Mark Polishuk | MLB Trade Rumors

Poll: Who Will Be The NL’s Wild Card Teams?

By Mark Polishuk | September 8, 2019 at 8:12pm CDT

MLBTR’s Connor Byrne asked this same question in a poll just over a month ago, and it was the Nationals (30%) and Mets (22%) who collected the most votes from a field of nine (eight teams and an “other” option). As we look at the standings today, the Mets have fallen four games back of the Cubs for the second wild card slot, while Washington continues to sit in pretty good shape, with a three-game lead over Chicago for the first wild card spot and the subsequent home-field advantage in the one-game playoff.

With only three weeks of regular-season baseball remaining, let’s alter that original field to seven clubs. This omits the “other,” and also removes the Giants (7.5 games back) and Reds (10 games back) from contention. However, we’re also going to add the Cubs into the mix, as they were leading the NL Central at the time of the original poll and thus weren’t included. The Cardinals have since roared out to a 4.5-game lead over Chicago in the division race, but we’re keeping St. Louis within the field if some voters feel the Cubs can re-claim the NL Central lead — the two rivals still have seven head-to-head games remaining, after all.

The Brewers also could still technically be in the NL Central mix, since they have three games left against the Cardinals but sit 6.5 behind the Redbirds in the standings. It’s much more likely that Milwaukee’s path to the postseason will go through the wild card game, as the Brewers have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games to move two games behind Chicago. This also ties Milwaukee with the Phillies, as the two teams have identical 74-68 records.

While the Brew Crew have been hot, however, it hasn’t matched the Diamondbacks’ roll of 11-2 over their last 13 games. Arizona is closest on the Cubs’ heels, just 1.5 games out of that second and final position.

It makes for a very exciting September finish, and we can’t omit the possibility of some type of multi-team tie that would require a play-in game just to reach the wild card game. Which two teams do you think will end up holding all the cards once the dust settles? (Poll link for app users)

Who Will Be The Two NL Wild Card Teams?

Nationals 40.06% (9,104 votes)

Cubs 21.99% (4,997 votes)

Diamondbacks 14.50% (3,295 votes)

Brewers 10.91% (2,480 votes)

Phillies 4.37% (992 votes)

Cardinals 4.18% (950 votes)

Mets 3.99% (907 votes)

Total Votes: 22,725

Pirates Select James Marvel’s Contract

By Mark Polishuk | September 8, 2019 at 11:47am CDT

Sunday: The Pirates have made Marvel’s call-up official. Outfielder Jason Martin was transferred to the 60-day injured list with a dislocated left shoulder to clear 40-man roster space, while right-hander Yefry Ramírez was reinstated from the 10-day IL.

Saturday: The Pirates will call up right-hander James Marvel to start Sunday’s game against the Cardinals, manager Clint Hurdle told MLB.com’s Adam Berry and other media. Pittsburgh will have to make another roster move before selecting Marvel’s contract from Triple-A, as the Bucs currently have a full 40-man roster.

A 36th-round pick for the Pirates in the 2015 draft, Marvel surely would’ve gone higher had Tommy John surgery not wiped out almost two full seasons of eligibility at Duke. He recovered from that early-career injury setback to work his way up the Bucs’ minor league ladder, posting increasingly impressive numbers in the upper levels. Marvel has a combined 2.94 ERA, 7.5 K/9, and 2.96 K/BB rate over 162 1/3 innings (101 2/3 IP at Double-A, 60 2/3 IP at Triple-A) in 2019.

Marvel isn’t ranked within MLB.com’s list of the top 30 Pittsburgh prospects, though since the Pirates will be exploring all avenues for pitching this winter, there’s no risk in seeing what Marvel can do against Major League competition. Marvel doesn’t miss many bats, though he induces a lot of grounders and (perhaps most notably given baseball’s current hitting environment), doesn’t allow many home runs. The 25-year-old has only an 0.6 HR/9 over his entire minor league career, maintaining that average even during the most homer-happy Triple-A season in history.

Quick Hits: Montas, Laureano, JDM, Yankees, Mendez

By Mark Polishuk | September 8, 2019 at 12:54am CDT

Once the ace of the Athletics’ rotation, Frankie Montas has been something of a forgotten man since being issued an 80-game PED suspension on June 21. Montas will be eligible for the last five games of Oakland’s regular season, however, could still help the A’s get into the playoffs. GM David Forst told Chris Townsend of the A’s Cast podcast (partial transcript from Ben Ross of NBC Sports Bay Area) that the team is prepared to use Montas as either a starter or reliever, and has kept him stretched out in simulated games in case a start is required in one of those five games. Montas could also get a minor league game under his belt if Oakland’s Double-A or Triple-A affiliates advance in the postseason, as Montas is eligible to begin a rehab assignment beginning on September 10.

Montas was in the midst of a breakout campaign at the time of his suspension, with a 2.70 ERA, 9.7 K/9, and 4.62 K/BB rate over 90 innings. Though he won’t be eligible for the postseason if the Athletics are able to claim a wild card, Montas could certainly still be a valuable x-factor during what could be a very tense final week of action as the A’s, Indians, and Rays battle for the two wild card slots.

Some stray items from around baseball…

After returning from the injured list just yesterday, Ramon Laureano left the Athletics’ 10-2 win over the Tigers tonight due to what the A’s described as a right leg cramp. After a leadoff double in the sixth inning, Laureano made it into second base despite “limping right out of the box,” as MLB.com’s Martin Gallegos described the situation. Manager Bob Melvin told Gallegos and other reporters that he hoped Laureano would be back on Monday, as the outfielder was already scheduled for a planned day off on Sunday. Laureano missed over five weeks due to a stress reaction in his right shin, and another absence would be the last thing he and the A’s need as the club chases down a wild card berth.
Amidst the speculation about whether or not J.D. Martinez will exercise the opt-out clause in his Red Sox contract after the season, Ken Rosenthal (in his latest video report for FOX Sports) points out that Martinez doesn’t necessarily have to decide right now if he wants to leave Boston. The slugger also has opt-out clauses after both the 2020 season and (assuming he can avoid another Lisfranc-related right foot injury) 2021 season, so he could perhaps wait one more year to see if his market evolves. Despite Martinez’s hitting prowess, there aren’t too many obvious suitors for a mostly DH-only player….unless the National League were to become involved, as Rosenthal wonders if Martinez would stay in his contract to see if the NL adopted the designated hitter in the next collective bargaining agreement.
Also from Rosenthal’s video, he makes a case for why Didi Gregorius could be “the odd man out” for the Yankees even if he performed well for the remainder of the season. New York might simply prefer to use Gleyber Torres at shortstop in 2020 rather than re-sign Gregorius, who is almost seven years older than Torres. Recovery from Tommy John surgery kept Gregorius from playing until June 7, and he is one of the few Yankees not tearing the cover off the ball, with a .252/.282/.462 slash line and 14 homers over 280 plate appearances (for a below-average 90 wRC+). If the Yankees did decide to move on from Gregorius, however, Rosenthal figures the team would still need to extend another veteran infielder, as DJ LeMahieu (who’d play every day at second base if Gregorius departed) is only under contract through the 2020 season.
The Rangers and Yohander Mendez will learn in the offseason whether the left-hander’s one remaining minor league option will still be retained for 2020. Jeff Wilson of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram details the situation, as the league already granted Mendez a fourth option for this season, though the lefty only made his 2019 debut today after missing the first five-plus months rehabbing a sprained UCL. This means Mendez hasn’t accumulated the 20 days of optional minor league assignment necessary to burn an option year. If Mendez is ruled to be out of options, the Rangers would then have to designate him for assignment (and thus expose him to a waiver claim) if they wished to remove him from the 40-man roster.

Johnny Cueto Scheduled To Start On Tuesday

By Mark Polishuk | September 8, 2019 at 12:07am CDT

After over a year of rehabilitating from Tommy John surgery, Johnny Cueto is set to return to the Giants. Kerry Crowley of the Bay Area News Group was among those to report the news that Cueto is scheduled to start Tuesday’s game against the Pirates, which will mark Cueto’s first Major League outing since July 28, 2018.

The usual 12-15 month timeline associated with Tommy John recovery created doubt that Cueto would be back before the 2020 season, and despite a minor back injury that it now seems will delay his return by a few days, Cueto will now get a chance to work off the rust over at least a few outings in September. If all goes well, Cueto (who turns 34 in February) should be ready to hit the ground running come Opening Day.

After signing a six-year, $130MM deal with San Francisco in the 2015-16 offseason, Cueto delivered an outstanding 2016 campaign before blisters and a flexor strain contributed to a disappointing 2017. It seemed as if Cueto was back on track in nine 2018 starts prior to his surgery, though it remains to be seen if Cueto can truly regain his past form — it isn’t surprising to see any pitcher decline in his age-34 season, even if that pitcher isn’t coming off a major arm surgery.

The Giants could potentially lose Madison Bumgarner in free agency this offseason, leaving Cueto and Jeff Samardzija as the prohibitive top two in San Francisco’s rotation. Even if Samardzija isn’t traded, there is still a lot of uncertainty within the starting five, as younger arms like Shaun Anderson, Dereck Rodriguez, Tyler Beede, and Logan Webb have all struggled this year. A healthy Cueto provides at least some stability as the club will have to decide what they have with their internal options, and weigh how to much to spend on veteran starters over the winter.

Injury Notes: Harper, Springer, Suzuki, Piscotty

By Mark Polishuk | September 7, 2019 at 11:07pm CDT

After being hit in the right hand with a Steven Matz pitch on Friday, Bryce Harper sat out the Phillies’ 5-0 win over the Mets today and could also miss Sunday’s game. X-rays were negative on the injury and Harper told the Philadelphia Inquirer’s Matt Breen and other reporters that he would “be fine,” though he was frustrating at having to miss any time at all during the pennant race. “Really tough to take a day [off], but I need to do what I need to do,” Harper off. The Phils’ victory moved them three games behind the Cubs for the last NL wild card berth, and in the midst of such a tight race, certainly can’t afford to miss one of their top players.

While Harper hasn’t quite posted the type of superstar-level numbers you might expect after signing his much-ballyhooed 13-year, $330MM contract last offseason, he has been a thoroughly productive player in his first Phillies season, hitting .254/.372/.497 with 30 homers over an even 600 plate appearances while also contributing strong defense.

More on some key players who may or may not be close to returning to action…

George Springer also didn’t factor into today’s play, though Astros manager A.J. Hinch told reporters (including the Houston Chronicle’s Chandler Rome) that the outfielder was available off the bench in Houston’s 2-1 win over Seattle, and would hopefully be back in the lineup on Sunday. Springer suffered a minor concussion after an ugly-looking collision with the outfielder wall on Tuesday, which resulted in the Astros star being carted off the field. Fortunately, the injury was less serious than it appeared, and Springer is set to resume what has been another All-Star season.
Kurt Suzuki will see a doctor after suffering a potential right elbow injury in tonight’s game, Jesse Dougherty of the Washington Post tweets. The Nationals catcher felt pain after making a throw to second base in the seventh inning, and was replaced by a pinch-hitter in the top of the eighth. Suzuki has hit .260/.319/.473 with 16 homers over 301 plate appearances in his first season as a National, splitting time with (and providing much more offense than) Yan Gomes. Rookie backstop Raudy Read is the only other catcher on Washington’s 40-man roster if Suzuki has to miss any time.
Athletics outfielder Stephen Piscotty told Ron Kroichick of the San Francisco Chronicle that he is close to beginning pool therapy on his injured right ankle, and will then further test the injury before determining any next steps. Piscotty believes he can return before the end of the season, which is perhaps not as positive a development as it seems since there hadn’t really been any thought that Piscotty’s high ankle sprain could cost him the remainder of the 2019 campaign. After hitting the IL on August 25, the outfielder is still wearing a walking boot.

NL West Injury Notes: Muncy, Ray, Padres, Dickerson

By Mark Polishuk | September 7, 2019 at 8:29pm CDT

Max Muncy’s wrist fracture wasn’t thought to be an overly serious injury, and the Dodgers infielder is now aiming to be back on the field on Friday when Los Angeles begins a series against the Mets. As Muncy told Bill Plunkett of the Orange County Register (Twitter links) and other reporters, he felt “better than I expected” after taking regular swings in the batting cage today. Needless to say, the Dodgers will be careful with their slugger’s progress, as there’s no urgency to get Muncy back in immediate fashion since the team is running away with the NL West. Still, it’s an excellent sign that Muncy has seemingly avoided what initially looked like a season-threatening injury.

Aaron Hicks Has Setback In Injury Rehab

By Mark Polishuk | September 7, 2019 at 6:36pm CDT

Yankees outfielder Aaron Hicks has suffered a setback and has been unable to resume throwing, manager Aaron Boone told MLB.com’s Bryan Hoch and other reporters today. Hicks hit the injured list with a right flexor strain on August 4, and while an MRI this week revealed no new damage to his elbow, “he’s still not quite where he needs to be to start ramping up,” Boone said.

It’s been a tough year for Hicks, who didn’t make his season debut until May 15 due to a back injury. When he has been healthy, Hicks has delivered slightly above-average production (102 wRC+, 103 OPS+) over 255 plate appearances, hitting .235/.325/.443 with 12 home runs, though it represents a notable step down from his .255/.368/.470 performance over the 2017-18 seasons.

Now, it’s possible he might not be able to be back on the field before the end of the regular season, which also puts his availability for New York’s postseason roster in jeopardy. If the worst happens and Hicks’ season is indeed over, it’s worth wondering how this injury-riddled campaign would have impacted Hicks in free agency had he not signed an extension with the Yankees in February. Rather than hit the open market with an injury cloud hanging over him, Hicks has the security of $64MM in guaranteed money through the 2025 season.

Until more is known on Hicks, Brett Gardner will continue to get the bulk of playing time as the Yankees’ regular center fielder, with Mike Tauchman and (if healthy himself) Cameron Maybin also able to handle the position. As has been the story of the Yankees’ season, the club has fared just fine without a key injured player, as Gardner has been on fire (.923 OPS over his last 105 PA) since taking over for Hicks.

Zack Godley Elects Free Agency

By Mark Polishuk | September 7, 2019 at 5:31pm CDT

Right-hander Zack Godley has chosen to become a free agent rather than accept an outright assignment to the Blue Jays’ Triple-A affiliate, MLB Trade Rumors’ Steve Adams reports (Twitter link). Godley cleared waivers after being designated for assignment by the Jays earlier this week.

It’s been a tumultuous season for Godley, who began the year in the Diamondbacks’ rotation but fell out of favor after a rough start. A move to the bullpen also didn’t help, as Godley was designated for assignment after posting a 6.39 ERA over 76 innings. Toronto claimed Godley in August, and while his bottom-line results (a 3.94 ERA) were improved, the righty’s 6.8 K/9 and 1.71 K/BB rate over his 16 innings as a Blue Jay didn’t catch the eye of team brass.

Godley is eligible for arbitration for the first time this season, and it remains to be seen if he’ll catch on with another team and prove that tendering a contract to him this winter is a worthy investment, or if clubs could just wait until after the tender deadline has passed before offering him a contract. It’s possible Godley elected free agency because he and his representatives already have a line on an interested team, as the 29-year-old does have two seasons of solid work under his belt in 2017-18. Even a first-year arbitration salary wouldn’t be too pricey given Godley’s struggles in 2019, so a team in need of rotation depth could opt to sign him now rather than risk losing him elsewhere in December.

Blue Jays Select Anthony Kay, Designate Beau Taylor

By Mark Polishuk | September 7, 2019 at 5:20pm CDT

The Blue Jays have selected the contract of southpaw Anthony Kay, as per a team announcement. Kay will make his Major League debut tonight, starting Toronto’s game against the Rays. To create room on the 40-man roster, the Jays have designated catcher Beau Taylor for assignment.

It was less than six weeks ago that Kay came to the Jays from the Mets, joining fellow pitching prospect Simeon Woods-Richardson as the return in the trade that sent Marcus Stroman to New York. Kay had struggled to a 6.61 ERA over seven appearances for the Mets’ Triple-A affiliate in Syracuse at the time of the deal, though the change of scenery to the Jays’ Triple-A team in Buffalo proved fruitful, as he had a 2.50 ERA over seven starts (36 innings) with a 9.8 K/9 and 1.77 K/BB rate. Kay’s control suffered a bit on his new team, as he posted a 5.5 BB/9, though he did cut back on the home runs that plagued him at Syracuse.

Kay will reach the big leagues less than two years after making his professional debut. Drafted 31st overall by the Mets in 2016, the UConn product missed all of 2017 recovering from Tommy John surgery, and then threw 122 2/3 frames in 2018 pitching at two different A-ball levels. All in all, Kay has a 3.58 ERA, 9.1 K/9, and 2.46 K/BB rate over 256 1/3 innings in the minors.

Between his short track record and his issues at Triple-A, it wasn’t a resume that lent itself to a blue-chip (or even a top 100) prospect ranking, as Kay was only the fourth-ranked prospect in a middling Mets farm system. Some Toronto fans and pundits were critical of what seemed like a light return for Stroman prior to the trade deadline, though as events unfolded on July 31, it was clear that few teams around baseball were willing to surrender any sort of premium minor league talent.

Kay’s early returns in Buffalo have been promising, however, and what was already thought to be a near big-league ready arm will make his MLB debut perhaps even earlier than expected. MLB Pipeline’s scouting report gives Kay a pretty steady grade across the board (55 on the 20-80 scale for his fastball, changeup, and curve, plus a 50 for control) and cites the high spin rate on his fastball, which usually sits in the 92-94mph range. A good showing in September would surely put Kay in good position for a rotation job for the pitching-needy Blue Jays next spring.

Taylor was claimed off waivers from the Athletics in mid-August and appeared in just one Major League game for the Jays, bringing his career total to 17 big league contests over the last two seasons. Taylor has hit .258/.355/.372 over 2843 career plate appearances in the minors, all but 39 of them in Oakland’s system after being a fifth-round pick for the A’s in the 2011 draft.

Report: Dayton Moore To Receive Extension Under New Royals Ownership

By Mark Polishuk | September 5, 2019 at 2:36pm CDT

The impending sale of the Royals from David Glass to John Sherman has created a lot of speculation about the team’s future, though one key face within the organization doesn’t appear to be changing. According to MLB Network’s Jon Heyman in the latest edition of the Big Time Baseball podcast (audio link), current Royals GM Dayton Moore “will receive a long extension and be there for a long time” once Sherman officially takes control of the franchise. As a minority owner of the Indians, Sherman is no stranger to the AL Central, and thus “knows Dayton Moore well” and “is an admirer” of the GM and his work in Kansas City.

A new contract would keep Moore at the helm throughout the Royals’ ongoing rebuild, which would be the second time Moore has overhauled the club since first taking the general manager job in 2006. That first rebuild, lengthy as it was though losing seasons from 2007-12, eventually paid off in major fashion. K.C. won the American League pennant in both 2014 and 2015, and captured the franchise’s second-ever World Series title in 2015.

That success wasn’t sustained, however, and the Royals haven’t since topped the .500 mark. In fact, over Moore’s 13 full seasons as general manager, Kansas City has only three winning seasons. Nonetheless, Moore is a well-respected executive throughout baseball, and he has a proven track record in shepherding a small-market team all the way to championship glory.

It isn’t yet known how Sherman will operate the franchise or whether he’ll authorize a higher payroll, though Moore has already demonstrated that his front office can identify and develop young talent. In fairness to Glass, he was willing to boost spending to try and extend the Royals’ contention window, though many of Moore’s big signings from the 2015-16 offseason (Alex Gordon, Ian Kennedy, Chris Young) didn’t pan out.

Moore’s current deal is believed to run through the 2020 season, though the exact terms of his 2016 extension weren’t officially revealed. Heyman thinks the Royals may have given Moore another extension in the aftermath of the 2017 offseason, when the Braves heavily pursued Moore (who worked in Atlanta’s front office prior to taking Kansas City’s GM job) to run their vacant baseball operations department after John Coppolella’s shocking resignation as general manager.

While Moore may not be going anywhere, the same might not be true of manager Ned Yost, as Heyman said “the likelihood is that [the Royals] will move on.” Though Moore has given his skipper more or less permanent job security, the 65-year-old Yost has indicated in the past that he is taking things on a year-to-year basis, even once citing the end of the 2019 season as a potential endpoint. Yost is nearing the end of his 16th season as a Major League, and his 10th in Kansas City. Yost will soon meet with Royals officials to discuss his future, Heyman said, with these meetings possibly taking place as early as this week.

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