2025-26 MLB Free Agent Power Rankings: Nos. 11-15
The latest edition of MLBTR's 2025-26 Free Agent Power Rankings are out. You can check our top 10 with a full breakdown of our reasoning for free, as always. This time around, we're tacking on write-ups of the next five names and a peek ahead to their offseason market and contract expectations for Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers.
As always, it bears emphasizing that our rankings are based on how we perceive these free agents' earning power -- not necessarily a ranking of the "best" or most impactful free agents on the market. For instance, Merrill Kelly and Aroldis Chapman are both having terrific seasons ... in their age-36 and age-37 campaigns, respectively. If they posted these same numbers at age 30, they'd be locks for the top 10. As it stands, age will inherently place a cap on the length of contracts they can secure. A younger pitcher having a lesser season can still out-earn both, simply because deals of four, five and six years are available for 30-year-olds in a way they aren't for free agents in their late 30s.
Next up on our rankings are a trio of arms and two bats -- one of whom could be testing international free agency for the first time.
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Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Anthony Franco
- Hey everyone, hope you've all enjoyed your week!
- Looking forward to another of these, let's get going
Kevin in Tx
- Does Texas rid themselves of Adolis Garcia this winter, his last year of arbitration, I’m guessing a raise to about $12-17 million.
Anthony Franco
- It'd be much closer to 12 than 17. He's not getting an $8M arbitration raise coming off this kind of season. Agree that he's getting non-tendered anyways though
RoxTalks
- Will Brandon Woodruff be extended the QO after he declines his end of the QO?
Anthony Franco
- He's got a $20M mutual option with a $10M buyout. Just clarifying what the questioner means by "declines his end"
- We'll see how he finishes the year but yeah, I think we're trending towards him receiving and declining the QO. Based on our FA deliberations this week, it seems like I'm the low person on staff about Woodruff's earning power, but there's a lot higher upside than there are with some guys who either received the QO last winter (Severino, Martinez) or signed for the same amount (Buehler)
- I feel like Eovaldi's 3/75 is the absolute ceiling and would have him more as a high-AAV two year guy right now, but others at MLBTR (especially Tim Dierkes) think there's a path to a much better deal than that if he shoves through the end of the season and into the playoffs
GWA
- Are the Yanks cooked for 2025.
Anthony Franco
- Eh, I still think they'll hang onto a Wild Card spot. The bullpen's better on paper than it has pitched. It's tough to feel great about them with how badly they've played for the better part of two months, but there's a lot of talent on the roster and they're still in playoff position right now
Alan V
- Who gets your vote for worst owner in Baseball? It could come from Colorado, Anaheim, Pittsburgh, Miami, Oakland Or the Chicago White Sox.
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Where Do The Twins Go From Here?
The Twins embarked on the biggest deadline sell-off. It was obvious that they'd trade rentals Willi Castro, Harrison Bader, Chris Paddack and Danny Coulombe. There was enough smoke to believe they'd move one of their top two controllable relievers, Jhoan Duran or Griffin Jax. Given the injury history with Brock Stewart, he seemed a good bet to go as well.
Their week was nevertheless staggering. Minnesota traded both Duran and Jax. They dumped more than $70MM of Carlos Correa's contract for no return. The player they received, Matt Mikulski, was once a notable draft prospect but is a 26-year-old reliever in High-A who'd signed a minor league deal with Houston two months ago. They even went as far as to trade Louis Varland, a Twin Cities native who would've been their best remaining reliever. Varland is controllable for five additional seasons and won't qualify for arbitration until the 2026-27 offseason. Aside from the few hundred thousand dollars they saved by attaching Ty France in that deal, that didn't even cut costs. Minnesota evidently decided that the volatility associated with any relief pitcher was enough to put Varland on the table as well.
Given how aggressively the Twins ripped down the roster, it was almost surprising they didn't go further in the end. Jon Morosi of MLB Network reported shortly before the 5:00 pm Central deadline that the Red Sox were making another run at Joe Ryan. It doesn't seem they came close to getting a deal done when Boston balked at trading an MLB outfielder. Still, one imagines the Sox and many others will be eager to reopen those talks once the offseason begins.
The Twins will play out the string with a bullpen comprising journeymen and waiver pickups. To the extent there's any intrigue left this season, it's in getting looks at young players like Luke Keaschall, Alan Roden (acquired from Toronto in the Varland deal) and Zebby Matthews. They acquired 24-year-old righty Taj Bradley in a one-for-one swap for Jax and added 23-year-old righty Mick Abel as part of their return for Duran. Both are starting their organizational tenure in Triple-A but could get a look later in the season.
While the next couple months won't be particularly interesting, the Twins are facing a massive offseason. What could be in store?
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MLB Mailbag: Schwarber, Braves, Story, Naylor, Tucker, Rockies
This week's mailbag covers Kyle Schwarber's impending free agency, what the Braves should do in the offseason, whether Trevor Story could opt out, why MLB killed August waiver trades, how Josh Naylor will fare in free agency, the potentially weak 2026-27 free agent class, the chances the Dodgers sign Kyle Tucker, the Rockies' young bats, and more.
Fred asks:
I can't believe that John Middleton will let Kyle Schwarber play anywhere else but Philly next year, especially with the overall drop in the Phillies' non-Schwarber power output this year. Does a 4/125 extension keep him away from free agency?
Schwarber turns 33 in March. He's mashing this year like never before. Schwarber has already reached his first 4 WAR season, should fly past 5 WAR, and won't be far off 6 WAR. His previous career-high was 3.3 last year. The bar is very high for offense when you have no defensive value.
Regarding the term, only two DHs age 33 and up have achieved four years in free agency: Nelson Cruz and Victor Martinez within a month of each other in December 2014. They were actually age 34 and 36, respectively, so I guess that's a (weak) case to actually go to five years on Schwarber.
To Fred's question, yes - four years at $31.25MM per year should definitely keep Schwarber away from free agency. The Phillies have a $185MM CBT payroll for next year at the moment, given Schwarber, J.T. Realmuto, Ranger Suarez, Jordan Romano, and others coming off the books. There would be room to give Schwarber a contract with a $30MM AAV, and it was Dave Dombrowski who did that ill-fated V-Mart deal with the Tigers. But would this type of contract with Schwarber be a good idea?
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Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Steve Adams
- Good afternoon! I'll get going at 3pm CT, but feel free to start firing questions off ahead of time, if you are so inclined!
- Greetings! Plenty to discuss post-deadline, so let's get after it.
Jon D
- If I understand the post-deadline rules, minor leaguers can still be traded, yes? If so, I think the Red Sox need to get Trey Mancini from the D-Backs. I think this can still be done and he could (hopefully) help fill a hole at 1B that Breslow couldn't address. Thoughts?
Steve Adams
- Ran through post-deadline acquisition rules here over the weekend:
https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/08/how-to-acquire-players-after-th...Some, not all minor leaguers can be traded. Any player who's on a minor league contract that has not been selected to the majors this season is eligible. He can only be traded for cash, a PTBNL or other minor leaguers who've not had their contracts selected to a major league roster. The PTBNL cannot be someone on a 40-man roster or someone else who's been previously on a big league roster.There are some oddball exceptions. Cavan Biggio was traded last September because he'd been released from his prior major league contract (not had that contract outrighted) and signed a new minor league deal with the Giants, for instance.
- But by and large, you can cross off the idea of trading for the vast majority of players who've appeared on a major league roster or injured list all season.
- Mancini is eligible to be traded, though if the Red Sox felt he was a prominent upgrade to their first base situation, they could've already acquired him from the D-backs for a song. Arizona isn't going to give Mancini much of a look (if any look at all) -- not after acquiring Tyler Locklear to play 1B going forward.
Duffy Scliff
- Will the Royals pick up Salvy’s player option at season’s end? And should they?
Steve Adams
- It's a club option, not a player (or else it'd be Perez's call, not the team's!)Semantics aside, I expect they will. Perez is a franchise icon at this point, and while his seasonlong numbers aren't great, he's hitting .290/.339/.584 over his past 250 plate appearances. That's 48% better than league-average.
It's a $13.5MM club option with a $2MM buyout, so it's really only a net $11.5MM decision for Kansas City. I'd be surprised if they bought him out.
Jim
- If you were the A's, what off-season moves would you make with an eye toward contending in the postseason in 2026?
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Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Anthony Franco
- Hey everyone, hope you enjoyed the week!
- Going to stay around an hour today, it's been a long week. Let's get going
Angels
- What do you think was the most jarring trade of the year or deadline?
Anthony Franco
- Jarring as in "wow, didn't see that coming" was Devers. Has to be Correa for the deadline
- In terms of a move I just don't understand, it's the Red Sox making the Dustin May trade. They must've really soured on James Tibbs in a span of like six weeks
BeLieber
- What did you think of the risk??
Anthony Franco
- In isolation, Stephen is more than I would've wanted to give up (or expected to get, in Cleveland's case) for Bieber
- That said, the Jays' biggest need IMO was a playoff-caliber starting pitcher. Ultimately, there weren't that many of those guys moved. Everyone else balked at the price on Ryan, Cease, Alcantara, Cabrera, Keller, etc. too
- Bieber has that within the range of outcomes in a way that very few starting pitchers who got traded did. So while my initial reaction to it was "man, I think the Guardians beat the Jays in another trade," I've come more around on it as being defensible for Toronto in light of what didn't happen in the ensuing eight hours
M
- Who do you think did the best at the deadline? Who made out the worst?
Arthur Dent
- Which team(s) did the best job of addressing their needs with deadline deals?
Anthony Franco
- I think the Padres did the best job of checking off every box that they needed. Obviously that's easier to do when you trade away more young talent than any other team. Similar logic with Philly to a lesser extent. Needed an elite late-game arm, paid heavily but got him
- On value alone, I think Texas and Seattle came out pretty well. Rangers did give up a decent amount for Kelly but he was one of the better starters available and they had pretty limited budgetary room. Would be a fair criticism that their biggest need was offense and they didn't address that though
- On the other end, this was a pretty big letdown for Detroit. They got a couple back-end starters, neither of whom is as good as Reese Olson (who they lost to injury). They needed to upgrade the back of the bullpen but instead opted for a bulk approach where they're swapping out three or four mediocre relievers for marginal at best upgrades
BeBopCola
- Do you think the brewers should’ve done a little more to acquire a bat at the deadline?
Anthony Franco
- I'm surprised they didn't get a better utility piece, at least, but I get why they didn't want to disrupt the lineup when it's going this well
- Pretty quiet overall but I'm a fan of the late Shelby Miller dart throw for a couple million dollars
M
- Were you surprised at the small return for anyone? Or thought someone had a significant overpay?
Anthony Franco
- Given how definitively Suárez had pulled away as the best rental bat, I thought Arizona would do better than they did. Not necessarily a top 100 caliber prospect but they're putting a lot into Locklear being a plug and play average or better regular at first base
- Mentioned May already. Not even a huge James Tibbs fan really but I don't see a ton of appeal with May so that felt rich. Mets went a little heavy to get Tyler Rogers
- Really liked the Royals' end of the Fermin trade. Ryan Bergert's a potential #3/4 starter who is MLB ready and they got six years of him for a low-end #1 catcher
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MLB Mailbag: Kwan, Bieber, Yankees, Giants, Cubs, Phillies, Braves
Our final subscriber mailbag before the trade deadline gets into the Guardians trading Steven Kwan and Shane Bieber, what's next for the Yankees, Giants, and Cubs, Dave Dombrowski's approach toward trading top Phillies prospects, and positives for the Braves.
John asks:
Where does Cleveland go from here? Kwan isn't signing long term. Clase may be lost. Will Santana be dfa for Kayfus?
Robb asks:
Would the Guardians be more receptive to dealing Steven Kwan if the Dodgers take Shane Bieber off their hands? Even so, I doubt anything less than Dalton Rushing would interest the Guardians as a starting point.
In a recent report, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic said Kwan is drawing a ton of interest, and Emmanuel Clase's non-disciplinary leave might increase the chances of a trade.
Kwan, 28 in September, is earning $4.175MM this year and is under team control through 2027. Though he's not a flashy player, Kwan has been worth about 4 WAR per 650 plate appearances in his career and this season is no different.
Trading Kwan would be risky for the Guardians, as the franchise has failed to find or produce an outfielder of this caliber since perhaps Michael Brantley. Nor will Kwan's arbitration salaries be prohibitive, even for the Guardians. The next big hopes are Chase DeLauter, who may be out for the season due to a hamate fracture, and Jaison Chourio, who has yet to succeed at High-A.
Still, trading players with Kwan's service time is the circle of life for the Guardians, so I imagine if someone offers multiple cornerstone top-100 prospect type players (especially position players), they'll take a hard look at it.
Carlos Santana is 39 and he's been terrible since June, so I could see a DFA in the offing. The Guardians may first attempt some of the $4MM he's still owed this year. C.J. Kayfus, 23, has done nothing but rake in the minors, though his Triple-A strikeout rate is high at 28%. It'd make sense to give Kayfus a look this year, unless the team is trying not to start his service time clock.
What will happen with Bieber, one of the more intriguing trade targets of the 2025 deadline?
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6 Former Prospects Who Now Look Like Change-Of-Scenery Candidates
It's easy this time of year to focus on the most obvious trade candidates among the bunch. Players on expiring contracts -- or perhaps with one more year of club control -- who play for rebuilding teams or playoff hopefuls who've fallen short of expectations tend to dominate the conversation. That's understandable. Even the short windows of control over those seasoned veterans can be huge difference-makers with regard to the postseason fortunes of those teams that are still in the race.
On the other side of the coin, fans of those rebuilding clubs or disappointing teams can scour prospect rankings for contending clubs, hoping to get a glimpse of what the future might hold and what their soon-to-be-traded stars and mainstays might net.
Somewhere in between those two extremes, however, there are plenty of players who hold appeal. The reception when one of these players is included in a trade isn't always great among the fanbase. White Sox fans weren't exactly thrilled last year when the main return in the team's trade of Erick Fedde and Michael Kopech was infielder Miguel Vargas, for instance. Vargas wasn't far removed from being a consensus top-100 prospect and was only 24 at the time of the swap, but he no longer carried that shiny "top prospect" label or as much of the allure of the unknown. Instead, he was a young big leaguer who'd struggled to establish himself in three short, partial MLB seasons.
Vargas hasn't exactly broken through to superstardom in 2025 -- far from it -- but he's been a regular at the infield corners in Chicago and provided league-average offense on the whole, including a .246/.325/.458 slash (117 wRC+) over his past 320 plate appearances. He's walked in nearly 10% of those plate appearances, punched out at only a 14.7% clip and increasingly has the look of a solid regular.
Though he'd lost some of the luster from his prospect status, Vargas --who's controlled all the way through 2029 -- could yet wind up being a nice piece for the White Sox.
With that very recent example in mind, and with so much focus on the Eugenio Suarez-es and Spencer Jones-es of the world (i.e. rental veterans and hot-hitting prospects who are the talk of the deadline), it seemed like a worthwhile endeavor to try to pinpoint some once-ballyhooed prospects whose star has dimmed and who perhaps no longer have a clear path to an everyday role in their current organization.
Here's a look at six former top prospects who have exhausted that "prospect" designation but are hitting well in the upper minors without much of a path to playing time on their current club...
JJ Bleday, OF, Athletics (controllable through at least 2028)
Bleday was the No. 4 overall pick out of Vanderbilt by the Marlins back in 2019. Miami traded him to the A's in exchange for lefty A.J. Puk -- a swap of former top-10 picks who hadn't panned out as hoped with their original clubs.
Bleday's first year with the A's in 2023 was a disappointment. He hit .195/.310/.355 while Puk pitched well down in South Florida. It looked like a flop. At least, that was the case until 2024. Bleday was miscast as a center fielder last year -- he should clearly be in a corner -- but was still worth more than two wins above replacement despite terrible defensive grades. He hit .243/.324/.437 with a career-low 19.5% strikeout rate and popped 20 homers in 159 games. Factor in the cavernous confines of his former home at the Coliseum, and Bleday was 20% better than league average at the plate, by measure of wRC+.
This year, Bleday's numbers dipped. He hit .191/.288/.358 in 233 plate appearances in the majors. The A's have optioned him twice. Bleday still walked in 12% of those MLB plate appearances, though his strikeout rate crept back up and he became more prone to infield flies. His overall hard-hit rate increased, however, and he's currently hitting .354/.393/.584 in 122 Triple-A plate appearances.
Unfortunately for Bleday, he increasingly looks like a player without a role on the A's. Lawrence Butler signed a long-term extension in right field. Nick Kurtz's emergence at first base has pushed Tyler Soderstrom to left field. Denzel Clarke hasn't hit in the majors but has been maybe the best defensive player on the planet in his short time in the majors.
It's possible there's still a role for Bleday with the A's -- Butler can play center field, and Clarke can't keep striking out at a 38.4% clip and continue playing regularly -- but a team with playing time to spare in the outfield could try to buy low.
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Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Steve Adams
- Good afternoon! Three days until the deadline. Deals have started up, but the real avalanche is coming. Let's talk about it all!
- We'll get going at 3pm CT, but feel free to submit questions in advance, as usual.
- Good afternoon!
Rox
- Would a Jarren Duran for Mitch Keller 1-for-1 swap work? Or would the Pirates want younger players for the future?
Steve Adams
- If the Pirates are trading Keller, I'd expect it to be for multiple young big leaguers with 6+ years of club control who are years from making any real money.
Matt
- Which available player do you believe Dave Dombrowski would look at and say yes trading a Crawford, Miller or Abel would be worth the investment?
Steve Adams
- Jhoan Duran or Cade Smith
Ryan H
- With Clase out now, is Ryan Helsley now the best reliever likely to be traded?
Steve Adams
- I don't think Clase was ever "likely" to be traded. Helsley is likely to go, but David Bednar is just as likely and I think Bednar is better (and he has a lower 2025 salary with an extra year of club control)
Stavid Dearns
- Going for it here: Luisangel Acuna, Brett Baty, Brandon Sproat, Blade Tidwell, Jesus Baez, Boston Baro for Mitch Keller, David Bednar, and Oneil Cruz-Who says no?
Steve Adams
- With the exception of Baty, that sees like a collection of players whose value is down this season. If you somehow want all of Keller/Bednar/(especially) Cruz, you're going to have to give up WAY more than that. That's a non-starter.
Ken
- Severino, Urias, and $20M to the Cubs for Jaxon Wiggins. Who says no?
Steve Adams
- Severino/Urias isn't enough of an upgrade to part with Wiggins
Cat_Herder
- Paddock trade a depth move or does Fetter spin straw to gold?
Steve Adams
- Curious to see if the Tigers put him in the 'pen, which I think the Twins should've done even though Paddack prefers to start. He looked filthy in relief coming back from Tommy John late in 2023, and he's never been able to hold up as a starter.
Sam
- Hey Steve - Are the Twins in fire sale mode now? Are we going back to the early 2010s of just having a completely depleted roster?
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Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Anthony Franco
- Hey everyone, hope you've enjoyed your week!
- Crunched on time today for obvious reasons so I need to keep this right at an hour. Apologies in advance if I don't get to your question. Let's get rolling
Ewitkows
- Do the Brewers just stand pat? Ortiz has been better and Durbin has been a spark plug at 3B.
Bob
- I think the Brewers should offer a package of some of their top prospects for Oneil Cruz because they could get the most out of him. Is that reasonable?
Daniel H
- Do the Brewers pull the trigger on a 3B/1B power bat, or should I just keep dreaming and have my heart broken again at the deadline.
Anthony Franco
- I lean towards Milwaukee being pretty quiet. Can't see Pittsburgh trading Cruz in division, and I'd be pretty surprised if they did that at all given how badly they need offense
- Durbin has solidified third, doubt they're finding a better shortstop than Ortiz on this market. They make sense for O'Hearn or Josh Bell, I guess, but they'll get Rhys back at some point as well
- Get a better utility infielder than MOnasterio, maybe a rotational outfield bat depending on Frelick's timetable. I don't know that they need to go crazy beyond that. They're already really good and pretty deep everywhere
Hels Bells
- What do the Cardinals get for Ryan Helsley? Could they pry Bobby Miller from the Dodgers? And who will be the top suitors for him?
Anthony Franco
- I think they'd do better than Miller on Helsley, though I get the appeal of trying to take a flier on Miller since the velocity is still elite. Helsley's still the top rental reliever for me, though his value is down from when they should've moved him over the winter
Ken
- On August 1, Jeffrey Springs is playing for whom?
Anthony Franco
- I'll take the Giants
Duran
- At first glance, the Red Sox rejection of the Cease/Salas/prospect trade offer for Duran seems like lunacy. A high-strikeout ace and a blue chip prospect for a guy having a down year that they're running out of space for? But looking at Salas, he’s slashed just .221/.305/.347 over his three years in the minors. Why do prospect outlets rank him so highly? And is the league as a whole just more pessimistic on him than the major prospect outlets?
Anthony Franco
- He was a huge amateur talent and you can kind of write off the poor offensive numbers with how aggressively the Padres moved him. Most 18-year-old catchers are in high school or rookie ball and San Diego had him in High-A (probably too aggressively)
- The back injury is a real concern though. I agree that if the Red Sox actually thought Salas was one of the top 30 prospects in MLB, they'd be willing to give up Duran for him and Cease
Yanks
- What’s your view on the McMahon trade? With Suarez on the block, this feels like a major disappointment
Anthony Franco
- I'm not a huge RyMac fan in general at this point, but only one team can get Suárez and the prospect cost would've been higher than it was on McMahon
- Argument that he fits the ballpark a little better than Suárez does as a lefty bat. I wouldn't be super enthused about taking his entire contract, but he's better than Peraza/Vivas and he's a more sensible Suárez fallback for them than Ke'Bryan Hayes would have been
Taj Boyale?
- Does Joe Boyle get the rotation slot vacated by Taj? If so, will he be on any innings limit or do you think he'll hold that slot for the remainder of the season? Thanks
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