Examining Teams’ Arbitration Decisions

Teams had until last night to offer arbitration to ranked free agents. Now that decisions from the National and American Leagues are in, here’s an explanation of what certain offers may mean, starting with players who obtained offers:

  • David Ortiz (A) – The slugging DH has a strong case for a multiyear deal, but which team will offer him one? If there’s no multiyear offer on the table by December 7, Ortiz may consider accepting Boston’s offer. It would likely mean a raise from the $12.5MM salary he earned in 2011.
  • Raul Ibanez (B) – It seems that the Phillies have a handshake agreement with the 39-year-old and that he'll decline the team's offer. With all due respect to Ibanez, it wouldn't make sense for the Phillies to commit an eight-figure salary to a defensive liability who posted a .707 OPS in 2011.
  • Edwin Jackson (B) – The Cardinals’ projected 2012 rotation is currently full, so their decision to offer Jackson arbitration suggests they believe he’d have positive trade value on a one-year deal.
  • Heath Bell (A) – It seems as though Bell’s future in San Diego has been uncertain for years. He now has two weeks to decide whether to accept the Padres’ offer or decline and hit the market in search of a multiyear deal.
  • Francisco Rodriguez (A) – The Brewers already have a closer in John Axford, but they seem to be gambling that Rodriguez will turn their offer down in search of a closing job elsewhere. It’s worth noting that he complained about his role late in the season and that Rodriguez won’t cost a draft pick under the new CBA. It’s hard to imagine him accepting the Brewers’ offer.
  • Blue Jays – Toronto extended four arbitration offers — more than any other team. Their interest in accumulating draft picks persists, despite spending limitations in upcoming drafts. The Phillies, Cardinals, Red Sox and Twins each offered three free agents arbitration.

Here's a look at one player who didn’t obtain an offer of arbitration:

  • Roy Oswalt (A) – The Phillies could have obtained draft picks for Oswalt if they were convinced that he wasn’t going to accept arbitration. Instead, they withheld an offer, making Oswalt the lone Type A free agent not to obtain one (not counting players who had clauses in their contracts ruling out the possibility of an offer). This suggests the Phillies aren’t completely convinced Oswalt would turn arbitration down, despite a strong early market for his services. After earning $16MM in 2011, Oswalt wouldn’t necessarily have positive trade value on a one-year deal.

It’s worth noting that players can re-sign with teams after declining their offers of arbitration. Similarly, teams can re-sign players to whom they did not extend offers of arbitration.


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25 Comments on "Examining Teams’ Arbitration Decisions"


The_BiRDS
3 years 9 months ago

Wow Dan Lozano is screwed… no pun intended. He is about to lose Albert Pujols and mulitiple clients weeks before they sign. Its gonna be a awkward Thanksgiving at the Lozano house hold.

3 years 9 months ago

Im glad you didnt intend it because i didnt get it.

The_BiRDS
3 years 9 months ago

———————————-
[Escourts + Money = Intercourse (Intercourse = Screwed)] = PUN
———————————-

Wow they picks some odd words to ban from this website.

The_BiRDS
3 years 9 months ago

Well he has been accused for soliciting escourts on a monthly basis. Apparently spending over 50K per month on them. So…….yeah.
 
 
** side not just read Pujols is sticking with his agent  

Morley C
3 years 9 months ago

There’s no “u” in escorts. No pun intended. 

The_BiRDS
3 years 9 months ago

Yeah I was having trouble posting those comments because it had to be monitored a ton of times. I had words like “H00ker” and “pr0stitute” and finally “esc0rt” so I had to change things up.. I realized it ended up being the word “$ex” for some reason that was messing things up.

Morley C
3 years 9 months ago

This is my favourite post of the day. I even added the Canadian “u” in “favourite” just for you.

stl_cards16
3 years 9 months ago

Dan Lozano?

and besides spelling his name wrong, you are wrong. Albert has said he is staying with him.

The_BiRDS
3 years 9 months ago

Better? Do you feel like a bigger man since you’re making spelling corrections?

stl_cards16
3 years 9 months ago

It wasn’t really a “spelling error”.  You spelled it Lorenzo….not once but twice.

The_BiRDS
3 years 9 months ago

Ya I know, who cares?

pastlives
3 years 9 months ago

well it’s simply not the guy’s name, do you want to be corrected and learn something or go on talking about someone who doesn’t exist?

Cavman_Boland
3 years 9 months ago

Hey I have a buddy called Dan Lorenzo! Believe me the guy exists!

The_BiRDS
3 years 9 months ago

I think its annoying when someone goes out of their way to make a spelling correction on this website when they can just figure it out.

Dan Lorenzo is a real person, he is a guitar player. Simple mistake.

MB923
3 years 9 months ago

While it rarely occurs, I like it when someone goes out of their way to make a spelling correction, only to see one of their words misspelled as well.

Pete
3 years 9 months ago

It is also worth noting that K-Rod is an ego-driven, violent psychopath who is the opposite of what a “good person” is and definitely not a team player.

The_BiRDS
3 years 9 months ago

That sure sounds a lot like T-Plush.

3 years 9 months ago

Nyjer Morgan looked like he was having a great time in Milwaukee this year.  Beyond the persona, which is just for fun i guess, he seems like a decent guy.  Hes still too intense sometimes, but its not as bad as when he was with Washington.  I wish him luck if he can stick with th Brewers going forward.

johnsmith4
3 years 9 months ago

Morgan was a goon in junior hockey

bobbybaseball
3 years 9 months ago

I think the Phillies erred in not offering arbitration to Oswalt. Even if he accepted, I do think he is tradeable, based on the early interest. They should have grabbed the draft picks, I think Oswalt is going to command at least a two-year deal someplace.

pmc765
3 years 9 months ago

Maybe Ben thinks Ortiz has a strong case for a multi-year deal, but the law of supply and demand suggests otherwise. He’s going nowhere….and the Bosox only have to shell out for one year. During that one year he may morph into Mo Vaughn…if so the 2013 payroll starts out in better shape.

bvw87
3 years 9 months ago

Obirds might be able to use him. If they have the budget.

David Fyten
3 years 9 months ago

Minor correction: The Twins offered arbitration to two players–Michael Cuddyer and Jason Kubel–not three as you reported.

3 years 9 months ago

Let’s examine the Tigers’ arbitration decisions.   Wait!   They haven’t announced any decisions.  #AWOL #Silence

3 years 9 months ago

“Blue Jays – Toronto extended four arbitration offers —
more than any other team. Their interest in accumulating draft picks
persists, despite spending limitations in upcoming drafts.”

You do realize that the more picks you have the more money your are allowed to spend on the draft.