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« What's Next For The Braves? | Main | Furcal Comments On Braves »
12:02pm: Boras gave a prepared statement regarding the Angels and Tex, saying that the player's interest has been sincere. Boras left the door open for the Angels, but why wouldn't he?
11:28am: So the Angels are out of the running for Mark Teixeira. Now what? They've re-signed Juan Rivera, making Manny Ramirez a "reach" according to Jerry Crasnick's source. Mike DiGiovanna has suggestions:
The Angels...could also look to bolster their offense by pursuing a free-agent outfielder such as Bobby Abreu, Pat Burrell, Adam Dunn, or, possibly, Manny. Or, they could look to trade for a hitter such as Jermaine Dye, Paul Konerko, Garrett Atkins or Joey Votto. They will probably use some of the money budgeted for Teixeira to sign closer Brian Fuentes, who is seeking a three-year, $30-million deal and has said that the Angels are his first choice.
Votto seems a long shot to be traded. Acquiring Dye or Atkins would require young pitching the Halos may not be able to spare. Adding another outfielder would not be ideal, with Vladimir Guerrero, Torii Hunter, Rivera, and Gary Matthews Jr. in the mix for those three spots and the DH spot. Still, it could be done. Burrell or Dunn can at least play some first base. The Konerko idea seems reasonable, if he'd approve the trade.
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Signing Dunn and sticking him at first base is likely the only possible move they can make short of dealing Adenhart.
Posted by: ibtorgy | December 22, 2008 at 11:41 AM
I don't think the Angels have a problem benching Gary Matthews Jr., although it does seem like a waste of money, but I mind, its 3 OFs battling for 4 spots (counting the DH). So the Angels could very easily go after a corner outfielder and feel no remorse in having to sit out Matthews. Ideally, I'd take Manny, but as said, is a bit of stretch at this point. From the players list, I'd personally cross out Bobby Abreu and Garrett Atkins as for players I would not want signed to the Angels.
Posted by: SamSanchez | December 22, 2008 at 11:42 AM
They should just use the 22MM they would have used on Teix to sign Fuentes and Dunn.
Move Dunn to first base and they're finished.
Sit back and drink a beer, and watch their team win the AL West.
Posted by: registereduser | December 22, 2008 at 11:43 AM
What about a trade for Mike Lowell? Probably wouldn't cost them much in players if they take on his contract, which they can afford to do.
Posted by: MUNGHERO | December 22, 2008 at 11:43 AM
Just say no to Dunn.
Posted by: A | December 22, 2008 at 11:43 AM
Kenny Williams should be aggressively shopping Konerko to Reagins right now. Perfect situation to unload Paulie.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 22, 2008 at 11:47 AM
How about bringing back Kotchman for a pitcher or two. The Braves could just use Prado at 1B and they could certainly use another SP.
Posted by: bbxxj | December 22, 2008 at 11:48 AM
Joey Votto being traded is the funniest thing I heard, ever.
The Angels would have to give the Reds half their ballclub and still pay their salaries for Votto to get moved!
Thanks for the laugh guys!
Posted by: BigRedOne | December 22, 2008 at 11:48 AM
What about a trade for Mike Lowell? Probably wouldn't cost them much in players if they take on his contract, which they can afford to do.
Posted by: MUNGHERO | December 22, 2008 at 11:43 AM
Only way that happens is if the Red Sox sign Tex
Posted by: mike923 | December 22, 2008 at 11:49 AM
Trading for Joey Votto? Why not Jay Bruce, Edinson Volquez, and Johnny Cueto as well? That should be easy enough.
Posted by: vtadave | December 22, 2008 at 11:50 AM
"What about a trade for Mike Lowell? Probably wouldn't cost them much in players if they take on his contract, which they can afford to do."
Who do you think Theo would ask for given the 'need' to move Lowell's salary assuming a Tex signing?
Posted by: el clash combo | December 22, 2008 at 11:50 AM
I'm on record as being opposed to trading Jermaine Dye but I will happily waive that objection if it will bring the Sox Chone Figgins.
Posted by: MPM | December 22, 2008 at 11:54 AM
Why look to commit $30M to Fuentes when you have internal options (like Shields) or cost-controlled options (like Arredondo)? Seems like the money could be better spent on a starting pitcher or power OF bat.
Posted by: candocantu | December 22, 2008 at 11:54 AM
Sign freaking Dunn and try to trade for Peavy! that's the best route to go now!
Posted by: bseballcrzy17 | December 22, 2008 at 11:55 AM
"What about a trade for Mike Lowell? Probably wouldn't cost them much in players if they take on his contract, which they can afford to do."
Lowell for Macier Izturis and Reggie Willits, you take on the entire contract
Posted by: 04Forever | December 22, 2008 at 12:02 PM
Dear Angels,
Please Please Please sign Manny so he will not be in pinstripes.
Sincerely,
The minority of Yankee fans (who seem to be the only sane ones)
Posted by: yanks09 | December 22, 2008 at 12:03 PM
I hope we don't sign Fuentes or Dunn we have plenty of people to close games that won't cost 10 mil a year Arredondo,Shields or heck even Oliver...And as foe Dunn like we need a .235 hitter protecting Vlad. Better trade Lackey cuz he is gonna bolt after this season his quote " I'm gonna wait and see what we do with the offense before I talk to the Angels about an extension" Well you see what they did...We will miss you Lackey
Posted by: Thundah77 | December 22, 2008 at 12:04 PM
I think this moves pretty much assures the world that Lackey will remain an Angel next year.
Posted by: Thumper | December 22, 2008 at 12:05 PM
The Votto trade is laughable, as no one has done their research. Votto is almost the same player as Kednry Morales. Why would the angels changed figgins for another Morales? Rameriz or Dunn is the only answer. Dunn isnt a bad answer at DH.
Posted by: BK | December 22, 2008 at 12:05 PM
I agree with candocantu. Why no discussion about a starting pitcher for the Angels? They need a starter more than they need a closer.
Posted by: Off_the_Wall | December 22, 2008 at 12:06 PM
"I'm on record as being opposed to trading Jermaine Dye but I will happily waive that objection if it will bring the Sox Chone Figgins."
I'd rather see the Sox build a package around Konerko to get Figgins. No need to trade Dye, and the Angels don't really have a spot for him unless they bench GMJ.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 22, 2008 at 12:07 PM
I am a dodgers fan but I am man enough to admit that they are already one of the best teams in baseball. Their rotation is set, don't worry about Peavy.
Dunn gets a bad rap, he's as consistient as any other player out there. Bat him behind Vladdy and you have another AL West championship at least. You angel fans just have to pray the BoSox don't make the playoffs! :)
By the way I think that the angels will still have a run at Tex, they are calling Boras' bluff and banking on the fact that Tex will not want to play for a team like Baltimore (even though its his home town) or the nationals. We'll see how this pans out.
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 22, 2008 at 12:10 PM
Okay this will probably never even be discussed but how about this trade...Vlad to the Cardinals for Ankiel and Chris Perez.
Posted by: yanks09 | December 22, 2008 at 12:10 PM
"The Votto trade is laughable, as no one has done their research. Votto is almost the same player as Kednry Morales. Why would the angels changed figgins for another Morales?"
Uhh, excuse me. No. This is insanely stupid.
Votto actually has proven something on the major league level. Morales hasn't. Votto is a MUCH better player than Morales right now, and has a higher ceiling.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 22, 2008 at 12:11 PM
"Okay this will probably never even be discussed but how about this trade...Vlad to the Cardinals for Ankiel and Chris Perez."
If anything I think that the Cards should push ludwick, I think his year last year is the best he will ever have and his trade value is high right now. The same can be said for ankiel to some extent but he seems to be more injury prone.
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 22, 2008 at 12:14 PM
I feel the Angels and Sox would match up better with Willits rather than Figgins. With a very crowded outfield Willits, while a coveted player of the Angels, could be better served bringing in better talent. Konerko finished very strong at the end of the year and with the Sox eating some of the money these two would be a solid start. If Pauly drops the ntc.
Posted by: Rustifarian | December 22, 2008 at 12:15 PM
I wont believe the Angels or the Red Sox are out of the Teixeira race until he's signed somewhere. Its all smoke.
Posted by: gianthinker | December 22, 2008 at 12:15 PM
"The Votto trade is laughable, as no one has done their research. Votto is almost the same player as Kednry Morales. Why would the angels changed figgins for another Morales? Rameriz or Dunn is the only answer. Dunn isnt a bad answer at DH."
Research - may want to try that yourself.
Posted by: vtadave | December 22, 2008 at 12:20 PM
After the whole Jake Peavy to Cubs thing fell though I remember Reagins saying they would make a run for Peavy if they did not sign Texeria...wonder if that happens ?
Maybe the Pads take on Matthews Jr. if they Halos pay a large portion of the remaining salary ?
Just a thought...
Posted by: Just another idiot | December 22, 2008 at 12:23 PM
The Reds are constructing their roster around Votto, Bruce, Volquez and Cueto being their cornerstones for many years to come.
Trading Votto is like saying the Cardinals will trade Pujols or the Brewers trading Ryan Braun. Votto will be an all-star very soon.
The Angels should sign Adam Dunn, he was good. Really.
Posted by: BigRedOne | December 22, 2008 at 12:32 PM
vtadave and melonius rex: here you go. Major leagues only:
Morales: .249 15hr 57 rbi 40r 1 sb
Votto: .300 28hr 101rbi 80r 8sb
Sorry Morales, you arent anything until you can hit well in the majors. Votto has done that. Case closed.
Posted by: Ted Williams | December 22, 2008 at 12:40 PM
I could definitely see the Angels trading for someone. Maybe even Carlos Delgado?
Posted by: squid92 | December 22, 2008 at 12:42 PM
How about this? Cubs trade Derrek Lee to the Angels for Chone Figgins.
Discuss amongst yourselves.
Posted by: rememberthecoop | December 22, 2008 at 12:42 PM
"Research - may want to try that yourself."
Morales has hit very well every time he has been called up. He projects as a 20-40 hr 300 avg 1b/of. While you gotta respect Vottos #'s statistically were MUCH MUCH worse during the second half of 2008.
With the agreement hat Votto hit pitchers pretty well in 2008, the Angels are far from guaranteed production after one year of heavily skewed stats. I see these two players as very similar.
Posted by: BK | December 22, 2008 at 12:46 PM
I think Ludwick/Perez would have to be where that trade would start for Vlad...Ankiel is a free agent in 1 year and a boras client, so I don't see the Halos having as much interest there.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 22, 2008 at 12:46 PM
"Trading Votto is like saying the Cardinals will trade Pujols or the Brewers trading Ryan Braun."
I get your point...but...no. just no.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 22, 2008 at 12:48 PM
Trading Votto is like saying the Cardinals will trade Pujols or the Brewers trading Ryan Braun. Votto will be an all-star very soon.
Posted by: BigRedOne | December 22, 2008 at 12:32 PM
Did you really just compare Joey Votto to Albert Pujols ?? One season, and the guy is Albert Pujols?
That could be right up there with the guy that said he would not trade Yunel Escobar for Jake Peavy straight up...wow.....
Posted by: Just another idiot | December 22, 2008 at 01:01 PM
Lets address a few things:
"How about this? Cubs trade Derrek Lee to the Angels for Chone Figgins."
No, bad, terrible, awful, not going to happen. Figgins is too valuable in Scioscia's system and too valuable defensively, whether as a GG caliber 3B or an above average defender at every position on the field other than P or C. Also, the Angels don't need any more right handed power bats.
"Sorry Morales, you arent anything until you can hit well in the majors. Votto has done that. Case closed."
Morales has been stuck on the Salt Lake Shuttle, blocked by Kotchman and Tex, for more than 2 years now. Hardly the same situation as with Votto, where Votto got the job easily.
"Signing Dunn and sticking him at first base is likely the only possible move they can make short of dealing Adenhart."
1) While Adam Dunn is valuable to some teams, he makes no sense for the Angels' system.
2) Why not move Adenhart? The Angels are extremely well stocked with Pitching and Adenhart has serious command issues.
""Trading Votto is like saying the Cardinals will trade Pujols or the Brewers trading Ryan Braun."
I get your point...but...no. just no."
Well, I can see someone stretch to Ryan Braun, but comparing Votto, or anyone for that matter, to Pujols is ridiculous.
"Okay this will probably never even be discussed but how about this trade...Vlad to the Cardinals for Ankiel and Chris Perez."
No. Just No. Vlad is FAR more valuable than that combination and a virtual lock to resign if offered a reasonable deal. Ankiel will never inspire the fear in pitchers that Vlad does, simply because Ankiel doesn't have 1/10th the talent for hitting a baseball.
Posted by: AA | December 22, 2008 at 01:03 PM
why would anybody believe a single word that Boras says? the man cannot be trusted. Maybe some mystery team will offer Tex 10 years, $250M and he can go play for them.
Posted by: nostocksjustbonds | December 22, 2008 at 01:04 PM
''Sign freaking Dunn and try to trade for Peavy! that's the best route to go now!''
Honestly, when I saw on the ESPN ticker last night that the Angels were no longer pursuing Teixeira, this is what I thought to myself.
I would say another route would be to sign Manny Ramirez, but it really makes no sense now that Juan Rivera is back in the fold.
Sign Dunn with the versatility available to either put him at DH, first, or either corner outfield position if needed, and then send those prospects to San Diego.
Posted by: MattyMets | December 22, 2008 at 01:07 PM
Kendry Morales isn't good. He is average.Adum Dunn is consistent? Maybe if you are talking about 200 strike outs a year. How about Brandon wood, Kendry Morales and Joe Suanders for Justin Morneau or Prince Fielder
Posted by: Thundah77 | December 22, 2008 at 01:08 PM
Angels need a SP? How about Marquis for Willits, Cubs eat a couple million and throw in an organizational filler type? If Willits could approximate his 2007 season he could provide the left handed bat that the Cubs are looking for, and cheaply too. Then the Cubs could cut Gathright... it's a win/win. Don't know if the Angels would consider Marquis but I'm guessing they would. How's Escobar coming along btw?
Posted by: pageian | December 22, 2008 at 01:10 PM
I can see the Reds doing something STUPID like trading Votto for a Pitcher and young Short Stop, both of whom "might" be good some day.
Then they could sign Jerry Hairston Jr and/or Willy Taveras to play Centr Field and Adam Dunn to play First Base.
That way, Toothpick Baker gets one of his playthings back and grumpy Ca$htellini gets his object of man love desire back.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 22, 2008 at 01:10 PM
"How about Marquis for Willits" I'd trade Willits for a 12 pack of coke
Posted by: Thundah77 | December 22, 2008 at 01:14 PM
Derek Lee for Chone Figgins? Maybe the Cubs would even throw in Ron Santo's hall of fame chances.
Posted by: OmegaMan | December 22, 2008 at 01:17 PM
"How about Marquis for Willits" I'd trade Willits for a 12 pack of coke"
Is Pepsi okay? ;)
Posted by: pageian | December 22, 2008 at 01:23 PM
"How about Marquis for Willits" I'd trade Willits for a 12 pack of coke"
Don't get me wrong, I'm not insinuating that Willits is THE left-handed bat that the Cubs are looking for or that Marquis is THE SP that the Angels need. That said, in a down economy with budgets shrinking everyday we don't always get what we want. Marquis could slot in the back of the Angels rotation and the Cubs could try Willits at leadoff (adding Soriano to the middle of the order). It's not perfect for either team but it does make sense.
Posted by: pageian | December 22, 2008 at 01:25 PM
I am a life long White Sox fan. I will take the rally monkey for Konerko. I am so done with how slow he is and his 5 months of .230 average.
Posted by: Big Mex | December 22, 2008 at 01:27 PM
"Adum Dunn is consistent? Maybe if you are talking about 200 strike outs a year."
Posted by: Thundah77 | December 22, 2008 at 01:08 PM
Yea, are we excluding his five straight 40 HR seasons, and his 100+ walks every season...
I agree, I don't think he works well with the Angels system, but Adam Dunn is one of the most consistent hitters out there. When you sign him, you know what you will get.
Posted by: B3NG4L | December 22, 2008 at 01:31 PM
Kenny, as a White Sox fan, i telling plz trade Konerko, NOW!
The angels r out of the the Tex race and they need a first basemen
Trade him for:
1.Budde
2.Willits
3.Moseley
Thats a fair trade for both sides
budde can be our back up catcher for a year til Flowers comes up
Willits is a better Owens
Moseley builds depth in the pen and the SP
Posted by: quintavalli | December 22, 2008 at 01:46 PM
Adam Dunn playing his Home Games in (and being aided by) Great American Small Park, you know what you get. But what happens if he moves to a park that does NOT aid his Home Runs and he only hits 30 while driving in 80 RBI's? Along with his bad Defense, would he be worth it then?
Don't think this could happen just look at what he did last year.
While with the Reds, he hit a Home Run once in every 11.65 At Bats. Over 525 At Bats, that projects out to 47 Home Runs. After he was traded to the D backs and had to play in larger ball parks, his Home Run production dropped to only one in every 18 At Bats. Projected over a 525 At Bat season, that would equal 29 in a year.
Plus, there is always the chance that Dunn's Offense drops of a cliff like Richie Sexson's did.
Because of this, I think the best player for the Reds, Cubs and Angels (unless the Halos get Manny R) would be Bobby Abreu.
Abreu is more durable than Milton Bradley and has just as high of an On Base Percentage and drives in just as many RBI's as Dunn while also having more speed than Dunn.
So, those three teams should let Leather Pants Bowden overpay for Dunn and try to figure out where to play him and the other eight Outfielder/First Basemen on the roster and go after a BETTER player.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 22, 2008 at 01:53 PM
Trading Votto is a terrible idea. Who is going to be there power hitting first basemen. Alonso is a year or two away. Keep votto and get Byrnes and Adkins.
Posted by: Ryan | December 22, 2008 at 01:54 PM
the Sox should also kick in some money to balance out the trade
Posted by: quintavalli | December 22, 2008 at 01:54 PM
Personally I don't think a deal for Peavy and Gonzalez is completely out of the question. The Padres have made it clear they wanted to keep Gonzalez, but the Angels have the prospects to possibly change their mind. A package with Weaver, Adenhart, and Willits would be a good start.
Posted by: Projekt Six | December 22, 2008 at 01:57 PM
Don't want Konerko and his horrible streaks. Don't want Dunn and his inability to protect Vlad. We should have forgot about Tex from the start got Sabathia traded for Peavy and win the AL west scoring 200 runs in 162 games =)
Posted by: Thundah77 | December 22, 2008 at 02:01 PM
"But what happens if he moves to a park that does NOT aid his Home Runs"
Most of Dunns home runs have nothing to do with the field he plays in. He hits Bombs that would go out of anywhere. Switching from Cincy to Wrigley would likely do very little to his HR totals.
By the way...Dunn's road numbers were BETTER last year than his home numbers...he had a .934 OPS last year on the road.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 22, 2008 at 02:03 PM
I don't think the Angels have it in their system without giving up Santana/Saunders to get Gonzalez.
A Peavy deal would probably be built around Wood and Walden.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 22, 2008 at 02:27 PM
"Most of Dunns home runs have nothing to do with the field he plays in. He hits Bombs that would go out of anywhere."
That is the argument, but the numbers did tell a different story after the trade to AZ.
"Plus, there is always the chance that Dunn's Offense drops of a cliff like Richie Sexson's did."
I am no Dunn fan, but I don't think it is fair to equate him to Sexson. 1) Dunn hits left-handed, which is more valuable; 2) Sexson's career high in walks is 98, which doesn't bode well given that he no longer regularly hits .275.
"Sign Dunn with the versatility available to either put him at DH, first, or either corner outfield position if needed, and then send those prospects to San Diego."
Did you just call Dunn versatile? If by versatile, you mean bad defensive player, ok. Otherwise, Dunn is not "versatile". Dunn doesn't fit the Angels system, but at least he can be hidden at DH in the AL. The problem there is that you have a need at 1B and Vlad needs to DH once a week or so to stay healthy.
Posted by: AA | December 22, 2008 at 02:33 PM
I understand Ankiel isn't on Vlads level yet. But Ankiel is getting better with more and more AB's as Vlad is declining rapidly and has already become a liability in the field. Chris Perez has the potential to be a great arm as a setup man or closer.
If the mission is to win another division title and get knocked out early in the playoffs again than Vlad is your guy since he is virtually invisible in the playoffs. If the mission is to compete for a world series Vlad must go and changes must be made.
Posted by: yanks09 | December 22, 2008 at 02:39 PM
Stop it with all of the Brian Fuentes to LA talk...unless the team indicates its interest,..which it hasn't.
To the contrary, the Angels have stated, after Fuentes self-promotional article (more of a agent's job), that they're happy with Shields and Arrendondo. What more do you need?
The Halos need another starter and two big bats....end of story.
Dunn, Peavy...and I'll predict Beltre or Lowell in a trade.
A Lowell trade may be closer than you think...
.
Posted by: dr. drew | December 22, 2008 at 02:39 PM
"But Ankiel is getting better with more and more AB's as Vlad is declining rapidly and has already become a liability in the field."
You are nuts. Ankiel will never, ever be the player Vlad is. As for Vlad's "decline" you apparently didn't take a look at his numbers. Once he got a week off to rest his knee, he had a monster second half line of:
.330 .391 .580
As for being a defensive liability, you apparently haven't read much there either, given that
"If the mission is to win another division title and get knocked out early in the playoffs again than Vlad is your guy since he is virtually invisible in the playoffs. If the mission is to compete for a world series Vlad must go and changes must be made."
You probably just want Vlad gone because you are a Yankee fan who wants to stop having your team dominated.
Anyway, Vlad murdered Boston pitching this year in the ALCS, and was hurt last year, so it isn't like you have much of an argument there.
Posted by: AA | December 22, 2008 at 02:53 PM
During Sexson's age 26 to age 28 seasons, he had more Hits, RBI's and a higher Slugging Percentage than Dunn and did so while playing in a Home park that wasn't as hitter friendly.
From 2003 to the time he was traded, Dunn hit 124 Home Runs in GASP (in 1470 At Bats)and 101 Home Runs on the Road (in 1478 At Bats). That turns out to be 1 HR in every 11.85 At Bats at Home and 1 HR in every 14.63 At Bats on the Road. Either way you look at it, Dunn hit 20% more Home Runs at Home than on the Road.
Now, put him in larger West Coast ball parks where Home Runs are harder to hit to begin with and watch his totals drop. This is especially true in San Francisco and Seattle.
Also, in larger ball parks, Dunn's Outfield Defense would get worse because his range isn't good and more balls would fall in for Hits.
But go ahead and spend your money on Dunn. That way, Reds' Owner Ca$htellini wont be tempted to bring the object of his man love back to Cincinnati.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 22, 2008 at 02:54 PM
"First of all, there will never be another Big Red Machine - not in Cincinnati, not anywhere. Getting to the question, it's good that the Reds are sticking to a plan of maintaining a young core. There was a time this decade when the club would get antsy and dump promising talent for retread veterans in a win-quick attempt. Now, it's common knowledge around the league that players like Jay Bruce, Joey Votto, Johnny Cueto, Edinson Volquez and Brandon Phillips are off the table when trade talks start. I think that discipline will pay off in the long run and could eventually mean a sustained era of contending."-Mark Sheldon, Reds beat reporter
Posted by: BigRedOne | December 22, 2008 at 03:05 PM
"Burrell or Dunn can at least play some first base."
Uhh, Tim, has Burrell EVER played first base? Do you just assume that any major leaguer can play first base?
I wouldn't be so quick to make that assumption.
Posted by: Devlsh | December 22, 2008 at 03:10 PM
Are you serious with this home runs/at bat arguement?
Last 3 years:
Home:
OPS: .897
Away:
OPS: .897
Dunn is as consistant as it gets and it doesn't matter where he plays. If you think a trasition from Chase to Wrigley makes ANY difference that isn't positive, you are misinformed.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 22, 2008 at 03:16 PM
Every hitter is for the most part, going to hit a little better in hitter's parks. Most players are going to be a little worse in pitcher's parks. But if you are warning me as a Cubs fan that he is going to be bad because he isn't playing in Cinci...I am just not very worried about it...at all. His defense is what worries me, but I have no doubt he is around a .240/.380/.500 type of player with his home games in Wrigley. I'll take that...what I don't love is the defense.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 22, 2008 at 03:23 PM
Bigredone,
That is the type of plan that the A's and Twins use and what Krivsky was trying to implement.
Draft or trade for young talent and cultivate it. Then, as they get older and more expensive, see if they fit into future plans. If so, keep them. If not, trade them for young talent or let them become Free Agents and get the Draft picks for them.
The only problem was/is, Ca$htellini meddles too much and is too impatient and wants to win now.
A couple of other problems is that the Reds have added Bavasi to the Front Office. He was the GM for the Mariners who thought it was a GOOD idea to sign Richie Sexson to a big dollar, long term contract. He was the guy who traded the farm for Eric Bedard. He was the guy who put together a team with a $100 million dollar payroll and, for the first time in history, had such a team lose 100 or mroe Games in a season.
The other problem is the Reds also hired Bonifay for the Front Office. The Pirates have had 17 straight losing seasons and Bonifay was GM right in the middle of that time. So, the Pirates did not improve after he came in or improve after he left.
So, add all of that together and you get a mess.
You have a meddling, impatient Owner who just wants to overpay for guys, whether the team needs them or not, just because they are good for the PR and Marketing Departments (easier to schedule Free Bobblehead Nights). Then you have a GM, who has only been with the team for a year and two former GM's butting heads about what the plan is and how to implement it/them.
Added to that is Toothpick Baker making suggestions about who HE wants to bring in.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 22, 2008 at 03:28 PM
Aduncaroo,
I am pretty sure your last three years argument includes his time with the D backs. Look at his Slugging Percentage with the Reds in 2008 and then with the D backs. His OPS stayed about the same because of his Walks.
Since Dunn is a slow base runner who bats in the middle of the line up, his getting walked doesn't really help a team if they are looking for him to provide Home Run power and RBI production.
Now, if a team is wanting Dunn to lead off, then.....
Also, my stats go back 5 1/2 years and are the times he was only with the Reds. This means they are a larger sample size which gives a much better and clearer picture.
For my money, a top of the order hitter should be fast and have his On Base Percentage (and thus OPS) inflated by Hits and Walks while a middle of the order hitter should have his OPS inflated by a high Slugging Percentage.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 22, 2008 at 03:40 PM
I really, really , really don't want Konerko on my Angels team! Angels, Please do NOT trade for him!!
Posted by: dpncharge | December 22, 2008 at 03:41 PM
Aduncaroo,
I think it is because of his Defense that a LOT of teams are looking at players OTHER than Dunn.
Back at the trading deadline in 2007, the Dodgers were rumored (on this site) to be intereted in trading for Dunn but ultimately didn't. It was later said, on this site, the MAIN reason they didn't trade for him was because of his Defense and that was because they were worried about his range and playing in larger Outfields.
The reason they weren't as worried about Manny R's Defense was that Offensively, a career year from Dunn would be a BAD year for Manny R.
Now, when you look at what Manny R did for the Dodgers and Dunn did for the D backs, you can see that the Dodgers were right.
That is why Manny R is still getting a lot written about him this offseason, even though he does have a supposed attitude problem, is older than Dunn and is wanting/asking a LOT more than Dunn will probably be.
So, again, if I were looking for a Left Handed batter, I would spend my money on Bobby Abreu before I would on Dunn.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 22, 2008 at 03:55 PM
ctownboy
I think the Bavasi and Bonifay moves were to strictly have them learn how to be General Managers directly from the master, Walt Jocketty. Nothing more than on-the-job training. I don't believe Walt will be taking advice from either of them, vice versa actually.
Posted by: BigRedOne | December 22, 2008 at 04:11 PM
It looks like the Angels will have 7 Draft Picks in the first 2 rounds.
2- Regualr DP
Texiera=Type A x2
Krod=Type A x2
Garland=Type B x2
=8
Posted by: BK | December 22, 2008 at 04:25 PM
"Uhh, Tim, has Burrell EVER played first base? Do you just assume that any major leaguer can play first base?"
Burrell played a ton of 1B in the minors and has played it in the majors as well. That said, I think his one defensive asset, his arm, is wasted at 1B.
"So, again, if I were looking for a Left Handed batter, I would spend my money on Bobby Abreu before I would on Dunn."
I completely agree. Abreu is one of the most underrated players out there and has more to offer than Dunn.
"Garland=Type B x2"
Type B's are only worth 1, the sandwich pick.
Posted by: AA | December 22, 2008 at 04:34 PM
"Since Dunn is a slow base runner who bats in the middle of the line up, his getting walked doesn't really help a team if they are looking for him to provide Home Run power and RBI production."
For a team like the Cubs...he would make perfect sense. They don't need someone fast. If Dunn batted 4th, he would likely be ahead of guys like either Lee or Ramirez, Soto, DeRosa, and even Zambrano. All of whom have a very large amount of power. There is no way that a .900 OPS guy is ever bad for an offense.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 22, 2008 at 05:07 PM
It's funny how it's always the Reds and their budding stars subject to speculation after their rookie seasons, Adam Dunn, Josh Hamilton, now Joey Votto. Interesting how we never heard Derek Jeter or Kevin Youkilis rumors from the large market media after their rookie seasons.
Posted by: BigRedOne | December 22, 2008 at 06:25 PM
"I completely agree. Abreu is one of the most underrated players out there and has more to offer than Dunn."
While this is arguable, Abreu is really good but he is yet another outfielder (the one thing the angels don't need) and Dunn can (arguably) play first place, which is a position that needs to be filled.
In my opinion, both are good choices and would make this already good team great.
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 22, 2008 at 06:38 PM
Why do the Angels not need another outfielder?
By my count they have:
Vlad - who needs loads of time at DH to rest the knees.
Hunter - dependable in CF
Rivera - has been a starter exactly one year (and even then it wasn't the entire year)
Matthews - a sub 700 OPS means he is nothing more than a defensive replacement.
Willits - pinch runner and defensive replacement.
They also don't have a DH or a 1B (as much as I want Morales to succeed he is hardly proven).
By my count you have an open spot in the outfield AND 1st base. That's why I go with:
Figgins (3B)
Dunn (1B)
Vlad (RF)
Burrell (DH)
Hunter (CF)
Napoli (C)
Rivera (LF)
Kendrick (2B)
Aybar (SS)
Under this system you have Vlad and Burrell rotate into the DH spot. When Vlad is at DH slide Rivera to RF and let Burrell man LF.
If Rivera is ineffective or gets hurt you can move Dunn to LF and Morales mans first.
Of course, you try to move Matthews. Eating half of his $33m will be the minumum.
Now, assuming that you can land Dunn + Burrell for $20-25m/year the Angels still have plenty of money for other trades (Peavy, etc). They also don't block any prospects (except Morales who could be traded). They don't cough up draft picks. And they hedge against Vlad leaving.
If the deals are short (2-3 years) I don't see a ton of risk. The defense in the outfield will be awful. Dunn will be a nightmare at 1B. BUT - the Angels would have a collection of HR hitters and high OBP guys. 5-6 starters who could post OBP higher than 370 and 4 guys with a shot at 30+ HR's.
Posted by: bjsguess | December 22, 2008 at 07:07 PM
Aduncaroo,
You just don't get it do you? Abreu has a higher career On Base Percentage than Dunn. He walks just as much or more than Dunn and has more speed than Dunn. So, when he gets on First he can steal Second, he can go First to Third on a Single, score from Second on a Single or score from First on a Double. All things that Dunn has trouble doing.
Also, because of his speed, Pitchers will pay more attention to Abreu on First than they will Dunn. This means it is more likely that they commit a throwing Error or a Balk. It also means they are NOT concentrating as much on the batter and are more likely to make a mistake Pitch.
This isn't too mention that Infielders will have to cheat closer to Second so as to be able to cover the bag for the throw from the Catcher. It also doesn't take into account that Abreu can be used in Run and Hit situations to stay out of Double Plays.
Finally, Abreu has driven in 100 or more RBI's six straight years and seven out of the last eight years and has done so by being able to get Hits and not JUST relying on Home Runs.
So while Dunn is swinging from his heels trying to pull every Pitch for a Home Run (and failing most of the time) Abreu could be up there taking what the Pitcher gives him, hitting the ball to all fields and hitting "measly" Singles. Singles which start or keep rallies going and either advance or score runners.
No, again I will take Abreu over Dunn every day of the week. That is why because of everything I just pointed out, as a Reds fan, I am more scared of the Cubs getting Abreu than Dunn.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 22, 2008 at 07:08 PM
I' m telling you, the Angels need a starting pitcher. They have the money for one hitter (Burrel, Dunn, or Abreu) and a starter. If the price is right, they might be able to afford Fuentes.
But acquiring a starter means they don't have the $$ for two more bats. Even Peavy would cost about $15M per year.
Posted by: Off_the_Wall | December 22, 2008 at 08:03 PM
ctownboy,
1 - Go away. I am personally sick of seeing you bash Jocketty and Castellini all the time. Jocketty is a great General Manager and produces winning ballclubs. He did it for both the A's and Cardinals. I challenge your baseball knowledge, or lack there of.
2 - You don't pay a guy $20 million/year to hit singles and "start rallies." An outfielder that gets paid that kind of money produces runs. Abreu hasn't hit more thas 31 home runs and 110 RBIS his entire career. Abreu played for the Yankees, which meant he had Derek Jeter and Johnny Damon hitting in front of him. Who did Dunn have? Griffey...that's it! For his entire run with the Reds, Dunn had Griffey batting before him and was the only person that was worth 2 cents and could get on base! You put players in front of Dunn that can get on base and "start rallies," you'll see an inflated RBI total. This is a no-brainer. Barry Bonds walked a lot too...most power hitters do.
3 - I honestly can't understand why you would say Abreu is better than Dunn because he "could force a balk or throwing error." How many times does that happen in a season in the major leagues to a SINGLE player? Evaluate your responses please.
4 - Again....go away. Thanks.
Posted by: Rob Dicken | December 22, 2008 at 08:26 PM
ctownboy - are you thinking of Abreu circa 2002?
The Abreu of 2008 was hardly a burner on the basepaths. The guy stole 22 bases and was caught 11 times. His speed has dropped steadily. He will end up under 20 SB's next year. That's hardly enough of a threat to force pitchers in balking or infielders to cheat.
As for OBP - Abreu has seen his prolific walk rate drop quicker than his SB's. From 1999 to 2006 he was solid with at least 100+ BB's per year. In 2007 that dropped to 84. In 2008 he continued the dramatic decline to just 73 BB's. To suggest he walks as much as Dunn is simply not true. Dunn walked FIFTY more times than Abreu in 2008.
A realistic prediction for 2009 would be something around a 290 BA, 75 BB's, and 15 HR's and 15 SB's. That's pathetic for an expensive corner OF that can't field.
Dunn, meanwhile, is coming off a 40HR season (his 5th straight 40+ HR's season), 122 BB's (he's walked 100+ times every year since 2003 -except 2003 - the year he was injured). His last 2 years he has posted an OPS of 136 and 129 - compared to Abreu at 114 and 120.
Most importantly, Abreu is obviously on the backside of a very productive career. His numbers are expected to slide. Meanwhile, Dunn has shown no signs of aging and continues to project to be a 40+ HR hitter with a 375+ OBP.
To look at Abreu's stats at a career level is a very poor measuring stick to use when predicting his future productivity.
Posted by: bjsguess | December 22, 2008 at 08:49 PM
off the wall
The Angels are fine financially. Just look at what left:
K-Rod - $10m
Garland - $12m + $3m for Cabrera's contract
Anderson - $12m
Teix - $8m or so for his pro-rated contract
That's approx $40m with nothing committed outside of Rivera's $4m contract. Without increasing payroll they could add Dunn + Burrell + Peavy + Fuentes (assuming Olney's right and Fuentes comes on a $7m deal).
Not that I think they will - just pointing out that is possible from a financial perspective.
Posted by: bjsguess | December 22, 2008 at 08:56 PM
"While this is arguable, Abreu is really good but he is yet another outfielder (the one thing the angels don't need) and Dunn can (arguably) play first place, which is a position that needs to be filled."
Juan Rivera is able to man 1B, so it is not like that would be an issue.
Posted by: AA | December 22, 2008 at 09:30 PM
Thats a horrible way to look at a player that bats between Damon, Jeter, and Arod, then look at one that bats between...well, no one very good. Runs + RBI - HR has everything to do with who is hitting around you.
Try OPS+ or WARP, or VORP...something credible please.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 22, 2008 at 10:38 PM
Beat me to it Aduncaroo! ;) I was about to argue the same thing!
Posted by: #1 Angels Fan | December 22, 2008 at 10:41 PM
Simply put:
Expected projected OPS for next year:
Dunn
Marcel: .871
James: .913
Abreu
Marcel: .810
James: .844
If both aren't good at defense, who would you prefer to hit #4 and break up the right handed hitters in your lineup? I'll take Dunn.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 22, 2008 at 10:43 PM
bjsguess-- you have a total of $45M spending money there. Subtract $15M for Peavy, $4M for Rivera, maybe $3M for Oliver, and $7M for Fuentes.
That leaves $16M, give or take, plus they have a few more arbitration-eligible players that will take some more $$.
That leaves them enough for Dunn or Burrell, but not both.
Posted by: Off_the_Wall | December 22, 2008 at 11:21 PM
"Juan Rivera is able to man 1B, so it is not like that would be an issue."
Right, but he doesn't have the power that Dunn has. That's kind of the basis of this conversation, the Angels are in need of a power bat (as well as some other pieces). I'm sure that they could scrape someone up to man first, but with all the money they would have given to Tex, why not go after someone to bolster their offense.
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 22, 2008 at 11:39 PM
Why not trade for Beltre? I know the M's are in the same division, but he is in his final year of his contract, will mostly be a salary dump and M's could receive a guy like Matt Brown or Terry Evans along with a minor league pitcher in return, could work for both teams. This would move Figgins to left, Rivera to right and Vladdy to DH.
Or (if there is any truth to the three way between the White Sox, Reds and Angels with Votto coming to Anaheim, Dye to Reds and Figgins to Sox) try to do that.
Sign Fuentes, (maybe Chad Cordero), and a #5 starting pitcher like Randy Johnson or Kenshin Kawakami.
Estimate of salaries:
Beltre- 14 mil
Fuentes- 10 mil
Cordero- 3 mil
Randy/Kenshin- 6 mil
This all equals about 33 mil.
*(If Figgins is traded, subtract about 5 mil)
Posted by: #1 Angels Fan | December 23, 2008 at 12:33 AM
"Home runs are overrated, remember, a 2-run double is more valuable than a 2-run homer."
But for a 2 run double to occur 2 men would be on base, so a 3 run homer would be the equivalent and it is better.
Posted by: #1 Angels Fan | December 23, 2008 at 12:36 AM
Blah blah blah blah, can we just trade Konerko for Figgy already???
Geezus Kenny Williams, Anaheim is ripe for one of your classic a$$-rapings...MAKE IT HAPPEN.
GO SOX!!!
Posted by: part-time pariah | December 23, 2008 at 12:41 AM
almost...
Posted by: part-time pariah | December 23, 2008 at 12:46 AM
Not signing Tex might be a blessing in disguise. The signing of a Dunn, M. Ramirez, Abreu, or Burrell along with obtaining another starting pitcher makes more sense. Besides the Angels will need to keep some avaialble funds to resign Vlad next season. YES, Vlad is the real deal and after everyone had counted him out this past season Vlad bounced back and showed his real worth. The other thing that could help the Halos is by having a club healthy for once. They had a surplus of outfielders and middle infielders and they still wore Salt Lake City out by shipping future players back and forth. The Angels are becoming a bit of a dynasty and appear to be in good hands with their current GM and ownership policies.
Posted by: ToledoHalosFan | December 23, 2008 at 01:04 AM
To ToledoHalosFan,
Are you smoking crack? Vlad has been on a slight decline since the second half of 2007 he did do ok the second half of 2008 but his turf knees are taking a toll...Yes he had surgery but he isnt getting younger.His a word I'm tired of "Potential" Brandon Wood has great "Potential" Kendry Morales has "Potential" to hit 20 hr Howie Kendrick has "Potential to win a batting title.Reggie Willits has "Potential" to take the bat off his shoulder(but he won't)Oh and because John Lackey was waiting to see what kind of offense we'd put behind him you can "Potentialy" say good-bye to him after this season as well. Dynasty? Wasn't that a soap opera on t.v. btw it was cancelled too
Posted by: Thundah77 | December 23, 2008 at 06:29 AM
Reds fans have been following professional baseball since 1869. How long has your team been around?
Posted by: BigRedOne | December 23, 2008 at 10:06 AM
"LOL, you claim that total runs based on Historical facts isn't accurate and then submit "projections" for next year?"
If you are looking at Runs - Home Runs, that has everything to do with who is hitting behind you, not what you are actually doing rather than get on base, which we know Dunn does at least as well as Abreu. Oh, and your whole "he is fast, so he is good" argument doesn't really work when he is getting caught steaking 1/3 of the time he tries.
"Home runs are overrated, remember, a 2-run double is more valuable than a 2-run homer."
Wow...well if two men were on base, it would be a 3 run homer, which is obviously better than a two run double. This isn't statistice, this is 1st grade math.
"Statistics are for losers."
Wow...just wow.
"Educate yourselves by checking out the "OPS+ or WARP, or VORP" of the '72,'73'74 World Series winning Oakland A's and then get back to me."
Maybe you should educate yourself by, well, educating yourself. Oh, and I'm not a reds fan.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 23, 2008 at 10:35 AM
Two of the best quotes ever:
"Reds fans have been following professional baseball since 1869. How long has your team been around?"
Seriously? Are you equating baseball knowledge to how long a franchise has been in existence? And which Reds fan has been following the team since 1869?
"Statistics are for losers. Educate yourselves by checking out the "OPS+ or WARP, or VORP" of the '72,'73'74 World Series winning Oakland A's and then get back to me."
Yeah - that's the approach. Go ahead and build a team around "gutsy" players who get their jerserys dirty by playing hard. Worship at the altar of BA, RBI and Runs and see how far your team gets. Honestly, I'm glad there are people like you still around. Every year in fantasy baseball they are the guys I ravage through trades.
Posted by: bjsguess | December 23, 2008 at 11:06 AM
Off The Wall
Let me try the math again - my first post wasn't terribly clear:
Dunn - $12m
Burrell - $11m
Peavy ($11m includes CY escalator clause)
Fuentes - $7m
Total = $41m
Juan Rivera got a raise of approx $1m. Oliver might see a similar type increase. The team has another $10m or so in escalating salaries.
So, the team is writing off approx $45m in salaries and looks to add about $50m in new salaries. A net increase of $5m - $7m is within the budget.
Again though - I would avoid Fuentes. I don't want to spend $7m on a set-up guy + lose the draft picks. A winter of Dunn + Burrell + Peavy would be plenty.
Posted by: bjsguess | December 23, 2008 at 11:19 AM
Thudah77,
No, I haven't tried crack as of yet, but I can share with you that I was a scout for a NL team for 21 years and I still can recognize talent somewhat. Vlad has hit over .300 and hit 25 or more HR's for 11 staright years now and ONLY Lou Gehrig (you probably think that he was a hack too) has equalled that feat and it appears that Vlad will best that record this season with 12 straight seasons. Only Hall Of Famers will tell you how difficult that feat is. No team over the past 5-6 years have won more games than the Angels and that speaks for itself. Some fans are knowledgable enough and there are many who talk as though they know something and don't. Some have played the game professionally, coached, scouted and have toiled on the benches learning the game. I wonder where you might fit in? Maybe you didn't have the talent to make it and that is ok, but learn something about what it takes to play it before you speak. Vlad will be in the HOF and you will be posting your remarks as though it means anything.
Posted by: ToledoHalosFan | December 23, 2008 at 12:20 PM
ToledoHalosFan,
Congrats on being a scout...Maybe since you were a scout I'm sure you've seen many HOF players start showing signs of getting old.Such as the bat speed slowing down a bit or the wheels not turning as fast.Vlad has reached the top of the hill and is getting ready ready to pick up speed going downhill.Yes 11 years in a row the first 9 were easy for him the 10th not as easy and the 11th well he had to have a late streak and then rest his bad wheels after that to stay on his streak.Don't get me wrong he is still a force just not one to build a team around anymore. 2-3 more years thats about it and the way the GM is working that will be wasted.We will see how his surgically repaired knee holds up this year.The smoking crack part was more in reference to the GM doing a good job not as much Vlad I didn't make that clear enough my bad.
Posted by: Thundah77 | December 23, 2008 at 01:09 PM