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FRIDAY, 8:37pm: The Furcal deal is official. Jesse Spector has quotes from the conference call.
WEDNESDAY, 9:08pm: Just to keep this baby going, we have the contract numbers from Tony Jackson. A backloaded three years, $30MM, $3MM of which is a bonus at the end of the contract. The 2012 option for $13MM does vest with 600 PAs in '11.
8:23pm: The deal may be done, but we still can't get the numbers nailed down. According to Tim Brown's writethru, it could be either $33MM or $30MM. Brown has "a Dodgers source" who says it's the latter "and includes a fourth-year option for $12 million, vesting with 600 plate appearances in the third year. Other incentives could bring the total worth of the deal to about $45 million." The AP report (below) that gave the $33MM figure had quoted " a person familiar with the negotiations."
7:43pm: This MLB.com report from Ken Gurnick says "it is believed the deal is pending the passing of a physical exam." That's probably about as final as we're going to get for now. It's worth noting that a little bit earlier, Tony Jackson talked to Kinzer, who said such a statement would be premature. (The Dodgers, like most teams, don't confirm deals until after the physical.)
7:08pm: The AP says the final numbers on the contract are 3 years, $33MM:
Furcal gets $7.5 million next season, $9.5 million in 2010 and $13 million in 2011. The deal includes a $13 million team option for 2012 with a $3 million buyout.
7:02pm: This wire report from CBSSports.com has a quote from Kinzer:
"They know we didn't have a signed contract, that we didn't have even a verbal agreement. We had, 'Things look very good and Raffy's going to sleep on it,'" Kinzer said after a news conference for another client, Francisco Rodriguez.
5:53pm: Rosenthal has updated his post with a bit more info and a timeline from Wren. Around midnight on Monday, after much negotiating, Kinzer told Wren, "we're good." Tuesday morning, says Rosenthal (note the slight discrepancy from Brown's report below), Wren "got a voicemail from Kinzer" asking for the term sheet to be put together and faxed to him, which Wren did. "Shortly thereafter, Kinzer began 'backpedaling,' saying he promised the Dodgers he would talk to them." And on Tuesday, the Dodgers "suddenly" appeared willing to grant Furcal a third year -- and today, the Braves were told that Furcal would not be joining them.
5:43pm: Tim Brown reports that the Braves had sent Furcal a signed term sheet, according to "a club source." Monday night, Kinzer asked for the paperwork to be faxed to him. Braves GM Frank Wren complied Tuesday morning. Writes Brown:
No member of the Braves’ front office – not Wren, not longtime former GM John Schuerholz – could recall a time when a signed term sheet was not the equivalent of a handshake agreement, ethically – if not legally – binding.
Brown adds that the Braves believe Kinzer shopped the term sheet to the Dodgers, who had been reluctant to commit to a third year.
4:47pm: The latest from Rosenthal:
The Dodgers and Furcal were still hammering out an agreement Wednesday afternoon, sources said, but the Braves had been informed that Furcal would not accept their deal.
4:10pm: Ken Rosenthal says Furcal decided to sign with the Dodgers.
Mark Bowman's latest doesn't suggest Furcal made a decision, but he does explain why the Braves thought they had a deal. Bowman's source believes the Dodgers offered three years plus a fourth-year player option.
11:48am: Yahoo's Tim Brown: Furcal is "nearing an agreement with the Dodgers." Joel Sherman learned from Kinzer that the Dodgers are in the lead, having matched the Braves' three-year, $30MM (plus a fourth-year vesting option) offer. Paul Kinzer told Sherman the idea of switching to second base for the Braves gave Furcal pause.
Kinzer told Danny Knobler there was never a verbal agreement with the Braves. Kinzer lives in Atlanta and received 50 phone calls from fans after the story broke yesterday.
9:39am: Yesterday we watched as Rafael Furcal and his agents seemingly ignored a gentleman's agreement with the Braves to continue negotiating with the Dodgers. Dylan Hernandez of the L.A. Times learned from Ned Colletti that the Dodgers improved their offer to Furcal (the original was two years with a vesting option).
According to Buster Olney, the Braves offered three years, $30MM with a vesting option for the fourth year. Olney says the A's were at $38MM guaranteed over four years.
Sarah Green also contributed to this post.
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I really doubt joe torre would stop the dodgers from winning. Especially because they got to the NLCS with him last year. Unless you just mean winning the world series, then you might be right. He has 2 years left (i think), and 2 teams will win world series in those years, so at least 14/15th of the teams in the MLB will be failures in that case.
Posted by: Ivdown | December 17, 2008 at 08:58 PM
"they are not going anywhere with joe torre as their manager"
Funny you should say that, Cash. Especially since Torre led them to their first post season series victory in two decades.
Posted by: Scott Boras | December 17, 2008 at 08:58 PM
Why does everyone have to argue about pointless stuff?
If you've got something good to talk about than fine, but I don't understand why every thread or article has to have a bunch of people arguing back and forth about stuff that really has nothing to do with that thread or article.
Posted by: Cobrasnake | December 17, 2008 at 08:58 PM
nixa37,
BTW, based on the fact that Raffy basically took the same deal that the Braves offered (3ys/$30 mill w/a vesting option), I think its safe to say he wanted to be a Dodger.
Kinzer basically leveraged the Braves' deal to get the Dodgers to sweeten their offer by matching the Braves' deal.
If, indeed, Furcal wanted to be a Brave he would have taken their offer since they were the first to offer it.
Not trying to be argumentative just giving my final analysis of the Furcal situation given the final numbers.
Posted by: Die-Hard Dodger Fan | December 17, 2008 at 08:59 PM
Oh yeah and by the way Braves fans, everyone in baseball definitely agrees with you that McCann is better which is why this year in the All-Star game Hurdle put in Martin for nine innings duing the most important part of the game and then when he got tired, McCann got one. Also, I heard McCann can play a mean third base. Oh, sorry, that's Russ again.
Posted by: HollywoodHitmen | December 17, 2008 at 08:39 PM
this could quite possibly be the dumbest post I've ever seen
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | December 17, 2008 at 09:00 PM
Only thing Furcal proved in a Dodgers uniform that he didn't in a Braves uniform is how injury prone he really is.
Posted by: BravesRed | December 17, 2008 at 09:03 PM
Look DodgersBruin, your Dodgers have good prospects and young MLB players. no sensible braves fan is refuting that, we have just been, or at least i have, started in this comparison of the two because some idiot dodger fans, just one or two specifically not the fan base, got on here talking about how bad the braves are and how we wouldn't be competing for years to come while the dodgers were amazing. the fact is both teams are pretty similar, a majority of the talent is too young to produce a championship team now but these two if all works out should be battling for the chance to represent the National League in the World Series in the near future.
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | December 17, 2008 at 09:05 PM
"this could quite possibly be the dumbest post I've ever seen"
While that's pretty damn bad, especially since one game should never define which player is better, especially an ASG, you must have missed this quote...
"The Dodgers have sucked for the last 20 years and now ur gonna talk smack. Really?? Your comments about having guys competing for MVP's and Cy Youngs every year is a joke right? You're losing Manny and Lowe and the only reason you have a shot is because ur in the worst division in sports. Yeah, the Braves have fallen on hard times, but they will be back. The farm is loaded with talent..they just need some time. You better get it done soon...your time is running short. Idiot."
Posted by: DodgersBruin | December 17, 2008 at 09:05 PM
Die-Hard Dodger Fan,
I wasn't trying to argue about who is the better "all-around" catcher. I was simply trying to argue about who is the better (i.e. move valuable) catcher. As I mentioned, the notion that Martin is better had handling a staff is pure conjecture on your part. I also addressed the fact that Martin is slightly better defensively (though McCann is = or within 1 in PB every year and allows fewer WP) and at throwing out baserunners, but the difference between the two in those skills is only ~2 runs a year.
http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2008/10/28/648315/best-catchers-of-2008
And yes Martin is a little better at getting on base. No one has debated you on that one. What I said was McCann's massive advantage in slugging more than makes up for the 10-15 point OBP advantage Martin has and the marginal difference in their defense. Numbers back me up on this one...
http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2008/10/28/648315/best-catchers-of-2008
Posted by: nixa37 | December 17, 2008 at 09:05 PM
oops posted that link twice...oh well
Posted by: nixa37 | December 17, 2008 at 09:06 PM
I think the comparison between the Dodgers and Braves runs into murky water.
First, the NL West seems to be filled with teams that are going through rough times for the next 2 years.
The D'backs aren't adding salary, but have a stacked team in young players and stud pitching. The Padres are dead because their owner has to sell the team. The Giants have minimal talent. The Rockies are re-tooling.
This leaves the Dodgers as the front runners for the playoffs.
The Braves have to fight through the Phillies and Mets, who have more MLB talent and money than the Braves right now.
The Dodgers aren't an awesome team. They just have an easier road to get to the playoffs. And as the 2006 Cardinals showed, once you're in, anyone can win. The Braves are going to have to fight much harder, and with less room for error when it comes to injuries than the Dodgers have. 85 wins may win the NL West for the next 3 years. It may take 95 to with the NL East.
Posted by: DodgersBruin | December 17, 2008 at 09:10 PM
dodgersbruin, i missed that one. thats really bad
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | December 17, 2008 at 09:11 PM
Die-Hard Dodger Fan,
No it wasn't the same deal. Its either worth the same through the first 3 years with a bigger vesting option or worth 1 million more a year for the first 3 with the same vesting option. The Dodgers also give Furcal the opportunity to play SS. I think the difference in playing in Atlanta or LA was marginal at best. Furcal did "take" the Braves offer until his agent provided him with a slightly more valuable offer to play SS instead of 2B. Furcal wasn't asking his agent to do this, this is just his agent doing his job.
People don't seem to understand that players are generally far less involved with negotiations than you realize. Though he's not a player, Nick Saban is an excellent example of this. He wasn't lying when he said he wasn't even considering the Bama job while coaching the Dolphins. He told his agent he wasn't interested, but his agent knew he would probably feel differently after the NFL season was over, so he negotiated an offer and then sold Nick on it. That's basically what happened here. Furcal was happy with the Braves offer, but Kinzer showed him he could get a slightly better deal and not have to switch positions and he managed to sell Furcal on that idea. Honestly, it probably makes more sense for Furcal.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 17, 2008 at 09:13 PM
Finally, a Dodger fan makes sense.
Posted by: BravesRed | December 17, 2008 at 09:14 PM
I was calling this last week. Furcal has wanted to re-sign with the Dodgers from the start and the Dodgers' interest was mutual. The Dodgers used the other teams to ratchet down Furcal's annual dollar value, while Furcal used the other teams to get more years and guarantees (the vesting option) out of the Dodgers. In the end, the Dodgers get an absoultely massive discount on Furcal (he is making half of what he made in 2008 in 2009 and doesn't hit his annual value until 2011). All this, and the Dodgers suddenly "found" $6 million more to pay Manny.
"And yes Martin is a little better at getting on base. No one has debated you on that one. What I said was McCann's massive advantage in slugging more than makes up for the 10-15 point OBP advantage Martin has and the marginal difference in their defense. Numbers back me up on this one..."
Martin had an off year while being mis-used, while McCann had the best year of his year, with 2/3rd of a year with Tex as protection and a full year of Chipper flirting with .400. It is really hard to say McCann is better. While I prefer Martin both for his game as well his team, I think we can all be safe saying that, as far as catchers go, there is Martin, Mauer and McCann, and then everyone else.
Posted by: AA | December 17, 2008 at 09:16 PM
Both ATL and LA will be avg teams so I dont know what ye'all are so giddy about.
Posted by: padrefuture | December 17, 2008 at 06:53 PM
I agree with and im sure any team would like martin or mccann besides that the dodgers have a better rotation but losing Lowe doesnt help. Manny most likely isn't going back. you are probably in the weakest division in baseball (Dodgers) and lets not forget this is the only shot im taking at the dodgers is that they sign players to big contracts and have them sit the bench so maybe you guys should have a word with your front office... and the post about Jeff Kent did he even play in the playoffs for u? i dont remember seeing him.
Posted by: atheleticsNbraves | December 17, 2008 at 09:16 PM
I can't lie. i am a little let down by raffy going back to the dodgers. I am a Braves fan since i could crap in my pants and watch dale murphy chase fly balls. I was happy to hear raffy coming back and that the braves were finally doing something. Wren is sneaky and we wont know anything till it happens. All we can do is just sit back and wait.
Posted by: dt31320 | December 17, 2008 at 09:17 PM
HAHA Oakland fans.
Posted by: kdub | December 17, 2008 at 09:20 PM
It seems like every 4-5 days there is something new going on with the braves so i guess i'll wake up sunday or monday to a new "Braves in the lead for . . . . "
Posted by: drumzalicious | December 17, 2008 at 09:24 PM
Knowing that the Dodgers would only need 85 wins to get to the playoffs, I think they're better off signing Sheets and his DL stint than Garland or some other mediocre pitcher. Sheets can start the year strong, take a month off, then finish up the playoffs dominant. Same with most of the Dodgers players. If they have an injury, they can take a week off to heal and be ready for the playoffs instead of playing through the injuries like Sheets did this year. Or wearing yourself out just to make the playoffs, like Sabathia did the past two seasons.
Come on Ned, sign Sheets next! 3 years, $12M per.
Posted by: DodgersBruin | December 17, 2008 at 09:25 PM
Watch... Thursday morning we all will wake up and see that Furcal decided to sign with the Twinkies for 4/45.
Posted by: BravesRed | December 17, 2008 at 09:26 PM
"It seems like every 4-5 days there is something new going on with the braves so i guess i'll wake up sunday or monday to a new "Braves in the lead for . . . . ""
As long with 2 days later you follow that up with, "Braves no longer favorites to land..."
Posted by: DodgersBruin | December 17, 2008 at 09:27 PM
AA do you get the concept of protection? It's the guy that hits behind you in the lineup. Tex was Chipper's "protection" not mccann's. How was Martin being misused?
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | December 17, 2008 at 09:27 PM
Martin was used in 7 spots in the lineup last year, including leadoff (he should NOT have been leadoff), and he was still overused.
Posted by: Ivdown | December 17, 2008 at 09:30 PM
"I think we can all be safe saying that, as far as catchers go, there is Martin, Mauer and McCann, and then everyone else."
lol, no. Martin is not close to Mauer or McCann...and don't forget Soto...
Posted by: iamnobody | December 17, 2008 at 09:31 PM
iamnobody, im a true braves fan and even i can say you're off here. Martin is in the same class, soto i'd say is behind those three.
Mauer, McCann, Martin, then Soto in that order for me personally
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | December 17, 2008 at 09:33 PM
Furcal can go and kiss some dodger blue's ____. And the dodgers making the Playoffs with out Manny? PLEASE!!! Only if Furcal hits 30 or more Homeruns and drives in 100 or more RBI's which will never happen. Kinzer is not a true man. last time I check a man is one that keeps his word.
Posted by: slammer | December 17, 2008 at 09:33 PM
okay to all braves fans that are bitc^ing about this: Quit. you just make all of us look bad, you whining about this isn't going to make any difference. I really doubt that Kinzer cares what you think of him
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | December 17, 2008 at 09:36 PM
"I think we can all be safe saying that, as far as catchers go, there is Martin, Mauer and McCann, and then everyone else."
lol, no. Martin is not close to Mauer or McCann...and don't forget Soto...
Posted by: iamnobody | December 17, 2008 at 09:31 PM
No, you thinking this is just dumb. He is one of the 5 best hitting catchers in baseball, he is one of the few best fielding catchers, he steals a bunch of bases, and he handles the pitching staff like a long time veteran.
He is most definitely a top 5 catcher in baseball, and can be top 3 pretty easily.
Give soto at least another year before you put him in the top class of catchers.
Posted by: Ivdown | December 17, 2008 at 09:40 PM
"iamnobody, im a true braves fan and even i can say you're off here. Martin is in the same class, soto i'd say is behind those three.
Mauer, McCann, Martin, then Soto in that order for me personally"
Oh, well, if you're a TRUE BRAVES FAN, that must validate your argument...Listen, what you think "personally" doesn't really matter. Back up your arguments with statistics, or don't pretend to know what you're talking about, no offense.
2008 RARs...
Mauer : 44.0
McCann: 41.5
Soto : 31.0
Martin: 29.5
Posted by: iamnobody | December 17, 2008 at 09:40 PM
slammer
You are pretty smart dude. So who will overtake the Dodgers for the West? The Giants? Still not good enough even with improving this offseason. The Rockies? Not without Holliday, and maybe not even with Holliday for 09. The Padres? Nope.
Arizona is the only team that can really contend, and they do have a good young team with a lot of potential, but their offense is too terrible to really compete.
Posted by: Ivdown | December 17, 2008 at 09:43 PM
Iamnobody
Soto has had one year, and to say he is better than Martin after 3 years of very impressive play is laughable.
Posted by: Ivdown | December 17, 2008 at 09:44 PM
nixa37,
FWIW, Braves GM Frank Wren told Atlanta sports radio host Bill Shanks that Kinzer told him that Furcal was happy to play 2B if he came back to 2B. Wren's exact words were,"He (Raffy) told us he would gladly do that(play 2B) to come back here (Atlanta)."
I know because I heard the exact interview online.
It really sounds like Kinzer was fishing for an offer from the Braves to leverage against the Dodgers' original offer.
Yes, the option year is for $2 mill higher BUT Raffy also backloaded the deal and even allowed $3 mill to be deferred as a "bonus" at the end of the contract. So he made a lot of concessions in terms of structuring the deal to make it pretty financially appeasing for the Dodgers.
Unfortunately for Wren and the Braves, it sure looks like Kinzer used the Braves to get Raffy the 3rd guaranteed year. The Dodgers saw that it wouldn't take 4 guaranteed years like they thought (since Raffy ruled out the A's) and Kinzer probably told the Dodgers that they only had to match the Braves' offer, not the A's offer, to get Raffy.
The Dodgers then conceded the 3rd guaranteed year to get it done.
Posted by: Die-Hard Dodger Fan | December 17, 2008 at 09:48 PM
AA,
Last year wasn't close to the best year of McCann's career. In his first full season he posted a line of .333/.388/.572 143 OPS+. McCann had a terrible year in 2007, due in no small part to host of injuries and a low BABIP. His 2 other full seasons in the bigs, at the ages of 22 and 24, he posted a 143 OPS+ and a 134 OPS+. Martin's already 26 and he hasn't even cracked 115. You can take your intangibles (and gamecalling ability is on that list) and I'll take the massively better hitter.
Oh and a cool little tidbit, McCann was actually 5 of 5 on SB last year...maybe now that he's dropped a bunch of weight maybe he'll start challenging Martin on the bases...maybe?
Posted by: nixa37 | December 17, 2008 at 09:52 PM
"Iamnobody
Soto has had one year, and to say he is better than Martin after 3 years of very impressive play is laughable."
Did I say that Soto is better than Martin? I don't believe I did. Given the numbers Soto put up in 2008, however, which were comparable to Martin's, I do think he belongs in the same conversation.
Posted by: iamnobody | December 17, 2008 at 09:54 PM
Guys all the Guy allbraves have to do is trade yunel with huge package with frency and have jake peavy.
Then trade hanson, two prospects and brian mccannfor hanley ramirez
Posted by: beastOftheEast | December 17, 2008 at 09:55 PM
Guys all the Guy allbraves have to do is trade yunel with huge package with frency and have jake peavy.
Then trade hanson, two prospects and brian mccannfor hanley ramirez
Posted by: beastOftheEast | December 17, 2008 at 09:56 PM
Fine dude, you win, clearly Raffy never had any intention of accepting the Atlanta offer despite all the evidence to the contrary and was only ever considering them because of leverage. He loves the Dodgers and LA way more than he could ever love Atlanta and the Braves. He's selling his house in Atlanta because he hates all the racist hicks and now he's also claiming Bobby Cox sexually molested him too.
You win...LA=PURE AWESOME
Posted by: nixa37 | December 17, 2008 at 09:58 PM
I cant imagine McCann stealing bases on the regular nixa. just seeing when he did a belly flop into that triple he hit earlier in the year was hilarious enough. i dont think fans would be able to handle him belly flopping 20 times a year lol
would be funny though
Posted by: drumzalicious | December 17, 2008 at 09:58 PM
1. Joe M
2.Victor M
3.Brian M
4. Russell M
5.Geovany S
Posted by: beastOftheEast | December 17, 2008 at 09:59 PM
iamnobody, you can't go by stats 100% of the time. Mauer is supported by stats as the best, McCann the second. Not disputing that. However i think Soto played above his head last year and started to level off at points, probably more consistent with his true value, whereas Martin's true value is probably closer to his better seasons rather than last year. and the point of saying im a braves fan and still thought martin is close to mac was to do this as unbiased as possible
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | December 17, 2008 at 10:04 PM
I was kidding about actually consistently stealing bases, but I think he's pretty much gotten rid of the belly now. Hopefully we'll see the difference on the field this year.
I assume the Victor Martinez reference is a joke beastOftheEast?
Posted by: nixa37 | December 17, 2008 at 10:04 PM
"iamnobody, you can't go by stats 100% of the time."
Of course you can, what else is there to go by? Subjective observations? "Gut feeling"? lol
Posted by: iamnobody | December 17, 2008 at 10:06 PM
BeastoftheEast
I forgot about Victor Martinez, who is really good, but after the year he had, Im wondering what happened to his power. I mean shoot, 2 homeruns in 73 games? Juan Pierre hit half of that total...
If i were to put Martinez on this list (which i would do top 5) i would have him 3rd or 4th, and probly 4th because he has also played a good portion of time at 1b the last 3 years (about 60 games or so), and I dont believe he has very good defense.
Posted by: Ivdown | December 17, 2008 at 10:06 PM
I figured you were joking it still was kinda funny to think about.
i hope with that new frame he has that he will climb some ladders in the DEF side of his playing
Posted by: drumzalicious | December 17, 2008 at 10:08 PM
I think Martinez is forgotten because of the completely terrible year last year with 85 OPS+, wheras his career OPS+ is 119.
Posted by: Ivdown | December 17, 2008 at 10:09 PM
sorry meant to say last year's stats. my bad
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | December 17, 2008 at 10:09 PM
"sorry meant to say last year's stats. my bad"
Okay, that is a good point. Now, what leads you to believe that we should weight Martin's better seasons more heavily, but that Soto's 2008 was a fluke?
Posted by: iamnobody | December 17, 2008 at 10:14 PM
I'd say Martinez is forgotten more because he's likely done with C at this point, and he's unlikely to touch the 120's in OPS+ anymore. I think all the young guys have passed him at this point.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 17, 2008 at 10:16 PM
nixa37,
Reality is he would have probably gone back to Atlanta but you guys would have had to pay more than the Dodgers did.
If Wren offered Furcal 3yrs/$33 mill with a $12 mill vesting option, then Raffy may have gone to the Braves.
But, all things being equal, Raffy PREFERRED LA.
That's my only point.
Posted by: Die-Hard Dodger Fan | December 17, 2008 at 10:16 PM
It's just hard to believe that a kid who seemingly, as im looking at his minor league stats right now, has struggled hitting the ball outside of two years 07+08 will continue at his pace. Im not saying its a fluke, im saying i think he over performed and his stats though excellent for a catcher will not be as good next year. Of course i could be completely off and he has put his game together finally and this is his new norm
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | December 17, 2008 at 10:18 PM
I never said he didn't prefer LA. You insinuated he was only using the Braves to leverage the Dodgers. I think its pretty clear that Furcal was ready set and ready to play for the Braves before his agent presented him with a revised offer from the Dodgers.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 17, 2008 at 10:21 PM
"It's just hard to believe that a kid who seemingly, as im looking at his minor league stats right now, has struggled hitting the ball outside of two years 07+08 will continue at his pace. Im not saying its a fluke, im saying i think he over performed and his stats though excellent for a catcher will not be as good next year. Of course i could be completely off and he has put his game together finally and this is his new norm"
So, in other words, you have no real evidence that he over-performed? Well, both Marcel and Bill James projections indicate that he will hit better than Martin next season, too...
Posted by: iamnobody | December 17, 2008 at 10:23 PM
Why is everyone on here so effing stupid. The Dodgers are not that good. Some jerk off says scouting reports say"so and so will compete for MVP's" Give me a break. All the young talent the Dodgers have has done very little at the major league level. Braves young talent has done nothing , except for McCann and Esco. So what are we arguing about?? Every moron with a computer and a favorite team comes on here spouting off about ERA+ and WHIP, and hal;f of you fools don't even know what it means. Stats are important, but you have to watch guys play the game, day in and day out. I can't say I've seen a ton of Dodger games and I'm sure Dodger fans haven't seen a lot of the Braves.
Posted by: njbraves | December 17, 2008 at 10:25 PM
"Stats are important, but you have to watch guys play the game, day in and day out."
Well, no, you don't.
Posted by: iamnobody | December 17, 2008 at 10:28 PM
njbraves
You are giving the other Braves fans in here a really bad name.
Do you really dont think i know what whip is? Walks and hits per innings pitched. ERA+ is a pitcher's season weighed with the park they pitch in.
I love how you say you dont watch a lot of Dodger games, yet they are not that good. How would you know? Must be a gut feeling, eh?
Posted by: Ivdown | December 17, 2008 at 10:30 PM
Hey Ivdown, I know more about baseball in general than you will ever know. All I'm saying is people get all carried away with stats.
Posted by: njbraves | December 17, 2008 at 10:37 PM
Why does everyone think that if bill james says it it must be true
He said pedro would go 17 and 5 with a era around 3
That's ridculous
Posted by: beastOftheEast | December 17, 2008 at 10:38 PM
Who gives a crap about any of this anyway. The Braves need to go after Lowe and/or Sheets, I don't see any other options, unless they want to basically concede '09 and concetrate on'10.
Posted by: njbraves | December 17, 2008 at 10:40 PM
"Why does everyone think that if bill james says it it must be true"
I don't know anyone who thinks that. I do feel pretty confident, however, in trusting the output of his projection model over others' subjective assessments.
Posted by: iamnobody | December 17, 2008 at 10:46 PM
Hey Ivdown, I know more about baseball in general than you will ever know. All I'm saying is people get all carried away with stats.
Posted by: njbraves | December 17, 2008 at 10:37 PM
L...M...A...O...
Wow, talk about a stupid statement.
I didn't realize I was talking to Joe Torre, or Tony Larussa, or Bobby Cox, or Walter Alston, or Tommy Lasorda, or Earl Weaver. So which is it?
Or should I just call you Joe Buck?
Posted by: Ivdown | December 17, 2008 at 10:52 PM
It's amazing how many people have horrible grammar. Did any of you actually go to school? Also, Furcal has the right to sign where he is going to be the happiest. Who cares what kind of process it is? Would you like to work for 3-4 years in a place you would be miserable and not have a choice about it?
Posted by: Matty | December 17, 2008 at 10:55 PM
Looks a lot sketchier now. The same deal with a slightly more valuable vesting option. It would be amusing to check the records when it goes public and see if they just crossed out the atl front office names and wrote their own in.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 17, 2008 at 11:00 PM
Was a contract signed?
Nope, and that's all that matters.
Raffy did not want to play 2nd base, you think that was part of the "term-sheet"? I am extremely excited to have Raffy back in Dodger Blue.
Posted by: Billy Ho | December 17, 2008 at 11:06 PM
"Hey Ivdown, I know more about baseball in general than you will ever know. All I'm saying is people get all carried away with stats."
Posted by: njbraves | December 17, 2008 at 10:37 PM
well thats just stupid..
I didn't even know Furcal signed until now..
Gotta love a foot of snow in beautiful Southern California
To compare McCann and Martin is a moot point..
But saying the Dodgers infield isn't anywhere close the Braves?
Loney right now is what Casey Kotchman can turn into..
Blake Dewitt threw up a .264/.343/.383 9 homeruns and 52 rbis in 368 abs.. never played above AA, learned to play second base during the season, played very well by the way.. So if he had a full season theres a good chance he matches Kelly Johnson's production.
Furcal is better than Escobar hands down, even with DL stints.
And yes Chipper Jones is one the best hitters my generation and Blake wouldnt even be able to hold his jock..
Martin and McCann are a wash..
Atl fans like his power..
I like Martins Defense, Walk rate, baserunning and his ability to handle the staff.
So the only big difference is third base..
And if we resign MannyWood..
Please
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | December 17, 2008 at 11:08 PM
You can just call me.."guy who knows more than me" That will be fine. Dummy.
Posted by: njbraves | December 17, 2008 at 11:10 PM
"Hey Ivdown, I know more about baseball in general than you will ever know. All I'm saying is people get all carried away with stats."
Gotta love those people who claim, I know more than you but don't really have much to say. C'on man at least try, you're gettin bashed pretty bad. Besides, pffft stats are totally overrated, they only tell you anything you could ever want to know about anything. Get a life and stop lowering the IQ of this conversation njbraves!
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 17, 2008 at 11:24 PM
njbraves
I would venture a guess that you are a teenager that has a bad grasp on the English language.
Nothing wrong with being a teen, because I just happen to be one, but there could be no full grown adult as immature as you seem.
Posted by: Ivdown | December 17, 2008 at 11:29 PM
"Nothing wrong with being a teen, because I just happen to be one, but there could be no full grown adult as immature as you seem."
Let us hope Ivdown, this guy is a total joke and is just trying to get a rise out of all of us.
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 17, 2008 at 11:31 PM
cutmeibleedblue
Probably just a troll; the internet is full of them these days.
Posted by: Ivdown | December 17, 2008 at 11:35 PM
"Furcal is better than Escobar hands down, even with DL stints."
That's why the Braves were going to move him to 2b, right?
An all things equal comparison, I can see an argument for Furcal being better. He is a SIGNIFICANTLY better baserunner, and hits for more power. Yunel has more OBP and better defensive skills. But to say he's better when factoring in injuries couldn't be further from the truth.
In other news, I wouldn't want to be next to Paul Kinzer in a lightning storm.
Posted by: Baleen | December 18, 2008 at 12:01 AM
Braves fans were so hyped up with the thought of Raffy coming back..
Now they hate him like no other.
Sweet
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | December 18, 2008 at 12:01 AM
well, you've mastered hyperbole, 661dodgerblue, I'll give you that.
Posted by: Baleen | December 18, 2008 at 12:12 AM
njbraves coming from a braves fan please restrain from comments like that ur only making urself sound dumb. second 661dodgerblue not all of us braves fans were "so hyped" at the thought of bringing raffy back. Many didnt want to pay alot of money for him if we have kelly and yunel for so cheap. Second the thought of moving kelly to left did nothing for our offense, we need a right handed power bat to place between chipper and mac to play left field. I personally am glad we didnt get raffy. I wouldnt disagree with u that alot of us seem to hate the guy though, i know ive lost all respect for him and cant wait to go to the dodger braves games this year and heckle him all game
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 18, 2008 at 12:21 AM
My problem isn't as much with Furcal as it is with Kinzer. I know it's ultimately the player's choice where he signs, but from all accounts, braves-side & neutral-side, this whole ordeal was bush league.
That said, KJ isn't the answer to our OF's offensive woes. His .280/.350/.450-type line is great at 2b, but you need better than that from a corner OF (looking at you Francoeur)
Posted by: Baleen | December 18, 2008 at 12:32 AM
Braves fans what do u think of this...
Sign burrell 3 yrs 36 mil or 4 yrs 48 mil if we have to, sign smoltz 8 mil,trade french and jojo reyes to pitt for maholm, then sign bradley for around the same as burrell but for hopefully 2 years so he wont block heywardin 2011 and call it a winter.
Lineup
1.Anderson/Shafer
2.Yunel
3.Chip
4.Burrell
5.Mac
6.Bradley
7.Kelly
8.Kotch
Rotation
1.Smoltz
2.Vazquez
3.JJ
4.Maholm
5.Morton
Then move campillo back to the bp, and have hanson waiting in the wings if smoltz goes down or morton struggles continue. In 2010 huddy takes smoltz spot and hanson takes morton unless morton has a real big 2009. Thoughts...
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 18, 2008 at 01:01 AM
furcal has always been overrates, now he can field anymore and is broken down. this offseason has been crazy. bring up a minor league prospect and you will get the same production and better fielding wo spending an obsene amount of money
Posted by: huey | December 18, 2008 at 01:11 AM
Huey, that is pretty wrong on all levels. I would say furcal is a 2nd level short stop, with maybe 3 others in front of him (Hanley, Reyes, Rollins) on a different tier. If furcal can do what he did last season for most of the season (im thinking that would translate to around .310/.380/.450, which would be perfect.
Posted by: Ivdown | December 18, 2008 at 01:16 AM
"furcal has always been overrates, now he can field anymore and is broken down. this offseason has been crazy. bring up a minor league prospect and you will get the same production and better fielding wo spending an obsene amount of money"..
what the hell are you talking about?
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | December 18, 2008 at 01:21 AM
The only problem with Bradley and Burrell in the OF is the DEF.
Posted by: drumzalicious | December 18, 2008 at 01:33 AM
"The only problem with Bradley and Burrell in the OF is the DEF."
Valid point and i thought about that but at this point were ganna have to sacrafice something to get something. With that line up and rotation compared to the other posibilities so far i would take the poor def.
"furcal has always been overrates, now he can field anymore and is broken down. this offseason has been crazy. bring up a minor league prospect and you will get the same production and better fielding wo spending an obsene amount of money"
Were u drunk when u posted this?? i hope so.....
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 18, 2008 at 02:14 AM
Ivdown i think ur expecting a lil much from raffy. his career lines...
BA-286 / obp-352 / slug-412 / ops-764
esco's career lines
BA-303 / obp-373 / slug-420 / ops-793
Just felt like comparing esco to furcal. Granted furcal has a lil more power and is a much better defender. But at the same time esco is a better defender. Taking into acount that esco is younger, much much cheaper, and much less of an injury threat I would takes esco everyday of the week, so i am very glad the braves "missed out" on raffy.
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 18, 2008 at 02:22 AM
I rethought what I said after taking a look at his baseball-referene.com page. But what i was really talking about, more than a prediction for this year, was i think thats what he would have ended up at in 08 had he remained healthy all year.
I still think he is capable of the line i put up, but that would be on the high end, and its more realistic for .290/.360/.425, which i still think is fine for a leadoff guy.
Posted by: Ivdown | December 18, 2008 at 04:31 AM
ya those numbers seem pretty reasonable and ya they're good numbers for a ss. He made a lot more since for the dodgers also, sure the braves could use a lead off hitter of his calibur, although I believe Anderson will do well leading off for us next year. When all this first unfolded I was pretty mad, now I'm more relieved that well be holding onto esco. Although I'll never see furcal the same, all u dodger fans look for me next year when the braves come to town I'll be the one in the front row with the "two face, furcal" poster.
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 18, 2008 at 04:42 AM
On my post above I meant to say furcal is a better baserunner not defender...
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 18, 2008 at 04:45 AM
why don't the braves switch tactics? sign tex and adam dunn(two .400obp guys) and wait on the mother lode of pitching to come up to the majors.
Posted by: gene smith | December 18, 2008 at 06:58 PM
watch out for him in diamond plays(espn) garrantee!!
Posted by: dodgerland | December 19, 2008 at 01:08 AM
Happy to see Furcal back. If the Dodgers were willing to give him a 3 year deal, management must really believe he is, and will be, healthy.
Plus, with a back-loaded contract, laden with incentives, I wouldn't be surprised to see Furcal have a season similar to what Ivdown predicated:
.300-.310ish BA, .375-.390OBP, .430-.450 slugging sounds reasonable.
Historically, incentive-laden contracts for players that remain healthy are great things to have.
Posted by: MrBlake14 | December 19, 2008 at 09:04 PM
now they need to sign oliver perez to be a number 2 or 1 for the dodgers.
the mets would recieve the 16th pick of the first round and then a pick between the 1st and 2nd rounds.
Posted by: beastOftheEast | December 19, 2008 at 09:15 PM
Sorry but I'm thinking the Dodgers won't sign Oliver Perez. There hasn't been much movement in his direction, especially at his asking price.
Look for the Dodgers to land Manny Ramirez within a couple days.
Posted by: MrBlake14 | December 19, 2008 at 09:23 PM
"now they need to sign oliver perez to be a number 2 or 1 for the dodgers."
Perez wouldn't be higher than a #4 for the Dodgers as their pitching staff currently stands. And the chance the Dodgers give up the #16 pick for Perez i highly doubtful.
Posted by: DodgersBruin | December 19, 2008 at 09:28 PM
Furcal and his agent are both pigs.
Posted by: midtown | December 20, 2008 at 01:36 AM
Let that bozo Furcal go - he'll be hurt by May Braves show class
Posted by: rockford | December 20, 2008 at 07:55 AM
manny is going to the yankees
oliver perez is better than chad and clayton.
if the dodgers sign oliver perez( the 16th pick goesthe the mets because he is a type A and they get a pick in the mid rounds) the dodgers would get him for 3 years 12 mill
Posted by: beastOftheEast | December 20, 2008 at 08:00 AM
"oliver perez is better than chad and clayton."
2008 ERA+
Oliver Perez: 100
Chad Billingsley: 135
Clayton Kershaw: 100
Perez is horrible. He's had seasons with ERA+ of 73, 72, 67. He's not worth a 1st round draft pick. Let alone a salary over $4M.
Posted by: DodgersBruin | December 20, 2008 at 09:36 AM
Feel bad for the braves.
Posted by: mynameborat | December 20, 2008 at 01:32 PM
Stop yer dreamin'. Dodgers will not sign Manny. It doesn't fit in with McCourt's small money approach to his big market team. He and the old lady are gonna keep focusing on throwing pennies into the community in order to build their own imagined philanthropic legend. And just when they think everyone has fallen in love with their wonderfulness, they'll build the condos/hotels/shopping center in the parking lots over downtown...which was the whole reason they bought the team from Murdock.
Posted by: paxterj | December 20, 2008 at 04:23 PM
all right they dont need him he is just a good thing to have look they still have chipper and well not anderew i think they need to forget it aand go git someone better look in to some rookies i meen come on
Posted by: ryno | December 20, 2008 at 04:26 PM
"
manny is going to the yankees
oliver perez is better than chad and clayton.
if the dodgers sign oliver perez( the 16th pick goesthe the mets because he is a type A and they get a pick in the mid rounds) the dodgers would get him for 3 years 12 mill
Posted by: beastOftheEast | December 20, 2008 at 08:00 AM
"
Dude, get a clue. Kershaw and Bills were better than Perez in highschool. Maybe not but you get the point.
I can't believe you actually posted that. Did you giggle while hitting Post?
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | December 20, 2008 at 04:41 PM
"The only problem with Bradley and Burrell in the OF is the DEF."
Bradley is a plus defender...to put him in the category with Burrell is just dumb. Really dumb. health is a concern, but his defense isn't.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 22, 2008 at 10:13 AM