk year? No.
You're all so confident that these people can just be plugged into a new city, new coaching philosophy and a def weaker defense, chancing from NL - AL and expect that they'll perform if not the same, but better.
I hope none of you are gambling people. And if you are, obviously you're not rich.
Oh they should have never signed Sheets, he'sthe time blah blah.
An entire farm system of live arms, a 1-2 of Sabathia Wang and you want to add another 5 year dedication to some mid-30s flake outs that have yet to reach their decade long potential.
Posted by: Stat Man | December 10, 2008 at 01:24 PM
Anyone else find it amusing how 78 typically starts with one idea and keeps making longer and longer posts about the same idea no matter what other people are actually discussing.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 10, 2008 at 01:24 PM
this is great for the red sox (opt out clause that is).
If sabathia gets injured and falls apart, he will choose to stay in new york and leech their money. If he is dominating and there is a bigger contract available out there, he will take off. No matter how you look at it, this is good for everyone, except the yankees.
Posted by: Santana/Beckett FTW | December 10, 2008 at 01:25 PM
re: the opt-out clause - the way it is written in this post is misleading. It implies that there is no upside for the player. The quote from the executive said that there was no upside to the team.
In theory, any kind of option only increases the value of the contract to the side with the option. However, if the Yankees and Sabathia disagree on his value after the 3rd year, then it can benefit the Yankees.
For example, after 2011, the Yankees think he is worth $18M a year, and would sign him to a 4 year, $72M deal, but not a 4 year, $92M deal.
Sabathia thinks he is worth $28M a year, and would sign a 4 year, $112M deal, but not a 4 year $92M year.
He opts-out, and can try to find his money elsewhere. Maybe he does, and both sides win. Maybe he doesn't, and only the Yankees win.
However it's very unlikely that the team and player will disagree on the player's value by anything close to that much.
Posted by: bobo | December 10, 2008 at 01:25 PM
walkoffblast:
I'm repeating myself because everyone's making a big deal over nothing. W/o an op out clause what makes you think we would even be having a conversation about CC signing at all? If anything it would be where will CC sign?
And as far as how it effects us? It doesn't effect anything at all. The Yanks can continue, business as usual. In the winter of 2011 we can discuss the next move. There's are ZERO repercussions from this move. If he performs well for 3 years and leaves then the deal effectively becomes a 3/69 deal for the Yanks. If he sucks and stays then we would be in the same boat as we were otherwise. Why is everyone making such a big deal about this?
If anything I think the opt allows CC and his wife an opportunity to leave if NY is not the right place for them to raise their kids at ages 8 and 6 in 2011. If anything I bet that CC's hesitation had more to do with their concerns regarding the kids, than it does any regrets he has with pitching in NY. Their is ZERO downside regarding giving him the opt out clause. If he's unhappy then it would be in the Yanks best interest to let him go as opposed to keeping an unhappy player or trading him in a situation where they absolutely have to eat tons of money inorder to move him. If he gets injured and stays then we would've been in that situation regardless of the clause. If he goes on a 3 year tear and wants a new contract, then so what? For the Yanks it's only money and they would have no problem giving him more because now he's moved himself into another class level. It would be the same as signing him for a 3 yr/69 mil deal and then when he became a FA signing him for, as example, 4 yr/80 mil.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 10, 2008 at 01:26 PM
Stat Man, why are you enamored with Garland? You think he's going to amount to anything in the AL East? Keep him away, please.
Burnett has the ability to carry a pitching staff. His stuff is second to none. But there are obvious risks.
Lowe is a very sound pitcher. Will he dominate? No. But you know what you're getting. Maybe 4 years is a bit too long.
Sheets is at a cheaper cost, has some risk and potential for big reward. Like Burnett, but cheaper and less serious injuries.
Posted by: ajgdrums7814 | December 10, 2008 at 01:29 PM
"If sabathia gets injured and falls apart, he will choose to stay in new york and leech their money."
What happens in this scenario if there isnt an opt out?
The only downside is that if he is totally dominant and worth more, he can bolt for more. However, if he is THAT good, the Yanks would be in the mix to keep him, even if they have to pay more.
Yes an opt out is always beneficial to the player, However it is not detrimental to the Yankees because they always have money to spend. Its not like the Jays with AJ, because they cannot afford what his market value is going to be now
Posted by: yankeegirl49 | December 10, 2008 at 01:30 PM
"Most of Ben's injuries were flukes, unlike Burnett who has had trouble relating to his arms."
Between 01-04, Sheets pitched 824 innings. Since then, his injury history is as follows:
05- Torn muscle in right, throwing shoulder.
Offseason back surgery
06- Starts yr on DL with Shoulder Strain on R shoulder
Misses 72 games with shoulder tendinitis
07- Torn tendon in finger on R hand (fluke injury)
Hamstring Strain
08- Strained tricep (which could be the result of rotator cuff damage)
Groin tightness
Elbow pain
To me, all signs point to this guy being overworked too early in his career and now he has trouble staying healthy. What worries me most is the number of injuries to his throwing shoulder/arm/elbow. I was doing some research on him and one was saying his arm slot is too high, which results in added stress to the shoulder/elbow.
Ben has plenty of arm related injuries every year. Buyer Beware!
Posted by: Papelboner | December 10, 2008 at 01:31 PM
Give me Sheets at 2/$30 or 3/$45 before Garland or even Pettitte. Most of Ben's injuries were flukes, unlike Burnett who has had trouble relating to his arms. Sheets comes at a very reasonable price and has potential to be a big reward.
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I'm sorry i just don't agree. He just had a pretty serious injury when he got shut down this year. He has pitched one ful season. You're all projecting a player based on his hype and name. Yea he's thrown a lot of goo d games, has put up good numers, but what happens when Sabathia hits the DL for the first time and then Sheets follows? What happens when 40M is on the DL? I know what happens, since it happens every year, everyone talks about how the yankees wasted money again on some guy with injury histoiry just for the name recognition.
The best deal last year was hamilton for volquez and no one expected it. The ebst free agent signing I cant think of an impact free agent signing had on a team this year. Any impacts were trades. I cant think of any - if anyone has any letme know, please.
Garland has been able to throw 200 innings pretty much every year he's been a fulltime starter. If Sheets goes down, then what? Igawa? Kennedy? Then when those guys get shelled in 3-4 innings we have to have the bullpen come in. Oh and Sabathias on the DL so another guy who eats innings is gone and now our bullpen is out there every other night.
We need somone to take Mussin'as place. Don't tell me it's Sabathia./ Sabathia is the ace we needed. Now, we need someone to take Mussin'as place. With Wang back, Garland can help supplement that and at a cheaper rate, less dedication to yrs, and he's actually under the age of 30 and a competitor, not a paycheck-pickerupper, which is all we've had the past 8 years
Posted by: Stat Man | December 10, 2008 at 01:31 PM
LOL funny little fact:
Jeter (20 mil)
arod (27 mil)
rivera (15 mil)
sabathia (23 mil)
Top 4 yankees payroll: 85 million dollars.
Teams under 85 million dollar payroll:
15. Milwaukee Brewers $81,004,167
16. Cleveland Indians $78,970,067
17. San Francisco Giants $76,904,500
18. Cincinnati Reds $74,277,695
19. San Diego Padres $73,677,617
20. Colorado Rockies $68,655,500
21. Texas Rangers $68,239,551
22. Baltimore Orioles $67,196,248
23. Arizona Diamondbacks $66,202,713
24. Minnesota Twins $62,182,767
25. Kansas City Royals $58,245,500
26.Washington Nationals $54,961,000
27. Pittsburgh Pirates $49,365,283
28. Oakland Athletics $47,967,126
29. Tampa Bay Rays $43,820,598
30. Florida Marlins $21,836,500
Posted by: Santana/Beckett FTW | December 10, 2008 at 01:32 PM
thats half of baseball. if u couldn't tell.
Posted by: Santana/Beckett FTW | December 10, 2008 at 01:32 PM
Papelboner,
That's what I thought. Especially when I noticed the 'no upside' comment.
Posted by: studio179 | December 10, 2008 at 01:33 PM
does anyone find it funny how walkoffblast can be so condesending and miss the fact that the Yanks were willing to committ to CC for 6 years w/ no opt out clause?
Explain this to me walkoff. How can the Yankees be hurt by a deal w/ an opt out clause vs one w/o for any reason other than a scenario where CC pitches will in 3 years and wants more money?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 10, 2008 at 01:34 PM