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« A.J. Burnett Rumors: Wednesday | Main | Dodgers Talks For Wilson At Impasse »
7:58pm: Kinzer told Joe Stiglich of the Contra Costa Times that the A's are "right at the top of the list."
7:05pm: Kinzer revealed to Yahoo's Tim Brown that the two unknown Furcal suitors "have to make some moves first." So think of teams with incumbent shortstops, like the Braves. Or perhaps a team that has to clear payroll like the Cubs.
4:25pm: Kinzer told Haft they'll have it down to two teams before Monday or Tuesday. The A's, Giants, and two other clubs are still in the mix for Furcal. This time, Kinzer told Haft he did talk to the Giants yesterday. It's unknown whether he has an offer from San Francisco, but there's nothing from the A's yet.
12:55pm: Susan Slusser and Henry Schulman of the San Francisco Chronicle learned that Kinzer did have talks with the Giants about Furcal on Tuesday. MLB.com's Chris Haft had Kinzer saying last night that he hadn't spoken to Giants officials in two days.
10:11am: Rafael Furcal met with the A's yesterday, and it's not a stretch to suggest they're the frontrunner for his services. SI.com's Jon Heyman says the A's, Giants, Cubs, Dodgers, Braves, and a mystery team remain involved. Interesting note from Heyman:
Furcal's agent, Paul Kinzer, said by phone that he hasn't fielded a correct guess from any media member on said mystery team. I gave it a shot on Tuesday night, throwing out the Reds -- who appear to be in the mix on some surprising names -- but he said that was incorrect.
Jon! No! You wasted your guess. I believe the mystery team boils down to the Indians or Twins. Thoughts?
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The mystery team may be the Royals.
Posted by: nostocksjustbonds | November 26, 2008 at 10:21 AM
I'm a Twins fan, so take it with a grain of salt, but that's what I keep thinking too. Would make all the sense in the world. They have the money, and he's at a position of need.
Really, if the Twins got Blake and Furcal it will have been a VERY successful offseason and they'd still have incredible depth. They could even make Cuddyer a super-utility guy then able to play OF, 3b, and 2b.
Posted by: djskilbr | November 26, 2008 at 10:22 AM
How about the Cardinals as the mystery team?
They tend to do conduct their business under the radar.
Posted by: cowsarecool220 | November 26, 2008 at 10:25 AM
Most likely the mystery team has asked to be kept secret. There could be two reasons for this, 1, they have a starter at short they want to move off the team, or to anothe position, meaning Texas (M. Young to 3B) or Houston (Tejada to 3B).
Reason #2 they are in contract negotiations with another player and don't want to reveal how much $ they have in the budget for salaries. This makes me think Toronto (Burnett) and Baltimor (Markakis).
Posted by: KenInToronto | November 26, 2008 at 10:26 AM
White Sox.
Posted by: Mr. Exceptional | November 26, 2008 at 10:27 AM
i say the mystery team could be the cards.
Posted by: alan | November 26, 2008 at 10:28 AM
I 'second' the Royals guess. GMDM came over from the Braves, and may be partial to Furcal. Snagging Furcal would allow the Royals to shift Aviles to 2B.
Hopefully, they could then trade one of their excess 1B/OF/DH types (like Teahan or Butler) to Tampa Bay for Jackson or Sonnanstine.
Posted by: Haymaker | November 26, 2008 at 10:32 AM
If I had to pick one I would say the Twins. I believe they have the money to do another $10-12 million a year, and Furcal costs no draft picks.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | November 26, 2008 at 10:34 AM
I should start by saying that I am not fully aware of all the teams already discussed.
What about the Red Sox? They work under the radar and may not be content with Lowrie as a full time SS. Perhaps they see him more like a replacement for Cora who can play 3b, ss and 2b as a super sub (ala Chone Figgins).
He is a switch hitter, would fill the lead off position, and provide superb defense.
Posted by: plus1handicap | November 26, 2008 at 10:46 AM
The mystery team might well be the Angels.
A good offensive upgrade, and frees up one or more useful trading chips in Aybar/Izturis.
It's also a 'beneath the radar' acquisition that they have done a lot of recently.
Posted by: titmus | November 26, 2008 at 10:46 AM
Do the Twins want to sign someone like Furcal who has a significant injury history? I just can't see the Twins puling this one off.
Posted by: Brandon W. Fisher | November 26, 2008 at 10:51 AM
Excellent observation made by "KenInToronto". I'm wondering which teams have a SS already in place that would throw a fit if the mystery team was announced??
As far as the Orioles go, (I'm already a big Markakis and Roberts fan) they would look TONS better if they were able to land Furcal and maybe Tex or Burnett for a home-town discount. Not sure how they could afford it though.
Posted by: Haymaker | November 26, 2008 at 10:51 AM
mystery team is for sure, the Jays.....
Posted by: Dashgord | November 26, 2008 at 10:57 AM
Although it's impossible to say who the mystery team is for sure, the Twins do make sense. They're a team on the rise, the money is there, and he fulfills a number of requirements for off-season needs.
The injury point is a good one to bring up, and I have to admit that if Minnesota IS the mystery team I'd be surprised. It'd be unlike them to be so aggressive. But, Bill Smith only has one off-season under his belt, so it's a bit more difficult to predict how they'll act. Who knows...if they're truly as committed to 2010 as their decisions over the last year have implied, this bit of speculation could have a lot of merit.
Posted by: jesse | November 26, 2008 at 11:03 AM
I always thought that, in general, the mystery team is a marketing ploy bu agents to get teams to negotiate against themselves when there is, in reality, no competition for the players services, or to make it seem like there is more competition than there really is.
Posted by: SpineyNorman | November 26, 2008 at 11:05 AM
I'd think it was the Twins moreso than the Indians. Though I'd rather have Furcal than Hudson as an Indians fan.
Twins need either a 3B or SS. Blake is the best FA option at 3B...or they could go after Furcal. I think Blake is the better fit for them as I'm not sure I'd want a guy with injury concerns playing on that Astroturf, even if it is for only one more year....
Posted by: Hermie13 | November 26, 2008 at 11:05 AM
Really though, the Twins have the money for both. They'd probably be about an $18 M commitment annually combined. The Twins definitely have that room in the budget this year. And then some.
Posted by: djskilbr | November 26, 2008 at 11:11 AM
That's is an interesting suggestion that the "mystery team" doesn't exist and is a negotiating ploy. That would make perfect sense.
However, if there really is a mystery team, it very well could be the Royals. Dayton Moore hates for moves to be made public and keeps everything a secret. This is just something that small market teams have to try and avoid being leverage for bigger market teams when the interest is legitimate.
I think it would be a huge gamble for the Royals as we've had a prior franchise-crippling experience with a high-priced player with back problems. And Sweeney was a DH.
Posted by: Jay | November 26, 2008 at 11:18 AM
I believe the mystery team doesn't exist. Agents pull this garbage every year just to drive up the price of their players.
Posted by: hemingways | November 26, 2008 at 11:33 AM
White Sox, Ramirez to CF.
Posted by: striker | November 26, 2008 at 11:35 AM
Tim,
I think you got the division right. I will be so bold as to say the mystery division is the AL Central.
But that's if this "mystery team" actually exist.
Posted by: basicslop | November 26, 2008 at 11:39 AM
How about the Pirates! They sure could use infield depth, Furcal would be in a contract year by the time the Buccos could be playoff bound, and then Wilson would actually be expendable this offseason.
Doubtful I know.
Posted by: tonypiratesfan | November 26, 2008 at 11:46 AM
I've thought all along that the Sox would make a run at Furcal, especially if they feel Ellsbury can't handle the leadoff spot. Lowrie is solid, but he has no power, no speed, and fairly limited range. Furcal would offer the speed and the great range, plus he's only 31.
Posted by: Mark | November 26, 2008 at 11:58 AM
See the problem with thinking its Minnesota is that makes sense......and when it comes to free agents sense isnt something they invest in around these parts.
Posted by: migoli | November 26, 2008 at 12:22 PM
I don't see the Sox at all. Lowrie is a stud. And he's only going to get better. He's going to hit a LOT of doubles in that park, just like Pedroia.
Posted by: djskilbr | November 26, 2008 at 12:25 PM
Eh, the Pirates guess is actually pretty logical. Assuming they trade Wilson, they have absolutely no one to take over the position, unless Bixler pulls an Aviles. They will need a SS for probably the next 3 years at least, which makes Furcal a good gamble.
Would be a bold move for Huntington, but since there is pressure to start spending money, he might as well do it at a position of great need.
Posted by: thepiratesship | November 26, 2008 at 01:02 PM
Hey, that whole "mystery team" thing is my idea. F you Kinzer.
Posted by: Scott Boras | November 26, 2008 at 01:11 PM
Mystery team is the Seattle Mariners......who are shopping both Jose Lopez and Yuni Betancourt.
The M's middle D was terrible, and they have no one to play SS....if they trade Betancourt, they keep Lopez at 2B, if they trade Lopez, they slide Betancourt over to 2B (his natural position) and vastly upgrade their middle IF defense with Furcal.
Posted by: Capper | November 26, 2008 at 01:14 PM
I've said it forever. It's the Indians! It just makes too much sense.
1. Keep Asdrubal at 2nd. Middle D would be outstanding for ground ball pitchers Laffey, Carmona, Westbrook, etc.
2. Move Peralta to 3rd.
3. FINALLY move Grady down in the order.
4. Give them someone that can actually steal bases. Right now all they have is Grady. Asdrubal is slow, Choo and Guit could get 10-15 in a season, but they are never straight steals.
5. Shapiro promised to be active in the market, this is the only move that makes sense.
Posted by: the lowercase zach is better | November 26, 2008 at 02:07 PM
I think the three most likely options are the Twins, Indians and White Sox.
The Twins and Indians are obvious from all the reasons given above.
But I really think that there could be something with Chicago. KW seems to want to shake it up some, and it appears they're going to clear some salary by moving guys like Dye, Vazquez, Jenks and/or Konerko. They really need an athletic leadoff hitter to put at the top of the lineup, and Furcal would be perfect.
Under this scenario, Furcal would likely go to shortstop for a while, with Ramirez sticking at second and a platoon of Anderson/Wise in center, or possibly a prospect received from a trade. Then, once Gordon Beckham is ready, they'll move Ramirez to center (where he's likely better suited) and go with a Beckham/Furcal combo up the middle. I really believe this is something to consider.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 26, 2008 at 03:20 PM
Grady doesn't have to move down the order though. Soriano has been there for a number of years and his teams do just fine. Tribe also just traded for Brantley who they see as their future leadoff guy (from the CC trade). Still a possibility....
But the more I think about it, the more the Angels do make sense. They could then trade Kendrick to Colorado with a pitcher for Atkins (or something along those lines) and let Figgins play 2B. If they resigned Teixeira (which I know is a big if) they would have an infield of Teixeira, Figgins, Furcal, and Atkins.
They could also trade Figgins instead of Kendrick....
And the Angels did seem to come out of nowhere with the Hunter signing last year.....
Posted by: Hermie13 | November 26, 2008 at 03:23 PM
I think Furcal stays in the NL. He'll sign in SF or LA....unless Oakland goes overboard on the $$$.
Posted by: SFnative | November 26, 2008 at 03:42 PM
The Giants better either sign Furcal because i can already imagine Sabean getting crazy and overpaying for Renteria
Posted by: Bleacher_bum_SF | November 26, 2008 at 03:48 PM
SF better sign Furcal
Posted by: Bleacher_bum_SF | November 26, 2008 at 03:49 PM
I can't decide if this "mystery team" thing is getting annoying or the most exciting thing in a dull FA news cycle.
I'll modify my previous bland and adventureless prediction and say that of the two "mystery teams" atleast one of them is in the AL Central.
** Teaser: remember when everyone found out that the Royals were in on Torii Hunter last year, and practically no one had them as serious canidates??? Perhaps...
Posted by: basicslop | November 26, 2008 at 04:32 PM
HEADLINE NEXT WEEK: Furcal a Giant
Posted by: SFnative | November 26, 2008 at 04:41 PM
If no one guessed it yet it would have to be some off the wall team no one would think of. Maybe the guy who said the Rangers is right ? They would have the money IF they knew they had a Young trade ready, and if they knew no FA pitchers were willing to sign or they didn't think they were worth it.
That would leave the question of why someone would trade for M Young instead of just signing Furcal themselves though ?
Posted by: kinsler5 | November 26, 2008 at 04:54 PM
It won't be the Rangers with Elvis Andrus in the minors, unless they would plan on moving Furcal to second and Kinsler to the outfield with Young at third when Andrus is ready.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 26, 2008 at 05:17 PM
Alot of the guesses are fairly logical and decent wel lthought out ones. I will take the road less travelled and go totally off the wall - its the Yankees. Perhaps they will move Jeter to CF ala Robin Yount - or perhaps they have a deal to ship Cano out and put Furcal at 2B and move him to short when Jeter can no longer play there? Maybe they sign Furcal and trade Damon for pitching. Its all basically throwing crap against the wall to see if it sticks but man o man will i look like a genius if it happens lol
Posted by: touchmymonkey | November 26, 2008 at 05:36 PM
"Its all basically throwing crap against the wall to see if it sticks but man o man will i look like a genius if it happens lol"
Flinging feces is usually the first sign of genius.
Posted by: basicslop | November 26, 2008 at 07:03 PM
Tim,
How about one of those cool surveys like the one for Type A free agents, for where people think Furcal will go and who the mystery team is?
That'd be cool.
Posted by: basicslop | November 26, 2008 at 07:04 PM
Kinzer has now said that he wants to narrow the field to only two remaining teams by Monday, yet the A's haven't even made an offer yet. I wouldn't be surprised if the Giants have made the lone offer for 3/$39 million.
The problem Kinzer now faces is that he's admitted that there are two other teams in play, yet both of them have either salary or roster constraints to deal with before they can plug his client into a roster spot. Neither one of those teams is likely to address those problems over the weekend unless there are surprise trades about to happen. So those teams would have to jump in now to be considered without the certainty of having dealt with their constraints. And what team is willing to do that without knowing for sure that they'll land Furcal, if Kinzer wants this narrowed down now?
Kinzer may have been too clever here and forced things too quickly, especially if it's possible that he really only has one offer in hand right now.
Posted by: Buck Henry | November 26, 2008 at 07:29 PM
I believe the White Sox are a "mystery team" and the move they have to wait for is for Cabrera to decline arbitration or sign with another team.
Posted by: cabiness42 | November 26, 2008 at 07:47 PM
Andrew, that would make sense.
Tim, the Stiglich link doesn't seem to work. And it makes sense that Kinzer would say that about the A's, because he's trying to get them to pony up the fourth year he and his client want to get over the Giants' offer. But the A's haven't made an offer yet?
Posted by: Buck Henry | November 26, 2008 at 08:10 PM
Andrew that wouldn't make sense. Alexei Ramirez is at SS with Gordon Beckham probably to take 2B at mid season.
Posted by: BLEEDINGCUBBIEBLUE | November 26, 2008 at 08:17 PM
or SS and Ramirez back to 2B
Posted by: BLEEDINGCUBBIEBLUE | November 26, 2008 at 08:20 PM
Hmmm...Stiglich link works for me.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | November 26, 2008 at 08:22 PM
"I believe the White Sox are a "mystery team" and the move they have to wait for is for Cabrera to decline arbitration or sign with another team".
I don't think it's the Sox. It's not Kenny's style to throw this kind of money at a player that has a history of injury. Especially for a guy that plays SS which is not a 'need' position.
Posted by: MPM | November 26, 2008 at 08:24 PM
So Tim, what are the names the Reds are supposedly in on? We Reds fans are curious to know! thanks
Posted by: redsfan4562 | November 26, 2008 at 08:35 PM
Doesn't the "Mystery Team has to make some moves first" pretty much directly imply that the Mets are in fact involved?
They probably just don't want their name in any published reports as they still have to unload Castillo, no?
Posted by: AdropOFvenom | November 26, 2008 at 08:41 PM
Sorry Tim; link still doesn't work at my end-no big deal.
Let's see what Kinzer has in his hands Monday morning.
Posted by: Buck Henry | November 26, 2008 at 08:50 PM
I don't totally believe it, but I can see the Mariners being this supposed "mystery team." Furcal is a nice upgrade at SS and in the 2-hole. But Seattle probably shouldn't be making investments like that.
Posted by: blueandteal | November 27, 2008 at 01:12 AM
"I always thought that, in general, the mystery team is a marketing ploy bu agents to get teams to negotiate against themselves when there is, in reality, no competition for the players services, or to make it seem like there is more competition than there really is"
Normally I would agree but if there are 3 teams already trying to get this guy I just don't see the point of an agent saying there is a mystery team involved.
To the guys who mentioned the Pirates all I have to say is it would be funny to watch these message boards blow up with "Why would he sign with them?" "They are terrible" and "What a stupid decision". Maybe they should sign him and trade him to the Dodgers haha. Seriously though not happening.
Teams that can't be involved:
Angels: They have to try to get CC and Tex before they worry about anyone else.
Mariners: No way they can afford to take on his salary. He won't make them a playoff team they need to rebuild.
Pirates: I don't think I need to explain this one.
Mets: They would have to use him at 2nd and he said he will not play 2nd.
Yankees: Could work by moving Jeter to 1st a move everyone knows is coming one day but doubtful for next year.
Red Sox: Again possible but if they are giving out a 10MM+ contract I think they would be better served going with a pitcher.
White Sox: Definatly need a 2B or SS but with Getz/Nix there and Beckman coming I doubt they shell out a 4 year deal Furcal wants and probably will get.
Rangers: Just don't see them trying to get anything but pitching right now.
Teams that make sense:
Twins: Seem to be most likely and an obvious fit.
Indians: The Perralta to 3rd move Grady down idea is a good one.
Royals: Need to aquire replacement for Grudz. Aviles moves over and there you go.
Orioles: I think they are going to try to make an all or nothing play for Tex but Furcal certainly would be a nice combo with Roberts and would still leave them with some money to get a pitcher.
Posted by: BucSox | November 27, 2008 at 02:22 AM
Did the A's front office win the lotto or something? What happened to Moneyball? Last I knew, they were a small market team that drafted smart and sold off their expensive talent for prospects, now they trade for Holliday and have the money to at least almost sign Furcal. Did I miss something?
Posted by: lowbudgets45 | November 27, 2008 at 07:56 AM
"Did the A's front office win the lotto or something? What happened to Moneyball? Last I knew, they were a small market team that drafted smart and sold off their expensive talent for prospects, now they trade for Holliday and have the money to at least almost sign Furcal. Did I miss something?"
2004-2007, their payroll was in the 55-70MM range (it was 79MM in 2007 though, but that's an outlier). With contracts coming of the books, and very few players on the current team arbitration eligible until after the 2010 season(when Chavez will be off the books). The only big money players on the books right now are Holliday, Chavez, Ellis, and Crosby.
Remove Holliday, and the A's have roughly 30MM committed. With Holliday, that goes up to about 43-44MM. Even Furcal at 15MM/yr (which he probably won't get), will keep the A's under 60MM. Still a low payroll team.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 27, 2008 at 11:58 AM
And, its also very likely that the Rays and Twins, other low payroll teams, will raise payroll this offseason, so the A's payroll will still remain relatively low.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 27, 2008 at 12:05 PM
If I had to wild guess the mystery team, I would have to say Indians.
Twins- I don't see the Twins sinking big money into another injury prone player. But then, I said the same about the A's.
Indians- Makes sense, moving Peralta to 3rd, Cabrera to 2nd, and Furcal at SS.
Orioles- Damn, those AL East pitchers are going to have their hands full with the running game in that division. I could see it, although I think the money would be put to better use spending it on a pitcher/Teixeira.
Or Braves/Cubs, pending a Peavy deal of sorts.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 27, 2008 at 12:11 PM
Thanks Rex, I guess I forgot how little they're spending on pitching. Who is going to be their rotation. Zito? Mulder? Hudson? Haren? Blanton? Dave Stewart?
Posted by: lowbudgets45 | November 27, 2008 at 12:13 PM
Defense. Ellis, Chavez/Hannahan(both are top defenders), and Barton are all very good defensively. Ellis is actually the best defensive 2B in the AL(yes, Pedroia won a GG, but you have to remember that McClouth and Young won them as well). Defense makes their pitchers look better than they are. And, the A's have depth, although they don't have that "ace" type.
I'd think that Gallagher can put up a season similar to the one he was pulling with the Cubs/first few starts after the A's trade, before all the injury mess started.
Duke I think will put up #2-numbers, and the bullpen is a strength, and should be used to limit Duke's innings.
After that, its a roulette wheel, but as long as the pitchers keep the ball on the ground, they'll be moderately successful.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 27, 2008 at 12:47 PM
Owner Lew Wolff has been begging Beane to spend his money for a long time. So yes, they have indeed won the lottery, only they won it the minute Wolff took over a few years ago. Because of something, perhaps the Moneyball stigma, he always refused and tried to build from within. Wolff came out and said up front he wanted a contender this year, then they get Holliday in the green+gold, just like that.
The ironic thing is the 07 Red Sox were all along in fact the true "Moneyball" team, building from within while smartly investing in the spots they had holes in, I think thats the model the A's are trying to replicate in 09.
Off topic: Doesnt Randy Johnson make a TON of sense for Oakland? Duke is an injury concern, Eveland will be really good but Gallagher and the back end is a question mark. The Big Unit would definitely help sure up our rotation, dont you think?
Posted by: Athletic Domination | November 27, 2008 at 06:10 PM
I think the Royals are the mystery team because they are quietly building an AWESOME team.
If there was a sleeper I think it would be the Blue Jays because they NEED some offense especially in the middle infield.
Posted by: RoyalsandMariners51 | November 27, 2008 at 09:57 PM
"Off topic: Doesnt Randy Johnson make a TON of sense for Oakland?"
Yes, but Wolff will have to go above the 60MM mark to grab a starter on a 1 year deal. And Unit must love pitching in that park, and he's a Bay Area native.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 28, 2008 at 08:41 AM
Braves, do NOT get Rafael Furcal. Yunel Escobar is a young SS that needs some time to grow, but he will be a good SS. I don't understand why the Braves would pursue a SS when they have a good one. The fact that the so called "experts" are calling Yunie incumbent makes me doubt their expert status.
Posted by: Braves Fan2020 | November 28, 2008 at 10:14 AM