Discussion: Next Young Pitcher To Be Extended

One of the game's best young pitchers signed a contract extension yesterday that will take him to his 30th birthday, as the Marlins finally locked up Josh Johnson to a four-year deal worth $39MM. The extension mirrors the deal Kansas City gave Zack Greinke before last season, and is just the latest example of a club willing to assume the risk of a breakdown in exchange for cost certainty.

Paul Maholm, Scott Baker, Ubaldo Jimenez, Adam Wainwright, Matt Cain, Jon Lester, and James Shields are other young arms who have sacrificed the superior earning power of the arbitration process for financial security in recent years. Who do the readers of MLBTR think the next young pitcher to agree to an extension could be?

Leaving aside the big names like Tim Lincecum, Justin Verlander, and Felix Hernandez, here's a few pitchers who already have, or will soon enter into their arbitration years…

  • Yovani Gallardo – the Brewers' young ace struck out 204 batters and allowed just 150 hits in 185.2 innings last season, and will be arb eligible following the 2010 season.
  • Matt Garza – one of Tampa's many young power arms, Garza has struck out 7.3 batters per nine innings in his career, and has made 62 starts over the last two years. He's arb eligible as a Super Two this offseason.
  • Jair Jurrjens – perhaps the best pitcher no one talks about, Jurrjens led the NL in starts last year and owns a 3.21 career ERA. He'll be up for arbitration after the 2010 season.
  • Wandy Rodriguez – his breakthrough season last year included a 3.06 K/BB ratio and 193 strikeouts in 205.2 innings. Wandy is arb eligible for the second time this offseason after earning $2.6MM in 2009.


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87 Comments on "Discussion: Next Young Pitcher To Be Extended"


Ferrariman
5 years 7 months ago

Gotta be wainwright.. He will be a FA just before carpenter and lohse’s combined 25MM come off the books. I can see the cards extending pujols and waino next offseason.

5 years 7 months ago

Wainwright is already signed through 2011, with options for 2012 and 2013.

Ferrariman
5 years 7 months ago

Which is why I said extending…

5 years 7 months ago

He’s already under team control for four more years (until age-32), how much longer do you want them to extend him?

5 years 7 months ago

He’s already under team control for four more years (until age-32), how much longer do you want them to extend him?

Ferrariman
5 years 7 months ago

Which is why I said extending…

5 years 7 months ago

Wainwright is already signed through 2011, with options for 2012 and 2013.

Ferrariman
5 years 7 months ago

Gotta be wainwright.. He will be a FA just before carpenter and lohse’s combined 25MM come off the books. I can see the cards extending pujols and waino next offseason.

scottandwtb
5 years 7 months ago

Braves should absolutely lock up Jurrjens through at least one free agent year. Love to see them extend Escobar too. (An Hanson for that matter, when he gets closer to arb eligible)

Ferrariman
5 years 7 months ago

Yeah they gotta lock jair and hanson up before they start to get real expensive

FourScore16
5 years 7 months ago

Exactly!! The Braves need to try and lock up both Jurrjens and Escobar through their arb years.

scottandwtb
5 years 7 months ago

Braves should absolutely lock up Jurrjens through at least one free agent year. Love to see them extend Escobar too. (An Hanson for that matter, when he gets closer to arb eligible)

slr5607
5 years 7 months ago

i think that Jurrjens is a solid choice. He hasnt completely dominated or anything, but he is a good young pitcher with the ability to be a #2 starter for the Braves. I wouldn’t be surprised for the Braves to lock up Hanson earlier than the norm…that would be a great 1-2 for a long time to come.

As a Giants fan, I still consider Matt Cain a young pitcher with the chance of getting extended AGAIN. He is the workhorse of that rotation, no matter who is the “ace”. The Giants also need to find out what they think of Jonathan Sanchez…if they value him more than his trade value and they think he is going to be a forceful LHSP, they should consider a 3 year extention to possibly keep him “cheap for the next few years. Sometimes they act like he is going to be Johan Santana (i dont think he will), but if he does become a consistant pitcher, then a 3 year 9 million dollar deal would be a steal for him, while not being too much of a risk.

alan777
5 years 7 months ago

jurrjends has the ability to be a #2 starter?how about is already a #1.not overpowering but finished with a 2.60 era.thats a number 1 anywhere basically.and i agree with locking up escabar.i love him man lol

NL_East_Rivalry
5 years 7 months ago

Currently Jair is a num 2, but he’s not a bad num 1. Two non-Lincecum years are hard to classify someone as an Ace. I just hope Jair changes agents. Yunel and Jair should be locked up so that we can spread out the money while we get some cheap players (Freeman, Kimbrel, Heyward) coming in these next few years.

alan777
5 years 7 months ago

jurrjends has the ability to be a #2 starter?how about is already a #1.not overpowering but finished with a 2.60 era.thats a number 1 anywhere basically.and i agree with locking up escabar.i love him man lol

slr5607
5 years 7 months ago

i think that Jurrjens is a solid choice. He hasnt completely dominated or anything, but he is a good young pitcher with the ability to be a #2 starter for the Braves. I wouldn’t be surprised for the Braves to lock up Hanson earlier than the norm…that would be a great 1-2 for a long time to come.

As a Giants fan, I still consider Matt Cain a young pitcher with the chance of getting extended AGAIN. He is the workhorse of that rotation, no matter who is the “ace”. The Giants also need to find out what they think of Jonathan Sanchez…if they value him more than his trade value and they think he is going to be a forceful LHSP, they should consider a 3 year extention to possibly keep him “cheap for the next few years. Sometimes they act like he is going to be Johan Santana (i dont think he will), but if he does become a consistant pitcher, then a 3 year 9 million dollar deal would be a steal for him, while not being too much of a risk.

derelickmyballs
5 years 7 months ago

Garza a Super 2 this year?

5 years 7 months ago

Ah yes, good catch. I’ll update the post.

5 years 7 months ago

Ah yes, good catch. I’ll update the post.

derelickmyballs
5 years 7 months ago

Garza a Super 2 this year?

comegys
5 years 7 months ago

Brett Anderson; Billy locked up Harden, Zito, and Mulder before arbitration.

melonis_rex
5 years 7 months ago

Yes please.

Although, Anderson is too far away from FA right now; I’d think next offseason would be the time to talk extension with him.

comegys
5 years 7 months ago

Brett Anderson; Billy locked up Harden, Zito, and Mulder before arbitration.

5 years 7 months ago

What about John Danks? Sox have already tried, I’m sure they’re gonna push harder. Something similar to what they gave Floyd, I guess a bit higher.

5 years 7 months ago

What about John Danks? Sox have already tried, I’m sure they’re gonna push harder. Something similar to what they gave Floyd, I guess a bit higher.

BravesRed
5 years 7 months ago

I want Jurrjens and Moylan extended.

BravesRed
5 years 7 months ago

I want Jurrjens and Moylan extended.

laaweosme
5 years 7 months ago

Probably, lestser jurrjens with the way he’s pitching he will decline arb, became a fa and probably a 3y/$25 mill, so lester will prob because he will get money AND a very good shot at playoffs.

vtadave
5 years 7 months ago

English translation please.

lakersdodgersyankees4life
5 years 7 months ago

don’t worry guys, he spelled awesome wrong.. in his name lol

ADJPB
5 years 7 months ago

HUH??????????

laaweosme
5 years 7 months ago

Probably, lestser jurrjens with the way he’s pitching he will decline arb, became a fa and probably a 3y/$25 mill, so lester will prob because he will get money AND a very good shot at playoffs.

ateam043
5 years 7 months ago

I want Clayton Kershaw signed now way ahead of time….

5 years 7 months ago

From an organizational standpoint, there is no reason to pay the guy more than league minimum. Young pitchers are fickle and can go from Cy Young candidate to hittable just from an extra year of the league seeing their stuff. Best to wait, especially with so many other people up for arbitration raises.

On the other hand, Billingsley’s value may never be lower, and after a semi-injury plagued season now may have been an opportune time to give him some security and you save a buck.

ateam043
5 years 7 months ago

I want Clayton Kershaw signed now way ahead of time….

quintjs
5 years 7 months ago

When virtually all these deals buy out free agent years it isn’t just about cost certainty – its about keeping a player under control longer.

Matt Kemp is about cost certainty – a deal that doesn’t keep him a dodger any longer.

Would the Marlins really have signed a 2 years deal with Johnson? of course not because all that would have done was guarnateed them having to pay him when they didn’t have to otherwise.

A lot of teams don’t even consider long term deals for young players UNLESS they get free agent years. I know the Red Sox are on record as saying that is a requirement of assuming the injury risk.

Young players entering their prime like Lester, Johnson, Greinke is one situation where teams want the years on the contract.

markjsunz
5 years 7 months ago

The Marlins bought two years of his free agency but they paid him 13 million plus for each of those years. Both sides assume some risk, and both sides get some security. And the main thing both sides were agreeable to the terms.A good deal all around.

quintjs
5 years 7 months ago

When virtually all these deals buy out free agent years it isn’t just about cost certainty – its about keeping a player under control longer.

Matt Kemp is about cost certainty – a deal that doesn’t keep him a dodger any longer.

Would the Marlins really have signed a 2 years deal with Johnson? of course not because all that would have done was guarnateed them having to pay him when they didn’t have to otherwise.

A lot of teams don’t even consider long term deals for young players UNLESS they get free agent years. I know the Red Sox are on record as saying that is a requirement of assuming the injury risk.

Young players entering their prime like Lester, Johnson, Greinke is one situation where teams want the years on the contract.