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Heyman's Latest: Crede, Ethier, Teixeira

SI.com rumor guru Jon Heyman has a new column up; let's take a gander.

  • Heyman talked to an NL scout who considers Joe Crede a below average third baseman right now.  If that scout's opinion is the consensus, it makes sense that Kenny Williams is inclined to wait for Crede to build more value.
  • The Rangers pushed hard to acquire Andre Ethier from the Dodgers, both in a Mark Teixeira deal and after L.A. signed Andruw Jones.  If I were a Dodger fan, I'd be angry to see the team put its pride ahead of winning by playing Juan Pierre over Ethier.
  • Heyman talked to a general manager who felt the Braves have no chance of signing Tex.  That GM named the Red Sox, Orioles, Yankees, Giants, Mariners, Dodgers, and Angels as potential suitors.  In a survey of almost 1,700 MLBTR readers, the Yankees were picked as the team most likely to sign Teixeira (followed closely by the Braves).


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Giants please NO CREDE and NO TEIXEIRA!

'08 - Start Velez at 3rd and keep the pitching.

'09 - Sign CC Sabathia / Joe Nathan, trade our stockpile of pitching prospects for Hanley Rameriez = SF Giants Dynasty... DO IT SABEAN!

I'm surprised the Mets aren't on the list for Teixeira; that's actually who I think is gonna win. In any case, it'll be fun to see the two NY teams bidding each other up.

Also, when it comes to Pierre/Ethier, I'd make the argument that even Delwyn Young would put up better numbers than Pierre. Enough already, pay the money and pawn him off on somebody.

So Ohan... your solution to having a halfway decent pitching team with a severe lack of hitting is to get more pitching, ignore hitting except try to trade for Hanley who likely won't be on the market nor do you have the prospects to pull off such a trade and for that matter there's at least 10 other teams who could out bid you... riiiight.

Texeria in LA? Loney seems like he'll be a permanent fixture at 1B for a while. I think Loney will get enough AB's this year to show he's capable of putting up some power.

If the Yanks sign anyone else this offseason, Tex goes to Atlanta. And since they'll probably be chasing after C.C. hardcore, things are looking up for the Braves.

That's sad that Colletti would rather waste talent on the bench than swallow his pride and dump Pierre. You're job is to put the eight position players on the field that give you the best chance of winning. Doing otherwise is just inexcusable.

If Ethier doesn't get enough AB's this year because of Pierre, he may never reach his potential. As nice of a guy as Pierre is, you really have to feel for Ethier.

As a Dodger fan I am already tired of Pierre's game. I can't stand the idea of him slapping his way to 500+ outs. No way he should still be on this team.

Lets see can someone answer the question why the Mets wouldnt be in on texeira? Do the mets have a certain first baseman in the last year of his contract which will pay him 16 million this year. Mets will make either teixera or sabathia a met next season. Mark my words!!

mets won't sign sabathia, and the braves will never let texeira get to the mets. if anything they're third, but I think fourth behind the Sox. The Angels are the dark horse because after losing Cabrera to the Tigers, they could use another big ticket player. I think if the Yankees first base situation proves to be a disaster, Texeira comes in.

How much money do you think the Mets have? Johan, Reyes, Wright, Beltran, and most likey a few others will be making more money.

I don't think I have seen a poll in the last 5-10 years where the Yankees weren't the winner in the 'who is going to get so and so' polls.

Start_wearing_your purple... Teixeira isn't signing with Giants unless we give him ARod money and after him I don't see anyone really worth over paying.

The Giants rotation is good now, but adding Sabathia locks up 4 of our 5 rotation spots with Cain, CC, Linccumm and Zito for 3 to 4 years - giving us the leverage to deal our stockpile of young arms in the farm system for bats.

Thats why we didn't land any bats this year in the trade market, b/c we didn't have the leverage to deal our only strength - young pitching.

Sabathia and Nathan makes that much easier, not to mention we'd have arguably one of the best rotations in the past decade - and pitching wins championships.

Hanley might be available next year if his arb situation becomes too pricey for the Marlins and the Giants have the pitching prospects to make a deal.

The mets are in the running, but i don't think they stand a chance.

you seee there's a team called the yankees, i'm not too sure if you know of them, they don't have a legit firstbaseman after this season, they have the most money coming off the books by FAR, and they are the team known to signing the big players, so it's really common sence on who's going to get tixera.

and do you think the mets would want 2 pitchers with a contract with over 100 mil each...? they were a little hesitant in signing santana who is better than CC sabathia, and Sabathia is looking for a deal like santana, so once again just use common sence there.

1B should be Jeters position next year.

"1B should be Jeters position next year."

I agree, but there is no way that Girardi tells Jeter to move off short in his second year as manager. If Jeter didn't take it well, then all of New York would bash him into moving him back. Jeter already said he plans on staying at shortstop, so he likely won't be too open to the idea. Sadly for all the Yankee fans out there who appreciate defense, Jeter appears to be sticking at shortstop for a while.

And I can't see how the Mets wouldn't be near favorites to sign Teixeira. It is their biggest hole in the lineup long term after Delgado leaves (at least they have F-Mart as an outfielder long term). They'll need a big bat to join Wright and Beltran. They'll have money to spend with Citi Field and the fact that they're from New York. It'd be taking him away from the Braves, and potentially the Yankees. The list of reasons why the Mets are logical seems to go on for a while.

I would argue that the Yankees are the next most logical team, followed by the Braves, Orioles, Red Sox, Mariners, Giants, Angels and Dodgers, in order. Really I think the only teams that truly are in it will be the first four teams, with the others as long shots. Other than the Mariners, the rest of those teams all have a young stud first baseman already (Lars Anderson, Angel Villalona, Casey Kotchman, James Loney), but will likely have other holes that need filling. Even though those teams are all in need of a big bat, I think it's more likely that Boston would go after Adam Dunn.

Don't underestimate the Orioles in the Texeira bidding. Their big disadvantage, of course, is that they're not a good team. Will they show enough potential that Texeira would be satisfied about their future? I don't know.

In other ways, the Orioles have distinct advantages. Most importantly, is the hometown boy connection. All things being equal, I'm pretty sure Texeira would pick Baltimore. What's more, Angelos is dying to have him, and wouldn't likely be outbid.

The issue of how soon the Orioles might contend could override anything else, of course. But I wouldn't underestimate the O's chances.

Why would Baltimore wanna sign a massive deal to Teixeira when they really won't be challenging any team in that division for at least a couple years. They have a ton of high ceiling pitching, so this team could be incredibly good in a couple years, but I think it'd make more sense to wait until the team is closer to contention. This is a team that has done a pretty good job of stockpiling young talent, so they should wait a few years for all that talent to develop. But on the other hand, what if they keep Roberts, sign Tex and everyone develops like they should:
C- Matt Wieters
1B- Mark Teixeira
2B- Brian Roberts
3B- Billy Rowell
SS- Someone who can field
LF- Nolan Reimold
CF- Adam Jones
RF- Nick Markakis
DH- Someone who can hit

I agree, scribbletone; it's a difficult call.

O's should do what the Tigers did. Sign a smart player every offseason. Det overpaid for guys like Rodriguez, Ordonez and others. But they went from a bad team to a very good team.

It isn't like they won't have money to spend too. And since Millar is a FA after this season there is a huge hole at 1B and clean up. well there is a huge hole there now too.

I like your lineup, scribbletone. I'm hoping the shortstop might be Tim Beckham. There's a shot this draft. And there are a few candidates for that DH slot. Brandon Snyder. Matt Angle. Brandon Tripp. Chris Vinyard. Joe Mahoney.

I agree with you, too, XD23. There are some real similarities to the Tiger circumstances.

I think of it this way:

-The Orioles have not been a winner in a while.

-Players are not usually inclined to mention any teams in particular due to tampering legalities.

-Under usual circumstances, even when vets secretly want to play for a specific team, you don't have vets talking about a particular team just to keep demand on his services high.

In spite of these things, when it favors Teixeira's position to stay quiet, he has been bringing up the possibility of playing for the Os since about a year ago. The fact that it's been spilling out of Tex is a sign that he wants to be an Oriole to me. How many times do you see a player describe playing for a team coming off a 10-year losing streak as a "dream come true?"

The good thing for Teixeira is that, like an earlier poster mentions, the Os have a building wave of talent (esp. top rotation pitching) due to ripen around 2009-2010.

Why would anyone want to be an Oriole? I promise they won't see the postseason this decade.

I think sexy-Texy will be here in Hotlanta for some time. We don't have any mega-dollar franchise players.

As long as the young pitching shows promise, I think Teixeira would want to play for Baltimore.The numbers for a contract would have to be reasonable for him too.I remember Teixeira when he was going to Mount ST. JOE h.s. and I was at Catonsville h.s. at the same time. 8 YRS. 160 MIL. sound about right? Teixeira an Orioles that would be great.

Does anyone realize that there are four teams with massive flows of top young talent coming out of the AL East right now? Other than Toronto it seems like every team in that division is churning out elite young players. Bad teams like Tampa have been doing that for a while because of all the high draft picks, but now the big budget teams can use their money to add top young players. The Yankees (Hughes, Chamberlain, Kennedy, Jackson, Tabata, Cabrera, Cano, Wang, Montero, Marquez, Brackman, Betances, Horne), Red Sox (Buchholz, Lester, Papelbon, Bowden, Ellsbury, Anderson, Pedroia, Lowrie, Kalish, Masterson, Declarmen, Tejeda, Hagadone), Rays (Longoria, Upton, Jennings, Brignac, Crawford, Kazmir, Shields, Garza, Price, McGee, Davis, Hellickson, Jackson, Jaha, Morlan, Niemann, #1 pick in draft), and Orioles (Markakis, Jones, Wieters, Reimold, Snyder, Rowell, Liz, Spoone, Olson, Loewen, Penn, Erbe, Patton, Albers, Arrietta, Beato, #4 pick in draft)

If by this decade you mean '08 and '09, I agree with you, Land-Man. But past that, I'll take our chances. Now that Baltimore boy John Schuerholz is phasing out, and the follow-and-sign strategy is unavailable, I think it gets tougher and tougher for Atlanta. And you don't have "mega-dollar franchise players" because you can't pay them. I know Texeira likes Atlanta--sentimentally, I'm hearing, second only to Baltimore. But he's not going to sign for way under market value, as he would need to, to stay in Atlanta.

"If the Yanks sign anyone else this offseason, Tex goes to Atlanta. And since they'll probably be chasing after C.C. hardcore, things are looking up for the Braves."

Things are looking up for the Braves if you're right, which you're not. Braves are going to get Sabathia and Teixeira? Lies. No one seems to be more consistently wrong about their team spending big money than Braves fans.

Texeira took over at 3rd base at Mt. St. Joe's from the son of a teacher I sometimes worked with. Texeira transferred in, since Mt. St. Joe's was the big local baseball school (Gavin Floyd, too), and her son had been the incumbent. I remember how angry she was about this kid they'd imported, who'd displaced her son. I guess they knew what they were doing.

When TEX. is a free agent what kind of contract would he demand? His value? eight yrs. 160 mil. about right?Any opinions?

Yeah Tex will get 8-10 years at $20 mil per season.

I seriously doubt that any team would give Teixeira $20 million per season through his age 39 season, which is what it'd be if he signed for 10 years. I think eight years would be the high point, with $20M AAV being right on though. I'll say 6-8 years, $19-21M per year. This is why staying in Atlanta seems to be a long shot. And this is why giving up Saltalamacchia, Andrus, Feliz, Harrison and Jones was a huge, huge mistake unless they win this year. There are three potental stars (the first three) in that group.

And I would be willing to argue that Baltimore stands a chance in 2010. It'd take some seriously stunning events, but its possible. It'd take a lot of luck and a few incredibly good moves, but I have seen crazier stuff happen.

If you don't think Baltimore can contend by then, then you are unaware of how much high ceiling pitching this team has. They are loaded with high ceiling/high risk guys that could end up being great, or end up being worthless. Guys like Liz, Spoone and Erbe could all be top of the rotation guys, or they could all be Daniel Cabrera.

Uhhh, did nobody else notice this RIDICULOUS comment by OHAN?

"Sabathia and Nathan makes that much easier, not to mention we'd have arguably one of the best rotations in the past decade..."

Just, wow.

Roberts 2b,Jones cf,Markakis rf,Tex 1b,Wieters c,Reimold lf,Rowell 3b, Snyder dh,? ss Penn,Lowen,Patton,Guthrie,Olson ? starters

Scribble that may be true but I believe the chances of one of them becoming a #1 are less than all three becoming, as you said, D. Cabrera.

I would argue that Sabathia, Cain, Lincecum, Zito, Lowry is one of the best rotations of this decade..

Now the fact that he even considering this is shocking, after they signed Zito to that massive deal. How about go get some hitters? He says they should sign Sabathia to free up other pitchers to be traded, but thats just illogical to have that much money committed to two pitchers.

If you really want a bat, how about waiting til the offseason and signing someone like Adam Dunn? He may not be able to field, but he's pretty much a lock for a .380 OBP and 40 homers. Last time I checked guys who post high OBP with huge power are valuable.

Sabathia, Cain, Linccumm, Zito.. 2 Cy Youngs and 2 young guys with Cy Young stuff. I admit its a bit of a bold statement BUT - they have the potential to be one of the best rotations of the decade.

im not feeling you scribble. baltimore is definitely not contending next year. hes also not going to the giants because they will also suck. dodgers and red sox have decent if not spectacular first baseman. youre looking at the yankees, mets, mariners, yankees, angels, braves, and oh yeah the yankees. when the yankees miss the playoffs this year watch how wide they open up their checkbooks. also the mets and mariners have two huge contracts coming off the books so they already have first base budgeted for a lot of money. the angels need him but i have no clue how they run that team. theyll probably sign another centerfielder next year. i just dont see the braves paying what its going to take.

Cabrera? he has so much talent. If he has a break out yr. what do u think the O's best option to do with him. Cabrera reminds me of ponson.

joelcards,

At no point did I ever say that I thought Baltimore could contend next year. Baltimore is going to be god awful next year. They have pretty much no starting pitching, a crappy bullpen, and like one truly good hitter (Markakis). What I said is that they are stacked with high potential talent.

I said that they COULD POTENTIALLY BE GOOD BY 2010. I didn't even say that I thought they could be good by 2010. Hell, I'll even copy and paste my own quote: "And I would be willing to argue that Baltimore stands a chance in 2010. It'd take some seriously stunning events, but its possible. It'd take a lot of luck and a few incredibly good moves, but I have seen crazier stuff happen." At no point did I predict they would be good. I just said that I wouldn't be in utter shock if the Orioles were winning games in 2010. That seems fair to me.

commenting on recent posts the last thing the giants need is more pitching. cmon guys seriously. i like the adam dunn to the giants idea. his numbers would drop but that guy is country strong. i have seen him in batting practice and its easy to tell whose hitting from the bleachers. only other guy ive seen hit balls consistently farther in bp is fielder. he drops bombs like hiroshima.

No position FA is gonna play at ATT for cheap.. Thats been the Giants problem the last couple of years - Carlos Lee, Gary Mathews - these guys didn't want to come to SF for the same money they got from other teams. Big bats just don't wanna play in a big ball park on a bad team unless we over pay them..

Sabathia is a Bay Area guy that'll take an offer from the Giants seriously and Nathan came up with Giants and voiced to the press that he'd like to come back to SF.

Signing Sabathia gives us the ability to trade our deep well of young starting pitching prospects for a much younger and cheaper bat or multiple bats for that matter. I'd rather take a couple of cheap young stud position players over Adam Dunns 30 year old over rated a$$ any day.

Pitching is a lot more valuable!! the market has shown that - Erik Bedard.

Signing Sabathia makes it easier for the Giants to make a deal for a big bat like Alex Rios or Hanley Rameriez and is the only shot the Giants have at returning to glory. Adam Dunn for 18 mil a year doesnt do that.

Make sense to you now retards.

Zito has a CY award but he is nowhere near the same guy. CC is a legit #1. Lincecum and Cain probably won't be any worse than a #3 (barring injuries) until they're in their 30s. You are using WAY too many IFs to make such a bold statement about the rotation.

I'm really beginning to get sick of people jumping all over prospects' and young guys' nuts like all the potential in the world actually means anything more than potential.

Also, why do some of the boldest statements seem to come from the worst teams' fans?

O's are building to contend by 2010. Which is when all the really dumb contracts come off the books.

And sure the Sox and Yankees will have older players. But of course they will have bought new players.

But if the O's (or anyone) wants to compete in the AL East you have to spend. And nothing would be a better investment for Baltimore then Teixeira.

And NY gave A-Rod $27 mil until he is 42. So yeah people overpay players.

Bedard not doing so well in the spring. 9inings 14 hits 2hr's. what's going on?

Every team has fans. Bad teams don't have the market cornered in dumb statements. Look at any team. Red Sox fans saying Crisp is a good hitter, Yankee fans saying Jeter is a good SS, I could go on but you get the idea.

Its always fun to hope your team ends up being good.

Psst. Bedard had an ERA over 6 in April last year. Just give him time. He will be fine.

I'll give you 2 1/2 words why Baltimore won't sign Texeira: Andy McPhail. McPhail didn't make anything more than a half-hearted attempt to sign any big name FA while with the Cubs. He's a fiscal conservative...he believes in not getting into bidding wars. Teams hire him specifically because he DOESN'T spend money freely. What will happen is that Texeira will make some overtures that he wants to play in his hometown city. McPhail will make a low-ball offer, hoping he'll take a big hometown discount, but Atlanta or a big money team will come in and offer substantially more and like most people, he'll decide it's worth more than the allure of playing at home. Then McPhail will turn around and sign Richie Sexson and say, "We think we can catch lightning in a bottle with this guy."

I don't really think there is such a thing as overpaying a guy nowadays. I think you can get a good deal or waste money. With the market the way it is a team has to 'overpay,' if not the dollar amount then at least because of the length of the contract, to get a good or better player.

Eh, I semi-retract that statement. It doesn't read like I want it to and I think it's kind of confusing. E.G. based on what I said, I'm wrong, because Team A can sign Player X for $ but Team can sign comparable Player Y for $$$. Overpay is too synonymous with "waste" and I'm having a hard time trying to convey what I'm thinking so I'll leave it.

I thought peter runs the Orioles and he has the cash.

XD23,do you see seattle winning the west or the wild card spot?

The Trib has money coming out it's ears. McPhail just won't spend it. And I thought the O's were trying to get away from the stigma that Angelos makes the baseball decisions? We keep hearing that Angelos is a new man and is letting McPhail run the team. But anyway, like I said, if an owner hires McPhail, they know he's going to build the team through the farm and not spend money on big free agents. Angelos probably new what he was doing when he brought in McPhail. Just like the Trib did. You don't think Angelos did his homework? Do you think he not knows exactly what type of GM McPhail is? He may yet build the O's up to a contender -- but it will be through the farm, trades, and mid-level FA signings. I'm not saying that's a bad thing. It's worked for him before. But as far as Texeira goes, I just don't see it happening. After watching McPhail for years, I'd be shocked if the O's made more than a token effort to sign him.

"XD23,do you see seattle winning the west or the wild card spot?"

Seattle is a lock for the playoffs? IMO Seattle will win <85 games

MR. CRUNCH, I was joking about the Peter issue.Being an O's fan I disagree. Baltimore will spend money and for a ballplayer like TEX. to come along is not very often.Tex. has made it clear that he would consider playing here (wanting to come here.)I remember the O's throwing a 100 mil. at Lee and he turned it down. I can't see the money not being there.You could be right knowing more about baseball politics then me.Tex. signing here would put fans in the seats as Cal did.

Mets - They need pitching. They lose El Duque and Perez definitley and they could lose Pedro. They need to either resign Perez or sign Sheets or C.C. I think they'll be a major player for Sheets and perhaps give Perez the money he'll need. Their lineup is adequate for the N.L even without Delgado. They have Wright, Reyes and Beltran. If they had pitching they would be players for Tex, but they don't

Yankees - Have a huge amount of salary coming off in the next two years, approximately 65 this year and 25 the following. They will be huge players in the FA market this coming offseason. They will probably bid on Tex and C.C. I doubt they get both, but they'll probably get one. It's a toss up. Depends on whether some team goes crazy.

Orioles - Although at the moment it may not make too much sense for the Orioles to sign him, Tex makes sense in the long run. if you're gonna sign him for 6,7,8 years, you don't have to compete next year. Maybe they see him as a peice of the puzzle. PLus, Angelos is out of his mind. So anything could happen. They do have a decent amount of good prospects, but not in the same class as Tampa Bay or even the Yankees or Red Sox.

Although Tex will not take a large hometown discout, if any, (his agent is Scott Boras) he might take Baltimore's offer if it is comparable to those from other teams simply because it is his "dream" or he would be "coming home".

Jeter would be a much better outfielder than first baseman. His skills now are made for them. His movement and glovework to his left is extremely limited and his footwork is awful. However, he would have good range in the outfield and his arm is still very adequate. Right Field would be a good fit. But Girardi is not going to move the captain of the New York Yankees and one of Baseball's most recognizable faces from his position.

Mister? You make me feel old Outlaw! ;) Anyway, anything's possible. Maybe McPhail will splurge a little...and maybe Texeira takes a bit of a hometown discount. If both sides think the team is progressing quickly - maybe they'll take a chance. But I think it's a little out of character for McPhail...but maybe you're right. No one knows for sure. Texeira would be a good hometown replacement if the O's trade Roberts...I'll definitely agree with that. Hopefully, for your guys sake, McPhail agrees as well.

Crunchy, I'm not sure you're right about MacPhail. Different circumstances. Different priorities. Different directives. Isn't the $6 million bonus to Wieters "out of character"?

And any owner is involved in a free agent signing of that magnitude. That wouldn't necessarily mean that Angelos was countermanding MacPhail's authority.

Seattle has a solid team. But they need something out of 1B, DH, 2B and RF this season to contend. But pitching won't be an issue.

I do think that Bedard will win a Cy Young in Seattle though.

In fact, I believe MacPhail has been very bold this offseason. Not that he's been taking on money. So, I don't know if that translates. But he's certainly shown himself not averse to taking risks.

XD23, I think SEATTLE should trade for Roberts, in fact. (Maybe we finally get Triunfel?) And Huff might be a good move for them, as a platoon partner with Sexson.

Maybe not. But I would think Angelos would hire McPhail knowing what his strengths are. If he wanted a spending guy or a wheeler dealer I would think he would hired someone else.
McPhail did sign some big contracts for draft picks when he was with the Cubs too, most notably Mark Prior, for whom the Cubs paid 10 million, including a 4 million dollar bonus. He also paid well over market value for Boras guys like Bobby Brownlie and Bobby Hill. So there is a good history with Boras. He does like to spend money on the draft that part isn't out of character...but 6 million isn't 100 million - or whatever it takes to sign Texeira. I'm no fan of the Yanks and I'd like Texeira out of our league - so I hope you guys are right and he signs with Baltimore. I'm not saying it won't happen, but I'll be surprised.

I will say this in the Orioles favor though. McPhail wanted Prior first but he also liked Texeira a lot and would have drafted him had the Twins selected Prior instead of Mauer. That, the hometown thing, and the decent relationship is what gives the Orioles a shot...I just think it's a long shot.

I personally think a Ichiro/Roberts top of the order would be great all year. Speed doesn't slump. Together they could steal 120+ bases if they wanted.

Of course, we're all just making educated speculation on bits of innuendo and past history, so who knows? I think Baltimore has the hometown thing with Texeira, the MacPhail relationship with Boras, the MacPhail admiration for Texeira (as you suggest, crunchy), Angelos's adoration of Texeira, and the likelihood that the Orioles won't get outbid unless somebody goes crazy (always possible, I suppose). I think pretty much all but one thing tilts in Baltimore's favor, but that one thing is a huge thing, the question of pennant contention, and Texeira's perception of Baltimore's chances at contending.

On top of the high ceiling pitching talent, the Os have Wieters. I don't think any team in the AL EAST (not named Tampa) has a position prospect like him.

Thats the odd thing about baseball. You can't contend without the players. And you can't get players without contending.

Unless ya overpay them.

And I know MacPhail doesn't like to sign big names. I saw what the Cubs did after MacPhail re-signed. I wasn't a fan of him getting rid of our best pitcher and clean up hitter either. I rather have seen the O's get a power hitter or two.

You're right, XD23, Ichiro/Roberts would be incredible. I do think that Bavasi ought to go all in at this point. The trade for Bedard seems that kind of move, but as most have suggested, still seems to leave them a little short. They still have some terrific prospects that might bring them some win-now players. They could've used Swisher, for example. I don't know who else in sell-mode has hitters of that ilk to trade, but Seattle should find them.

Of course, the best laid plans, etc. I thought that the Cubs' rotation that had Prior, Wood, Zambrano, Clement, and Maddux had a chance to be the best that ever was. Fate, bad luck, or Dusty Baker intervened. So, while I'm excited about the O's prospects, I'm trying not to count unhatched chickens.

I would think the Braves will do their best to keep Texeira after giving up 5 prospects. The Yanks could enter the fray too. Delgado's on his last hip so the Mets may get involved. There will be some competition so there will be some hefty bids out there. And good relationship or not, Boras will try to incite a bidding war. The O's will have to pony up, that part is certain. McPhail won't do it on his own...it has to come straight from Angelos. If Angelos decides he absolutely has to have him...that could change things. If the O's are competitive with their offer than all the things we talked about start coming into play.

Dusty Baker is what happened to the Cubs staff. He was a poor managerial choice for a team trying to build itself around young arms. That's why, going back to the old Kyle Lohse thing, it may not be a bad idea to get a couple of innings eaters out there. Save those young arms!

Good analysis, crunchy. I think Angelos would break the bank for Texeira. He's talked close to tampering in that regard. I mean, there's got to be some limit, so if the Yankees bid, I don't know, $210 million for seven years, would Angelos go that high? Maybe not. But I don't think he'd be easy to outbid.

DentalPlan--you're not understanding FineHamAbounds' point. Not saying the Braves are going after sabathia....has there been any mention of that anywhere? Ham is saying that the Yanks will most likely go after sabathia in favor of texeira, allowing the braves to retain him. i agree on this matter. tex would rather stay in atl, even if it means slightly less per year. and i don't know if the yanks can go after multiple guys next offseason who will likely command near or above 20 mil/year. even if they could, would they want to? sabathia fills a bigger need anyways so i think they will focus on him. please pay attention to the argument and make sure you understand someone's point before jumping all over them.

Mostly what I hear here is a lot of people's gut feelings. A lot of nothing. No one is saying that Teixeira will take a lowball offer to be in Baltimore. Baltimore fans are just saying there's a mutual desire to get Tex back to Bmore.

In the recent past, the Orioles have been the the last one standing with the highest bid on the table. They offered the best contract in years and money to Konerko, Vladimir, IRod, and Derek Lee. And they offered a highly competitive one to Delgado. When you have the best offer on the table and they still turn you down, it tells you these sluggers didn't want to be in Baltimore in the first place. Teixeira is different because, when it can only work to his disadvantage to be so outspoken about being an Oriole one day, he's giving out brief quotes and interviews on the topic. At the very least you have to conclude that there is a sincere desire to be an Oriole, which is more than you could say about any slugger the Orioles have went after in a decade.

It just comes down to what breaks a tie. If the Orioles are the last ones standing with the high contract again (and they have gone head-to-head against the Yankees before), does the boyhood hometown team connection win out? Teixeira grew up right in the "butter zone" when Baltimore would have been drenched in the mythos of Brooks, Jim, Eddie, and Cal so that stuff is a big deal to real Oriole fans.

and by the way it doesn't matter if they spend big money or not. they're consistently one of the top franchises in the game.

Angelos is the X factor in the Orioles chances. I don't know how involved he wants to get or how much he likes Tex. That's something you guys would know more about than me. If he makes up his mind that he really wants Tex, then I'll have to admit, McPhail's old spending patterns go out the window. On the other hand, if he lets McPhail set the parameters on how much he will bid...well, then I don't like the O's chances as much.

It's funny, the hometown thing. Even MacPhail had Baltimore as a hometown for awhile (when his dad was general manager of the Orioles). Those were the Brooks and Frank and Boog days. I know he's level headed, but I don't know that he's above a bit of hometown sentimentality.

The thing about the Braves is when's the last time they have signed a player for that kind of astronomical 20M/YR contract? Seriously name me one. I'm not proposing to be an expert on Braves players by any means. I sincerely don't know.

If they weren't willing to extend past the 15M mark for their own homegrown MVP/HOF potential player at about the same age as Tex will be (Andruw Jones), would Texeira command a change in policy? Maybe they're betting that Jones is heading for an early decline but it looks more like an off year. Even HOF players have had off years sometimes. I'm not saying Druw Jones is a HOFer but he's in the argument. If they don't break open the wallet for a him who has more of a track record, I don't see why they'd pay Tex even more with less of a track record.

jacklaf, I certainly appreciate what a superb organization Atlanta has been and is. I teach at John Schuerholz's alma mater. Our baseball stadium is named after him (and the money for it was partly donated by him). And alienating and losing Frank Wren was one of Angelos's greatest blunders (if not so great as alienating and losing Pat Gillick and Davey Johnson; or putting Syd Thrift in charge). The Braves have done most everything right for nearly twenty years. They should have won the Series another two or three times. It just doesn't seem like they can get close enough in the bidding for Texeira. I mean, I just know what I read. Do you think they could be competitive in the bidding?

Thats always pist me off too.The Orioles making a legit offer only to be turned down.I thought we had Vladimir and the 100 mil. to CARLOS Lee.States without income tax make a difference?Millions with no state tax isn't texas one on them.

Base, all I'm saying is that the O's have to be competitive with their offer financially. And I think it's going to have to be Angelos who imparts to McPhail that he will do whatever it takes to get Texeira -- that will make it interesting. McPhail prefers to build his team the old fashioned way so I can't see him being the one going up to Angelos and saying, "I need the money to sign this guy." He's not a FA guy. I see it being the other way around, with Angelos saying, "I want this guy, Andy...I'm opening up my wallet, do what you gotta do." And like I said earlier, if the O's can make at least a competitive offer, a lot of factors favorable to the O's make them a legitimate player in the Tex sweepstakes...probably one of the favorites. But the money has to come first.

Lee wanted to go home to Texas. Vlad, man, he really didn't want to come to Baltimore. We had the best--nearly only--offer on the table for, what was it, two months? Then the Angels come up with a comparable offer and he takes it in two minutes. Konerko thought we were a lousy team (he was right) and that he'd have a better chance of winning with the White Sox (he was right). What're you going to do? You've just got to get good.

Teixeira is looking like he will be the best position player Free Agent available in a long time. I think the last time someone that good hit the market, and not just a player coming off a career year, in his prime was Beltran.

I am a Baltimore fan and I want Tex to be an Oriole but, seeing how things are shaping up, I can see the market going out of control and Baltimore opts out. Of late the Orioles have been pretty disciplined in their spending/trading (to everyones' dismay!) that the way Tex's price is likely to sky-rocket, it forces the Os to choose between him or scouting/development resources. And that's not happening.

Teixeira's deal will probably be so astronomically huge in years and money that everyone will roll their eyes in disgust and talk about how it handicaps that team for years a la Zito.

Baltimore will improve and sign Tex. Then OWN N.Y. and Boston and i'll get drunk and be the happiest man alive!

Arod money ? WOW

Like I have said, the Yankees have 90 Million coming off the books in the next two years. they have the financial resources available to go after two $20 million guys. I'm also thinking they might make a run at Rafael Soriano.

Tex makes too much sense for them. Especially if they determine Jesus Montero is staying a catcher.

8 YRS. 160 MIL.I really couldn't imagin more then that.

I forgot about Carlos Lee. Him too. I think we had the high card on him as well. Baltimore bidding on Free Agents the last decade is like playing Blackjack and hitting "21" every hand but we get a -5 handicap because the dealer doesn't like your suit.

Crunchy, I think because Baltimore has not been able to attract big-time Free Agents, many fans think of the Orioles in a similar group as small-market teams. Unfortunately that's not the case. The Pre-MacPhail Orioles are very likely to offer Teixeira a more than competitive offer. As far as the MacPhail Orioles, I am not sure what to expect. That book's still being written but I do like what I am seeing from Andy. I have absolutely no problem with the Orioles passing on Teixeira and continuing the youth movement. I understand where that is coming from.

And would Texeira want New York? I have no way of knowing, but his stated fondness for both Baltimore and Atlanta makes me think he might prefer their smaller venues. The Yankees could blow everybody out of the water with their offer, but I'm thinking the O's would go A-Rod money for fewer years. Just a hunch. I don't know that, of course. But with salaries coming off the books, MASN money kicking in, etc. Like you, base, I wouldn't have a problem, though, in passing on Texeira.

cv1, I tend to agree that the Yankees have extra special incentive to go after Tex. 1B has been a gaping hole for them for a several years now. It seems like they've tried out anyone lefthanded to plug the defensive liability Giambi creates from the DH spot (Yes, that bad!).

That being said, I think they've been willing to choose pitching over position players more then not, if they have to choose. I've heard them linked to Sabbathia, Burnett, Harden, Lackey. Yes, they have a lot of money but they can't sign everybody.

I'm going to say that it will be a 200M contract for 7-8 years.

time to make erryone hate me

Abreu; he'll take a discount and will still put up .300/.400/.500
Jeter
Cano
Arod
Teixeira; we def need some portuguese fans in YS
Posada
Matsui
Action Jackson; he'll be ready PECOTA says a stronger, faster vDubs (vernon wells)
Cabrera

damon wouldn't take hgh, so i released him

...with 40 mil to spend on bargain relief pitching and or sabathia and or high ceiling high school talent, biyaaaaa

This whole Giants idea is ridiculus. First of all, they are not going to sign Sabathia and Nathan. Sabathia probably goes to the Yankees and Nathan to Mets or maybe any Central team in either league, most of who could use a dominate reliable closer. Nathan would not be able to save games in San Francisco because there would be no opportunities.
But for "Ohan's" sake lets say that somehow happens. So there is two more contracts of 15-20 million a year atleast . Add that with Zito's already sorry contract, and that sounds like a nightmare. But we will keep going with this. So Sabathia is a good number 1 and can stay healthy. Cain will be a good number 2, but he has not played long enough to show consistent health, but so far so good. Zito will not be a number 3. Judging by spring training so far, he will be a good guy to throw bp. Lincecum could be a good number 2. He has the stuff, but looking at the way he throws and his size, I see a tommy john surgery coming up very soon.
Then trade for Hanley with pitching prospects...Who might that be?? According to Baseball America, the Giants have 2 out of the top 100 prospects. #33 on the list is Giants 3b prospect, so you cant trade him. And #84 is the lone Giants pitcher that makes the list. I do not think the Marlins will accept that sorry offer.
So Ohan, just because you are a fan, does not mean you know what you are talking about. Get used to losing this year, because with the deep, young, talented west division, there will be many more losing years for SF.
Now, does that make sense to you retardo?!?!

"Things are looking up for the Braves if you're right, which you're not. Braves are going to get Sabathia and Teixeira? Lies. No one seems to be more consistently wrong about their team spending big money than Braves fans."

You missed my point. By a longshot. I'll make it easier for a non-Braves fan who clearly doesn't understand how the team spends big money.

The Braves aren't going after Sabathia at all. But the Yanks are, and they won't go after 2 guys who'll want $20+ Mil and 6+ years. Since the Yanks will likely go after C.C., that paves the way for the Braves to get Tex back.

So atticus,

Your points don't make any sense - "Linccumm will get tommy john soon," "Zito will suck forever" and "the Giants are doomed to suck for years even if they sign a Cy young winner"

Pitching has value, especially young pitching with good contracts. Signing a legit #1 SP in CC allows the Giants to go out and trade pitching for bats - how does that not make sense?

We obviously couldn't trade Linccumm or Cain this past off season b/c they are all we have AND we haven't been able to sign a FA position players the past 2 off seasons b/c we suck and our ballpark is a pitchers paradise.

The only way we're going to able to land a big bat for a Reasonable price is trading our young pitching and we can't do that unless we can add depth to our rotation - is that thinking too far ahead for you? Sorry I didn't mean to hurt your brain.

And how is Hanley a stretch? Miggie and DWillis were brought in for a handful of prospects that I'm sure the Giants could match in some way and if we can't do it with talent, we have a lot of $$$. And if not Hanley I'd take a Delmon Young or a handful of guys for a Linccumm - think Erik Bedard but cheaper and locked up for twice as long.

If you have a better suggestion for the Giants, I'd like to hear... I mean since you know all.

Ohan: It's "Lincecum." Say it with me. "Lin-ce-cum."

i'm not saying the braves will necessarily get tex back. it's just that a lot of people commenting are just writing him off to the yanks. i would be tempted to agree if they weren't going after sabathia. i don't think the yanks will get texeira after this year. just a gut feeling. that's not to say that someone else won't instead of the braves, but i certainly like their chances a lot better without having to worry about the stankees. FineHam, i think we are on the same page.

oh and whoever brought up the fact that the braves didn't pay andruw last year doesn't watch the braves enough to comment on that situation. i'll agree that andruw could be a HOF sometime, for his defense more than anything. i don't think last year was just an off year though. every part of his game declined. he hit terribly (even if he can still hit 30 HRs, a .220 clip isn't going to get it done). he still has very little plate discipline (some things never change), strikes out way too much, can't steal a base to save his life anymore, and had noticeably more trouble covering center and getting to balls last year. his season was not worthy of what the dodgers gave him, but the braves knew someone would pay him what he wanted, so they chose not to give in. texeira is a bonafide stud at the peak of his career. i think they will do their best to bring him back.

I think you guys overvalue the Yankees and Red Sox prospects. Most of the good Boston prospects have already been called up.They don't have a whole lot beyond Ellisbury, Bucholtz, Pedroia ect. and and the Yanks rolled the dice on Joba and it payed off, but the only other front end of the rotation talent they have is hughes and Kennedy. Orioles are much deeper in my opinion, with pitchers like Tillman, a 19 year old phenom picked up in the Bedard trade, Liz, Spoone, Erbe, Arrieta, Beato,(all potential top 100 prospects) not to mention young arms Patton and Olson picked up in the Tejada deal. When you couple that with the young position players like Wieters and the 4th overall pick (perhaps hs ss phenom Tim Beckham) and the young power hitting of Nolan Reimold and Bill Rowell, you see that the depth of the O's farm system is closer to that of the Rays as opposed to the Yanks or Sox.

you can't have it both ways and say boston and nyy's prospects are overrated and then boast about your own prospects and even boast about a speculated 4th overall pick... oh by the way, boston and nyy's farms are rated much higher than Bmore's farm system; look it up

7 to 8 YRS. 200 MIL. I wouldn't be surprised and after giving in more thought the O's should pass on that type of contract.I always think there is no way a player is going to get that kind of money and it happens.25 mil. a yr. The O's could get alot more for the 25 mil.First base is a big hole for the O's.Anyone in the minors that could convert over to 1b? Rowell,Snyder? Maybe Moore if he show's promise this yr?

Ohan,
This made me laugh really hard-
"Miggie and DWillis were brought in for a handful of prospects that I'm sure the Giants could match in some way and if we can't do it with talent, we have a lot of $$$"
The Giants have zero young talent. Cain and Lincecum (If you can spell his name correctly?)...thats it. And if they trade either one of them, then they have no pitching depth. And if they could have gotten Miggie and DWillis, then why didnt they?
The only way the Giants have any hope is to start trading the vets now for younger talent, becuase they have none for themselves.
Also, the Giants are not going to get a handful of guys for Lincecum. They could have gotten Rios from Toronto. 1 guy. Not a handful, and not a guy like Hanley, that would require talent they DO NOT HAVE...enjoy last place

Be afraid...the long winded one is here.

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