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« More On Aaron Miles | Main | Manny Ramirez Rumors: Saturday »
Matthew Cerrone of MetsBlog passes on some comments made tonight by Jon Heyman on the MLB Network's Hot Stove Live.
Later on in the show, Mets GM Omar Minaya confirmed interest in Lowe, Randy Wolf and others. Cerrone notes that Minaya did not mention Oliver Perez.
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he wont be getting 16 a yr. just because braves pick up a legit pitcher wont make them competitors and the phillies wont offer that much. i say the only competition are the sox which i wouldnt mind if they picked up
Posted by: clos79 | January 03, 2009 at 08:00 PM
Could the "mystery team" be the Dodgers? They DO need a proven starter. And Lowe is better than anyone else on the market when considering stuff/ injury risk.
Posted by: DodgersBruin | January 03, 2009 at 08:01 PM
Lowe will get atleast 14 mil minimum. I don't know if he'll get the 16 mil he desires but he surely won't sign for the 12 mil, it's low balling for such a pitcher.
Posted by: K-ace | January 03, 2009 at 08:05 PM
It wont be the dodgers, they said they wouldn't pursue him. I honestly don't think the Mets will spend the money for Lowe. It has already been said that their funds are low.
Posted by: John Primus | January 03, 2009 at 08:06 PM
i think the mystery team could suprisingly be the cardinals. they need serious pitching and lowe could be a good fit in st. louis. the mets arent going to get them. i think in the end lowe could end up being a redsox uniform again
Posted by: alex | January 03, 2009 at 08:06 PM
Do the Phillies have the money to offer a 16MM/yr contract to Lowe after signing Moyer and Ibanez.
Although I would love it if the Mariners were forced to accept a 2nd rounder for Ibanez.
Posted by: melonis rex | January 03, 2009 at 08:07 PM
One of the MLB Network guys suggested it might be the Brewers who are the mystery team. There is also a good chance that the mystery team doesn't actually exist and it's just Boras playing his games again.
Posted by: sampsonite168 | January 03, 2009 at 08:08 PM
I think 3/$47 mil will sign him with a 12mil option
Posted by: John Primus | January 03, 2009 at 08:08 PM
I think the "mystery team" is either the (shudder)Angels or Cardinals.
Both teams need starting pitching, and have money to spend. Lowe would thrive with the Angels' infield defense.
Posted by: melonis rex | January 03, 2009 at 08:10 PM
The Braves need him badly, so why wont they sign him if they have the money?
Posted by: John Primus | January 03, 2009 at 08:10 PM
Brewers also makes sense. Have money to spend and are willing to throw big bucks at a good pitcher (100MM offer to CC).
Posted by: melonis rex | January 03, 2009 at 08:13 PM
The "mystery team" is probably non-existent.
It's Boras.
They're ALWAYS a "mystery team."
Posted by: MorneauVP | January 03, 2009 at 08:13 PM
I think the brewers would only go at max $15 mil per year
Posted by: John Primus | January 03, 2009 at 08:15 PM
"It wont be the dodgers, they said they wouldn't pursue him."
The Dodgers also said they wouldn't guarantee 3 years to both Blake or Furcal. Things change as the price drops for players.
And they also said they weren't going after Lowe when they had to pay Jones $15.1M next year.
Posted by: DodgersBruin | January 03, 2009 at 08:17 PM
The "mystery team" is probably non-existent.
It's Boras.
They're ALWAYS a "mystery team."
Couldn't agree more. Guarantee a mystery team does not sign him.
Posted by: the lowercase zach is better | January 03, 2009 at 08:22 PM
I hope the Cubs at least make an attempt at both Lowe and Perez.
Marshall is our insurance for when Harden needs a day off, or only goes 5 which is 80% of the time. So that means we need a solid back end starter still. Perez offers #3 potential and shouldn't cost too much.
Posted by: chicubs25 | January 03, 2009 at 08:22 PM
John Primus -
What are you talking about the Met's funds are low? where did you get that from? Reports and calculations tell me they are still 20+ mil under last years pay roll. Just because they offered 12 per first doesn't mean they won't pay more. That is how negotiations work.
Posted by: here we go | January 03, 2009 at 08:24 PM
The only way the Phils make any sense is if they move a pitcher with a sizable salary - either Myers ($12M in his walk year) or Blanton (probably $6-7M after arbitration). Their arbitration cases add up to way too much money for them to sign a $15M-ish-per-year FA.
Posted by: ColonelTom | January 03, 2009 at 08:24 PM
As much as I would love to see the Braves get Lowe, I don't think it'll happen.
They've stated that they're not interested in him and have too many young pitchers in their system to devote 3 or 4 years to a 36 year old.
I think Lowe is going to end up taking less that what he wants, but I hope it's not with the Mets.
Posted by: Clint C | January 03, 2009 at 08:25 PM
Can't wait for a team to say well thats our best offer if this mystery team has given you better take it. Then pull their offer off the table and go another way.
Lowe would work well in St. Louis since he already has a similar pitching style to what Duncan teaches.
Posted by: schellis | January 03, 2009 at 08:25 PM
Perez is also a Boras client. He won't sign cheap.
And yea it's getting annoying that fans of the other teams who are linked to Lowe think that because the Mets 3/$36M offer was rejected that Lowe will sign with anyone who bids higher. Especially if it's the Braves or Phillies who put in a higher bid, the Mets are going to match, if not exceed it.
Posted by: sampsonite168 | January 03, 2009 at 08:28 PM
THE METS NEED TO GET LOWE..BUT NOT FOR $16M...MAYB $14 M DA MOST!!!
Posted by: letsgomets787 | January 03, 2009 at 08:30 PM
Clint - It's been said by David O'Brien (Brave's beat writer) that the primary reason the Braves hadn't expressed interest in Lowe was that they wanted to have their pitching situation secured by the winter meetings at the latest, that they knew (correctly) that Lowe wouldn't be signed until January.
As everyone knows the Braves were unable to secure Peavy, Burnett, and talks for pitchers such as Mahlom, Greinke and Oswalt never left the station.
The Braves want a veteran pitcher to put at the top of their rotation, and Lowe fits the bill. With the way things have gone for the Braves this offseason I'm not optimistic, but we shall see.
Posted by: Baleen | January 03, 2009 at 08:32 PM
Baleen --
Do you see the Braves giving him that much money for that long of contract at his age?
I know he's been very reliable, but that could change at any moment.
I think the Brave's ace in 2009 will be the same as the last few years -- John Smoltz.
Posted by: Clint C | January 03, 2009 at 08:39 PM
This is Boras talking. Mystery Team = No one at all...or the Yankees
Posted by: Cinco Ocho | January 03, 2009 at 08:42 PM
mets still have money to spend and boras is more worried about gettin many the 20+ mill he wants a year. mets or sox sign lowe period
Posted by: clos79 | January 03, 2009 at 08:42 PM
*manny
Posted by: clos79 | January 03, 2009 at 08:42 PM
"mets still have money to spend and boras is more worried about gettin many the 20+ mill he wants a year. mets or sox sign lowe period"
Who really saw the Yankees signing Tex? Who EVER saw the Rangers signing A-Rod? Who saw Lowe going to the Dodgers in 2004?
Point being, Boras gets his players money. Lowe could go anywhere. The Brewers could make an offer. The Mets could up their offer. Someone else might pay Lowe $15M a year. And with Burnett making more than that, $15M for 3 years is a better value for a better pitcher.
Posted by: DodgersBruin | January 03, 2009 at 08:49 PM
I honestly don't care where lowe ends up. He wasn't the greatest when he was with the dodgers. Not to say that he was bad...he just wasn't that great. The only real good thing about him is that he's able to stay healthy.
Posted by: williams411 | January 03, 2009 at 08:50 PM
If there is a mystery team, watch it be the Yankees, ready to screw over 7 of the other 9 Eastern teams and Andy Pettitte. That would be priceless. Haha. Pettitte for one year is a better move, but it would light the anti-Yankee world on fire.
Posted by: NYYanksCaptain23 | January 03, 2009 at 08:50 PM
the mets wont let anyone else out bid them unless they can sign perez for less than 10 a yr and pedro for 1yr at 2mil
Posted by: clos79 | January 03, 2009 at 08:52 PM
I think someone should be able to sign perez for rite under 10 a year but knowing Boras probably not.
Posted by: MVP#10 | January 03, 2009 at 08:58 PM
I think the mets should resign perez or try to get lowe and sign either garland for less than what he is asking or randy wolf. Their rotation is already really goo with maine, pelfrey, santana. They need more of the back-end starters. Also their problem last year was with their bullpen which they have addressed drastically
Posted by: MVP#10 | January 03, 2009 at 09:01 PM
Frank wren needs to offer a large contract out of desperation. I think if Wren fails to land lowe he needs to be asked to resign or get fired. I've had enough of this losing valuable players to higher market teams, because the braves try to be stingy. please Wren we terribly terribly need lowe!
Posted by: tmac2 | January 03, 2009 at 09:02 PM
Clint C - In a world were the Braves offer A.J. Burnett 5/$80MM, anything is possible.
I think the Braves would probably throw in the towel for Lowe around 4/$56MM, but I have no reason to think that other than a wild guess. If they thought Lowe would put them over the top then I could see them going as far as $16MM/year. Maybe if the acquire an actual outfielder they'll be in position to overpay for pitching.
Posted by: Baleen | January 03, 2009 at 09:03 PM
good luck Derek Lowe, in getting a contract that is offering more than 16 mil
maybe the yanks can do it, because they like to buy a lot of their things instead of farming them
Posted by: I Like Baseball | January 03, 2009 at 09:04 PM
I don't really care where Lowe signs. But if he doesn't sign with the Mets because Omar wanted to low ball him, how funny would that be?
I still think he signs with the Dodgers for 3 years $42 mil.
Posted by: tolo316 | January 03, 2009 at 09:14 PM
I am not a Frank Wren fan and I want him to sign Lowe to preserve hope of the season, but maybe he's trying to prevent what happened to Tom Glavine this year. Again I hope he does sign Lowe.
Posted by: MVP#10 | January 03, 2009 at 09:14 PM
so cause perez has potential, boras can get him a 10+ mill dollar a yr contract. talk about the ultimate bs
Posted by: clos79 | January 03, 2009 at 09:15 PM
Love to hear the Phillies mentioned in the teams involved... No reason to think they don't have the money... plus with Myers being a potential Free Agent, he may be traded at the deadline come July or if we keep him, may not be able to re-sign him, it would make the Lowe signing justified in every way... especially since it would give the Phillies the best starting rotation in MLB.
Posted by: FyreKnight | January 03, 2009 at 09:21 PM
If you look at his stats,age and market, he should be making around 8 or 9 mil. Boras will hold off on him for someone who needs him bad and cant afford to lose him. They will give him 10 mil or more.
Posted by: MVP#10 | January 03, 2009 at 09:21 PM
lowe>perez
perez>wolf
Posted by: alex | January 03, 2009 at 09:25 PM
as a braves fan im still highly skeptical about signing a 36 year old lowe. look what happened when we signed mr. durable last year (glavine).
Posted by: drumzalicious | January 03, 2009 at 09:32 PM
They need to back end starters so perez at 8 or 9 and randy wolf at 5 or 6
Posted by: MVP#10 | January 03, 2009 at 09:33 PM
I agree. Lowe is getting older and that increases the chance of injury but next years free agent class has nothing. So you are really playing for the next two years. I think they need to get him at 3/45 with a 4th yr option
Posted by: MVP#10 | January 03, 2009 at 09:36 PM
So far I am a pretty big fan of Wren's. I'm not going to break down his career as Braves GM move by move, but I think he has made smart moves so far, for the most part.
I actually think he dodged a bullet when Burnett went to NY - I'd set the over/under on Burnett's starts at around 27, and I'd take the under. With a rotation that figures to include at either Smoltz or Glavine, if not both elder statesmen, signing Burnett would've been nice on paper but I think it was the wrong move. Committing $80MM to such a fragile player is too risky for a mid-market team like Atlanta, in my humble opinion.
Posted by: Baleen | January 03, 2009 at 09:36 PM
just my two cents, but other posters have been saying brewers, cubs, braves, et al, but does anyone else see a possible fit in baltimore? with them going after teix shows they have the money to do things, help mentor the 13 rookie pitchers on the team (information yahoo baltimore orioles page), sure he'd just be a stopgap solution for the time being and he probably wants a ring but they could be the mystery team. another team i see being a mystery team no one brings up, the minnesota twins. they've been in rumors (albeit not lately) to trade for adrian beltre, and aquiring lowe would help that because he'd give the rotation enough depth to be able to trade away a starter.
Posted by: fgsfsfbbbrd | January 03, 2009 at 09:39 PM
Perez is also a Boras client. He won't sign cheap.
And yea it's getting annoying that fans of the other teams who are linked to Lowe think that because the Mets 3/$36M offer was rejected that Lowe will sign with anyone who bids higher. Especially if it's the Braves or Phillies who put in a higher bid, the Mets are going to match, if not exceed it.
Posted by: sampsonite168 | January 03, 2009 at 08:28 PM
the reason other teams' fans think the mets will not land lowe is that multiple sources said the mets wont go past 3 years 40 million for him. Lowe is a boras client and those guys generally follow the money
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | January 03, 2009 at 09:41 PM
Clint C,
From all I've read, Smoltz won't pitch (at least in a game) until May or June.
Lowe's a lot more likely to make 30-35 starts than Smoltz is in 2009. He's probably more likely to make 30+ starts over each of the next three years than Burnett, if you ask me.
If he'd sign with the Braves for 3/$48, or if he'd do that plus demand an 4th year option based on number of starts, I'd ask Boras how soon can we make it happen.
Posted by: ink-stained scribe | January 03, 2009 at 09:43 PM
"so cause perez has potential, boras can get him a 10+ mill dollar a yr contract. talk about the ultimate bs"
It is more like he has a lot of potential, and he is left handed, and he is 27, and despite being inconsistent, has posted back to back solid seasons and struck out over 8 per inning in the last two years.
It is strange. For whatever reason, a lot of left handed pitchers don't fully mature until 27 or 28. I'm not predicting a Randy Johnson or Sandy Koufax type career for Oliver, but these two guys posted some very similar years to Oliver Perez's last two early in their career. Compare Randy Johnson's 26 and 27 seasons to Oliver Perez's age 26 and 27 seasons. They are eerily similar.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 03, 2009 at 09:50 PM
Mystery team is officially the most annoying term of the offseason.
Posted by: walkoffblast | January 03, 2009 at 09:51 PM
Mystery team = Brewers
With the way the offseason has unfolded thus far for the Brewers, their options to field a competitive starting rotation in 2009 have been reduced to signing either Ben Sheets or Derek Lowe.
Posted by: citron1616 | January 03, 2009 at 09:51 PM
I might be mistaken, but this is the first time someone has actually come out and said the Braves are competing for Lowe. Good news, IMO.
Posted by: FineHamAbounds | January 03, 2009 at 09:53 PM
I would just sign Perez for 3/39 w/ club option 4yr.; then trade Church,Scheinder and Parnell 4 Sonnanstine and Navarro.Also,trade Castillo to KC 4 Guillen.Sign O-DOG.
MY LINEUP;
Reyes
O-dog
Wright
Beltran
Guillen
Delgado
Navarro
Murphy
My pitching;
Santana
Sonnanstine
Pelfrey
Perez
Maine
Posted by: jvent | January 03, 2009 at 10:01 PM
I agree. I think if Wren said 3/48 with 4th yr option, then Lowe should take it if the market has been this slow so far. I think if the braves sign lowe, smotlz comes back in good form and maybe offer glavine a low contract for his love of the game, and sign a power hitter, the braves can compete. Granted thats asking alot
Posted by: MVP#10 | January 03, 2009 at 10:01 PM
Lowe isn't worth more than $8 million!
I remember when the Angels signed Aaron Sele in 2002 at $8 million a year after he was the AL leader in wins the previous 3 seasons.
Then 2 years later the Angels signed Bartolo Colon to just above $10 million and he had all of MLB in wins the previous 3 seasons!
This is a joke.
Derek Lowe is a #4 starter (#3 at best on a team like the Cubs) and he will sign with the Angels who need a 5th starter, the Yankees just to solidify their rotation, the Red Sox to do the same, the Mets to give them hope, and the Dodgers to make their fans feel like they can win something again.
Derek Lowe is waaaay overrated. His 20 win season with the Red Sox was heavily contributed by a lot of run support.
Next topic, please???
Posted by: XxRyana.k.a.RufusxX | January 03, 2009 at 10:01 PM
Xx whatever your handle is,
Do you have any idea what you're talking about?
Do you even follow baseball?
Posted by: ink-stained scribe | January 03, 2009 at 10:03 PM
have you looked at his stats at all?
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | January 03, 2009 at 10:04 PM
If the Braves were willing to go so hard after Burnett, I dont get why they wouldnt go hard for 3 years after Lowe. Lowe will be much better over Burnett over the next 3 years all day. We signed Smoltz when he was 36 toa 4 year deal I believe and he wasnt had a couple arm issues over the years. Lowe has been very durable and very good.
Posted by: bennie2323 | January 03, 2009 at 10:05 PM
And Jose Guillen is the last player you would want to help lead your Mets to a Pennant. He's a cocky, loud-mouthed jerk who looks too much like Godzilla LOL. But really, there are many players out there that are willing to give more of themselves a.k.a. chemistry!
Posted by: XxRyana.k.a.RufusxX | January 03, 2009 at 10:08 PM
dont see the bosox going after him but if they do id be alot more content with lowe then penny.
Posted by: americans1901 | January 03, 2009 at 10:08 PM
Lowe is worth a good amount. He has had an ERA under 4 for the past 4 years. Made at least 30 starts for the past 8 years. He is a top of the rotation pitcher
Posted by: MVP#10 | January 03, 2009 at 10:08 PM
Not at 36 years old.
He shouldn't be getting more than a 2 year contract to be anything more than a #3 starter.
15+ wins 3 out of the past 7 years does not make you a top of the rotation pitcher. It makes you an innings eater that keeps your team in the game and that is exactly what a #3 starter does.
2 years $20 million at the most!
Oh yeah, I forgot Scott Boras is lurking and everyone is going to bow down and be his whore once again! LOL
Posted by: XxRyana.k.a.RufusxX | January 03, 2009 at 10:16 PM
XxRyana wins are a pretty useless stat. Sele was never very good
Posted by: KingBen | January 03, 2009 at 10:23 PM
In todays game there are a handful of #1's and a butt load of #3's...Lowe is about as close as you can get to a true #2. With #3 starters getting 12mil+ Lowe will command some where close to 15mil IMO. Do I agree, no, but thats just the way it is...
Posted by: bennie2323 | January 03, 2009 at 10:24 PM
The amount of wins is not all the pitchers fault. YOu need defense and hitting. His ERA tells you that he kept gis team in the game but they might not have hit or lost after he came out.
Posted by: MVP#10 | January 03, 2009 at 10:25 PM
16MM He has quite the high opinion of himself. All he really is is a innings eater...other than that what makes him worth 16MM...Nothing in his history makes him worth that kind of cash.
Posted by: truetothegame | January 03, 2009 at 10:26 PM
I agree that he may not be a #1 but he is the best out there right now and because of his experience, stats, and durability, he is worth anywhere from 14-16.
Posted by: MVP#10 | January 03, 2009 at 10:27 PM
I hope the Braves do not pay $16 mil a season for Lowe. He's simply not worth it. I'd rather rely on Smoltz coming back. He's ahead of his rehab schedule by the way.
Posted by: drphonic7 | January 03, 2009 at 10:28 PM
He might be worth 16 for maybe 2 or three years but definitely not 4.
Posted by: MVP#10 | January 03, 2009 at 10:29 PM
Just another greedy bastard who isnt worth 16 million a year. No one sign Lowe and let him sit at home during the 2009 season. F--- him, greedy baseball players make me sick
Posted by: TripleHHH | January 03, 2009 at 10:37 PM
Anyone else tired of Boras and his mystery teams?
Posted by: CardinalFaninIL | January 03, 2009 at 10:43 PM
dodgersbruin,
God, I hope you are right! you know, this does make sense. Boras has an ulterior motive in regard to the restructuring of Jones' contract. It may just be that the Dodgers are willing to offer Lowe a contract that he would be willing to accept (I know he wanted to go to a team with better offensive numbers, but with manny and the improved offense Lowe may have changed his mind). Then the Mets are almost sure to re-sign Perez. It makes alot of sense for everyone involved. Besides, I would rather have Lowe than any other pitcher out there (even more than Burnett). That would be great.
In regard to this "Lowe-bashing" he is a solid #2 starter and a great presence in the clubhouse. Not to mention a monster down the stretch and in the postseason. Sure he is on the wrong side of 30, but he has never been a power pitcher and could easily pitch into his forties (like Maddux). He has always pitched to contact and had great control. Also, he has never been hurt. I don't know what else you could ask for, those of you bashing him are not offering any explanations just that "he's a 4th or 5th starter" or "he's too old." If these are your arguments you obviously know nothing about Lowe or what constitutes a valuable, consistent, or successful pitcher.
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | January 03, 2009 at 10:44 PM
Typical ignorance. Would you rather the players make $50,000 while the owners stuff the extra $100M in their pockets? Baseball is a multi-billion dollar business.
Posted by: KingBen | January 03, 2009 at 10:50 PM
Lowe is a young 36 and has a good 3 or 4 years left in him before he starts to decline. would be a great pick up for the braves even if it cost them like 3/45 with a 4th year option.
Posted by: Z3R0 | January 03, 2009 at 10:50 PM
"I would just sign Perez for 3/39 w/ club option 4yr.; then trade Church,Scheinder and Parnell 4 Sonnanstine and Navarro.Also,trade Castillo to KC 4 Guillen.Sign O-DOG."
Why in the name of God would the Rays trade Sonny and Navarro for that drek? It's OK to be a homer, but that's just plain ridiculous.
Posted by: tolo316 | January 03, 2009 at 10:51 PM
mvp-
i completely agree with u about the whole wins thing.
as a mets fan i would rather have lowe than perez but xxryanrufusxx makes a point. i too think he doesnt deserve more than a 2 year deal but i do tihnk he is better than a #3 started (except on the yankees rotation).
pretty much in my fantasy world, i would want the mets to sign lowe, bartolo colon, and manny. but we simply dont have the money. i dont understand why the mets want to keep their payroll the same as it was lastyear. if you have the moeny to buy division-changing players (manny) then why not use it? yes i understand manny is a horrible fielder and just person in general but he guarantees at least 20 homers with at least 85 rbis. if they cant get manny i honestly wouldnt mind adnruw jones. its hard for him to do any worse than he did last year so hes most likely gonna somewhat bounce back and he can be used as a defensive replacement late in games just as endy chavez was.
well looks like the mets arnt going to get lowe or manny but whatever
Posted by: metsfan23 | January 03, 2009 at 10:52 PM
Funny that there are alleged Braves fans here who would not sign Lowe at age 36 for three years but expect 40-something Smoltz (who won't be back until May, according to O'Brien) to be an ace. Unreal.
Posted by: ink-stained scribe | January 03, 2009 at 11:07 PM
Thats because up until smoltz got injured last year he was pitching like an ace. up until his last start when he was truly in pain he had an era of .78
sounds like an ace to me especially when the game before that he went 7 innings giving up one run and one hit while striking out ten.
go look up his games from last year and you will understand
Posted by: drumzalicious | January 03, 2009 at 11:21 PM
"i too think he doesnt deserve more than a 2 year deal but i do tihnk he is better than a #3 started (except on the yankees rotation)."
MetsFan23...
Keep an eye on that Yankees rotation because unless I'm reading you wrong Brian Cashman got suckered into giving A.J. Burnett what he wanted.
Baseball is giving out too many big contracts to players who don't have enough background to support their salaries.
Examples: Alfonso Soriano, Gary Matthews (don't even get me started there lol), Adrian Beltre, and now A.J. Burnett.
Burnett might do well, but Lowe could still be better than Burnett, even at 36.
Almost 10 years in the bigs and Burnett finally wins more than 12 games, and suddenly he's a highly regarded Yankee??? LOL
Other fans...
I agree Aaron Sele was never that good to begin with.
And the only reason you guys are actually talking about the money you think Lowe will get is because of the out-of-control market that is going to cause another strike and turn fans away from the game again.
My opinions on how much Derek Lowe makes are based on the integrity that should exist, but as long as Scott Boras is the Emperor I'm going to have to consider myself part of the Rebellion if you will LOL.
Posted by: XxRyana.k.a.RufusxX | January 03, 2009 at 11:26 PM
But drumzalicious,
Only one pitcher in major league history has recovered -- as in pitched again as a starter -- from the sort of shoulder surgery Smoltz had done.
I don't question his competitiveness or his desire but his physical capacity to pitch.
Sure, his rehab is ahead of schedule. He has shown he can throw a baseball from a mound. On one occasion. That doesn't mean he can throw 120 pitches pain-free every five days for six months.
Posted by: ink-stained scribe | January 03, 2009 at 11:26 PM
Not to bud into this one but if I were the Braves I would just make John Smoltz my closer again and take my chances with the rotation at hand. Its not like they are expecting to contend, but stranger things have happened especially in recent years. I'd leave the Smoltz question mark to the closer role where you he won't have to throw as many pitches.
Posted by: XxRyana.k.a.RufusxX | January 04, 2009 at 12:01 AM
If the Phillies sign Lowe, you can start carving the Phillies name into the World Series trophy for 2009, as well.
I agree with most of you. Lowe is not worth that much money. I would give him something like a 3yr/30 mill contract with a forth year and extra money built in with incentive clauses due to his performance and stats.
How does that sound?
Posted by: DJock10 | January 04, 2009 at 12:12 AM
Boras mouthpiece Heyman has some nerve to say that the Red Sox is involved. The Red Sox are done dealing with him after he brought them all the way to Texas to tell them that the money that they were offering is not enough. He made them believe that a deal was close to make only for them to find out that is not the case. Let the Yankees sign him and watch the Red Sox pound him every time he faces them. Borass is a piece of cra...The Red Sox are trying to unload all his players not sign them.
Posted by: terry180 | January 04, 2009 at 12:14 AM
I'll add an option year to my original offer of 2 years, $20 million to match 3 years, $30 million lol.
How does that sound?
Posted by: XxRyana.k.a.RufusxX | January 04, 2009 at 12:15 AM
Sounds good to me. That's what I had. See! someone agress with me! haha
Posted by: DJock10 | January 04, 2009 at 12:18 AM
I think that the angels are the mystery team. We need a fifth starter and lowe would fit perfect. But I do not think he deserves 16 mil per year that's just ridiculous. I think his price will drop, but who knows with scott boras running the show.
Posted by: HalosFan777 | January 04, 2009 at 12:22 AM
Ryan that offer is what I was thinking he should get. 16 mil per year is insane.
Posted by: HalosFan777 | January 04, 2009 at 12:24 AM
Not to bud into this one but if I were the Braves I would just make John Smoltz my closer again and take my chances with the rotation at hand. Its not like they are expecting to contend, but stranger things have happened especially in recent years. I'd leave the Smoltz question mark to the closer role where you he won't have to throw as many pitches.
Posted by: XxRyana.k.a.RufusxX | January 04, 2009 at 12:01 AM
Its not like they're expecting to contend? Yeah thats why we've gone after 2 top free agents and tried to trade for peavy. Just last year they were a popular pick to win the division but were decimated by injuries. While no sensible, realistic braves fan is expecting anything better than a 3rd place finish in the east I wouldn't say its impossible for us to contend. If we can add a bat for LF and Lowe or a guy like Greinke we could be there til the end. Just saying that I wouldn't be talking about contenders and non-contenders when only a few top free agents have signed.
As for Smoltz being a closer, i completely disagree. Closers can be up and down throughout a game depending on what happens in the field of play throwing a ton of warm up pitches, just look at what happened to lidge in the all star game. Also he wont be able to pitch 2 days in a row most likely. And a layoff can affect him greatly. As a closer there are many variables to overcome as to how many pitches you'll throw and how often you will pitch. As a starter his number of warm up pitches and pitch count can be set and then he knows he has 5 days until he gets the ball again. Ink-stained scribe, its doubtful that he'll pitch a full season and he certainly wont be asked to throw 120 pitches per game
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | January 04, 2009 at 12:25 AM
The other reason Derek Lowe is asking for $16 million other than Scott Borass is the fact that this is the thinnest free agent market I have ever seen LOL.
Almost every free agent on the market is above 30 and is not worth more than a 2 year contract. They are mostly hole fillers you would either sign to 1 or 2 years to platoon or be on the bench.
Any other season Derek Lowe would have to settle for no more than $12 million, which is still pushing it.
I say $10 million at the most and that is still pushing it.
This market is going to implode on itself one day.
Posted by: XxRyana.k.a.RufusxX | January 04, 2009 at 12:26 AM
Yea the free agent market is terrible this year. But it hasn't been a bad market for the yankees! I still see them as the favorites for manny as well! Sad. Well Lowe is a solid pitcher i'd love to see him come to the Angels because I'm iffy on Moseley and Adenhart I haven't seen enough of...
Posted by: HalosFan777 | January 04, 2009 at 12:34 AM
Just wait until next year xxryan. Bedard, Lackey, and a bunch of 4's and 5's. You figure the Angels will lock Lackey up long term too before he hits the market. However I think some of you are taking this too far. Lowe is not a 3, 4, or 5 starter. he's a #2 pitcher and should be paid so. At the current time a #2 pitcher gets much more than 2 years 20 million. And the arguement that he's 36 is a bad one. Lowe hasnt gotten injured i think, no major injuries at least, and his arm is fresher than most 36 year olds because he spent multiple seasons in boston's pen and he doesn't rely on the strikeout, isnt a power pitcher
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | January 04, 2009 at 12:40 AM
Perhaps I could have been a less condescending about the Braves...
But perhaps you misread me, because I did say that stranger things have happened, especially in recent years.
But on paper, the Braves need a LF, a CF, a 2B, 2 more bench players, and 3 more starting pitchers. Their bullpen is fine.
I've seen teams go out and get players without expecting to contend only because they were building around that player. Like when the Orioles acquired Rafael Palmeiro, or when the A's got Matt Holliday. Oakland barely has a leg to stand on.
But the Braves have as good a chance as any if the Phillies don't repeat their success, as I've already picked them to win the NL East again in 2009.
Posted by: XxRyana.k.a.RufusxX | January 04, 2009 at 12:41 AM
also lowe's WAR (wins above replacement level) is 5.9. Not sure what each win is worth but i think it makes the 16 million a year thing seem fair. Also his tRA+ numbers support my claim that he is a good #2
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | January 04, 2009 at 12:45 AM
CF- Jordan Schafer or Josh Anderson
Schafer is the top prospect who at some point next year will get the job but anderson the speedster might start the year there.
LF-FA or trade
2B-already have one of the better ones in kelly johnson
Bench is strong with Martin Prado, Ross at backup C, Norton, Infante, anderson/gregor blanco, and possibly matt diaz
SP-1. ? Derek Lowe?
2. Javy Vasquez
3. Jair Jurrjens
4 and 5- two of charlie morton/jojo reyes/james parr/john smoltz/tommy hanson
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | January 04, 2009 at 12:51 AM
I agree this Lowe argument isn't going anywhere.
If the Angels don't do much else this off-season, they will definitely lock up Lackey before he hits the market, especially since they will have $30 million just sitting there all winter.
Erik Bedard? That's another debate I had last season that went too far lol.
I predicted the Mariners would do no better than 82-80 in 2008 because they were banking on Felix Hernandez and Bedard to be their aces when neither has proven they are worthy. If they had a Roy Halladay (yeah right) or a John Lackey (dream on) then I would have said, "yeah, why not?" They still had a soldi 5, but a solid 5 that was shaky at best.
Few would agree with me lol.
But past Lackey and Bedard, I think we will be seeing a lot of teams developing from within and the contenders like the Angels, Yankees, Red Sox, the entire NL West, the Cubs, and the Phillies all holding onto their top pitchers, developing from within, and signing that 4th and/or 5th starter to solidify things.
Thats the ideal situation.
But yeah, the market is getting thinner because the star-studded steroid era is at an end.
Now we're going back to scrappy balanced style of play. And more and more teams are probably going to develop from within and stay that way.
I could be wrong, but we'll see.
Posted by: XxRyana.k.a.RufusxX | January 04, 2009 at 12:58 AM
I predicted the Mariners would do no better than 82-80 in 2008 because they were banking on Felix Hernandez and Bedard to be their aces when neither has proven they are worthy. If they had a Roy Halladay (yeah right) or a John Lackey (dream on) then I would have said, "yeah, why not?" They still had a soldi 5, but a solid 5 that was shaky at best.
Few would agree with me lol.
Posted by: XxRyana.k.a.RufusxX | January 04, 2009 at 12:58 AM
PECOTA predicted the 2008 Mariners would go 73-89. Most intelligent fans thought this prediction seemed reasonable. The 2007 Mariners scored 794 runs and allowed 813 runs, a pythag record of 79-83 but actually finished the 2007 season 88-74, meaning they got lucky.
So no, it is not correct to say few agreed.
Posted by: bobo | January 04, 2009 at 01:48 AM
But on paper, the Braves need a LF, a CF, a 2B, 2 more bench players, and 3 more starting pitchers. Their bullpen is fine.
Really????
They have a nice center field on Anderson and top 3 mlb prospect shafer, they have a top 5 second base KJ, on the bench they have nice role players and really good pinch hitting.
Now on pitching the have:
2 jurjens
3 vazquez
5 they have a nice farm to pick the fifth starter and change it if they need to
To contend they need 2 starters and power in the lf
Posted by: bravesfan10 | January 04, 2009 at 02:18 AM
nrmaxx,
in perez's last 3 seasons his walks have risen (granted as has his strikeouts), his era went from 3.5 to 4.2 between 07 to 08. wins have little to do with the effectiveness of the pitcher so im not going to get into that. and you cant base how much a person will make based on how similar a lefty is to another lefty from their shity seasons at 26 and 27.
i usually agree with 95% of what you say but this i have to disagree with.
Posted by: clos79 | January 04, 2009 at 03:30 AM
16 Million for a #3 starter??? Gimme a break. Note to Derek Lowe and your bottom-feeding agent (whose name I will not utter nor type): You are NOT Brandon Webb, Johan Santana OR CC Sabathia. They are talented pitchers in their prime. See the difference?
Seriously though, Lowe is a decent pitcher, but not deserving of those numbers, no matter how weak the current FA pitching crop is.
Posted by: XCal1bur | January 04, 2009 at 05:27 AM