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« Speculating On The Yankees: McLouth and Lowe | Main | Edmonds Considers Retirement »
According to Mark Feinsand of the New York Daily News, right fielder Bobby Abreu wants at least a three-year contract as he heads toward free agency for the first time in his career.
Abreu prefers to remain with the Yankees, but he does not want a one-year deal. He certainly wouldn't have to settle for that on the open market. The general consensus is that the Yanks will offer Abreu arbitration and be content with compensatory draft picks if and when he turns it down.
Abreu, 34, hit .296/.371/.471 in 684 plate appearances this year. The average AL right fielder hit .282/.351/.459. Abreu's defense rates poorly; he cost the Yankees 24 bases (16 plays) compared to the average right fielder this year. Franklin Gutierrez led right fielders by saving 29 bases above average.
Speculative possible suitors for Abreu this winter: the Rays, Royals, Braves, Mets, Cubs, and Reds.
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The stats show that Cano didn't have a better year. How many times does that have to be shown? Just admit your wrong, instead of continuing to show your ignorance.
Posted by: gatling | October 05, 2008 at 01:39 PM
I apologize to anyone who feels I argued to adamantly about Cano's value. I just think this new era of stats like obp, Eqa and VORP are overused. Secondly, I'm sick of people who think Cano is washed up and a bum because he had one "off" year. I've played sports and I think it's silly to focus on one year and dismiss the production from other years. That's cool if you want to argue about wether a guy earned his paycheck this year but it hardly evalautes his total worth, value or prjects his entire future. Now if he slumps again and ends up hitting .260 next year with little power or your beloved obp then maybe we need to look towards a replacement. It's even worse because it's so called Yankees fans who say most of that stuff.
Living outside of NY the last few years allows me to see things from outside looking in and I just really started to understand why some players may not want to come to NY. If a guy has 3 all-star caliber years but then has one "bad" year or isn't focused on the field then we're much more likely to run him out of town rather than to see if the manager, coaches, etc can help this player turn things around. We've become a team seeking instant gratfication. Prospect doesn't win 18 games and ROY let's trade him and sign the next big FA. 26 yr old 2B had an off year? Trade him and sign the 31 yr old FA to a four year deal. It's silly. Players DO have a responsibility to perform and live up to expectations but what happens if CC is signed and goes 15-10 w/ a 3.80 era? is Cash's signing a failure? Were the redsox calling Thee a failure this year because Beckett fell far from his 07 numbers?
We all want to win every year but we have to temper that drive with some sensibility. I'm not making excuses for players under performing, especially with a 200 million payroll. But these are not machines. Whoever signs Tex or CC should expect and off year at some point during the span of whatever contract they sign him too. I'm just frustarted....my bad...I need a hug. LOL
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | October 05, 2008 at 01:43 PM
As for what to do with the Yanks, I had this typed out last night, but when I went to post it I was no longer signed in. Anyway, in a brief recap here is what I'd do.
Move Posada to 1B, he's not going to be able to catch and be effective. DH Matsui. Resign Abreu and rotate him with Damon/Matsui/Posada/Nady where all 5 players get about 500 PA each. You're going to need Abreu after this year when Matsui is gone and Damon could be. Trade for either Ramon Hernandez or Bengie Molina to catch. Both are on short term commitments, both teams already have replacements available to them. It buys time until a younger catcher is ready.
Sign Derek Lowe, go 4 years if needed. Consider John Smoltz or Ben Sheets as a 5th starter, don't bank on a full year but know you'll get quality innings when they pitch. Keep Joba in the pen. He's the heir to Mo and gives you a lock down 8th/9th combo that isn't really rivaled. Bring Moose back for a shot at 300 wins. Go 2 years with an option for a third only if he needs it to get to 300.
Go to war with Lowe/Wang/Moose/Hughes/Smoltz or Sheets as your rotation. Keep you prospects, you're going to need them with such an aging team.
Posted by: gatling | October 05, 2008 at 01:44 PM
Over 200 posts in this thread. About 100 of them from YankeeFansince88, the other 100 posts by various people explaining how wrong he is. But hey, I guess he is right and the other 30 people are wrong.
And whats the deal with you keep on saying..."All I am trying to say is .....", when that is clearly not all you were trying to say. Just be a man, admit your wrong. Or don't, and continue to post nonsense and look foolish.
Posted by: nrmax88 | October 05, 2008 at 01:46 PM
Look dude I said it was my opinion that Cano had a better year and is a better hitter if you disagree then fine. But you can't tell me that I MUSt accept the value of the stats you use to determine otherwise. UNTIL every "expert" in the world tells me they use obp, vorp and eqa as THEE only measuring stick then I'll have my own opinion. Can we drop it already? If you feel Cust is better, than ok, I'll accept that as your opinion and move on. It doesn't make it a fact.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | October 05, 2008 at 01:48 PM
These new stats aren't so much overused as they are different from what you are used to. They more accurately evaluate a player. Just because they don't take things like RBI or batting average into heavy account doesn't mean they're wrong, nor does it mean they're overused.
I also don't remember anyone saying that Cano was washed up or a bum. All that was said was he had a bad year, and that he isn't the hitter that his numbers showed in 2006. I went thru and showed that he was unlucky this year, and that he isn't a .271 hitter, but he also isn't the hitter you continue to assert he is. He is a solid hitter for his position.
Posted by: gatling | October 05, 2008 at 01:51 PM
Hey gatling:
Why go after Lowe/Smoltz and Sheets (uggg) instead of CC, Burnett or Perez. Just curious.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | October 05, 2008 at 01:52 PM
nrmax:
Different people use different means of evalutating a player. Therefor, everyone's choice is an informed opinion. If I have a different opinion than others than so be it.
Some experts felt it was a good idea to go to war in Iraq. Others had a different opinio.
When you talk about player evaluation it's all subjective and depends on what you value in a hitter. Do you mean to tell me that EVERY baseball fan or expert rely on OBP, Eqa and VORP? I bet you most people don't even know what Eqa and VORP mean.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | October 05, 2008 at 01:55 PM
Do you realize how dumb that last post sounds? Until every expert tells me they a bunch of stats other than batting average to determine a guy's worth I don't have to believe it. Really? All these other stats showing Cano had a worse year aren't enough? So if Cust hit for a higher average, you could accept it right? Jesus.
Posted by: gatling | October 05, 2008 at 01:56 PM
gatling:
There were several people who said , on this board and in others that Cano was washed up and should be traded. I didn't say you said it, but I've read and spoken to numerous people who have. And most feel that trading Cano and signing Hudson would be a good move. I disagree. Cool? Cool?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | October 05, 2008 at 01:58 PM
Gatling:
if you choose to quote me then quote me correctly what I said was:
"UNTIL every "expert" in the world tells me they use obp, vorp and eqa as THEE only measuring stick then I'll have my own opinion."
I did NOT say:
"Until every expert tells me they a bunch of stats other than batting average to determine a guy's worth I don't have to believe it."
I mentioned nothing about bavg being the MOST important stat to use.
Drop it ok? Cust is better than Cano....in your opinion using the stats you choose to use..Horray for you.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | October 05, 2008 at 02:02 PM
Sabathia seems to want to play on the West Coast and to stay in the NL. I also think he probably doesn't want to deal with the NY media, but he's just not saying that. Burnett is almost as big of an injury risk as Sheets, but Burnett will cost more because he stayed healthy all year and Sheets didn't. I'd gamble on Smoltz or Sheets with a lower base salary and lots of incentives over paying Burnett $15M+ a year. Lowe has proven he can handle the AL East, and he's not an injury risk of any sort based on history. Perez is too inconsistent and walks too many guys to get by in the AL East. He's going to command probably $15M or so too, he's not worth the investment.
Posted by: gatling | October 05, 2008 at 02:03 PM
And if Cust DID hit for a higher bavg and DIDN'T strikeout 200x then he would clearly be a better overall hitter than Cano? Is that in dispute?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | October 05, 2008 at 02:03 PM
Ok cool. i assume that you mean if CC were willing to sign then you would be ok with the deal?
I just think that Sheets and Smoltz are bad picks. Wasn't Smolt out with an arm injry this year? As for Lowe, he could be a decent pick but he's 35 yrs old and moving back to the AL after being gone for 4 years. We can't assume that he will be the same pitcher. If CC or Burnett couldn't be signed then that would be a sad day for us because we desperately need a #1 starter. Mussina or Pettite should be brought back. one or the other. If we sign #1 then I would pass on Lowe and go with
#1
Wang
Mussina or pettite
Joba
Hughes
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | October 05, 2008 at 02:10 PM
What stat besides batting average you using to say that Cano is better? I don't remember seeing one. It's been Cano has the better average and doesn't strikeout. I proved the strikeout part to be false. You've never mentioned that, did you skip over it or did you conveniently not mention it because it kills your argument?
I'm all for hearing how Cano was better this year than Cust. Show me without using batting average, without talking out your ass about strikeouts/unproductive outs, or any other nonsense.
Posted by: gatling | October 05, 2008 at 02:10 PM
why are we still discusing this? if you feel Cust is better than so be it.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | October 05, 2008 at 02:19 PM
Trading Cano makes sense if you can improve another area, providing you can land Hudson to replace him. Not that I think it would happen, but the team would be better off with say McLouth/Hudson than they are with Melky/Cano. Just because Hudson is 31 doesn't mean he's not any good. You're getting awfully caught up in age.
If I were a Yanks fan, I'd be fine with them signing CC, but I'm not. And I just don't think it's going to happen. Like I said before about Smoltz/Sheets, you won't have to give them $15M+ a year like a Burnett or maybe Perez. You wouldn't count on them as giving you 200 innings, that's why I said sign them as a 5th starter. Have realistic expectations and you shouldn't be disappointed.
Lowe has pitched very well, he hasn't shown anything that suggests he'd fall apart coming back to the AL. He's proven he can handle the pressure of the Boston-NY thing, and he can handle the league switch. He's the best bet after Sabathia on the market, without much doubt I think.
I agree that Mussina should come back, Pettitte not so much. If Pettitte wants to keep pitching he needs to go back to Houston and the NL. He doesn't have the stuff to survive the AL East anymore, or the AL in general I think.
Posted by: gatling | October 05, 2008 at 02:24 PM
Why are we still discussing it? Why can't you just show what metrics you're using to form you "opinion"? If you're not using anything other than batting average or you incorrect strikeout theory, than you have an uninformed opinion, and it is indeed wrong. If there are some other stats that I'm overlooking that support your stance, why won't you share them? Because you don't have evidence to support your claim, you've got an uninformed opinion that is incorrect, but you can't bring yourself to admit after a day of this that you're wrong.
Posted by: gatling | October 05, 2008 at 02:33 PM
Decide about DAMON in CF or LF
Decide to keep or not keep Abreu
Need to get: Teixeira and CC Sabathia
Get either Derek Lowe or AJ Burnett
Try to keep Marté
Try to keep Mussina & Pettitte
Keep Joba in the bullpen
IF ABREU leaves, maybe try to get Manny Ramirez to play left and shift Nady to right field & live w/ Damon in center..It's worth the possible batting offense. OR mabye Keep Manny and Abreu
SP CC Sabathia
SP Chien-Ming Wang
SP Derek Lowe/AJ Burnett
SP Mussina/Pettitte
SP *Hughes*
LR *Hughes*
LR Phil Coke
MR Veras
MR Edwar Ramirez
MR/SU Bruney
MR/SU Marté
SU Joba
CL Rivera
POSSIBLE LINEUP
LF Damon
SS Jeter
1B Teixeira
3B A-Rod
RF Abreu
DH Matsui
C Posada
2B Cano
CF Gardner
POSSIBLE LINEUP
CF Damon
SS Jeter
RF Abreu
3B A-Rod
1B Teixeira
DH Matsui
C Posada
LF Nady
2B Cano
ULTIMATE POSSIBLE LINEUP
CF- Johnny Damon
SS- Derek Jeter
LF- Manny Ramirez
3B- Alex Rodriguez
1B- Mark Teixeira
RF- Bobby Abreu
DH- Hideki Matsui
C- Jorge Posada
2B- Robinson Cano
BENCH
Nady (OF/1B)
Betemit (ULT)
Gardner (OF)
Ransom (ULT)
Posted by: Zrosey21 | October 05, 2008 at 02:34 PM
Ok, one last comment I hope. Cano is fine, he has the potential to be a valuable player because of the position he plays. An .800 OPS 2nd baseman is far more valuable than an .800 OPS LF or DH. I never, ever, ever said that Cano sucks. I started this off by saying that Cano is not a 2 or 3 hitter, which you opined earlier. I also never, ever, ever said that OBP and OBP alone determines who is the better player. BUT, many experts (not Joe Morgan) will say it is the most important number in the the AVG/OBP/SLG line.
And if it is dorky to look at all of the metrics devised by Bill James and the like to evaluate how good a player is, then I would rather be a dork than be a dinosaur like yourself and look at AVG, RBI, and Runs scored.
Posted by: bs | October 05, 2008 at 02:57 PM
i think Abreus on the Cubs next year.
Posted by: GeneralManager | October 05, 2008 at 04:47 PM
I'm with yanksfansince78 how is Cust better then Cano?
Cano,25, .271 14 HR 71 RBI .305 OBP .410 SLG
Cust,29, .231 77 RBI .375 OPB .476 SLG
Cano is younger and had almost as many RBIs as Cust has a better average then hom too. So other guy you have no arguement.
Posted by: CUBBIES2008 | October 05, 2008 at 07:44 PM
"I'm with yanksfansince78 how is Cust better then Cano?
Cano,25, .271 14 HR 71 RBI .305 OBP .410 SLG
Cust,29, .231 77 RBI .375 OPB .476 SLG
Cano is younger and had almost as many RBIs as Cust has a better average then hom too. So other guy you have no arguement."
ugh, I give up.
Posted by: bs | October 05, 2008 at 09:18 PM
"ugh, I give up."
The funny part is that he posted the reasons why Cust is better in the post where he said he wasn't. Its like trying to teach monkeys to read.
Posted by: nrmax88 | October 06, 2008 at 03:33 AM
coming from a yankee fan i think its a good idea to let him walk if he wants three years that will give the yankees an extra 13 million to go get an ace.
Posted by: midnight5 | October 07, 2008 at 07:39 AM