In a widely expected move, the Tigers will decline their $16MM option on right-hander Anibal Sanchez in favor of a $5MM buyout, general manager Al Avila told reporters today (Twitter link via Anthony Fenech of the Detroit Free Press). Sanchez will become a free agent once the option is formally bought out following the World Series.
The 33-year-old Sanchez signed a five-year, $80MM contract with the Tigers that spanned the 2013-17 seasons and turned in a sensational campaign in the first year of that deal. In 182 innings that year, Sanchez captured the American League ERA title with a mark of 2.57, averaging 10.0 K/9 against 2.7 BB/9 along the way. He finished fourth in the AL Cy Young voting and was worth roughly six wins above replacement per both fWAR and rWAR. Though he was limited to 126 innings in 2014, Sanchez was again quite good, logging a 3.43 ERA with improved control but diminished strikeouts.
Since contributing about nine wins’ worth of value in those first two seasons, though, the Sanchez contract has been regrettable for the Tigers. He’s logged a total of 415 2/3 innings in that time and surrendered 262 earned runs (5.67 ERA) on the strength of 462 hits (85 homers) and 131 walks. Sanchez still shows a penchant for missing bats (8.2 K/9 over the final three years of the deal, 8.9 K/9 in 2017), but his ground-ball rate has eroded and he’s become stunningly homer prone.
[Detroit Tigers Depth Chart | Detroit Tigers Payroll Outlook]
The rebuilding Tigers, who introduced Ron Gardenhire as their new manager earlier today, will happily shed that $16MM annual commitment from their books and turn to younger rotation options. In 2018, they’ll likely lean on Michael Fulmer, Daniel Norris, Matthew Boyd and veteran Jordan Zimmermann (who is on an undesirable contract himself) in the first four spots of their rotation. While the Tigers have several in-house options for that fifth spot, they’re also in a nice position to take a flyer on a veteran reclamation project in hopes of flipping him for some value at next year’s trade deadline, as I examined in their installment of MLBTR’s Offseason Outlook series.
With Sanchez off the books, the Tigers still have $97MM owed to four current players (Miguel Cabrera, Zimmermann, Victor Martinez and Ian Kinsler) and two former players (Prince Fielder, Justin Verlander). The Tigers also have another $25MM worth of projected arbitration salaries, per MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz. An offseason trade of Kinsler and/or the non-tendering or trades of an arbitration-eligible player or two would obviously alter that payroll projection.
As for Sanchez, he’ll hit the open market in search of a spot to restore his value — very likely on a one-year deal with a low base salary or on a minor league pact. While he struggled as both a starter and reliever this season, Sanchez did post very solid K/BB numbers throughout the year — particularly upon returning from a month-long stint in Triple-A. He enjoyed solid eight-start run upon his return from the minors (4.37 ERA, 3.89 FIP, 37-to-10 K/BB ratio in 45 1/3 innings) and finished out the year with 23 innings of 2.70 ERA ball and a 31-to-7 K/BB ratio.
Suffice it to say, Sanchez was the picture of inconsistency in 2017 — often showing glimpses of his former excellence but also too frequently giving the Tigers little chance to compete. He yielded four or more earned runs in eight of his 17 starts and five or more earned runs on five occasions. Sanchez also posted the worst HR/9 mark of any pitcher with 100 or more innings in 2017 (2.22), and no starter with at least 400 innings has been as homer-prone as Sanchez (1.84 HR/9) dating back to the 2015 season.
Brixton
It’s hard to believe this guy was a CY contender not too long ago
pepesilvia
Detroit just gave this guy 5 million dollars to go home?
GarryHarris
I thought that too. $5M added to the cash going to Prince Fielder, Justin Verlander and most likely Victor Martinez to NOT play for the Tigers. With the contracts of Miguel Cabrera and Jordan Zimmermann, Al Avila and the Tiger organization have to deal with an outrageous amount of residual legacy commitment.
ExileInLA 2
“Low base salary”? Sounds like a potential Met…
lowtalker1
IF anything he sounds like an A. They have been digging deep in the trash for many years
I don’t even like the As
The Mets don’t grab player so quite like this compared to the As
outinleftfield
Or the Padres. They signed 4 guys just like him last year.
lowtalker1
I was leaving my team out of this.
But, for the last 20 years this has been an As move
tigerfan4ever
Worst kept secret in Tigerland. Maybe he signs a minor league contract somewhere, even in Detroit.
damon389
I could see the A’s making a play. They will be sorting around the bargain bin and it’s worked pretty well w/them in the past (i.e.- Rich Hill, Scott Kazmir, Brandon McCarthy). It would be a very Oakland-y signing.
stretch123
Hoping Marlins bring him back in on a 1 mil deal. We need some sort of low cost option to eat some innings next year with the shape of our rotation right now…
elscorchot
Was thinking the same. Was always a favorite, but there won’t be expectations like the previous stint.
AndThisGameBelongsToMySanDiegoPadres
Maybe the Tigers bring him back on the cheap. If he continues to suck he aids them in the tank job. If he turns it around they can flip him at the deadline.
MLBTRS
Your logic is convoluted. Continuing to suck wouldn’t aid anyone. A player “aids” a team by contributing to wins or giving a team a goods chance to win. Regardless, if Zimmerman rediscovers himself, there won’t be a “tank job”.
terry g
I can see quite a few teams giving him a chance on a low base salary. He needs to get his Home runs allowed down to be worth even that though. Sure doesn’t need to go to any hitters parks like Baltimore or Texas.
Patrick OKennedy
Anibal was my Tiger. He quietly won the AL ERA title in 2013 with a rotation that included three past or future Cy young winners in Verlander, Scherzer and Porcello.
He had the lowest HR/9 ratio in 2013- 2014, and then the worst ratio since then.. Whatever happened there, that was his big issue.
He had a 2.74 ERA with just one HR in his last four starts, 31 K’s to 7 BB’s, but too little, too late.
Good luck, Anibal.
hook316
I can see Tigs offering a low one year offer, but depending on demand not sure why he’d want to try and rebuild his value with a crummy team.
But I’d rather they stay with a familiar face rather than the other horrible name being tossed around.
AndThisGameBelongsToMySanDiegoPadres
He’d rebuild his value on a crummy team because they are the ones who are interested. It is common for rebuilding teams to sign struggling veteran starters to 1 year deals in the hope that they can rebuild their value. I mean, looks at the 2013 Cubs with Scott Feldman or the 2017 Padres with Jhoulys Chacin.
darkstar61
They just paid him 5 million to go away, I can’t imagine they have any interest in turning around and signing him again
AndThisGameBelongsToMySanDiegoPadres
Dude, that $5m was already his no matter what. If they wanted to bring him back on his current contract they would have had to pay $11m on top of that. Obviously they aren’t going to pay $11m for a pitcher like him, but like $1-2m might make sense if there is mutual interest in a return.
MLBTRS
So long as he’s not hindering the development of a younger SP. I don’t think he’s interested in working out of the pen and he’ll get plenty of offers for a mil or two to be a starter with a lot of incentives.
jeremy 13
looks like a project the pirates will take on
darkstar61
I expect him to be wearing a Halo in ’18
Brooks5Robinson
He probably doesn’t want to have Tommy John surgery. Seems to be a pattern with angels pitching
dvmwitt
All right Balsley, get to it. Fix him and then Preller will flip him.
Realtexan
He would be a welcome to the Rangers. They have to find some kinda pitching somewhere
Cam
The only finding they’ll be doing is gopher balls in the bleachers.
SundownDevil
Sounds like he’ll be wearing some uniform next year.
Rob L. 2
Big if true
julyn82001
Anibal! 5 millions in your pockets… Some Average American workers will wish to have that kind of luck…
gomerhodge71
Methinks the Twins or Orioles may jump on this.
outinleftfield
Hoping my O’s go a different direction. I don’t think Sanchez and his HR prone pitching is a good fit in the homer happy Camden Yards.
SundownDevil
Rather than “jump on”, they’ll likely be “forced to stand on” it instead.
leftykoufax
Wow 5mil buyout, that’s a hunk of chunk.
simschifan
Sox, probably flip him if he does good
thecoffinnail
A little off topic but he was mentioned.. How about a Zimmerman for Ellsbury trade? There would have to be more trading hands on both sides but would that work as the center of the trade?
stymeedone
Why do people ignore Zimmermann’s no trade clause? He is going nowhere, as he wants to be by his WI home.
xabial
Because after 2018, that no trade clause turns into a 10 Team no trade clause.
I’ll talk to you in a year.
MLBTRS
Regardless of his current ineffectiveness, The value of Zimmerman with a sound arm far exceeds that of an aging Ellsbury.
gorav114
Not that I think he can be successful in AL East but he is at least one more option for the Os. They need a couple low risk mid reward guys to improve over their usual low risk low reward strategy.
diller79
I’m a big tigers fan and have nothing but love for Sanchez. Wish him the best in the future
dugdog83
His career has gone downhill dramatically since he cut his hair. He used to have some great locks.
Chris Sale Amateur Tailor
Ahhh, the Samson Theory!!! I think you may be right.
dugdog83
Samsonite. I was way off.