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10:28pm: Red Sox GM Theo Epstein said there is nothing to this rumor.
3:28pm: Gordon Edes of the Boston Globe expects the Red Sox to engage in further conversations with the Braves about Teixeira leading up to the deadline.
8:29am: Several readers have written in regarding a rumor from ESPN's Peter Gammons during last night's broadcast. Reportedly Gammons said the Braves offered Mark Teixeira to the Red Sox for Kevin Youkilis and Craig Hansen, but the Sox declined.
Given Youk's superior numbers and team control through 2010, hanging on to him makes sense. But it is interesting to see that the Braves might be shopping Teixeira already.
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interesting. as a braves fan, i really feel like it's time to do something, whether it's buy or sell, i don't know. i feel like this team needs more than just 1 or 2 parts to catch up.
i guess this kind of establishes some value for tex. he's only going to be worth what someone is willing to give, and looking at this rumor, i'm not sure it's as much as what most were hoping for. youk has been great, but hansen has not.
Posted by: barracus79 | July 14, 2008 at 08:57 AM
Hansen was tremendous upside. He could be a dominant closer in the future. He just has a mental hurdle to clear first
Posted by: Stan2219 | July 14, 2008 at 09:09 AM
Teix is definitely the superior player. How much more does he give you over the second half. In my opinion, he gives you a lot more. He is a career second half performer, while Youk always seems to fade after the break.
People forget that Youk had just as good (approximately) start last year, but was a detriment in 2nd half with a .238 Avg. and .747 OPS after the break. Similar swoon in 2006.
The Red Sox can win a championship again this year. If there is even a possibility that Papi will not produce at great levels upon his return (if he doesn't reaggrivate his wrist in the meantime) the Sox need to make this trade. They will not be able to absorb Youk's second half swoon without huge production from Papi.
The only remaining question is about team chemistry. Can you trade Youk without really upsetting the balance of the team? I suspect you can. Players love to win.
I believe that the organization doesn't like the fact that Boras (and other teams) will be holding them over a barrel after the season. The Red Sox would essentially NEED to sign Teix. I know 2 other AL East teams will be in on Teix, and I'm sure a slew of other teams will be. Its not an admirable place for the Sox to be, but if they want to improve their chances to win another ring this year, they should make this deal.
Hansen is a non-factor in my eyes. He supposedly found his stuff this year, yet is sporting a 5.47 ERA and 1.63 WHIP.
Posted by: Mr_Punch | July 14, 2008 at 09:11 AM
I'd be torn on this deal from an NYY fan perspective.
Cons: Teixeira is better than Youkilis.
Pros: Youkilis would likely be really, really sad to leave Boston which would make me really, really happy.
Cons: Boston would have a 50% (or so) chance at picking up the Yankees 1st round pick in 2009.
Pros: Not more looking at Youkilis' disgusting beard 19 times per season.
Cons: Teixeira may decide he loves Boston and sign there for a discounted price.
Pros: Youkilis. Sad.
Toss up I guess.
Posted by: Not Joe Morgan | July 14, 2008 at 09:25 AM
Youkilis has great value because of his good contract, defense, and offensive numbers. Tex is good. I think Hansen has a high ceiling but I think the elevator is out and must take the stairs. If the Sox could get a window to talk extension or something along those lines-great trade. Plus it would not only get a good bat for when Manny leaves (end of 08 or 09), and a replacement for ailing Ortiz- but it would keep him from being in a Yanks uniform next year.
Posted by: HypnoToad | July 14, 2008 at 09:31 AM
To me, Teixeira adding even one win for the Sox compared to Youk is questionable at best.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | July 14, 2008 at 09:39 AM
This was broken during an ESPN broadcast and on http://www.ingamenow.com. The InGameNow community was collectively outraged - it makes no sense for the Red Sox to acquire a rental player who is making more than Youklis (who bats better and is under contract)
Posted by: kimboslice | July 14, 2008 at 09:41 AM
Mr. Punch, be careful on giving up those power arms so young. As I saw firsthand with Mike Pelfrey (who lots of people thought was a bust), something can just click and then all the sudden these guys are dominant. Pelfrey stunk up the joint for a year and a half, and out of nowhere he looks absolutely dominant.
2008 month by month
April- 22 IP, 4.43 era, 29 hits and 10 walks, just 10k's, .330/.400/.477/.877 line against him
May- 33.2 IP, 5.35 era 41 hits and 15 BB to 19 K's, .308/.388/.414/.802 againt.
June- 31 IP, 3.52 era, 32 hits, 15 BB, 19 k's, .276/.366/.362/.728 against.
July- 22 IP, 0.41 era, 15 hits, 2 BB's, 16 k's, .200/.241/.240/.481 againt.
Point is, Hansen is the same sort of power arm, and as soon as everything clicks he could be dominant. I would be careful of giving up on him just yet. Pelfrey was close to losing his ML job, and everybody around NY wanted him traded for a sack of potatos. You have to be patient with these young arms.
Posted by: nrmax88 | July 14, 2008 at 09:43 AM
I can understand a Sox fan not wanting to do the trade due to Tex's pending free agency, etc. However, saying Youk "bats better" as a justification not only ignores his huge second-half fade last year, but also Tex's well-established splits as a second half player throughout his career, and especially the last 2 years. Last year, he had 18 HR and 64 RBI post-AS Break. In 2006, he had 8 HR pre-AS Break and 24 post-AS break. Plus, he's an outstanding defensive 1B. Youk's contract status is much better than Tex's, but there is no question that Tex is a better hitter, and equal in the field.
Posted by: LuckoftheAmish | July 14, 2008 at 09:59 AM
As a Braves fan, I'd love to see the deal made. Youk's certainly more than ready to step in and replace Tex.
Really, though, I'm holding out hope that LA decides to offer up Loney/Kemp for a package centered around Tex. I know it wouldn't make much sense for LA (give up two young stars-in-the-making for a soon-to-be FA and some prospects?), but it would sure be fun to watch.
Posted by: William | July 14, 2008 at 10:09 AM
I went to find stats that say Tex is better than Youk, but other than a history of more power, I can't find a thing. Youkilis is a great player and if the Braves could get him for Tex, I'd probably throw a 3 day festival which I would affectionately call Youk-fest. It would be an annual event culminating in the All-star game. Each day would celebrate a different yet lovable aspect of the Greek God of Walks. There would be beer, roast lamb, and hot dogs. Not only would it celebrate Kevin, it would celebrate all of the great trades in the history of the Atlanta organization. There would be contests of strength, courage, and patience at the plate. This festival would be the stuff of legends.
Posted by: TheAngelicDoctor | July 14, 2008 at 10:09 AM
Even if Youkilis regressed in the second half to last year's post-break numbers and Teixeira performed at his 2005-2007 post-break pace, a half-season of +.200 OPS out of the 1B spot is not worth surrendering 2.5 years of control over Youkilis.
Posted by: DunkinDonuts | July 14, 2008 at 10:09 AM
Youk has had a history of poor 2nd halfs, but much of that is due to nagging injuries that he was willing to play through. I suspect with Sean Casey around, Francona will be much more willing to give Youk a day off from time to time to keep him fresh. Youk is having the best season of his career and I just don't see him fading in the 2nd half like he has in the past. He's continued to grow as a player and he just keeps getting better. You're looking at a player who is still growing and combine that with the fact that he also plays Gold Glove defense and brings a fire to each game, we gotta keep him around. And then add in a potentially dominant late inning reliever in Hansen for a rental, this just doesn't seem like the kind of move Theo has any interest in. I realize Tex is a 2nd half player, but I don't think the difference in numbers is going to be great enough to justify messing with the 1st place defending World Champs.
Posted by: Papelboner | July 14, 2008 at 10:21 AM
Dont trade Youk Redsox! I agree with Papelboner. Craig Hansen will be a good reliever someday, if not great. Youk is a fan favorite, and is a DirtDog like Trot was, and Tex (probably) wont go team friendly discount. Of course, we'd have the money to pay for him but i'd rather have Youk>Tex. because if nothing else. Youk is younger and Tex is a rental
Posted by: fgsfsfbbbrd | July 14, 2008 at 10:28 AM
Youk is actually a full year older than Tex. Also, it is not the Red Sox way to move such a fan favorite and a potential all-star for a rental that provides the same thing that Youk would, for a higher price, and then would lose him after this year. Lars Anderson is not ready for ML service yet, so it would not make any sense to make this move.
Posted by: dudewheresmygrl | July 14, 2008 at 10:55 AM
I'm seeing lots of comments along the lines of Youk is younger and Youk is still growing as a player. Reality check: Mark Teixeira is one year Younger than Kevin Youkilis (my favorite player).
I love how Youkilis plays. Great defender. Tough out. Dirt Dog if you will. However, fans need to realize that Youk will never be better than he is. He is not developing into a 30 HR guy. Its just not going to happen. He is already past that magical age 28 season. He has become a great player despite of himself. He was not blessed with the great physical gifts that most of the good MLB players have (except perhaps for outstanding vision). He is the type of guy that will not age well. He just doesn't have the physical tools to carry him.
I love Kevin Youkilis. The hardest worker on the Sox and maybe in all of baseball, but every time I see him winded after a home run trot, I can see that he will not last as a good player. I'd be willing to bet money that this is the only ALL STAR start in Youk's career.
I see a post saying that half a season of Teix is not worth 2.5 years of controlling Youk. If it brings a championship it is.
If papi comes back in full form the Red Sox do not need Teixeira. If he doesn't, the Sox will be in major trouble. Youk will not approach his 1st half numbers. JD Drew will come down to earth. There will be no one to pick up the slack (Sean Casey isn't enough) and opponents will be outscoring the Sox.
It all rides on Papi's shoulders to keep the Red Sox strong in the second half. I would love for the Red Sox to have some protection there.
I know it sounds like I am ripping on the Sox, but as someone who watches almost every game, I am trying to be realistic based on what I have seen. Maybe Sean Casey keeps Youk fresh and productive, but I'd be surprised.
Posted by: Mr_Punch | July 14, 2008 at 11:01 AM
As a Braves fan I think its time for the Braves to decide what they are gonna do. I don't think trading Tex for Youk and Hansen is getting full value for him. I think if they wait and see how long Ortiz is out the Red Sox may be more inclined to give up more.
Posted by: smhg30 | July 14, 2008 at 11:10 AM
If I were a Braves fan, I'd want more. Youk is a very good player, but he's already in the middle of his peak and not a star. The Braves are a strong drafting team in need of elite talent. I'd take the upside of the draft picks over a reliever with struggles and an ok 1B who won't get any better.
Posted by: aap212 | July 14, 2008 at 11:13 AM
sorry about my misinformation, i didnt do my research. but in all honesty, i wouldnt do that trade
Posted by: fgsfsfbbbrd | July 14, 2008 at 11:21 AM
"I see a post saying that half a season of Teix is not worth 2.5 years of controlling Youk. If it brings a championship it is."
This post presumes that the difference between Teixeira and Youkilis is the different between winning a championship and not winning a championship. There is nothing to back up this claim, except perhaps to speculate that Teixeira's second-half production will be better than Youkilis'. Even then, you have the minor task of proving that that difference in production is crucial to the Red Sox' chances of World Series success.
I'm not sure when 30 HR became the benchmark for productivity, but to the extent that you suggest two full years of Youkilis at .825-.900 OPS with great defense at a reasonable rate is not worth one half season of Teixeira, then you and the Red Sox front office will have to agree to disagree. Apparently they trust the numbers more than your anecdotal observations that Youkilis looks winded when he trots around the bases.
Posted by: DunkinDonuts | July 14, 2008 at 11:31 AM
"Really, though, I'm holding out hope that LA decides to offer up Loney/Kemp for a package centered around Tex."
And you are smoking something really good if you think that the team that wouldn't part with LaRoche and a few marginal prospects for CC Sabathia would give up those two guys for Tex.
Posted by: AA | July 14, 2008 at 12:17 PM
I do not assume that Teix would bring a championship. I do however believe that if Papi does not produce in a serious way upon returning, the Red Sox's chances of winning are slim. Youk's production will drop of the table. Drew's will slide as well.
The Red Sox would be much better served for the remainder of this season with Teix playing first base and in the heart of the line up (I know Youk is a great defender, but Teix has 2 gold gloves. He is great as well). Youk will produce around a .750 OPS in the 2nd half while batting in the heart of the line up. That is a detriment. With Papi questionable, that is a serious risk to take. This team is championship caliber as long as they have a Papi/Teix caliber bat in the middle of the line up. Drew and Youk managed to fill that role in the first half. They will not do so in the 2nd half.
Youkilis is productive. I am not arguing that. The 30 HR comment was directed at people who seem to think he is a 24 year old kid, improving every year. He isn't. I would easily sacrifice having an .840 OPS at first base for two years at reasonable cost, for a better chance at a championship. Youk is not some amazing prospect with tons of upside. 2008 will likely be his career year and it will looks something like: .380 OBP, .480 SLG. If Youk were a 23-24 year old, he would be off limits, but he is going to be 30 next year.
Again: If Papi is Papi, we don't need a big bat. If Papi struggles, or returns to the DL, there won't be anyone to pick up the slack. I don't think Drew has many more 12 HR months in the tank.
I doubt the front office disagrees that there chances of winning a world series are greater with Teixeira. They think that keeping Youk's reasonable contract is worth more than improving the teams chances this year. They are placing their bets on Papi returning and being healthy. They know damn well that they will not be competitive down the stretch without a big bat. They just hope that big bat is Big Papi.
My feeling is that a lot of things need to fall into place for a championship run. When you are close, you need to go for it. I feel (and I doubt the front office would disagree) that Mark Teixeira would improve their chances this year. They just don't think the repercussions are worth it.
Here is a a Red Sox fan hoping David Ortiz is healthy and hitting in August/September/October.
Posted by: Mr_Punch | July 14, 2008 at 12:20 PM
Lets look at this logically, which apparently our "informed" writers forgot to do.
If Mike Lowell gets hurt, Casey can go to 1st with Youk to third. Without Youk, what would the Sox do in that instance?
Tex might be a better hitter, but defense is equal; Youk is controlled for longer and most importantly, Youkilis is insurance to cover 3rd base; which the Sox would otherwise be leaving them selves exposed at.
Posted by: baxter4218 | July 14, 2008 at 12:33 PM
Thats true Baxter...They do lose flexibility. I wonder (and I doubt it is a good idea) how Teix is at 3rd. If I recall correctly, he did come through the minors as a 3rd baseman. I'm sure that wouldn't be pretty. You just put the thought in my head.
Posted by: Mr_Punch | July 14, 2008 at 12:47 PM
I'll take Youk. Tex is clearly the superior offensive player, but this teams problem is not offense. Sure you can say Youk and JD Drew will slide, but they haven't and last I checked were still coming in at 5 runs per game.
I'd prefer improvements in the bullpen before we start scraping for marginal offensive boosts.
Posted by: Meoveryouok | July 14, 2008 at 12:47 PM
As 1st basemen there is hardly a comparison between Youk and Tex; Tex is better. Even his clutch batting w RISP is equal to Youk, which is a quality endearing fans have mostly appreciated about Youk.
But Youk as a 3rd baseman is another story altogether. Even after his 2nd half dropoff Youk still finished the year with the 6th best OPS among still-able ML 3rd baseman, and that's pretty impressive given his abilities as a defender; yes, even at 3rd.
And he can defend in the OF, as well.
I say that multi-positional ability is more valuable than whatever upgrade Tex brings at 1st. The cost differential between the two is just icing.
Posted by: Dirty Water | July 14, 2008 at 12:54 PM
So Mr Punch, for 1/2 season of Teixiera, you want to trade a guy who is currently outperforming him, is a gold glove 1B, under control for 2.5 more yrs, has continued to get better every season he's in the league on the defending Champs who are currently in 1st place while depleting our bullpen of a guy who is starting to show he can contribute and can be a potentially lights out setup man. So then what do we do with the already thin bullpen? Go out and trade more guys for another setup man? You're moving a lot of parts to basically go nowhere. The difference between Youk and Tex isn't worth it.
Youk has gone from 13 to 16 to 15 (this year) in homers. Thats a nice little upward trend. RBI's from 72 to 85 to 63 (this yr), again a nice little trend. Average- .279 to .288 to .314. Slugging- .428 to .452 to .551.
To me, it looks like this old guy Youk seems to be getting better and better with each season he plays. This is only his 3rd full season in the big leagues, so its not crazy to think he can continue to improve. Considering we have him through 2010, it makes such little sense to trade him for a 1/2 season of Tex. I really don't get it. Add in the fact that Youk is insurance for Lowell and can play OF in a pinch, this is such a no-brainer.
Posted by: Papelboner | July 14, 2008 at 01:11 PM
Does he really continue to improve? We'll see at the end of the year.
Mid season OPS last season = .920
Mid season OPS this season = .933
Pretty much exactly the same.
Let's see if Youk can crack a .750 OPS in the second half.
Yes, He has trended upward in offensive categories, but if you want to believe those trends, you should not write off his dramatic second half swoon trend that suggests a drop of 150-170 points in OPS.
I have said multiple times on this thread the Youk is my favorite player. I will admit, however, that he is a flawed player. His lack of athleticism (compared to most of the genetic freaks in the MLB) causes him to wear down in the 2nd half. Its a trend with a reason. He plays above his skill level. He works harder than just about anybody on the field and it takes its toll. This isn't one of those strange "why is he better in the first half?" questions. It is understood that this guy busts his ass to the point where eventually wears down, and it affects his play.
My feeling is that Youk is great, but the Red Sox can't count on him performing anywhere near his current level (or anywhere near the level of mark teixeira) in the second half.
Youk has been a huge part of the Sox success so far this season, but I don't believe that this will be the case in the second half.
If David Ortiz does not produce at the stud levels of the past (which is asking a lot of the guy considering his wrist injury) the Red Sox will be in serious trouble.
Posted by: Mr_Punch | July 14, 2008 at 02:01 PM
I am wondering how people think the Red Sox would do without David Ortiz producing at his typical levels. I know we have done well without him for the past month or so, but do people really think that we can sustain that into the playoffs?
I personally do not think so. Do others disagree?
It would not be outlandish for him to re-aggrivate this injury and end his season. It is likely that even if Papi is healthy, his power will be sapped. This is very often the case with wrist injuries.
Posted by: Mr_Punch | July 14, 2008 at 02:07 PM
I personally believe it's more than a coincidence how JD has exploded batting in front of Manny.
So, yeah; flip the two players 2007 performances and you have a wash in 2008.
Posted by: Dirty Water | July 14, 2008 at 02:27 PM
Youkilis 2008 BABIP: .341
Youkilis RZR Rank: 17th (of 27)
Teixeira RZR Rank: 4th
(And again, there's that (probably) minor point that a part of this deal could be stealing New York's 1st round pick next year.)
Posted by: Not Joe Morgan | July 14, 2008 at 03:41 PM
The Sox need bullpen help... why not make the trade Teixeira and Ohman for Youkilis and Hansen? Or just Texiera and Ohman for Youkilis?
The Braves refuse to spend money on relief pitching, so Ohman isn't coming back next year...
Posted by: call_me_chipper | July 14, 2008 at 04:00 PM
numbers and stats aside, i still want youkilis over mark any day. i love kevins style, hes a hardcore baller who can take some serious licks and keep going. hes defensively almost perfect and loved by all red sox fans, its a risk to change all of that with even a player as good as teixeira. they can have hensen i dont see him getting any better, hes a hot cold pitcher and usually is cold. this one hurts to turn down because we are talking about a potential hall player if these numbers continue, and he would probably kill in a hitters park like fenway, but this is really how much this team loves kevin youkilis, enough to turn this deal down
Posted by: 04Forever | July 14, 2008 at 04:03 PM
although, i must admit
ellsbury
pedroia
ortiz
rameriz
teixeira
drew
lowell
varitek
lugo
is by far the best offensive team i have ever seen in my lifetime. (pending ortiz's health of course) ever so tempting...
Posted by: 04Forever | July 14, 2008 at 04:10 PM
As a Braves fan, I will be joining TheAngelicDoctor at Youk-fest if this trade actually happened...unfortunately I seriously doubt it will. I'd do Teixeira for Youk straight-up if I were Frank Wren. I think 2+ years of solid, affordable production at 1st is worth the 2 draft picks the Braves will get when Teixeira moves to greener pastures. If he adds an outfielder this offseason who can produce a freaking .800 OPS we'd be in good shape.
Aren't the Sox looking for a LOOGY as well? What about this trade...
Red Sox get:
Mark Teixeira
Will Ohman
3rd Player/Prospect (Lillibridge could fit but he's crapped the bed this season)
Braves get:
Kevin Youkilis
Lars Anderson
The Braves have 1st base covered for the next 7 years and the Sox get pieces they need for this season plus a controllable player for the future. Am I being too homerish, or does this seem like a reasonable deal? If it wasn't for Boras a 72-hour negotiating window could be allowed as well.
Posted by: baleen | July 14, 2008 at 04:13 PM
Just throwing something out there, but what do you guys think of this deal?
Red Sox get: Teixeira, Ohman and SS Brent Lillibridge
Braves get: Youkilis, Buchholz
Posted by: Bravesfan89 | July 14, 2008 at 04:14 PM
"Just throwing something out there, but what do you guys think of this deal?"
Get real. Maybe if you leave off Bucholz.
Posted by: Land-Man | July 14, 2008 at 04:20 PM
yeah bravesfan, i am even a braves fan and you and i both know the sox won't give up buchholz for anything. replace him with something like baleen suggested and you might have a deal.
Posted by: jacklaf | July 14, 2008 at 04:25 PM
A deal centered on Teixeira and Youkilis begins to look more reasonable if the Red Sox are granted a negotiating window, but I'm not sure how likely this is given Teix's agent.
More likely, under the scenarios above, the Red Sox would be looking at a half-season of Teix and a half-season of Ohman. Assuming both would be Type A free agents who decline arbitration, the Red Sox would be looking at four draft picks, with the non-sandwich picks landing probably closer to the end of the first round.
Yes, teams have become increasingly aware of the value of draft picks, but it's still a volatile gambit. It's highly questionable whether four early draft picks match the value of: (1) two years of a controlled Youkilis; (2) either Anderson or Buchholz. I submit that they do not.
So the question becomes whether the surrender of two reasonably priced assets that HAVE shown success (or at least a significant probability of it) is worth the half-season upgrade, if any, that Teix and Ohman would provide, plus four draft picks who are not assured of success or even of signing with the team that drafts them.
Posted by: DunkinDonuts | July 14, 2008 at 04:37 PM
if the braves want any sort of starting pitching from the Sox that's ML ready (or close to it) they're going to have to add a 4th player to that deal, or replace lil'bridge with a more proven commodity, IMHO. Kelly Johnson comes to mind but that has a couple of complications.
A. The Sox don't really have a spot for him
B. The Braves don't have a viable in-house replacement
Posted by: baleen | July 14, 2008 at 04:38 PM
Land-Man ummm you do realize that's Mark Teixeira, there is no way that deal offered was out of the realm of possibility. The Braves want SP depth, they'd also need a 1B, if your dealing for Tex guess what he's playing 1B over Youk, as for Ohman (that's a bit too much you'd have to give them Delcarmen or Hansen there)
Good proposal Bravesfan89 (it's realistic but w/ Tex hitting FA I doubt teams will bite unless you deal him to Baltimore where he really wants to be and get back Guthrie and I can't remember that wild throwing latin SP it'll come to me.)
Posted by: Brandon | July 14, 2008 at 04:39 PM
Hah! 04Forever, I am assuming that means you are 4 years old. The best offensive team in your lifetime? Tek can't get around at 85 mph fastballs, Lugo is a lost cause and Manny somwtimes doesn't really resemble Manny. I'm not suggesting that the Red Sox offense is not good, but remember that playing 81 games in Fenway Park will increase offensive output by about 5% conservatively over the course of a year.
The best offensive team in your lifetime....absolutely laughable.
Posted by: CMM | July 14, 2008 at 04:42 PM
Ahh.. now I remember Daniel Cabrera add a 1B prospect (Scott Moore) something like that could net Tex a new home.
Posted by: Brandon | July 14, 2008 at 04:44 PM
The only way this happens is if Ortiz cannot comeback this season, and even if he can't I'd rather trade for Matt Holiday.
Posted by: joe | July 14, 2008 at 04:45 PM
"Land-Man ummm you do realize that's Mark Teixeira"
No s***. Do you realize the Sox already declined declined a Youk/Hansen deal, now you want them to throw in Buchloz?!? Why not Papelbon too?
Posted by: Land-Man | July 14, 2008 at 04:50 PM
"Land-Man ummm you do realize that's Mark Teixeira, there is no way that deal offered was out of the realm of possibility."
It's not "Mark Teixeira" so much as "1/3 Mark Teixeira." If the Braves dealt Teix to the Red Sox on the July 31 deadline, there would be just 53 games remaining on the regular-season schedule.
Even IF a negotiating window came with it, the prize would be "1/3 Mark Teixeira" plus the 'privilege' of paying him present market value for a term of years that will almost certainly outstrip his productivity.
Let's not forget what Johan Santana fetched.
Posted by: DunkinDonuts | July 14, 2008 at 04:53 PM
"hes a hardcore baller who can take some serious licks and keep going"
How is Teixeira in the going after serious licks category?
Posted by: Not Joe Morgan | July 14, 2008 at 04:55 PM
"Even IF a negotiating window came with it, the prize would be "1/3 Mark Teixeira" plus the 'privilege' of paying him present market value for a term of years that will almost certainly outstrip his productivity."
And a 1st round pick and a supplemental pick. If they've decided that Hansen won't have a major role in their pen (which is fairly possible with Papelbon, Delcarmen, Masterson, Bard, etc), they could be looking at it as Teixeira + 1st for Youkilis and Hansen for the 35th or so pick. Not awful logic.
Posted by: Not Joe Morgan | July 14, 2008 at 04:58 PM
That should have read "or", not "and". With no superstar or potential superstar headed the other way, I don't see why a long-term deal with Teixeira would play a major role. His partial year value plus the picks could justify the price.
Posted by: Not Joe Morgan | July 14, 2008 at 04:59 PM
Not Joe Morgan,
I covered the draft pick compensation above, and I don't think that even four draft picks + two rentals matches the value of 2+ years of Youkilis + several years of cost control over either Anderson or Buccholz. If Teixeira were the second coming of Christ, it might be a different story, but it's not as though he would be stepping into to provide an upgrade over a corpse. The upgrade between Teix and Youk over a span of just 53-65 games is just not worth enough wins to justify a move.
Youkilis, Buchholz, Anderson, Delcarmen, Masterson, Bard... these are what GMs are hoping for when they use their selections.
If it came down to two years of a .850-.900 OPS who plays a solid 1B and can step into a utility role at other positions, or two scratch-off tickets in the draft lottery, the known quantity carries much higher value.
For every Joba Chamberlain or Clay Buchholz, there is a Matt Bush. If I were to tell you that two of the Red Sox picks last year were Ryan Dent and Will Middlebrooks, and then asked you how much you were willing to wager on whether either would ever put up an .850 OPS in the majors, I'll bet you'd be hard-pressed to put up any cash. Such is the nature of the crapshoot. Some teams are better at the crapshoot than others, but a bird in the hand is still worth more than two in the bush leagues.
Posted by: DunkinDonuts | July 14, 2008 at 05:27 PM
For the record I do believe Teixeira is a better player than Youk and will more than likely put up better numbers in the second half than Youk, I just don't think it would be a wise move to trade Youk. His defense, his versatility, his fire are all pluses for the Sox. Add to it, the Red Sox real issue is not offense, hell the offense (and defense) just got a major upgrade with Lugo on the DL, the real issue is finding someone to pitch the 8th without giving everyone heart palpitations. Add to it if Youk is traded and Boston fails to come to terms with Teixeira, they don't have great back up potentials at first. Casey is proving he's a much better reserve and Moss has only started 1 game at the big league level.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | July 14, 2008 at 05:35 PM
If the redsox are going to trade for a bat it is going to be holliday becasue he is signed through 2009 and he could replace Manny in left field. They could do a deal like bowden, reddick, and another prospet for holliday. They could even do a larger deal that included Holliday and fuentes, but it would cost them around four of their better prospects do get it down.
In the end, I see them not trading for anybody and just using internal options.
Posted by: joe | July 14, 2008 at 05:41 PM
"As a Braves fan, I will be joining TheAngelicDoctor at Youk-fest if this trade actually happened...unfortunately I seriously doubt it will. I'd do Teixeira for Youk straight-up if I were Frank Wren. I think 2+ years of solid, affordable production at 1st is worth the 2 draft picks the Braves will get when Teixeira moves to greener pastures. If he adds an outfielder this offseason who can produce a freaking .800 OPS we'd be in good shape.
Aren't the Sox looking for a LOOGY as well? What about this trade...
Red Sox get:
Mark Teixeira
Will Ohman
3rd Player/Prospect (Lillibridge could fit but he's crapped the bed this season)
Braves get:
Kevin Youkilis
Lars Anderson
The Braves have 1st base covered for the next 7 years and the Sox get pieces they need for this season plus a controllable player for the future. Am I being too homerish, or does this seem like a reasonable deal? If it wasn't for Boras a 72-hour negotiating window could be allowed as well."
There's no way the sox deal Youk and their future 1b, and only power threat in anything above A ball.
I'd prefer to hold off on Tex entirely, or at the very least make him an offseason acquisition costing nothing but money. Of course he's a superior player, but is he a necessary addition? I'm not convinced.
Posted by: Meoveryouok | July 14, 2008 at 07:04 PM
Anderson is in high A, so I'm guessing you mean below A ball? The Red Sox have 4 players in Portland who are slugging.474 or better, lead by Jeff Corsaletti. The entire Pawtucket OF is sluuging over .500, but they're probably all AAAA guys, except for maybe Carter.
Posted by: baleen | July 14, 2008 at 07:31 PM
oops, I meant below AA. Anyway the trade probably won't even happen.
Posted by: baleen | July 14, 2008 at 07:44 PM
Dunkin, definitely agree that its a crapshoot. However, given that one of the pieces of the mentioned deal is a 1st round reliever who, to date, is only touted because of his draft status its not a huge bounty. And perhaps its over projecting, but Boston showed this year a greater and greater willingness to take the tough sign players. Give them 3 in the first 40 picks or so and that could be a massive bounty for, essentially, a good 1B who is pounding on his talent ceiling as we type. I don't think anyone believes Youkilis will ever have more value than he does right now.
Posted by: Not Joe Morgan | July 14, 2008 at 10:15 PM
You make a valid point about Youkilis knocking on his talent ceiling. He's been finding new ways to break through that glass ceiling each year, but he may have finally tapped his full potential.
That said, the Red Sox are in the midst of a mini-run of brilliance... they're not close to a dynasty yet, but they have the resources to become one. Assuming they traded a maxed-out Youkilis for 50 or so games of Teixeira, who plays 1B for them next year?
Anderson is not ready, Carter has cement hands, and signing Casey to start is not realistic. These are the kinds of things a team that competes year-in and year-out would have to think about before making a leap and surrendering their proven first baseman for a rental and some 'signability' draft picks.
Posted by: DunkinDonuts | July 14, 2008 at 10:34 PM
I dont know why the Red Sox would ever do this deal but as a Braves fan im loving this. how bout this:
Braves get:
Kevin Youkilas 1B
Michael Bowden SP/Justin Masterson SP
Red Sox get:
Mark Texeira 1B
Will Ohman RP
Brandon Jones OF
Posted by: Showtime35 | July 14, 2008 at 11:10 PM
No, as a braves fan I do not like that trade at all..... Tex for masterson and Youkdog might be a possibility, as the braves are looking for a 1b replacement and a young starter in return. We could also trade Ohman in a seperate deal and land at least one decent prospect in return. It makes no sense for the braves to take their two most desired trading pieces and put them in one deal in which they get no where close to max value.
Now masterson and Youkdog, that may be asking for too much. But the braves should also not sell low on Tex either. It just makes no sense. We gave up a ton to get him, and he, on an individual basis, has definately played to his worth for us. However, the braves should in no way sell low on him, but they should do all they can to make sure that They trade him.
Posted by: bravesbeast | July 15, 2008 at 12:19 AM
Isn't it pretty much the first job of any GM to deny they are talking to a team about a star player? Especially in a media frenzy city such as Boston or New York.
Also, 2 years ago when Boston and Atlanta were rumored to be talking about Andruw Jones, didn't they ask for Hansen? The kid has great stuff, when he actually throws his slider it's one of the most devastating I've seen, just he still seems to believe his fastball is his best weapon. Point being, do the Braves consider Hansen to be a bigger piece than he really is?
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | July 15, 2008 at 02:25 AM
While I believe Teixiera to be the superior player to Youkilis, I just don't see the need to upgrade at this position. What it would take to get him (2.5 cost controlled years of Youk and the potentially dominant RH setup pitcher in Hansen) far outweighs the 2nd half difference in production between Youk and Tex. Add into the fact that Youk is in the midst of his best season yet, just made his 1st All Star team, could win a gold glove and has been one of the most valuable and consistent players in the first half.
I also heard Francona saying that some of Youk's 2nd half struggles are due to his willingness to play through pain. In years past, we haven't really had a good backup plan if he were out, but now with Casey in the fold, he can be afforded days off to rest and stay fresh.
And to assume the Sox would get the Yanks 1st round pick if Tex leaves is stupid. He could just as easily go to Baltimore or Seattle and if that were the case, their 1st rounders would be protected (I believe).
Like I've said, IF Papi is out or doesn't produce like he should, I'm all for exploring a deal for Tex, but not with Youk heading up the package. Maybe a guy like Anderson, but I'd be more willing to start the package with AA starter Michael Bowden who is having a great season and would fit a need for the Braves. Buchholz, Masterson, Lester are all off limits. I see no way Theo puts any of them in any trade proposal unless it brings back a stud SS.
Posted by: Papelboner | July 15, 2008 at 07:37 AM
Allow me to crush this nonsense.
Who is the Red Sox backup 3rd baseman if Youkilis is traded?
Gordon Edes should be fired for even suggesting such a dumb idea.
If Lowell gets hurt, Youk slides to 3rd and Casey to first.
If the Sox trade for Teixiera, not only is it a bad move for now, but it also takes away any insurance for Lowell (who by the way spent several weeks on the DL this year for those who forgot).
Forget Youks second half struggles and all the other nonsense; if the Sox trade Youk, they are exposed to serious problems if injury sets in.
Youk hits anywhere in the lineup, has played LF/RF/3B/1B whenever he has needed to.
Teixiera might offer slightly more on offense, but he be a downgrade on flexibility to the lineup should issues arise.
Posted by: baxter4218 | July 15, 2008 at 07:56 AM
Hahaha, of course Gammons would say this. He has a man crush on the Red Sox! The Braves would be getting killed in that deal. Tex is far better than pukilis. Hansen is not enough to make up for that differance there. If you really think puke is going to hit over 300 for the year, your out of your mind. What would you rather have? A potential 50 HR guy, or a .290 hitter, at best? Im saying a 50 HR guy, but thats just me. If the Braves seriously offered that, The Red Sox would have accepted it in a heart beat. I think the next time Peter Gammons says something about the Red Six getting a star, no one should read much into it, because its not true. The Red Sox would have accepted that deal. Unless of course, they overrate pukeilis and hansen.
Posted by: yanks26ngoin | July 15, 2008 at 08:11 AM
yanks26ngoin,
who plays 3rd for the Red Sox if Lowell gets hurt?
You may not see the value in Youkilis, but I gurantee the Red Sox do given his versatility.
Anyone who knows baseball will take a slight downgrade on offense to have flexibility with the roster.
Red Sox must know baseball pretty well given their 2 Championships in last 4 years.
lets leave this up to the guys who get paid to make these decisions.
Posted by: baxter4218 | July 15, 2008 at 08:20 AM
I do not think they should do this trade but Jed Lowrie could play third if Mike Lowell gets hurt.
Posted by: joe | July 15, 2008 at 08:45 AM
"(2.5 cost controlled years of Youk and the potentially dominant RH setup pitcher in Hansen)"
Backwards responding:
2nd half: By this criteria, any reliever who throws hard and has a projectable out pitch is "potentially dominant". Jose Veras might actually qualify as dominant. 22 Ks versus 18 BBs at age 24 (not old, but not so young you can dismiss the numbers) is not impressive.
1st half: This is the part that gets me wondering. He's cost controlled in the sense that he's arbitration eligbile but he's also making almost $4MM this year and sure to go up quite a bit. Perhaps Theo & company have decided that he's nowhere near an $8MM 1B to them and that money can be better used elsewhere while finding a stopgap between Youk/Teixeira and Anderson. As good as he's been this year, which no one is disputing, he was basically league average last year (14th among 1Bs in EqA).
Posted by: Not Joe Morgan | July 15, 2008 at 09:33 AM
Also, isn't the 3B concern a bit overblown? Is Youkilis/Casey really that much better than Teixeira/Lowrie?
Posted by: Not Joe Morgan | July 15, 2008 at 09:35 AM
For those concerned about "OMG WHO PLAYZ THIRD IF YOUK LEAVES"...
how quickly we forget that tex is a 3b-turned-1b.
Posted by: barracus79 | July 15, 2008 at 09:39 AM
Amazing how short sighted most of us are when a big name player is available.
This guy can play here and this guy can go there.....
glad someone else is in charge
Posted by: baxter4218 | July 15, 2008 at 10:43 AM
"Hahaha, of course Gammons would say this. He has a man crush on the Red Sox! The Braves would be getting killed in that deal. Tex is far better than pukilis. Hansen is not enough to make up for that differance there. If you really think puke is going to hit over 300 for the year, your out of your mind. What would you rather have? A potential 50 HR guy, or a .290 hitter, at best? Im saying a 50 HR guy, but thats just me. If the Braves seriously offered that, The Red Sox would have accepted it in a heart beat. I think the next time Peter Gammons says something about the Red Six getting a star, no one should read much into it, because its not true. The Red Sox would have accepted that deal. Unless of course, they overrate pukeilis and hansen."
Are you illiterate or simply a crazed yankee fan?
Way to straw man that argument, Tex is a 50 hr threat but Youk is nothing more than a 290 hitter.
Ok...
Posted by: GoBoSox420 | July 15, 2008 at 11:21 AM
"how quickly we forget that tex is a 3b-turned-1b."
In 839 games, Teixeira played 15 at 3B. He made 7 errors during that time. That was also 5 years ago.
The fact that Teix at one time occupied third base is not really relevant at this point, nor does it answer concerns about roster flexibility.
Posted by: DunkinDonuts | July 15, 2008 at 11:25 AM
The wonderful world of FACTS:
Teixeira has had just 1, 40+ HR season. It was in 2005 when he hit 30 of his 43 HR's at home in hitter friendly Arlington.
Not sure how a guy who has averaged 30-35 HR's a season becomes a 50 HR threat.
Currently, Teixiera is on pace for numbers right in line with his yearly avg of about 30HR's /120 RBI's.
Obviously those are solid numbers, but tough to argue they are so signficant that they would warrant the Sox giving up quality players under their control for several more years to obtain.
Has it occured to anyone that the Sox offense (without Ortiz and with Tek hitting .219) has been one of the best in the game.
Odd they would be concerned about adding a 1st baseman before a catcher or SS if they really wanted to add offense?
Posted by: baxter4218 | July 15, 2008 at 11:34 AM
"Unless of course, they overrate pukeilis and hansen."
You've changed my mind, you're obviously a completely objective fan and you get my vote to be the next Red Sox gm.
Once again, I see this trade as having very little effect for Boston. Short term the offense gets a minor boost and if Ortiz is out for the season the boost would be less significant. Long term, the Sox would be at a disadvatage in resigning Tex because a) they would have a huge need for a firstbaseman and b) Boras knows that. Add to that Youk's versatility and it seems this deal would benefit the Braves more in the long run and would have possible long term issues for the Sox.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | July 15, 2008 at 11:39 AM
"Unless of course, they overrate pukeilis and hansen."
That's actually Frank Wren weighing in on the issue.
Posted by: Land-Man | July 15, 2008 at 12:37 PM
That trade would totally ruin what the sox have. Youk is a gold glove fielder, a solid hitter and can hit any where in the lineup and is not going to command the money that texiera will. He is also a proven winner, if theo were to pull the trigger on this trade it would ruin the sox chemistry.
Posted by: mannybmanny | July 15, 2008 at 01:55 PM
Would the Dodgers be willing to trade Kemp, Loney, and Broxton for Teixeira, Ohman, and a prospect or two? The Braves would be foolish to give up more.
Posted by: chitchens | July 15, 2008 at 03:23 PM
"Would the Dodgers be willing to trade Kemp, Loney, and Broxton for Teixeira, Ohman, and a prospect or two? The Braves would be foolish to give up more."
Blatant sarcasm? Or an honest indictment of Colletti's skills?
Posted by: DunkinDonuts | July 15, 2008 at 03:30 PM
Neftali Feliz: recently named BA's #12 mid-season prospect, 20 yr old, AA Frisco, throws 100 mph
Elvis Andrus: still considered a top prospect with excellent defensive skills, 19 yr old, AA Frisco, .297 BA and 34 SBs
Matt Harrison: Been through AA, AAA, and has now made 2 major league starts at 22 yrs old.
Beau Jones: 21 yr old LHP has been converted from SP to RP for High-A Bakersfield, over his last 19.2 IP he has a 0.92 ERA with 26 Ks.
Jarrod Saltalamacchia: 23 yr old has struggled in a platoon role this year with Gerald Laird/Max Ramirez. Still considered to have a bright future and is either a piece of Rangers' future or an excellent trade chip.
Would that package net Youkilis/Hansen?
Posted by: SteveBuechele | July 15, 2008 at 03:59 PM
Only if Daniels is one foot out the door and trying to make a final, somewhat selfish run.
Posted by: Not Joe Morgan | July 15, 2008 at 04:33 PM
That was a year ago, and is looking like a very stupid trade.
At least Renteria for Jurrjens/Gorkys did something to offset it.
Posted by: Land-Man | July 15, 2008 at 04:35 PM
"Only if Daniels is one foot out the door and trying to make a final, somewhat selfish run."
@Not Joe Morgan
I wasn't suggesting the Rangers would trade those guys for Youk/Hansen...of course they wouldn't. I was simply pointing out that the Rangers sold at the right time...and, for once, the Braves got absolutely hustled.
Posted by: SteveBuechele | July 15, 2008 at 05:07 PM
"Neftali Feliz: recently named BA's #12 mid-season prospect, 20 yr old, AA Frisco, throws 100 mph
Elvis Andrus: still considered a top prospect with excellent defensive skills, 19 yr old, AA Frisco, .297 BA and 34 SBs
Matt Harrison: Been through AA, AAA, and has now made 2 major league starts at 22 yrs old.
Beau Jones: 21 yr old LHP has been converted from SP to RP for High-A Bakersfield, over his last 19.2 IP he has a 0.92 ERA with 26 Ks.
Jarrod Saltalamacchia: 23 yr old has struggled in a platoon role this year with Gerald Laird/Max Ramirez. Still considered to have a bright future and is either a piece of Rangers' future or an excellent trade chip.
Would that package net Youkilis/Hansen?"
You're not factoring in the dollars or years Tex will command after 08. Or the gaping hole Youk's absence would create, forcing the Sox to fill half their infield (assuming Lugo is done).
Posted by: Meoveryouok | July 15, 2008 at 06:46 PM
Tex is a highly overrated player, and I fail to see how this trade really works. kevin Youkilis is having a MUCH better year, Youk has more cheap years attached to himself, and he is younger. Tex is a streaky player who has an ASS of an agent who extorts teams for every dollar he can get. I am not saying that Boras doesn't have good clients, but every year Boras runs around trying to convince teams to pay up the nose under the false pretense they're getting a gift wrapped WSC ring.
Oh, Manny is not going anywhere he is having a great year and the Red Sox can definatley afford him. I dont think people realize that payrolls grow almost every year, at this point Manny is cheap for the Sox.
Posted by: manny24 | July 15, 2008 at 09:59 PM
A NOTE TO TIM, you are a hypocrite... You leave people calling other people idiots on your site, which means the same thing as calling someone an ass, this isn't church and everyone who puts "****" instead of the word... They make sure you know what it means, like F*ck You!! Guess what the missing letter is!! Yeah, if you don't know that you are brain dead, but you leave those posts up, comical!
In your attempt to cleanup your site, I've noticed (arguments with them or not) you've alienated the real fans, instead of these Sunday game watchers who know nothing... For a site that's supposed to be cutting edge for information and have informed discussions, you've sold out, not in a Platinum selling Load/Reload Metallica way, but more like a Garth Brooks/Vanilla Ice changing genres so that they can try something "new and exciting" type of way...
What this site was good at was being a little low brow comment wise, but no different than the conversations that would go on at your local bar between fans from competing teams... Now you've tried to take the pub to Rodeo (pronounced Row-Day-O, in case you were wondering it wasn't a southern reference) Drive and it just doesn't fit... Kind of sad really...
I'd take a slang/krass/crude verbal tirade over this "well, John, I respectfully disagree with that form of thinking as it's highly illogical that such would occur... A more sound way of thinking might lead to a resolution that is more likely considered fair by the two parties involved." Sorry, but nobody wants to read what equates to 20 pages per topic of that preacher crap, they come on here half the time to see the sh*t (happy??) talking that goes on because it's entertaining...
I hate AriGoldisaG, yet still I get a kick out of reading his attempts at insulting others... Just because a couple people come crying to you, doesn't mean you did the right thing by doing something about it... In most cases the kid that started it got popped in the beak on a counter punch and then goes and cries to the authority figure, but you are rewarding this start a fight then cry when you get hurt mentality...
By the way, you let his (Ari) little ass say whatever he wants as long as he uses "****". It's really funny because anyone that has half a brain should be offended that you would draw the line where you have, as if to say your viewer base is too stupid to know the difference between how I say it and how Ari says it...
You've definitely pulled a Microsoft with your website, not only did you make poor "upgrades", but now you are forcing it down the throats of your consumers with no regard for what the reaction might be to this... I mean you had the XP of baseball blogging sites and decided that in all your egotism, you needed to create a baseball mecca and the end result was Vista...
The problem is that instead of converting to Vista, you won't gain the long standing followers because those are true fans, not the ones on here today and yet you are alienating the other ones as they are looking for other chatting communities... It's like opening the door to another operating system, nobody wants to relearn how to operate their computer, but given the options, they'll go away from MS products, since both require the same amount of effort and they now have a reason to not like MS products with the crap they pulled on taking away XP and it's support system...
Now you are doing the same thing with this site, the only motification you needed to make was getting rid of type key and instead you changed everything else, but yet there's still type key on your site!! It's like having a flat tire and getting your oil changed with your last 40 bucks, yet you're still riding on your rim!
I bet you were the outcast in school, like the water boy/scorekeeper/coach's special assistant when you were in high school and this site is your life because it's your first chance to feel cool... News flash people are on her for the baseball, not because of you, take away baseball and you aren't anything but another talking head... You put up a person about Tim section, which I thought was priceless, talk about self centered, like anyone gives a crap about where you've been or what you do!
As long as my hamburger is done the right way, I don't care where the guy working the drive thru window has been, what he's done, how he lives, or what his goals are, I just want my sandwich and to go... Same with this site, you may be a legend in your own mind, but nobody else shares your thinking... Delete the post, it's the cowardly thing to do, hiding the bad... You should know best how to do that!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 15, 2008 at 09:59 PM
I don't think he should delete the post, because it already contains all the rebuttals he'd need.
Wow.
Posted by: DunkinDonuts | July 15, 2008 at 11:52 PM
Manny24 Youk was born Mar 15, 1979, and Tex was born Apr 11, 1980. so Youk is a year and almost a month older. but i agree with the rest of your post.
To BaseballGuru that wasnt called for. Tim is providing us an amazing service, for free no less. and for that i am thankful. if you dont like tim or any of the rumors keep that to yourself, dont just go ranting about nothing. if you dont like the site, dont come to it. end of discussion.
Posted by: fgsfsfbbbrd | July 16, 2008 at 12:22 AM
Nah, I think it was quality narrative... We were treated to a rich tapestry of similes and metaphors, including:
- Metallica v. Garth Brooks/Vanilla Ice
- Local bar v. Rodeo Drive pub
- XP v. Vista
- Flat tire v. oil change
- A primer on the superiority of trash-talking over reasoned debate
- The merits of treating blogs like fast food hamburger joints
It was like reading Bill Simmons on crack.
Posted by: DunkinDonuts | July 16, 2008 at 12:47 AM
Guru, why bother posting. If you don't like the site and comments, no one is making you read it. At least I don't think so, I don't know your home life. But after reading your rant I've lost several minutes of my life that I will never get back, so please use that stolen time to get a few extra minutes of sleep tonight.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | July 16, 2008 at 02:23 AM
My bad fgsfsfbbbrd I guess I assumed he was younger given his service time, but yeah Youk took longer to get to the show.
Posted by: manny24 | July 16, 2008 at 12:56 PM
no problem manny24, i made that same mistake earlier in the post and was told that i was wrong. i thought exactly as you did.
Posted by: fgsfsfbbbrd | July 16, 2008 at 01:09 PM