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Discussion: What Should The Indians Do?

Earlier tonight we noted that the Indians were looking to "cut corners because of the economy" when setting next year's payroll, not something you'd like to hear from the team with worst record in the American League and second worst overall. The Indians have already moved Mark DeRosa, and they have several other desirable pieces in closer Kerry Wood and infielder Jamey Carroll.

However, the Tribe's two best trade chips are reigning Cy Young Award winner Cliff Lee and All Star backstop Victor Martinez, but the club hasn't made it known that either player is available just yet. The team holds options on both players for 2010, totalling $15MM combined.

Given their financial situation for next year, do you think the Indians should deal Lee and V-Mart now and maximize the return, or hold on to them and try to contend next year? Both players would bring significant young and cost controlled piece back, and if GM Mark Shapiro plays his cards right, he could be looking at not one, but two Mark Teixeira-esque hauls here. So, what do you think?


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Comments

I don't think V-Mart is exactly Teixeira-esque. Also, teams are reluctant to give up top prospects.

If I was Shapiro, I would do my best to sell everybody. Then again, that's why I'm not a GM.

they should probably deal Lee. Anyone who misses on Halladay may look for Lee. But that will only work if they make a decision on Halladay at least a few days before the deadline..

Carroll should come back to the Nationals and back up Hernandez

Of course you shop them, but you better drive a crazy hard bargain, because this team SHOULD be tremendously better this year than they are, and can compete next season.

And before anyone says "Carlos Santana", he's not exactly destroying AA pitching, so saying trade him and bring up Santana isn't exactly a win next year type of move, and Shoppach has been terrible this season.

Of course you shop them, but you better drive a crazy hard bargain, because this team SHOULD be tremendously better this year than they are, and can compete next season.

And before anyone says "Carlos Santana", he's not exactly destroying AA pitching, so saying trade him and bring up Santana isn't exactly a win next year type of move, and Shoppach has been terrible this season.

Santana isnt going to be ready next yr. He'll be up end of next yr(if lucky) or start of 2011

trade rafael betancourt to the Cubs.

i've got an idea. cliff lee for jeff weaver. straight up. ha!

seriously though, put Lee on the market to lower the asking price for Halladay and create some competition. they might be able to get something decent back that way.

I think the Tex deal single handedly made other teams reluctant to deal prospects. I mean how many HUGE deals have gone down since July '07? Most of today's trades include MLB player's instead of AA guy's.

It should also be noted that if V-Mart is traded, his 2009 salary becomes $6.2M and the 2010 option increases to $7.5M, not to mention incentives that could cause it to climb higher (Cot's Baseball contracts). Cliff Lee's 2010 option already increased to $9M when he won the CY Young last year.
The Indians should at least move one of V-Mart or Lee and possibly Rafael Betancourt (2010 club option/$5.4M) or Kerry Wood (2010/$10.5M). If trading two or three players can yield a large return, the trigger should be pulled. Find a team that is deep in prospects and are facing steep competition for a playoff spot (i.e. Rangers, Giants).

Man, I am probably the biggest tribe fan that you will ever come past. I live here in the breadbasket of Ohio.

Yeah Shop Cliff Lee get some good pitching back or maybe a great hitting prospect...smoak maybe.

They can't shop Victor Martinez, the fans are already tortured this season you can't completely alienate the fans by trading away the second most favorite player...the favorite amongst the hardcore fans.

Shop Betancourt and Possibly Garko.

"V-Mart is traded, his 2009 salary becomes $6.2M and the 2010 option increases to $7.5M, not to mention incentives that could cause it to climb higher"

If it was going from 15M to 20M that would be one things... but it's jumping 500k, practically pennies to most teams.

I doubt that Lee would get a Tex-esque type of deal considering that there are starters like Halladay, Bedard, Haren, etc. out there. Plus Lee isn't pitching like last year's Lee.

Would the Indians consider a package of Alderson+ for V-Mart not including the names Bumgarner, Villalona, Posey, Lincecum, Cain, or Sandoval?

TimmaH I have to say after only a few rough outings Lee has been pretty damn good. No not last years level but Halladay isn't even pitching at the level Lee was pitching last year.

Lee is also a cheaper option than Halladay which is very important to teams these days.
Lee is going to command a top prospect from anyteam that gets lee. So it would take someone like Buckholz, Bumgarner, Smoak, Gamel, Holland type player to get him.

"If it was going from 15M to 20M that would be one things... but it's jumping 500k, practically pennies to most teams."

That is a 500K this season, plus a jump to $7.5M in 2010 that relates to $1.8M increase in total. Small? yes. But with the way things appearing, teams are not going to be adding much salary at the deadline as the past has dictated

They should move both of them! Shoppach and Santana can be very productive catching. The Indians are set in the outfield with Choo, Sizemore, Laporta, Brantley,Crowe and Francisco. Moving Francisco might be smart as well. Hafner is hitting and will DH. If he is hurt Garko can fill in. Cabrera should stick at short. They have a couple decent bullpen arms already. If the Red Sox would jump at Martineez for Bucholtz and Delcarlmen I would take that in a second. Lee could bring back one big prospect and a couple solid guys. I'd move Caroll, Betancourt and wood if I could. The nucleus is there for a very solid team. They need big time pitchers and the only way they'll get them is to move the two bi guys. A true 1b would be nice as well. The Indians can hold onto these guys and hope the other four starters come around or they can face the truth.

They can't shop Victor Martinez, the fans are already tortured this season you can't completely alienate the fans by trading away the second most favorite player...the favorite amongst the hardcore fans.

Shop Betancourt and Possibly Garko.

Posted by: Chengy | July 10, 2009 at 10:11 PM
I understand what you are saying, but they will be more angry if they continue to lose. They are not winning this year and they are going to cut payroll next year. This is a great opportunity to become a well-rounded team. If they don't move these guys it's a huge mistake.

They need to keep there core guys together offensively, core being Sizemore, Hafner, Martinez, and Cabrera. Peralta, Garko, Shoppach, and Lee could bring a really good haul for them to build for the future.

"They should move both of them! Shoppach and Santana can be very productive catching. "

Why do you think that? Shoppach has been even more than completely awful, and Santana is hitting like .260 in AA, which doesn't exactly translate into putting him in the majors.

Basically your just relying on hype. How did LaPorta do in the majors this season? He's an all-hype guy and was hitting like .350 in AAA before being called up and did practically nothing.

Santana is NOT ready.

why not deal these guys (lee & v-mart) at or near their peak while they still have more than a few months left on their contracts? if you're not contending this year and trying to reduce payroll for next near, take what you can get while the getting is good.

look, I watched Santana since he was in the LA system. He is a SPECIAL talent, but you guys CANNOT rush him. The last thing you want is to make him into Dioner Navarro instead of Russell Martin. He needs to learn how to call a game more than offense. DO NOT rush him, he will be very valuable to the Indians in a few yrs..

I'm not talking about 2010 I'm talking about 2011! This will take a couple years, but it's better than never. I also don't think we can judge Laporta on a whole 42 Abs!!!!! Shopach is struggling but his numbers for 09 are almost identical to 07 besides batting average. That's more bad luck than anything. With more PT in 08 he put up a pretty great line of .261/.348/.517. I also think he is a better receiver than Martinez as well.

I have said all season (since january) that the Indians need to get rid of Shapiro and Wedge and start over. ... Lee and Martinez have more value now because of their team options then they will next season at this time. Trade them for as much major-league ready pitching as they can get. In fact, deal Lee, Martinez, Carroll, Bentancourt, Wood and Perralta if it means getting young players that can step in next season. ... NOT PROSPECTS but young players who can play now!

look, Halladay isnt getting young players, so there is no way in HELL that they will get young players. Sorry, none are better than Halladay

Off topic but WHOOOO, NO HITTER IN SF!!! THIS IS NUTS MAN!!! WAY TO GO SANCHEZ!

As much as I hate the Giants and it pains me to say it, Sanchez deserves the perfect game. The error isn't his fault at all.

San Francisco IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA
Sanchez, J (W, 3-8) 9.0 0 0 0 0 11 0 4.69

Tonight's earlier article and this one should be prefaced with the following; they are based off a Paul Hoynes article. An article in which Hoynes (arguably the worst beat writer ever, most players won't interview with him) speculates that the Indians are slashing payroll next because they are shopping potential free agents or people who are making a good chunk of change but not performing to snuff. Chances are unless the Indians are blown away Lee and Martinez stay. There is no way they trade Lee for anything less than top tier major league ready pitching prospects. Not someone who may need some seasoning but someone who can be in the rotation the moment they arrive in Cleveland. Outside of Bucholz I can't really think of anyone who fits that bill. Now as for Betantcourt, Wood, Pavano, Shoppach, Garko, and Francisco...they could be moved easily for pitching help in any form, but more so major league ready. Wood has been a bust for the money, Betancourt isn't really worth his option, Shoppach is easily replaced by Toregas or anyone else who can hit above .200 and not strike out 1/3 of the time, Garko is at a position that could be occupied by other people (LaPorta, Martinez), and Pavano will be a FA and probably won't re-sign. I'd actually like them to keep Francisco because as a 4th OF he can be a large asset. Can play all three positions, has some pop and some speed. But if someone is willing to give you what you need for him then he should be moved and give his platoon spot to Crowe or Brantley (though he looks to be the man in LF if LaPorta moves). The Indians have been saying for weeks that any trade will be made with intentions to be a competitive team next year, at no point have they said that the economy is going to force them to cut payroll. Even when they were rolling in 2007 attendance was terrible, you could walk up in late September and still get some of the best seats in the place. Chances are that if Wood is traded payroll will go down some, seeing as the 15 million they added this last off-season would be gone. But by no means does it mean the Indians are slashing payroll and dumping whatever they can.

Also, if you think Shapiro needs to be fired then the Browns start camp soon, please go and be a fan of that instead of being the typical fair weather Cleveland sports fan.

If the Indians can get Smoak for Cliff Lee they should be all over it, even willing to pay his salary for this season to get the move done (could possibly sweeten the deal too). A future lineup with Choo, Sizemore, LaPorta, and Smoak is dangerous. Martinez should be aggressively shopped to boston for either buccholz or bowden + bard. If you can't get anything on par with that value you might be better off trying to sign him long term as a DH unless you think Hafner is the guy for the job

As a huge tribe fan i have to say that i view victor martinez and grady sizemore as the cornerstone of our franchise. If we move either one of them. we have no hope. Thats why i hope that V-Mart doesnt get traded. I believe he would resign with the tribe, and it would be foolish to trade him unless we got an amazing package in return.

As a huge tribe fan i have to say that i view victor martinez and grady sizemore as the cornerstone of our franchise. If we move either one of them. we have no hope. Thats why i hope that V-Mart doesnt get traded. I believe he would resign with the tribe, and it would be foolish to trade him unless we got an amazing package in return.

Shoppach has been even more than completely awful, and Santana is hitting like .260 in AA, which doesn't exactly translate into putting him in the majors.

Basically your just relying on hype. How did LaPorta do in the majors this season? He's an all-hype guy and was hitting like .350 in AAA before being called up and did practically nothing.

Santana is NOT ready.

Posted by: the lowercase zach is better | July 10, 2009 at 10:42 PM


LaPorta has only got 42 at bats so far at the major league level this year, and usually did not play regularly. Are you seriously saying he is hype because of 42 at bats?!?

Santana has been going through a slump to get down to .266 but he is still raking AA pitching. He has a .394 OBP and .888 OPS. I agree he isn't ready for the majors yet but he has definitely been proving himself in the minors.

"Chances are unless the Indians are blown away Lee and Martinez stay. There is no way they trade Lee for anything less than top tier major league ready pitching prospects. Not someone who may need some seasoning but someone who can be in the rotation the moment they arrive in Cleveland. Outside of Bucholz I can't really think of anyone who fits that bill."

I know the Texas pitching prospects aren't quite as ML ready as clay but Neftali Feliz and Derek Holland would still interest me if i were shapiro.

My first question is how in hell did anyone with a brain in their head think the idians could compete this year ? Their starting staff is the worst in baseball and was at the start of the year. Thier bullpen is awful as well. The offense isn't anywhere it needs to be . This team is no where near contention for a long time unless they deal V-Mart and Lee for some rotation peices. They are the biggest mess in the american league and I think they are going to have a tough road ahead of them.Predictions like this year make me wonder why writters get paid the money they do for the crap they predict. I bet on this page alone we would be a lot closer on out picks then any professional.

I for one have never been a fan of trading players mid season who are signed for more than the rest of the season. To maximize the time any GM has to gather different trade scenarios; if they decide to shop Lee and/or Vmart they should do it this offseason. I haven't looked at the newest elias rankings but VMart has to be type A, Lee may be A. You would have to get at least 2 highly touted prospects for each to even begin talking about a trade.

Wood and Hafners contracts are the ones that are a hinderance.

What should the Indians do?
How about get contracted by the league?

While I wondered why the Indians were so hyped i don't see how you can say they are in terrible shape. They have a nice core of young OF/1B guys and can add to the core with two trades (martinez and lee)

The problem is, as Indians fans we have all grown to realize that they don't want to pay anyone! as a result, they will either let players walk via UFA or they will trade them away for unproven prospects. This has been Shapiro's M.O.. Players like Thome, Ramirez and Sabathia should have been signed rathen then let them go. Cliff Lee and Vic Martinez won't be any different. The Dolan's are cheap bastards and won't pay anyone so why not deal guys like Lee and martinez away now rather than watch them walk away as free agents after next season ... ?

"
LaPorta has only got 42 at bats so far at the major league level this year, and usually did not play regularly. Are you seriously saying he is hype because of 42 at bats?!?

Santana has been going through a slump to get down to .266 but he is still raking AA pitching. He has a .394 OBP and .888 OPS. I agree he isn't ready for the majors yet but he has definitely been proving himself in the minors."

Ummm, no. But nice try. Maybe you should try and read it again.

Here I will try and simplify it for you.

Bringing up Santana to play C now would be idiotic. Bringing him up next year is even a stretch.

Seeing as I was addressing the fact that we have Santana supporters that believe V-Mart should be traded so that we can play Shoppach/Santana, I thought I'd comment on Santana hitting .260 in AA, and how bringing him up would be a mistake. I further explained that another extremely hyped Tribe player, Matt LaPorta (that's called a comparison for you), was hitting about .350 in a AAA and he struggled at the plate. This means that even top prospects struggle in the majors and are not always immediately ready.

Hopefully you can understand it now. Thanks.

Oh and btw, Matt LaPorta IS hype. He's the definition of hype. He was traded for CC Sabathia.

Someone needs to learn the difference between "hype" and "over-hyped."

That will be all.

As for Lee and Martinez.. I think that the issue boils down to two points:
1. Will you be able to retail either Lee or Martinez after their option years?
2. Will you be able to contend in '10 with Lee and Martinez.

As for Question 1., I think that recent history will clearly point you to "No" for both.

Question 2. is likely another emphatic "No." Unless Fausto, Westbrook and Hafner all bounce back-to-form, it would seem that the Indians will not be going anywhere next year.

IF Shapiro chooses to pull the trigger, I think he should find new homes for both Lee and Martinez (unless he is almost sure he can retain one of them once free agency comes around). It would seem that trading one would take you out of contention, so might as well trade both and maximize your gains.

You have Shoppach around to keep the position warm for Carlos Santana (hopefully), but the loss to the middle of the lineup and the clubhouse would be incredible.

The rotation is tattered and flimsy, so losing the ace would be a harsh blow.. Any deal for Victor or Lee would HAVE to be centered around upper-level starting pitching.

The rotation really is a mess.. Fausto got demoted to pitching batting practice to High School kids (hopefully his mechanics are fixed though). Pavano is likely gone at the end of the year. Not sure when Westbrook will be back, or how he will pitch when he does. Sowers is terribly inconsistent and it doesn't seem that he fits into our long-term plans anymore. Tomo Ohka is Tomo Ohka. Lewis and Reyes are both hurt at the moment. And on top of all of that, the Indians don't have one really good starting pitching prospect at AA or AAA other than Hector Rondon (unless you count Adam Miller or Chuck Lofgren......) This organization NEEDS starting pitching. If you can find suitable deals for both Lee and Martinez, it should be able to get you at least 2-3 guys who project to be top of the rotation starters and are nearly ready for the bigs.

That will be all.

Posted by: the lowercase zach is better | July 11, 2009 at 01:37 AM

LMAO, I couldn't help but picture you as one of those hand on the hip, pawing the air, Bruno types. Nothing wrong with that lifestyle if it's what you want, just thought you'd rather be picking out drapes or bedroom sets with your "friend."

For future reference, don't say "That will be all." It's a dead give away for your personal "leanings." Other key phrases to stay away from. "OMG", "you're silly", "totally", "like for sure", "I totally got your ass on that one!"

I think everyone's thinking it, but nobody wants to say it. The best thing the Indians can do is package Sizemore and another expensive guy like Wood or Hafner to clear some cap. The other option is for them to try and get a blockbuster going with Sizemore at the center.

Yes, he's signed to a great contract for the team, but if you are going to rebuild now, there's no point to keep Grady. He's going to be tired of getting his $%*# kicked in every year and he's gone after this deal. If you do get the Indians as contender in the next three or four years, it will be too late to make him want to stay.

Also consider, Mauer and Morneau are young guys and even though everyone thinks Mauer is going to leave, I can't disagree more. He's rich well beyond his needs, he's playing on a contender every year in a winnable division (not like Baltimore and Toronto who can have great teams and still not do anything), it's his hometown team that he grew up watching, and he has a chance to get the big four motives of sports without leaving Minnesota: A championship, to have more money than you can spend in a lifetime (unless he's really bad with money or trusts the wrong people, call this the Dykstra clause), to play close to where you grew up, and to stay with the same team for your whole career.

Grady can see that he's not getting a championship in Cleveland and when he leaves as a Type A, than Cleveland will have two picks to show for it, OR they trade him now as he's starting to hit better and collect a group of young talent for him, maybe a couple high ceiling guys and a couple solid MLB prospects that are sure bets to get there, but might not have superstar abilities.

I think most important for everyto realize is how poorly the Indians are run. The players there have to be going crazy. Giving away a GG, All-Star 2B in Phillips. Trading away Gutierrez for a Cano type 2B on the high side, and a bullpen arm. Giving away DeRosa for junk, giving a long term deal to Pronk, not moving Martinez to permanent DH while Hafner has been on the DL to save Victor some wear-and-tear (yes he went to DH sometimes, but I mean permanently with an occasional start ever week or two behind the plate, with another start at 1B every week or so. DHing him for a year would have been like reseting his legs to the way they were 5 years before.

Dump the whole Indians team and you can't even build around Choo because he has to serve 2 years in the Korean military before 30 years old to keep his citizenship and he's not willing to lose his citizenship in Korea, so within the next two seasons he's going home for a couple years. Just let Choo be the center of a young lineup and when he goes to serve his two years, the rest of the young guys will be ready to carry the load. and I just can't see Choo having much value since whoever gets him will lose him to his military commitment very soon and that could throw off his career.

Trade Lee with Hafner to make the other team eat that bad contract. Then trade Sizemore with Wood so that someone will take on the Wood contract problem. Then you move Martinez for two good prospects and try to get two good prospects for both the other trades (Sizemore and Lee). Lastly, you trade Shoppach, Garko, and Pavano to a team like Florida that has need at a catcher/RH PH and a veteran starter. Yeah maybe you eat a little salary, but fair value might be Hermida, Bonifacio, and Carroll (with a couple low level prospects going back to Florida).

The team would be able to get all the young guys in there to grow together and without any stars on the team, they'll all be willing to stick around until they can contend every year. Basically Grady is going to walk, but Francisco would stay because he won't have the offers that Sizemore would have in FA.

Maybe a sizemore package can include a starting catcher and a backup who are both young, like Saltalamacchia, Teagarden, or Max Ramirez as part of a Cliff Lee trade. Then getting Adam Moore from Seattle as part of a Grady Sizemore package. Both catchers would be much younger and able to hold the positon until Santana arrived. Then just make sure the rest of the players are arms from Seattle and Texas (staying with the example).

Maybe a starting lineup of Jeremy Hermida (LF), Ben Francisco or Trevor Crowe (CF), and Shin-Soo Choo (RF) in the outfield. Peralta (1B), Barfield (2B), Cabrera (SS), Valbuena (3B), on the infield. Max Ramirez/Adam Moore (C) platooning at catcher. Laporta would be the 1B in NL parks and the DH in AL parks, with Peralta going across the diamond to 3B, Valbuena moving to 2B and Barfield going to the bench. The bench would be Bonifacio (IF), Crowe or Francisco (OF), Moore or Ramirez (C), and Brantley (OF), unless he pushes someone else out of the outfield and onto the bench.

A Sizemore trade could net a couple good arms like Phillippe Aumont, Nathan Adcock, Jacob Wild, Brett Lorin, Donald Hume, Justin Thomas, or Nick Hill. A couple from Texas or a top flight one would help get the Indians rebuild going strong. Maybe Holland, Ramirez, and Davis for Cliff Lee and Travis Hafner with Cleveland splitting the remainder on Lee's salary for this year and next, while paying 35% of the remaining on Hafner's contract.

Maybe a sizemore package... = Maybe a package.. (bad editing, hangs head)

Im sorry, but there is no way to get anywhere close to equal value for Sizemore. He signed a 6 yr deal in 06, and is signed through 2012. He is one of, if not the top CF in the game. He is one of the best 5 tool players in the game. What I really dont get is why Lee would get more than Sizemore. You suggested Holland+ for Hafner and Lee, but not top guys for Sizemore. Also, where would Hafner play in Tex with Smoak in the minors, with Blalock, and Davis at 1B/DH. Unless they deal at least 2 of them, Hafner cant be in Tex. Also, I dont think Texas is giving up their top prospects for anyone.

With Choo, that really sucks for Cleveland, only thing you can say.

I can almost guarentee that Hafner, Grady, and Choo wont be traded, but each for different reason. Hafner has no value, and would kill the value of Lee, so much that no one will take it. Grady is a great player, and the franchise face. Good contract as well. However, Id be a little worried with the injuries he has had, espically surgery after this yr. And Choo cant go anywhere cause of his commitment to S. Korea

With Carrol, Betancourt, Wood, Pavano and Peralta(Although I'd keep Peralta as a 3B) to trade they should be able to get some decent stuff for them.
I wouldn't trade Lee or Martinez unless they do yield Teixeira type packages in which case its too much to turn down.
I wouldn't trade Shoppach either especially while his value is down.

Inidans most certainly don't need to rebuild, and definately shouldn't trade Grady Sizemore... thats just ridiculous.

Neither Lee nor V-Mart will pull in a tex type deal. They are not as goood as tex was and cost controlled players in this economy are at their highest value ever. This is why guys like Buchholz won't be traded unless its in a package for another young controllable star like Hanley or Sizemore. 1.5 years of a very good high priced player for any potential stud no longer makes sense as the majority of owners have wisened up to what value these kids have. If its the trade deadline and you are in the race and need a certain piece then yes, by all means ,overpay with prospects. Otherwise, most teams will just say thanks but no thanks to what others want for their soon to be FA vets.

1- Trade Lee. If Texas didn't have payroll issues, I'd target them specifically since they're the best equipped team to give up close to MLB ready arms (one of Feliz or Holland) , but I'm calling every contending team who might remotely need pitching. To me, Lee will easily, easily, command the bigger haul of the 2, and is more likely to command a near-MLB ready arm. But, as always, go for best value, but focus on guys who are in AA or higher (like LaPorta last year)

Avoid deals built around prospects who are probably ultimately moving to 1B/DH.

2- I want to keep V-Mart until Santana shows that he's ready. I want no reason to rush Santana up. If the team is not equipped to contend next year and/or Santana shows dominance, that's when you trade V-Mart.

3- Try to move guys like Pavano, Ben Francisco, Betancourt, et al for whatever you can get. Although I try to trade Pavano via waivers, since his peripherals are much better than his ERA, and a lot of GMs still don't understand that stuff (see: Dayton Moore, Omar Minaya).

However, if someone wants to overpay for V-Mart, the Indians should take the offer ASAP. Especially if its involving one or more close to MLB ready (AA or higher) arms.

Chris Perez is not junk, I think Cleveland won that trade easily.

Why do some of my posts on here just dissappear?

Why do some of my posts on here just dissappear?

I say shop Lee, Martinez, Wood and anyone else that has value and in return, with all the bidding wars that will ensue, the Indians will be in real good shape within 3-4 seasons.

They already have some really great young talent and if they trade some of their chips, they could be the best team in the central in no time if you think about it.

The other teams in the central dont have a tonne of depth as far as young players go so sure the Indians might be pretty bad for a year or 2 but in the long run, if they start building now, they could end up taking the central very easily.

What the Indians should do is definitely move both Lee and Martinez, but for Lee especially they need to get back a FOR level starter. Now that could be someone who would spend the rest of the year in Columbus, but as troublesome as the Indians pitching has been this season the focus of any deal or deals needs to be young major league ready pitching.

And teams just don't usually trade players like that anymore.

(Unfortunately Martinez is probably gone by the time Santana shows he is ready - which is a shame as he is a perfect mentor for Santana.)

Move players like Caroll and Betancourt and Pavano for the best deals out there - there is no real reason to keep them around even though all 3 have their benefits to the team.

Wood would be a nice guy to trade if someone would take the salary - i don't know if the Indians should pay anything to get a better return on a deal for Wood.

I'm not sure about moving Garko mainly because i don't know if LaPorta is needed in LF or 1b (will Brantley be ready in 2010?). Even if LaPorta can be moved to 1b fulltime Garko could still come in handy as a 1n/dh type - so maybe only move him if someone is willing to overpay.

Focus should be young major league ready starters and relievers, another MIF prospect, and any non rule 5 talent at any position the Indians can get as a throw in.

It's going to mean "white flagging" 2010 as well, and i don't know if the Indians are willing to do that or not. So i don't expect all of these moves to be done (& one of Lee or Martinez will be dealt -not both of them).

BTW trading Sizemore is an idiotic suggestion - he is the face of the franchise. If the Indians were to trade him they might as well move the franchise because no one would go to the games at all.

Basically your just relying on hype. How did LaPorta do in the majors this season? He's an all-hype guy and was hitting like .350 in AAA before being called up and did practically nothing.

Posted by: the lowercase zach is better | July 10, 2009 at 10:42 PM

LaPorta wasn't given a chance by Wedge, and Wedge really hasn't given any prospects much of a chance, basically ignoring front office intentions. He batted him in the bottom of the order and played intermittently. At least Ozzie Guillen is playing Beckham every day practically. Trade Lee and Hafner, keep VMart, and replace Wedge.

"Iknowalilsomethingaboutsomething" actually doesn't know anything about anything. You typed up a novel and you try to sound smart, but you are dead wrong on a number of things.

1.) Trading Grady would be the worst idea ever. The Indians already have a hard time getting people to Progressive Field, do you think trading their most popular player is going to help attract fans? Let's not forget where the team's revenue comes from.

2.) Look at Brandon Phillips stats from 2002-2005 as a Cleveland Indian. He had a .206 batting average in 462 at-bats with only 6 homers. I think any team would have looked at him as a bust. It looks like an aweful move now, but consider the circumstances.

3.) The Indians did not "give away" DeRosa. They got a huge power arm in Chris Perez and let's not forget there is another PTBNL in the deal. Trading DeRosa now was a good idea since he's not part of the team's outlook going forward.

4.) Choo's military obligation could be waived by the Korean gov't because of his participation in the WBC. It's not a given that he's going to leave in a few years.

You basically want every good player on the Indians traded for prospects. This team has a good core and Shapiro has already said that he thinks we can contend next year. We score the third most runs in the AL, if we just had a reliable bullpen and maybe one more two more solid SP's, things would be a lot different right now.

How could anyone even consider the possibility of Indians trading Sizemore and Choo. Little hint to everyone, IT'S NOT GOING TO HAPPEN.

Martinez also has to stay. He is a fan favorite and loves to play for the Indians. Although he is approaching free agency, I'm almost positive he would sign a cheaper contract just to stay with a CONTENDING Cleveland team. Shapiro knows that and he also knows that dealing Martinez would break every Indians' fans heart.

As for Lee, he has to use Halladay to his advantage. Shop Lee actively, but don't deal him just for the sake of dealing him. He is cheaper then Halladay contract wise, left handed, reigning Cy Young (a lot of the same qualaties as Halladay). See what teams would give up for Halladay and compete with that. I know he probably won't bring back the same type of players as Halladay, but Halladay could give you an idea of what you might get back. If that makes any sense.

What is their motivation to trade Cliff Lee (a front of the rotation starter) for another, less proven front of the rotation guy? Offer him a deal based around the Chris Carpenter deal, as I think they profile as very similar pitchers. He has the numbers, but not the stats, for a giant CC-esque deal.

As for V-Mart, he's the team's franchise player. Much more so than Grady. Their big problem is attendance...trade him and you lose a lot more fans.

The Tribe have been severely hampered by injuries this season...they will be back in contention next season, easily.

"...that there are starters like Halladay, Bedard, Haren, etc. out there."

Haren is not "out there."

Listen I tought it was the end of the world whe guys like Thome / Belle / Colon / Omar all left but life went on and we have had some success.

The bottom line here is Cheer for the Team and NOT the name on the back of the Uniform.

If you do this a a fan of any small market team life will become less stressful for you.

Plus if you trade Lee and the 2010 Rotation looked something like this.

Westbrook / (????) / Carmona / Laffey / Huff and your # 5 guy out of the group of Rondon / Sowers / Lewis / Lofgren or a Free Agent # 5 guy at about 3 to 5 mil 1 year contract.

Now if you replace the #2 question mark guy with a talented top notch prospect like Buccholz / Hughes / Feliz / Holland / Bumgarner / Alderson type pitcher how can you as a fan say we have no shot to contend.

If you subtract Victor from the line-up with guys like Garko Shoppach and Carroll but you add guys like

LaPorta / Santana / Brantley / Barfield /

Marta as a bench guy who can play 3rd 1st and now the corner outfield every now and then.

We have seen that hafner is starting to dial it back in remember it took Giambi also about 2 years to get back on track now look at him.

So with all these thing said with the pitching and improving the overall defense of the team with those moves how can you say the team wouldn't be a better overall balanced contender with pitching and better defense in 2010.

The only lose on the defensive side may be Carroll over barfield with the glove slightly.

If Cleveland is interested in trading Grady, give Theo a call. If they are willing to change their racist logo, they could get a REAL Indian back as part of the package.

Racist logo?

Should we change the name too? We will be called the Navy Blue Sox with a sock on the hats.

"The Tribe have been severely hampered by injuries this season...they will be back in contention next season, easily. "

Injuries have definitely hurt the Tribe his season but the main problems this season have been the rotation and the bullpen, which are areas that have been relatively healthy the entire season.

I don't think trading Grady Sizemore has ever come across Mark Shapiro's mind at this point.. I just assume that it hasn't crossed any other GM's mind as well, because they know he is untouchable. One of the most exciting and talented outfielders in the game, under contract for another 3 and a half season. That is the kind of guy you build around.

Pavano is another good trade candidate.. He has actually impressed me this year and he has definitely been a serviceable starter. He is only guaranteed $1.5 million this year, but he has an insane amount of bonuses.

According to Cot's, here's how it looks:

# starts: $0.1M each for 18, 20, 22; $0.2M each for 24, 26, 28; $0.25M for 30; $0.3M for 32; $0.35M each for 33, 34; $0.4M for 35

# innings: $0.1M each for 130, 140, 150; $0.15M each for 160, 170; $0.2M for 180; $0.25M each for 190, 200, 210; $0.3M for 215; $0.4M for 225; $0.5M for 235

At this point, it would seem that Carl is going to make a decent amount of money this season. If the Indians can move him and avoid payment most of those, that would trim a few bucks on a guy who won't be around next year.

He has trade value, the deal will save money... but the problem is: "who the heck is going to take his spot in the rotation?" I don't think it even matters at this point, they just need a body out there.

"Injuries have definitely hurt the Tribe his season but the main problems this season have been the rotation and the bullpen, which are areas that have been relatively healthy the entire season."

Other than Sizemore, most of their injuries have been to their pitching staff.

Scott Lewis, Jake Westbrook, Anthony Reyes, Adam Miller, Betancourt, Joe Smith, Aaron Laffey. That's a huge chunk of depth.

As for Pavano, I'd be all for it, and it will probably happen. Give me a AA pitcher with some promise, and an MLB fill in, and he's gone.

Does anyone think that the Indians are going to win the World Series next year… anyone? How about compete? Any of you think they will have enough talent to overcome the Yankees, Red Sox, Tampa, or the Angels and then beat whoever wins NL pennant? No, and if anyone disagrees please tell me why the Indians have a better chance than those four teams and the NL pennant winner in 2010.

Next season the Indians will be better than this year and they have a chance to compete for the division title due to the weak AL central but they do NOT have enough to compete for championship.

1. The closer to free agency the lower their value is.
2. Any injury or prolonged slump could decrease their value further and
with pitchers and catchers these odds increase.
3. Prospects acquired in 2010 for them would be one year further away from
the majors, prolonging your rebuilding process.
4. If the Indians are within 5 games of first place in the central (very, very likely
considering the weak division) then they can’t trade them because it would be
viewed as giving up on the season.
5. Both players will receive contracts in the 15-20mil range and Cleveland will NOT
be able to afford that.
6. When they leave for free agency the type compensation has negatives.
A. Players drafted in 2011 will be between 18-21 years old whereas prospect
traded for now are between 19-23 and would be major league ready in 2011 but the compensation picks won’t be ready until 2014.
B. Milwaukee had two type A free agents leave last season (Sabathia and
and Sheets) but due to Sheets injury and the fact that the Yankees had
already signed a type A before the signed Sabathia, they were stuck with only one “sandwich pick” and a second rounder (which is less than the Indians got in LaPorta and Brantley) instead of two first rounders and two
sandwich picks which is still less than what the Indians could probably get now.
C. The Indians trade well but draft poor and should go with there strengths.

Other thoughts. The Indians were ranked in the top five in minor league talent at the start of the season. Most of that talent is at C, OF, 1B, and 3B but is lacking in pitching. There are only two ways to acquire young cheap great pitching: draft for it or trade for it. Drafting for it requires multiple losing seasons. The only way you can trade for it is with all star caliber players (like V-Mart and Lee).

Mid market teams have to be loaded with young talent in order to compete against the big market teams that have twice their payroll. Tampa Bay is a perfect example but at a high coat of losing. From 2001-2008 drafted in the top 5 all but one year (2005 they had the 8th pick) including three #1 overall picks. Trading V-Mart and Lee along with the high pick in next years draft would give them more young talent than any other team in the league. Which is what they need to win a Championship.

If I'm Mark Shapiro, I know that I have to field a competitive team in 2010, because if they suck, I'm gone. GM's only get one rebuild before fans (and ownership) lose patience.

That means I am trying like hell to keep both Lee (proven FOR starter), and Martinez (fan favorite and proven offensive producer).

I try to get the best talent I can for the guys who will not be back next year (Carroll, Pavano) or guys who may have trade value but are blocking high-ceiling talent (Garko, Francisco). I look mid-season for big-market teams in playoff races willing to overpay to fill a need.

I also recognize that I have lots of talent at all levels of my own system, and I go shopping in the off-season for guys who can help me in 2010. Maybe I get lucky and find a proven starter who is getting close to a serious payday, and a small-market team wants to avoid the commitment.

What am I looking for? Pitching, pitching, pitching. I think this team will need 3 very effective starting pitchers to seriously compete next year. It's possible that two of them are Jake Westbrook and Fausto Carmona, but I'm not going to bet my career on that.

Shapiro isn't going anywhere anytime soon. There are talks about him being named team president and his assistant GM Chris Antonneti taking over as the GM.

Hey about getting guys off wavers that's smart. because teams give up on guys and lit them walk and if Cleveland would pay attention they could pick up so me great tallent.
Plus i know the Cubs got rid of Carmon pignatello[spelled his last name wrong sorry] and i really liked the way he pitched.

"Does anyone think that the Indians are going to win the World Series next year… anyone? How about compete? Any of you think they will have enough talent to overcome the Yankees, Red Sox, Tampa, or the Angels and then beat whoever wins NL pennant? No, and if anyone disagrees please tell me why the Indians have a better chance than those four teams and the NL pennant winner in 2010."

Realistically? Yes, they can. A lot will depend on questions, however, which will hopefully be answered in the second half of the season.

In order of importance:

1)Fausto Carmona. Can he get his head straight, and trust his sinker and slider in the strikezone? He's an Ace caliber pitcher, and could easily have a turnaround parallel to what Halladay did after the 2000 season.

2) How will their rookies handle the MLB level? LaPorta and Brantley should join Valbuena as everyday players, soon after the break. Can they contribute, or will they struggle? Andy Marte has earned himself one last chance, with his strong play in AAA. Barfield should have a shot at the utility spot, and Hector Rondon could see a September (or earlier) call up. That's a lot of young talent that could revitalize the roster.

3) Chris Perez, Raphy Perez, Tony Sipp, Jensen Lewis, Joe Smith. Can they live up to their potential as a solid young bullpen? Or do they continue to remain inconsistent? Can any of them flash closer potential?

4) Jake Westbrook. Upon returning from Tommy John Surgery, can he look like his old innings-eating self?

2)

oops,

5) Can Hafner continue to improve, and get back to a .300 hitting 30-40 homer DH? Or will his shoulder injury linger?


If these questions have positive answers, they could easily hang with the Yankees, Red Sox, Angels, or any other team in the league. But not without Martinez and Lee.

That's why I would see an offseason trade as being much more realistic than a deadline deal. They'll have a much better grasp on whether 2010 is a contending season, or a rebuilding one, at that point.

Look for plenty of minor moves, however, to make space for their youth. I would not be surprised to see Carrol, Garko, and Peralta all with other teams, within a couple weeks. Pavano and Betancourt as well. They should be able to get a couple quality arms, out of some of those names.

oops,

5) Can Hafner continue to improve, and get back to a .300 hitting 30-40 homer DH? Or will his shoulder injury linger?


If these questions have positive answers, they could easily hang with the Yankees, Red Sox, Angels, or any other team in the league. But not without Martinez and Lee.

That's why I would see an offseason trade as being much more realistic than a deadline deal. They'll have a much better grasp on whether 2010 is a contending season, or a rebuilding one, at that point.

Look for plenty of minor moves, however, to make space for their youth. I would not be surprised to see Carrol, Garko, and Peralta all with other teams, within a couple weeks. Pavano and Betancourt as well. They should be able to get a couple quality arms, out of some of those names.

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