![]() |
|
|
| |
« Phillies Free Agent Notes | Main | Odds & Ends: Pirates, Jeter, Marlins »
Over the past week, we've heard rumblings about the Tigers making players such as Curtis Granderson and Edwin Jackson available in order to shed payroll in the coming years. In his latest column, Ken Rosenthal offers up another question: should the Tigers look to trade Miguel Cabrera? Rosenthal opines that it makes financial sense for the Tigers to do just that.
Cabrera, 26, is entering his prime and is already established as one of the game's elite hitters. His bat is the cornerstone of Detroit's offense, and his 209 career home runs and career line of .311/.383/.542 would draw interest from many teams. Cabrera is owed $126MM over the final six years of his contract, however. He also had his share of off-field issues at the end of the season, as the Tigers lost a three-game lead on the AL Central with four games to go. Could the $126MM be spent more effectively by the Tigers? Fangraphs would say that for the time being, Cabrera is worth the money; they valued his performance at $24.3MM in 2009.
The Tigers will have $102.1MM committed to Cabrera, Magglio Ordonez, Jeremy Bonderman, Nate Robertson, Dontrelle Willis, Curtis Granderson, Carlos Guillen, and Brandon Inge in 2010, before arbitration raises to other players including Justin Verlander and Edwin Jackson.
However, following the 2010 season, the contracts of Ordonez, Bonderman, Robertson, Willis, and Inge will be coming off the books in Detroit, freeing up more than $57MM. Given that information, is it better to trade their best hitter to save payroll and stock the farm system, or try to gut it out and work through the financial difficulties that 2010 has to offer? Rosenthal speculates one possible trade scenario to Boston, an exchange of Cabrera for Jonathan Papelbon, Mike Lowell, and a solid prospect such as Lars Anderson or Stolmy Pimentel. What's the better move for the Tigers, and what kind of package could Cabrera fetch if he were available on the trade market this offseason?
This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.
As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.
Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.


|
|
I would just wait it out and let those other contracts run out.. Miggy, Granderson, and Jackson should be kept and if they cannot expunge those other contracts they should just wait til 2011.
Well I would trade Jackson because I believe his stats are bound to regress.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | November 15, 2009 at 03:35 PM
Papelbon, Lowell, and Anderson for Miggy.... really?!? Detroit would be getting fleeced worse than they did in the Renteria for JJ and Gorkys deal!!
Posted by: chipperowns10 | November 15, 2009 at 03:35 PM
Does Rosenthal work for the Red Sox now? Papelbon+Lowell+Anderson couldn't land Cabrera's jock strap.
Posted by: V | November 15, 2009 at 03:36 PM
Mets should go
for broke. Fmart, holt, mejia, whoever for cabrera and a sp
Posted by: wallybackman | November 15, 2009 at 03:37 PM
"Discussion: Should Detroit Move Cabrera?"
Simple answer: No.
Posted by: colaz | November 15, 2009 at 03:38 PM
Oh boy this is going to be fun...
Posted by: philthepat | November 15, 2009 at 03:39 PM
See thats the whole point though, its not the size of the package that they get for Miggy that is the good part, its saving almost $200 million to spend in other places to rebuild the team. If the Red Sox offered Lowell for free, Papelbon and BOTH Anderson and Pimentel and took on all the money, how do you not get upside in that?
Posted by: 04Forever | November 15, 2009 at 03:39 PM
This is the trade, if the Tigers are really committed to shredding payroll would be the trade to make.
Jackson isn't going to garner you a ton and neither will Granderson, despite his overvalue in Detroit. (I live in Michigan and he isn't an elite player)
The Tigers are an interesting team and I don't think they are long term contenders. I think it would be wise to part with Cabrera but don't think that the Red Sox match up well with the Tigers either.
The Tigers need offense, not pitching (outside of the bullpen) and the trade scenario that Rosenthal throws out is beyond stupid. The Tigers aren't going to trade a large contract for another large contract that is only controlled for two more years. Not to mention they would have no spot for Lowell and Anderson/Pimentel aren't even stellar prospects.
The Sox are better suitors for the Padres and Gonzalez.
Posted by: RedSox169 | November 15, 2009 at 03:40 PM
its going to happen, they already made the easier cuts of the degrading players, this is going to happen soon enough. Detriot cant afford a losing club with a massive contract if they are serious about rebuilding, its not possible.
What if the sox took on 50% of the Ordonez money too? that might be something to sox could do if the Bay signing falls through
Posted by: 04Forever | November 15, 2009 at 03:42 PM
No, this article is dumb; all the Tigers rumors are dumb and make no sense whatsoever.
Posted by: Will Smiff | November 15, 2009 at 03:42 PM
"Papelbon, Lowell, and Anderson for Miggy.... really?!? Detroit would be getting fleeced worse than they did in the Renteria for JJ and Gorkys deal!!"
You do realize that these salary figures floating around are not paid in Monopoly money, right?
Posted by: DunkinDonuts | November 15, 2009 at 03:43 PM
04Forever it isn't going to happen. The Tigers would be smart to trade Cabrera and get a monster package of prospects that are under the teams control.
However that team isn't the Red Sox. We have Buchholz and Bard who would be enticing. But we don't have any MLB ready offensive prospects that the Tigers would want.
Westmoreland is our best offensive chip but he is coming off of two injuries in the last year and is only in A ball.
The Tigers aren't just going to trade Cabrera to shed payroll. There would be other suitors to take his contract and give up a huge package of prospects.
Posted by: RedSox169 | November 15, 2009 at 03:45 PM
mets farm except for davis for cabrera
Posted by: johan is GOD | November 15, 2009 at 03:45 PM
Steve,
I think the $126M is over six seasons, not five.
Posted by: DunkinDonuts | November 15, 2009 at 03:46 PM
"See thats the whole point though, its not the size of the package that they get for Miggy that is the good part, its saving almost $200 million to spend in other places to rebuild the team. If the Red Sox offered Lowell for free, Papelbon and BOTH Anderson and Pimentel and took on all the money, how do you not get upside in that?"
The Sox pay Lowell's salary, and all of Papelbon's pay throughout his arbitration years, and add a better prospect than Anderson (come on, he's approaching non-prospect level if he repeats his awful 2009), and it's close.
Lowell+Papelbon+Anderson without eating salary is stupid, though.
Posted by: V | November 15, 2009 at 03:46 PM
i'd rather have Adrian than 2 Cabreras. And this talk of trading Papelbon is starting to annoy the hell out of me. I can promise you that he won't be moved. If I'm Theo, I sign Lackey (to get him 1 and keep him from the yankees 2) and trade for Gonzalez.
Posted by: jondogg1985 | November 15, 2009 at 03:46 PM
mets farm except for davis for cabrera
Posted by: johan is GOD | November 15, 2009 at 03:45 PM"
Pretty sure they would like a first baseman..
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | November 15, 2009 at 03:48 PM
Am O the only one that thinks this is the stupidest trade rumor ever. Miguel Cabretta, who has a career path similar to Manny Ramirez, for Mike Lowell who is a great player but cannot play a whole season at third base, Jihnathon Paplebon who is about to get really expensive over the next two years, and Lars Anderson whose stock dropped dramitically this year. First of all how would the Tigers begin to replace Cabrerra production unless they signed Holliday or Bay, and besides Anderson there are no long time players in the deal. The only possible reason the Tigers should ever trade Cabrerra is if the Royals called and offered Billy Butler and Zach Greunke. Whick we all now will NEVER happen.
Posted by: metfan57 | November 15, 2009 at 03:49 PM
Yes, all this talk about the Tigers moving players is dumb because they are too dumb to move players. They'd want WAY too much for Cabrera and because of his contract, he is less valuable in a trade. I would hate to see the Red Sox give a bail out to Detroit just because their scared to have a lil payroll and keep it. The mentioned trade of Papelbon Lowell and a prospect would be MORE than sufficient but it wouldn't solve the FINANCIAL problem the Tigers have. So if they expect to trade ANY of their players you can't expect to get great talent AND for a team to eat the salary too. If you think differently, you won't ever win. Ever.
Posted by: jondogg1985 | November 15, 2009 at 03:50 PM
the sox have a more realistic shot now with Detriot then they do with San Diego now that Hoyer is the GM, he knows how Theo operates, there is no way the sox get a deal done there, nobody will back down.
Posted by: 04Forever | November 15, 2009 at 03:50 PM
Hmm. Magglio and Cabrera? Kind of interesting...When does Miggy's contract run out?
Posted by: soxcurse | November 15, 2009 at 03:50 PM
Jondogg1985, that is the offseason, that if I am Theo I look hard at.
I go out and sign Lackey, not to keep him from the Yankees but to open up things for the offseason. If you sign Lackey (Lets say 4 years, $16 or so million) that allows you to open up Buchholz for a trade. That would leave your top four of Beckett, Lester, Lackey, Dice-K which is very good.
Currently there is no possible way the Red Sox can afford to trade Clay for anything other than Halladay or Felix.
You go out and use Buchholz, Kelly, Reddick/Kalish and Anderson to get Gonzalez.
You also sign either Holliday or Bay.
Posted by: RedSox169 | November 15, 2009 at 03:50 PM
Thanks Dunkin. Apparently simple math is not my strong suit.
Posted by: Steve Adams | November 15, 2009 at 03:51 PM
No they should not trade Cabrera. It's pretty simple. Let the contracts come off the books next year and go from there.
Think about it, when those bad contracts are gone to the hitters they have (Ordonez, Guillen and Inge) and if they trade Miggs away who do they have to hit?
Build around him don't trade him.
Posted by: bbxxj | November 15, 2009 at 03:52 PM
How about Miguel Cabrera for Luis Castillo?
Posted by: Nicholas Hoelker | November 15, 2009 at 03:53 PM
04Forever that argument makes little to no sense.
Yes Hoyer isn't going to let Theo fleece him, however he knows the Sox prospects more than he does any teams out there and probably has his own prospects that he loves.
It isn't like Theo and Hoyer agreed on everything over the past several years.
If you offer a package of Buchholz, Kelly, Kalish/Reddick and Anderson it would be a very tough deal to turn down for the Padres.
Posted by: RedSox169 | November 15, 2009 at 03:53 PM
Danny Murphy for Miggy straight up!
I could definitely see the Braves become players in this if they lose out on LaRoche. Miggy is paid just too much and that could be a huge problem when trying to trade him to someone other than the Red Sox and Yankees.
If I were Detroit, I wouldn't shop him and instead get rid other expenses for salary relief, bullpen arms, and prospects (if Granderson is traded).
Posted by: Darion | November 15, 2009 at 03:53 PM
Ordonez is in the last year of his 5 year 85 million dollar deal, thats about $17 million. the sox could probably absorb that two if Miggy were the prime target
Posted by: 04Forever | November 15, 2009 at 03:53 PM
I think the Tigers have a fair market value on Cabrera, and he's young, I wouldn't trade him if I was them. He's only 26 and can be built around if they do to choose to rebuild. I don't know why Detroit suddenly became some small market team, his contract shouldn't be that much of an albatross once the bad ones come off the books.
Posted by: chisoxfan83 | November 15, 2009 at 03:53 PM
Well, idk about you guys, but I would rather have a player who actually wants to play ball like Lowell and Papelbon, over an alcoholic like Cabrera. Sometimes bettering your team in two, three, maybe even four positions out of a trade for Cabrera is the way to go. Detroit needs that extra payroll space, and they are going to be losing a second basemen, a closer, and could get some use out of their aging players to mentor possible prospects.
Posted by: bracet09 | November 15, 2009 at 03:54 PM
i wouldnt trade Buchholz now at this point unless it were for one of two pitchers, King Felix or Doc Hallady, and im not even sure id throw him in for a rental on Doc
Posted by: 04Forever | November 15, 2009 at 03:55 PM
Actually, now that I think of it, Detroit SHOULD take the Jonathan Papelbon, Mike Lowell, and a solid prospect such as Lars Anderson IF the Red Sox take on Ordonez's contract as well or send lots of cash along.
Posted by: Darion | November 15, 2009 at 03:59 PM
So RedSox169 are you suggesting I'm right other than I think it's dumb to get Cabrera? I mean sure, I think he'd make the lineup better but at what cost? I think that the Sox have a real shot at getting Adrian I just hope for 1. that fans of the other 28 teams don't think that the Jed Hoyer- Theo relationship made it happen kinda like non Celtics or Wolves fans did about the Mchale-Ainge relationship in regards to Kevin Garnett. 2. There isn't some crazy expectation that we have to rework Adrians contract. Not that extending him is a bad idea but giving him way more money isn't the best idea when you can pay him what he's making now.
Posted by: jondogg1985 | November 15, 2009 at 03:59 PM
Holt, Flores, havens, Familia, Fernando Martinez, Nick Evans and Brant Rustich for Cabrera and Jackson....seems fair right?
Posted by: johan is GOD | November 15, 2009 at 04:03 PM
Red Sox Get:
Miguel Caberea
Magglio Ordonez
Tigers Get
Jonathan Papelbon
Mike Lowell
Top Prospect
A Boat Load of Cash, around about $210,000,000
Posted by: 04Forever | November 15, 2009 at 04:03 PM
"Holt, Flores, havens, Familia, Fernando Martinez, Nick Evans and Brant Rustich for Cabrera and Jackson....seems fair right?"
Mets cant handle the money
Posted by: 04Forever | November 15, 2009 at 04:04 PM
besides, the last thing the mets should do is trade away all their top talen for one player when they need to address other aspects of the team themselves. werent they even considering moving Beltran at one point?
Posted by: 04Forever | November 15, 2009 at 04:06 PM
This thread is full of dumb. The Tigers can just wait until 2011 when pretty much all of their crap contracts expire and then go from there. More bull from an east coast writer trying to get the idiots from New York and Boston all riled up.
Posted by: TwinRoyals | November 15, 2009 at 04:07 PM
The only team that really makes sense is the Sox. They have the money, trade chips and position need.
To Sox:
Cabrera $20M
Ordonez $18M
Willis $12M (Total $50M)
To Detroit:
Mike Lowell
Lars Anserson
Jeremy Hermida
George Kottaras
Josh Reddick (Total $16M)
Detroit then signs:
Figgins $8M
Lackey $18M (Total $26M)
Posted by: Theo Epstein | November 15, 2009 at 04:09 PM
why couldn't they handle the money? They have around 32 million free.
Posted by: johan is GOD | November 15, 2009 at 04:10 PM
04forever, stop talking until you know what you are talkin about. Why would the mets trade their best player
Posted by: johan is GOD | November 15, 2009 at 04:11 PM
Dodgers don't have the money free but ignoring that what about an offer of say-
Billingsley
Loney
Sherrill
Pierre
DeJesus
Withrow?
Posted by: Reacher | November 15, 2009 at 04:12 PM
LOL 210,000,000??? MLB will let that go through for sure.
Posted by: ptk420biatch | November 15, 2009 at 04:14 PM
This trade migh be more realistic
Tigers get
Lowell
Papelbon
Buchholz
Kelly
Reddick
Red Sox get
Cabrera
Ordonez
Willis/Robertson
Mid-level prospect
The Red Sox would also have to eat all the money owed to Cabrera, Ordonez, and WIllis/Robertson.
Cabrera is a top 10 talent in baseball, regardless of money. Lowell is old and declining in haelth and paps could bolt soon and has become semi-unreliable
Posted by: www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1189366223 | November 15, 2009 at 04:15 PM
Dumb idea.
Most of these writers are just stirring up trouble for the fun of it.
Posted by: Ethanator99 | November 15, 2009 at 04:20 PM
If Detroit is desperate to shed payroll as the reports have said, why were they dumb enough to let Ordonez's option vest? That would have saved big money.
Posted by: Gstill45 | November 15, 2009 at 04:21 PM
The Tigers would be trading him to free up money. Why would they want Papelbon and Lowell, they are both expensive. Maybe the Red Sox would pick-up Lowell's contract, but still. They probably want cheap, controlled players.
Try:
Bucholtz
Lars Anderson
Jed Lowrie
Posted by: Twins777 | November 15, 2009 at 04:22 PM
that is a ridiculous proposal by rosenthal.
cabrera has been a top 10 player in the league for like 4 years now and hes only 26. to get him should cost more than halladay or gonzales. he is the equivalent of felix hernandez for a hitter. one of the best at such a young age.
Posted by: Timmy B | November 15, 2009 at 04:24 PM
A resounding NO!!!!
Paps, Lowell, plus a "solid" prospect?
Are you kidding me?
Theo would be laughed off the phone my Dave!!
Why would the Tigers give up their offensive force? They sucked offensively last year, that's what lost them pitching duels!! This is ridiculous!
Tigers fans, wait 'till this next seasons over. Then, some of the dead wait will come
off the books!
But, regardless of how crappy the Tigers' payroll and season will be, the AL Central is totally up for grabs!
Posted by: pskip13 | November 15, 2009 at 04:25 PM
Theo:
so this is what you're proposing for det? not pretty:
SS Santiago
OF Thomas
OF Granderson
DH Hermida
1B Guillen
3B Lowell
2B Inge
OF Rauburn
C Laird
Posted by: 2HeadedBoy | November 15, 2009 at 04:29 PM
Braves could offer Freeman (one of the top 1b specs in baseball) along with some veryy good specs.
Posted by: QuadBravesFan | November 15, 2009 at 04:34 PM
Absolutely not. Their trying to build around him here. This post pisses me off, because there isn't any way this is going to happen. If I'm DD I don't listen on offers for Cabrera or JV. Anyone else would be on the table though.
Posted by: tigers22 | November 15, 2009 at 04:43 PM
Wow, god this thread is just one giant mind f&$#...The Tigers shed pretty much every awful contract after next year. Why would they go into rebuilding mode by trading their best players for your garbage prospects when they'll be able to sign pretty much anybody in 2011?
Posted by: TwinRoyals | November 15, 2009 at 04:46 PM
haha finally, someone thinking rationally
Posted by: tigers22 | November 15, 2009 at 04:50 PM
If the Tigers fail to resign Polanco/Everett, then Lowrie could be a great addition to them. Lowrie, Reddick, Paps, Pimental for Cabrera and Ordonez?
Posted by: twitter.com/bomberj11 | November 15, 2009 at 04:53 PM
2head,
but they would have about $35M off the books for this year to sign someone like Lackey, Damon, Figgins, etc.
Posted by: Theo Epstein | November 15, 2009 at 04:55 PM
NO. Lowrie isnt any good. If the Sox don't even want him to play ss, we don't need him pawned off on us. You Red Sox fans can just keep dreaming on this one
Posted by: tigers22 | November 15, 2009 at 04:55 PM
Tigers Get: Jonathan Papelbon, Josh Redick(ranked 2nd Sox Prospects,) Lars Anderson (ranked 5th,) and Mike Lowell
Red Sox Get: Miguel Cabrera
I think that is fair for both sides. The Tigers are getting rid of a huge contract, and they're getting 2 great prospects in the process. Also, they get Papelbon, and Lowell, both of their contracts are up next year, but they both can help the Tigers compete in the AL Central.
Posted by: BostonsFuture | November 15, 2009 at 04:57 PM
Dude no, Mike Lowell will not help the Tigers. They have Inge under contract. We don't need another 3b. The sheer fact that were talking about this is very annoying.
Posted by: tigers22 | November 15, 2009 at 05:00 PM
Bumgarner, Kieschnick, Gillespie, Wilson and Bond for Cabrera and Willis.
Posted by: Lincecum_Says_GSP | November 15, 2009 at 05:02 PM
"This thread is full of dumb. The Tigers can just wait until 2011 when pretty much all of their crap contracts expire and then go from there. More bull from an east coast writer trying to get the idiots from New York and Boston all riled up."
This is true. The idea is supposedly to free up future commitments. Take a look at what comes off the books after this year and what they will be on the hook for
Off hook after 2010
18MM for Maggs
12.5 for Bonderman
12.0 for Willis
10.0 for Robertson
6.6 for Inge
thats up to about 60 million off the books in 2011.
Meanwhile, this is their commitments
20 to Miguel in 2011, 21 in 2012
13 to Guillen in 2011, FA in 2012
8.25 to Granderson in 2011, 12 in 2012
41 committed in 2011, 33 committed to 2012. Hardly breaking the bank. Even if they brought payroll back down to the 90-100M range, they would be fine.
The idea behind trading Cabrera, Granderson and Jackson then becomes adding high-value prospects which would alleviate the need for future commitment where the money saved can eventually be spent on filling the holes off the FA market that the prospects dont fill themselves. In other words, rebuilding.
The Tigers are merely pondering the idea of rebuilding here after getting freaked out at the GM meetings over how much they are stupidly wasting on some of their players. So they are "listening" on Granderson and Jackson (and possibly Miguel) and if the prospect return makes it worth while, maybe they rebuild - maybe.
But trade proposals to the Tigers not including prospects for a rebuild would be pointless. If they did end up trading their stars, they would be looking to the far future - not immediate (they would be rebuilding). And you dont rebuild off guys like Lowell and Papelbon (players with only 1 year control for a combined total of about 20 million themselves).
If Granderson, Jackson and/or Cabrera are dealt, then you will need to expect nothing more then prospect packages in return. And they will likely have to be paying more value then you would expect as rebuilding isnt necessity for Detroit, its an unlikely possibility - something to "listen" to offers and ponder the longterm meaning.
Posted by: SuzysMan | November 15, 2009 at 05:04 PM
@ tigers22
It might be annoying to you, but whether you want to believe it or not the financial state of your team makes the potential availability of Cabrera a relevant question.
Posted by: soxcurse | November 15, 2009 at 05:04 PM
Braves would not do it, but they are going to make Cox what it takes to put a winner up. Freeman and prospects plus the wild card, Lowe. Atlanta gets Cabrera plus Mags and unload their 6th starter. The Braves get a prime right handed hitter in his prime and an expiring contract. They have several prospects coming up that will not go, like Heyward. It won't happen, but just like this post, made me think.
Posted by: Suwanee | November 15, 2009 at 05:07 PM
No, it really doesn't. People like you just think your team will go out and acquire everyone else's superstars. Go ahead and talk about it, but it isn't going to happen. Like I said, they'll build an entire lineup around him before they trade him
Posted by: tigers22 | November 15, 2009 at 05:07 PM
If I was a Gm I want Pablebon , Redick. 3 prospects for Cabrea
Posted by: Tigers | November 15, 2009 at 05:08 PM
I'm not saying it's going to happen, but for a team that is forking out 126 million dollars to one player over the next six years and in that mess which is Detroit, they'd better make damn sure to take offers for him.
The package for Cabrera (Papelbon, Lowell and Anderson) is too weak. But if a solid package is offered, the Tigers should jump on it 'cause their future is a helluva lot closer to rebuilding than being a prime time contender.
Posted by: soxcurse | November 15, 2009 at 05:12 PM
Cabrera to oakland
Andrew Bailey
Mike Wuertz
Brett Wallace
Grant Greene
Trevor Cahill
Vin Mazzaro
Posted by: arly2380 | November 15, 2009 at 05:12 PM
mets please. anyone except f-mart or mejia. not gonna need ike davis for 1st if we have cabrera so give him while his stock is still high
Posted by: metsfan23 | November 15, 2009 at 05:13 PM
If this were one year from now, and the Tigers payroll was around $60M heading into 2011 (which it will be), would anyone suggest trading one of the premier players in the game? Absolutely not.
The only smart thing for the Tigers to do would be to keep Cabrera, lock up Verlander, and trade as many of the guys with one year left on their contracts (Inge, Ordonez, Willis, Robertson, Bonderman) as they can for prospects.
Even if they have to pay most of the money owed to those guys, it doesn't matter because then at least they get something in return. As it stands now, they're going to pay ALL the money owed to those guys and get nothing from them.
Go ahead and chalk up 2010 as a lost year, and aim for better things in 2011-12.
Posted by: parrothead8 | November 15, 2009 at 05:18 PM
Congratulations Ben Farber for the stupidest trade proposal here today! Why not ask for Lester and Pedroia as well moron?
Posted by: RED SOX DYNASTY! | November 15, 2009 at 05:24 PM
First and foremost Detroit doesn't have to make a trade just for the sake of making a trade with close to $60 million coming off the books in 2011. It is good business to listen to listen to all and any trade offers. Only trade Granderson, Cabrera if you get absolutely blown away. Collecting an aging vet and an expensive arbitration eligble closer in papelbon just doesn't make sense
1.) With the abudance of closers on the markert Detroit should be able to sign a closer on the cheap. Wouldn't mind signing Lyon for say two years 9 million then hand job to Ryan Perry who was drafted to be their future closer.
2.) While i think Jackson pitched over his head this year he is still a very valuable commodity who I think would be dominate in the NL. With Arizona looking for pitching how about Jackson and say a top prospect like Cale Iorg. I know Iorg regressed this year but was probably their top non-pitching propect at the beginning of season Stephen Drew. Drew would be under Tigers control for 3 years I know Arizona must value Drew highly or they wouldn't have selected him number one but that is a nice big three of Haren, Webb and Jackson.
2.) Judging from Theo Epstein's comments it seem's like he was very surprised that Granderson might be available. I say trade Granderson and Nate Roberston for Ellsbury and Tazawa (Pitcher that Detroit tried to sign from Japan). While they don't get they return they might get from other teams they alleviate some of the payroll concerns by sox taking on Robertson and giving them a possibly long man/lefty in bullpen.
3.) Hold onto Cabrera and sign Verlander long tern this season with his salary season under his probably arbitration number this season and trending upward. You are never far away from contending with Verlander, Porcello and Cabrera to build around.
4.) While I love Polanco i think he is time to give up on a player a year early then a year too late which has been the case with Guillen and Ordonez. Give the inexpensive Sizemore a chance.
5.) Rotation would look something like:
Verlander
Porcello
Bonderman
Gallaraga
Tazawa/ Wait til the market dies down and try to sign a Sheets or Bedard type to an incentive laden deal if available.
Lineup:
SS Drew
2b Sizemore
RF Ordonez
1B Cabrera
DH Guillen
LF Raburn
C Avila
3B Inge
CF Ellsbury
Bench:
ss/2b Santiago
c sign a cheap vet
3b/1b Larish
OF Ramirez
Bullpen:
Miner
Zumaya if Healthy
Perry
Ni
Seay
Sign Putz
Sign Lyon
Would Trade Laird who will probaly earn around 3.5 in arb for a bullpen arm of 5th starter who has some upside after a down year.
This would allow the Tigers to contend in the Central and save them around $20 million this season. Juzst a thought from a lot of rambling.
4.) This would save the Tigers
Posted by: DO ITT | November 15, 2009 at 05:30 PM
"Even if they have to pay most of the money owed to those guys, it doesn't matter because then at least they get something in return. As it stands now, they're going to pay ALL the money owed to those guys and get nothing from them."
Trading all those guys only becomes realistic if Granderson or Cabrera is moved though. As it stands, they have a good enough team to compete in a weak AL central with those players. And the return of guys like Ordonez, Robertson and Bonderman is not big enough to warrant throwing away a pretty good change to compete. Those three alone might not bring a single prospect that would be expected to have any real impact at the ML level.
So if the Tigers get absolutely blown away with the prospect offers for Cabrera, Granderson and Jackson then you take them, go into firesale mode with the other guys on expiring contracts and see a full rebuild with an eye towards the future. If the offers arent blowing you away on Cabrera and Granderson though, then might as well hang onto everyone and try to compete (exception being Jackson, who is a good sell-high candidate no matter what they plan if the return seems pretty solid)
Posted by: SuzysMan | November 15, 2009 at 05:33 PM
"Rosenthal speculates one possible trade scenario to Boston, an exchange of Cabrera for Jonathan Papelbon, Mike Lowell, and a solid prospect such as Lars Anderson or Stolmy Pimentel."
The Red Sox already have one slugger who's too fat to play n the field. Why would they want another?
Posted by: Little Bear | November 15, 2009 at 05:33 PM
I think people are assuming that the Tigers are in a rebuilding mode and I think that's untrue. They have almost $65 mil coming off the books next year. It's my bet that unless they are blown away with an offer that gives them bonafide prospects and assumes Cabrera's contract then they sit back and muddle thru 2010 with the hopes of making better moves in the winter of 2010 that will put them back at the top of 2011. Even if they don't make any major moves this was still a team that nearly made it into the playoffs this past year.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | November 15, 2009 at 05:46 PM
Ken Rosenthal premises his proposal on Detroit's need to clear payroll, but his proposal would be unlikely to lower the Tigers' payroll in 2010.
Miguel Cabrera's 2010 salary of $20 million would be offset by Mike Lowell's $12 million salary and Jonathan Papelbon's arbitration-year salary working off his 2009 salary of $6.25 million.
In two years the trade would leave the Tigers with the Stolmy Pimental and the struggling Lars Anderson. Detroit won't trade a producing six-year asset for that long-term return.
Posted by: thrill55 | November 15, 2009 at 05:55 PM
Ok, I can't read through all 80 other comments to catch up, so sorry if I repeat the statements of others:
Papelbon only has 2 or 3 years left of arbitration left, right? Anderson was absolute trash in AA in '09, with a line of .233/.328/.345/.673. That was at AA, so that shows he is still 2 years off at least. Who is going to play 1B for the Tigers until then?
Ok, so Lowell? Really? Yeah, let's compliment the 3B with bad knees with an even older, slower 3B with bad hips! Do they want to try for a world record for most hurt 3Bs on a roster?
How is it remotely feasible to trade a top-5 1B who isn't even in his prime yet is a monster all over the park who is signed at fair market value for 6 years (fair market before he hits his prime--he will be a steal for this money barring injuries or arrests) to get maybe 3 seasons of a really good closer, a 1B that looked like he was lost at AA, and MIKE LOWELL?
Unless the Tigers recently found out they have to cut their payroll by $50 million+ immediately and they can get 2 A-level prospects (one of which is nearly MLB0ready to play great 1B) and 2 B-leve prospects and no monetary responsibilities beyond those 4 prospects, GTFO with these talk as of yesterday.
Seriously, what is anything reasonable that would equal Cabrera?
If the Cubs were involved, I would give Vitters, Cashner, Castro, Samardzija, and Derrek Lee, AND take on the entire money of all 6 players!
The guy is 26 and an MVP candidate. Watch him hit his prime and be an absolute destroyer.
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 15, 2009 at 06:03 PM
If the Braves offered Freeman and Schafer in the deal, the Tigers would have to seriously consider it. Schafer could replace Granderson immediately and Freeman is a legit top 20 spec.
Posted by: QuadBravesFan | November 15, 2009 at 06:08 PM
"Rosenthal speculates one possible trade scenario to Boston, an exchange of Cabrera for Jonathan Papelbon, Mike Lowell, and a solid prospect such as Lars Anderson or Stolmy Pimentel."
The Red Sox already have one slugger who's too fat to play n the field. Why would they want another?
Posted by: Little Bear | November 15, 2009 at 05:33 PM
-----------
Yeah but this "fat boy" is only 26 and could easily be a 50/40 hitter in Fenway. Scary.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | November 15, 2009 at 06:10 PM
Unless the Tigers are in absolute dire need to cut payroll, long term as well as short, then there's no way they trade Cabrera. He might make gobs and gobs of cash but he is their best hitter and the ONLY hitter they can count on to post superb numbers year in year out. He's a legit .300/.380 35 hr guy. The fact that he is best suited to DH takes away some of the luster but he is easily one of the top 5-8 pure hitters in the game today.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | November 15, 2009 at 06:18 PM
Mets:
Miguel Cabrera, 1B
Curtis Granderson, OF
Tigers:
Jose Reyes, SS
Fernando Martinez, OF
Ike Davis, 1B/OF
Jon Niese, SP
Brad Holt, SP
Bobby Parnell, RP
LF-Granderson
2B-Castillo
CF-Beltran
1B-Cabrera
3B-Wright
SS-Phillips
RF-Francoeur
C-Molina
Posted by: LaSenoritaMet! | November 15, 2009 at 06:23 PM
La Senorita, how about Granderson and Jackson and say a Ryan Strieby for Reyes, F Mart and Niese.
Posted by: DO ITT | November 15, 2009 at 06:29 PM
hell no do itt...just because the idiot lasenorita would trade reyes said he would trade reyes doesn't mean minaya/wilpons would..
Posted by: metsfan(sigh) | November 15, 2009 at 06:31 PM
"that is a ridiculous proposal by rosenthal.
cabrera has been a top 10 player in the league for like 4 years now and hes only 26. to get him should cost more than halladay or gonzales. he is the equivalent of felix hernandez for a hitter. one of the best at such a young age.
Posted by: Timmy B"
One little difference Timmy, Felix doesn't make no where near the amount Cabrera does. Teams still have to pay for these players.
The thing is if Cabrera was a free agent right now there would be only a few teams that would even be able to pay him his salary, even if it only cost them what they had to pay him salary wise.
Posted by: Cobrasnake | November 15, 2009 at 06:38 PM
This has gotta be one of the worst deals I've ever seen. A rapidly declining closer, an overpaid and useless 3B, and a decling prospect. No. I get the whole saving money point of view, but the Tigers aren't saving ANY money this year and they're getting alot worse for the trouble. If the Tigers are going to trade him, it should be for a ton of prospects. Then move Granderson and Jackson and go into full rebuild waiting for all those horrendous contracts to come off the books next year.
Posted by: s3antana5757 | November 15, 2009 at 06:39 PM
Mike Lowell could DH play 1st and 3rd
Posted by: BostonsFuture | November 15, 2009 at 06:41 PM
Cobrasnake: Hernandez is also nearing free agency and could get 7/8 years and $200 million from the Yankees at around 26 or 27.
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 15, 2009 at 06:46 PM
BostonsFuture: Because Mike Lowell has all of 4 games played in his pro career at 1B--all at AAA in 1998.
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 15, 2009 at 06:48 PM
More lulz at Mets fans. Here's a hint. Parnell, Pelfrey and Maine are all garbage who have put up crap numbers in every level they've played. No one wants them. The rest of your prospects outside of F-Mart are low A ceiling crap. No one wants your garbage and you'd be lucky to fleece a team with that trash.
Posted by: TwinRoyals | November 15, 2009 at 07:00 PM
giving up cabrera for a year of salary relief would go down in history as one of the worst moves ever
Posted by: yankees88 | November 15, 2009 at 07:22 PM
These are all crazy ideas. Detroit probably jumped the gun by a year or two in extending Cabrera at the level they did. Regardless, the contract exists and it makes it nearly impossible to trade him. Trading contracts of that magnitude is so hard that it just doesn't happen. If it does happen, the Yankees make it happen. Kevin Brown's $100+ million deal? The Yanks took it on. A-Rod's $252 million deal? The Yanks took it on. No other team is crazy enough
to take on that sort of deal and no team has the talent and the contracts to evenly trade with the Tigers besides the Yankees.
Having said that, the Yankees have NO room for Cabrera, nor do they need him. So in essence, no trade for this guy is possible. The Sox probably won't give away Papelbon, the Tigers probably wouldn't take on Lowell for him and Lars Anderson is not enough of a sure thing for the Tigers to accept as equal return for just about any of the starting players they have that the Red Sox would want.
So in conclusion. Miguel Cabrera's contract? NOT TRADE-ABLE!
Posted by: BomberMan26 | November 15, 2009 at 07:28 PM
If I were Minaya, I would try hard.. VERY HARD.. to work out a deal with the Tigers to acquire both Edwin Jackson & Miguel Cabrera.
- Mets can offer 1b) Ike Davis, OF)F-Mart, 2b) Luis Castillo, and pitchers Jon Niese & Bobby Parnell.
Lineup:
1. O. Hudson-2b
2. J. Reyes-SS
3. M. Cabrera-1b
4. D. Wright- 3b
5. C. Beltran- CF
6. J. Franceour-RF
7. O. Santos- C
8. A. Pagan(for now)-LF
Rotation
- Santana
- E. Jackson
- J. Marquis
- O. Perez
- M. Pelfrey
I can live with that
Posted by: Barrettman | November 15, 2009 at 07:36 PM
"Dodgers don't have the money free but ignoring that what about an offer of say-
Billingsley
Loney
Sherrill
Pierre
DeJesus
Withrow?
Posted by: Reacher | November 15, 2009 at 04:12 PM"
How about no, Scott..
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | November 15, 2009 at 07:41 PM
Are Mets fans illiterate? Seriously...
Posted by: TwinRoyals | November 15, 2009 at 07:45 PM
This whole conversation of trading Miggy anywhere is laughable. You Red Sox and Mets fans dreaming of adding Cabrera can wake up and put on a clean pair of boxers or tighty whities now. Wet dream is over. It ain't happenin!
Someone tell that idiot Rosenthal to quit making up stuff and do some real reporting for a change.
Granderson and Cabrera will be wearing the old english "D" on their uni's for a long time!
Posted by: hooligan | November 15, 2009 at 08:01 PM
These are all crazy ideas. Detroit probably jumped the gun by a year or two in extending Cabrera at the level they did. Regardless, the contract exists and it makes it nearly impossible to trade him. Trading contracts of that magnitude is so hard that it just doesn't happen. If it does happen, the Yankees make it happen. Kevin Brown's $100+ million deal? The Yanks took it on. A-Rod's $252 million deal? The Yanks took it on. No other team is crazy enough
to take on that sort of deal and no team has the talent and the contracts to evenly trade with the Tigers besides the Yankees.
---------
Just to clarify. The Yanks took on a portion of the last two years of Brown's deal and even part of that was offset by whatever was owed to Weaver. In the end the Yanks maybe came out of pocket for another $8 mil above the 7 or 8 owed to Weaver. As for Arod, he was already a few years of his $252 deal with Texas before he was traded and even then Texas agreed to pay about $60 mil of what he had left.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | November 15, 2009 at 08:29 PM
I know you guys are going to critisize me for this but would a cabrera for lowe swap work...
Tigers get: Lowe, Freeman, Minor, another prospect.
Braves get: Cabrera, player to be named later
Posted by: Shawn | November 15, 2009 at 08:44 PM
"Trading contracts of that magnitude is so hard that it just doesn't happen. If it does happen, the Yankees make it happen. Kevin Brown's $100+ million deal? The Yanks took it on. A-Rod's $252 million deal? The Yanks took it on. No other team is crazy enough
to take on that sort of deal"
Mike Hampton says hi and Johan Santana would like to remind you that he would only go to the Mets if he had a new 137 Million deal on the table.
Posted by: SuzysMan | November 15, 2009 at 08:55 PM
These deals are just straight up dumb.
Posted by: tigers313 | November 15, 2009 at 08:57 PM
"Cobrasnake: Hernandez is also nearing free agency and could get 7/8 years and $200 million from the Yankees at around 26 or 27.
Posted by: cubs223425"
Yeah I understand that, my main point was just saying they are several teams that can afford the younger players right now. I know it wont be long before some of them become free agents and get paid a ton like Cabrera.
Still alot of teams just can't afford to pay that type of salary at all, even if it didn't cost them players/prospects in return...etc
Atleast pretty much every team can afford some of the younger players like King Felix and Adrian Gonzalez at the moment (salary wise).
I'm not saying Cabrera's not worth anything, just saying that even if they are willing to trade for him, that alot of the teams can't because of his current salary.
Posted by: Cobrasnake | November 15, 2009 at 09:05 PM
Reyes for Cabrera swap
Posted by: LaSenoritaMet! | November 15, 2009 at 09:08 PM