![]() |
|
|
| |
« Odds and Ends: Ponson, Inge, Papelbon | Main | Reds Sign Corey Patterson »
According to Jon Heyman of SI.com, the Cubs and Orioles are talking Brian Roberts trade again. A source of Heyman's "indicated discussions were starting to get serious."
Heyman says one scenario has the O's sending Jay Payton along with Roberts to Chicago. Although he'd fill the Cubs' desire for a right-handed hitting fourth outfielder who can handle center, Payton has to have negative trade value with a $5MM salary for '08 and a .668 OPS last year. The Cubs could send Jason Marquis back, but his two years and $19.25MM might be overcompensating for Payton's bad contract.
Heyman names the usual suspects as possible Orioles targets: Sean Marshall, Sean Gallagher, Matt Murton, and Ronny Cedeno. Murton could again be stuck as a fourth outfielder in Baltimore; blocked prospect Eric Patterson might make more sense.
TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d834515b9a69e200e550a8da928834
Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Cubs-Orioles Roberts Talks Getting Serious:
This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.
As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.
Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.


|
|
Looks like this deal will finally get done soon!
All of the players listed above are expendable as far as I'm concerned. Let's face it, the Cubs haven't produced an everyday position player from their own system since Mark Grace, so I'm not concerned about losing any future superstars in this deal. :)
Posted by: CubFanForLife | March 03, 2008 at 12:27 PM
I drafted Cedeno and Marshall in my keeper league hoping that they'd be traded and start for the O's.
We shall see...
Posted by: stellar | March 03, 2008 at 12:31 PM
I want this deal done for tomorrow's game.
Posted by: AdamU | March 03, 2008 at 12:31 PM
Another problem with Payton as a 4th outfielder is he already complained about that role in Boston. He'd do just the same in Chicago.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | March 03, 2008 at 12:34 PM
I’m not sure why the O’s want Murton unless he’s a cheaper, younger replacement for Payton. And I’ll be surprised if McPhail doesn’t try to bring in a younger, projectable arm instead of Marshall. At the same time, I wonder if the impending loss of Patton will influence the pitcher they want from the Cubs. Will that have them lean more toward pitchers that are MLB ready, as Patton was thought to be? At any rate, I don’t think Oriole fans will be too excited with the names mentioned here. As for the Cubs side of things, I’ve been wondering why they haven’t tried Marshall out of the bullpen. They currently only have one lefty, Eyre, and they’ve been leaning toward Neil Cotts as the second lefty – which is a scary thought. Whenever Cotts comes into the game it’s like putting gasoline on the fire. Why not see if Marshall can be that second lefty?
Posted by: crunchy1 | March 03, 2008 at 12:38 PM
i completely agree with crunchy. cotts is just not acceptable as a 2nd leftfy rp. marshall doesn't have electric stuff for a relief pitcher, but it's at least worth a shot.
Posted by: msk86 | March 03, 2008 at 12:44 PM
I'll take a lesser package if you take Payton. I hate Payton that much. He can play all 3 OF spots and can hit LHP. But thats it.
Payton makes all the crap you are sending over feel much better to me.
Posted by: XD23 | March 03, 2008 at 12:45 PM
I agree with you too, Crunch. Cotts scares me. At least give Marshall a shot. If he isn't part of this deal.
It really doesn't make much sense for Baltimore to acquire Murton in this trtade. But if we get Payton, it makes even less sense for the Cubs to hold on to him. He'd just be further buried on the bench or even probably sent down to AAA. I've always been a fan of the Big Murt. I hope he gets a real opportunity somewhere since it obviously won't be in blue.
Posted by: BigBatsMcHellfire | March 03, 2008 at 12:47 PM
This seems to make sense and is consistent with the Bruce Levine (Angelos gives green light) report and with what the O's have done with the Tejada and Bedard trades. Gallagher and Cedeno have been rumored the most. I don't think anyone would argue about the O's need for middle infield help. Maybe E. Patterson or Tony Thomas is included as well. Or Murton in what would be a nice LF platoon with Scott (although I understand Trembley told Scott he'd be given a chance to win the position outright). 3 for 1 or 4 for 1 seem feasible (5 for 1 seems too much) depending on the players. Are Lahey or Ascanio being considered in the deal?
Looking forward to see what transpires.
Posted by: icantbelieveitsnotbittner | March 03, 2008 at 12:51 PM
I honestly don't understand the trade from the Orioles perspective. Unless they are going to get the prospects they're asking for, what's the point of making the deal? Certainly there will be a team at the deadline(possibly the Cubs) who is in dire need of a top-notch 2B. Surely then the Orioles would be able to snag a top prospect or two then. Gallagher/Marshall, Murton, and Cedeno doesn't seem like a totally logical move for the Orioles in terms of their needs and Roberts' value.
Posted by: moebarguy | March 03, 2008 at 12:52 PM
Marshall in the pen could do 2 roles. He could do long relief when the starters have a bad day and could do spot duty as a situational lefty. Leaving Eyre as the "main" go to lefty.
But if we get Payton I am sure both Marshall/Gallagher go. Which would leave Marquis, Dempster, and Lieber for the 4/5 spots. I would think with them we would need a guy who can go long innings like Marshall. Unless Hart will fill that role?
What I would like to see, and sorry for the tangent.. since this isnt exactly about the Roberts trade, is to have Dempster, Lieber, and Marquis rotate as the 4/5 pitcher and during thier off start, they could be the long reliever. I dont know how well that would work but it would give us a 5 1/3 man rotation if that makes sense. Z, Hill, Lilly making thier regualar starts then the other 3 rotating for the other 2 starts.
As you know Marquis breaks down over the course of the year and Lieber is no spring chicken this would in theory keep their arms fresher. But they may complain that they are out of rythem.
Do you think Moneyball would take Murton/Marquis and cash? They could use a 180 inning guy as they really have a young rotation and that ballpark couldnt hurt Marquis. Then it looks like they could use Murton as the everyday starter/DH and have Brown be thier 4th outfielder.
Sorry again off topic.
That way Patterson, Cedeno, Marshall, Gallagher to the O's for Payton/Roberts?
Posted by: Bleacher_Buddha | March 03, 2008 at 12:55 PM
I'm not sure both Gallagher and Marshall go. Radhames Liz was considered a hard-throwing reliever (valued by MacPhail), but now has been stretched out and is thought of as a top of the rotation guy by BA.
Posted by: icantbelieveitsnotbittner | March 03, 2008 at 01:00 PM
That presumbaly leaves a hole for another hard-throwing reliever type prospect.
Posted by: icantbelieveitsnotbittner | March 03, 2008 at 01:02 PM
marquis in the al east? isnt that suicude? he can't pitch in the nl central....just think of him up against boston and new york. ouch
Posted by: joshbdork | March 03, 2008 at 01:03 PM
This is junk offered up by the Cubs. The O's need Colvin, Pie, or Ceda in this trade. Besides, I dont listen to anything Heyman says. He said that Angelos nixed the Bedard trade..........we all know what happened with that. This is just our daily O's - cubs update crap.
Macphail would be a fool to take that garbage of a trade for an all-star 2nd baseman.
Posted by: skeetersos | March 03, 2008 at 01:05 PM
Allright now we are getting somewhere. We need to move these old guys pronto. I don't think having murton would be a terrible thing he can split time with scott roving through dh and lf. I know you'll say we have huff but I still think there is a good chance we move him too. I'll take gallagher, cedeno,murton, marshall or patterson for roberts and payton. And we'll eat that whole contract for 08 but we will not take marquis.
Posted by: joemorgan=#1 | March 03, 2008 at 01:08 PM
I expect in the end to see Patterson, Pie and Gallagher going to Baltimore for Roberts. Steep price I know, but I see the Cubs getting fleeced again by MacPhail (he did it to them last year with Trachsel.)
The Cubs would just bring in Corey Patterson (reunion with Roberts) until Colvin is ready.
Posted by: Mr. JavaScript | March 03, 2008 at 01:09 PM
I hope you're wrong Mr. Javascript. I think Pie will have a decent year. However, if he is moved, please sign Lofton instead of Patterson.
Posted by: BigBatsMcHellfire | March 03, 2008 at 01:12 PM
XD23, thanks for the insight into Payton. If Payton is that much of a bellyacher than it makes sense that the Orioles would include him in a deal and replace him with Murton. I wouldn’t think the O’s would want to pay a few million to a bench player whose questionable attitude would be a bad influence on their kids, particularly Adam Jones. If the Cubs DO get him, I hope he accepts his role. Maybe it’ll be easier for him to accept it on a contending team…I hope.
I found it interesting as well that, with O’s scouts watching, Patterson played the entire game at second base without a hitch – and he looked good at the plate, getting a couple of solid hits while showing his speed by running aggressively to stretch a single into a double. I know it’s only a spring game but he was fun to watch yesterday. Jose Ceda also pitched yesterday with the O’s there – does that mean something? I don’t know. But he looked impressive. He’s a giant on the mound and he rears back a little when he pitches – then when you add into the equation that he was throwing in the high 90’s, you can get a feel for how intimidating he is – and why scouts are beginning to get excited about him. If the O’s manage to extract him from the Cubs along with Gallagher that would be quite a coup. From the Cubs point of view, I hope it’s either Gallagher or Ceda - but not both. I’m really interested to hear what names are being bandied about as this gets closer to completion.
Posted by: crunchy1 | March 03, 2008 at 01:12 PM
The cubs will never sign Corey Patterson, trust me on that.
Felix Pie will not be going in this trade. If he does, I'm going to be furious. I'm like 98% certain he doesn't.
Someone brought up an interesting point though, I would be surprised if either Lahay or Ascanio aren't in this. We lose Lahay if he doesn't make the major league club...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 01:22 PM
Pie isn't going anywhere. The O's just acquired Adam Jones in the Bedard deal, what would they need with him?
As a Cubs fan, I'm to the point where I'd trade almost any prospect in the system for the right price. They haven't produced one single solitary position player who has turned out to be a solid, everyday major-leaguer from their system in almost 20 years. Not one! Every single "big time", "big hype" prospect has turned into a complete bust. Brooks Kieschnick, Scott Bullett, Kevin Orie, Tuffy Rhodes, Chad Meyers, Corey Patterson, Ronny Cedeno, Felix Pie...I could list more and more but you get the point. Why are Cub fans so protective of all these 'prospects' when we KNOW that none of them will ever do anything?! If they can get proven big league talent in return, give up all the 'prospects' you have to.
Posted by: CubFanForLife | March 03, 2008 at 01:36 PM
If Marshall is going to work as a reliever, he really has to shorten up his delivery...
Posted by: jrfukudome | March 03, 2008 at 01:45 PM
Felix Pie's already been labeled a bust? Come on.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | March 03, 2008 at 01:45 PM
I thought Marquis was only owed 16 mil or so...not over 19. Am I mistaken?
Pie is not a bust so far...he is like 22 or 23. The rest you are right to name, but hold off on him so far.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 01:46 PM
Cubfan4Life,
Because the minute we trade one, he’ll go on and star somewhere else! I think the Cubs are still traumatized by the Lou Brock trade. ;)
Posted by: crunchy1 | March 03, 2008 at 01:47 PM
Notice how all the info is coming from the CUbs. That sounds more like wishful thinking. That makes no sense at all for the O's. Neither Gallaghernor Marshall is better than the 10 young SP they have who all project from anything to a bust or a 4 SP. ALso Murton would be a 4th OF for them at best, and Cedeno is a career backup. I would be shocked if they do the deal at all without Gallagher and 1 of Pie/Colvin/Ceda. Without one of them the trade makes no sense for the O's.
Posted by: Vinny | March 03, 2008 at 01:52 PM
If we have to give up stud prospect - wouldn't baltimore prefer Soto to Pie? Soto/Cedeno/Gallegher/Marquis/patterson for Roberts/Hernandez/low low grade prospect. Marquis and Hernandez are similar $$wise Cubs get a C for 2 yrs but O's have big potential in Soto ( depending on whether he is the Soto from 3rd yr in AAA or the Soto from his first 2 yrs there). I know Marquis in AL east is horrid on its face but he puts up league avg #'s until early august when they can replace him with younger P.
Posted by: touchmymonkey | March 03, 2008 at 01:54 PM
No, I don't think they will ask for a catcher.
Nice how you already know what Cedeno is Vinny. Gallagher is better than most of the pitchers you have, probably all but 2 or three in your entire team and system. he would or at least should start for you this year. marshall is comparable to some others, and would also have a shot at starting. hate to bust your bubble though...
I don't know what Ronny will do...but he deserves another shot, thats for sure. I hope he gets it with the O's.
It is going to be interesting to see how all this shakes out. This has to easily be the most analyzed trade ever on this site before it happens.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 02:00 PM
Scott Bullett wasn't from the Cubs system, was he? I thought he had been a Pirates prospect. Earl Cunningham and Ty Griffin were, though. sigh.
Posted by: worldcupfever | March 03, 2008 at 02:01 PM
if it means giving up pie or soto, I flat out would not do it.
Posted by: Sabinus | March 03, 2008 at 02:05 PM
I'm sick of the O's fans crying that the Cubs prospects are garbage. That's why you all are not the GM of the O's.
The Cubs will not trade Soto.
And as for Cedeno, he looked pretty good the other day. Slick fielding, and he hit a ball 410 feet to dead center (which was only an out because ASU's field is 420 to center).
It's going to be funny to see the crying from O's fans when the deal is Cedeno, Murton, and Marquis (or something along those lines).
Posted by: Dan Stabbingworth | March 03, 2008 at 02:07 PM
they can have either marshall and colvin or gallagher and murton, plus cedeno or patterson, and veal/ceda
Posted by: Sabinus | March 03, 2008 at 02:08 PM
I wouldn't do Pie for Roberts straight up. If that's the price, the Orioles can keep Roberts, and stumble their way into 64 wins this year.
Posted by: mmontice | March 03, 2008 at 02:08 PM
Sabinus...that offer is way, way too much. Maybe take veal/ceda out and at most, add an option of acsancio or lahay or something...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 02:14 PM
"It's going to be funny to see the crying from O's fans when the deal is Cedeno, Murton, and Marquis (or something along those lines)."
If I was an O fan i'd cry too if that was the package. Lets break that down: Cedeno= AAAA, absolutely no baseball IQ.And as for Cedeno, he looked pretty good the other day. Murton= 4th OF, sorry cubs fans but when a guy doesnt hit for power, doesnt steal bases and isnt very good defensively, guess what? Hes a 4th OF'er. Marquis= Crap in the NL Central ( ie. the worst division in baseball), how does that translate to the AL East??
Posted by: forlife61 | March 03, 2008 at 02:18 PM
Tim, I know it's a bit premature to label Pie a bust as he hasn't even gotten a shot as a full-time player yet. I guess I'm just disillusioned over the seemingly endless parade of Cub prospects who did nothing in the bigs, and Pie's horrendous showing at the plate last year didn't do anything to bolster my confidence.
To me, Pie just looks like the next Corey Patterson. A guy who has all the tools but is too stubborn to learn to use them and be a leadoff hitter, and instead wants to be a slugger, leading to a ton of swings at bad pitches and a lot of K's.
Posted by: CubFanForLife | March 03, 2008 at 02:22 PM
I dont know about all you guys but I dont want eric patterson to be included in the brian roberts deal. Dont get me wrong, I really want roberts, and I would not lose much sleep if patterson is included, however I would love to keep him. I personally believe he has a great future ahead of him, and I would enjoy seeing him make the team this year as fast/utility type player. I think the marshall/gallagher/murton/cedeno deal would be the best...although there is some good talent being lost. We will see I guess, I just hope it gets done soon! What do you all think about patterson?
Posted by: KellsCubbies | March 03, 2008 at 02:24 PM
If patterson can show he can play an average defensive 2nd base, then he could be a star. If he can't, and has to be moved, he will be a 4th outfielder.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 02:32 PM
I am on the other side of the fense on Patterson. I want him in the deal. He would be burried as far as playing time on the Cubs. He is trade bait. I agree I hope he turns out to be decent someday.
Posted by: studio179 | March 03, 2008 at 02:33 PM
There is no way the Cubs are trading Soto. He is their starting backstop this year. Plus, the O's already have Matt Wieters. How Pie makes sense for the Orioles is that after Jones' smooth transition from SS to OF and surprisingly excellent (not just good) defense out there, he was seen as more than capable in CF. There are some that believe he will grow into a corner outfield spot though. Making Pie a possibility for CF on this team. In the coming years, with Reimold, Markakis, and Jones, you've got a great young OF and either a DH or 1B with a back-up in Luke Scott.
For the Cubs, the only way to include Pie in this is to have a deal in hand with Boston for Crisp. For a team that stated it wouldn't be doing a whole lot prior to the season this year, that sounds like a very big stretch. It's very unlikely Piniella goes into this season with Fuld as the starting CF, or trying to transition Fuk there, or starting someone like Payton out there. Pie really seems like a longshot to be included, both b/c of the O's and Cubs needs. Never say never, though.
Posted by: icantbelieveitsnotbittner | March 03, 2008 at 02:35 PM
The Orioles should want Murton pretty badly. He's going to hit wherever he goes if he gets regular playing time. If he doesn't work out there they can trade him to somewhere else. In fact I'm still peeved that Soriano or Fukodome can't handle center because Murton In left would make this team much better. Sigh..
Posted by: CubsFan84 | March 03, 2008 at 02:39 PM
The Cubs are looking into Crisp. He is too expensive and not horrible enough to be platooning or a back up. If the Cubs get Crisp in a trade, it means one of two things. 1) Crips carries a vet pressence so the Cubs do not rely on Pie. 2) Pie really is part of the Roberts deal. I hope it is option #1.
Posted by: studio179 | March 03, 2008 at 02:42 PM
Hmmm. I hope we acquire both Roberts and Crisp. They are both switch hitters and both from the AL East. Crisp has to have a better season in the NL central and Roberts as well. Making these trades would give the Cubs the most solid and deep lineup in the NL with speed, power and patience.
Posted by: CubsFan84 | March 03, 2008 at 02:44 PM
I think between Pie and Crisp, Pie has the better year next year.
Crisp is what Pie was at the end of last year. Pie's upside is much, much better than Crisp.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 02:48 PM
Upside maybe, but his propensity to strike out is really annoying, plus he isn't fundamentally sound right now. The Cubs are built to win over the next couple of years they need to make every possible attempt to do so.
Posted by: CubsFan84 | March 03, 2008 at 02:51 PM
Are you sure Crisp is any better?
By the way, I found this very interesting:
"A deal appeared to be in place a few weeks back but Orioles owner Peter Angelos didn't approve it immediately. Angelos has been reluctant to trade Roberts, a personal favorite. However, it is clear now that the Orioles are serious about rebuilding."
Looks like Angelos might have had something to do with it taking so long afterall...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 02:53 PM
I wouldn't trust Heyman about anything. He couldn't resist another Angelos dig. Either he's wrong about Angelos or all the Baltimore writers are wrong.
I think, from what I read, that Gallagher and Cedeno are almost certain. What beyond that is a guess, but I think at least one more player of Veal/Ceda quality. There might be a fourth player for just Roberts. If Payton's added, I could see a number of possibilities.
Posted by: Playwright | March 03, 2008 at 02:56 PM
I just heard today that 'sources' (love those unnamed sources) said Angelos has had a hand in this trade and MacPhail is not dealing with Hendry alone. Who knows.
It is not a Crisp vs Pie thing if it went down. I like Pie. All I'm saying is Crisp makes too much money to have him platoon or be a back up. Pie could be the back up because of his service time, developement stage and with the win now attitude. Again, 'IF' such a deal went down, I would hope for that and not lose Pie.
Posted by: studio179 | March 03, 2008 at 03:03 PM
Besides, Crisp is a good player. It's not like we would be taking on a garbage contract.
Posted by: studio179 | March 03, 2008 at 03:05 PM
Again, too, I think that the delay hasn't been a delay, exactly. The Orioles have been in no rush. The probably wanted a look at some of their own and some of the Cubs' players in Spring Training, to better determine their needs and the possibilities. It's those of us who love rumors that feel this has been dragging on; I doubt it's the Orioles. Whether the Cubs feel that way, I don't know.
Posted by: Playwright | March 03, 2008 at 03:06 PM
If Payton is added then it makes sense for Murton to head to the O's. With Payton, Mark DeRosa moving around everywhere, and Fukudome, Murton would get no playing time. The O's would need Murton to platoon with Scott. So I think it will be...
Roberts
Payton
For
Gallagher
Murton
Cedeno
Sounds fair.
Posted by: Joe | March 03, 2008 at 03:06 PM
The wait is almost over. Pretty soon, we can debate the ACTUAL trade!
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | March 03, 2008 at 03:08 PM
As a Cub fan, I disagree it is fair, Joe.
Posted by: studio179 | March 03, 2008 at 03:09 PM
Crisp is projected to be worth more than a win over Pie. Using a BA/OBP/SLG line is stupid if you are talking about a guy like Crisp. Most of his value is in the field. I'm not comparing the two but you wouldn't cite Ozzies stat line when saying how valuable he was, right?
Posted by: Ripwa | March 03, 2008 at 03:45 PM
BP has Pie rated below average defensively next year. I will eat this keyboard if that happens. Have you seen pie's defensive metric ratings? They ignore them...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 03:55 PM
If you think Crisp is that much better than Pie defensively, you will have another thing coming next year.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 03:56 PM
When does Crisp become a free agent?
Posted by: CUBBIES2008 | March 03, 2008 at 04:03 PM
It's absolutely hilarious to read through this thread and listen to Cubs's fans act like they can analyze this potential trade objectively.
Yes, trade or no trade the O's are going to struggle this year. That's life in the AL East these days. This trade isn't meant to help them for this season.
Pie and Soto make little sense for the O's and are unlikely to be part of the trade. However, neither one is an all-star or alone would be considered anywhere close to equal value for Roberts in a straight up deal. Don't talk yourself into anything of that nature. It's foolish.
Now that Patton's looking like damaged goods, if this deal goes through preseason, expect the majority (if not all) of the players from the Cub's side to be pitchers. And if it doesn't happen preseason, (barring injury) Robert's value will certainly only increase as the deadline approaches.
Posted by: MattyJ | March 03, 2008 at 04:04 PM
Please note,
I know that sometimes annoying kids come on and make a bunch of first grade type comments to rile people up. You can't sink to that level and respond. As soon as you see one just shoot me a quick email and the person is gone. Dont read it, dont respond to it, just email me.
Thanks.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | March 03, 2008 at 04:13 PM
For instance, lets look at RZR (revised zone rating from hardball times) from last year.
Crisp - .909
Pie - .937
Pie is underrated defensively by WARP and Crisp is over rated. At least says the hardball times...
Pie is a defensive stud and will prove this next year...don't you worry. I actually think the two players are very much alike right now, but if Pie learns to hit, he will outperform Crisp.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 04:26 PM
I'll take Pie right now defensively. If he grows like I hope he will, I'll take Pie's bat in a year, too. Right now, for this team in 2008, Crisp makes sense to allow Pie come into his own. If there is no Crisp deal, well, Pie has to grow into his own quicker. That's all.
Bottom line, if it got rid of Marquis (whom I do not want on this team by the trade dealine), then Crisp is that much more valuable to me.
Posted by: studio179 | March 03, 2008 at 04:26 PM
I know what you mean, I like Crisp, so don't get me wrong. I just think they are pretty much the same player right now and it would do Pie a lot of good to get as many at bats at this level as possible. I think Payton is nearly the perfect platoon partner for him...someone that can handle CF and hits lefties really well. I've been hoping for Payton for a couple of months now...it just makes too much sense to me for the O's to want to give that contract up and for the Cubs to want to take it.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 04:33 PM
On the Score 670 Chicago Mike Murphy was saying Marquis is something like 21-10 career in April & May. He started out 5-0 last year. (Who would have thought of trading him then?) Maybe let him make a few starts in frigid, ivyless Wrigley then trade him in June for something of value (knowing he notoriously gets worse the 2nd half.)
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | March 03, 2008 at 04:36 PM
Also for what it's worth, George Offman & Murph both believe that this will be the Cubs Opening Day lineup:
Roberts
Crisp
Lee
Ramirez
Fukudome
Soriano
Soto
Theriot
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | March 03, 2008 at 04:39 PM
I have been looking at the trade the O's made for Bedard (5 for 1) with Sherrill who is a 30 year old reliever who may be good enough to close for the O's. They also got a blue chip outfielder in Jones. Tillman and Butler are very young and are high rated but only Tillman has been in even High A Ball so far and Butler was the 12th rated prospect in their farm system. (Tillman was rated 3rd) I couldn't find much on Kam Mickolio so I doubt he is anything to write home about.
This is what they got for their true Ace pitcher. I dont want to sound like I am making light of Roberts but I dont think that he is a 4 for 1 player and getting mutiple blue chip prospects too. I think and most O's fans agree that Gallagher is a legit prospect/acquisition for this deal. Most also agree that Cedeno is a guy who has raked in AAA but struggled a bit in the "Show" but has shown flashes. So the question is who is the final peice. Is it a position player or a pitcher.
I would guess that Patterson would make sense because he can play 2nd and has high upside. Murton I dont see a long term future for him but he is a high average guy who could DH and platoon in the OF. But he needs 400+ AB. I can see the the Cubs also including someone like Tim Lahey so they get 2 pitchers and 2 position players.
I honestly think that is fair. If they include Payton in the deal then I dont know who they would include Murton for a 5 for 2?
Earlier I mentioned Marshall and Gallagher, Cedeno, and Patterson for roberts/payton but I think the one I just mentioned is actuall a better fit for the O's.
Posted by: Bleacher_Buddha | March 03, 2008 at 04:46 PM
Yeah, I guess it makes sense to give Pie the ABs. It also makes sense to take the load off him. I'm not going to worry if that trade does not happen. My thing is Marquis. Boston might want him. They say last year in the playoffs, game 3 Marquis would not put on his uniform and sit on the bench or BP area. He sat in the locker room in street clothes and mooped. I guess some people (not sure who. I assume Lou. They said management) tried to get him to join the team and he refused. This guy always has an attitude. I know he was 5-0 to start '07. I know he is 21-10 in April & May. Every other team knows this, too. No secret. I say get him out if we can ASAP. Crisp...new water cooler...whatever we can get.
Posted by: studio179 | March 03, 2008 at 04:54 PM
I may be crazy but here is what I would do. If I could exchange Ceda and keep Gallagher I would do that. I would do this:
Ceda/Marshall/Murton/Fox
FOR
Roberts
I would exchange Gallagher for Marshall if they would throw in George Sherrill
Posted by: uww1 | March 03, 2008 at 05:59 PM
I also meant to put that if we can keep Cedeno...I assume though they want a SS. I think he has some upside and dont want to give him up. But if that is who they want then so be it.
Posted by: uww1 | March 03, 2008 at 06:02 PM
There is no doubt that the O's would rather have Cedeno than say Theriot. He has more upside. I think Riot is much more polished but much less upside. The Cubs do have to make it worth while to get Roberts. I am not going to try to project what kind of a player Cedeno will end up as but I do think he is close to being an every day SS.
Maybe being on a team with mutiple other young guys is what he needs. Look at the '99 Twins. They knew they were going to stink but they had fun. And got good along the way. But they did have a couple of "senior" players to show them the ropes. But they didn't have anyone telling them that they werent supposed to be good and I really liked what they developed to.
I think the route the O's are taking is the right path. I hope the fans continue to show up at the ballpark and overlook the stupid young guy errors and smile. I think with their farm, the guys they got in the Bedard trade and what they are going to get from the Cubs they should be ok. Plus I dont anticipate too many wins so they should have some good drafts coming in the next 2 years. Its gonna be fun to watch.
Posted by: Bleacher_Buddha | March 03, 2008 at 06:46 PM
I assume, at this point, that Pie is off the table. If we can keep Gallagher as well, then we'll be in excellent shape.
Posted by: jrfukudome | March 03, 2008 at 07:12 PM
Jrf, If we keep Pie and Gallagher, who were you thinking of you giving the O's?
Posted by: studio179 | March 03, 2008 at 07:26 PM
Could Pie be secretly in the deal? I mean I'm fine with Pie as are starting CF but Colvin is almost done cooking and is going be coing out of the oven pretty soon. Why would their be dicussions for Coco Crisp if we have already have Pie, Colvin, Fuld if their wasn't any trades talks being about one of them. (Fuld is a back up so he prolly doesn't get mentioned.)
But this is a championship type line up.
2B- Brian Roberts
CF- Coco Crisp
RF- Kosuke Fukudome
3B- Aramis Ramirez
1B- Derrek Lee
LF- Alfonso Soriano
C- Geovany Soto
SS- Ryan Theriot
Now we need to get a starter like...
Joe Blanton
Rich Harden
Jake Westbrook
Oliver Perez( Maybe at the trade deadline)
Posted by: CUBBIES2008 | March 03, 2008 at 07:34 PM
Any other combination that works. I'm not saying it's realistic, I'm just saying I think we will need Gallagher in the rotation at some point. Something like:
Roberts, Payton
for
Veal, Ceda, Murton, Cedeno.
Posted by: jrfukudome | March 03, 2008 at 07:34 PM
I could also see sending Pie and little else. Say, Pie and Patterson for Roberts.
Posted by: jrfukudome | March 03, 2008 at 07:36 PM
Stop putting righties Lee-Ramirez-Soriano together. Fukodome will be used to break them up. Roberts and Crisp are switch-hitters, then righty,lefty,righty,righty.
Roberts
Crisp
Lee
Ramirez
Fukodome
Soriano
Soto
Theriot
I agree it's a NL Champion-contending lineup
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | March 03, 2008 at 07:38 PM
I'm wondering how the Patton situation alters who the Orioles may be asking for. You'd have to think they want another arm. And it's McPhail's philosophy to stock up on pitching because he believes you can always trade surplus pitching for position players. So I don't expect a lot of position players heading over to Baltimore. I think Gallagher is a lock. He's at the same level as Patton as far as readiness and ceiling. That makes too much sense. But the Orioles had originally planned on having Gallagher and Patton compete for the 5th spot, possibly the 4th even before Patton's injury. So I assume they want another pitcher in his place. You'd think it would be another starter and Marshall seems to fit the bill because he's lefty and MLB ready - though the perception is that he has a lower ceiling than Patton. So I think the Cubs give up a 3rd arm to make up the difference, maybe a big strong armed pitcher like Petrick or maybe a class A prospect with a high ceiling like Huseby. But I haven't heard those names mentioned at all so that's speculation on my part. Ceda's still a possibility; but I don't think the Cubs would add a third pitcher if the first two are Gallagher and Ceda. It depends on what McPhail wants. To me, Petrick is nearly as big, with nearly the same velocity as Ceda, a small step down to pick up another young lefty starter would make sense to me. But I'm sure there are Oriole fans who would disagree and prefer a Gallagher/Ceda combo. I don't think Pie or Colvin are part of the deal. I'm not sure why the O's would want another OF when they have two studs and a possible 3rd in Reimold a 1/2 year away. The only way I see them taking an OF'er is if it's Murton and they give up Payton. A younger, cheaper version of Payton makes sense for a rebuilding team. And then I would think the last piece would be either Cedeno or Patterson. So I dunno, here's my guess: Gallagher, Marshall, Petrick and Patterson for Roberts. It could expand into a 5 for 2 with Murton and Payton being added from each side. I'm sure O's fans may want another stud prospect instead of Marshall and Petrick, but I think if you can get 4 young, talented MLB ready players to help you rebuild, you have to do it. That's a lot of players for the Cubs to give up, but the core of the team remains intact. O's fans you're welcome to disagree and invite discussion - just don't get beligerent about it. It's only one fan's speculation; it's not that big a deal.
Posted by: crunchy1 | March 03, 2008 at 07:40 PM
i hope it would get them NL Central Championship..still there going there not going to get passed the mets, rockies, or d-backs
Posted by: futureprospect3 | March 03, 2008 at 07:41 PM
With a Roberts aquisition, they are right up there with the Mets and DBacks, with Philly and Colorado right behind. Anything can happen once you get to October, so thats the main thing.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 07:46 PM
I like that, crunchy.
Posted by: jrfukudome | March 03, 2008 at 07:48 PM
Thats funny. The Playoffs are a whole different ballgame altogether. Pitching is king in the playoffs. And besides Johan they need a healthy Pedro and Maine and Perez to be really good. Rockies had to win almost every game down the stretch to make a 1 game playoff to get into the playoffs. Can they do it again? And the D-Backs had a lot of great seasons from people they were not expecting to step up. Can that happen again?
Who knows. but thats why they play the games.
Posted by: XD23 | March 03, 2008 at 07:52 PM
Can someone explain to me the roster ramifications for the o's if a 4 for 1 deal goes through? o's roster is full, with the exception of 2 pitchers that possibly will go on the 60 day dl. It seems to me the deal has to be 4 for 2 or 3 for 1 at the most? Am I missing something?
Posted by: INOK | March 03, 2008 at 07:57 PM
I said "contend" for the NL Championship. But with Fukudome and Roberts, that's a lot of speed, defense, and OBP improvement. They needed baserunners and speed in the playoffs. Crisp is a better baserunner and defender than Jacque Jones, as well. Finally if Soto is just half-good, it'll be a huge improvement over all those Barrett-Bowen-Kendall games!
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | March 03, 2008 at 07:58 PM
I still think tha Sherrill might be part of the deal with the O's. I have said this before, and most people seem to disagree, but here is my thinking. Pinella said over the weekend or maybe it was Hendry, but anyways they want another lefty in the Pen and indirectly said that they will be trding to get one. Who else would/could they go after? My feeling is that this trade with the O's almost happened before the Bedard trade, but Angelos nixed that. The Cubs knew they wanted a lefty in the Pen, so the O's got him in the trade and the Cubs will sweeten the deal to get him. My feeling is that this trade will be done soon and it could be something that no one would think to say. Hendry is very quiet and sneaky about this stuff and MacPhail learned from him.
I dont think the Cubs will be done trading after this gets done. If they trade Gallagher which I think they might, they could use a #4 - #5 starter.
Posted by: uww1 | March 03, 2008 at 08:00 PM
4 for 2 could happen.
Roberts
Payton
for
Gallagher
Marshall
Cedeno
Petrick
Thoughts?
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 08:00 PM
Or you could sub Murton in for Petrick if you would rather have it that way
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 08:01 PM
I really hope they keep Murton. He is a great hitter, OBP, walk, low-K guy. The kind the Cubs seem to never have. Like last year, Soriano is unlikely to play 162 games. He hurt his leg, twice, last year.
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | March 03, 2008 at 08:03 PM
Aduncaroo trade-good. Throw in Patterson, they'll need a second baseman. Try to get Sherrill and you are working on a playoff roster.
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | March 03, 2008 at 08:04 PM
I really don't think Pie is going anywhere. Why would we deal him to Baltimore and THEN have to go make another deal to get Crisp from Boston? And then who do we send to Boston? I don't think Marquis will cut it. AND that would leave us looking pretty depleted as far as our pitching goes. Just doesn't seem like a smart move to me. If I had to predict, I'd predict a 5 for 2 deal. I'd guess Gallagher, Cedeno, Patterson, probably Marshall and then maybe Veal? Pie ain't going anywhere.
Posted by: BigBatsMcHellfire | March 03, 2008 at 08:05 PM
Jrf, I would like to keep Gallagher, too. I really doubt we will be able to do so.
Posted by: studio179 | March 03, 2008 at 08:07 PM
Cubs do have plenty of pitching. Losing some pitchers will not affect them, at least this year.
I am not so sure Pie isn't just the next Corey Patterson at the plate. He looks just like him so far. Let him go for the big score.
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | March 03, 2008 at 08:07 PM
I really dont want Payton. I have left him off all trades.
I think it is a good point that Patterson may be in the deal because he is a blocked prospect.
Gallagher/Cedeno/Patterson/Fox
OR
Ceda/Veal/Cedeno/Patterson
FOR
Roberts
Posted by: uww1 | March 03, 2008 at 08:11 PM
INOK, I believe the O's can make a 4 for 1 deal because all of those guys still have options left. So the O's could send one or two down to AAA -- or if they all make the team, a lot of their own pitchers still have options left and they can be sent down as well. So I think it can be done. Patton would have probably been on their 25 man roster but he'll probably go on the DL long term, opening up another spot.
Adun, I could see that too but I'm sure that would mean the Cubs would have to make a second deal and trade Murton. Any ideas there? San Diego may still be interested.
Posted by: crunchy1 | March 03, 2008 at 08:14 PM
its going to be a 7 for 3 deal.
Gallagher, Marshall, Veal, Huseby (Or you could swap Ceda for Husaby/Veal), Cedeno, Patterson, Marquis + some cash.
for
Roberts, Sherrill, and Payton
:-) Humor Folks (-:
Posted by: Bleacher_Buddha | March 03, 2008 at 08:15 PM
What is the big score? We can get Roberts without Pie, so why include him??
If we want Sherill, I would think it would be something like
Payton
Sherill
Roberts
for
Gallagher
Marshall
Ceda
Cedeno
Patterson
Murton
? Is that not enough? Thats still a lot of quantity...maybe Veal instead of Patterson, would that appeal to them more? Thats about all the young pitching they could hope for...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 08:19 PM
Haha- (7 for 3) You never know, that could be why it's taking so long! Jim & Andy go way back.
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | March 03, 2008 at 08:19 PM
Nice Budda lets get it done...HA
Posted by: uww1 | March 03, 2008 at 08:24 PM
Yeah, I think I'm reaching there...but you never know. I think Payton is FAR more likely than Sherrill though, even if Sherrill would be a great addition.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | March 03, 2008 at 08:24 PM
Gallagher would be a real nice plus to have for the second half when Marquis starts to stink it up. We don't know what he would do. We pretty much know what Marquis will do. I don't think Gallagher stays in the trade though.
Posted by: studio179 | March 03, 2008 at 08:24 PM
There's a couple of things that make me think the Cubs are considering including Ceda:
1) He's pitched twice this week when everyone knows O's scouts have been watching.
2) Tim Lahey and Jeff Smardzija have looked very good this spring. That's two power rh relievers. Add Petrick to that equation and it's possible the Cubs have the flexibility (or surplus, as McPhail would say) to trade Ceda.
Posted by: crunchy1 | March 03, 2008 at 08:24 PM
Sherill had a 0.00 era during day games last year :)
Posted by: INOK | March 03, 2008 at 08:25 PM