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Rosenthal's Latest: Sabathia, Blake, Greinke, Tejada

And now...a fresh Ken Rosenthal column.

  • An opposing viewpoint: Rosenthal says "any team that acquires C.C. Sabathia would gain an exclusive window to sign him long-term before he reaches free agency."  Rosenthal notes that the Brewers and Rays are stacked enough to acquire Sabathia and wouldn't mind taking draft picks for him after the season.
  • Casey Blake is drawing trade interest; his versatility is a plus.  Rosenthal likes the fit for the Dodgers, Mets, and A's.
  • An anonymous general manager tossed out this "trade concept": Adam Dunn to the Dodgers for Juan Pierre, Chin-lung Hu, and cash.  Thoughts?
  • Teams such as the Braves, Phillies, and Brewers have expressed interest in Zack Greinke at some point, but the Royals plan to keep him.  He'll be eligible for free agency after the 2010 season.
  • Earlier this year the Cubs inquired on David DeJesus, but now they seem content with their Jim Edmonds-Reed Johnson platoon.  Maybe talks will be rekindled after the season?
  • The Astros will talk about any player on the roster without a no-trade clause, which would include Miguel Tejada.  Does that mean Jose Valverde, Hunter Pence, and Wandy Rodriguez aren't off limits?


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Comments

"An anonymous general manager tossed out this "trade concept": Adam Dunn to the Dodgers for Juan Pierre, Chin-lung Hu, and cash. Thoughts?"

Adam Dunn hates baseball, Juan Pierre lives for baseball this trade must be good for Cincinatti. Plus they get a guy with two body parts in his name. Get it done.

Adam Dunn for JP, Hu and Cash? Well...it'd be nice to have Dunn's bat, but now there isn't a lead-off guy; Pierre's 30 SBs are hard to replace.

I really don't trust Furcal to be 100% if and when he comes back. Not to mention, I'm not too in favor of giving him an even bigger contract after this season if he hasn't had a healthy season since 2006.

Now theory: If this does happen and Furcal is out, who leads off? Martin or Kemp? Martin has some speed but not as much as Kemp. Kemp is probably the fastest guy after Pierre, but he strikes out a ton.

Arodsucks, you have got to be kidding me. In light of the Riccardi comments about Dunn, you would think people would realize that Dunn actually loves baseball, he just looks too relaxed at some times. Didn't you read that Rosenthal article? He's played in awful pain with DL-type injuries. Wow, must hate baseball.

And why would we want Pierre? He's a expensive with a long contract and can't hit the ball out of the infield. We already have enough MIF options as it is

anonymous GM?

I thought Bavasi got fired.

pierre and hu...for dunn.

40 homeruns a year, in the bank...for 0 in return. gosh..tough call here..bzzzt

No one is off limits for the right price.

Tejada to the Cardinals for Bryan Anderson and Jamie Garcia.

Oh and Casey Blake...Why do the Dodgers need another 3rd baseman, and with declining power and butter fingers? The same kind of production comes out of DeWitt/LaRoche and they got better gloves and they got upsides since they're kids.

Hunter Pence is off limits. There would be a mob of crazy Houstonians who would tear down the Bagwell and Biggio statues and burn Minute Maid Park to the ground if Pence was traded. Drayton McLane is very conscience of the public's opinion.....

Though, I don't think Wandy Rodriguez is untouchable, trading him doesn't make much sense for the Astros. He's their best pitcher and I believe youngest. But, he would probably net the best return as he's probably the most under rated pitcher in baseball. Right now he's pitching as well as Johan.

I really can't see the Astros having a fire sale, but if they did I think the likely candidates to be traded are:

1. Tejada
2. Valverde
3. Oswalt
4. Lee
5. Brocail
6. Geary

I think those are the only guys with any value (Berkman won't be traded either...)

Greinke to the Braves im all aboard!! Will take a nice haul to get him but would give us a very nice core of young pitchers to build around for years to come.

Adam Dunn is a base-clogger. You need someone who plays the game the right way, like Eckstein.

"Drayton McLane is very conscience of the public's opinion....."

If this were the case, then Ed Wade never would have been hired.

Posted by: redsforever | June 27, 2008 at 02:09 PM

^^ bro do not argue with ARodSucksAtLife, this guy knows everything, well at least he thinks he do.

hi my name is adam dunn, i played with a broken hand for a month, but i hate baseball.

i get on this site to read baseball news and see whats going on, but i hate when people act like they are some big sports writer who knows everything but maybe some little kid who's at home wating for Tim to post a topic

"If this were the case, then Ed Wade never would have been hired."

Not everyone in Houston knew who Ed Wade was before he got there. Everyone, and I mean everyone in Houston knows who Hunter Pence is, and everyone loves the kid.

Plus most people that actually follow the team enough to care about a GM hiring didn't really think Ed Wade was a front runner. I think most people was counting on Logan White or Ruben Amaro getting the job. Ed Wade was a surprise.


Why are the Rays in every trade talk.THey can't keep Sabathia.They can't afford 5 years nearly $20 million a year.You think Pena,Carwford ar gonna stay under $15 million.

And hey the Orioles in 2006 were 1st place in the division.The Rays got major promise but SAbathia ain't going to the Rays.And who wants to go in a crappy Brewers team.Unless they overpaid.

How are you LA fans enjoying Andruw?

Doesn't anyone realize that ARodSucksAtLife was being completely sarcastic with his comment?

Oh, and that Dunn for Pierre trade proposal is ridiculous....

Finally, Casey Blake is a perfect fit for the Mets; he's old, slow, would probably play out of position, and most importantly, he sucks...

"^^ bro do not argue with ARodSucksAtLife, this guy knows everything, well at least he thinks he do."

Me knows proper American speak. Word.

Not very well Land Man. :-/ But still holding out hope that after his surgery and rehab, since it sounds like he's doing much better and is in better shape, that he can still come back and contribute after the all-star break. If so, then while Pierre once again becomes (hopefully) the 4th man out, I don't see what Dunn would add to the equation except more outfield confusion. Yes, they need more power but...

Again, they have to see how Jones is doing in his road back. If he looks hopeless again, then Dunn would make more sense (as would getting rid of Pierre). I know Dusty loves JP but not sure the Reds' GM would. I do think Chin Lung Hu, despite his poor numbers this year, is still a great prospect and the Reds' could use more SS depth (and the Dodgers have Ivan De Jesus Jr in the minors, too), but still, I don't see that one happening.

Yes! Somebody PLEASE take Blake!

If the Indians could get anything decent for Blake... Shipiro would be a genious.

The Reds already have Juan Pierre on their roster. His name is Norris Hopper.

If the Reds deal Dunn for a poor OF and a mid-teir prospect and cash I'll be furious.

Castilli has been saying that he wants to build a winner in Cincinnati...you don't do that by trading your best player for basically junk and salary relief.

I could stomach it if the Reds got back Kemp and another player, but not for a more expensive Hopper and a SS that has shown nothing at the ML level.

Darin,
I think a lot of us could easily see Houston having a fire sale. However, and I'm sorry this is off-topic, but I think Houston would be smart to trade Berkman while he's hot.

Also, Juan Pierre and Hu for Dunn is ridiculous. Swapping power for speed. And, asschellis rightfully stated, the Reds DO already have a much cheaper version of Pierre on their roster: Norris Hooper. Juan Pierre is far too expensive and Hu is and never will be MLB ready.

Pierre and Hu for Dunn? I'd love that trade, but no way the Reds would go for it. As pos/neg said power for speed is ridiculous and Hu is offensively challenged.

why would the dodgers want dunn? i thought they signed andruw to fill the strikeout void in their lineup... and while hes been on the DL matt kemp has been doing a fine job keeping that up for him. imagine kemp, dunn, and jones as 3,4,5 in the lineup. could be 3 runs, but more likely three k's for most good closers.

Positive/Negative,

The Astros don't have a history of selling off their vets during the season. Also, Berkman is the least likely to waive his NTC out of him, Lee and Oswalt.

How about the Delgado fella. Who says he is done? :)

Oh whoops,
forgot about the NTC

Is Dunn a slam dunk Type A guy?

Reason I ask is Dunn's value goes up dramatically if he is a for sure Type A. If there is a chance that he is a type B Cinci will be limited in what they can ask for.

**** Please Tim tell us that TypeKey is getting updated soon. I was hoping that with the remodel TypeKey would improve. Alas it's the same ole system that forgets your logged in.

"Is Dunn a slam dunk Type A guy? "

He will be the 2nd highest ranked 1b/of in the NL after Mark Texiera. Absolute slamdunk.

as for the trade thats just not happening unless la eats a lot of pierres salary. hes one of the most overpaid players in the game. also with keppinger and phillips i dont think cincy needs lu.

now someone said that the rays arent going to deplete their farm system for sabathia. they could trade quite a bit and still have moe young talent than almost any team. why not go for it?

and houston is not having a firesale. everyone inside and outside of houston knew the astros would be bad with that garbage rotation yet they still traded their farm for tejada. it made perfect sense to start rebuilding or at least do a halfway rebuild like the cards but they just couldnt do it. why would they change that mindset now when they easily could have taken that approach in the offseason?

That Pierre/Dunn swap might be the worst trade proposal I've ever heard....I'm sure the only GM's that would have suggested such a thing are the Pirates, Astros, Brewers, Cubs, and Cardinals just to get Dunn out of that division for pretty much nothing. lol

If that's the cost, then the Mets damn well do better then that.

On a side note, I am a fan of getting Casey Blake for LF for the Mets....any idea what it would take?

"Dunn's bat, but now there isn't a lead-off guy; Pierre's 30 SBs are hard to replace."

Bat Martin lead off as he has 25/25 ability to go along with a great eye.

I actually like this idea, as it does address a lot of the Dodgers' concerns. Dunn's homers go out in any park and there are plenty of contact hitters in the lineup to make up for the high K totals.

"Dunn's bat, but now there isn't a lead-off guy; Pierre's 30 SBs are hard to replace."

Bat Martin lead off as he has 25/25 ability to go along with a great eye.

I actually like this idea, as it does address a lot of the Dodgers' concerns. Dunn's homers go out in any park and there are plenty of contact hitters in the lineup to make up for the high K totals.

"And hey the Orioles in 2006 were 1st place in the division."

What? The 70-92 Orioles were in 1st place?

They owned the #1 spot in the AL East for only 3 days, and the latest they had the lead in the season was on April 6.

This couldn't have been what you were talking about... could it?

"The Reds already have Juan Pierre on their roster. His name is Norris Hopper."

Pierre had 64 Stolen Bases last year in 162 games, compared to Hopper's 14 SBs in 120 games, so I would hold off on the comparisons for awhile.


"I could stomach it if the Reds got back Kemp and another player, but not for a more expensive Hopper and a SS that has shown nothing at the ML level."

You can't honestly think they will give you Kemp for Dunn... not to mention Kemp and more lol

I think there would definately be a market in Casey Blake. He plays 1B, 3B, and OF, and is hitting over .400 with over 40 RBIs this year with RISP.

If the Reds can't get Kemp + another player for Dunn then they might as well let him walk for the picks instead.

Dunn plus 2 first round picks is far far more valueable then LAs unwanted parts.

Hopper wasn't asked to run alot with the Reds, but if he was a every day starter he could probably get you 20-30 steals a year easily. When you play in the GABP you play a different game.

Pierre is also not a leadoff hitter, he doesn't get on base nearly enough for it, and he's one of the worst CFers in the game.

The guy is a 4th OF at best. He steals alot of bases so fantasy types thinks he's great. Similar to Tavaras and Bourn.

If I were the Reds I would insist on Kemp and LaRoche.

Teams are learning that its far better investment to give draft picks what ever they want then to pay big contracts to mediocre players.

A first rounder and a suplimental alone is worth far more then that pathetic offer.

u make a good point schell about hopper. hopper and pierre are very similar. switch ballparks and the steals would b very different. the dodgers run way more also because nobody on their team is really a power hitter.

as for getting kemp, u wish. maybe the reds should keep dunn for the picks but the dodgers arent going to give up kemp, end of story. the dodgers are dumb but not that dumb.

Even if you assume Hopper gets 20-30 SBs, which he's NEVER done, he still is nowhere near the territory of Pierre. In the last 7 years, the lowest amount of SBs Pierre has had is 45 and he has had 60+ twice and 50+ four times.

I'm not arguing if Pierre is good or not, frankly, I could care less. But to say you have a Juan Pierre in Norris Hopper makes no sense. Pierre's BEST ASSET is his Stolen Bases, and Hopper doesn't come close to the mimicing the amount of Pierre puts up. Your own argument about Pierre's low OBP disproves the Hopper comparison, considering Hopper's OBP is usually much higher and will be expected much higher than Pierres.

I sure know a lot of teams that would LOVE a guy like Juan Pierre, a guy with a huge amount of speed and an over .300 avg. Knock his D if you want, but he covers a ton of ground. And he hasn't played CF all year, he plays LF, Kemp and Jones play CF.

As for Kemp, why would the Dodgers give up Kemp, the centerpiece of their future and one of the next superstars in the MLB, for Dunn??? Why??? I can't even fathom a reason they would make that deal. Then you want them to throw in LaRoche their big 3B prospect??? You'd be lucky to get a LaRoche package for Dunn. Dunn strikes out seemingly every AB, is destined to be an AL DH at some point, and remember he hits 40 HR a year... at Great American. Dodger Stadium isn't exactly HR field like Cincy. Sure he would still put up a big amount, but he would not hit as many in Dodger Stadium as in Cincy.

Plus who would pay Dunn and Andruw Jones to hit in the heart of the order? That's just an awful idea. They would have a contest of who could K most in the season.

And BTW, the Red Sox have plenty of power hitters, but I see that Ellsbury is doing just fine getting his stolen bases. Good base stealers will get SBs no matter where they play or who they play for. Hopper may be at that level at some point, but he is nowhere near the level Juan Pierre is at right now

schellis,

Bourn and Taveras are both Plus defenders in CF. They can both throw quite well, which is something that well all know Pierre can't do.

All these "baseball experts" say the brewers have enough talent to get CC, but what none of them know is that Doug Melvin said that he will NOT trade Laporta, Gamel or Escobar, for a rental from CC. The brewers have plenty of other lower level yet still extremely talented prospects, not named the three above. I think the brewers should trade for CC, because it could bring a lot of good things to this city.

this argument about dunn going to LA is rediculous. everyone knows that the dodgers are going to sell their future to the reds for dunn and as already pointed out, the reds aren't going to hand over dunn for an overpaid washed up outfielder.

If the reds had to unload dunn that would be one thing, but as was mentioned before, with the compensation picks...why would the reds make a trade that they aren't happy with...they really have no need to trade him...the ball is totally in the reds court on dunn which is why they can safely demand anything that they want in knowing that they can just keep him around for the picks.

I think all that has been decided is that dunn isn't going to LA

Pierre to me has more value as a starter than as a 4th OF. Being a 4th OF essentially neutralizes the speed value that he DOES have. Pierre in the lineup with a consistent chance of turning a single/walk into a double by stealing a bag has much more value than if you cap him by only running him out there a couple of times a week. Juan Pierre with 60 SB is better than a Juan Pierre with maybe 20-30 in a part time role. I'm not making the argument that he's a great asset to a team. Just for what capacity he has most value. If I'm the Dodgers I run him everytime he's on.

His SB% for 2008 is right at 78%. That's up over his career 67% SB. He's pretty much pacing himself from last season.

Kauffman Stadium is getting a makeover. Maybe an influx in attendance will give the Royals some extra cash to sign Greinke to an extension. It's easy to see why other teams would want him, but they are the same reasons KC would likely want to hold onto him. Trading him would kind of undercut the Meche signing. Why pay $55 mil for a guy and implode the rotation behind him that severely?

"That's up over his career 67% SB"

and that means?

"Pierre to me has more value as a starter than as a 4th OF."

Really? Why?

what is up with all the juan pierre love. all that guy does is steal bases, thats it. anyone who has a throwing arm like that in the outfield is not a winning player.

That's why I said I wasn't making the argument that he was a great asset to the team. There's no Juan Pierre love as far as I'm concerned. My argument is that he is an even WORSE 4th outfielder.

A career stolen base percentage of 67% is horrid for a man withhis speed. He has been stealing more effectively the past few seasons though.

His arm is atrocious. I'd like to see a study of how much that hurts his value. He'd be much more attractive as a second basemen.

The only real argument that can be made for his value is that his speed on the bases can have a direct impact on winning games. Not stolen bases exclusively, but his ability to score by taking extra bases.

His OBP is at .330...not good for a National League team or for a leadoff hitter. There's no real knock on him other than that he has a ridiculous contract. It was crazy at the time.

Pierre would be most valuable playing LF for an American League team that has short fences in left. He could bat in the 9 hole. It wouldn't make him a better player, but it might make his weaknesses less revealing.

Manny Ramirez has a lousy arm in LF. Is he a winning player? I'd say yes. A bat can quickly minimize any defensive inefficeny.

"Manny Ramirez has a lousy arm in LF."

That isn't true.

" all that guy does is steal bases, thats it. "

Badly.

isn't pierre stealing bases at about an 80% rate this season? 5% above his career % of 75. as far as base stealing is concerned, that's just as effective as lou brock. we all know he can't throw, but you can't deny that he can steal bases.

u just compared juan pierre with lou brock? not cool. and while i dont think mannys arm is good i dont think its on the pierre level. now coco crisp, thats a very similar arm. and seriously manny is a hall of fame hitter who hits for power and average. personally i hate manny but hes a winning player.

"anyone who has a throwing arm like that in the outfield is not a winning player."

Johnny Damon is not a winning player? Barry Bonds is not a winning player? There are tons of guys with weak arms who are winning players. That is arbitrary and ridiculous as me saying players who drop down slightly side arm to make a throw across the infield during the 7th inning or later of home games are not winning players.

Manny Ramirez doesn't have a good arm. He has a pretty accurate arm and he usually has short throws to make from LF in fenway. Doesn't make him a bad fielder, like everybody says. He plays LF out in fenway wonderfully, which is obviously very hard to do.

Point is, I am sure people can come up with a list of plenty of guys with weak arms who were pretty good players.

What Pierre brings is a guaranteed production line. Sure its not really a good one, but its consistent… He isnt even *that* fast really, he just runs all the time and law of averages says plus-speed will result in a high number of steals as throwing a guy out is actually a hard thing to do to begin with. You also know he isnt going to K very often, and can make it down the line pretty well ~ he’s ideal hitting infront of, or behind, another fast guy.

What is to like about Pierre ~ he tries. And really just keeps trying no matter it seems, even in the face of him being one of the running jokes of the game. He doesn’t have skills (everyone, including himself, knows that) but it doesn’t stop him from using what little he does have to get around the bases.

I love Pierre as a 4th OFer, when he is penciled into an OF spot 140+ games a year though, then you know you are in trouble. That said, the Dodgers is one of the few teams I actually think he fits in with though ~ he’s more valuable to them then he would be to other teams…

The real wrath should be hoisted on the Dodgers for signing him to such a large contract in the first place.

Going way beyond what other teams were offering Andruw Jones wasn't too bright either. I'm surprised Coletti still has a job.

They would have to eat some serious money to deal Pierre. He needs togo to an AL team as the 9 hole hitter. Like darkstar1661 said, he needs to hit infront or behind a faster player.

He's not the optimal starting LF for a team, but he could be in a better situation than LA.

well we have gone from comparing pierre to brock to comparing pierre to bonds. firstoff, his arm is worse than both damon and bonds. also he has no hitting ability whatsoever. what made bonds a winner wasnt his arm in the outfield, it was 700 homers and an over 400 obp. how can u even compare the 2?

and i like the comment about pierre hustling. u r right darkstar, he works hard, runs hard, and always puts forth his best effort. its the same thing as eckstein. if he was cheap than hes good. my problem with pierre is as much that ridiculous contract as it is his ability.

The Dunn-for-Pierre trade doesn't make a whole lot of sense. The Dodgers already have four outfielders if you include Andruw, and that's a big if. But they're paying him big money, so once he gets off the DL, he's going to be playing. It seems like they would try to get rid of an outfielder and get something else instead of another outfielder. Unless they plan on trading Jones (yeah right, who wants him?), Ethier (stupid move), or Kemp (another stupid move), it doesn't seem like it would solve anything. And you can't move Dunn to first because Loney is there. No way this is getting done.

I could see the Dodgers dealing Loney. Not in an Adam Dunn deal though. Loney hits for average, but his power is suspect for a first basemen.

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