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By Tim Dierkes [November 11, 2008 at 8:48am CST]
Here's a look at the latest from Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports.
- It doesn't seem likely that Randy Johnson re-signs with the Diamondbacks, though Johnson is holding out filing for free agency until the possibility is exhausted. The D'Backs hope he will take a significant hometown discount; they have roughly $10MM to spend for Johnson and a second baseman. If a Mark Loretta type takes $2MM, will Johnson take $8MM after earning $15.1MM for a fine '08 season?
- The Braves are frustrated with the progress on the Jake Peavy talks, and will explore other options (especially once the free agent market opens Friday). Rosenthal says the Padres sent revised proposals to the Cubs and Braves yesterday, but those teams intend to stick with their offers. Will the Padres crack and make a deal before Friday?
- Rosenthal criticizes the Padres for the classless farewell to Trevor Hoffman. They pulled their reduced offer, and didn't agree to the meeting with ownership he requested.
- Suddenly there may be more solid free agent closers than teams seeking one. The Mets have their pick. To me this is a sign that K-Rod will fall short of five years, $75MM.
- Rosenthal believes Kevin Gregg is next up on the trading block for the Marlins, with Jeremy Hermida another possibility.
- Casey Blake doesn't have any geographic leanings regarding his next destination. His agent feels a three-year deal is reasonable. The Twins and Indians are among seven teams eyeing Blake.
- The Cubs offered Ryan Dempster something in the range of Kyle Lohse's four years, $41MM. Teams don't like to use the Carlos Silva deal as a benchmark, because it was such a clear mistake.
It's very refreshing to see Hendry not break the bank for Dempster. I think that 4/41 is a fair offer for a pitcher coming off of his career year. He's older so this gets him the gauranteed years with a fair price.
Posted by: Bdlugz | November 11, 2008 at 08:55 AM
Just an educated guess, but it looks to me that Towers is pushing for the Braves to add Hanson and the Cubs to add Ceda with neither the Braves nor Cubs budging. It's good news for the Cubs that the Braves are frustrated.
Posted by: Teetz | November 11, 2008 at 09:01 AM
Dempster should keep in mind that he did quite well on his last contract considering where he was coming from, not to mention that the Cubs pulled him off the scrap heap and were generously patient with him. I'm not saying he owes the team anything other than what he's already done, but if he's intent on making $15 million per year or something let's hope the parting is amicable. Kudos to Hendry for making a good offer, 4-yrs and $41 million or so is good for Dempster, the money is right but the contract is a little long. I'd say both sides could live with it though.
Posted by: pageian | November 11, 2008 at 09:40 AM
Teetz, you can't compare the Braves being asked to add Hanson to the Cubs being asked to add Ceda, and I'm a Cubs fan.
Hanson is one of the few prospects I agree should really have an "untouchable" tag for now. Ceda is a great potential closer with the ability to turn into a #3 starter, but it's not the same.
If adding Ceda was all that was holding the Cubs back from getting this done, it would be done by now. Now Vitters is another story!
Posted by: Bdlugz | November 11, 2008 at 09:43 AM
we will throw in Ceda if you thrown in Greene. So we can flip him to BAltimore for Roberts (obviously not straight up)
Posted by: uww1 | November 11, 2008 at 09:43 AM
actually the braves frustration bodes well for...the braves. Towers has to make a decision quick and this leaves less time for the cubs to possibly find a 3 team deal or get creative. And teetz im sure towers has given up trying to get hanson from the braves. Expect a trade before the 22nd would be my guess
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 11, 2008 at 09:45 AM
I would give Dempster 4 years 50 mil if that will keep him here.
Posted by: uww1 | November 11, 2008 at 09:46 AM
BD,
Not comparing. It could easily be a situation where Cubs add Ceda and the Padres go to the Braves and see if they can add Hanson. It could also be a situation where the Braves add Hanson and the deal gets done. I'm guessing if the Braves add Hanson, they won't have to put Yunel Escobar in the deal. That should show you how highly I think of Hanson.
The more I think about it and knowing Jim Hendry as being a "here is what I can offer, let me know" easy going type of GM....the ball looks to be in Frank Wren's court. Wren's frustration in this case will definitely play into Hendry's hands.
If Escobar is in the deal, who plays SS for the Braves and with that lineup, do they have enough to compete with the Phillies and Mets next year? Both of those teams are expected to improve their rosters this offseason as well. They may just figure going into FA instead of giving up major pieces of the current club would give them a better chance to compete.
Posted by: Teetz | November 11, 2008 at 09:55 AM
uww,
Dempster is not worth no 4/50. He's not even worth 4/41. Maybe 2-3/16-24 at most he is worth. If any team offers him over $8 million/year, they need a new GM.
Posted by: BravesRed | November 11, 2008 at 09:57 AM
The Cubs won't need to add a 3rd team. The Padres want young pitching in return and the Cubs have some to offer. There is no chance Vitters gets traded. The only way Vitters would be traded is if Jim Hendry was in his lame duck year, but he was signed to a 4 year extension.
Posted by: Teetz | November 11, 2008 at 09:58 AM
Dempster is beong totally overvalued...give me a break. The guy had a few solid years, can we stop treating him like a future HOF'er. And screw the Pads, I've had enough of there stalling, either make a deal or don't.
Posted by: njbraves | November 11, 2008 at 09:59 AM
I am very happy with Hendry right now...and very happy the Braves are frustrated.
I also can't believe the Cards would give up Ludwick for Street. That would be a huge mistake.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 11, 2008 at 10:00 AM
I have been arguing with Cubs fans for a week now but you guys arnt the enemy ... Towers is. I hope the Braves get him but if not I hope the Cubs totally fleece him and he loses his job. Some one should investigate Towers and Axelrod for collusion.
Posted by: tsweet9000 | November 11, 2008 at 10:03 AM
I actually like how the Braves are saying they are "frustrated". At this point I honestly do not think it will hurt them. The Padres know what the offers are. I believe that since they are saying they are annoyed they are trying to get the Pads to pull the trigger. Whether Peavy goes to Braves or Cubs, I think it was annoying that the Padres said they would tell people by Thanksgiving because it will hurt the Cubs and the Braves free-agency hunt.
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | November 11, 2008 at 10:04 AM
People forget that this isnt the first time Dempster has done well in the starting role. He won 14 and 15 games as a allstar with the Marlins. Whats to say he wont do it again. And if he wins 14 then the money is worth it. He is also one of the best clubhouse guys on the team. IMO I believe the Cubs need him and he would be worth 10 - 12 mil a year.
Posted by: uww1 | November 11, 2008 at 10:07 AM
Olney at ESPN suggests the holdup with the Braves may be the "4th piece." That they've agreed on Escobar, Hernandez, Morton/Reyes... and that the inclusion of Locke may be the sticking point.
I think the Braves are giving up too much anyway, but if it's down to a pitcher who's at least 2 years (and probably 3) away, I'd go ahead and get it done.
Posted by: AtlantaMike | November 11, 2008 at 10:11 AM
Well these latest comments pretty much confirm what I've thought all along:
Hendry's laid all his cards on the table and been right upfront with Towers the whole time about what his best offer is.
Towers likes Hendry's offer enough to keep the Cubs in the mix but would like to squeeze a better package out of the Braves.
Meanwhile Wren is playing hardball and refusing to offer up that better package.
Now the endgame is upon us.
Either Towers will take the Cubs' best package, or he'll take the Braves' "hardball" package.
Posted by: davearm | November 11, 2008 at 10:12 AM
BravesRed, it's a good thing you aren't a GM then, because you'd never sign a free agent.
You say that no one should offer Dempster over 8M a year for 2 or 3 years? The guys just finished the year with a sub 3 ERA, he'll probably finish around 5th place for NL Cy Young. Although I would say this was a career year, it shows he has the ability, and it wasn't all smoke and mirrors. He will get an offer of at least 3/42M on the open market, so why not try and keep him in Chicago at a fair price as well.
Posted by: Bdlugz | November 11, 2008 at 10:12 AM
Give them Locke if they will take Gorkys and Reyes. Schafer can be our center fielder this year and Morton is a lot better than you all think. I will be thrilled if we keep morton despite his stats he was lights out in half his starts. He matched C.C pitch for pitch one sunday afternoon. He's solid.
Posted by: tsweet9000 | November 11, 2008 at 10:15 AM
tsweet, not sure what your issue is with Towers and Axelrod.
They're both just doing their jobs here -- Towers is negotiating the best return he can get on his asset, and Axelrod is advocating in his client's best interest.
Not sure what you're seeing here that could be considered collusive.
Posted by: davearm | November 11, 2008 at 10:19 AM
If these reports are true, it is looking like Hendry is doing a good job on both the Dempster and Peavy possibilities.
BravesRed,
You might not like the fact Dempster will get over 8 mil per, but the market 'is what it is' and GMs know it. Personally, I am comfortable with 3 years for Dempster, knowing 4 years is reality and 5 years is too long. He will get what he gets though.
Posted by: studio179 | November 11, 2008 at 10:20 AM
The Padres insistence to get this done before the season starts even in the midst of not getting what the "want" for Peavy is starting to make me think he is due for a serious breakdown at some point.
Buyer beware.
Posted by: mmontice | November 11, 2008 at 10:25 AM
I feel that every time a deal isn't done quickly and without speculation someone comes out and says the target is probably about to get hurt.
You'd think people realize the extent of physicals on these players before trades, can we stop with the all-knowing GM crap?
Posted by: Bdlugz | November 11, 2008 at 10:31 AM
Ehh, that came out way more harsh than was intended, haha. Point still stands, but make it like, a 2 on the angry scale instead of the 7 it came across as.
Posted by: Bdlugz | November 11, 2008 at 10:31 AM
The other thing about Dempster is that while last year was career type, it could happen again. Last offseason he really, really (used it twice on purpose to prove my point) worked hard on conditioning. Something that he has not done to that level in the past. It paid off. Hopefully, he works that hard this offseason. Maybe 17 wins and an ERA around 3 will happen again.
The other thing is even though he is 32, he has been the closer the last few years, while he recovered. Less wear and tear on a 32 year old arm/shoulder over that time. His younger days had a lot of gooffing off and was questioned in conditioning. Now he is married with kids and more mature. While that alone does not promise success, it adds to some guys level of success. It depends on the player and how hard they work if they have good stuff, which Dempster does have good stuff.
Posted by: studio179 | November 11, 2008 at 10:35 AM
Why is Dempster worth a couple years and AJ Burnett worth 5?
They are both the same age. Dempster is coming off the better year while Burnett has finally pitched 200 innings.
Over their careers Burnett has been the better pitcher (when he was on the mound) but the gap isn't huge.
Anyway, I would pay more for Burnett than Dempster but these low ball offers of 1/8 are laughable. 4/50 sounds about right given what Dempster did in 08.
*** TypePad sucks ***
Posted by: bjsguess | November 11, 2008 at 10:51 AM
Bdlugz,
Just seems weird to me. No injuries yet, obviously, but does seem like they are pressing a little too much to get rid of him before the season begins. Like they're nervous or something.
bjsguess,
Typekey is the worst of all time.
Posted by: mmontice | November 11, 2008 at 10:52 AM
They're pressing to get rid of him because he is receiving over 25% of the entire salary on a team that will not compete this year. Why would they want to wait until the deadline and even pay half that salary? They know he needs to be traded.
**I too am in love with typekey
Posted by: Bdlugz | November 11, 2008 at 11:00 AM
Even if the Cubs loose out in Peavy, I hope they can cut a deal for Giles. That includes resigning Dempster and Wood.
**Fans come here and over evaluate their team's players and low ball the other guys team's talent. One thing I have yet to find is anyone...anyone who feels typekey is over evaluated or just plain good.**
Posted by: studio179 | November 11, 2008 at 11:24 AM
*lose out*
Posted by: studio179 | November 11, 2008 at 11:25 AM
mariners fans look for a good team in a few years with the angels and athletics in your division it will be hard this year but then again they could be the rays and come out of no where and do something optimism is a wonderful thing until your teams down and out then....self explanitory elaboration not needed, even though im a dedicated red sox fan its always nice to see a team thats perennially a bad team atleast do sub-par to far exceed expectations its just hard to duplicate it year in and year out, interested on seeing how the rays do this year.
Posted by: americans1901 | November 11, 2008 at 12:01 PM
AtlantaMike I think if the Braves give up Locke or Morton or Jo Jo its a fair deal. But Yunel and Gorkys is not enough to get Peavy. Yunel is great but will be a goner. Gorskys is a mid-end prospect for the Braves.
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | November 11, 2008 at 12:29 PM
Once again, a few Cubs fans are convinced their prospects are all going to be superstars and that teams will just throw their players. No one wants Felix Pie. No one wants Cedeno who has been a big bust.
Tommy Hanson has rediculus stuff. Why would atlanta "throw in" a guy who the padres begged for?
I think sometime between now and friday Peavy will go to Atlanta for Escobar/Hernandez/Morton (Maybe JoJo but he's awful) and one of our pitchers. I've heard they like Locke along with Tyler Mareck, who came over in the Tex-Kotchman deal.
Cubs have no prospects besides Samardjiza and Theriot(why is he even called a prospect anymore?) and they wont trade either.
Posted by: bravesfansc | November 11, 2008 at 12:34 PM
bravesfansc I agree. I dont know whats so good about the Cubs package. I honestly believe that we are offering a better package not because I am a Braves fan but a baseball fan as well..
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | November 11, 2008 at 01:24 PM