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According to Tracy Ringolsby of the Rocky Mountain News:
The Yankees are looking to move two from a group of outfielders of Xavier Nady, Nick Swisher and Hideki Matsui. The Angels, Texas, Oakland and Atlanta are considered to have interest.
Joel Sherman has noted that the Braves attempted to acquire Swisher from the White Sox before the Yankees did. The Angels seem content with their outfield. Sherman and Ringolsby both seem to think the Yanks prefer to retain Johnny Damon.
Sherman cautioned that the "glut of hitters" remaining on the free agent market will make it more difficult for the Yankees to move one of their corner guys. From the emails I receive, Yankees fans would most like to see Matsui dealt. Perhaps he will be, but I believe his current trade value is negative. 34 years old, full no-trade clause, $13MM salary in '09, September knee surgery and a questionable ability to play the outfield.
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Braves need Nady, but only if they can get him on the cheap.
Posted by: njbraves | December 26, 2008 at 09:13 AM
i really don't think they should trade Nady.. and if they do, the first team knocking should be the Mets.
get rid of Matsui.. trade him to the Giants for a PTBNL assuming they take on all of Matsui's salary.
Posted by: ImAwesome | December 26, 2008 at 09:13 AM
The only way Matsui gets traded is if the Yanks eat at least half of his salary. Even then, they won't get much for him. You can't be sure that he can still play in the field.
Posted by: MickS | December 26, 2008 at 09:19 AM
i meant to say they SHOULDN'T trade Nady.. he's cheap and effective
Posted by: ImAwesome | December 26, 2008 at 09:19 AM
Was Matsui's injury really that bad? I mean he still OPS+'ed 108 in an injury riddled season. He's a year removed from a 123 OPS+ year. I'd much rather have Milton Bradley, but if Marquis contract is what really is holding up the Peavy deal, how about Marquis for Matsui straight up? Marquis holds little value to the Yankees other than a 6th innings eater type starter, but like Tim said...Matsui holds negative trade value right now.
Posted by: Teetz1 | December 26, 2008 at 09:20 AM
I think the Yanks should trade swisher for maybe some decent fielding prospects, don't have to be elite ones because he's not worth them or an utility infielder and then try to trade Matsui for whatever they could get for him, which would free up around an extra $23/$24 million and then they could sign Manny like Hank wants.
Posted by: money941 | December 26, 2008 at 09:24 AM
Doesnt Matusi have a no trade clause?
Posted by: MillsBeastIce | December 26, 2008 at 09:30 AM
I hope they are looking at Nelson Cruz. The Rays were trying to get him but got Matt Joyce instead.
He would be perfect for the 4th OF position this year and if Swisher doesn't hit, he can take over. He plays good defense according to FRAA, he's good on the bases, and has ridiculous pop. If he is a late bloomer the Yankees have a cheap outfielder for 2010
Posted by: KingBen | December 26, 2008 at 09:30 AM
The braves could bring in swisher to play center and nady to play left. That would be the drean scneario, but knowing the baves they'll probably fail to bring in either one of them.
Posted by: tmac2 | December 26, 2008 at 09:35 AM
I don't think the Cubs could consider Matsui their regular right fielder. Though if they're willing to make that leap for Milton Bradley who knows.
As far as Cruz, he seems dead set in the middle of the Rangers' lineup.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | December 26, 2008 at 09:36 AM
Yes, Matsui does have a no-trade clause. To waive it he'd probably want a fresh deal from the acquiring club. Matsui is almost untradeable at this point w/o the Yanks eating salary and expecting nothing much in return.
Posted by: MickS | December 26, 2008 at 09:37 AM
The Braves should be in on Swisher. I know he hits about his his weight but he gets on base against lefties (.359OBP) and hits for power against righties (.419SLG-ok kind of). He could play left and his switch hitting bat would go nicely between Chipper and McCann. With that kind of lineup protection I bet his numbers increase at least some across the board. I still think Josh Anderson and a pitcher like JoJo Reyes would get it done.
Posted by: bbxxj | December 26, 2008 at 09:39 AM
If you're unfamiliar with Nelson Cruz, he has struggled in his limited ML stints, but crushed the ball in the minors.
He's improved his k/bb ratio and contact rates EVERY year for the past 5 years. I think he's finally figured out the strike zone. He could be a steal. Nady+ for Nelson Cruz+
Posted by: KingBen | December 26, 2008 at 09:40 AM
Rangers wouldn't do it. Their value on Cruz right now is extremely high (as it should be). Yankees wouldn't really be doing themselves any good in a trade for him just because of how much they'd have to give up to get, and it wouldn't solve the OF logjam anyway.
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | December 26, 2008 at 09:44 AM
Matsui is probably less likely to be dealt because more of a Yankee than the others.
He is probably worth about $10M or so on a one-year deal, meaning if the Yankees include a few million dollars they should get a fringe prospect back.
What's more likely is probably taking an overpaid reliever or something.
But in reality, I don't think any trade is necessary:
Catcher, 1B, 2B, SS, and 3B are set.
So you've got the following split between DH and the 3 OF positions:
Matsui, Damon, Cabrera, Gardner, Nady, Swisher.
There's not nearly as much of a glut as people think. I can't comprehend how they could trade TWO of them.
Assume that some combination of Gardner and Melky play about 60% of the time in CF. Then you've got 3.4 full-time positions for 4 players. No problem at all.
It could look like:
LF - Damon 60%, Matsui 30%, Nady 10%
CF - Some combo of Garder/Cabrera - 60%, Damon 20%, Swisher 20%
RF - Nady 60%, Swisher 40%
DH - Matsui 50%, Swisher 20%, Nady 20%, Damon 10%
That way you've got:
Damon playing 90% of the time
Matsui 80%
Nady 90%
Swisher 80% + plus a few games at 1B
Which is completely reasonable. No trades necessary. Plus whenever one of these guys is off, it gives them a big bat off the bench, and great coverage for the inevitable injury.
Posted by: bobo | December 26, 2008 at 09:45 AM
Tim I agree but weren't they were discussing moving him for Edwin Jackson+ about 2-3 weeks ago. That tells me they really need pitching, they have so much firepower coming up in the outfield/infield. I think Chris Davis though they'd prefer a RH behind Hamilton. Do you think Nady/Horne/+lower prospect gets it Nelson Cruz+decent prospect?
Horne seems like Nolan Ryan's type of guy and he's old enough where he could be starting this year. He's coming off an injury but was pitcher of the year in 2007
Posted by: KingBen | December 26, 2008 at 09:46 AM
Assuming Matsui is at least 100% healthy (to DH), when he is on, the team is on, and the same can be said for Damon, which is why I think neither will be dealt.
I could see a quick swing for swisher somewhere for the same kind of B-level prospects like the Yankees gave up for him.
Hoping Nady stays, only cause I'm a fan, and he's capable of playing RF
Posted by: BILLSTYLE21 | December 26, 2008 at 09:46 AM
I'm sure many teams would love Nady and would take a chance on Matsui. Good chance for the Yanks to maybe acquire a better CF or retrieve some good prospects, right?
Posted by: Umair | December 26, 2008 at 09:48 AM
Nady has more upside,young and a good hitter, Id rather have him stay with the Yanks. Damon is a better runner and hitter than Matsui (lately) I wonder if the Yanks can trade of them for a Jonathan Sanchez type of arm..
Posted by: TripleHHH | December 26, 2008 at 09:49 AM
Cubby Fan, Cruz doesn't make any money so it does solve the logjam. He'd be a 4th outfielder with pop, and if Swisher doesn't hit or someone gets hurt, you slot him in there. Next year the outfield is empty and they could save on having to sign 2, maybe 3 FA OF if they have him and he actually hits.
Yankees have so much redundant pitching in the pipeline (hard throwing RH starters/relievers) that there isn't much space considering the 4/5 of the rotation is locked up for the forseeable future.
I really want to see Melancon get his shake this year so I'd put together a Nady/Veras package too.
Posted by: KingBen | December 26, 2008 at 09:50 AM
tmac2
The problem is you don't know the Braves. They won't try to bring in both of these prospects, only one. Either one would be good but the Braves obviously like Swisher but who doesn't like Nady!
Posted by: 14uga | December 26, 2008 at 09:51 AM
they should jump at the chance to get something for nady while he's still hot commodity.. he let his slip show a little at the end of last year.
Posted by: i_spit_hot_fire | December 26, 2008 at 09:52 AM
Swisher plays better defense than Nady and is usually the better hitter. Swisher's BABIP last year was ridiculously unlucky. He should bounce back. Nady will be a FA next year and Boras is his agent so he won't be staying. I'd hold on to Swisher so you at least have an OF/bench player in the mix for 2010.
Posted by: KingBen | December 26, 2008 at 09:53 AM
Yankees please do not trade X-Man. He is a solid outfielder and did an excellent job producing offence in his time in n.y. So please yankees keep the X-Man
Posted by: DonnieBaseball | December 26, 2008 at 09:54 AM
OF, DH: Matsui, Damon, Cabrera, Gardner, Nady, Swisher
C: Posada, Molina (or other backup catcher)
IF: Teixiera, Cano, Jeter, ARod, 2 backups
That gives you a 6 man bullpen. If you want 7, drop an IF backup or either Gardner or Cabrea if they aren't performing.
Still, I don't see any reason for a trade. The Yankees can afford the depth and will be thanking themselves when an injury occurs.
Posted by: bobo | December 26, 2008 at 09:57 AM
Why would the Yankees want to trade 2 outfielders? Unless they wanted to acquire a new one?(Manny anyone?)
Posted by: GeneseoMC20 | December 26, 2008 at 09:58 AM
Glut? Nady is set to be the starting right fielder, Matsui is set to get most of the DH at-bats, amd Swisher can be a super utility type getting starts at 1B, 3B, and all three outfield slots. At best, the Yankees might try to move one of these three but two I just don't get it. Matsui can't be moved as (1) he has a no trade clause, (2) he is coming off consecutive seasons shortened by injury and (3) he has a big $13 mil/yr. contract so how does that translate into a movable player. As far as Nady or Swisher, the Yankees still need some depth and offense so Nady in right works and they have no bench if they move Swisher (and they love switch hitters).
Posted by: David | December 26, 2008 at 09:59 AM
Agreed, there's no way they can trade 2. They weren't trying to trade one before they signed Tex, so why 2 now?
Also just realized where that came from - Tracy Ringolsby is one of the biggest idiots around...
Posted by: bobo | December 26, 2008 at 10:03 AM
Reds should trade Bailey for Nady. Then we should try to extend him for 3/36
Posted by: GmblngPtchr20 | December 26, 2008 at 10:04 AM
I agree with the first part of David's thinking... what "glut"?? Matsui is the DH, Damon in LF, Gardner in CF, Nady in RF and Swisher backing up all three AND Tex.
As for Matsui having "negative trade value"...that is ridiculous. Yes he has a no-trade clause...but he's agreeable to be moved. He has ONE YEAR left on his deal and is good for .290 22 100 every year. In this economy, I'd venture to say that teams would take that production for the dollar (at DH) vs signing Burrell or Dunn on a multi-deal.
Posted by: jjyankeesfan2 | December 26, 2008 at 10:09 AM
"Reds should trade Bailey for Nady. Then we should try to extend him for 3/36"
If the Reds could get Nady to sign an extension before next offseason, I would pay for the contract myself.
Posted by: BravesRockMySocks | December 26, 2008 at 10:09 AM
Why would the Yankees trade Nady for crap? Bailey is awful, and Nelson Cruz can't even break a major league lineup. I could see trading Nick Swisher for them (Mr. .219), but Nady, really? He is a very valuable outfielder and hit .305 last year with 25 homers. To trade him AND one of our top pitching prospects (Horne) for a crappy fourth outfielder is absurd.
Posted by: Gvelta | December 26, 2008 at 10:11 AM
For a change, this is a good problem for the Yankee's to have. While I do not know exactly who a good trade partner may be, it sounds as if Atlanta needs to fill a few wholes, most importantly first base. This swisher kid, although I like him, seems to have a lot of value to many teams.
What would I like to see. I'd like to see a young talented (ready to play) outfielder.
Someone to match up with Jackson in 2010 and if the Yank's acquire Holliday then their outfield could be sent for years. AJ, Heywood(from AT) Holliday with Gardner and Christian as back up ain't bad.
Send Nady and one of the many relief arms to AT for Heywood?
Posted by: yankee77 | December 26, 2008 at 10:13 AM
I dont get why we are looking to move 2 of these guys. Only one and it should be Nady or Matsui. Swisherr needs to stay because he is the only one of the 4 mentioned above who is under contract for more than one season.
Posted by: YankFan408 | December 26, 2008 at 10:15 AM
braves will NOT be giving up any of their top-10 prospects for Nady or Swisher...
the fact that Joel Sherman mentions that Heyward, a consensus top-3 prospect in baseball, is a.) a CF prospect and b.) could be used in a trade for Nady/Swisher means that Sherman is an idiot.
I could see the Braves doing a Eric Campbell, 3B and Todd Redmond, RHP for Nady and everyone SHOULD be happy.
Braves fans: Hicks is going to be moved to 3B this year anyway (he's no 6'4") and Yankees fans: you get a decent RHP and a 3B player with Power potential who needs a change of scenery.
Posted by: apoxonbothyourhouses | December 26, 2008 at 10:17 AM
he IS 6'4"
Posted by: apoxonbothyourhouses | December 26, 2008 at 10:17 AM
Yeah I don't get why the writer thinks the Yanks are trying to trade two of any of our OF's. That would leave Damon, Melky, Gardner and whichever of the three returns. Don't get that at all. Especially, when you might need to replace Damon, Nady and Matsui next year. I doubt they're trying to make a play for Man-NY couls they be thinking of bring back Abreu? Next years OF FA pool is ok, but I doubt they are going to serious players for Holliday considering Boras will probably be seeking another big contract (7/140 ???). They can go after guys like Bay, Crisp, Ankeil, Crawford (option year) but that seems to be going in the wrong direction for the Yanks. I heard that one of the reasons they went after Tex this year was because next year's pool wasn't that attractive. And why trade Swisher when he's so cheap and under contract for the next 3 years? Even though I like Nady he's a FA next year and his agent is Boras so that means he probably won't entertain an extension and will probably hit the open market. I doubt the Yanks want to deal with that. But if Nady is traded wouldn't Cash have to ask for a prospect on the same level as Tabata, and if so, is that obtainable if traded before the start of the season?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 10:17 AM
More I think about it. Should be fun. Yank's have chips and leverage.
Remember they can sweeten with Kennedy ( i know i know he is a flop, he will be nothing yada yada..Kid is what 22-23 and ready to pitch) with the right deal, teams will be salivating over him.
From a business perspective a way to remove iqawa for example, is maybe a Kennedy, Iqawa, Nady deal for??
Posted by: yankee77 | December 26, 2008 at 10:18 AM
Has any Boras client ever signed an extension going into their walk year?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 10:18 AM
yankee, that's STUPID. the braves HAVE a 1B in Kotchmann.
we need a LF, right-handed bat. Nady is the answer.
but you will NEVER get Heyward. you can't be serious.
and it's HEYWARD. you will not be getting him. nice try, though.
Posted by: apoxonbothyourhouses | December 26, 2008 at 10:19 AM
Matsui at DH, Nady in right, Swisher and Damon alternate between Left and center. Melky is a fourth outfielder and all gardner can do is run.
Posted by: Jon | December 26, 2008 at 10:20 AM
Why would the Yanks trade for a 23 yr old 3B "fringe" prospect who hit .235 last year when they have Arod under contract for the next 9 years?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 10:23 AM
For those of you agruing what prospect to give up for Nady...please don't waste your time...he's NOT the one to go...unless it's for a CF of equal value who is also on his last year of a deal.
Posted by: jjyankeesfan2 | December 26, 2008 at 10:28 AM
Chances are though...he won't be moved at all. Matsui is the one to go.
Posted by: jjyankeesfan2 | December 26, 2008 at 10:28 AM
Does the call to trade two of the above foreshadow a trade or a CF. Possibly a re-opening of the Mike Cameron talks?
Posted by: Teetz1 | December 26, 2008 at 10:36 AM
I agree JJ. I'm not sure why anyone think we're desperate to move anyone and therefor will take less than what the player demands? Also, what we gave up for Swisher is irrelevant w/ regards to what we should ask for. That's like saying that just because I bought a Babe Ruth baseball card at a yard sale for $5 and should therefore settle for 1/10th of it's real value.
I think for once the Yanks have depth and if anyone were going to be moved it should be Matsui and if there are no takers then just sit on him and let him play, show his health during the course of the year and if healthy and productive then maybe moe him by the trade deadline if he'll approve the trade. But Swisher offers protection in case someone goes down or if you need more offense from the CF spot at some point.
Also, even though I think Hughes deserves a shot to crack the rotation I think the Yanks should sign Pettite if he accepts the $10 mil 1 year offer. He allows the Yanks depth in the rotation giving us a solid #5 guy. This way we have Hughes, Kennedy, Aceves, Horne, Igawa (ugg) and possibly Sanchez on deck if we need someone to fill in some startsing for Joba who will have an inning limit or in case of injuries. Anything can happen right (see Wang's freak foot injury running the bases last year).
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 10:36 AM
Nobody is going to trade for Matsui unless the Yankees eat salary which would be counter-productive. Nady would be difficult to move too because he's represented by Scott Boras in his walk year. Swisher would command a much bigger bounty than Nady, but if the Yankees don't want much in return, they'd be better off moving Nady for some fringe prospects. He's not going to command more than a rental package becuase he's precisely that, a rental.
Posted by: AtlantaBred | December 26, 2008 at 10:38 AM
Hmm well I am bored. And still pissed off at the O's front office. But...
Three Way Trade:
Yankees get: 2B B.Roberts, CF M.Cameron
Orioles get: 1B N.Swisher, 2B R.Cano
Brewers get: RP G.Sherrill, CF M.Cabrera
__________________
It would upgrade the Yankees up the middle and at the top of the line up. Also free them up to trade Damon to whoever will take him. And yes, Roberts is an upgrade over Damon. He is 4 years younger. And he doesn't throw like a 5 year old girl.
Roberts numbers have gotten better each of the past 3 seasons:
'06 - .286/ .347/ .410
'07 - .290/ .377/ .432
'08 - .296/ .378/ .450
Also if he does not resign that would give the Yankees a Type A Free Agent. Cameron upgrades CF with a good defense and 20+ HR power. And then they Yanks actually save some money in the deal.
Roberts makes $8 mil and Cameron makes $10 mil for a total of $18 mil. Swisher makes $5.3 mil, Cano makes $6 mil, Melky won't make too much but Damon makes $13 mil and he can be dealt. So in the end for 2009 it would save the Yankees over $6.5 mil depending what they get back in the deal for Damon. And worst case the Yankees get 2 top picks if Roberts signs elsewhere in the offseason.
Brewers get a possible closer for 3 more years and a CF for 4. This deal saves them around $6-8 mil.
Orioles get a 1B for the next few years and a 2B for up to 5 more years. And the O's only add a few mil in salary (depending on what Sherrill would get in Arbitration) which would still leave the O's near 2008's payroll.
Posted by: XD23 | December 26, 2008 at 10:41 AM
#1 - there is no chance the Yankees will get Heyward, unless they are trading Hughes, Jackson, and Melancon along with Nady.
#2 - There is no glut! There's no need to make a trade. If they get an offer they can't refuse (one that certainly is not Eric Campbell) then maybe it makes sense to do it. Otherwise, keep what they have.
The rotation is overcrowded, the pen is overcrowded, and they have top prospects at the only positions at which they may have a need over the next few years (catcher, CF).
The only reason to make a trade is if they get blown away with an offer.
Posted by: bobo | December 26, 2008 at 10:42 AM
The Yankees would be dumb for trading either Nady or Swisher. Swisher is young with the ability to play 4 positions, and Nady is a good cheap offensive bat with better then average outfielding skills. Matsui and Damon are both old and 13 million apiece is a good chunk of change.
LF DH Damon
SS Jeter
2B Cano
3B Arod
1B DH Tex
LF RF Nady
C DH Posada
1BLF RF Swisher
CF Cabrera
Posted by: lineman42 | December 26, 2008 at 10:43 AM
How could the Yankees not want much for Nady? He's $12-14M player who is going to make about $5-6M this year.
Sure, he won't sign an extension but he's a huge bargain this year. He's not going to be dealt for failed prospects or role-players.
Posted by: bobo | December 26, 2008 at 10:46 AM
Wow, Nady/Swisher and relief arms for Heywood (haha I mean Heyward)?!?!? Heyward is the #3 prospect in ALL of baseball behind Price and Witters and when both of them have a full rookie season this year he will be the the #1 prospect in all of baseball. You don't trade those kind of guys for anything. Before anyone else says someting stupid, Hanson and Freeman are untouchable too. I'll say it again, but Josh Anderson is fast, can hit for average, and can play center better than anyone on the Yanks. To the Braves he is expendible and would be a good addition to the Yanks.
Posted by: bbxxj | December 26, 2008 at 10:47 AM
Sabathia
Burnett
Wang
Joba
Pettitte
Rivera
Bruney
Ramirez
Robertson/Veras/Melcanon
Coke (L)
Marte(L)
1b-Tex (switch)
2b-Cano (lefty)
ss-Jeter (righty)
3b-Arod (righty)
C-Posada (switch)
Lf-Damon (lefty)
Cf-Gardner (lefty)
Rf-Nady (righty)
DH-Matsui (lefty)
1b/Lf/Cf/Rf/Dh-Swisher (switch)
4th OF-Melky (switch)
Inf Util-Ransom (righty)
Back Up C-Molina (righty)
That's 24 players. I think I'd look for an upgrade on the back up at SS. Maybe the Yanks could trade Matsui for Bobby Crosby with the A's?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 10:49 AM
XD23 - can't see the Yankees trading Cano, who is a huge bargain even if he hits like last year for one-year rentals. I don't think they would trade Cano alone for those 2.
Plus, the Brewers couldn't get just Cabrera for Cameron. Now they're going to get Sherrill too?
The Brewers need to give a lot more, the Orioles need to give a little more, and the Yankees need to give a lot less.
Posted by: bobo | December 26, 2008 at 10:49 AM
If the Braves trade for either player, it should be Nick Swisher. Nady is 30 years old, a Boras client, has one year left on his contract, AND had a career year last year. Swisher is younger, has three years left on his contract, and has more power. The Braves should be able to get Swisher for a couple of B prospects.
The Braves have absolutely no need for a rental player like Nady since they most likely won't be contending next year.
And, as someone else pointed out, Joel Sherman is a complete idiot if he thinks the Braves would give up Gorkys Hernandez, Jordan Schafer, OR Jason Heyward for either of those two guys.
Posted by: BravesAllTheWay | December 26, 2008 at 10:50 AM
YanksFanSince78 - that's the way I see it too.
Matsui for Crosby is maybe something the As would do, but no point in having a $6M injury-prone backup SS.
Just keep Matsui, play all the OF about 80-90% of the time as I said, and everything is fine.
Posted by: bobo | December 26, 2008 at 10:51 AM
Nady will be traded if he doesnt really like playing in New York. He didnt want to leave Pittsburgh. Sign Manny and trade Matsui or Nady for a 5th starter ? I dont know about that. Maybe the deal with Cameron isnt 100% dead...
Posted by: TripleHHH | December 26, 2008 at 10:52 AM
Josh Anderson? He's Gardner in a Braves uniform. Sort of redundant. And I happen to think Gardner will be a good player. I think people are putting too much emphasis on what he did in 127 at bats. If I'm trading for a 26 yr old prospect then I want a much higher upside than Andreson.
And as for that 3 way trade, why would the Yanks want to trade away a 26 year old affordable 2nb basement under contract for 4 or 5 more years for a 32 year old 2b who's going to be a FA next year, will require a huge multi-year contract after 09 and is 6 years older? And if we can't sign him then we're right back with a hole at another position.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 10:57 AM
Matsui for Crosby? Is that a joke? They could call up a AA player instead and not lose their DH.
Posted by: KingBen | December 26, 2008 at 10:59 AM
TripleHHH: Who says Nady didn't like playing in NY? It's not like he came up thru their system or anything.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 11:00 AM
Plus the A's wouldn't take on the 13M, they already have a LF and a DH.
Posted by: KingBen | December 26, 2008 at 11:00 AM
Kingben: Just something I was throwing out. The Yanks could use an upgrade at SS, even if it were just a back up. And the deal could easily be beefed up to include Kennedy with the A's sending a prospet like Michael RIchard or Corey Brown.
http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?t=t_ibp&cid=446
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 11:04 AM
I've said it since the beginning of the off-season when Tex was first rumored to the Yanks. Signing Tex gives them nowhere to stick Posada. People are living in a fantasy world assuming a catcher of Posada's age, with his type of injury, will come back and get behind the dish 140 games.
I bet Posada doesn't play more than 50 games at catcher. Then what? Move him to DH and sit Matsui?
Matsui's value couldn't be lower at this point. If he was a FA this off-season he would be looking at a 1/$4m type deal. The Yanks are dreaming if they think Matsui can be moved without eating 50% of his contract.
Finally, Nady will prove to be the biggest disappointment out of the entire group of OF's. He will revert back to his 103 OPS+ that he puts up every year. Yankees will realize that he isn't the slugger they traded for last year.
In summary, Tex to the Yanks cost a lot more than $22.5m in salary. It will also force a $13m salary to ride pine in either the form of Posada or Matsui. I still like the move for the Yanks though (since money isn't an issue they can afford to overpay).
Posted by: bjsguess | December 26, 2008 at 11:05 AM
I honestly don't think the Yankees need to make a trade to get rid of an outfielder. This gives them 5 guys for four spots, 3 OF and DH. That means each guy gets around 130 starts for the year and you can keep them all healthy by resting them on a regular basis. Also there is no guarantee on the health of Matsui and/or Damon.
Right now there are too many corner out fielders on the market, the Yankees can't even think about making a trade until the market develops further and gets narrowed down.
I cannot understand the allure of Cameron in center, he is 36 years old. He may have won the gold glove in '01, '03, and '06, but Cabrera is a pretty good defender and has made big plays, plus he has a cannon of an arm. Cameron has hit .242 and .243 the past two years. I'd be fine with the Yankees taking their chances with Cabrera/Gardner in center, its not like they can hit much worse than Cameron. How can you criticize Garner's play and say all he can do is run? He hasn't had much of a chance to play in the majors yet. I don't think we know what we have in him yet. I'd like ot think he could be a future lead-off hitter for the Yankees. They have the depth to take chances and see who can contribute the most.
Posted by: Jeff Levy | December 26, 2008 at 11:07 AM
"They can go after guys like Bay, Crisp, Ankeil, Crawford (option year)"
Crisp was traded because he wanted to start and not be a reserve, if he would have been happy as a 4th OF in Boston, then in his own way (and different styles of play) him and Swisher would have probably been the 2 best 4th OF's around and imagine Swisher isn't going to care for having to share time in 2009 either.
One thing that caught my eye in Sherman's article and have not seen mentioned here is Damon hitting lead off next season. That may not be wise if they are counting on him using his base stealing ability with his now chronic bad back and the now constant chance of his injuring it. As the yank OF is, he is the 1 that they need, like a spark plug for the Yankee offensive IMO, moreso than Jeter since he reads pitchers so well and thus has the ability to still steal bases, even though he has lost a step.
Posted by: johns | December 26, 2008 at 11:08 AM
Well Cosby is making 6 mil and went unclaimed thru waivers so if the Yanks sent:
Matsui, Kennedy and cash
for
Cosby, Michael Richard (speedy SS) and Corey Brown (power OF) that could work. Of course I'm not a scout nor would I pretend to have seen them play but you get the idea.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 11:10 AM
Nady is overrated in the AL, he batted .268, dont forget he started the season in the NL.
If the yankees could get something good for Nady, they should do it, whether it be a prospect or a #5 starter.
The one thing they should try first is offering Matsui and Nady in a package deal because most teams wouldn't want matsui unless he had something great to go with him. If the Yankees can unload 16.35 million for just a good prospect or a lower salary player, they can sign any of the free agent outfielders they want.
If Manny wants 22 million, and the yankees get rid of 16.35 before they have to resign Nady, it will be like only paying manny around 7 million, and that will only take the yankees up to 70 million on the 4 players signed this year when we had 90 million come off the books. Eventually when the yankees contracts stop coming off the books, Manny would cost a lot more.
It's a reach, Manny doesn't fit into the Yankees big left field... Manny can be in Left field, as long as the rest of the outfielders are strong fielders. But Damon's arm isn't and never was a center fielders arm, he most likely has to play left.
Posted by: Joba Da Beast | December 26, 2008 at 11:10 AM
Swisher fits the Braves needs more, as he offers flexibility on where he can play (anywhere in the OF and 1B). I like Nady, but after looking at his splits I see he actually hits righties way better than he hits lefties, which really defeats the purpose for what the Braves need. Swisher could be the starting CF and Diaz and whatever lefty steps up in spring training (Anderson, Blanco, Jones, Schaffer?) could platoon in left. If one of those lefties steps up and starts hitting left handed pitching they can be the CF and Swisher could play LF.
Posted by: Brad426 | December 26, 2008 at 11:11 AM
I've said it since the beginning of the off-season when Tex was first rumored to the Yanks. Signing Tex gives them nowhere to stick Posada. People are living in a fantasy world assuming a catcher of Posada's age, with his type of injury, will come back and get behind the dish 140 games.
___________________________
Why are people saying this? If Posada's play at C proves to be a problem then in winter of 09 they can go after Bengie Molina, resign Jose Molina as the backup and move Posada to DH which will be open when Matsui leaves? Besides Cash already said he doesn't want to play someone out of position at 1b anymore. We've suffered enough with the likes of Giambi, Sexon, Duncan, etc butchering balls at 1b. Why would anyone expect Posada to provide any more defense than Giambi did?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 11:14 AM
bjsguess: "Matsui's value couldn't be lower at this point. If he was a FA this off-season he would be looking at a 1/$4m type deal. "
You, my friend, should share some of whatever you're smoking with the rest of us.
If Posada can't catch, he will compete with others to DH, or he'll sit.
Maybe signing him to the deal was a mistake, but signing Tex doesn't impact him at all. His bat makes him a mediocre 1B or DB anyway. He only has that value if he's catching. If he can't catch, I don't care if he plays 1B, rides the bench, or is released.
If he is DHing over Matsui or one of the other options, the Yankees are no better.
Posted by: bobo | December 26, 2008 at 11:16 AM
bjsguess: I think the only major concern with Posada is going to be his ability to throw people out, not his durability behind the plate. it's not like he had knee surgery or anything.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 11:21 AM
TripleHHH-
The Giants won't be trading Jonathan Sanchez for any of the 4 Yankee outfielders.
While the Giants have a definate need for offensive improvement, the Giants don't need another outfielder. Matsui is old, expensive, a defensive downgrade, and not really an offensive improvement over current corners Winn and Lewis. Argue all you want about it but Winn is the Giants most consistent hitter and in his walk year. Lewis showed a lot of potential last year, is young and cheap. Rowand is signed expensive and long so unless someone is crazy enough to trade for him, he's in center for 4 more years.
Nady may be a good enough player to get Sanchez, but the Gisnts have made it abundantly clear they are not in on 1 year rentals, they are looking for defense at 1B, AND he can't gaurentee
to be an effective 3B.
Damon- see Matsui above
Swisher- he's the only one who makes some sense because of his ability to play 1B but he is owed alot of money so either the Yankees will have to pay
either a lot of money or take back less in a trade then they gave up for him.
Too many similar FA are still on the market so the players trade values are all low right now.
See http://nuschlersnews.blogspot.com/2008/12/why-fred-lewis.HTML for a breakdown on the Giants outfield situation
Posted by: Nuschler's News | December 26, 2008 at 11:21 AM
what bout the cubs?
Posted by: bronx | December 26, 2008 at 11:29 AM
Finally, Nady will prove to be the biggest disappointment out of the entire group of OF's. He will revert back to his 103 OPS+ that he puts up every year. Yankees will realize that he isn't the slugger they traded for last year.
____________________________
You people act as if you have a crystal ball? How can you be sure last year was a fluke? This was his first year having more than 500 at bats? Let's say for the sake of arguement that he's closer to a .280 hitter (his lifetime bavg) vs the .334 he hit with the Pirates last year. That's a fair arguement that he's not going to hit .300++ again. However, what he did do with the Yanks was hit:
.268/.320 w/ 12 hrs and 40 rbis in 228 at bats. Project that out to 550 at bats and you might see 29 hrs and 96 rbis. Now true, you can't really proect rbis like you do hrs but also consider that with a healthy Posada, Swisher and/or Matsui hitting behind him with protection I don't think a .280/.340 w/ 28 hrs and 90 rbis is out of line for him. I'll take those numbers @ 5-7 mil a yearand a better glove than what Abreu showed.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 11:29 AM
YanksFan it's just not a match. They have Jack Cust at DH and Matt Holliday in LF. Matsui can't really play the field either. I wouldn't trade Matsui for Crosby. I wouldn't trade Kennedy for Brown either.
Posted by: KingBen | December 26, 2008 at 11:29 AM
I think there are more teams that match up with the Yankees for a trade ... San Fran, Seattle, and Cinci (to a lesser extent). However, I try not to speculate on trades because I have a bias that might get in the way of true value.
Damon shouldn't be on the block. He did a fine job last year, is an outspoken leader, and could be useful for two more years ... should Cashman see the OF market is crap next year.
Swisher was so happy to become a Yankee ... I would hate to see him shipped out before he gets some ab's. He will bounce back this year.
I agree Matsui has an awful recent health history. But, when he plays, he's consistently good. That's the risk a GM would have to accept. If you get him and he plays, you will definitely get your money's worth.
I'd like to see Gardner start 100 - 120 games in Center, bat 9th, and pinch run a couple dozen times. I figure he'd good for .280 with 50 steals and 80+ runs.
I believe we need Nady's right-handed bat. However, if he's traded, Scott Boras' heart will grow three sizes ... that would signal Holliday as in-line for a huge payday.
Melky should have been traded before last season. Now, he is almost worthless. We can't package him with another OF'er and he's not enough to stand on his own in a swap. We may need a third team in a trade like this. Melky could find resurgence on a smaller stage and add a prospect to the bounty of our original trade target.
Posted by: rossdfarian | December 26, 2008 at 11:33 AM
They can go after guys like Bay, Crisp, Ankeil, Crawford (option year)"
Crisp was traded because he wanted to start and not be a reserve, if he would have been happy as a 4th OF in Boston, then in his own way (and different styles of play) him and Swisher would have probably been the 2 best 4th OF's around and imagine Swisher isn't going to care for having to share time in 2009 either.
___________________________
You're acting like Crisp had a choice in where he went? Boston traded him because they felt Ellsbury/Bay/Drew was the way to go and that paying $6 mil for a 4th OF wasn't a smart move.
However, if I'm the Yanks I'm signing him to be my starting CF and leadoff hitter (assuming that Melky and Gardner fail to show anything in a full year of play in 09).
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 11:34 AM
Rangers have a reasonable outfield as is.
Nelson Cruz
Josh Hamilton
David Murphy
Brandon Boggs
Frank Catalanotto
Plus they have Julio Borbon and Greg Golson stewing in the minors.
The Rangers only real need, outside of pitching, lies at third base. Hank Blalock will DH this year, Chris Davis will man first. Travis Metcalf is ok, but not a long term option. Rangers have a young man named Jose Vallejo up and coming at third, but wont be ready this year.
Posted by: machobeans | December 26, 2008 at 11:41 AM
marlon byrd too
Posted by: machobeans | December 26, 2008 at 11:44 AM
I know I'm going to be blasted for this but I think a combo of Cabrera/Gardner can be productive. It's all a matter of what your expectaions are. To me if I can get .280/.340/12/75rbis/40+ sb then I'm happy. And I think those two can do it. I think it's less likely for a 23 yr old to come and get "lucky" like Melky did in 2006 and 2007. Rather, he cam up and had 2 solid years, was figured out or "lost" his rhythm/confidence. At that point you look at your hitting coach and ask them to do their job and help the young player find his swing again. They will NEVER be a all-stars but they can still be a productive players and on a team with Damon, jeter, Tex, Arod, Posada and Cano they can be productive. it's not like we're asking them to bat cleanup or anything.
The Yanks should hold on to Swisher, keep Nady in right for 1 more year (if we can't resign him then so be it) and if we can package Matsui like:
Matsui w/ cash , Miranda and Kennedy
and get a couple of good OF prospects then cool. If not then we just keep him. No sense in trading for a #5 pitcher when you can sign Pettite or let the young guys battle for it.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 11:46 AM
Yankees only need to find a team willing to take half of matsui's salary, Posada is gonna need time to DH, Swisher will need time at 1st base which leaves teixeira at DH sometimes...
I think at some point Austin Jackson will be called up... possibly around July, August. I would like to see Brandon Laird and Jesus Montero play in AAA this year also.
Yankees could've gotten jonathan Sanchez last year for Matsui and a prospect, but didn't pull the trigger. Giants will not give up Sanchez now.
Posted by: Joba Da Beast | December 26, 2008 at 11:48 AM
YanksFanSince78, thats right about melky and gardner, but i think eventually one of them is going to have to play more than the other, whoever gets hot first will probably get the nod. The homeruns and RBI and Steals are on target, i just dont know about the average. Melky can hit .275, last year i feel was just a bad situation for him. For gardner, last year he didn't have many hard hits. He had 2 game winners, so he appears to be confident in himself, which is something I admire.
Posted by: Joba Da Beast | December 26, 2008 at 11:51 AM
I'd love to give them Horne. They want a RH bat behind Hamilton and that could be Nady.
2B Kinsler
SS Young
CF Hamilton
LF Nady
1B Davis
DH
RF Murphy
C Teagarden/Salty
3B
A guy like Horne could make their starting rotation out of spring training and the Yankees have plenty of spare bullpen types. Of course the Yankees need to get something else back too but they would shed payroll and get a cost controlled OF
Posted by: KingBen | December 26, 2008 at 11:52 AM
Then they can work in their other prospect OFs through DH this year or LF/RF next year.
Posted by: KingBen | December 26, 2008 at 11:53 AM
yanks 09
wouldn't trade N. Swisher
1. solid defense
2. good hitter
3. x factor type
z
Posted by: arod13 | December 26, 2008 at 11:55 AM
yanks 09
1. A. Jackson CF
2. D. Jeter SS
3. M. Teixeira 1B
4. Arod 3B
5. M. Ramirez DH
6. J. Posada C
7. N. Swisher RF
8. R. Cano 2B
9. M. Cabrera LF
good outfield
z
Posted by: arod13 | December 26, 2008 at 12:00 PM
Everyone wants to write off Matsui
When he has been in the lineup, even this past year, he is the most professional/disciplined hitter the Yanks have. Last year, the Yanks had a ton of trouble getting that runner in from 3rd.
Matsui had an awesome % of making sure that runner got
in. He knows how to hit according to each situation, and the same can't be said for any of the Yankees last season, except for Abreu.
sidenote - Everyone wanted to give A-Rod slack for not getting runners in from 3rd, and I'm the first to jump on the bandwagon of hating on A-Rod, but you have to look at his OBP for RISP and runner on 3rd/less than 2 out. It was well over .400. He had no protection and no pitcher would throw him anything hitable. Just trying to get people to see the whole picture!
Posted by: Kavi | December 26, 2008 at 12:03 PM
Let me firt give this disclaimer before I continue. I'm not saying Gardner will be a superstar.
I wish I had this article handy. The writer was talking about Gardner and how, despite not being a power hitter, that no one should mistake him for being a slap and judy hitter. He went on to say that Gardner was a very strong physical player with strong arms, hands and wrists who IS NOT going to have the bat knocked out of his hand when facing power pitchers. I think so often we look at stats and make assumptions. I would say that while he may not hit more HR's than Juan Pierre he's a lot more stronger than Pierre and should be able to sit on pitches and drive the ball thru gaps, etc. He also plays a very good CF with great reads, runs good routes but doesn't have a strong of an arm than Cabrera's but a lot better than Damon.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 12:03 PM
Bailey for Nady.
Reds would need to work really hard at extending Nady.
4/50 would not be terrible. Maybe a little less.
Posted by: GmblngPtchr20 | December 26, 2008 at 12:05 PM
Yanksfan said "Who says Nady didn't like playing in NY? It's not like he came up thru their system or anything."
I didn't say he didn't like playing in NY, if saying - what if - he doesn't like playing in NY- i don't know if he does or does not, but if someone knows if Nady doesn't like playing in NY, maybe he should be traded. No unhappy NYY players :)
I know he didnt want to be traded.
As for trading for Jonathan Sanchez, I dont think they will either, but the NYY can trade for a 4th or 5th starter...like a Sanchez. The Giants have their outfield set I think, but I also know the Giants have made some Giant trading blunders over the years. I can see the Giants making a bad trade again before the 09 season. They signed Johnson to a 1 yr deal, unload Sanchez for a hitter to be a Giant for a year, lose him to free agency while Sanchez flourishes in his new team gets a multi-year deal, typical Giants dealings..I know the Giants miss Joe Nathan,and everyone else they sent to the Twins
Posted by: TripleHHH | December 26, 2008 at 12:05 PM
YanksFanSince78, thats right about melky and gardner, but i think eventually one of them is going to have to play more than the other, whoever gets hot first will probably get the nod. The homeruns and RBI and Steals are on target, i just dont know about the average. Melky can hit .275, last year i feel was just a bad situation for him. For gardner, last year he didn't have many hard hits. He had 2 game winners, so he appears to be confident in himself, which is something I admire.
______________________
I think Gardner will get a longer leash, as opposed to Melky simply because Melky has had a chance to play and while he gives you a little of everything he doesn't do 1 thing as well as Gardner does (Excellent SB potential).
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 12:06 PM
I wonder if Matsui to Angels would make sense. Morales at 1B, an OF of Rivera/GMJ-Hunter-Vlad with Matsui as DH (you can swap Vlad and Matsui between OF and DH). GMJ would become an overpaid 4th outfielder though.
Out of the three, Swisher is the one most likely to be traded because he's the one with the most positive trade value. Swisher to Oakland or Atlanta would make a lot of sense. Atlanta makes more sense though.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 26, 2008 at 12:06 PM
As a Braves fan, I'd rather have Swisher because he's under team control for more years.
He can also play all three OF positions and 1B, making him more versatile than Nady, which makes me think Nady will be the one the Yanks deal.
Sherman has already written that the Yanks need a true utility player and they like Martin Prado. It'll clearly take more than Prado to get Nady, even if he's a rental. So Prado plus Boyer and perhaps Anderson should get the job done.
Anderson is essentially a fourth OF, but he can also play all three positions, giving you a perfect late-inning defender/pinch runner. With Matsui and Damon likely to get a lot of time in the field, Anderson could help the Yanks.
Posted by: ink-stained scribe | December 26, 2008 at 12:07 PM
I value Sanchez like a 3. Insanely high BABIP (aka bad luck), and has improved in every peripheral. With an FIP under 4, Sabean is stupid to trade him now. It would be a sell low move, since his ERA is at a 4-5 level and his peripherals are those of a solid 3.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 26, 2008 at 12:08 PM
I Can see Gardner being everything people once seen him, I just don't see it happening next year, which is what i was saying.
Gardner is definitely a strong player, and a great fielder, I'm not into trading him, I just think that if he had a better year last year, this year would be better for him.
Posted by: Joba Da Beast | December 26, 2008 at 12:08 PM
But what made you say that Nady didn't want to leave Pittsburgh? He was only there for 2 seasons and it's not like they were going to keep in their once he became a FA?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 26, 2008 at 12:10 PM
Posada's injury: Shoulder injuries have a major impact on catching. If you can't throw any runners out you can't catch. It's that simple. Sure, this is a little forecasting on my part, but check out how many 37 YO catchers have successfully come back from major injury. You won't find many (if any).
Posada playing time: Sure, it's not a problem if they sit either Matsui or Posada because BOTH will need to DH. My point was that when you add Tex's salary to Posada/Matsui's salary you are paying $35m+ for Tex's actual cost in 2009. AGAIN, I specifically said that this was still the right move because cash doesn't seem to impair the Yankees decision making process.
Nady: You can choose to believe your own personal assessment of the situation OR you can look at historical performance and various projection systems. With the latter you get a LA corner outfielder in a walk year. Here is Nady's career OPS+ numbers - can you guess which one was last year:
A. 104
B. 107
C. 128
D. 102
It get's even worse. 1st half Nady in Pittsburgh posted an amazing 144 OPS+. How bad do you have to be in the 2nd half to see your OPS+ drop 16 points? You post a 105 OPS+ for the remained of the year as a Yankee.
People assuming they are getting the Pirates 1st half Nady (330/385/550) will be extremely disappointed when they receive the 2nd half Yankee Nady (or any other year of Nady for that matter) with a mediocre line of 270/320/475.
You can hate Abreu all you want but the fact is that Abreu has posted an OPS+ under 120 ONCE since 1998. Abreu's worst year still is in line with Nady's amazing (fluke) last year.
Posted by: bjsguess | December 26, 2008 at 12:10 PM
"So Prado plus Boyer and perhaps Anderson should get the job done."
The Braves wouldn't have to give up that much. Just look at what the Sox gave up. Prado and Betemit are pretty much even, except Prado would be a sell high and plays better defense than Betemit, so Prado's worth more there. I do Prado + Boyer/a fringe type and call it a day. No need to put in Anderson.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 26, 2008 at 12:10 PM
S#it. I meant what the Yankees gave up, not what the Sox gave up.
The White Sox gave up a lot for Swisher. The Yankees gave up a steaming pile of crap.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 26, 2008 at 12:11 PM
"You're acting like Crisp had a choice in where he went? Boston traded him because they felt Ellsbury/Bay/Drew was the way to go and that paying $6 mil for a 4th OF wasn't a smart move."
It was common knowledge that Crisp wanted to start and yes... Boston would have gladly paid him 5.75 million to be the quality reserve and GG caliber backup outfielder in 2009.
Posted by: johns | December 26, 2008 at 12:17 PM