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Holliday Trade Unlikely
Troy E. Renck and Patrick Saunders of the Denver Post write that a Matt Holliday trade is unlikely, at least during the season. The Rockies are telling teams they're not looking to move their left fielder. The team is currently eight games out, but GM Dan O'Dowd isn't ready to pack it in.
Additionally, O'Dowd makes a good point in that Holliday's value won't be diminished much if he waits until the offseason. Holliday is signed for the '09 season at $13.5MM. It may be true that teams sometimes make desperate in-season trades. But it's also true that the offseason brings out a certain irrationality in many clubs. Everyone's healthy and you can talk yourself into thinking you have a good team. And it's easier to write off an "off year" for a player if it's not in progress.
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“Additionally, O'Dowd makes a good point in that Holliday's value won't be diminished much if he waits until the offseason.”
…Yeah, might as well hang onto him and hope he somehow goes on a road-tear to help the Homer/Road splits a bit. That 200-300 OPS difference is the scariest part of trading for him, not his contract or injury or anything else…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | June 20, 2008 at 11:14 AM
Mark Teixera got a huge bounty and he was playing in a hitters park in Texas. Obviously, the Braves still gave up a lot to get him, though. Why is it that much different for Holliday.
Posted by: Joe | June 20, 2008 at 12:43 PM
Might not be the best example for 2 reasons:
1) Holliday posts OPS of 1.00+ at home and around .850-.900 at home. (I’m fairly confident that is the difference, it was broken down a couple weeks ago) Its roughly the difference of like Albert Pujols or ARod vs someone like Nick Swisher. Tex’s splits were only about .100 points of OPS ~ still large, but not even close to the extreme.
2) Tex isnt playing well this year ~ he would probably have to go into the “look what you might end up with” category, and further prove the risk involved when paying for a guy who hits dramatically better at home vs the road like Holliday. (that is of course barring Teixeira turning his season around)
I would not want my teams to buy Holliday at a Pujols-like price only to end up with Nick Swisher. I would of course love Nick Swisher, its nothing against him ~ its just not what I paid for. Its unknown if Holliday will continue that split of course, but its so dramatic that you have to feel his production will atleast go down a good chunk from what his overall lines have looked like...
Posted by: darkstar1661 | June 20, 2008 at 02:27 PM