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« Elias Rankings: AL Infielders | Main | Peavy Rumors: Wednesday »
Paul Sullivan of the Chicago Tribune talked to Cubs GM Jim Hendry, while Chris De Luca of the Chicago Sun-Times chatted with manager Lou Piniella. Both said the Cubs are looking to add lefthanded hitting. De Luca believes Brian Roberts and Raul Ibanez remain on Hendry's radar.
I mentioned most of the feasible names in the Cubs Offseason Outlook. Since right field is difficult to play at Wrigley field, players such as Milton Bradley and Ibanez are a questionable fit. I believe the ideal acquisition would be Brian Giles, but he'd have to be willing to waive his no-trade clause.
Sullivan mentions an idea that is popular with Cubs fans: trading first baseman Derek Lee. Freeing up first base would expand the Cubs' options greatly. Lee is owed $26MM over the next two seasons and has a full no-trade clause. He hit .291/.361/.462 in 698 plate appearances, down significantly from '07. Lee's '08 performance was right around league average for his position. His defense was a bit above-average this year.
I think Lee has positive trade value, especially in a weak first baseman market. The Yankees and Giants could be fits, though I wouldn't expect them to give up anything spectacular (especially since a concession would have to be made for Lee to waive his no-trade). Randy Winn could be a match for the Cubs.
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I'll take "Things I've Heard the Past Three Off-Seasons" for $200, Alex.
Somewhere, Jeromy Burnitz sits by the phone, hopeful but realistic.
Posted by: CubsAddictMG | October 22, 2008 at 09:58 AM
Brian Giles obviously doesn't want to leave San Diego so you can forget that pipe dream. Anyway, his OBP looks good but his power just isn't there since he stopped taking PEDs; oops, I mean, since he left Pittsburgh.
Posted by: rememberthecoop | October 22, 2008 at 09:59 AM
Would Lee-->Redsox for coco be an option if the sox move youk to 3rd and maybe trade lowell or whatnot depending where he is at?
Just a thought because i love lowell but he just cant stay healthy :(
Good move for both teams in my opinion cuz the cubs get a gold glove OF and a switch hitter (who will most likely play better in NL) and the sox sort out their corner infield issues by adding a very solid player
Posted by: GoSoX | October 22, 2008 at 10:01 AM
I think you can get one topnotch prospect for Lee and perhaps another mid-level, MLB-ready prospect as well. Hendry can then turn those prospects around and make an offer with them and a package of his own prospects to the Padres for Peavy. Peavy will be cheaper next year than Dempster, and is by far a superior pitcher. It also gives an option of potentially keeping both Dempster and Wood if Hendry can move Marquis somehow.
Finally, moving Lee makes room for Hoffpauir to play 1B and potentially provide that big LH bat. It may also give Hendry a chance to sign Dunn and put him at 1B. Granted, signing Dunn would require letting Dempster and Wood go (or another positive trade involving Fukudome - not likely) if a trade for Peavy is made.
Posted by: Unlitedsoul | October 22, 2008 at 10:05 AM
How about a veteran for veteran swap?
Damon or Matsui for Lee? a deal could be expanded upon, but that could be the foundation.
Ive heard other fans indicate the Cubs would like to be out from underneath Soriano's contract, too. I'd imagine he could also be a target for Cashman to bring back to the Bronx should those rumors be true.
Posted by: TurnTwo | October 22, 2008 at 10:09 AM
Cubs wouldn't have to give up much for Winn. Giants need the open spot for Nate Schierholtz. More of salary relief.
A usefull BullPen pitcher could work.
Posted by: 55saveslives | October 22, 2008 at 10:12 AM
I Think the cubs should just sign Raul Ibanez to play LF and trade Soriano to the dodgers. I'll put in a call to Colleti and pursuade him to make the deal...LOL
Posted by: dodgersfan1 | October 22, 2008 at 10:16 AM
Crisp's speed and glove, plus he is a switch hitter would fit perfect in Chicago, only thing is that from reading on this board so far, the Cubs fans want him for free and he was valuable to Boston last year and they need him for the bakup he was.
Hard to find a GG caliber guy who can play all OF positions, super fast, hit with doubles power and hit for some power, bunt as good as anybody, plus hit .283 and still think a team can get him for a nobody.
Posted by: johns | October 22, 2008 at 10:16 AM
TurnTwo, I'm sure the Yankees would be all over Matsui for Lee, but I can't see the Cubs agreeing to that. Matsui doesn't seem to be capable of playing a full season in the outfield anymore. Because of that, the Yankees probably are very hesitant to trade Damon, as that would mean committing to Matsui in left.
Posted by: yanksfan | October 22, 2008 at 10:20 AM
Iv made a few tweaks, but here is what I posted last week.
PEOPLE, Hoffpauir is a 28yr old AAAA player. Hes is Ward II, not a starter. He has too many holes in his swing. He will take over the role of Ward had this year.
I like the idea of trading Lee to Boston for Crisp and some prospects. Signing O-dog and Dunn.
Ill take a stab at the 09 roster...
Lineup:
CF-Crisp-S-7m
2B-Hudson-S-10m
3B-Ramirez-R-15m
1B-Dunn-L-14m
LF-Soriano-R-16m
C-Soto-R-400k
RF-Fuku-L-12m/DeRosa-R-5.5m
SS-Theriot-R-400k
We would trade Lee for Crisp+. Sign Hudson and Dunn.
Bench:
C-Hill-S-400k
IF-Fontentot-L-400k
IF-Cedeno-R-450k
1B/RF-Hoffpauir-L-400k
2B/OF-DeRosa-R
OF-Fukudome-L
OF-Johnson-R 1.5mm
Pie would probably start the season in AAA or get traded.
Rotation:
Zambrano-R-18m
Dempster-R-12m
Lilly-L-12m
Harden-R-7m
Marshall-L-400k
Resign Demp.
Bullpen:
Wood-R-9m (CL)
Marmol-R-450k (setup)
Samardzija-R-2m (setup)
Gaudin-R-1.8m (long relief)
Cotts-L-800k (middle)
Hill-L-500k (middle)
Resign Wood. Hill may be better siuted as a middle releif or specialty pitcher. I think he gets his act together in a less stressfull role.
Thats a 142.3mm payrole before arb. Id say 145mm after arb. Its realistic. What do you guys/gals think? Its not totally unreasonable. If we can shed Lee's and most of Marquis contracts.
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 17, 2008 at 05:33 PM
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 10:21 AM
rememberthecoop: Giles doesnt want to leave SD thats true, but he had Boston on his limited no trade list, this year he earned 10-5 rights. He just didnt want to play in Boston, and no he didnt give a reason as to why they were on his no trade list.
Posted by: AirmanSD | October 22, 2008 at 10:24 AM
Id be willing to trade Soriano to the Dodgers for Kemp and Billingsly...Id even throw in a 1mm or 2mm. ;)
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 10:26 AM
Pie is out of options so he wont be in AAA. Hoffpair has way to many holes in his swing to be an everyday 1st baseman and take over for Lee. I would rather have Reed Johnson than Coco Crisp. All terrible ideas
Posted by: valpo034 | October 22, 2008 at 10:27 AM
Also, I would put fontenot or derosa at 2b before I dropped 10 mil a year on Hudson. 2b is not an issue.
Posted by: valpo034 | October 22, 2008 at 10:30 AM
What does Tex cost? Would moving Lee free up the cash for Tex. Hoffpauer RF, Fuku in CF, Sori in LF vs RHP. Sori, Johnson, DeRo vs LHP. Or move Sori too. I like both but I do believe one has to go.
Posted by: Milburn26 | October 22, 2008 at 10:31 AM
Giles slugged .488 away from PETCO this year...his power is fine. OBP, decent power, strong defense...perfect fit.
I do not agree at all with the idea that Lee can bring in even one top-notch prospect.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | October 22, 2008 at 10:33 AM
I'm trying to figure out why the Red Sox would trade for Lee when they already have Youkilis & Lowell manning the corners. Doesn't make any sense to me and sounds more like wishfull thinking.
A more logical target, if indeed you want to trade Lee without a proven replacement, might be BAL or LAA if they lose out on the Teixeira sweepstakes.
I'd keep Lee and work with the in-house options of Fukudome/DeRosa.
Posted by: Robin | October 22, 2008 at 10:35 AM
Derrek's (two Rs, people) defense is entirely too valuable for me to want a trade. I just want him out of the three-hole in the lineup. I think six would be ideal.
Posted by: jen526 | October 22, 2008 at 10:40 AM
I don't know about Hoffpauir at 1B. Maybe as a 1B/OF reserve.
Soriano back to NYY...hmmm, would Cash and Co. do that? I have not heard that one.
I thought Giles wanted to stay in SD. I think that is just a name being thrown out there because he hits lefty.
Roberts, we know that one is not happening. Next.
Posted by: studio179 | October 22, 2008 at 10:43 AM
"Matsui doesn't seem to be capable of playing a full season in the outfield anymore."
The Cubs already have a player from Japan who can't play a full season in the outfield.
Posted by: studio179 | October 22, 2008 at 10:47 AM
"Id be willing to trade Soriano to the Dodgers for Kemp and Billingsly...Id even throw in a 1mm or 2mm. ;)"
good luck with that. why would the dodgers trade two of the very few 'untouchables" in their system? they arent even going to offer that for peavy! why would they offer it to an over-payed outfield, who plays horrible defense? theyll resign manny to 19-20m a year. the they trade mcdonald, maza or dewitt, hu for peavy. if they want a second pitcher, swap maza or dewitt for elbert.
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | October 22, 2008 at 10:49 AM
Carlos Delgado for Derrek Lee
I'm not serious.
Posted by: icedrake523 | October 22, 2008 at 10:52 AM
Valpo,
Johnson over Crisp? Give me some of what your smokin.
Robin,
If you have heard the rumors of Boston signing Texeria, youd understand why they would like Lee for 10mm less than Tex. Lowell is hurt and questionable for next year. They may try to trade him.
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 10:54 AM
"Id be willing to trade Soriano to the Dodgers for Kemp and Billingsly...Id even throw in a 1mm or 2mm. ;)"
It was a joke people...
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 10:55 AM
i was on the fence earlier about trading lee, now i don't think i want to. just get him out of the 3-hole. he's still a productive hitter and very good defensively, and i think there's something to be said about clubhouse chemistry. bat theriot leadoff and see about trading for hermida, along with re-signing (at the very least) dempster and hopefully wood as well.
anyone want to split marquis' salary? cubs pick up more than half...
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | October 22, 2008 at 10:59 AM
Brian Robert rumors start again!!!
Still seems like the most logical fit. Derosa can play right and move around to fill in when needed. Now I think the O's would need to be convinced. Cubs fans what do you have left? Cedeno won't cut it.
Posted by: joemorgan=#1 | October 22, 2008 at 11:00 AM
No more BRob. Angelos likes him...he won't leave. Also, where is a note about Hendry wanting to rid the Cubs of Soriano? Man, as a cub fan, i tire of this stuff.
Honestly, i wish the LH bat was Abreu...that would be my #1 guy...but we'll see.
Posted by: cycub | October 22, 2008 at 11:02 AM
Can Samardizija pitch out of the rotation? He'd make a fine target for the O's in a Roberts trade.
If he can't, then I'd see Vitters being the prime target in a Roberts trade. It's doable.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 22, 2008 at 11:05 AM
Well, clarknaddison, Coco has a lifetime .331 OBP. Thats awesome for a lead off hitter. Johnson will be much cheaper and we dont have to get rid of Lee. Johnson was hurt in 07, but this year he had a .344 OBP and in 06 before the injury, he had a .390 OBP. He is also a great defender, and besides SB's, Johnson is as good or better than Crisp in all offensive categories.
Posted by: valpo034 | October 22, 2008 at 11:14 AM
"Can Samardizija pitch out of the rotation? He'd make a fine target for the O's in a Roberts trade."
that's where he pitched in the minors, with unspectacular numbers, though i think he'll get a chance to start in spring. i was told he has a NTC, which apparently grow instead of the ivy at wrigley during the off-season.
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | October 22, 2008 at 11:15 AM
TIM:
Giles slugged .488 away from PETCO this year...his power is fine. OBP, decent power, strong defense...perfect fit.
I do not agree at all with the idea that Lee can bring in even one top-notch prospect.
------------------------------
Giles won't leave SD. He had a couple of chances to leave for better teams during this past season... he turned them down, as you know having posted the articles here, Tim. The only way Giles may possibly leave SD is if they buy him out. You've already posted an article here on the 5th that Giles' option will be exercised.
I do think Lee can land a topnotch prospect. I'm not saying an elite caliber prospect, but something that could be a headliner in a trade for Peavy. The market for 1B this year is very weak once you get past Tex and possibly Dunn. The Yankees, Angels, Orioles, Braves, A's, and Mariners may all be on the lookout for a solid 1B. By the time the Tex-stakes are over, Dunn will probably be off the market. That means the loser will still be looking for a solid 1B. With Lee, you would still get a strong bat and one of the best gloves you can fetch at 1B. Giving up 1 topnotch prospect to land him and fill that need wouldn't be that huge of a price to pay... especially if the team making the trade happens to be the Yankees or the Angels.
Posted by: Unlitedsoul | October 22, 2008 at 11:20 AM
Keep dreaming Cubs fans. Lee is worth close to zero at this point. His salary is right in line with his performance. Why would a team pick up his entire salary AND give top talent.
Look - a team like the Angels has a chance for Tex. I think his final contract will end up near 6/110. Basically, $5m more than Lee for the next 2 seasons. For that $5m/year I save prospects and get a vastly superior player.
Lee might net you some no name talent but if you are expecting big time prospects to come over the Cubs will need to pay the freight for Lee.
Posted by: bjsguess | October 22, 2008 at 11:23 AM
What about Andre Ethier, Scott Elbert, and Eric Stults for Aramis Ramirez and Sean Marshall? Or Andre Ethier for Mark DeRosa and Cash?
Posted by: aj7380 | October 22, 2008 at 11:25 AM
"Anyway, his OBP looks good but his power just isn't there since he stopped taking PEDs; oops, I mean, since he left Pittsburgh."
Oh get off that.
"Giles slugged .488 away from PETCO this year...his power is fine. OBP, decent power, strong defense...perfect fit."
You are right there. Giles can be what the Cubs wanted from Fukudome. A LH bat with a .400 OBP and excellent defense. That he slugged 40 doubles this year playing half his games at PETCO, which is plenty of power. Put him in Wrigley and he probably hits 25-30 homers. Anyway, the Cubs have plenty of power, so that really isn't the issue.
"I do not agree at all with the idea that Lee can bring in even one top-notch prospect."
I think Lee could probably bring one top prospect if the Cubs were also willing to throw in the bulk of his contract, but I don't think that would be the value. A Lee trade should be one that brings in another established MLBer of similar value who plays a more favorable position and/or hits left handed
"Id be willing to trade Soriano to the Dodgers for Kemp and Billingsly...Id even throw in a 1mm or 2mm."
And I'd send Hu to the Cubs for Zambrano and DeRosa, but only if the Cubs paid Zambrano's contract ;-)
Posted by: AA | October 22, 2008 at 11:28 AM
Andre Ethier for Mark Derosa and 1 billion dollars
done deal
Posted by: Meoveryouok | October 22, 2008 at 11:32 AM
I know right? The cubs should offer Mark DeRosa and derek lee to the cubs for andre ethier, chad billingsly, blake dewitt, and i think the dodgers should throw in a top prospect as well to make it fair"
Posted by: GoSoX | October 22, 2008 at 11:38 AM
"What about Andre Ethier, Scott Elbert, and Eric Stults for Aramis Ramirez and Sean Marshall? Or Andre Ethier for Mark DeRosa and Cash?"
The Cubs aren't dealing Aramis Ramirez this winter, he's no doubt our best hitter.
And as meoveryouok said, the Cubs would have to give up way more than just DeRosa to land Ethier. Maybe DeRosa, Vitters and Pie? But then again trade proposals like that one are just a waste of time anyways.
I have one idea that I've brought up here once or twice and it really seems like an interesting idea to me:
Trade Alfonso Soriano and some to the Blue Jays for Vernon Wells.
If the Cubs were willing to include Pie as a replace to Wells in center, as well as another good player (Gaudin? Marshall?), surely the Blue Jays would be interested. The Cubs still owe Soriano $106M over the next five years, while the Jays owe Wells $100M over the next five years, so the contracts almost completely match up. This deal would give the Cubs an elite CF that they desperately need, as well as give them the opportunity to drastically improve their defense. And they could put a real leadoff hitter in the leadoff spot, which would help the rest of the order.
Meanwhile the Jays get a legit power bat for their lineup, and have two options for their lineup: Move Rios to center, Lind to left, and sign a DH, or put Pie in center, move Snider/Lind to first, and bench/move Overbay. This would give the Blue Jays a big name power bat for their lineup, as well as give them some other pieces for their team.
I would expect the Cubs to make this kind of deal before Toronto does though.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 22, 2008 at 11:39 AM
"What about Andre Ethier, Scott Elbert, and Eric Stults for Aramis Ramirez and Sean Marshall? Or Andre Ethier for Mark DeRosa and Cash?"
Couple of things. First, the Dodgers don't actually have a surplus in the outfield. Moving Kemp or Ethier, even if they resign Manny, instantly creates a hole that ends up being filled by Juan Pierre. Not the best idea. Second, Aramis Ramirez plays the infield, but he isn't much of a hitting upgrade over Ethier at this point, makes a lot more money and hits right-handed. Ethier is basically the Dodgers' only left-handed hitter with any power, which creates problems if he is traded for these right handed hitters you are talking about.
Posted by: AA | October 22, 2008 at 11:42 AM
The idea of trading Lee, yes his power is down, but you can expect .280 .360 OBP 20-25 HR and 85-100 RBI with gold golve D...to replace him with a 28 year old AAA player...Great idea.
Why Crisp over Johnson? The only upside Crisp has is he is a switch hitter. So I will stick with what I know and not waste trade bait or salary.
Riot, ok not the best SS in the game, but .290 .362 OBP (still better than Crisp) is pretty good. and young and cheap.
Let's forget DeRo as a full time RF...he is an above average 2B.
You know what this team needs to add? Fukudome of the first half, and some old LH bat like Ibanez/ Giles to platoon in RF to replace Edmonds.
YOU HAD THE BEST OFFENSE IN THE MAJORS!
Posted by: SouthernFriedCub | October 22, 2008 at 11:45 AM
Abbreu is a bad idea, hes basically a declining DeRosa that will require a multi year deal for 10-13mm a year. 280avg,20hrs....no thanks.
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 11:51 AM
"Abbreu is a bad idea, hes basically a declining DeRosa that will require a multi year deal for 10-13mm a year. 280avg,20hrs....no thanks."
Not to mention he's afraid of padded walls. He would be too afraid to go to the warning track at Wrigley.
Posted by: icedrake523 | October 22, 2008 at 11:57 AM
Valpo-
Hmm...I still dont see how Johnson would benefit the Cubs more than Crisp. Crisp can leadoff and push Soriano down in the order. This alone makes him more beneficial. The salaries would likely be the same, Crisp can run, play better Def and is a switch hitter. No platoon needed which would open up another spot on your roster/bench. It just makes sense.
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 12:00 PM
ice,
Ha, agreed. I could see Hendry going after him too...I just hope he sees our logic.
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 12:01 PM
ugh.
crisp is an AWFUL idea. he is not the prototypical leadoff hitter just because he's fast. and trading lee, or even felix pie--who could easily match his performance in 2009--straight up for crisp is idiotic.
i'm glad none of us actually run the cubs.
lee for winn is a better idea, but trading lee only works if the cubs are committed to bringing in tex or dunn to play 1B, and if they re-sign dempster and wood, there just may not be enough room for dunn's salary, never mind tex.
much, much less risky to sign abreu and be done with it, regardless of what kind of RF defense he plays.
Posted by: RoquetMan | October 22, 2008 at 12:09 PM
We know that Giles loves San Diego and does not want to play in Boston. As far as I know, he's never been asked about Chicago. Sure, he'd probably say no. But I'd like to hear that the Cubs asked.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | October 22, 2008 at 12:17 PM
I was under the impression that Giles has a limited no trade clause and that the Red Sox were one of the teams listed. By picking up the option on Giles does he get full no trade protection or are the Cubs on the list of teams he cannot be traded to?
Posted by: cwilli | October 22, 2008 at 12:18 PM
your not going to be able to find your 'prototypical' leadoff hitter unless we trade for Roberts. Crisp would be a fine alternative.
Johnson:
303avg,358obp,68k,19bb,5sb,330ab
Crisp:
283avg,344obp,59k,35bb,20sb,360ab
Johnson was clearly playing over his head. Johnson would be on pace to stikeout approx 135 times in regular at bats. Crisp 110.
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 12:20 PM
I actually like the idea of Winn for Lee. We have a void to fill at 1B, and we have young OF that we want to move around.
Randy Winn is a switch hitter, has hit over .300 3 of his 4 years with SF and last year hit .311 with 25 SB's and plays a solid RF.
Posted by: TriplesAlley | October 22, 2008 at 12:28 PM
Clarknaddison - What are you doing with Pie? Giving up on a 23 year old player that has been messed with the last couple years by being shuffled back and forth and hasnt had a chance to find a groove? Also Reed Johnson had a higher BA against both righties and lefties last year than Crisp. Why do you need to platoon him? BTW - Crisp is not a dramatic improvement of Johnson defensively. Johnson can lead off just as well as Crisp can.
Posted by: valpo034 | October 22, 2008 at 12:33 PM
Hey I'm a Yanks fan that would love to sign Tex, but isn't too positive they will being starting pitching (as it should be) is their main priority.
So if the Yanks cant sign Tex, i would love Lee. Would would it take to get him in pinstripes? Damon/Matsui + Kennedy or something. What would you want in return for Lee? - and dont say hughes or cano
Posted by: CorShep | October 22, 2008 at 12:34 PM
isn't too positive they'll sign him because starting pitching is their main priority***
Posted by: CorShep | October 22, 2008 at 12:41 PM
valpo,
Johnson hit 276avg, 320obp with 38k's and 8bb's....being that hed be facing right handers 80% of the time, no thanks. Id take Crisp and his 278avg,353obp with 39k's and 31bb's.
The numbers dont lie.
Pie? He either has to be traded or kept on the roster all year. Its hard to say...but I imagine he would probably get traded. A platoon of Johnson and Pie is feasible. If Pie lived up to his hype, we wouldnt even be having this conversation.
Triples,
Im not crazy about Winn. Hes 34, makes good money, around 9mm or so and only hit 10hrs. Hes a switch hitter but isnt really suited to leadoff...Im not sure hes worth giving up Lee for. Fred Lewis is 6 years younger and put up similar numbers to Winn, he may be acceptable.
All,
What about a trade with the Angels? They may need a 1B if Tex isnt resigned and have some intrigueing players in Figgins, Kotchman, Willits, Wood, Morales?? What do you think about a Kotchman (lefty) and Willits (switch)for a Lee, Pie and Cedeno??
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 12:48 PM
FYI-stats for johnson and crisp are vs righties this year.
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 12:49 PM
Crap...they traded Kothman to the Braves...duh. Then im not certain about the Angels...
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 12:51 PM
Clarknaddison: You do realize, of course, that Kotchman was the player the Angels traded for Tex, right?
"Abbreu is a bad idea, hes basically a declining DeRosa that will require a multi year deal for 10-13mm a year. 280avg,20hrs....no thanks."
Abreu is still an offensive force and is only 1 year older than DeRosa. He hits for as much or more power and has a much better speed game, plus has one of the best established batting eyes in the game. Also, notwithstanding his fear of walls, his arm is still a weapon.
"and dont say hughes or cano"
You mean an injured pitcher and an overrated 2B?
"Hes 34, makes good money, around 9mm or so and only hit 10hrs. Hes a switch hitter but isnt really suited to leadoff.."
A .363 OBP and 25 SB is not suited to lead off? Do you watch baseball?
Posted by: AA | October 22, 2008 at 12:52 PM
The only way they move Lee is if they are making a fun at Tex which I dont see happening. I havent seen a good option yet to fit RF. Abreu keeps coming to mind. But I am not sure about him. What other ideas?
Posted by: uww1 | October 22, 2008 at 12:52 PM
.280 not .276. I am so glad you are not the GM. Your stats are wrong
Posted by: valpo034 | October 22, 2008 at 12:54 PM
"The only way they move Lee is if they are making a fun at Tex which I dont see happening. "
They should just make fun of Tex
Posted by: Meoveryouok | October 22, 2008 at 12:58 PM
Valpo, what metrics are you referencing to substantiate your claim that Crisp is not a dramatic defensive improvement over Johnson.
If you're going to nitpick over 4 points in BA, I figure you've got some information to back your assertions up.
Posted by: Meoveryouok | October 22, 2008 at 12:59 PM
Ok, flame me for this if you want. I have the understanding that BRoberts is probably not going anywhere, etc. etc., BUT if you have to move a big contract, how about something along these lines:
Lee + cash + Ceda and/or a middle infielder (Cedeno probably won't be enough... something along those lines) for Roberts. We clear some salary room, acquire our LH leadoff hitter and the O's get their first baseman. Move Marquis. Sign Dunn? Or go cheap and get a Kevin Millar and take our chances with a platoon with the Hoff. Eh?
Posted by: BigBatsMcHellfire | October 22, 2008 at 01:12 PM
Johnson has a higher fielding %, a better ZR, nearly identical RF.
i wasnt nitpicking over 4 points, I was correcting him since he tried to correct me on that fact.
Posted by: valpo034 | October 22, 2008 at 01:15 PM
valpo-276 vs righties. Check it out on the CUBS website.
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 01:21 PM
"Johnson over Crisp? Give me some of what your smokin."
Johnson - .303/.358/.420./778
Crisp - .283/.344/.407..751
Both had good years last year...but one isn't a ton better than the other. Crisp's defense probably bridges that gap in the numbers...
"Can Samardizija pitch out of the rotation? He'd make a fine target for the O's in a Roberts trade."
It took giving him a NTC to get him to give up football. He isn't going anywhere, even if Hendry wanted him to, which he doens't. Yes, he will be a candidate for the rotation, probably in 2010.
"Keep dreaming Cubs fans. Lee is worth close to zero at this point. His salary is right in line with his performance. Why would a team pick up his entire salary AND give top talent."
A two year contract is something that is very desirable for a team that has someone maybe in AA that will be ready to take over after that. Trading for Lee gets you a quality offensive, defensive, and clubhouse first basemen for a contract that is right in line annually, but with only a two year committment. That is something desirable...and a reason I believe that he could net something pretty good. Not Cain, but not a no name talent either.
I think you have to get very creative if you are going to try and do anything. I say resign Wood and Dempster, then see if you can get someone to take Marquis off your hands for some B prospect (he has value right now as he had a good year and its a one year deal).
I like the platoon of Johnson/Pie until the all star break, then take a look at what is on the market as far as left handed bats. This team had it all in the regular season:
1. 97 wins
2. Top 5 Rotation
3. Best offense in NL
4. Above average Bullpen
5. Above average Defense
Take your time, be patient, and lets give Pie the real shot he deserves. The guy had a 900+ OPS in AAA two years ago, and did well in his callup with the Cubs at the end of this year. If it doesn't work out, you finally part ways with him at the deadline.
Keep Hoffp instead of Ward.
Move Soriano down, bat Theriot 1, Fontenot/DeRosa 2.
I'd even explore the Vernon Wells idea...which I actually like. Offer Wuertz, Pie, and Soriano for Wells. If they will do this, trade Marquis and go after Burrell or Abreu for LF.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 22, 2008 at 01:21 PM
"I'd even explore the Vernon Wells idea...which I actually like. Offer Wuertz, Pie, and Soriano for Wells. If they will do this, trade Marquis and go after Burrell or Abreu for LF."
Im sure they would do that. I certainly wouldnt as a Cubs fan. Give up our leader in HR's, a top prospect and a middle releif guy for Wells? Whats the logic? How do we know Wells would be better in the post season? Has he ever been? This makes NO sense to me...our team would be worse.
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 01:28 PM
Our team would not be worse if we added Burrell to LF. Lineup would be:
1. Theriot
2. DeRosa/Fontenot
3. Ramirez
4. Burrell
5. Lee
6. Wells
7. Soto
8. Fukudome
9. Pitcher
I'll take that in a second over our current lineup. Are you telling me you wouldn't?
Wells - .839 OPS/120 OPS+/29 years old
Soriano - .876 OPS/123 OPS+/32 years old
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 22, 2008 at 01:36 PM
You would have Wells until he was 34 playing CF, instead of Soriano until he was 37 playing LF. You also have one of Abreu/Burrell/Dunn playing LF. I don't understand how that isn't favorable to you. I like Soriano, but Wells is the better player to have for the next 5 years on a 100 mil contract.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 22, 2008 at 01:37 PM
I guess I dont know how to type...sorry
The only way they move Lee is if they are making a run at Tex which I dont see happening. I havent seen a good option yet to fit RF. Abreu keeps coming to mind. But I am not sure about him. What other ideas?
Posted by: uww1 | October 22, 2008 at 01:44 PM
The whole point is to add a lefty power hitter. That what all the atricles mentioned in Tims post are saying. Thats what Jim and Lou want. Burrell is a righty...so is Wells. Ill pass on having my 1-7 hitters all right handed. Wed be giving up too much talent in that trade.
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 01:44 PM
I agree with TriplesAlley, in that a Winn-for-Lee swap works out well for both clubs. The Giants need a power-hitting 1B with good defense for a couple of years to get them to Angel Villalona in 2011. By putting Lee at 1B, they could return to the idea of putting Pablo Sandoval at 3B, and then focus on improving themselves in the middle infield (JJ Hardy anyone?)
Posted by: Buck Henry | October 22, 2008 at 01:44 PM
This team has to be built in '09 to win the WS. Nothing else will be acceptable.
We can't win the WS counting on Soriano/Lee to play major roles. Both of these guys have won a WS and neither of them is motivated to do what it takes to win another.
To put us in the best position to win the WS Hendry HAS to do the following (assumes resigning Demp/Wood or equivalents):
1. We need a LH #3 hitter that can drive in runs and hit for power.
(D Lee had 1HR with runners in scoring position in '08) Trade both D Lee/Marquis as salary dumps and sign Blanco to a lesser deal. Anything for Lee would be a bonus. If we eat $3MM of Marquis salary - someone will take him for 1 year at $7MM. This frees up $20MM
Sign Tex to a 6 year $120MM deal. This guy is 28 and in his prime (a future HOFer).
2. We have to have a leadoff hitter that gets on base and sets the table. I think Theriot(or the old Fuku) can do this. Drop Soriano to 7th (can't hit in the clutch against good pitching)
These are the "have to dos"
The "like to do" would be to dump Soriano. Do you think someone would take him if we ate $5MM a year for 6 years? Then we could get a legit leadoff hitter in B Roberts or Furcal for the same money and put Derosa/Hoffpauir in left.
Do you think Hendry has the smarts and b@&&s to pull this off?
Posted by: HOF4Santo | October 22, 2008 at 01:46 PM
I guess i disagree with the Winn trade unless we get a good reliever back. 2 years of Lee at 13mm is more valuable than Randy Winn. Who plays 1st? If we can get Dunn to play first then Im all for it. But I still dont see Winn as a leadoff hitter. He never has been, why would he be at age 34? He doesnt have the tools to leadoff...he may be better than Soriano though....ehh thats a whole other topic.
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 01:47 PM
clark,
You are right...I was thinking Pat was a lefty for some reason.
Still, same scenario with Abreu playing LF. That is a better offensive, defensive, and balanced (lefty righty) batting order.
They add the lefty bat to stick in the 3 or 4 hole that they have always wanted.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 22, 2008 at 02:11 PM
1. Theriot
2. DeRosa/Fontenot
3. Ramirez
4. Abreu
5. Lee
6. Wells
7. Soto
8. Fukudome
9. Pitcher
The OBP in that lineup is just sick...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 22, 2008 at 02:13 PM
That would be 6 guys w/ 20+ HR potential.
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 02:23 PM
And two of the three that don't have that potential have .380 to .400 OBP potential...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 22, 2008 at 02:28 PM
fwiw-i c&p'd this from bleedcubbieblue.com. its a radio report from bruce miles earlier today. i got it secondhand, so i don't know how accurate it is...
Priority # 1 is re-signing Ryan Dempster
Cubs are not willing to give Kerry Wood a three year deal which might spell the end of his career in Chicago (very surprising to me)
Rich Hill is back on the Cubs radar -- organization still has faith in his talent
Organization would like Alfonso Soriano to bat 5th or 6th next year
Kosuke Fukudome stands good chance of being platoon mate with Reed Johnson in CF, dependent of course on his ability to hit
Derrek Lee will likely not be traded on recommendation of Piniella
Jake Peavy is not on the radarscope but the Brewers will be very hot and heavy after him
Raul Ibanez is not really a target because of his inability to play right field
Bob Brenly shapes up to be finalist for the Milwaukee job
nothing earth-shattering, just thought i'd pass it along...
i'd hate to lose brenly, btw.
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | October 22, 2008 at 02:35 PM
"i'd hate to lose brenly, btw."
Me too...not to mention the guy knows the Cubs inside and out...that wouldn't be good.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 22, 2008 at 02:43 PM
there is still a chance that giles option is not picked up
Posted by: bkoke | October 22, 2008 at 02:53 PM
Will Carl Crawfords option be picked up...I assume it will. But that can get expensive for TB. Maybe they would buy him out or trade him?
Posted by: uww1 | October 22, 2008 at 02:56 PM
TB will be giving out a lot of money to all there young studs. any ideas?
Posted by: uww1 | October 22, 2008 at 02:57 PM
if i'm not mistaken, baldelli's option for '09 was already declined, wasn't it? i would assume crawford's would get picked up. though should they win this thing, do they have a marlins-style tear down? it's not like they're packing the place on a nightly basis during the regular season now is it?
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | October 22, 2008 at 03:08 PM
Like I say, the Cubs will go after a lefty bat. Most likely not a top tier guy. After the organizational meetings this week and the World Series, tid bits will get out about which players Hendry will look to sign/trade/trade in the winter.
The Rays could afford Crawford. Who knows. One thing for sure is this post season and World Series will bring them lots of dollars to afford picking him up.
Posted by: studio179 | October 22, 2008 at 03:25 PM
"But I still dont see Winn as a leadoff hitter. He never has been, why would he be at age 34? He doesnt have the tools to leadoff...he may be better than Soriano though....ehh thats a whole other topic."
Dude, Winn has been a leadoff hitter for almost his whole career. What tools is he lacking to leadoff? He has good OBP and an excellent stolen base rate...what the hell else do you want from a leadoff hitter?? I'm guessing HR's cuz they're shiny...
Posted by: NorCalBB | October 22, 2008 at 03:36 PM
The Giants didnt lead off with him. They dont really have another alternative either. This would tell one that hes NOT a leadoff hitter. I could care less about HR's....leadoff hitters typically dont hit HR's...
All im saying is, if hes such a great leadoff hitter, why isnt he leading off for the Giants? Winn led off 5 times last year.
Most Frequent Lineup
Avg HR RBI
Lewis LF .282 9 40
Durham 2B .289 6 45
Winn RF .306 10 64
Molina C .292 16 95
Rowand CF .271 13 70
Bowker 1B .255 10 43
Aurilia 3B .283 10 52
Vizquel SS .222 0 23
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 03:56 PM
clark,
probably, because the sad reality is that they needed him to hit in the middle of the order because he is one of their better hitters. On a team like the cubs, that wouldn't be the case.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 22, 2008 at 04:03 PM
clark, he isn't leading off for the Giants because the team is bereft of contact guys and needs his BA lower in the lineup. It doesn't do the Giants any good to have him bat leadoff and then get left on base. A better hitting team like the Cubs can really use his OBP and base-stealing at the top of the order in ways the Giants cannot.
Posted by: Buck Henry | October 22, 2008 at 04:05 PM
ok, I see your point. Hed be better than what we currently have. How about this?
RF-Winn
SS-Theriot
3B-Ramirez
1B-Dunn
LF-Soriano
C-Soto
2B-DeRosa
CF-Fuku/Johnson
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 04:14 PM
That's a pretty solid lineup, and Winn plays great D.
Posted by: Buck Henry | October 22, 2008 at 04:28 PM
"But I still dont see Winn as a leadoff hitter. He never has been, why would he be at age 34? He doesnt have the tools to leadoff..."
Listen to NorCalBB. Winn is almost a prototypical leadoff hitter. He has a good OBP, lots of speed and enough power to be a threat any time he comes to the plate. That is absolutely ideal. Also, he has hit leadoff more than any other spot in the lineup, which shoots in the foot your "never has been" idea.
Posted by: AA | October 22, 2008 at 04:36 PM
all we would have to do is sign Dunn and then work out the trade for Winn.
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 04:38 PM
The reason that Winn didn't bat leadoff on the Giants is because the Giants offense blows, and they needed his "power" in the middle of their lineup.
And I also love him in a Cubs uniform. If we could land him, then I'm not so sure we would need to go after another FA for the outfield, unless we moved somebody.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 22, 2008 at 04:50 PM
Dunn at 1B...ouch. We all know what he does and does not do well. Dunn wants a big contract. Though I think the contract he signs will not be quite as big as he first wanted, I don't know if the Cubs would entertain signing him.
Posted by: studio179 | October 22, 2008 at 04:54 PM
"all we would have to do is sign Dunn and then work out the trade for Winn."
The Cubs have absolutely no need for Dunn. They have plenty of power and don't need his defense to combine with Soriano's in the OF. That would then require Fukudome to be in the lineup everyday, no matter his production, just to save the Cubs from their defense.
"The reason that Winn didn't bat leadoff on the Giants is because the Giants offense blows, and they needed his "power" in the middle of their lineup.
And I also love him in a Cubs uniform. If we could land him, then I'm not so sure we would need to go after another FA for the outfield, unless we moved somebody."
I completely agree. Winn is a good enough fielder to handle RF at Wrigley and allow for Fukudome to play CF and probably would hit 20 HR at Wrigley.
Posted by: AA | October 22, 2008 at 04:57 PM
Following up on Dunn...
Forget his defense for a minute. I know balls jump in Cinncy, but Dunn hitting at Wrigley. That guy always hits a monster shot against the Cubs every series and about an HR every game.
Posted by: studio179 | October 22, 2008 at 04:59 PM
I think the Cubs should Lee for prospects to replace him with Dunn or Tex at first base (although, it's more likely Dunn). We could bat Soriano lower and then Theriot could lead off, and Derosa can play right field so that Fontenot starts. If Dero were in RF then Fuku could platoon w/ him. That would give us.
Against RHP
1-Theriot
2-Fontenot
3-Ramirez
4-Dunn
5-Soriano
6-Fukudome
7-Soto
8-Pie
9-Pitcher
Against LHP
1-Theriot
2-Fontenot
3-Ramirez
4-Soriano
5-Dunn
6-Soto
7-Derosa
8-Johnson
9-Pitcher
And defensively we would downgrade from Lee, but I think we'd live with Dunn at first. But I feel that moving Lee is but a dream of ours.
Posted by: cubs4ever | October 22, 2008 at 05:03 PM
Speculation about going after Winn is the best idea I have read on the last few Cub threads. That would solve a couple big needs.
Posted by: studio179 | October 22, 2008 at 05:04 PM
*** I think the Cubs should trade Lee for prospects...***
Posted by: cubs4ever | October 22, 2008 at 05:05 PM
Ill give you Lee for Masterson and Crisp...
Posted by: clarknaddison | October 22, 2008 at 05:22 PM
"It would be painful but i might consider trading CRISP for SOTO! What do CUBS FANS think?"
That would be as bad as Cano for Kemp. Soto plays a more premium position and is a much more valuable offensive player.
Posted by: AA | October 22, 2008 at 05:25 PM
It would be painful but i might consider trading CRISP for SOTO! What do CUBS FANS think?
Do you watch baseball at all? You think we should trade our 25 year old rookie of the year catcher who hit 23 hrs for a 4th outfielder haha
Posted by: cubs | October 22, 2008 at 06:01 PM