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« Matt Holliday Interested In Yankees | Main | Odds & Ends: Minaya, Bradley, McClain »
FRIDAY: Talking to Paul Hoynes of the Cleveland Plain Dealer, here's Indians GM Mark Shapiro on trading Lee:
"I'm not even thinking about that. My focus is on us having a contending season and Cliff having a great season. I think the two go hand-in-hand."
Lee's agent Darek Braunecker says "right now it's just sheer speculation."
THURSDAY: Danny Knobler of CBSSports.com wrote about Indians starter Cliff Lee a few days ago. The article includes speculation from rival executives:
Multiple officials familiar with the Indians said this week that they wouldn't be at all surprised to see Lee get traded if the Indians fall far out of the race, just as C.C. Sabathia was dealt away when Cleveland fell out of it last year. "I think they'd love to trade him," one of the officials said.
The Indians were in last place, 13.5 games out, when they traded Sabathia to the Brewers on July 6th of last year. They finished in third place, 7.5 games out.
Lee, 30, has a 5.25 ERA this year through four starts but pitched well in his last two starts. He has yet to show last year's otherworldly control and 46% groundball rate. At $5.75MM this year with a $9MM club option for 2010, Lee would be attractive on the trade market even if he's pitching like a middle-rotation guy.
Back in March, the Indians decided not to negotiate an extension with the Cy Young winner due to the economy. Said Lee:
"They said they can't do it become of the economy. I'd like to spend the rest of my career here. I would have loved to get that out of the way. But I can't force that to happen."
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Good call on the Indians part. Lee will never repeat his Cy Young year. If he signs an extension it should be in the range of what other solid 3-4 pitchers sign for.
Posted by: jayfantilldeath | April 23, 2009 at 10:57 AM
Halladay, Peavy, and now Lee... there could be some veeeerrry good pitching on the market this summer.
That's of course, assuming the Jays and Padres don't maintain this pace, which I'd say is a pretty safe bet.
Posted by: MorneauVP | April 23, 2009 at 11:09 AM
I wonder what they'd want for him. They'd be crazy to expect a package like what they got for CC.
Posted by: icedrake523 | April 23, 2009 at 11:25 AM
"They'd be crazy to expect a package like what they got for CC."
Not necessarily, the price tag and the fact that he's not a 3 month rental works in favor of the Indians. I'd say another blue chip prospect is possible along with some other decent pieces. Anyone else want to see another Indians/Brewers trade just for the novelty of it?
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | April 23, 2009 at 11:43 AM
Halladay, Peavy, and now Lee... there could be some veeeerrry good pitching on the market this summer.
---
lol
Who would give up anything for one year wonder? Average pitchers are a dime a dozen.
Only teams stupid enough to give up somethign, Giants and Yankees.
Posted by: juiced | April 23, 2009 at 11:48 AM
"Who would give up anything for one year wonder?"
And how much money has Mark Prior made for being perpetually injured? How often have fans said "this year Daniel Cabrera will turn it around"? Lee, like any pitcher will be a gamble and I guarantee some team thinks he has another couple of ace like season in him.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | April 23, 2009 at 11:52 AM
Lee will fetch a decent amount in return especially considering there is an affordable option for next year.
I don't think anyone expects him to bounce back to his '08 form, but the guy is a solid 2 or 3 starter, an innings-eater and has the ability to dominate when he is at the top of his game.
Posted by: GoTribe | April 23, 2009 at 12:18 PM
"And how much money has Mark Prior made for being perpetually injured? How often have fans said "this year Daniel Cabrera will turn it around"? Lee, like any pitcher will be a gamble and I guarantee some team thinks he has another couple of ace like season in him."
Prior gets less than 1M each year. Cabrera makes very little money. There are teams that will want to trade for Lee, but to expect a blue-chip prospect is expecting way too much. He is a risk, and should be treated as such.
As a Mets fan, I would not give up Fernando Martinez or Wilmer Flores (our 2 top-50 prospects) for Lee.
Posted by: supermets | April 23, 2009 at 12:23 PM
this is ridiculous. could you not say this about literally ANY team in this economy? especially a team with any player of any value with one year left on a contract?
I have it from my sources that if the Indians fall out of the race that they will not be in contention.... is that a story too?
Posted by: manohman | April 23, 2009 at 12:35 PM
"Halladay, Peavy, and now Lee... there could be some veeeerrry good pitching on the market this summer."
Don't forget Oswalt. He's just as likely to get traded as Halladay but because he's in small market Houston and not wrong-coast Toronto he doesn't get his share of media coverage. If we are going to speculate about top of the line starters with club-friendly deals and literally no reason to be traded, we might as well include Halladay, Peavy, Oswalt, Webb, Haren, et al.
Posted by: GScott | April 23, 2009 at 12:46 PM
Who would give up anything for one year wonder? Average pitchers are a dime a dozen.
Only teams stupid enough to give up somethign, Giants and Yankees.
I do not understand why people call the Yankees "stupid". They have never made a blunder trade in recent years. Sure they overpay for their players, but when you are the richest time in baseball, you can afford to do that.
Posted by: Brabo | April 23, 2009 at 12:46 PM
Lee won't net the Indians much, especially if he struggles through the season. But if Peavy and Halladay are on the market, there is no way teams in need of pitching would give up a lot to get him when they could have one of the other two. I'd almost sell the farm for Halladay, not so much for the other two, but I'd be willing to give up a lot more for Peavy than I would Lee.
Posted by: rype123 | April 23, 2009 at 12:49 PM
Reds need a lefty. Reds have good pitching, and no hitting. Owings keeps blowing it. A possibility is adding to the strength.
Take out Owings, who is currently the weakest link in the rotation. Ship the Indians Owings/Bailey and some of our good infield prospects in the High-As and Double-A. Solidifying the rotation will help the Reds even if the hitting doesnt pick it up.
Posted by: GmblngPtchr20 | April 23, 2009 at 01:00 PM
The Indians are just facing the economic reality that smaller market teams have...they can't commit gobs of money if they aren't going to contend...and if they get back anything close to what Sabathia got them, I say go for it...
Posted by: Beau | April 23, 2009 at 01:54 PM
Does anyone think that the mets may have a play in cliff lee because everyone behind johan are not reliable?
If so what may it take and ryan church daniel murphy or a prospects.
Posted by: beastOftheEast | April 23, 2009 at 02:29 PM
some hilarious stuff here:
daniel cabrera gets $2.6 mil from the Natinals. apparently this constitutes "very little money"
for who??? just trying to keep food on the table.
doc halladay pitches for "wrong coast Toronto"
wrong coast of Lake Ontario?!?!?
BTW,
how about this? angels aybar, moseley for lee.
or angels send aybar, willits and pitch-prospect for lee, crowe
(either way, injuns make peralta an LF)
Posted by: crash | April 23, 2009 at 02:37 PM
"If so what may it take and ryan church daniel murphy or a prospects."
Why would the Indians want Church? They have too many outfielders. Francisco, Crowe, Sizemore, Choo, LaPorta, etc. Four starting caliber guys for three spots, along with other prospect types. Murphy would make sense, as a 3B, but do the Mets want to give him up? I think any Lee deal has to have pitching in it. Expect Brad Holt to be the centerpiece of any deal.
Posted by: melonis rex | April 23, 2009 at 02:38 PM
"doc halladay pitches for "wrong coast Toronto"
wrong coast of Lake Ontario?!?!?"
Wrong coast as in if they were in any division NOT the AL East, they would've been in the playoffs last year, and they'd easily be a playoff contender this year.
Posted by: melonis rex | April 23, 2009 at 02:39 PM
"BTW,
how about this? angels aybar, moseley for lee.
or angels send aybar, willits and pitch-prospect for lee, crowe
(either way, injuns make peralta an LF)"
No.
I don't see the Angels getting Lee unless they're willing to part with Jordan Walden.
Posted by: melonis rex | April 23, 2009 at 02:40 PM
Now Oswalt will be interesting this trade deadline. He has a contract that runs through 2011, but after that he has said he will retire. He will only be about 34. In order for a team to make a huge package, they will need to be convinced that he will play more. Because, do you want your team to make a huge deal for a 31 yr old player, but has already said a date that he'll retire??
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | April 23, 2009 at 03:46 PM
could see the Cubs in on this, would allow them to move Marshall into bullpen to take over for Cotts.
Posted by: Yuska | April 23, 2009 at 04:08 PM
"Who would give up anything for one year wonder? Average pitchers are a dime a dozen.
Only teams stupid enough to give up somethign, Giants and Yankees."
Are you serious?
What is wrong with you people...
For the LAST Time
Cliff Lee:
2004: 14-8, 5.43 ERA (1st Full Season as Starter)
2005: 18-5, 3.79 ERA (Cy Young Candidate)
2006: 14-11, 4.40 ERA
2007: 5-8, 6.29 ERA
2008: 22-3, 2.54 ERA
In five full seasons, Lee has a 73-35 record for a mediocre team, along with 1 Cy Young Trophy and another year of being in the running for the honor.
Yet, you people still come with this "One year wonder" garbage. If anything, his 2007 struggles were his "one year wonder"
I won't argue Lee as the best pitcher in baseball, or even in the top 10, but to talk about him being "average" is just plain ignorant.
Just because you aren't educated enough about baseball to know him before last year doesn't mean he's a "One year wonder." He's a productive pitcher that all 31 teams would love to have bought low on, kudos to the Tribe for not panicking with a trade in 2007.
Posted by: the lowercase zach is better | April 23, 2009 at 08:09 PM
I wouldn't at all be surprised to see Webb get dealt this summer. Maybe to the Rangers or Red Sox.
Posted by: nymforlife | April 23, 2009 at 09:07 PM
I wouldn't at all be surprised to see Webb get dealt this summer. Maybe to the Rangers or Red Sox.
Posted by: nymforlife | April 23, 2009 at 09:07 PM
I wouldn't want Cliff Lee, I want either Halladay or Peavy. Probably give Murphy and Holt, possibly a few lower level prospects like Havens or Mejia
Posted by: nymforlife | April 23, 2009 at 09:08 PM
If I'm a team looking to make a playoff run this year I am NOT trading for Peavy.
Talk about off to a bad start....Peavy is too!!
And Peavy is just following his WBC trend now....worst year was 2006 (recently)....was terrible in the WBC again this year and it's continuing.
I said it this winter. No team should trade for Peavy. Wait til next winter when he doesn't have a full no-trade clause and after he has another 'bad' year this year and his value is lower.
Cliff Lee will net a top 2-3 prospect from a team if traded right now.....though I HIGHLY doubt the Indians move him this year.
They are gonna be getting Westbrook back in 2 months and could easily still win this division (3 games back).
Posted by: Hermie13 | April 23, 2009 at 09:31 PM
Here's a question. If the Indians are way out of it by the All-Star break and they decide to trade Lee, should they then tear the whole thing down and maybe build around Sizemore? I mean their pitching is a far cry away from the staff that took them w/in a game of the WS in 2007.
Hafner seems recovered and if he posts all-star caliber numbers by the break then teams might be wiling to pick up his 3/37 mil might be moveable for some prospects, especially if the Indians cover 7 mil of the deal.
Martinez could be traded to a team looking for a good offensive C who has an affordable $7 mil option for 2010 and then can walk as a FA and probably draw a 1st rnd comp pick.
Kerry Wood can be a good pickup for a team looking for a closer at 10 mil for 2009 and 2010.
Peralta is a good offensive minded SS owed only 2/12 for 2010 and 2011.
Mark Derosa is a great pickup for a team making a playoff run later this year and can walk after the season.
Pavano, Shoppach, Francisco, Westbrook, Choo, Garko and Cabrera are all relatively inexpensive pieces that teams would love to acquire for a mulitude of reasons, either long term or for a penant run this year.
Sizemore would obviously be their biggest trade chip but he's such a fan favorite and is signed at a very team friendly deal thru 2012. People would riot in the streets of East 9th if he were traded like many other fan favorites like Thome, Manny and Omar.
If the Indians are a sub .500 team by June 15th then I see no reason to hold on to Hafner, Martinez or Lee. They could get some nice prospects for them to match up with Matt Laporta, Carlos Santana, Adam Miller and others.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | April 24, 2009 at 09:46 AM
If I'm a team looking to make a playoff run this year I am NOT trading for Peavy.
Talk about off to a bad start....Peavy is too!!
And Peavy is just following his WBC trend now....worst year was 2006 (recently)....was terrible in the WBC again this year and it's continuing.
I said it this winter. No team should trade for Peavy. Wait til next winter when he doesn't have a full no-trade clause and after he has another 'bad' year this year and his value is lower.
___________________
Wow..do you just read box scores to determine a good/bad start?
In Peavy's 4 starts this year he went:
7 inn, 7 hits, 3 runs, 2 bb and 8 kos
8 inn, 7 hits, 3 runs, 0 bb and 10 kos
5 inn, 6 hits, 3 runs, 4 bb and 5 kos
6 inn, 7 hits, 6 runs, 3 bb and 3 kos
It's not exactly like he was rocked. He's wild and really only pitched 1 bad game.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | April 24, 2009 at 10:00 AM
Are you serious?
What is wrong with you people...
For the LAST Time
Cliff Lee:
2004: 14-8, 5.43 ERA (1st Full Season as Starter)
2005: 18-5, 3.79 ERA (Cy Young Candidate)
2006: 14-11, 4.40 ERA
2007: 5-8, 6.29 ERA
2008: 22-3, 2.54 ERA
In five full seasons, Lee has a 73-35 record for a mediocre team, along with 1 Cy Young Trophy and another year of being in the running for the honor.
Yet, you people still come with this "One year wonder" garbage. If anything, his 2007 struggles were his "one year wonder"
I won't argue Lee as the best pitcher in baseball, or even in the top 10, but to talk about him being "average" is just plain ignorant.
Just because you aren't educated enough about baseball to know him before last year doesn't mean he's a "One year wonder." He's a productive pitcher that all 31 teams would love to have bought low on, kudos to the Tribe for not panicking with a trade in 2007.
-------------------
Cliff Lee enjoyed the benefit of a lot of run support throughout most of his career. On about 15 teams in baseball he would probably be their #3 starter. In no way does that mean he's garbage, but he's only had 1 dominant year. Unless he can show us now that last year wasn't a fluke then no team will form over an elite prospect like that of which was given for Sabathia.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | April 24, 2009 at 10:05 AM
"fork" over an elie prospect...
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | April 24, 2009 at 10:06 AM
"Talk about off to a bad start....Peavy is too!!"
A 3.74 FIP, 8.89 K/9, 2.89 K/BB, and 45% groundball rate is not a bad start. At all.
And you could say the same for Lee, who's posted a 3.96 FIP in his first four starts, despite a drastically decreased groundball rate.
People really struggle with concepts like external factors and sample size.
As for trading Lee, I think that the Indians really should strongly consider it if they can land a good haul. They have a ton of really good young positional talent coming up through the system, but their young pitching is pretty lacking. If Lee could land them a couple very good pitching prospects, then they should probably consider it. Going long term with Fausto Carmona and Anthony Reyes topping your rotation is simply poor management.
Posted by: scribbletone | April 24, 2009 at 11:19 AM
Any thoughts of Philadelphia trading for a big name pitcher? If they linger around the top on the NL East and still have the pitching problems they are taking on now, I'd say the Phillies might try to make a move for a Cliff Lee or someone of that 2-3 starter caliber.
Posted by: broadandolney | April 24, 2009 at 11:25 AM
The Phils definitely have the pieces to go out and land an ace, possibly someone to replace the overrated, wife-beating Brett Myers when he leaves after this season.
Between Carrasco, Brown, Donald, Taylor, Drabek, D'Arnaud, Marson, and company, the Phils definitely are capable of making a quality trade offer.
Posted by: scribbletone | April 24, 2009 at 01:00 PM
Peavy hasnt been rocked, but 2 starting, including the first against the dodgers hurt his numbers a little.
As with Lee, does it seem that he COULD be a dodger, if hes traded. He would fit well in Dodger Stadium and one of the most potent lineups in the NL or baseball...
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | April 24, 2009 at 03:53 PM
The only pitcher I would break the bank on is Halladay. Peavy maybe, but how he is pitching right now, no.
Posted by: okojo | April 24, 2009 at 05:05 PM
The Indians aren't going to trade Victor Martinez. He is pretty much the backbone and leader of the team. He is probably worth three to four players in a trade. The only reason they will trade him if they can't sign him, (I don't know his contract year) If the Indians have to choose between Martinez and Shoppach, it will be Martinez. I can see the Indians dumping Haffner , given Haffner's contract...
Posted by: okojo | April 24, 2009 at 05:10 PM
I would say Sizemore is more of a leader right now. I'm happy to see VMac healthy and hitting for power right now. He might be the best hitting catcher in the AL when healthy. He's more likely to hit for a higher avg than Posada and he definetly has more power than Mauer. I definetly feel that there's no rush to trade anybody of signifigance this year because of the division they play in, but if they did decide to ship out a catcher it would make sense to trade VMac over Shoppach because they'll save more money and get more in return for Vmac than they would for Shoppach. If Vmac is posting all-star caliber numbers by July he could definelty fetch a haul of based upon at least 1 blue chip prospect and probably 2 mid-level prospects with upside.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | April 24, 2009 at 05:54 PM
The beauty of all the trade chips the Indians have is that they all have at least 1 more year left on their deals so they're more appealing than just a 2 month rental and none of them are making crazy money.
Vmac: 1/7
Hafner: 3/37
Lee: 1/9
Peralta: 2/12 including option
Wood: 2/21 including the vesting option
Carmona: 2/11 (his options for 2012 and 2013 are pricey)
And they can hold on to their arb elg players like Cabrera, Garko, Shoppach, Ben Francisco and Choo.
Living in Cleveland and knowing how bad every other team other than the Cavs suck I would hate to see an entire dismantling happen again but if they decided to go that route they would have a ton of team friendly contracts that could fetch some real talent, especially if Hafner can post all-star caliber numbers. He could be a really attractive player for a team that wants a big bat this winter but can't get Bay or can't afford Holiday.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | April 24, 2009 at 06:04 PM
Cleveland will probably compete this year so there will be no need to trade Lee. If the Indians do fall out of contention and trade Lee they of course will not get the return of someone like Halladay or Peavy, since Lee is obviously not in the same class as those two. However Lee would be a good addition to any team, and would likely give Cleveland a useful prospect. Lee is probably an average or slighty above average #2 pitcher. (he's probably not a top 20 pitcher, but is certainly a top 50 pitcher).
Posted by: ZBham | April 24, 2009 at 07:19 PM
Here's my thought knowing a couple FO personal within the Indians FO and a close friend with the D-Backs . Here is what they say about Lee and Peavy and returnability of the 2 pitchers.
At least 1 pitcher the caliber of Hughes or Buchholz ready now type pitcher and at least 2 other top prospects within 2 years of the majors.
This is what they all say the value of these 2 pitcher are right now.
Posted by: baseballnuts | April 24, 2009 at 07:43 PM
There's no way in the world the Indians would cop a pitching prospect on the levele of a Hughes or Bucholz. Both of those guys project to be as good as Lee within the next 3 years. Lee is a good pitcher but he hasn't proved he can duplicate those results on the regular. Now, more likely, the Indians might be able to score a high upside pitcher currently in low A ball who might be 3 or 4 years away from DEBUTING in the majors, especially if a team is desperate for IMMEDIATE pitching (i.e the Angels).
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | April 24, 2009 at 09:21 PM
Hey, but Clevland got Santana for Casey Blake *tear, tear*
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | April 24, 2009 at 09:38 PM