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Mets To Select Tyler Jay

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The Mets are calling up left-hander Tyler Jay for what would be his major league debut. Newsday’s Tim Healey tweeted last night that right-hander Dedniel Nunez was optioned back to Triple-A following yesterday’s appearance, and @JohnFromWrigley reported that Jay would be taking his 26-man roster spot. Multiple reporters, including MLB.com’s Anthony DiComo, have since confirmed that Jay will indeed be joining the big league club. The Mets will need to formally select Jay’s contract to the 40-man roster and make a corresponding move in order to do so.

Jay, 30 next week, was the No. 6 overall pick by the Twins back in 2015. The former University of Illinois lefty was widely regarded as one of the top pitching talents in the draft. Though there was some surprise at his coach’s decision to put Jay in the bullpen, the southpaw was viewed as a potential big league starter or fast-track reliever.

Early scouting reports at Baseball America, MLB.com, ESPN and other outlets pegged him with a fastball that reached 98 mph and what BA termed “at least” a 70-grade slider. Keith Law wrote at the time that Jay had plus-plus command as well. He was ranked among the game’s top 100 prospects at BA, MLB.com, Baseball Prospectus and ESPN heading into the 2016 season.

As is so often the case with pitching prospects, injuries intervened. Shoulder and neck injuries plagued Jay for much of his early years in pro ball. He pitched just 11 2/3 innings in 2017 before requiring thoracic outlet surgery. Jay topped out at 83 2/3 innings in his other three seasons in the Twins’ system and was out of affiliated ball entirely by the time the 2021 season rolled around. Jay didn’t pitch at all that year and only returned to pitching in 2022 on the independent circuit, tossing 22 excellent innings for the Joliet Slammers of the Frontier League.

Jay returned to the Slammers in 2023 and parlayed his stint there into a minor league look with the Mets. He yielded four runs in six Triple-A frames last year, re-signed on a minor league deal, and has opened the 2024 campaign with 3 2/3 scoreless innings.

Overall, Jay has a 3.77 ERA in parts of seven minor league seasons. He’s fanned 22.5% of his opponents against an 8.3% walk rate. Whether he gets an actual chance to stick in the bullpen or is merely up for a quick cup of coffee, it’s a feel-good story for Jay, who’ll be occupying a spot on a big league roster for the first time after a nearly decade-long grind through the minors and the independent circuit.

A’s Outright Zach Jackson

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Athletics right-hander Zach Jackson went unclaimed on waivers after being designated for assignment and has been assigned outright to Triple-A, per the team’s transaction log at MLB.com. Jackson has fewer than three years of service time and does not have a prior outright in his career, so he can’t reject the assignment in favor of free agency. He’ll head back to Las Vegas, where he’d opened the season, and hope to pitch his way back onto the big league roster.

The 29-year-old Jackson has pitched 66 innings with Oakland over the past two seasons and turned in a sterling 2.86 ERA in that time. A look under the hood reveals more concerning issues, however, most notably including a grim 15.2% walk rate (to say nothing of a sky-high 14 wild pitches). Jackson has fanned a whopping 31.9% of his opponents in that time as well, but his lack of command is a clear red flag. He’s also benefited from seeing a minuscule 2.6% of his fly-balls become home runs — about one-fifth of the roughly 12% league average. Metrics like xFIP and SIERA, which normalize HR/FB ratio, peg Jackson at 4.23 and 3.79, respectively.

A flexor strain limited Jackson to 18 innings last year, and he’s had a tough return. In 8 1/3 spring innings, he yielded seven runs (six earned) on six hits and three walks. He’s continued to struggle through his first three appearances in Vegas, serving up four runs in two innings of work. More alarming than the runs allowed, however, are the eight walks he’s issued despite facing just 16 hitters on the season thus far.

It’s likely there’s some rust for Jackson following that 2023 injury, but he’s presumably in good health. The A’s didn’t place him on the minor league injured list, and injured players can’t be placed on outright waivers. If he can get back on track in Vegas, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him back in the majors. The Oakland bullpen is lacking in established relievers, currently including five pitchers with under a year of MLB service time and a pair of veteran journeymen looking to rebound (Austin Adams, T.J. McFarland).

Orioles Designate Tony Kemp For Assignment

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The Orioles announced this morning that veteran infielder/outfielder Tony Kemp has been designated for assignment. His spot on the roster will go to the game’s No. 1 overall prospect, Jackson Holliday, whose previously reported promotion to the majors has now been officially announced by the team.

The veteran Kemp only signed with the O’s two weeks ago. He spent spring training with the Reds but was granted his release after he didn’t make the roster. He signed a big league deal with Baltimore on March 26 but went 0-for-10 with a walk and a strikeout in his limited time on Baltimore’s roster.

From 2020-22, the now-32-year-old Kemp was a solid contributor with the A’s. He split time between second base and left field, turning in a .252/.341/.361 slash (105 wRC+). Kemp lacks power but has superlative contact skills and keen plate discipline, evidenced by 12.5% strikeout rate and 10.5% walk rate during that three-year stretch (and by his career 10.1% walk rate and 13.3% strikeout rate).

The 2023 season was one of Kemp’s worst since debuting with the Astros back in 2016, however. He played 124 games with the A’s and picked up 419 plate appearances but mustered only a .209/.303/.304 slash (77 wRC+). Kemp struck out in a career-low 9.5% of his plate appearances and swiped a career-high 15 bases (in 19 attempts), but those silver linings don’t outweigh his broader-reaching struggles at the dish.

In 2247 career plate appearances at the MLB level, Kemp is a .237/.324/.351 hitter. He’s drawn roughly average defensive grades in left field and has typically been an average or better defender at second base, though metrics like Defensive Runs Saved (-9) and Outs Above Average (0) were down on his glovework in last year’s sample of 410 innings at the position.

The Orioles will have a week to trade Kemp, place him on outright waivers or release him. For veterans of this status, a release is most common, though it’s possible a team in need of some infield depth could look at the affordable nature of Kemp’s $1MM contract with the O’s and work out a small trade (likely for cash).

The Opener: Holliday, Astros, Miley

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As the 2024 MLB regular season continues, here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on around the baseball world throughout the day today:

1. Holliday in Baltimore:

The sport’s consensus No. 1 overall prospect, infielder Jackson Holliday, is reportedly set to be called up to the majors today. The 20-year-old was taken first overall by the Orioles in the 2022 draft and has done nothing but dominate at the plate since, slashing .297/.489/.422 in 20 games down the stretch that year before delivering a .323/.442/.499 line during a 2023 campaign that saw him promoted across four levels of the minors. Holliday hasn’t taken his foot off the gas as the calendar flipped to 2024, with a .311/.354/.600 slash in 15 Spring Training games and an even more impressive .333/.482/.595 line through ten games at Triple-A this season.

The Orioles will not need to make room for Holliday on the 40-man roster, which currently stands at 38, but will need to make a corresponding move on the active roster in order to officially activate the youngster. It’s worth noting that the O’s are short on players who can be easily optioned out. Infielder Jordan Westburg is one candidate, but none of Ramon Urias, Jorge Mateo, Tony Kemp or Ryan O’Hearn can be optioned. O’Hearn technically has an option left but must consent to being optioned as a player with five-plus years of service. The others would need to clear waivers before being sent down.

2. Astros to select Arrighetti:

Another prospect making his big league debut Wednesday will be Astros right-hander Spencer Arrighetti, who’ll start this evening’s game against the Royals. Arrighetti, 24, was a sixth-round pick by Houston in the 2021 draft and enjoyed a solid 2023 season that saw him pitch to a respectable 4.40 ERA in 124 2/3 innings of work split between the Double- and Triple-A levels. His  return to the Triple-A level this year has gone quite well across two starts, as he’s yielded just two earned runs in 8 1/3 innings of work while striking out 27% of batters faced.

Arrighetti steps into the rotation at a time of clear need for the Astros, with each of Justin Verlander, Framber Valdez, Luis Garcia Jr., Jose Urquidy, and Lance McCullers Jr. on the shelf for the time being. In order to officially select Arrighetti’s contract, the Astros will need to make a corresponding move at some point this evening that clears space on both the 40-man and active rosters.

3. Miley to make season debut:

Veteran southpaw Wade Miley, who re-signed with the Brewers on a one-year deal over the offseason, has been shelved to this point in the 2024 campaign by a shoulder impingement. His time on the injured list is poised to come to an end today, however, as MLB.com’s Adam McCalvy notes that the lefty is scheduled to take the mound opposite right-handed youngster Hunter Greene in this evening’s game between the Brewers and Reds in Cincinnati.

The start will kick off Miley’s third season in Milwaukee after he pitched for the club both last year and back in 2018. He’s racked up an impressive 2.91 ERA across 39 starts (201 innings) to this point in his Brewers career and now will enter the club’s new-look 2024 rotation that lacks long-time co-aces Corbin Burnes and Brandon Woodruff. Miley is already on the 40-man roster, but the Brewers will need to make a corresponding move to clear space for the 37-year-old on the active roster in order to officially activate him.

Orioles To Promote Jackson Holliday

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MLB’s top prospect is set to make his debut. ESPN’s Jeff Passan reports (X link) that the O’s plan to call up Jackson Holliday. The team has yet to announce the move.

Holliday, the #1 overall pick in 2022, has destroyed minor league pitching. Despite being a high school draftee, he reaches the majors after just a year and a half in the minor leagues. The lefty-hitting infielder traversed four levels in his first full professional season. Holliday raked at a .323/.442/.499 clip over 581 plate appearances last season. He spent the majority of that time between High-A and Double-A but made it to the top minor league level late in the year.

That meteoric rise made it seem that the Oklahoma native had a real chance to break camp. That didn’t happen, as Baltimore reassigned Holliday back to Triple-A Norfolk late in Spring Training. The 20-year-old has opened the year on a tear as part of a loaded Tides lineup. He’d collected 13 hits (including four doubles and a pair of home runs) with 11 walks and eight strikeouts over his first nine games.

The son of seven-time All-Star Matt Holliday, Jackson owns an excellent .321/.452/.497 batting line through 154 minor league games. In addition to his stellar offensive track record, he offers plenty of defensive value as an above-average or better middle infielder. Holliday has primarily played shortstop in the minors, but the O’s used him mostly at second base in Spring Training. Seven of his nine starts in Norfolk this year have come at the keystone, where he seems likely to break into the big leagues.

Holliday’s well-rounded profile has made him an essentially unanimous choice as the game’s best minor league talent. It’s the third straight season in which the O’s entered the year with a player whom most evaluators consider the sport’s top prospect. Holliday will now join Adley Rutschman, Gunnar Henderson and plenty more talented young players at Camden Yards. He should pair with Henderson in what has the chance to be a franchise-defining middle infield.

Baltimore has relied on Jordan Westburg — himself a former first-round pick and highly-regarded prospect — as their primary second baseman in the early going. The Mississippi State product has started slowly, hitting .195/.242/.355 through his first nine games. Westburg could slide over to third base if the O’s want to keep him in the everyday lineup. Ramón Urías and Tony Kemp, each of whom is on the roster as a multi-positional infielder, have struggled (albeit in exceedingly small samples). Westburg still has options remaining and could theoretically be sent back to Norfolk; the Orioles would need to designate Urías or Kemp for assignment to take either player off the big league club.

The O’s will likely reveal the corresponding move tomorrow. Holliday is not yet on the 40-man roster, but Baltimore has two vacancies. Unless they DFA a player who can’t be optioned, they’ll only need to clear active roster space. Whatever the transaction, Holliday will step into the lineup on an everyday basis.

The timing of the promotion surely isn’t coincidental. By calling Holliday up before the end of this week, the O’s are still in position to afford him a full year of service time. A player is credited with a full service year if they’re on an MLB roster or injured list for at least 172 days. Despite his two-week stint in the minors, Holliday will narrowly surpass that mark if he’s in the majors for good.

Promoting a top prospect just before the cutoff for a full service year would’ve been unlikely under the previous collective bargaining agreement. It was more common to see teams hold down their top talents until a bit past that date to secure an extra year of contractual control. The 2022-26 CBA introduced the Prospect Promotion Incentive to reduce the temptation for teams to keep their best young players in the minor leagues.

The PPI allows the Orioles to potentially win a draft choice if Holliday hits the ground running. A top position player prospect who accrues a full service year as a rookie (even if he’s not on the Opening Day roster) would earn his team an extra pick after the first round if he wins Rookie of the Year or finishes in the top three in MVP voting during his pre-arbitration seasons. Holliday still meets that criteria. The O’s already earned an extra pick in the 2024 draft when Henderson won Rookie of the Year last season. If Holliday also pulls off that feat (or hits the more difficult MVP finish within his first three years), Baltimore would get another pick.

Had the Orioles waited beyond this week to promote Holliday, they’d have forfeited the chance at the PPI selection. Keeping him in Triple-A for another few days would’ve prevented him from reaching a full year of service through the traditional method, but a top prospect can also “earn” a full service year with a top-two finish in Rookie of the Year balloting regardless of when he was promoted. If the O’s called Holliday up in May, for instance, he could have played his way to a full service year through his ROY finish without netting the organization the extra pick. That played out in 2022, when Rutschman finished second in AL Rookie of the Year voting despite being called up in late May.

There’s an argument that the Orioles should simply have carried Holliday on the Opening Day roster. GM Mike Elias pointed to the youngster’s limited experience at second base and facing left-handed pitching as reasons for starting him in Norfolk. A combination of Holliday’s torrid start there and middling production from their MLB infielders led the front office to reverse course rather quickly.

If Holliday is in the majors for good, he’d first reach arbitration after the 2026 season. He’d be under team control through the ’29 campaign. Any future assignments to the minor leagues could push that trajectory back, but the O’s and their fans are surely hopeful that won’t be necessary now that Holliday is getting his first look at big league arms.

Image courtesy of USA Today Sports.

Diamondbacks Re-Sign Tyler Chatwood To Minor League Deal

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The D-Backs have brought back righty Tyler Chatwood on a minor league contract, according to an announcement from their Triple-A team. He joins the Snakes’ top affiliate in Reno.

Chatwood played with the D-Backs in 2023 as well. He’d signed a non-roster deal in early August and made five relief appearances before being released. The 34-year-old also spent some time in the Pittsburgh system last season. Before that, he’d pitched in Japan during the 2022 campaign.

A veteran of 10 big league seasons, Chatwood most recently appeared in the majors in 2021. He split that season between the Blue Jays and Giants, working 32 innings of relief. He allowed 5.63 earned runs per nine, partially offsetting a solid 26.2% strikeout rate with an elevated 14.5% walk percentage.

Chatwood has long struggled to throw strikes consistently. As a result, he has worked mostly in long relief since 2019 after beginning his career as a starting pitcher. Chatwood’s mid-90s velocity and flashes of both swing-and-miss and ground-ball upside have long intrigued teams despite his below-average control. He owns a 4.20 ERA in parts of eight Triple-A campaigns and can serve as multi-inning relief depth for Arizona.

Astros To Promote Spencer Arrighetti

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The Astros are promoting pitching prospect Spencer Arrighetti, report Chandler Rome and Ken Rosenthal of the Athletic. The right-hander will make his major league debut tomorrow evening in Kansas City. Houston will need to make a corresponding 40-man roster move when they officially select Arrighetti’s contract.

It’s the first major league call for the 24-year-old. Houston selected Arrighetti in the sixth round of the 2021 draft out of the University of Louisiana. While he didn’t enter the professional ranks with much fanfare, he has developed into arguably the top pitching prospect in the Houston system. Baseball America and The Athletic’s Keith Law each slotted Arrighetti as the organization’s best minor league pitcher and a top five talent in the system overall.

Both outlets suggest Arrighetti projects as a back-of-the-rotation starter. His fastball sits in the low 90s but plays a bit above its velocity because of its ride at the top of the zone. BA and The Athletic each suggest that Arrighetti’s slider is the best pitch in a generally solid arsenal, while he throws enough strikes to potentially stick in the rotation.

Arrighetti split the 2023 campaign between the top two levels of the minors. He allowed 4.40 earned runs per nine through 124 2/3 innings, striking hitters out at an above-average 27.1% clip. Arrighetti has logged 8 1/3 innings of two-run ball over his first two Triple-A starts this year. He has punched out 10 batters but issued seven walks in the early going.

Houston has been forced to dip its into rotation depth. The Astros knew all offseason they’d be without Lance McCullers Jr. and Luis Garcia deep into the season as they rehab from arm surgeries. Justin Verlander began the year on the shelf after a minor bout of shoulder soreness in Spring Training, while José Urquidy went down with a forearm strain during exhibition play. The Astros poked around the rotation market late in the offseason but decided against meeting the asking price for Blake Snell or Jordan Montgomery.

They opened the season with a starting five of Framber Valdez, Cristian Javier, Hunter Brown, J.P. France and Ronel Blanco. Valdez recently felt some soreness in his elbow and landed on the 15-day injured list this evening. Houston called Blair Henley for a spot start in Valdez’s place last night but will give Arrighetti the next look in the rotation. It could be a brief first call, as Verlander is slated for a second rehab start this weekend and could be back in the majors by the end of next week.

Nationals Place Josiah Gray On Injured List With Flexor Strain

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6:30pm: Gray told the Washington beat that the strain is muscular (relayed by Mark Zuckerman of MASNsports.com). Imaging revealed that his UCL is fully intact. Needless to say, it’s a significant plus that there doesn’t appear to be any kind of structural damage that would raise the possibility of surgery.

3:2opm: The Nationals announced that right-hander Josiah Gray has been placed on the 15-day injured list due to a right elbow/forearm flexor strain. The move is retroactive to April 6 and righty Joan Adon has been recalled in a corresponding move.

The Nats have not yet provided any kind of information relating to the severity of Gray’s injury or how long they expect him to be out of action, but it’s the latest in a string of elbow injuries to notable pitchers around the league. The season is less than two weeks old but has already seen pitchers like Shane Bieber and Eury Pérez be sent to the operating table for Tommy John surgery. Spencer Strider could follow them since he has sustained damage to his ulnar collateral ligament, though it’s not yet been determined whether he will have surgery or not. Framber Valdez was scratched from yesterday’s start and sent to meet with doctors after experiencing elbow soreness. Nick Pivetta was placed on the IL earlier today due to a flexor strain, though Boston’s chief baseball officer Craig Breslow characterized it as mild.

All of those injuries are on top of pitchers who were injured last year and are still recovering, a list that includes guys like Shohei Ohtani, Jacob deGrom, Sandy Alcántara, Robbie Ray, Shane McClanahan and many more. The ever-growing list has led to a dispute between MLB and the MLBPA, with the league blaming pitchers chasing high velocity and spin while the players point to the pitch clock.

Gray will now add another notable injury to that pile. He may not have as much big league success as some of those aforementioned pitchers, but he is nonetheless a notable name due to his former status as a top prospect and trade chip. Now 26, Gray was a top 100 prospect during his time with the Dodgers before coming to the Nationals as a key piece of the 2021 deadline deal that sent Max Scherzer and Trea Turner to Los Angeles.

Gray has not yet truly lived up to that hype, with a 4.84 earned run average in 386 2/3 innings in his major league career. He had a 3.91 ERA last year but may have been lucky to have allowed so few runs to score. His 20.5% strikeout rate and 11.5% walk rate were each below league average, but his 80.4% strand rate was on the high side. His 4.93 FIP and 5.08 SIERA were each more than a run higher than his ERA, perhaps suggesting regression was coming. His first two outings in 2024 resulted in 13 earned runs scoring in 8 1/3 innings, though the injury may have also played a role in that.

Nonetheless, Gray has been an important building block for the Nats amid their ongoing rebuild. If he ends up needing to miss significant time, that could be a blow to Gray and the club in what was likely seen as a key development year. He came into 2024 with two years and 75 days of service time, meaning that he will qualify for arbitration for the first time going into 2025 and is slated for free agency after 2027. The Nats have a number of their best prospects nearing the majors and would ideally like to see Gray take a step forward to be a part of their next competitive window but an extended absence would obviously get in the way of that plan.

For now, he’ll be removed from the rotation for at least a couple of turns. For now, Adon will take Gray’s spot next to MacKenzie Gore, Patrick Corbin, Trevor Williams and Jake Irvin. Adon has 121 2/3 innings of major league experience with a 6.66 ERA.

Astros Place Framber Valdez On Injured List

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The Astros have placed left-hander Framber Valdez on the 15-day injured list due to elbow soreness, retroactive to April 6, per Ari Alexander of KPRC 2 (X links). They also optioned right-hander Blair Henley to Triple-A Sugar Land. In corresponding moves, they recalled left-hander Parker Mushinski and selected the contract of right-hander Wander Suero. Mushinski was just optioned on Friday and hasn’t yet spent the minimum of 15 days on optional assignment, but players are allowed to return early when someone else goes on the IL. To open a spot on the 40-man roster for Suero, right-hander Oliver Ortega was transferred to the 60-day injured list, per Alexander. Henley relayed the news of his option last night, with Chandler Rome of The Athletic among those to pass it on. Rome also noted that Suero was at the ballpark earlier today and also relayed that Mushinski was on his way to join the club.

It was reported yesterday that Valdez was scratched from his start due to elbow soreness and sent to Houston to visit with team doctors. Manager Joe Espada says the plan is for him to be shut down for a few days while his inflammation subsides, per Rome. Further updates will likely follow in the coming days as the club continues to monitor his progress.

With Valdez scratched, the Astros tagged in Henley as an emergency starter in yesterday’s game against the Rangers but he allowed five earned runs while recording just one out. The Astros managed to come back and win that game 10-5 but used four relievers, getting multiple innings from three of them. Today’s moves provide the club with a couple of fresh arms for their beleaguered bullpen.

Now that Valdez is officially on the IL, the Astros will have to find another starter to join their rotation alongside Cristian Javier, Hunter Brown, J.P. France and Ronel Blanco, though Justin Verlander has begun a rehab assignment and may not be too far away. If Verlander wants to make a second rehab starts as planned, perhaps long reliever Brandon Bielak can take the ball in a few days’ time for a spot start.

Suero, 32, signed a minor league deal with the Astros in the offseason. He has 193 1/3 innings of major league experience, having pitched for the Nationals and Dodgers. He has a 4.75 earned run average in that time, striking out 25.4% of batters faced while walking 8.6%.

However, he’s a few years removed from his best results, as he had a 4.10 ERA with the Nats from 2018 to 2020 but then a 6.33 ERA in 2021. He was stuck in the minors in 2022 and then had a 7.88 ERA in eight innings for the Dodgers last year. But his recent Triple-A numbers have been better, as he had a 3.26 ERA in the Dodgers’ system last year and a 4.50 ERA through four appearances so far this year. Suero still has an option and also has less than four years of service time, meaning he can be retained beyond this season via arbitration if he holds onto a 40-man spot all year.

As for Ortega, it was reported last month that he would miss three to four months after undergoing surgery to remove loose bodies in his elbow, making this transfer an inevitable formality.

Julio Urías Charged With Five Misdemeanors In Relation To 2023 Arrest

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Left-hander Julio Urías has been charged with five misdemeanors by the Los Angeles City Attorney’s office, per Jack Harris and Bill Shaikin of the Los Angeles Times, stemming from his 2023 arrest.

The charges include one count of spousal battery, two counts of domestic battery involving dating relationship, one count of false imprisonment and one count of assault. There is an arraignment scheduled for May 2.

Urías was arrested in early September of last year and charged with “corporal injury on a spouse” after an alleged altercation occurred outside BMO Stadium in downtown Los Angeles following a Major League Soccer game between LAFC and Inter Miami. He was still a member of the Dodgers at that time but just a few weeks away from free agency. He was placed on administrative leave by MLB in the days following his reported arrest.

It was reported in December that the Los Angeles District Attorney’s office was looking into the matter. In January, their report found that Urías “pushed his wife against a fence and pulled her by the hair or shoulders” but stated that “neither the Victim’s injuries nor the Defendant’s criminal history justify a felony filing.” They forwarded the matter to the City Attorney’s Office to determine whether misdemeanor charges were warranted, which has resulted in the five charges reported on today.

Major League Baseball can impose discipline even in the absence of criminal charges under the Joint Domestic Violence policy with the Players Association. Urías was previously suspended for 20 games for violating the policy in 2019 even though no charges were laid at that time. If he were to receive a second suspension under that policy, he would be the first player to do so, though the league will likely wait until the City Attorney’s case is complete before making their decision.

“Our investigation is ongoing,” an MLB spokesman said to the L.A. Times on Tuesday. “We have no further comment.”

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