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« MRI On Pirates Prospect Reveals Inflammation | Main | Nationals GM Candidates »
In a post for the Spring Training '09 site, I went team by team and assembled a list of the 45 worst contracts in baseball. Check it out and let me know what you think.
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I like the list. Generally agree with it.
Since you're including signings which were done in '08 (hence inclusion of Renteria), why'd you pick AJ Pierzynski over Raul Ibanez? Personally, I'd put Ibanez over Renteria as well, since Furcal also got a ton of money, Renteria actually plays a premium position(SS), and NO other OF/DH not named Manny even sniffed what Ibanez got.
I'd think the AJ deal was pretty solid in that he's been a solid bat for the palehose and that he's a catcher. I'm just curious.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 02, 2009 at 10:57 PM
And of course AJ over Konerko or Thome, since both those guys are pretty damn immobile. Just curious why you don't like the AJ contract.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 02, 2009 at 10:59 PM
Im anxious to see what Ibanez can do for the Phillies. I think he could go either way for the team. The lineup full of lefties scares me.
Posted by: WeRunTheNLEast | March 02, 2009 at 11:01 PM
I don't get the Carlos Lee choice. Is it because of the fact that the Houston Astros spent $100M on a single player whilst being a perennial non-contender? If you are looking sole at Lee's production as an Astro, not only did he have a career-best .396 wOBP in 2008 (15th best amongst MLB hitters with ~450 PA's), but in the past three seasons, he's averaged a .382 wOBP and 32 HR's. Again, if you're not factoring in the Astros' idiocy in handing out a mega-deal when they are consistently non-contenders, then I don't really get why he was included amongst the 44 worst contracts in baseball.
Posted by: Jamal G. | March 02, 2009 at 11:03 PM
I think the list needs total revision, Tim. I think you can only justify a contract based on the market and team needs when it was signed. Hindsight is not evidence, it's a luxury. I want to see how many remain on the list if analyzed based on all known factors at the time of signing.
Posted by: GScott | March 02, 2009 at 11:06 PM
"Im anxious to see what Ibanez can do for the Phillies. I think he could go either way for the team. The lineup full of lefties scares me."
Victorino is going to have to be a HUGE cog in that lineup against LHP. As will Werth.
I'm not trying to criticize the list at all, just offering my two cents, but another player who's contract is pretty damn ugly is Miguel Cabrera. I just think a lot of people think his contract is good because he didn't hit FA and he's only 25. However, he's a poor defensive 1B and will probably be DHing in a couple of years, AND has weight issues. Not a good combination. It's heavily backloaded and 8/152.3MM is just horrible for a 1B/DH. I'd think his contract is easily one of the top 20 worst active in MLB.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 02, 2009 at 11:07 PM
I don't get why Eaton is on the list.
/sarcasm
Posted by: WeRunTheNLEast | March 02, 2009 at 11:07 PM
I gave Ibanez some thought. But, unlike Renteria, he was pretty good in 2008.
A.J. isn't much with the bat...the Sox could've just kept him through '08.
As I wrote regarding Lee, the next four seasons is where I think that deal will really hurt (as he moves closer to DH fielding abilities). No one would dream of taking on that contract, even for nothing in return. Keep in mind I am not saying that Lee is a bad player. Just that he has a bad contract.
I wanted to add that a commenter over on the other site questioned Overbay and I can see where he was coming from.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | March 02, 2009 at 11:09 PM
TIM-
Nice list. Carlos Guillen's $ 48 million for four years may be biting the Tigers in the butt before that deal is over. As a shortstop, or maybe even a third baseman, he may be worth it, but LF'ers are a dime a dozen, and he's more of an .800 OPS hitter than a .900 OPS guy by now.
HOW about the BEST contracts? I think we've seen a few of those in the past few weeks- Abreu, Orlando Cabrera, Hudson, even Juan Cruz.
Posted by: Tigerdog | March 02, 2009 at 11:09 PM
Oh yeah because in the 1990s-2000s we didnt win anything and never contended. Didnt make it to our first world series in 2005 either. I must have been dreaming. The Astros a never contenders. Oh yes and the Mets are going to win the World Series. LMAO
Posted by: RoyOswaltSteroidFree | March 02, 2009 at 11:10 PM
I think Werth has a season this year. He has so much potential to hit alot of HRs and for a high average, and his fielding is decent.
Posted by: WeRunTheNLEast | March 02, 2009 at 11:10 PM
I like the list Tim, one name I think needs to be on there though, is Kei Igawa. Are we factoring posting fees? I think you should. money is money, I figure.
Posted by: GeneseoMC20 | March 02, 2009 at 11:11 PM
I gave M-Cab some thought. Ultimately though I can see him sustaining star-level performance for the next several years.
For this list a bad contract was a bad contract. Doesn't matter if we liked it at the time. That could be another list, if someone felt like looking up 50 contracts and all the related analysis.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | March 02, 2009 at 11:11 PM
"Is it because of the fact that the Houston Astros spent $100M on a single player whilst being a perennial non-contender?"
Carlos Lee is a fat, poor defensive LF. If he were in the AL, he'd be DHing. He plays a non-premium position and is a very poor defensive player. Those things were known at the time of signing.
Even if a perennial contender signed him, it would've been a bad idea.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 02, 2009 at 11:11 PM
That contract is there because Mr. Dierkes is an avid Cubs fan and will and can do anything in his power to make the Astros (who destroyed his cubs in the 90s) look like the laughing stock of the NL Central.
Posted by: RoyOswaltSteroidFree | March 02, 2009 at 11:12 PM
Guillen is one I considered and I can see him belonging. Maybe I subsconsciously felt bad for the Tigers?
Igawa belongs. An error of omission. I may go in and add that, if I'd remembered I definitely would have put it.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | March 02, 2009 at 11:13 PM
Personally, I'd put Ibanez over Renteria as well, since Furcal also got a ton of money, Renteria actually plays a premium position(SS), and NO other OF/DH not named Manny even sniffed what Ibanez got.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 02, 2009 at 10:57 PM
Agreed. Abreu got 5 mil/ 1 year for Christ's sake.
I'd throw in J.D. Drew too. 64 rbi for two years each for 70 million? The guy did well for like a month last year but too bad baseball is a 6 month season.
Posted by: strikethree | March 02, 2009 at 11:13 PM
Tim, I don't know why you picked AJ over Paul Konerko. I think AJ's contract is worth it. His presence in the clubhouse and the way he handles that pitching staff is reason enough to pay him. Not to mention, he's a fan favorite and has proven a good left handed bat.
Konerko's contract is so much worse.
Posted by: ChiSox33 | March 02, 2009 at 11:14 PM
"HOW about the BEST contracts? I think we've seen a few of those in the past few weeks- Abreu, Orlando Cabrera, Hudson, even Juan Cruz."
I think the Hamels contract was a great one. Burrell's 2/18 could pay off.
Posted by: WeRunTheNLEast | March 02, 2009 at 11:15 PM
You're not really convincing me on AJ. Konerko was borderline though.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | March 02, 2009 at 11:16 PM
It's not a huge amount of money, but considering that Texas is paying 6 freaking million dollars for pinch hitter extraordinaire Frank Catalanotto for 2009 including his buyout, I was surprised to find this deal wasn't on the list. The whole deal is 3 yrs. / 13.5 mil.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | March 02, 2009 at 11:17 PM
Why is A.J Pierzynski contract bad? He hit .284 last year and was actually the second best offensive AL catcher in 2008 right behind Joe Mauer. He was better then Jason Varitek, Pudge Rodriguez, Kenji Johjima, Brandon Inge, and all those guys made more money then A.J. I can think of another 44 players that have worst contract.
Posted by: platinum1 | March 02, 2009 at 11:18 PM
Cat definitely has a bad contract, but I left out anything under 15 mil.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | March 02, 2009 at 11:18 PM
It's hard to stand here in this frightening economy and look backwards in judgment on ridiculous deals made back when the money was flowing, I'd like to add. Lee is a good example. Yes, I agree that Houston was dumb for adding that deal to their payroll, but even if he's an inferior defensive player, there aren't too many guys who can hit as well as him - and with power. So back then he was probably worth the money. Now, not so much. We can blame Drayton for a lot of things, but it probably isn't fair to blame the recession on him, or rather to act like he should have known it was coming.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | March 02, 2009 at 11:22 PM
A.J. isn't much with the bat...the Sox could've just kept him through '08.
As I wrote regarding Lee, the next four seasons is where I think that deal will really hurt (as he moves closer to DH fielding abilities). No one would dream of taking on that contract, even for nothing in return. Keep in mind I am not saying that Lee is a bad player. Just that he has a bad contract.
I wanted to add that a commenter over on the other site questioned Overbay and I can see where he was coming from.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | March 02, 2009 at 11:09 PM
Posted by: platinum1 | March 02, 2009 at 11:24 PM
By the way - since Tim is in here swimming with the sharks - I'd like to say to the man himself - I thoroughly enjoy your blog... I read it every day, and I appreciate your professionalism and attention to detail. Keep up the great work!
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | March 02, 2009 at 11:25 PM
AJ is on the list for one reason ... Tim is a Cub's fan.
Zito's K is by far the worst.
Posted by: Svengoolie | March 02, 2009 at 11:25 PM
There are definitely some hindsight-type deals on that list but Carlos Lee is not one of them. He was not a $100 million player at the time, especially for the Astros. There are a lot of corner guys who can hit like him.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | March 02, 2009 at 11:25 PM
Some guys I believe belong on the list are Derek Jeter, AJ Burnett (he'll belong on here after his first season with the Yankees), Alex Rodriguez's current contract. (This is coming from a yankee fan)
Reasons are...Derek Jeter hasnt won a championship for the yankees since his major payday, and at 18.9m its a steep price. He's always hit for average (declining for 3 straight years) but never for power. I have always felt he should have made the shift instead of AROD because I think Arod was a better defensive shortstop. Alex is going to be paid 27.5million per year until he's 42 years old....yea a 42 year old is going to produce for a contract paying 27.5million (those late years are the years his bonus's are gonna kick in more then likely earning him 6mil more per milestone he reaches. Burnett, just look at the stats. Compare his contract to other pitchers that had similar pasts to him.
Posted by: pan1kk | March 02, 2009 at 11:26 PM
Nope...AJ on the list has zero to do with my rooting interest. I considered and left off many more Sox contracts, and put more for the Cubs. So, you have no leg to stand on there.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | March 02, 2009 at 11:26 PM
I should add that my take on AJ is based on a heavy, heavy dose of hearing from White Sox fans who hated that contract.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | March 02, 2009 at 11:26 PM
pan1kk-
Burnett looks like it could end up brutal. As could A-Rod. I'd disagree with Jeter simply because of the "franchise player" mantra. If he walked and signed with another team, it would be an absolute NIGHTMARE in NY.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 02, 2009 at 11:29 PM
Konerko and Thome probably would've been legit additions to the 44, regardless of team they played for. Contreras too.
On the Cubs side, I could see Dempster on that list coming soon.
Zito and Soriano's contracts are just one mile above all the others in stupidity.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 02, 2009 at 11:34 PM
Why does it seem like "best" contracts as stated above means "contracts where players are underpaid, compared to the average"? Are we rooting for owners over players?
Posted by: BrianGriffinLovesYou | March 02, 2009 at 11:36 PM
What do you guys think of Torii Hunter's contract, btw?
I honestly think its horrible, as his defense is clearly declining, and he's exiting his prime.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 02, 2009 at 11:37 PM
AJ is a winner and stat-heads have trouble empathizing with that particular intangible.
His K is just fine.
Seriously, thanks for the great site Tim, it made the winter go by much faster.
Posted by: Svengoolie | March 02, 2009 at 11:37 PM
Jose Contreras - 29 million has so far bought 300 lousy innings, add to it no one ever seems to know the age of any Cuban in the league.
Vincente Padilla - Only good thing to say about him: At least he's cheaper than Millwood.
Jarrod Washburn - No one even bid against the M's.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | March 02, 2009 at 11:40 PM
The list is pretty good, but Juan Pierre not being in the top three is a miscarriage of justice. The man is nearly as useless as Bud Selig.
Posted by: ibtorgy | March 02, 2009 at 11:43 PM
I may disagree with you on Carlos Lee at the time of that deal. There weren't a lot of corner OFs like him at the time. He was coming off 4 consecutive seasons of 30+ HRs of around a .280-290 AVG. Many of his peripherals compare to be solidly above-average, even at his offensive-minded position. Sure, he projected to be a player who may not have longevity because of weight and maintenance issues, which made the deal ill-advised, but surplus at his position isn't the reason the deal was bad.
Posted by: basemonkey | March 02, 2009 at 11:44 PM
I agree that Miguel Cabrera does not belong on the list. At least not yet. He'll be fine at first base for several years, and he does not have a weight problem. The dude is 6'5"- he's a big man.
Jeter belongs. The most overrated player, defensively, in the history of the world.
Giants fans are in for a big letdown when they see Renteria's defense, or lack thereof, just as Tiger fans (and management, not to mention pitchers) were last year. They'd actually have picked up his absurd $ 13 million option if not for his total lack of range. Jeter isn't much better.
I think that fans think of GOOD contracts when their team gets a player without blowing the budget, working on the sometimes false impression that the club then has lots more money to spend on other players.
Posted by: Tigerdog | March 02, 2009 at 11:45 PM
I have got to think that Derek Lowe's contract is gonna be on this list, shortly. You don't drop $60 million on a guy who is, at best, a number 3 on a decent rotation. That deal was Frank Wren losing his nerve and overpaying for a pitcher who is known as much for his ability to not miss a start as he is for having the attention span of a can of tuna.
Posted by: ibtorgy | March 02, 2009 at 11:47 PM
"AJ is a winner and stat-heads have trouble empathizing with that particular intangible."
Yep, AJ and his .708 OPS is why the Sox won the WS.
Posted by: vtadave | March 02, 2009 at 11:47 PM
"The list is pretty good, but Juan Pierre not being in the top three is a miscarriage of justice. The man is nearly as useless as Bud Selig."
The list isn't ranked. It's done by teams, in alphabetical order.
Any RANKED list of current bad contracts that doesn't have Zito as #1 is crazy.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 02, 2009 at 11:47 PM
Not sure how it all factors in but how about Scott Rolen? 8 years $90 mil contract extension. Do extensions not count? 3 of the 6 years so far have been good but he has missed time due to injury and has seemed to have aged a lot the last couple seasons.
Posted by: XD23 | March 02, 2009 at 11:49 PM
I like most of the picks.
I think Carlos Lee and Alfonso Soriano will end up earning their contracts. I'm hoping Chris Carpenter does too.
It'd be nice if Jose Guillen pulled out a couple great years to give the Royals a push... is that a pipe dream?
It's too bad about Eric Byrnes, I was a fan.
The Andruw Jones debacle is just plain laughable.
Posted by: blacky | March 02, 2009 at 11:50 PM
"Not sure how it all factors in but how about Scott Rolen? 8 years $90 mil contract extension. Do extensions not count? 3 of the 6 years so far have been good but he has missed time due to injury and has seemed to have aged a lot the last couple seasons."
I agree. Easily worse than some on the list. Rolen's a great player, but he's missed a good bit of games. Although the Cardinals were smart with that contract, trading him for Glaus while he was tradeable.
Dontrelle Willis, Brandon Inge, Jeremy Bonderman, Eric Chavez, and Lyle Overbay were all extensions so Rolen is fair game.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 02, 2009 at 11:53 PM
HOW MANY WAYS CAN A PLAYER SUCK?
I might rank it differently. There are a couple reasons a player is bad. Either: A. He just suddenly sucks, or, B. Health limits his playing time. Personally, I think the former is worse than the latter. A decade ago the Yankees acquired Kevin Brown during one of their playoff runs. He was severely limited in his playing time because his body fell apart as a Yankee, but when he was in their, he was a strong groundball machine who turned in good starts. That's a lot different than, say, Zito who was actually good before Free Agency, then gets the big Pay Day, then turns horrible as a Giant. The worst of all is the player who has a huge contract year, gets the big contract, then is always on the DL AND sucks when he is healthy, a la Carl Pavano.
Posted by: basemonkey | March 02, 2009 at 11:54 PM
Ok then I say add Rolen, Drew, Marquis and Jeter.
Posted by: XD23 | March 02, 2009 at 11:56 PM
You forgot C.C. Sabathia, 7 years, $161 million. I kid, I kid!
Hey Tim, you should do a worst trades list. I don't think you've done anything like that for a while.
Posted by: morandjp | March 02, 2009 at 11:56 PM
"Yep, AJ and his .708 OPS is why the Sox won the WS"
Thanks for proving my point.
Posted by: Svengoolie | March 02, 2009 at 11:57 PM
Rafael Soriano's contract isn't the prettiest piece of paper I've ever seen.
Posted by: CT | March 02, 2009 at 11:58 PM
basemonkey-
Zito was not good before he hit free agency.
He was league average at best the last 2 years before hitting FA.
-Low BABIP
-Flyball pitcher getting HUGE favors from the A's pitcher's park.
-Pedestrian K/BB numbers
-Consistently top 5 in league in walks.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 03, 2009 at 12:01 AM
^^^^^ I guess that's why I may not place Carlos Lee and/or Alfonso Soriano in there. Sure, their contracts are huge liabilities today in the current economy, but, it's not as if they're just not producing. Not only are they producing, they produce at a pretty high level. I guess the question with those guys is how much must a player produce to offset the liability of a 20M/YR contract? I'm sure the answer places those layers on the negative gain side of the differential, but I don't think by that much.
It's a lot worse when said player just doesn't produce at all matched up to their contract. I personally think a single player earning 10M/YR who is always hurt is WAAAAY worse than a Soriano who is paid a ton but still produces and plays everyday. With that Hurt player, you not only have to take their salary as a sunk cost, but you also have to pay another player to play their position.
Posted by: basemonkey | March 03, 2009 at 12:02 AM
AJ over Ibanez? Come on now...
Posted by: part-time pariah | March 03, 2009 at 12:03 AM
Shucks...maybe I should start reading at least the first few comments.
Good call Rex.
Posted by: part-time pariah | March 03, 2009 at 12:04 AM
Derek Jeter??? How is a 10 years/$189M (2001-10) contract one of the worst in the history of baseball, so what if its backloaded. In that contract so far he has been an all-star 6 times, won 3 gold gloves,3 silver slugger awards, and been in the 10 ten in hits. Please name me a better shortstop in the American league during this time and currently.
Posted by: Dynasty26 | March 03, 2009 at 12:05 AM
Being an all-star means nothing.
Posted by: WeRunTheNLEast | March 03, 2009 at 12:10 AM
mel,
Zito was coming off 6 consecutive seasons of 200 IP and averaged a 3.80 ERA when the league average was 4.43. His K rate was never high. True. Though he was never that kind of pitcher to begin with at any level. He was always a guy who mixed strikeouts with pitching to contact. He just has not been the same pitcher by any stretch in the NL. He played like a former Cy Young winner in the AL. He was tailing off a bit in his final two seasons as an A though. A typical Zito the A's season would be a sluggish start and a strong consistent middle, with a strong finish. the difference with his last 3-4 seasons is that his middle seasons have been up and down, and the finishes have not been as strong. Right now you have to take it as signs of attrition taking hold. Last year was the lowest IP total he's ever posted, 180, which isn't a bad total if that's your worst.
Posted by: basemonkey | March 03, 2009 at 12:11 AM
Only one Red Sox contract and an obvious one at that.
Posted by: theillien | March 03, 2009 at 12:12 AM
"Hey Tim, you should do a worst trades list"
- This one came to mind right away :
Gio Gonzalez and Ryan Sweeney for an attention starved underachieving midget.
Posted by: Svengoolie | March 03, 2009 at 12:13 AM
basemonkey-
It's OK not to have a low K rate.
As long as you don't couple them with Daniel Cabrera-esque walk totals, which Zito did.
Again, the only reason Zito had a low ERA is because he played in a park which greatly inflates the stats of flyball pitchers.
Zito also possessed a VERY pedestrian WHIP in 2005 and 2006. The only reason more of those hits didn't turn into runs is because of who manned the A's infield.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 03, 2009 at 12:17 AM
Worst trades list is only 2 trades long, both belonging to the LA Dodgers.
1) Pedro for Delino DeShields. Given.
2) Six dozen baseballs to the Newhark Bears for Rickey Henderson. The baseballs lasted longer than Henderson. Look it up, true story.
Posted by: GScott | March 03, 2009 at 12:17 AM
That should read *It's OK not to have a HIGH K rate
Posted by: melonis rex | March 03, 2009 at 12:18 AM
Derek Jeter is a winner.
Posted by: Svengoolie | March 03, 2009 at 12:21 AM
""Hey Tim, you should do a worst trades list""
That would turn into a wankfest so quickly its not even funny.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 03, 2009 at 12:21 AM
Milton Bradley?
J.D. Drew?
Torii Hunter?
Mike Lowell?
Posted by: Thirty5Thirty6 | March 03, 2009 at 12:22 AM
Ok for one he 'won' 3 gold gloves. He has never been a good SS. He was an All Star which is 90% a popularity contest. And winning a Silver Slugger for AL SS is like winning best body at fat camp.
And its 10 years $189 mil that no other team in baseball would have done.
I can name a better Off and Def SS and the guy stands besides Jeter.
2001-2003 A-Rod was better
2004-2006 Tejada was better
Last 2 years he was the best offensive AL SS.
But saying AL removes all of the great SS in the NL.
But in the end Jeter costs his team. When Jeter moves from SS and a good defensive guy moves in I can see the Yankees winning another ring. But not until Jeter vacates SS.
Posted by: XD23 | March 03, 2009 at 12:23 AM
Willis, Bonderman and Inge are "extensions" in the sense that their old contracts expired and their term with the team was extended before they could ever become free agents. Nor is a player that signs two contracts back to back "extensions" unless you are merging the old contract with the new contract. When you talk about an "extension" you only count the new contract, not the expired one and the new one.
Kenny Rogers and Todd Jones signed two year contracts before the 2006 season, and then signed "extensions" two years later for one year each. You count those as separate contracts for each player, negotiated separately.
Jeter's money would look more ridiculous if he wasn't wearing the pinstripes of luxury. All Stars mean nothing, and Gold Gloves mean even less. The fact that they give such a poor fielding SS as Jeter a gold glove is conclusive proof that the award is a joke. Last year, they gave it to Michael Young, fer krissakes. This spring, he's displaced by a rookie- who brings a sack full of errors at the minor league level with him. No SS makes anywhere near what Jeter makes, except A Rod, of course.
I'll give Jeter his due as an entertainer, as a team leader, and as a solid hitting SS. But put him on another team and that $ 19 million a year looks pretty absurd. There's dollars and there's Yankee dollars. Pinstriped money is different currency.
Posted by: Tigerdog | March 03, 2009 at 12:24 AM
To say Jeter staying at short is what is costing the Yankees a ring is just ignorant.
Posted by: Thirty5Thirty6 | March 03, 2009 at 12:29 AM
Hey, you know what would reduce the number of bad contracts?
A salary cap.
Posted by: Svengoolie | March 03, 2009 at 12:29 AM
Why does baseball need a salary cap? So the owners can pocket more money than before? Makes sense.
Posted by: Thirty5Thirty6 | March 03, 2009 at 12:32 AM
Point is, no one outside Yankee Nation (aka Helen Keller institute for the blind and deaf) thinks Jeter is any good. He gets paid 18mil more per year to put up the same numbers as Cristian Guzman.
Posted by: GScott | March 03, 2009 at 12:36 AM
Ok look at these numbers from '08
.300/ .363/ .408 88 R 11 HR 69 RBI 11 SB
vs
.288/ .366/ .401 71 R 10 HR 60 RBI 2 SB
The top player is Jeter. He got to the plate 75 more times then the 2nd guy. Yunel Escobar is considered a solid young player. And good defensively. Is Yunel's numbers worth even half of Jeter's salary?
Posted by: XD23 | March 03, 2009 at 12:36 AM
Hey Tim,
I'd be interested in what these guys would actually make in today's market. Maybe a ranked list could be based on the total difference in what they are actually worth compared to what they are being paid now.
Posted by: briandavis | March 03, 2009 at 12:36 AM
"Hey, you know what would reduce the number of bad contracts?
A salary cap."
It would reduce the size of bad contracts, but it wouldn't reduce the number IMO.
It would also reduce a team's ability to get out from under a bad contract and increase the potential for one bad contract to cripple a team.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 03, 2009 at 12:36 AM
MLB should incorporate the NBA's version of a "Max Contract" so every team has the opportunity to sign the top talent and players can go back to choosing teams based on what matters: location, winning, family.
Posted by: GScott | March 03, 2009 at 12:37 AM
Think what ya want. But you know its true. Him staying at Short even though he is a horrible defender is selfish. In a team sport selfish attitudes lead nowhere. How else can you explain how a team that has spent a Billion dollars in salary has not won a championship.
Pitching and Defense is what wins.
Posted by: XD23 | March 03, 2009 at 12:41 AM
So many Tigers *cry*
Posted by: Will Smiff | March 03, 2009 at 12:42 AM
Baseball owners can take care of all the inequities by evenly distributing the revenues. There's no shortage of overall revenue, it's just distributed unevenly. Two teams play in each game, so why not divide the revenues half to the home team and half to be divided by the other clubs?
In the NFL, for example, when the Raiders play the Dolphins, the Packers and Eagles get an equal share of those revenues, because it's all derived from a national TV contract. The fact that more revenues are coming from non local sources such as MLB.com, the MLB Network, the sale of the live streaming technology, the WBC, etc, all helps even the playing field, but a team in Pittsburg will never be on equal footing with a team in New York or L.A. A salary cap would only make the richest owners richer- and you'd have a long, long work stoppage before you ever got that.
Posted by: Tigerdog | March 03, 2009 at 12:42 AM
"Only one Red Sox contract and an obvious one at that."
JD Drew's should be up there IMO
Posted by: mike923 | March 03, 2009 at 12:42 AM
They haven't had solid pitching for years. He may be a horrible defender, but he is costing the Yankees a championship. Where would you like to move him to right now?
Posted by: Thirty5Thirty6 | March 03, 2009 at 12:43 AM
I personally have trouble with guys like Lugo - this may be a Red Sox bias, but being a Sox fan, I don't like Lugo.
Don't get me wrong, its not a good contract, not even a little, but the Sox needed a SS, he was available and one of the better ones out there, had success in the AL East, knew the division and pitching, could leadoff and was usually a solid .270/.335. Solid, the price was the crazy market and other bidding teams like the Mets (see how much they have Castillo)
To me, the worst contracts are not the ones that worked out badly, they are the ones that made no sense to begin with:
Suppan, Castillo, Young, Zito getting that much, GMJ, Eaton must be #2 on that list, Johjima.
Posted by: quintjs | March 03, 2009 at 12:45 AM
"Pitching and Defense is what wins.
Posted by: XD23 | March 03, 2009 at 12:41 AM "
And if you don't believe him, go look it up. Last team to win the WS without a very, VERY solid starting rotation was the 1993 Blue Jays. That team had a 4.21ERA and it would have been higher if the bullpen wasn't so good.
Posted by: GScott | March 03, 2009 at 12:45 AM
Mike Lowell? Who cares what he plays like, the RS signed him for 1 year and 25million less than the Market was offering, that alone marks it a great contract, even if he doesn't make it back onto the field during it.
Posted by: quintjs | March 03, 2009 at 12:47 AM
As a hockey fan I can honestly say that the salary cap saved the sport.
Large market teams can no longer merely buy every all-star free agent and small market teams can compete ... hence the term "sport" as opposed to "spectacle" which is what baseball has become.
The best thing that could happen to baseball would be to have the Yankees and the Cubs / Mets in the World Series for the next 3 years. The fans would finally get it.
Posted by: Svengoolie | March 03, 2009 at 12:48 AM
"And if you don't believe him, go look it up. Last team to win the WS without a very, VERY solid starting rotation was the 1993 Blue Jays. That team had a 4.21ERA and it would have been higher if the bullpen wasn't so good."
2006 Cardinals.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 03, 2009 at 12:54 AM
What got "saved" by the salary cap in the NHL were the teams in markets that they had no business being in. Hockey is basically still a regional sport, with the ability to appeal in larger markets. But "saving" the Nashville Predators, the Charlotte Hurricanes or the Phoenix Coyotes is no great achievment, IMO. What they did is they busted a union that is much weaker than the MLBPA. In saving the over- expanded market and teams that aren't viable in a free market system, they saved a load of jobs for NHL players, too. So they all get along.
Still, the Red Wings ruled under the old system, and when they had to cut payroll in half to meet the new cap, they still rule!
Posted by: Tigerdog | March 03, 2009 at 12:57 AM
Being a Giants fan, and a Zito fan, I still have to agree with Melonis on this one. Zito started declining a year and a half before he signed. He was losing velocity and he benefited from 'situational stats'. It also didn't help that the big 12 to 6 wasn't being called as a strike as often, so hitters started taking it.
He got his contract based on reputation and durability (never missed a start until 08. The biggest problem when he got to SF is he was trying to pitch like Roger Clemens when he should have been trying to pitch like Greg Maddux. And I believe that Zito is one of those guys that actually did let the pressure of his contract get into his head.
That being said, I am rooting for him to bounce back this year. Having Lincecum and Johnson ahead of him in the rotation will hopefully allow him to just concentrate on his control, and get some late-movement back on his bread and butter.
Posted by: NuschlerBall212 | March 03, 2009 at 01:00 AM
AJ does have a lot of value, it is his ~315obp over the last four years that makes him stick out though (still not sure the contract is too bad), Soriano's contract is going to get even worse, and nice to see the Rays avoid the list because they realized spending on that team before this year was a waste.
Posted by: CubFanRaysaddict | March 03, 2009 at 01:03 AM
"2006 Cardinals.
Posted by: melonis rex | March 03, 2009 at 12:54 AM "
I thought of them too, but if you look at the scores of the games in those playoffs, the cards held their opposition to 3 runs or less all but 3 games, and 2 of them were against the Mets who absolutely CRUSHED the ball. They definitely won the WS based on their pitching because their offense was garbage after Pujols.
Posted by: GScott | March 03, 2009 at 01:04 AM
The NHL has increased salary caps as overall revenues have increased. As the economy turns for the worse, the salary caps will level out (and rightfully so)
As for the Red Wings, they weren't much before Scotty Bowman and he is no longer there. Lidstrom will be retiring soon also.
Posted by: Svengoolie | March 03, 2009 at 01:11 AM
"2006 Cardinals"
David Eckstein is a winner.
Posted by: Svengoolie | March 03, 2009 at 01:23 AM
The NHL has to open its' books and have an independent audit so that the cap can be set, based on HRR (Hockey related revenues). Just opening the books is enough to drive MLB owners away from the cap idea. I'd like to see it brought up just to see the look on the Steinbrenners' faces.
Scotty got the Wings over the hump, but was an adviser recently and is basically retired. They've done just fine since he gave up the coaching gig, cruising through every season with relative ease and usually going deep in the playoffs. No other NHL club can match them over the past 20 years, either before or after the cap.
Lidstrom will be around at least another season, and there are several young studs in the minors that would be starting on any other team. Not to mention the players that would sign at a discount with the Wings just to get the chance to drink from the cup. Ask Marian Hossa.
Posted by: Tigerdog | March 03, 2009 at 01:24 AM
The funny thing is, there were teams that willing to give more to Lee than the Astros--he took a lesser contract to play with them because he wanted to stay in Texas.
In general, it's hard to judge a lot of these contracts because the economic situation was so different a few years ago. None of the guys would get anywhere close to the kid of money they're making now if they'd have hit free agency this year. Lee and Soriano were the two premium hitters to hit in the market when they did...that's why they both got got nine figures.
Posted by: ARusonis | March 03, 2009 at 01:29 AM
right on the money!
Posted by: bjhaas1977 | March 03, 2009 at 01:35 AM
I find it interesting that when Overbay signed, you said it was a nice idea to buy out a couple years of free agency and that it was a reasonable rate.
You couldn't find a person at the time of the signing that would say it was a bad contract including yourself. Injuries can happen (broken hand from HBP in Overbays case) but that certainly doesn't make it a bad contract.
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2007/01/overbay-gets-fo.html
Posted by: Grant77 | March 03, 2009 at 01:38 AM
You conveniently limit your argument to the past 20 years but the fact is that the Montreal Canadiens have won 24 Cups, while the Wings have won 11.
Scotty Bowman is not basically retired, he is working with the most improved team in the NHL now, the Blackhawks... no coincidence.
Posted by: Svengoolie | March 03, 2009 at 01:44 AM
Uh, hello. This is a baseball site, not hockey.
Posted by: NuschlerBall212 | March 03, 2009 at 01:49 AM
I was responding to the comment
"Large market teams can no longer merely buy every all-star free agent and small market teams can compete "
20 years is a time frame in which hockey expanded into smaller markets, beyond it's limits, and during the time frame when the salary cap was brought in.
The point is that the NHL was without a major national revenue source while baseball has been expanding it's revenue sources nationally. Still the disparity in local revenues in MLB is massive, and they need to evenly distribute what they have if they want to "save" smaller market teams so they can compete, before capping salaries which would only make the richest owners richer.
Scotty is in Chicago what he was in Detroit- a semi- retired adviser. He went there to work with his son, who has cancer. He's not behind the personnel moves and isn't involved in the day to day operations of the franchise. He is still a hockey legend.
BTW- Not one of the five Tiger contracts on Tim's 45 worst was a free agent signing. All were given to either "home grown" players, or players that Dombrowski traded for and then signed to "extensions". The only multi year free agent contract signing still on the Tigers is Ordonez, who has two $ 18 million options that will vest for 2010 and 2011 if he logs 457 Plate appearances this season. Maggs is a great hitter, but would not get that much on today's free agent market.
Posted by: Tigerdog | March 03, 2009 at 02:19 AM
I was responding to the comment
"Large market teams can no longer merely buy every all-star free agent and small market teams can compete "
20 years is a time frame in which hockey expanded into smaller markets, beyond it's limits, and during the time frame when the salary cap was brought in.
The point is that the NHL was without a major national revenue source while baseball has been expanding it's revenue sources nationally. Still the disparity in local revenues in MLB is massive, and they need to evenly distribute what they have if they want to "save" smaller market teams so they can compete, before capping salaries which would only make the richest owners richer.
Scotty is in Chicago what he was in Detroit- a semi- retired adviser. He went there to work with his son, who has cancer. He's not behind the personnel moves and isn't involved in the day to day operations of the franchise. He is still a hockey legend.
BTW- Not one of the five Tiger contracts on Tim's 45 worst was a free agent signing. All were given to either "home grown" players, or players that Dombrowski traded for and then signed to "extensions". The only multi year free agent contract signing still on the Tigers is Ordonez, who has two $ 18 million options that will vest for 2010 and 2011 if he logs 457 Plate appearances this season. Maggs is a great hitter, but would not get that much on today's free agent market.
Posted by: Tigerdog | March 03, 2009 at 02:19 AM