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Braves Rumors: Soriano, Gonzalez, Hudson

David O'Brien of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution talked to Braves GM Frank Wren yesterday.  Hot stove highlights:

  • Wren considers the Braves' biggest needs to be the bullpen and the offense.
  • O'Brien is certain the Braves won't try to re-sign both Rafael Soriano and Mike Gonzalez.  O'Brien explains why it's in the Braves' best interest to stay tight-lipped about possible arbitration offers for any Type A or B free agents (Soriano and Gonzalez both project as Type As).
  • O'Brien guesses the Braves will try to work out a multiyear extension with Tim Hudson at less than $10MM per year.  Decisions on Hudson's $12MM mutual option within five days of the conclusion of the World Series.
  • Wren implied Martin Prado will enter Spring Training as the Braves' starting second baseman.  We talked earlier this month about Kelly Johnson as a trade candidate.
  • As you learned from Baseball America's Matt Eddy a week ago, righties Jorge Campillo, Buddy Carlyle, and Vladimir Nunez were granted free agency.  Wren says the Braves still need to make decisions on whether to attempt to re-sign any of them.


Comments

Pay Huddy whatever he wants, Give Roachie a 3 year deal, trade KJ & Lowe to the first bidder, bring back Gonzo...

...and last but not least - GET A F*CKING OF BAT!!!

Does this problem go away if you ignore it?

I understand keeping quite about arbitration but if you have a type A you offer right? Is there a limit to how many draft picks you can inherent from free agent departures?

Kelly Johnson and Derek Lowe to the Cubs for Milton Bradley and someone from the Cubs bullpen, maybe Caridad or Justin Berg?

Bulpen and offense as most pressing needs: obvious.

With our needs on offense we don't need to sign two 'closers' Take whichever one will take a one year deal (or one with a second year option). Multi year deals to non-superstar relievers are almost always a bad choice. Then fill the rest of the pen with reliable arms like Moylan, O'Flaherty, Medlen (if he is not traded), Kawakami (if he isn't needed in the rotation) and a veteran FA or two with talented young arms like Logan, Kimbril, Gearrin, and Lyman fighting for the last few spots and providing depth.

I really do think we will see a 3/27 deal worked out for Huddy soon after the WS.

For the offense, who knows? Big deal for Cruz, dump Lowe and chase Holliday/Bay, stick with LaRoche and a minor OF signing, under the radar trade.... should be very interesting

Lowe and KJ for Bradley and Caridad?

I would do that even if we just take the 5/5/15 in salary relief and pawn Bradley off for as much as we can (salary or specs) and keep Caridad. Not sure Hendry would do that though.

Abreu and Dye on the corners.
Cost= 15M.

I think Dan Uggla can be had for cheap, so let Roach let walk, trade for Uggla and move him to first. RH bat solved and we still keep the table-setter at the top of the lineup. Later, when Chipper retires, move Uggla to 3rd and the Freeman era begins at 1st. GO BRAVES!!!

"Abreu and Dye on the corners.
Cost= 15M."

An everyday outfield of Dye, McLouth and Abreu.

Cost= 25-30 runs a season on defense

"Lowe and KJ for Bradley and Caridad?"

I don't want to see Hendry make this kind of deal, but it wouldn't surprise me. The Cubs really don't need more long-term commitments, but Hendry doesn't seem to mind them.

But the Cubs really don't need starting pitching for 2010 with Zambrano, Dempster, Lilly, Wells and Gorzelanny/Marshall/Samardzija, and if they traded for Lowe then they would have four right-handed starters locked in through 2012, which doesn't really seem to be ideal to me.

Obviously Hendry tossed the ideal situation out the door by giving so much money to his veteran core and building an entire offseason around one Milton Bradley, but still, the Cubs probably shouldn't spend another offseason spending money to add veterans.

Dye and Abreu on the corners = team ERA rise by at least 1.00.

I like the idea of Uggla though I'm not convinced he'll come cheap. I like him in LF or maybe 1B though he may not have the reach for 1B.

AND I wouldn't even mind taking a gamble on Pat Burrell if they would take Kawakami for him: he's due for a bounceback and could benefit from being back in the NL. 20 hrs and .800 OPS is not unreasonable.

The reason I think he'll come cheap is the Marlin's cheap-@$$ owner isn't going to want to pay his arbitration order. His reach is a legit concern, but he could be both cheaper and more productive than LaRoche so I think it evens out (but I know FW prob doesn't).

"AND I wouldn't even mind taking a gamble on Pat Burrell if they would take Kawakami for him: he's due for a bounceback and could benefit from being back in the NL. 20 hrs and .800 OPS is not unreasonable."

If the Braves are willing to swap Kawakami for Burrell, then the Rays really should add something to deal. Kawakami is actually a pretty good pitcher at a reasonable cost, and Burrell struggled offensively in 2009 and offers nothing else.

Maybe something like Kawakami and a prospect for Burrell and Matt Joyce?

Then Joyce could play in right, McLouth in center, and Burrell in left with Diaz, until Heyward is ready.

Somebody really needs to give Matt Joyce an everyday job, and the Rays probably can't offer that with Upton, Crawford, Jennings, Perez and Gross around.

I prefer the plan where we sign Laroche to 3 years and make an under the radar trade for an outfield bat. If Freeman is ready before Laroche's contract ends then trade Laroche for what we can get. Its the safest and possibly most productive plan. Plus it should leave some money for one of those relievers.

OK what about Kawakami + prospect for Ben Zobrist?

I like the idea of swapping Lowe for Bradley. If they can give him half a season to rebuild his value and be a good boy, then they could probably send him to a contender who's desperate for a bat. It would allow them to leave Heyward in AAA a little longer, and they could get out from under Lowe's salary. Plus when Bradley isn't a headcase, he's actually a pretty good hitter.

It'd be a risk for sure, but it sounds better than keeping Lowe around for 3/45. That's only gonna look worse over time

I wanna see a legit closer come to Atlanta so I wouldn't mind dumping both Soriano and Gonzalez to make room for Billy Wagner or Jose Valverde off the free agent market. And we have a good trade piece in Lowe to try to persuade a team that needs starting pitching but has some righty outfield power...i don't see Bay or Holliday happening unfortunately. KJ, Kawakami, and Ryan Church are also decent trade pieces

"OK what about Kawakami + prospect for Ben Zobrist?"

Zobrist led all AL position players in WAR, and emerged as a superstar this year.

Sorry, but Zobrist is pretty much untouchable.

"It'd be a risk for sure, but it sounds better than keeping Lowe around for 3/45. That's only gonna look worse over time"

I'm not sure.

His xFIP's were nasty from 2005-2008: 3.53, 3.80, 3.50 and 3.43

It jumped to 4.18 in 2009, but that's still above-average, and he's still worth close to $15M per when you factor in his durability and some likely improvement next year.

Lowe on a 3/45 deal certainly isn't ideal, but that's better than 2/24 on Perez.

Not sure if you can but can you trade a pending FA? If so why not trade Soriano/Gonzalez to a team looking for a close for a right handed hitting OF. That way the other team can either sign the close or offer arb and get the picks.

before we go out and sign a big name closer, does anyone know just how far away Craig Kimbrel is from being ready to close? and if we sign 2 outfielders, what are we going to do if Jordan Schafer decides to find his stroke and starts killing AAA again? He is not done, he will become a very good MLB player, and i just hope its for the braves and not someone else

"I wanna see a legit closer come to Atlanta so I wouldn't mind dumping both Soriano and Gonzalez to make room for Billy Wagner or Jose Valverde off the free agent market."

Both Gonzalez and Soriano are legitimate closers. Just because they aren't big names doesn't mean that they're not highly effective. And Wagner/Valverde will likely cost a first round pick to sign. Are you willing to give that up for a reliever?

"And we have a good trade piece in Lowe to try to persuade a team that needs starting pitching but has some righty outfield power..."

He's really not that great of a trade chip. I'm of the mind that he's in line for a comeback next year, but he's become a pitcher who has essentially become a hindrance to the Braves no matter how well he pitches because of his salary.

"KJ, Kawakami, and Ryan Church are also decent trade pieces"

Not really. Church will be non-tendered. KJ has some value, but the Braves won't pay him upwards of his current salary to be a bench player and the rest of the league knows that. Why would another team trade for him when there's the chance we won't be able to afford him and therefore not tender him a contract?

I think Wren is taking this team in the right direction. Hudson for under $10MM is a steal. Lowe should be moved as a straight salary dump, even if the Braves have to eat some of the contract. If the Braves cannot acquire a decent enough power bat via trade, I could see Wren taking a flier on Dye and having him as the Braves LF. Heyward should start the season in RF, but if he doesn't then I'm positive some combination of Diaz and Schafer can hold down the fort until baseball's top prospect comes along. They should then bring back Gonzo as he'll be the cheaper of their two free agent closers and then trade for a young, controllable back-end arm. A buy-low on a guy like Capps seems to be logical in this situation. Then re-sign LaRoche and the Braves have a rather formidable team.

"before we go out and sign a big name closer, does anyone know just how far away Craig Kimbrel is from being ready to close?"

Kimbrel still has a ways to go. He's got electric stuff and ridiculous K numbers, but he walks too many guys at this point to be an effective MLB reliever.

"and if we sign 2 outfielders, what are we going to do if Jordan Schafer decides to find his stroke and starts killing AAA again? He is not done, he will become a very good MLB player, and i just hope its for the braves and not someone else"

The Braves won't acquire two outfielders, I'll almost guarantee it. They've got McLouth and Diaz in the majors now, with Heyward right around the corner and Schafer on the mend. Look for them to bring in one outfield bat, most likely a left fielder.

before we go out and sign a big name closer, does anyone know just how far away Craig Kimbrel is from being ready to close? and if we sign 2 outfielders, what are we going to do if Jordan Schafer decides to find his stroke and starts killing AAA again? He is not done, he will become a very good MLB player, and i just hope its for the braves and not someone else

Posted by: atlbraves08 | October 22, 2009 at 10:24 AM
---------------------------------------------------------------------

Kimbrel struggles with with his K/BB rate. He is playing in the AFL now and doing fairly well. But, he is probably at least a year away from Atlanta. Lee Hyde, an unheralded prospect for Atlanta, is actually doing much better in the AFL. If he keeps it up he very likely could be in the bullpen next year.

Maybe I'm the only one here, but I think not taking a serious look at Mike Cameron would be irresponsible, he hits for power and by putting him in CF you upgrade 2 positions defensively, and my guess is he could be had for 1 yr 8M or maybe 2/14, either way he's the most concrete performer your gonna find on the free agent market not named Holliday or Bay. I say get Cameron and swap Kelly for Delmon Young. If Young hits great then we can swap him for whatever need has emerged when Heyward is ready or if he doesn't all we gave up was a DFA candidate. Then trade Lowe for whatever salary relief you can get and offer arb to Gonzalez to bring down his price. If Gonzo accepts you have a good pitcher on a 1 yr 6M contract if he declines I can't see anyone paying more than 2/10 and a top draft pick. So we could have him fairly cheap either way. I'd really like to see a push made for Heath Bell, maybe with a trade built around Schafer, I don't know what it would take but Nick Masset would be an interesting target as well.

I think Moylan should be given a shot to close, or at least setup. He was one of the most reliable relievers in all of baseball this season, and, if I'm not mistaken, he was the first pitcher in ML history to go a full season without giving up a single homerun. Then, maybe pry one of those young guys from the A's to counter? It won't be as effective as Soriano and Gonzo, but if Moylan continues what he did all of 2009(minus the rough start) it could be good enough.

As for the power-hitter, I trust Wren to make the right decision, which means NOT signing Dye.

"before we go out and sign a big name closer, does anyone know just how far away Craig Kimbrel is from being ready to close"

Not very. He's got great stuff, but he has huge command issues, and he needs to work on that a lot before he'll even be ready to get a job in the majors, let alone close.

Oops. I didn't mean in the history of the entire major leagues on that stat on Moylan, I meant to say that he was the first in franchise history. Big mistake.

WS,

I think Moylan would be better suited for the set-up role with the Braves because of Bobby Cox. There were times with Soriano and Gonzalez when he'd put whoever the closer was on the mound in the ninth inning when they could have been better used in the eight (and the opposite is true as well). With Moylan as a set-up man he wouldn't have such a defined role and could come in to get out of jams, which he seems to be excellent at doing.

As for Dye, he wouldn't be my first, second, or even third choice for a LF. However if the trade market doesn't produce a bat at the price Wren is willing to spend, I believe he'd sign Dye because of his promise to get a right-handed power bat. In that scenario I'd prefer a McLouth-Schafer-Heyward outfield though.

Moylan obviously posted a 0.0% HR/FB ratio this year, and that's obviously due for some regression.

He's a good reliever, but the K/BB numbers aren't terribly impressive, and he probably slots in better in a different role given that he's not exactly overpowering.

"As for Dye, he wouldn't be my first, second, or even third choice for a LF."

Totally agree. He sucked offensively the last couple months of 2009, and he's been a liability defensively for a while.

They can do better than Dye, who probably needs to take a DH job.

Honestly, as long as he gets outs I'm not concerned with how many he strikes out or how overpowering he is. IMO, one of the main assets of a late-inning reliever should be the ability to keep the ball inside the ballpark. Moylan is one if the best at that, he was THE best last year. A late inning homerun, and the game could be lost. I know he's not the best option, but he should be given a shot. I don't think we need to focus on the bullpen situation too much, maybe add one closer and a middle relief type guy.

I know some people are camoring for Moylan to close but I'm not sure thats a very good idea.

1. It takes him out of a role in which he is extremely valuable. His ability to induce ground balls and not give up many HRs means he is perfectly suited to come into the 7/8th inning when one of our starters starts to falter and puts a few guys on base. If you use him in the 9th all of a sudden you lose that DP/jam breaker setup guy who was so valuable.

2. He isn't nearly as effective against LHB as RHB who he just absolutely murdered.

Let me lay it out here with OPS as (vsLHB/vsRHB)

Closer Gonzalez L (.581/.699)
SUvsR Moylan R (.851/.534)
SUvsL O'Flaherty L (.559/.676)
MR Medlen R (.568/.894)
MR FA/trade/callup R (?/?)
LOOGY Logan L (.626/.932)
UTL/LR ? Redmond R ?

Bbxxj,

I don't think Moylan should close, but rather SU. I know I said something about him closing in my first post, but I would much rather see him come on in the 8th, and bring back Gonzo or Soriano to take care of the ninth. I think one more middle relief guy to take Moylan's spot if he were to move in the setup role is all we need. Someone unspectacular, not a Valverde or Wagner.

Oh lord! No way do we trade for Matt Joyce!
BA HR RBI OBP SLG
.188 3 7 .270 .500
No sir!

I dont want to spend huge money for a bat.... If we can trade Lowe or KK im all for it but i am very very against trading vasquez. Why cant we get a guy like Jake Fox who can play just as bad defense as GA did in left last year but can mash and give us the right handed bat we need???? Vasquez JJ Hanson Hudson and either Lowe or KK sounds pretty damn good to me. a full season with McClouth leading of will help and if we could add a RH bat like fox i think all the other moves needed would be minor. The only other thing i think we really need is 2 or 3 lefties available at any time in the bullpen and thats mostly for the phillies

bravo84,

Although not my first choice (a RH cleanup hitter), Matt Cameron would an excellent option, and a perfect bridge to the Schafer/McLouth/Heyward era. As a last resort, I think Xavier Nady could rebound as long as he doesn't demand too much.

"Oh lord! No way do we trade for Matt Joyce!"

Yes, way to put down his stats in like 40 PA with Tampa, ignoring his great numbers in AAA and his above -average performance in over 250
PA with Detroit in 2008.

Joyce could be a great, cheap acquisition for some team, but Tampa probably values him pretty nicely, as they dealt Edwin Jackson for him last year.

I'll be mad if he doesn't have an everyday job next year though, because he's earned one.

Scribbletone,
I agree the "Oh lord! No way do we trade for Matt Joyce!" comment was a little extreme, but an .855 OPS in AAA is hardly a guarantee of major success, but mostly the fact that he as well as all of our other top level prospects is a left hander makes me think he won't be on Atlanta's wish list. He definitely deserves a shot somewhere, but I don't see it being Atlanta or Tampa that gives it to him. I'd much rather see the bravos go after Fox if they're going after a high upside unproven guy, his 1.336 AAA OPS and .779 OPS in Chicago last year look like a pretty solid foundation, and we could play him at first or in left and then look for the best deal for a first baseman or left fielder and not be boxed in. I know his defense sucks, but as said above it won't be worse than Anderson.

travis0548,
I like the Nady idea, but I don't think we should even consider putting all our eggs in that basket, if we got him we'd have to bring back LaRoche or maybe Frank the Tank could swing a deal for Fox and play him at first with Nady in left next year and let Nady walk in 2011 to make room for Freeman.

Matt Joyce? Jake Fox? Milton Bradley? If that ends being the best Wren can come up with, then he might as well squash it and stick with Schafer/Mclouth/Diaz. The Braves do not need stop gap players, they need a legit power hitter to put in between Chipper and McCann to get this team over the hump.

Really, I'm just getting tired of this half-*ssed “well if everything falls into place…IF this one produces…..IF that one produces….” philosophy Wren has when it comes to the offense. The Braves needs to go into next season with proven upgrades in some areas, not the usual "pray to God this player works out" improvements.

I'm not saying Wren needs to go hard after Holliday or Bay, but he can't go into another season signing Garret Anderson/Mark Kotsay type players and claiming that the offense is going to be "fine."

Oooooohhh, look kids, another AAA hitter. And he had 1 good year with Detriot you say? LETS GET HIM!!!! We need to find a player with experience and a strong track record, not a AAA hitter with so-so #'s in the bigs.

Homeofdabrave, with all do respect, you are wrong. That kind of brash thinking gave us the 3/45M contract we still owe an aging Derek Lowe. And if you don't want to go after Bay or Holliday and don't consider Fox an upgrade, then what the heck do you want, do you want to give up half the farm for someone in a Teixiera type trade, thats moronic, I'm sure you'll see that trade posted on this site in the next couple days in the "trades of the decade" list. The fact is our offense was more than adequate after adding McLouth and LaRoche and putting Prado in full time. Doing something extreme will only screw up the future. Cameron, Fox, LaRoche, DeRosa maybe even Dye are the options the braves SHOULD be looking at. We need a stopgap at first and in Left, and if Schafer gets traded maybe a long term solution in Left (meaning McLouth moving there not Schafer). The Garret Anderson signing was with out a doubt stupid, and the Kotsay move was idiotic, and they were both made because ownership wasn't willing to fork out a few million to sign better free agent options, but make no mistake I'd rather see them make a hundred of those mistakes than one more Teixiera trade or hamstring us with a Wells esque aberration on our payroll. Also comparing Fox and Joyce to Kotsay and Anderson isn't very inteligent either, niether appear to be future superstars, but either could be solid contributors and they are both young (well youngish in Fox's case) and cost controlled.

Braves should resign Hudson, Laroche and Soriano.

They should trade KJ, Lowe and Kawakami to the Cubs for Milton Bradley and Ted Lilly. This replaces Lowe in the rotation plus gives us a big batter at a corner outfield position.

Then they would need to sign a setup man.


If this all happens I would project their linup to look like this next year


1- Nate McLouth CF
2- Matt Diaz RF or LF
3- Chipper Jones 3B
4- Brian McCann C
5- Milton Bradley LF or RF
6- Adam Laroche 1B
7- Yunel Escobar SS
8- Martin Prado 2B
9- Pitcher

The pitching rotation:
1- Javier Vasquez
2- Jair Jurrjens
3- Ted Lilly
4- Tommy Hanson
5- Tim Hudson

The bullpen:
CL- Soriano
SU- Moylan
SU- insert free agent here
MR- Eric O'Flarity
LR- Kris Medlen

"I agree the "Oh lord! No way do we trade for Matt Joyce!" comment was a little extreme, but an .855 OPS in AAA is hardly a guarantee of major success, but mostly the fact that he as well as all of our other top level prospects is a left hander makes me think he won't be on Atlanta's wish list. He definitely deserves a shot somewhere, but I don't see it being Atlanta or Tampa that gives it to him"

Joyce didn't come out of nowhere to post that .855 OPS though.

Not only did he show a developed approach at the plate in AAA, posted great BB/K numbers, but he also posted a .252/.339/.492 line in 277 plate appearances with Detroit in 2008, so this is a guy who's continued to thrive in AAA after playing quite well in the majors in 2008.

You can think what you want, but when I look at Matt Joyce, I see a very talented young outfielder that just needs a shot to emerge.

Every single team with a hole in their outfield should be taking a look at Joyce.

I'm not sure why you think I'm downing Joyce, I think he's a great ballplayer, but I don't think he'll come cheap and I don't think Atlanta needs another lefty, thats all I'm saying. If I were a team like Pittsburgh I'd be trying to flip Capps for him as fast as I could. If you look above I was scolding homeofdabrave for comparing him to Anderson and Kotsay. That said I think Atlanta wants someone more certain for next year, and I think Joyce will need a full year in majors before breaking out and becoming that type player. But you are spot on, Joyce will make someone a very good everyday outfielder.

I like the idea of acquiring B.J. Upton from the Rays. He has declined considerably the past two years since OPSing nearly .900 in 2007 -- when he was only 22. He is due a raise through arbitration and the Rays are considering offers. The Braves could use an upgrade in outfield defense anyway, Upton plays a better CF than McLouth, who I feel is better suited to left field. I know they want a big righty bat to put behind chip for protection, but if we keep LaRoche and he performs well all year we might not need anything else. Also, I would move chipper to cleanup.

And to the guy who suggested a 2010 outfield of G. Anderson, McLouth and Bobby Abreu -- that would be the worst defensive outfield in the history of the Braves. And also they're all left handed. The Braves need righties.

how bout we trade lowe and church for a right field bat (cruz) and have a mclouth lf schafer cf cruz rf

I hate to break it to you bravesac, but the only way the Rangers consider that trade is if we eat Lowe's entire contract. They are seriously strapped for cash, they have talented pitching prospects, and therefore aren't about to spend big on pitching. I'd love to have Cruz, but I can't imagine him being worth 15M a year plus his arb numbers. At best Texas would eat maybe 5M a year, and that would involve Wren actually admiting he botched the Lowe signing only 25% of the way into the contract.

the only lefty we should even give any THOUGHT to trading for would be carl crawford because he would give us a real leadoff guy at the top not a number 6 hitter like mcclouth. Just because you have speed doesnt mean you should lead off. That being said crawford only has this year left and he is gonna cost big money to sign long term so itll all depend on what the chances of him signing and what the money would be. We are finally getting our farm system back to where it should be, we dont need to raid it again

Personally, I don't think there is any way that we can speculate on who that power hitting outfielder will be. I believe that Wren will address this need with someone who is not too old, who can play some defense, and won't cost much--which discounts just about every free agent.

I think we will all be pleasantly surprised at who it turns out to be. Wren has already shown--other than with Lowe (but he was kinda backed into that one unfortunately)--that he can make sound decisions. Our staff may have turned out a bit better than we all expected. We had a huge need for decent starters who could be relied on not to break down. Pretty remarkable taking an almost ZERO staff in 2008 into one that was one of the best this past season. You don't often see teams pick up 3 effective starters in an off season then get another one via injured list. Let's just see if he can turn around the offense.

If you ask me, I think we not only need a power hitter in LF but we also need someone who can bat lead off. Having two guys at SS and 2B which are prime positions for speed who can't run worth a darn is not good. I'd like to see an upgrade here.

Since we are likely to lose one of Soriano or Gonzo, I'd like to see the team pick up a decent middle reliever. Every one of our relief pitchers is limited to same side batters. Odd that Moylan took a step back since he was effective with both RH and LH in '07. Maybe he'll come back and will serve as an effective part time closer with Gonzo or Soriano. It's possible that his arm is still not 100% up to this point. Gonzo's wasn't until 2 years out.

Necrobump here, but I'm curious. Why do you guys want to sign Milton Bradley..? He's a locker room disaster. Did you see what he did to Chicago? Granted the Cubs were already out of sorts in terms of leadership, but he's like a football version of T.O. As a Braves fan, I'd *hate* to see Wren go after Milton Bradley.

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