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Free Agent Stock Watch: Cristian Guzman
Time for the first edition of Free Agent Stock Watch. Today we'll look at the rising stock of 30 year-old Nationals shortstop Cristian Guzman, who is eligible for free agency after the '08 season.
Jim Bowden was heavily criticized for signing the switch-hitting Guzman to a four-year, $16.8MM deal in November of '04. He was considered an all-glove, no-hit player. Guzman was awful for most of '05, though poor eyesight was suggested as one explanation.
Guzman then missed all of '06 with shoulder surgery. The following season was cut short by hamstring and thumb problems. But since '07 he's been a surprisingly respectable hitter in a half-season of ABs. He may be the slightly more affordable alternative to Rafael Furcal and Orlando Cabrera next winter. If Guzman stays healthy and somehow posts an .800 OPS (with 90+ runs scored) he could be in line for a three-year, $21MM deal.
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IF (I know, big if) Guzman continues to play this well AND stay healthy what kind of value would Jim Bowden get for him in trade and what level of FA would he be if he played out the year for the Nats and then signed elsewhere?
Posted by: estuartj | April 15, 2008 at 12:49 PM
They look at your last two seasons in the Elias rankings, so my guess is that Guzman would be a Type B.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | April 15, 2008 at 04:48 PM
One team I could see looking into Guzman is the Cardinals. If they can keep it up and keep pace with Chicago and Milwaukee for the next couple months, then you gotta think they'll look to upgrade from Izturis for the stretch run. Guzman could be a pretty good 2 hitter in that lineup, and man short nearly equally as well as Cesar.
If Anthony Reyes doesn't put it together by then, then maybe Reyes could get moved to the Nats for Guzman and a low level prospect
Posted by: scribbletone | April 15, 2008 at 06:00 PM
If Anthony Reyes doesn't put it together by then, I would prefer to get Type B FA comp than Reyes.
Reyes is an intriguing arm and maybe he turns it around, but I can't see him having a whole lot of value if he couldn't break into the Cards rotation this spring.
Posted by: kab21 | April 16, 2008 at 01:39 PM