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Marlins Select Josh Simpson, DFA Robinson Piña

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The Marlins have selected left-hander Josh Simpson’s contract from Triple-A Jacksonville, as first reported by Isaac Azout of Fish on First and later confirmed by the club. In a corresponding transaction, right-hander Robinson Piña was designated for assignment. Azout notes that Simpson will likely be available to pitch this afternoon in relief of Eury Pérez, who is making his third start of the season and has yet to throw more than four innings in a game.

If Simpson does indeed make it into today’s contest, he will be making his MLB debut. The 27-year-old did briefly get called up to the majors by the Marlins in 2023 but was DFA’d before he had the chance to get into a game. A 32nd-round pick by the Marlins all the way back in 2019, Simpson impressed during his pro debut in following the 2019 draft with a 2.25 ERA between rookie ball and the Low-A level that season. Unfortunately, his development was thrown off track by the cancelled minor league season in 2020. By 2021, he was struggling badly with his effectiveness at the High-A level, and while a move to Double-A the following season saw his numbers improve he never really mastered the Triple-A level in parts of three seasons there.

That is, of course, until this year. In 27 appearances (31 2/3 frames) this year for the club’s Jacksonville affiliate, Simpson has pitched to a solid 3.41 ERA. His underlying numbers are less encouraging, as he pairs a 12.7% walk rate with a strikeout rate on the wrong side of 20%. Simpson’s production this year has largely been thanks to keeping the ball in the park extremely effectively, as he’s allowed just one home run so far with a paltry 26.2% Hard-Hit rate. He’ll need to work on his command if he’s going to find success in the majors, but that ability to miss barrels and limit hard contact should help his arsenal play up a bit as he attempts to make a case for himself as a major league arm.

Making room for Simpson on the roster is Piña, who made is big league debut just yesterday. The 26-year-old product of the Dominican Republic allowed a solo home run but no other traffic in his inning of work for the Marlins yesterday. Piña worked mostly as a starter in Triple-A before his move to the major league bullpen, and had a 3.47 ERA across 13 appearances (11 starts) at the level prior to his promotion. The Marlins will have one week to either work out a trade involving Piña or attempt to pass him through waivers. If he clears waivers unclaimed, the Marlins will be able to outright him to the minors as a non-roster depth option moving forward.

Cubs DFA Génesis Cabrera, Promote Nate Pearson

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The Cubs have recalled right-hander Nate Pearson from Triple-A Iowa. To free up a space on the 26-man roster, the team designated left-hander Génesis Cabrera for assignment.

Cabrera, 28, signed a minor league deal with the Mets last offseason and was added to New York’s roster at the beginning of May. He ultimately made just six appearances in Queens, however, and was designated for assignment after posting a 3.52 ERA in 7 2/3 innings of work. The southpaw cleared waives and elected free agency but didn’t stay on the market for long, as he was signed by the Cubs to a big league deal almost immediately afterwards.

Cabrera’s time in Chicago did not go especially well. He made nine appearances in total but was shelled to the tune of an 8.68 ERA with a 7.90 FIP. He struck out a respectable 20.5% of his opponents and walked just 7.7%, but he was a very frequent victim of the long ball as he surrendered four homers during his brief stint in Chicago. While a 26.7% home run to fly ball ratio and a paltry 54.1% strand rate both are clear signals that positive regression is likely on the way, it seems as though Cabrera’s results were just too weak for the Cubs to justify keeping him on the roster.

Chicago will now have one week to trade Cabrera or attempt to pass him through waivers. If he goes through waivers unclaimed, the lefty will have the opportunity to either accept an outright assignment to Triple-A or return to the open market in search of a change of scenery. Given his status a veteran of seven MLB seasons with a career 4.03 ERA in the majors, it wouldn’t be a shock to see rival clubs have interest in Cabrera as a lefty depth piece for their bullpen. That interest may be limited to minor league offers at this point given his recent struggles, however.

In the meantime, Cabrera be replaced on the roster by Pearson. The 28-year-old was once a top pitching prospect with the Blue Jays but was derailed by injuries and traded to the Cubs as a reliever last summer. He pitched quite well for Chicago down the stretch but has allowed ten runs on 13 hits and more walks (7) than strikeouts (5) across 8 2/3 innings of work in the majors this year. Since being demoted to Triple-A, however, he’s posted a sterling 2.22 ERA with a 27.1% strikeout rate in 24 1/3 innings of work. That performance was enough to earn him another shot in the majors, although it could be a brief one given that right-hander Porter Hodge is expected back from the injured list in the near future.

Poll: Should The Cubs Extend Jed Hoyer?

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Many organizations around the game tend to keep the contract status of their front office executives under wraps, but some clubs opt not to do this. One such organization is the Cubs, who have been run by president of baseball operations Jed Hoyer since he took over for Theo Epstein in November 2020. Hoyer’s contract is up after the 2025 season, a fact he himself acknowledged during Spring Training. While club chairman Tom Ricketts has previously spoken positively of Hoyer’s work at the helm, he’s stopped short in the past of offering a full vote of confidence and did not sign him to an extension prior to his lame duck season.

That could be a simple acknowledgement of the disappointment associated with the last several years of Cubs baseball. Chicago hasn’t made the playoffs under Hoyer’s guidance and last won a playoff game back in 2017. Some of those losing seasons were somewhat inevitable, as ownership cut payroll prior to the 2021 season and that lack of resources in conjunction with an early-season losing streak led to a massive trade deadline sell-off during Hoyer’s first season leading the front office. That kicked off a short rebuilding period where the team did not expect to win in 2022, but by 2023 the spending (and expectations) had ramped back up. That resulted in back-to-back 83-win seasons where Chicago missed the playoffs by a few games.

Entering 2025, the Cubs actually lowered payroll relative to 2024 after falling short in pursuits of top free agents like Alex Bregman and Tanner Scott. That didn’t stop them from being aggressive in other ways, though, as they surrendered a massive package to bring star outfielder Kyle Tucker into the fold for his final season before reaching free agency. The addition of Tucker, in conjunction with lower-level additions like Matthew Boyd, have so far allowed Chicago to weather the losses of front-of-the-rotation starters Justin Steele and Shota Imanaga and put themselves firmly in playoff position. The team has a 45-29 record entering play today, good for a 5.5-game lead in the division and the best record in National League.

Much of that success is due to young players Hoyer brought into the organization finding success. Pete Crow-Armstrong has developed into one of the game’s most exciting young stars after Hoyer acquired him from the Mets in exchange for Javier Baez and Trevor Williams at the 2021 trade deadline and Michael Busch has blossomed into one of the league’s better first basemen after being acquired from the Dodgers during the 2023-24 offseason. While less established than Crow-Armstrong and Busch, recent first-round picks Cade Horton and Matt Shaw have made their big league debuts and appear to be entrenched as long-term assets in the rotation and on the infield at this point.

While those positives are all exciting, the Cubs’ farm system has taken a bit of a hit after the trades that brought in Busch and Tucker. Hoyer surrendered Cam Smith, Jackson Ferris, and Zyhir Hope in those deals, each of whom have blossomed into exciting young talents with their new organizations. The team’s track record in free agency under Hoyer has been somewhat spotty as well. Deals struck with international free agents like Imanaga and Seiya Suzuki have proved to be relative bargains, and other large deals like those given to Dansby Swanson and Jameson Taillon have more or less returned the value expected from them. On the other hand, the Cubs were forced to eat some of Cody Bellinger’s contract just to get him off the books. Some mid-level additions in recent years like Drew Smyly, Hector Neris, and Trey Mancini offered minimal value while eating up considerable dollars in the team’s budget, as well.

No front office executive has a spotless track record. Hoyer is no exception to that, but his errors don’t stand out as particularly egregious compared to other execs around the league. With that being said, there aren’t many front office leaders around the game who have the same payroll capacity at their disposal without at least some playoff games to show for it. Big market teams like the Giants, Mets and Red Sox have made changes at the front office level due to lack of playoff success in recent years despite those teams having made the postseason more recently than the Cubs.

Ricketts hasn’t shown himself to have an itchy trigger finger during his time as chairman of the organization; Epstein was hired in 2011 and he remained with the organization until voluntarily walking away in 2020, at which point Ricketts handed the reins to Hoyer after years as Epstein’s GM. Perhaps that means a return to the playoffs will be enough to convince Ricketts to keep Hoyer in the fold. The Cubs seem well positioned to do that at this point in the calendar, and while things can certainly change over the next few months, it wouldn’t be a shock if this team made a deep run into the postseason.

How do MLBTR readers think the Cubs organization should proceed? Has Hoyer’s work developing the team’s farm system and delivering a legitimate contender in 2025 earned him a longer stay in Chicago, or should the organization move in another direction when his contract expires? Have your say in the poll below:

The Opener: Tatis, Suarez, Devers

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Here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on around the baseball world throughout the day:

1. Tatis undergoing imaging:

Padres star Fernando Tatis Jr. was hit by a pitch on his hand during last night’s game against the Dodgers, which resulted in a benches-clearing skirmish. Tatis was sent for x-rays after the game, which produced inconclusive results (via Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune). Tatis told reporters (including Acee) that there was a “gray area” in the results and that he was set to undergo additional imaging. The 26-year-old sports a 131 wRC+ overall this year but has been mired in a lengthy slump in recent weeks, slashing just .214/.325/.291 over his past 27 games. An injury for Tatis would only further exacerbate the Padres’ need for outfield help, as they’d likely wind up relying on some combination of Tyler Wade and Tirso Ornelas to help cover if Tatis misses time.

2. Suárez nearing milestone:

Diamondbacks third baseman Eugenio Suárez is nearing what would be his first career trip into free agency this winter, but in the meantime the slugger is enjoying a strong season at the plate. He’s slashed .237/.313/.533 with a 130 wRC+ so far this year for Arizona, slugging 22 homers in just 74 games. That puts him at 298 career homers overall, leaving him just two long balls away from becoming the 164th player in history to launch 300 home runs during his career. It’s an exciting milestone that could be right around the corner: Suárez has 18 multi-homer games in his career, including two this season.

The slugger will attempt to reach the 300-homer plateau in favorable conditions this weekend as the Snakes head to Colorado for a weekend series at Coors Field. The D-backs will face lefty Austin Gomber, lefty Carson Palmquist and righty Antonio Senzatela this weekend. Squaring off against two lefties should be favorable for the righty-swinging Suárez, but he uncharacteristically has severe reverse splits in 2025 despite having hit lefties far better than righties over the course of his career overall.

3. Devers reunited with Red Sox in San Francisco:

An awkward reunion is in the cards for this weekend, as the Red Sox are headed to San Francisco less than a week after trading franchise face Rafael Devers to the Giants. Devers, who has gone 2-for-8 with a double and a walk so far as a Giant, has agreed to play first base for his new club after declining to do so in Boston. He’s only appeared at DH in three games with the team so far but has suggested he could be in the lineup at first base as soon as this weekend. The first game of this weekend set is scheduled for 7:15pm local time and will feature a face off between youngsters Hunter Dobbins (3.74 ERA) and Hayden Birdsong (2.79 ERA).

Poll: Can The Blue Jays Keep This Up?

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Entering the 2025 season, the narrative surrounding the Blue Jays had centered primarily around the future of star first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. for quite some time. Questions regarding Guerrero’s future arguably overshadowed questions regarding the state of the team as a whole coming off an 88-loss season in 2024 that saw the team finish dead last in the AL East. The Jays finally locked up their homegrown star in early April, but the following month saw the team fail to do much on the field that inspired confidence in their status as potential contenders. On May 7, the Jays had a lackluster 16-20 record and would need to leapfrog six teams in order to get into playoff position. Six weeks later, they’ve done all of that and more. Toronto currently boasts a robust 40-33 record that places them in the second of three AL Wild Card spots and just two games back of the Yankees for the AL East crown.

Going 24-13 over their past 37 games is certainly impressive, but it begs the question: which version of the Blue Jays is the real one? Looking at the season as a whole, Toronto is a somewhat middling club. Their team wRC+ of 106 ranks 12th in the majors, which is solid but hardly spectacular. The same can be said of their bullpen, which ranks 11th in ERA and 9th in FIP this year with identical 3.60 figures in both stats. While both of those numbers are more or less in line with what one would expect from a Wild Card contender, the starting pitching is a different story. The Jays’ rotation has been a disaster this year with a 4.61 ERA (26th in the majors) and 4.72 FIP (27th). That bottom-five rotation in the sport has left the Jays with a negative run differential, as they’ve been outscored by their opponents 319-315 even after this recent stretch of strong play.

A closer look at the team’s performance over the past six weeks offers a hint at what’s changed. While the Toronto offense has been only slightly better than average on the season as a whole, Blue Jays hitters have been among the sport’s very best from May 8 onward. In that time, they’ve slashed .270/.339/.443 as a team with a 121 wRC+, second to only the Dodgers in MLB. In other words, the team’s average slash line during their recent hot streak has roughly mirrored Gunnar Henderson’s overall offensive production this year. Guerrero is a big part of this, as he’s begun to heat up after a slow start to the year with a 152 wRC+ over the past six weeks. Bo Bichette (131 wRC+) and Alejandro Kirk (145 wRC+) have played closer to the star-level expectations they had fostered in previous seasons than 2024’s down years during that same time frame, as well. Not all of that success is entirely sustainable—no one should expect Addison Barger to replicate his 167 wRC+ from the past six weeks long term—but the extreme outlier performances have been balanced by injuries to plays like Daulton Varsho and slumps for players like George Springer (98 wRC+ since May 8).

Some things have remained consistent about the Blue Jays throughout the entire season, however. Even as they’ve found success in recent weeks, the starting pitching has remained brutal. The rotation’s ERA is actually worse over the past six weeks than it has been for the season overall, with a 4.78 ERA that comes in ahead of only the Orioles, Rockies, and Athletics. Decent mid-rotation performances from Jose Berrios, Chris Bassitt, and Kevin Gausman haven’t been enough to outweigh the struggles of Bowden Francis and the absence of Max Scherzer. Francis was recently placed on the injured list himself and Scherzer is working his way back to the big league roster on a rehab assignment at present, but even a strong return from Scherzer ahead of his 41st birthday would leave the Jays at least one starter short without much top-of-the-rotation impact.

On the other hand, the Jays have generally managed to make up for their abysmal starting pitching with a defensive unit that has been consistently excellent. No team in baseball has come close to Toronto’s defensive prowess this season according to Fangraphs’ defense metric, which gives the Blue Jays a 20.3 figure that’s good for more than double the second-place Braves (8.3). According to Statcast’s Fielding Run Value, Kirk and Ernie Clement have both been elite defensively, as has the center field tandem of Myles Straw and Varsho. Andres Gimenez has also been excellent at the keystone, and even Guerrero has looked solid at first base. While Bichette’s defense leaves much to be desired at shortstop and Springer shouldn’t play the field at this point in his career, it’s a strong defensive unit that has managed to buoy the Jays through their pitching woes. It wouldn’t be a shock if they managed to continue fielding well enough to overcome their weak pitching, at least until closer to the trade deadline when they’ll presumably look to make some external additions.

Where do MLBTR readers stand on the Blue Jays’ chances of sustaining the success they’ve found in recent weeks? Will they be able to hold onto a Wild Card spot and get back into the postseason, or are they destined to fade down the stretch? Have your say in the poll below:

The Opener: Doubleheaders, Mets, Twins

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Here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on around the baseball world throughout the day:

1. Doubleheaders in the Midwest:

A trio of games got canceled due to inclement weather yesterday, and while the Cubs/Brewers matchup was rescheduled for a date in August, the other two contests are set to be made up as part of doubleheaders today. The Pirates and Tigers will make up their missed game as part of a split doubleheader that will feature Tarik Skubal in Game 1 (opposite Andrew Heaney) and Paul Skenes in Game 2 (opposite an unannounced Tigers starter). As noted by Jason Beck of MLB.com, tickets for yesterday’s game (which would have featured Skubal) will be valid for Game 2 (which will feature Skenes). Meanwhile, tickets for today’s regularly scheduled game will be valid for Game 1. Fans who had tickets for yesterday’s game and are unable to attend Game 2 can exchange their tickets for another game of equal value this season.

Meanwhile, the Cardinals and White Sox had their game in Chicago canceled last night. It’ll be made up as part of a single-admission doubleheader that will feature former White Sox righty Erick Fedde on the mound for St. Louis against Sox youngster Sean Burke. Rule 5 Pick Mike Vasil will start Game 2 for Chicago opposite Cardinals prospect Michael McGreevy. According to Scott Merkin of MLB.com, fans with tickets to yesterday’s game will receive a credit to their account while fans with tickets to today’s game will be welcome to watch both games this afternoon.

2. Mets lose six in a row:

The Mets have fallen into a funk lately, losing six straight contests. The club now sits half a game behind the Dodgers and Cubs in the standings, meaning that if the season ended today they’d fail to secure a bye through the Wild Card round of the playoffs. Even more concerning is the fact that the Phillies are hot on their heels in the NL East race, lurking just one game behind New York in the standings.

The Mets will look to turn things around during tonight’s game, where they’ll face Braves righty Spencer Strider. Strider’s sporting an uncharacteristic 4.35 ERA through six starts this year, though he looked more like his typical Cy Young-caliber self last time out when he punched out 13 Rockies across six scoreless frames. The Mets will send Clay Holmes (2.87 ERA) to the mound for his 15th start of the season to counter Strider.

3. Twins slip out of playoff position amid skid:

Meanwhile in the AL, the Twins are in the midst of their own six-game losing streak. Minnesota was holding onto the second of three AL Wild Card spots just last week, but this recent skid has knocked them out of the playoff picture entirely. They now sit 1.5 games out of a playoff spot with a lackluster 36-37 record. They’re set to face off against the Reds in Cincinnati this afternoon, when right-hander Chris Paddack will attempt to turn things around for Minnesota. Paddack has a pedestrian 4.30 ERA in 14 starts this year and allowed eight runs to score in four innings against the Astros last time out, though only one of those runs was earned. He’ll face veteran hurler Nick Martinez (3.92 ERA) in today’s contest.

Dodgers Reinstate Emmet Sheehan

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June 18: Sheehan has now been officially reinstated. The 40-man roster had a vacancy but is now full. Sauer was optioned as the corresponding active roster move.

June 14: The Dodgers are planning to activate right-hander Emmet Sheehan from the 60-day injured list this week, according to a report from The Athletic’s Fabian Ardaya. He’ll join the big league rotation upon being activated, though Ardaya notes that the Dodgers won’t decide exactly when to activate him until after Sheehan throws his next bullpen session. Sheehan will require a 40-man roster spot once activated, so a corresponding 40-man move will be required if the Dodgers’ roster is full at that point.

Regardless of the exact timing of Sheehan’s return, getting him back figures to be a huge boost for a Dodgers rotation that recently had to move right-hander Ben Casparius onto a starter’s schedule after months of excellent numbers in relief due to a lack of viable alternatives. Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Dustin May, and Clayton Kershaw are the only other healthy regular starters L.A. has rostered at the moment, with depth options like Justin Wrobleski, Bobby Miller, and Landon Knack having more or less disqualified themselves with their significant struggles when called upon for spot starts. Sheehan is a more proven commodity than those options, with 11 big league starts to his name after debuting with the Dodgers last year.

While Sheehan seems a bit safer to give the ball to than the club’s other depth options, that shouldn’t be taken to mean this is a riskless move. After all, Sheehan has a career 5.23 ERA out of the rotation in the majors and has not pitched in the big leagues since 2023 after undergoing Tommy John surgery. He looked better than that in his most recent outings, however, with a 3.68 ERA and 4.35 FIP across 22 frames in September. Sheehan seemed likely to be firmly in the Dodgers’ rotation mix for last year despite his uneven performance, but he went under the knife almost exactly 13 months ago to the day and hasn’t pitched at the big league level since.

The right-hander has made four rehab starts this year, with a 3.97 ERA in 11 1/3 innings of work during that time. That overall line doesn’t do Sheehan’s performance in those four outings justice; he’s struck out 44.7% of his opponents while rehabbing and limited opposing batters to just one walk. That’s come against minor league hitters, of course, and the jump from minor league opponents to the big leagues is larger than ever these days. Even so, it’s an undeniably encouraging sign that he’s been able to punch out that many hitters even as he’s rebuilding to a starter’s workload.

Once activated, it wouldn’t be a shock to see the Dodgers ease Sheehan into the starting rotation. He’s only built up to 63 pitches so far, which could make him a prime candidate to either be used alongside an opener or perhaps piggyback with another pitcher like Wrobleski or Matt Sauer. In any case, adding another arm to a fraught Dodgers rotation that seems unlikely to get further reinforcements before Shohei Ohtani’s return to pitching sometime next month has to be a significant relief for the entire pitching staff.

Poll: Who’s The Best Pure Hitter In This Winter’s Free Agent Class?

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In the context of free agency, MLB players are typically graded on their overall long-term value and earning power. MLBTR’s annual Top 50 MLB Free Agents list is typically topped by all-around star talents who are in the midst of their prime years. Juan Soto, Shohei Ohtani, and Aaron Judge are outliers even among top-of-the-line free agents, but previous years saw well-rounded hitters still in their prime with substantial defensive value like Carlos Correa, J.T. Realmuto, and Anthony Rendon viewed as the top hitters available in free agency.

With all respect to Realmuto, however, even his best years haven’t seen him offer the kind of offensive firepower that someone like Nelson Cruz could offer within that very same free agent class. If a team was looking specifically for a impactful addition to the lineup, they might not necessarily be drawn to the top free agent position player. This winter, there’s little question about who the top free agent position player will be in terms of overall value and earning power. With that said, there’s a number of extremely impactful hitters who figure to be available. Who’s the best choice to transform a lineup? A look at some of the options:

Kyle Tucker

Ever since the Blue Jays signed Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to a massive extension shortly after Opening Day, there’s been virtually no debate who free agency’s top overall player would be this winter. Kyle Tucker spent years as a key cog in the Astros’ dynasty, and is one of the most impressive overall talents in the game at the moment. This ranking isn’t about earning power or even overall value, but Tucker remains one of the top players in the sport even when strictly looking at offensive production. Looking at his time in Chicago this year, the star outfielder has slashed .284/.394/.515 (153 wRC+) with more walks than strikeouts, 13 homers, and 18 steals across 72 games for a first-place Cubs team this year.

That’s a phenomenal performance, but Tucker has also been remarkably consistent throughout his career. Since his first full 162-game season in 2021, Tucker’s a 146 wRC+ hitter whose strikeout rate has always been below 16%. His walk rate has never fallen below 9%, and that combination of patience and contact ability is unmatched. Among the hitters with the 30 lowest strikeout rates in the sport, Tucker walks the most. Among the hitters with the 30 highest walk rates in the sport, Tucker strikes out the least. He’s the only player within the top 30 of both categories over the past five years, and he’s combined that with the power to hit 30 homers and the speed to steal 30 bases.

Pete Alonso

After finding an extremely soft market in free agency last year, Alonso returned to the Mets on a two-year deal that affords him the opportunity to opt out after the 2025 season. That opt-out opportunity seems certain to be exercised at this point, as Alonso has taken his game to the next level for his age-30 campaign. In 69 games this year, Alonso has slashed an incredible .293/.390/.570 (169 wRC+) in 72 games. In addition to his 17 home runs so far this year, Alonso’s floating a career-high 11.0% walk rate with his lowest strikeout rate (21.1%) since 2022 while swatting an NL-best 22 doubles.

Perhaps most exciting of all is that there’s some reason to believe he’s been even better than those numbers indicate. His 20.9% barrel rate is nothing short of absurd, his xwOBA is actually more than twenty points higher than his wOBA, and that .434 xwOBA is behind only Judge and Ohtani in the majors. He remains a limited defender who doesn’t excel at first base and will be returning to free agency at age 31, but none of that stops him from being one of the most dangerous hitters in the sport who would improve virtually any lineup.

Alex Bregman

Another star player who wound up signing a short-term deal this winter, Bregman took off early with the Red Sox and slashed .299/.385/.553 (158 wRC+) across 51 games while playing quality defense at third base. It was a hot enough start to raise the question of whether he’d consider opting out of the two years and $80MM remaining on his deal with the Red Sox this winter. That’s certainly still possible, but a “significant” quad strain has now sidelined him for the foreseeable future. A lengthy injury layoff could make Bregman hesitate to leave that much guaranteed money on the table, and this weekend’s blockbuster trade that sent Rafael Devers from the Red Sox to the Giants could leave Boston brass eager to keep their other star third baseman in the fold long-term.

Setting aside the possibility Bregman doesn’t even end up returning to the open market, it’s also worth noting that his underlying numbers aren’t as strong as his actual production so far this year. Bregman’s .331 BABIP this season is nearly fifty points higher than his career mark and with his strikeout rate the highest it’s been since 2018, it’s hard to imagine him maintaining his .385 on-base percentage long-term. Even so, Bregman’s looked rejuvenated in Boston after a down year during his final season in Houston. If he manages to return from injury looking strong, he’ll have put himself firmly in the conversation.

Kyle Schwarber

It’s been quite a while since Schwarber was available to teams in free agency, as what was at the time a career year in 2022 with the Nationals and Red Sox allowed him to land a four-year deal with the Phillies. Weak defense has pushed him into a full-time DH role over the years, but Schwarber’s bat has been everything Philadelphia could’ve hoped for when signing him. He’s slashed .224/.349/.494 (131 wRC+) with 153 homers in 538 games as a Phillie while walking at a 15.4% clip. That’s excellent offensive production, but what makes Schwarber truly stand out is the phenomenal walk year he’s in the midst of.

Through 71 games, 2025 has been the best season of Schwarber’s career by virtually every metric. He’s slashing .247/.379/.544 with a wRC+ of 155, his 16.2% walk rate is the fourth-highest figure in the majors this year, and he’s even cut his typically-high strikeout rate to a more manageable 26.1%, his lowest since 2019. He’s swatted 22 homers in 314 plate appearances as well, with a .297 ISO that trails only Judge, Ohtani, Cal Raleigh, and Corbin Carroll among qualified hitters this season. While he’ll be 33 next year, expected stats give no indication he’s at risk of dropping off, as his xwOBA has been almost 30 points higher than his actual wOBA this year.

Other Candidates

While Tucker, Alonso, Bregman, and Schwarber stand as the most likely candidates to enter free agency as the best hitter available, they’re far from the only possibilities. Paul Goldschmidt is a future Hall of Famer in the midst of a resurgent season at the plate, but he’ll be 38 next year and at risk of the sort of abrupt decline many hitters in their mid-to-late 30s face. Marcell Ozuna’s 145 wRC+ since the start of the 2023 season is the 11th-highest figure in all of baseball, but he’ll turn 35 this November and his power output has already dropped off considerably this year. Ryan O’Hearn has put up brilliant numbers for the Orioles this year with a 152 wRC+, but hasn’t shown an ability to hit lefties to this point in his career and lacks the track record of many of these other players.

Who do MLBTR readers think will be the most impactful pure hitter available in free agency this winter? Have your say in the poll below:

The Opener: Yankees, Nationals, Verlander, Sheehan

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Here are four things we’ll be keeping an eye on around the baseball world throughout the day:

1. Yankees offense goes cold:

It’s been a tough few days in the Bronx, as the Yankees have lost five straight after getting swept by the Red Sox over the weekend. The culprit of this recent dry spell is clearly the offense, as New York has been shut out in each of its last three games with 29 consecutive scoreless innings. Virtually the entire team has been cold; Jazz Chisholm Jr. is the only player with more than three hits during this five-game stretch, and even superstar Aaron Judge has gone just 2-for-21 with 12 strikeouts. They’ll need to stop the bleeding soon, as they’ve fallen to just 2.5 games up on the Rays for control of the AL East, the team’s smallest lead in the division since May 11. They’ll try to break out of this offensive malaise later today against Angels youngster Jack Kochanowicz, who has  a 5.53 ERA in 14 starts this year.

2. Nationals lose ten straight:

While the Yankees may be the contender struggling the most right now, they’re far from the team in the most difficult spot at the moment. The Nationals weren’t far from contention at the beginning of June but are currently in the midst of a ten-game skid that’s dropped their record to 30-43. They’ve been buried 15 games behind the Mets in the NL East, and even a Wild Card spot is falling out of reach as they sit 9.5 games back. If there’s a silver lining for the Nats, it’s that the Rockies are in town and they’ll get the opportunity to snap this streak today when right-hander German Marquez and his 6.62 ERA in 14 starts this year take the mound. Marquez has endured an extremely difficult season but is entering today after tossing one of his best starts of the year against Atlanta last time out. He struck out seven Braves across five-innings of one-run ball in that showing.

3. Verlander to return:

Future Hall of Famer Justin Verlander hasn’t pitched in a month due to a strained pectoral muscle that sent him to the injured list. The 42-year-old righty is scheduled to be activated from the shelf and take the mound for the Giants at 6:45pm local time. Verlander’s on the 15-day injured list, so a corresponding move will only be necessary to clear an active roster spot for the veteran. His opponent today will be a Guardians club with plenty to play for, as they currently sit just half a game out of an AL Wild Card spot. Southpaw Logan Allen will be on the mound for Cleveland and sports a 4.28 ERA across 13 outings this year.

4. Sheehan back from Tommy John surgery:

Elsewhere in the NL West, the Dodgers are set to welcome an arm of some note back to their staff. Righty Emmet Sheehan, out since May 2024 due to Tommy John surgery, is listed as tonight’s probable starter for Los Angeles. He’ll need to be reinstated from the 60-day injured list, but L.A. has an open spot on the 40-man roster, so only a corresponding active roster move will be required. Now 25 years old, Sheehan ranked as one of the system’s top pitching prospects before making his debut in 2023, when he pitched 60 1/3 frames with a 4.92 ERA, 25.8% strikeout rate and 10.5% walk rate. He posted a 2.43 ERA with an outrageous 41% strikeout rate in a similar sample of minor league work that season, and he’s tossed 11 1/3 innings with a 44.7% strikeout rate on his current rehab stint. Sheehan isn’t fully stretched out yet, but he climbed to 63 pitches in his final rehab outing and is expected to join the Dodgers’ rotation.

The Opener: Devers, Stott, MLBTR Chat

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Here are three things for MLBTR readers to keep an eye on throughout the day today:

1. Devers presser, Giants debut:

The stunning trade that shipped longtime Red Sox star Rafael Devers to San Francisco over the weekend has been the talk of baseball since it happened. Yesterday, Boston officials discussed the deal and what it means for the club going forward amid reactions from media and members of the organization alike. Today we figure to see the other side of the deal for the first time, as the Giants are expected to conduct an introductory press conference for Devers before the slugger makes his team debut versus the visiting Guardians in a game set for 6:45pm local time. One question that remains up in the air is where Devers will play for San Francisco in the short term. While it seems likely that he’s ticketed for work as a DH over the long-term, it’s possible he could be called upon to fill in at third base while Matt Chapman recovers from a hand sprain that’s expected to keep him out of action for quite some time.

2. Stott day-to-day:

Phillies second baseman Bryson Stott was replaced late in yesterday’s game by Edmundo Sosa, and manager Rob Thomson revealed to reporters (including Lochlahn March of the Philadelphia Inquirer) that Stott hyperextended his elbow on a swing. The 27-year-old was set to get examined by team medical staff, but Thomson acknowledged his second baseman might get at least today’s game against the Marlins off. Stott dealt with a nerve injury in his elbow throughout the 2024 season, and while Thomson suggested it wasn’t clear if there’s a connection between that old issue and his current ailment,  it’s certainly understandable to be cautious. Stott is in the midst of a down season at the plate, hitting just .236/.300/.329 across 66 games. Sosa figures to handle second base for any time that Stott is away from the field.

3. MLBTR Chat today:

With about six weeks to go until the July 31 trade deadline, the first big trade of the summer already happened over the weekend. While it will be difficult for another in-season blockbuster to top the Devers deal, a handful of smaller deals have started to come together around the league as well. Whether you’re looking ahead to the deadline or still trying to sort between the contenders and pretenders, MLBTR’s Steve Adams has you covered in a live chat scheduled for 1pm CT today. You can click here to ask a question in advance, join in live once the chat begins, or read the transcript once the chat is complete.

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