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By Ben Nicholson-Smith [July 14, 2009 at 12:06pm CST]
Roy Halladay's availability changes everything, because teams in search of an ace can target him instead of settling for lesser pitchers. But many arms could be moved in the next 17 days and some could even be traded in August. These pitchers, who could all conceivably be dealt, are
ranked from highest 2009 salary to lowest:
- Roy Halladay, Blue Jays - At $14.25MM he's pricey, but he's one of the top pitchers in the game, capable of transforming a team's playoff chances like C.C. Sabathia did last year.
- Javier Vazquez, Braves - The rumors surrounding Vazquez have quieted lately, but he could be moved. He makes $11.5MM this year and next and can't be traded to any Western division team.
- Gil Meche, Royals - Meche makes $11MM this year and has $24MM remaining on his deal afterwards.
- Doug Davis, D'Backs - The D'Backs aren't impressed with the players the Brewers are willing to offer for their pitcher, who makes $8.75MM this year. Davis has been productive all season.
- Jon Garland, D'Backs - Another solid but unspectacular arm, Garland makes $6.25MM this year. No team acquiring him should count on receiving picks if he leaves as a free agent, because Garland has a clause in his contract that prevents teams from offering him arbitration if he has Type A stauts.
- Cliff Lee, Indians - He makes just $5.75MM this year and the Indians have an affordable $8MM option for 2010, so they'd have to see an awesome offer to part with Lee, who's following up his Cy Young season with another solid year.
- Brad Penny, Red Sox - Now that they've called on Clay Buchholz, the Red Sox once again have a surplus of big league pitchers. At $5MM plus incentives, Penny's affordable this year.
- Ian Snell, Pirates - He's pitching well in Triple A, where he struck out 17 in one game. The Pirates have tried to move Snell and his $3MM salary.
- Paul Mahom, Pirates - The Pirates have been willing to sell and Maholm's been effective this year. He makes $2MM, and has at least $11MM remaining on his deal after the year.
- Brian Bannister, Royals - At just $1.7MM, he's one of the cheaper starters out there.
- Carl Pavano, Indians - The Indians aren't contenders and Pavano has pitched better this season than he did in four years with the Yankees. He makes a base salary of just $1.5MM, but that could rise as high as $6.8MM because of incentives.
- Jonathan Sanchez, Giants - He makes less than $500k and, as we found out this weekend, he has the potential to be dominant.
Let's not forget about some free agent pitchers like Ben Sheets (may be injured), Pedro Martinez (about to sign), Odalis Perez and Paul Byrd.
None of the following pitchers are available now, but they could be if their teams fall
from contention: Bronson Arroyo, Doug Brocail, Jason Marquis, Erik Bedard and Jarrod Washburn.
A team would have to be really desperate to give up any worthwhile prospect for Doug Davis or Jon Garland.
Sure Davis has a nice ERA this season but his BB are up and his GB% is down, it is nothing but a LOB% blip.
Posted by: Ender | July 14, 2009 at 12:10 PM
I wish the Braves would put Lowe on the market instead of Javy.
Posted by: Braves for NL East!! | July 14, 2009 at 12:10 PM
Doug Brocail is not a starting pitcher.
Posted by: matthasnoname | July 14, 2009 at 12:16 PM
Why would anyone touch Lowe when he's owed 45+ million over the next 3 years??
Posted by: EastCoastBias | July 14, 2009 at 12:17 PM
What about KK from the Braves? I know about the door to Japan being burnt if this happens. However, they don't have to absolutely keep him. They should at least be able to get a B B- prospect from whoever they decide on.
Posted by: Braves for NL East!! | July 14, 2009 at 12:19 PM
Why do so many Braves fans want to get rid of KK. He has done an excellent job so far. He would be a #3 starter on many teams.
Posted by: BravesAllTheWay | July 14, 2009 at 12:30 PM
If the Jays don't deal Doc, or even if they do, Brian Tallet may interest a lot of teams since he can now start or help out in the pen. CHC, NYM, STL, and PHI are some teams that may have a lot of interest in him, so I'd add him to the list of trade candidate pitchers.
Posted by: 4LeafClovers | July 14, 2009 at 12:32 PM
"What about KK from the Braves? I know about the door to Japan being burnt if this happens. However, they don't have to absolutely keep him. They should at least be able to get a B B- prospect from whoever they decide on."
The Braves wouldn't open up the door to the Japanese market and then slam it shut. There is no way KK goes anywhere.
Posted by: B3NG4L | July 14, 2009 at 12:36 PM
Don't forget about Jeremy Guthrie, who MacPhail hasn't said is untouchable...
Posted by: jtrea81 | July 14, 2009 at 12:43 PM
Pavano would be a sick pickup for a team that is going to be in the hunt down the stretch. He has an awesome peripheral stats profile this year with horrid luck.
Posted by: bat the pitcher 8th | July 14, 2009 at 12:44 PM
The Yankees should look at Doug Davis from the DBacks as an insurance starter. Joba has been inconsistent lately and Wang has been injured. Also he has pitched poorly this season except for a couple of starts before he hit the DL.
Posted by: Teixiera/ARod FTW | July 14, 2009 at 12:46 PM
Also regarding the Roy Halladay situation. Would a package from the Phillies consisting of Dominic Brown, Kyle Drabek, Jason Donald, Lou Marson, and Antonio Bastardo be enough?
Posted by: Teixiera/ARod FTW | July 14, 2009 at 12:49 PM
The idea of trading Vasquez is something invented by bloggers and sportswriters. Frank Wren didn't spend all his energy last offseason trying to put together a durable, effective starting rotation only to turn around and trade arguably his best starter the next July.
Posted by: Ron Edwards | July 14, 2009 at 12:50 PM
Davis would get rocked in the AL East, IMO. He has a 4.34 FIP in the NL West. Also, a 1.44 WHIP - the guy has had incredible luck and it will catch up to him.
"Don't forget about Jeremy Guthrie, who MacPhail hasn't said is untouchable..."
Any team that picked up Guthrie would severely regret it. Guthrie was one of the luckiest pitchers in the league for his first two seasons. Now, not so much.
Posted by: B3NG4L | July 14, 2009 at 12:50 PM
"Would a package from the Phillies consisting of Dominic Brown, Kyle Drabek, Jason Donald, Lou Marson, and Antonio Bastardo be enough?"
That's probably what the Jays are looking for, and probably what the Phillies are hesitant to deal.
Posted by: thephrontiersman | July 14, 2009 at 01:31 PM
Forget DD, i'd like to see the Yanks go after Brian Bannister...
Posted by: Thee4stringking | July 14, 2009 at 01:31 PM
What about a deal of Matt Joyce and Andy Sonnastine for Javy Vasquez? Another playoff run would go a long way towards paying Vasquez's salary.
Posted by: aj7380 | July 14, 2009 at 01:49 PM
"The idea of trading Vasquez is something invented by bloggers and sportswriters."
Maybe, but it's strangely a good idea. The Braves have some of the worst power numbers in the majors, they need a power guy, a run producers. Best way to do that is from their position of strength.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | July 14, 2009 at 02:06 PM
"Any team that picked up Guthrie would severely regret it. Guthrie was one of the luckiest pitchers in the league for his first two seasons. Now, not so much."
Yeah, Guthrie isn't really much more than a mediocre 4/5 starter that has 91-96 MPH heat.
"
"Would a package from the Phillies consisting of Dominic Brown, Kyle Drabek, Jason Donald, Lou Marson, and Antonio Bastardo be enough?"
That's probably what the Jays are looking for, and probably what the Phillies are hesitant to deal."
I don't understand why the Phillies are so hesitant to include Drabek in a Halladay package. Drabek only has two plus pitches, fastball and curveball, he's 21 and only in AA, and he's coming off of major surgery (TJS).
And yet, for some reason, his trade value is seemingly sky high right now.
I'd include Drabek in a package before Jason Knapp, simply because Drabek seems to be overvalued while Knapp doesn't get the hype that he deserves.
The Phillies should be willing to give up Brown/Drabek/Marson/Donald/low level guy for Halladay.
"Jon Garland, D'Backs - Another solid but unspectacular arm"
Hardly. Garland isn't too good.
He's pretty much incapable of missing bats (3.62 K/9) and his walk rate has increased in each season since 2006. He's been alright this season thanks to a fairly low HR/FB ratio, but he's nothing more than a decent fifth starter.
And he happens to make $8.75M for this season when you include the $2.5M buyout attached to his 2010 mutual option. They can't possibly exercise that $10M option.
Posted by: scribbletone | July 14, 2009 at 02:35 PM
-Trading Vasquez would be a mistake. Braves can be contenders next year and if traded, they could find themselves needing to replace him next year.
-Are the Pirates ever going to hold on to players of value making more than $3 mil a year?
"What about a deal of Matt Joyce and Andy Sonnastine for Javy Vasquez? Another playoff run would go a long way towards paying Vasquez's salary".
Posted by: aj7380 | July 14, 2009 at 01:49 PM
----
Matt Joyce is still unproven meanwhile, Sonnastine,... sucks. Why trade a power, durable arm for an unproven bat and a #5 starter who was demoted to AAA?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | July 14, 2009 at 02:38 PM
I'd include Drabek in a package before Jason Knapp, simply because Drabek seems to be overvalued while Knapp doesn't get the hype that he deserves.
---------------
I think you're underselling on Drabek. He had TJ surgery and usually the 2nd year after the surgery is when a pitcher is at his strongest. Drabek has FOR potential and at age 21 AA is a decent level for him to be right now.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | July 14, 2009 at 02:49 PM
The yanks cant afford to go out and trade away prospects like last yr for a couple of players that arent even playing what they need to do is go after DD with a couple of single a players and one b class player..
Posted by: hecmigton | July 14, 2009 at 03:43 PM
scribbletone,
I agree with you 1000%. If forced to choose I'd choose to give up Drabek and not Knapp. You can't teach 96-98 MPH but you can teach mechanics and pitches.
Yanksfan,
while i do agree with you that Drabek is undersold by some if he didn't have TJ surgery he'd be at AAA right now with a callup a near certainty instead of waiting on him for 2010 to potentially start the season in Philly.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | July 14, 2009 at 03:44 PM
Bedard and Washburn are probably available even if the Mariners stay in contention.
Posted by: csiems | July 14, 2009 at 03:55 PM
How about Halladay to the Dodgers for shortstop prospects Godon and DeJesus, plus pitching prospects McDonald, Elbert and Stults? I would do that if I am the Dodgers even though they are giving up future talent. . .
Posted by: Dodgersin2009 | July 14, 2009 at 06:05 PM
Godon is Devaris Gordon . . .
Posted by: Dodgersin2009 | July 14, 2009 at 06:05 PM
"Would a package from the Phillies consisting of Dominic Brown, Kyle Drabek, Jason Donald, Lou Marson, and Antonio Bastardo be enough?"
That's probably what the Jays are looking for, and probably what the Phillies are hesitant to deal.
Posted by: thephrontiersman | July 14, 2009 at 01:31 PM
Any trade for Halladay looks like will have to include JA Happ. From what all rumors out of Toronto are saying.
But Drabek, Bastardo, and a couple in fielder prospects not named Donald like High A guys would get you Cliff Lee and Phillies would save Millions and top Prospects Cliff Lee makes alot less next year 6 mil less and they would save a couple mil this year by trading for Lee.
And maybe more if Cleveland would pay the reat of Lee's contract this year. The Blue Jays will not pick up any of Hallidays contract.
And if money isn't a issue then why not trade for both after making the deal for Lee
Then trade JA Happ / Marson / Brown or Taylor / Donald / Savory for Halladay
Now you have a rotation that would make the Phillies the favorite not only for the World Series this year but also next year. Pedro would be the #5 guy.
Halliday / Hamels / Lee / Moyer or Blanton / Pedro
Blanton pitched out of the Bullpen as the long man for the A's before becoming a starter.
Posted by: baseballnuts | July 15, 2009 at 06:17 AM
You flunk Ben.
Eric Bedard and Jarrod Washburn, both sub 3.00 era starters and you don't even mention them. Please do your homework and quit reading only the East Coast newspapers - the nation doesn't evolve around the Yankees.
Posted by: RonLaCroix | July 15, 2009 at 09:52 AM