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A's Rumors: Furcal, Embree, Thomas

Joe Stiglich of the Contra Costa Times has a few A's rumors:

  • Stiglich spoke with Rafael Furcal's agent, Paul Kinzer, and heard that it will be the middle of next week at the earliest that Furcal decides where he'd like to sign. It no longer seems likely that Furcal will narrow his options down to two teams this weekend.
  • In a poll earlier in the week, 32% of MLBTR readers said they expected Furcal to sign with the A's, who had the most votes of any team by far.
  • The Rockies are interested in free agent reliever Alan Embree, but the A's are considering brining him back for another year.
  • And the A's are deciding whether to offer arbitration to Embree and Frank Thomas.


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Here's the thing. Bob Geren isn't the best at the whole LOOGYs and platoons thing. Which is why Emil Brown saw ABs against RHP, and Embree pitched to righties in close situations.

A's should offer Embree arbitration. If he accepts, fine, the A's are stuck with a LOOGY to help out the pen for one more year (Blevins is best suited as a 7th/8th inning guy who can get both sides out). If he doesn't accept, the A's get the draft pick. Embree shouldn't be looking at a multi-year deal from the A's though.

OK. Scrap what I said about Embree being a LOOGY. He was equally effective against both righties and lefties last year. The A's didn't have a true LOOGY (Blevins did walk much fewer lefties than righties, although he's still potent against righties and should be be allowed to face both) last year.

Still, offer Embree arbi, if he accepts, fine.

Frank Thomas shouldn't be offered arbitration; there is no spot for him on the team and he pretty much WILL accept.

They are probably thinking of Frank as the backup to the backup plan. Its a strange idea because it puts Cust in the field. Um, I dont think so?

Off topic: I really think Randy Johnson is a perfect fit in Oakland. Out of the current rotation, only Eveland can be counted on. Duke is an injury concern, and Gallagher-Braden-Gonzalez-Outman are all very questionable. Ok if Duke is fine then adding RJ would really sure up the rotation making it Duke-Eveland-RJ at the front end and Gallagher and a mix of the others in the 5 spot. RJ's a local guy too and would most likely get his 300th W in an Oak uni. He would only require a 1 year deal and is still a very solid #3 starter, good for 180 IP at an ERA under 4. Signing the Big Unit makes too much sense for the A's.

I don't think RJ will be an ERA-Under-3 guy in the AL. Maybe a 4 ERA guy. But I do think that a 1 year contract would work. The A's have a lot of good pitching depth in the minors, but they are all "Mid 2009 at earliest" and best suited for 2010. RJ could also act somewhat like Frank Thomas-bring in some fans who like the name.

The A's will not offer Arbitration to Thomas unless he agreed already to reject it. There is a reason for Thomas to decline it too if the A's ask, just as the A's will not offer it unless they are sure that Thomas will decline it.

Thomas would make a good amount in Arbitration due to his previous contract (BlueJays) if he accepted. But, he knows that if he wants to play again, he would not get that much. Indeed, he might need another low base, high incentive contract again simular to what he signed originally with the A's at. Declining Arbitration would not hurt Thomas, a Type B FA, so teams would not fear losing a pick. And declinging it would give him the option of returning to the A's if the A's do not find anyone later in the off season and Thomas is still looking for work, whereas if the A's do not offer Arbitration, they are struck from the list.

The A's would like to have the Draft Pick, and they would also probably like the option of possibly having Thomas return for the right price if they can not find another bat.

For Embree, he says he wants 1 more year, so if the A's offer Arbitration, he might just accept. The thing is, the A's bullpen does not need Embree-its full right now with the addition of whatshisname from Washington. And if Embree is resigned, he will be at the bottom of the list of Relievers, whereas going to Colorado might put him near a Setup position.

I think again, the A's would ask Embree to decline the Arbitration offer. If they decide they still want him, they can always resign him. And since they declined his option, he won't be getting more than $3 from the A's, but he might from the Rockies or another team in a bidding war. If he declines Arbitration from the A's, desite their dropping of his option, he can still refer back to the A's as a potential suitor and play off them for a bigger 1 year contract.

AD and Zonis- I think The Unit will get help from Everybody's Favorite Pitcher's Paradise and the Oakland defense,as most other pitchers do, and be pretty damn good. Maybe not sub-4 ERA, but I'd say 4.50 at the highest. And yes, it sounds like a good idea for Oakland. If the payroll room is still there (i.e. if the A's miss out on Furcal).

The A's should NOT rush Anderson/Cahill/Mazarro/Simmons by any means. Their development is huge to the organization, and rushing them up just isn't a smart long-term business idea.

And, Schroder doesn't really affect Embree. There's still only one lefty in the pen(Blevins), unless one of Eveland/Braden/Outman/Gio spends 2009 in the pen, which is likely (although Gio and Outman should start in AAA IMO, unless the A's are convinced that Outman's ceiling is as a reliever).

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