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Pedro Martinez Rumors

WEDNESDAY: Jon Heyman weighs in on Pedro Martinez.  He says the Indians were considering an offer in the $7MM range but they're out now that they've signed Carl Pavano.  Heyman confirms that D'Backs are still in on Pedro.

MONDAY: Ben Shpigel of the New York Times snagged a few quotes from Omar Minaya, who spoke on the Tim Redding conference call today.  Minaya said Pedro Martinez is still an option for the Mets, but they're looking at other guys.  The implication is that they'll only consider Pedro if they fail to sign Derek Lowe, Oliver Perez, or Randy Wolf.  It's probably time for Pedro to move on.

Could he stay in New York?  River Ave. Blues discusses the possibility of Martinez signing with the Yankees.  We know Pedro has narrowed his choices to two teams in each league, and may have rejected a $7MM offer from an AL club.  The Diamondbacks could be another possibility, but the Marlins will pass.


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At this point, Pedro's a big risk. Teams should be able to get a cheaper, younger, and more durable pitcher right from their system.

Peetie is one of the best ever, but he looks done. The Yankees either need to grab an innings eater in a trade for Nady/Swisher...or they should grab Sheets and hope he stays healthy. His upside is superior...and he'd be a #4 with #1 potential.

CC, AJ, Wang, Sheets, Joba....with Hughes, Aceves and Kennedy in AAA ready and waiting.

He'll be the 09 version of El Duque for the White Sox.

Man this sucks for Pedro Martinez. His days in Boston were good but Mets are unlikely to sign him sounds bad. I wonder who's going to sign him if he doesn't go with the Mets?

Call me crazy, but I can see the Brewers and Astros as potential suitors. Both have holes in their rotations, and a solid lineup. If Pedro would be willing to take that "incentive-laden" deal everyone is always talking about, I could see those two teams getting involved.

Yankees... stay away from Pedro.

The Dbacks would be an interesting choice. I love watching the guy pitch, but he needs to understand his value's not so high right now, and being picky isn't how you get signed when you've been injury prone for a couple of years.

The Nats need pitching and may be one of the few teams able to guarantee him a rotation spot. Might be interesting to see if that plays out.

this sounds like a ride right down yankee alley. i can see cashman offering a modest deal to the tune of 4/72M.

"Man this sucks for Pedro Martinez. His days in Boston were good but Mets are unlikely to sign him sounds bad. I wonder who's going to sign him if he doesn't go with the Mets?"

An AAA or independant league team until he proves he can pitch with the loss of 10+mph in velocity he now has successfully.

Why Paul Byrd is not being mentioned as a 5th starter and he stays healthy, eats innings and actually wins games, while finished starters like Martinez's name keeps getting bantered about is crazy.

thanks omar for not signing pedro or derek lowe... finally learned his lesson with these old future hof's in the twilight

i really would like to see the mets sign sheets where he is incentive based

With Hughes and Aceves waiting in the wings, the NYY need a 5th starter. Imagine Pedro as a 5th starter, thats a good 5 spot. He is past his prime, injuries have plagued him but he can still pitch. If the Red Sox can sign Smoltz, then the NYY could sign Pedro, anything is possible

thanks omar for not signing pedro or derek lowe... finally learned his lesson with these old future hof's in the twilight

Posted by: big jay | January 12, 2009 at 11:35 PM

pedro is a lock, lowe has no chance in of getting in any hall of fame unless they create one in beantown for great bar-hopping

The Yankees are going nowhere near Pedro, or any free agent for that matter for the #5 spot. It was either Pettitte or a battle between Kennedy, Hughes, Coke, and Aceves for the spot.

Pedro was great in the past but has not been healthy or effective since 2005. Smoltz on the other hand had 6 great seasons in a row before he got injured last year. It remains to be seen if Smoltz will return to his old form (I think he will be close to it) but Pedro is basically done. Maybe a team like the Marlins could take a chance on him but not the Yankees. Waiting for him to come off the DL would be more of a distraction than having a pitcher like Hughes work out the speed bumps in his game over a full season.

Sheets and Pedro are risky signings. The Red Sox set the market for these types of pitchers when they got Penny and Smoltz on one year deals coming off injury plagued seasons. Cashman should offer the same to these guys.

Another downside to signing Sheets, Pedro, Penny and Smoltz is that their most recent body of work was done against NL teams. You see how different Randy Johnson's stats were in 2005 when he had to face a line with a DH.

I do agree with you Yanks09. However, I still think that the NYY might still sign a pitcher rather than go with Hughes..Id call it a 50/50 chance. It depends on the Yanks budget & how deep they want their rotation..Im sure Pedro will wind up somewhere..as will Byrd, Perez and Lowe

I think he should sign with the Giants. This would give them Cy's Lincecum, Zito, Unit and Pedro.

"You see how different Randy Johnson's stats were in 2005 when he had to face a line with a DH."

I think RJ's problem then was being 41 and in a city he didn't like more than having to deal with the DH. He's never since come close to his 2004 season even though he's been back in the NL.

Sure it's harder pitching to lineups with a DH but the impact is small. Look at Blanton and Haren if you want to see pitchers whose ERAs went up after going to the NL.

The reason to be wary with Pedro is not because he's coming from the NL -- it's because of his age and health. If he's 100% healthy, I would take a risk on him provided the contract was minimal.

"Sure it's harder pitching to lineups with a DH but the impact is small. Look at Blanton and Haren if you want to see pitchers whose ERAs went up after going to the NL."

Haren's FIP went down though. Dan Haren improved in every peripheral after going to the NL. The increase in ERA could be explained by the fact that Haren does get quite a few groundballs, and the Diamondbacks infield defense is inferior (Stephen Drew + Mark Reynolds) to the A's infield defense.

Blanton's ERA went down. He had an ERA of almost 5 with the A's in '08. I can't find FIP splits though. But, Blanton's tRA was higher in Philly than it was in Oakland though.

I'm not saying Haren improved because he went to the NL; I'm just saying that Haren was a better pitcher in '08 than he was in '07.

"You see how different Randy Johnson's stats were in 2005 when he had to face a line with a DH."

And he wasn't even old old. I feel a little bad for Smoltz now at such an old age, coming off surgery without his best stuff facing better hitters and no pitcher. His career was so good, it will be sad to see him put up lesser stats.

No way did anyone offer Martinez 7 million. And if they did, he's an idiot not to take it. The guy is done and if he had any self-respect he'd give the Mets a minor league incentive-laden deal to make up for the fact that his last three years in New York were an unmitigated disaster.

Haren's ERA+ the past 2 years:

137
138

Looks like he pretty much maintained the status quo in terms of being a well above-average SP.

"Yankees... stay away from Pedro."


Pedro... please stay away from the Yankees.

Suprised Ned hasnt made a run at him with the Trash he's been picking up lately.

""You see how different Randy Johnson's stats were in 2005 when he had to face a line with a DH."

And he wasn't even old old. I feel a little bad for Smoltz now at such an old age, coming off surgery without his best stuff facing better hitters and no pitcher. His career was so good, it will be sad to see him put up lesser stats."

Yes, Randy Johnson wasn't old. He was only a ripe young 41 as a Yankee.

I wouldn't mind seeing the Cubs take a look at him. If they could get him (relatively) cheap on a 1-year deal, why not? He'd slot in nicely in that #5 spot, and they could use Sean Marshall to give him a rest every 4th start or so to try and keep him healthy.

Was this before the Tribe got DeRosa? Because if it wasn't...where is that $5.5 million that is the difference between Pavano's contract and the $7 million we would have given Pedro?

And don't tell me we're saving it to give Pavano for his incentive money-we all know there is no way he'll make any of that.

Since Pedro will likely be one of the bargains of this offseason, is it really any surprise that Cleveland, Arizona, and Florida, 3 of the best run organizations in baseball are all in on him? Me thinks no.

You would think he would be very picky with who he would sign with. I this point of his career with so much accomplished, he would be looking to sign with a team that is favored to win the world series. I wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't sign with someone until the all-star break.

''The guy is done and if he had any self-respect he'd give the Mets a minor league incentive-laden deal to make up for the fact that his last three years in New York were an unmitigated disaster.''

Obviously it would take a few million to get Pedro back to the Mets, but I think this is somewhat sitting in his mind when deciding where to sign. I seriously think he would take less money to come back to the Mets to finish his career off here and finish what he's started.

I still just can't fathom this team giving money to Tim Redding, a well-documented league-average pitcher that was pretty much out of the majors for three years before putting a SOLID 5 ERA up last season, over a future Hall of Famer that could perhaps restructure his pitching style to match his diminished velocity in Pedro Martinez.

If he's healthy next season, I really think he could continue his career. Maybe foolish thinking here, but I still disagree on the idea that he's finished.

I'm with you Matty. I just am. I don't care what anybody says, until I see a healthy Pedro Martinez fail to get it done, I will refuse to believe that a healthy Pedro Martinez cannot get it done. I understand that he is an injury risk, but as a number 5 pitcher, how much of a risk is he really? How hard is it to replace a number 5 pitcher if he goes down during the course of a season. That is a scenario that can be prepared for rather easily. It isn't like bringing in Pedro as a number 2 pitcher, and worrying about replacing a number 2 pitcher's production, which is almost impossible to do. Screw Tim Redding. We can stick his ass in AAA or in the bullpen, how do you replace Pedro Martinez with a pitcher who is coming off a crappy season, and has never been good at any point in his major league career. It is sickening.

"An AAA or independant league team until he proves he can pitch with the loss of 10+mph in velocity he now has successfully."

Right, because Pedro didn't strike out a batter per inning, post a 2.82 era and allow less then a baserunner per inning over 215 innings in 2005, with the same velocity he is throwing with currently. That certainly didn't happen.

Check out this piece on Pedro.

http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/is-pedro-martinez-finished/

Dbacks would be a good fit. If they pull of this trade with the red sox they will have 3 up coming star prospects (with who ever they trade for scherzer and parker with a few other ok prospects). With pedro they will have a class act like davis a former all star (pedro) and two studs to grow off of and take most of the heat while these guys get ready. Just dont spend to much like 7 mil on him.

mets need to sign the following payers


1- ben sheets
2- pudge for one yr and in 2010 pik up victor martinez
3- get an outfielder, manny or abreu, or nady
4- pik up one more starter (sheets,ollie, or both if possible)


rotation

1-santana
2-sheets
3-perez
4-pelfrey
5-maine

or

1- santana
2- sheets/perez
3-pelfrey
4- maine
5- redding/niese(if we signed sheets)


lineup without manny or abreu or pudge

1- reyes ss
2- murphy 2b
3- wright 3b
4- delgado 1b
5- beltran cf
6- church rf
7- tatis lf
8- schnieder


with manny/ manny and pudge

1- reyes ss //// reyes ss
2- murphy 2b //// church rf
3- wright 3b //// wright 3b
4- manny lf //// manny lf
5- delgado 1b //// beltran cf
6- beltran cf //// delgado 1b
7- church rf //// pudge c
8- schnieder //// murphy 2b

with abreu / abreu and pudge

1- reyes ss //// reyes ss
2- abreu rf/lf //// abreu rf
3- wright 3b //// wright 3b
4- delgado 1b ////delgado 1b
5- beltran cf ////beltran cf
6- church lf/rf //// church lf
7- murphy 2b //// pudge c
8- schnieder c //// murphy 2b


bullpen :

CL - Krod/9th inning
SU- Putz/8th inning

MR-sanchez/7th inning
MR-feliciano/lefties
MR- Parnell/ situational
MR- Stoke/ situational

LR- niese/redding
LR-sean green/ carlos muniz

Im a mets fan...

But I wish the Red Sox would give him a small deal, so that Pedro could retire there...

He was a great pitcher with boston(1999 and 2000 especially) and out of respect I think It would be a nice jester for Boston to give him that oppurtunity

Wow, I'm shocked the Indians were seriously considering Pedro, especially at the $7 million level... Personally, I'd rather not have him at that price. $3 to $4 million, plus incentives seems fair.

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