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By Luke Adams [October 31, 2009 at 7:23pm CST]
Phil Rogers of the Chicago Tribune looks at a few hot stove topics from around the league in his latest article. Here are some of his thoughts:
- He speculates that the Seattle Mariners' interest in Aroldis Chapman stems from their desire to still have a front-line starter if they eventually decide to move Felix Hernandez.
- Rogers is skeptical that the two Chicago teams have the resources to compete seriously in the Chapman sweepstakes. Be sure to check out MLBTR's complete Chapman review.
- With Tim Hudson on the verge of re-signing with the Braves, Ken Rosenthal indicated that Javier Vazquez or Derek Lowe could be shopped for a bat. Rogers suggests it'll be Vazquez that's put on the trading block.
- Bobby Valentine could be out of the mix for a major-league managerial spot this season, as the Washington Nationals look likely to give Jim Riggleman their full-time gig.
- Rogers thinks it's "wishful thinking" to expect new Padres GM Jed Hoyer to deal Adrian Gonzalez to Hoyer's former employer, the Boston Red Sox.
if hoyer extends adrian gonzalez do you think he would trade kyle blanks to the red sox?
Posted by: seanthadon | October 31, 2009 at 07:30 PM
"Rogers thinks it's "wishful thinking" to expect new Padres GM Jed Hoyer to deal Adrian Gonzalez to Hoyer's former employer, the Boston Red Sox."
Oh no, now you'll have a Red Sox invasion of 'what? you're crazy- Padres would talk Bowden, Lowrie and Delcarmen in a heartbeat for Gonzalez!' messages
Posted by: Deanezag | October 31, 2009 at 07:32 PM
I just really don't see Vazquez getting moved. He won't bring in that 'big bat' we need due to the lack of matches and moving him for a bunch of prospects does nothing for the win now goal of getting a big bat because we would be losing our ACE.
Posted by: bbxxj | October 31, 2009 at 07:33 PM
"Oh no, now you'll have a Red Sox invasion of 'what? you're crazy- Padres would talk Bowden, Lowrie and Delcarmen in a heartbeat for Gonzalez!"
That's bull. We won't have to give up Delcarmen and we can replace Lowrie with Green.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | October 31, 2009 at 07:38 PM
Honestly, I want to know how a Chicago writer knows whats going on with the Braves. That'd be like Dave O'Brien saying that the Cubs were looking to move Derek Lee.
Posted by: BF91 | October 31, 2009 at 07:41 PM
bowden, kalish, navarro, doubront, jimenez, lavarnway for adrian gonzalez??
Posted by: seanthadon | October 31, 2009 at 07:43 PM
Or I can read the article and not look like an idiot in the comment section. Oh well.
Posted by: BF91 | October 31, 2009 at 07:45 PM
I find it exciting to thing if Seattle signed Chapman, Felix could be available.
Anyone see ATL taking a Bradley for one of the before mentioned SP?
I wouldn't be shocked at all if Agon was extended, or not traded to the Red Sox(I'm a Sox fan). Hoyer will take the best package, even if it's not from the Red Sox. If it is with the Red Sox, some of you might be surprised at some of the names in the package. Hoyer knows the system as good as anyone. And he might pluck a few young names that some who aren't familiar with the system might not know. I could see a Kelly+Westmoreland(Kalish/Reddick+ Bowden(Tazawa)+ Anderson. Maybe one of the Catchers as a replacemnet or and add on.
The Padres system is thin and the team isn't going to contend for awhile. they can afford to go for some young high end talent that may be 2+ years away. Whatever SD does, if they trade AG, they need a package the helps fill out there system. And not just one high end guy and a bunch of fillers. They should be thinking quantity( like the Harden deal.
Posted by: BoSox | October 31, 2009 at 07:46 PM
It's not wishful thinking to think the Padres would trade Gonzalez to the Red Sox. They seem likely to trade him and the Red Sox are desperate for a big bat, especially if Bay leaves.
Posted by: icedrake523 | October 31, 2009 at 07:46 PM
When Hudson re-signed with the Braves? Is it official? What were the numbers if it's done?
And Vazquez won't be traded, Wren said so already, with him and Vazquez both saying they are interested in an extension.
Posted by: Bravesfan4life88 | October 31, 2009 at 07:47 PM
Yeah it's more likely Vazquez gets an extention than he gets traded.
Posted by: bbxxj | October 31, 2009 at 07:50 PM
Why wouldn't the m's just take that money that they would have to give chapman and in turn use said money to keep Felix? Why not spend the money the sure thing? Signing Chapman seems like a lousy allocation of resources for the Mariners if you ask me.
Posted by: rrbass27 | October 31, 2009 at 07:50 PM
I figured Bobby V was just getting his name out there this offseason. He could use a year to catch up on MLB and next offseason it looks like there's a good chance the Dodgers, Cubbies, Braves and Mets could all have openings. I think Bobby wants a larger market with more fanfare anyways and big name managers in smaller markets don't always mesh (remember Piniella in Tampa)?
Posted by: Alex Trebek | October 31, 2009 at 07:53 PM
as a red sox fan i have to admit, i'm pretty tired by all theses random trade proposals... let the FO negotiate everything, yeah?
Posted by: nick21 | October 31, 2009 at 08:06 PM
Jake Fox
Jay Jackson
Tony Thomas
for
Derek Lowe
Rotation
Lilly
Lowe
Zambrano
Wells
Dempster
Posted by: BLEEDINGCUBBIEBLUE | October 31, 2009 at 08:09 PM
Kyle Blanks will not be going anywhere! Will not happen, period! He is exactly what the Padres want, a right handed power hitter with great athletic ability under control, cheap. He may just have more power potential then Adrian. He will not be traded!
Posted by: Mickeykoke | October 31, 2009 at 08:12 PM
Best thing SD could do is extend Gonzalez, then let ownership increase rule 4 draft and IFA FA signing budget so Hoyer can work his magic in that dead minor league system and fix that organization, otherwise they will stay a doormat.
Posted by: johns | October 31, 2009 at 08:14 PM
Jake Fox
Jay Jackson
Tony Thomas
for
Derek Lowe
Rotation
Lilly
Lowe
Zambrano
Wells
Dempster
Posted by: BLEEDINGCUBBIEBLUE | October 31, 2009 at 08:09 PM
i dont think i can say yes quickly enough to that proposal as a braves fan
Posted by: atlbraves08 | October 31, 2009 at 08:15 PM
It is highly unlikely that the Braves will get anything but Salary relief for Lowe in a trade. Considering that the Braves are looking for a bat that can play the outfield a more likely trade is Lowe and Cash to the Cubs for Bradley.
Posted by: Dixoner | October 31, 2009 at 08:18 PM
omg, what is it with people not shutting up about stupid trade rumors with the Braves?!?!?! God almighty first it was Escobar and now Vasquez. VASQUEZ ISN'T GOING ANYWHERE!!!! Some combination of Derek Lowe, Kenshin Kawakami, Kelly Johnson, Ryan Church and maybe some minor league guys are going to be traded for a right handed power bat. Anyone who pays any attention to the Braves knows this!!! AND STOP LISTENING TO KEN ROSENTHAL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by: NYBravosFan | October 31, 2009 at 08:23 PM
Vazquez really isn't going anywhere. This is much like when the rumors came up about Escobar, its only a matter of time before you guys finally figure out it isn't happening.
Vazquez has found a place he is comfortable in Atlanta. After struggling in New York and Chicago and being criticized for it, he settled down and put in the best year of his career. Why would he want to move somewhere else where he could easily go back to struggling?
I expect Vazquez to sign a 3 years extension, probably 3 years of 14 mil per added on to the 11.5 mil he makes next year. Making it a 4 years/53.5 mil deal, which would be a discount to what he could make on the market while also giving him a good raise and security.
It also doesn't hurt that Vazquez is a Braves fan, growing up watching them on TBS and always wanting to be managed by Cox.
Posted by: Bravesfan4life88 | October 31, 2009 at 08:37 PM
"Jake Fox
Jay Jackson
Tony Thomas
for
Derek Lowe"
Yes, please.
Posted by: Bravesfan4life88 | October 31, 2009 at 08:38 PM
Bravesfan4life88,
Poor wording on my part, re: Hudson. His re-signing isn't 100% official yet, but looks inevitable.
Posted by: Luke Adams | October 31, 2009 at 08:38 PM
Oh ok, gotcha Luke. Just making sure I did't miss something.
Posted by: Bravesfan4life88 | October 31, 2009 at 08:47 PM
"Jake Fox
Jay Jackson
Tony Thomas
for
Derek Lowe"
If this were offer to the Braves they would've made that deal yesterday and took whatever penalty MLB would've given them lol! That deal would give the Braves a LF/1B in Fox, a future power reliever in Jackson and a decent prospect in Thomas NO WAY they would pull the trigger on that deal NO WAY!!!
Posted by: Jay212033 | October 31, 2009 at 08:48 PM
Lowe will go to the Yankees, Red Sox, Angels or Cubs. Only one of them can sign Lackey, leaving the rest longing for a quality SP.
Posted by: Thundersticks | October 31, 2009 at 09:13 PM
Please do not get rid of Vazquez. He was an ace last year. One of the top 10 pitchers in baseball last year. He just suffered from a lack of run support.
Plus, he is locked up for a reasonable price for a few years. I know this is what makes him appealing to other teams... but it should be appealing for the team he's already on. Trade Lowe/Kawakami along with Kelly Johnson for a big bat. There will be someone out there that buys into their upside.
Posted by: Jeff | October 31, 2009 at 09:19 PM
"Lowe will go to the Yankees, Red Sox, Angels or Cubs. Only one of them can sign Lackey, leaving the rest longing for a quality SP.
Posted by: Thundersticks | October 31, 2009 at 09:13 PM "
When was the last time Lowe was a quality pitcher in the AL?
Posted by: Deanezag | October 31, 2009 at 09:29 PM
When he played for the Red Sox. Its kinda hard to be a quality pitcher in one league when you play for a team in the other league.
After Lackey, name a better FA SP on the market this winter.
Posted by: Thundersticks | October 31, 2009 at 09:32 PM
I would like to place a bet that the Yankees will own either Chapman's or Hernandez's contract in one year of two-three years, respectively.
Posted by: I coulda been a contender | October 31, 2009 at 09:35 PM
Vazquez, Cody Johnson and Craig Kimbrel for Fielder??
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | October 31, 2009 at 09:48 PM
"When he played for the Red Sox. Its kinda hard to be a quality pitcher in one league when you play for a team in the other league.
After Lackey, name a better FA SP on the market this winter.
Posted by: Thundersticks | October 31, 2009 at 09:32 PM"
Right, in 2002. He wasnt good until he went to the NL, then got paid 60m from an NL team. Yankees dont need him, neither do the Red Sox. Angels might need a SP, but not Lowe.
Posted by: Deanezag | October 31, 2009 at 09:53 PM
Redd Sox have been there, done that with Lowe. The Yankees would spend the 15 mil a year toward Chapman. The Cubs may do something like Lowe and $15 mil for Bradley...
Posted by: Lilkenny | October 31, 2009 at 09:54 PM
"Lowe will go to the Yankees, Red Sox, Angels or Cubs. Only one of them can sign Lackey, leaving the rest longing for a quality SP."
I think these are the teams as well that have the funds to deal for Lowe. Here are some guys that I'd want from each team for Lowe.
Cubs:
Jake Fox
Jay Jackson
Tony Thomas
Angels:
Jose Arredondo
Freddy Sandoval
Red Sox:
Yamaico Navarro
Ryan Westmoreland
Yankees:
Zach McAllister
Kevin De Leon
Posted by: Jay212033 | October 31, 2009 at 09:56 PM
661dodgerblue
If you change Vazquez with Lowe/Kawakami and I'd even add Medlen and that would be a better deal.
So Lowe/Kawakami, Medlen, Johnson and Kimbrel
Posted by: Jay212033 | October 31, 2009 at 09:59 PM
No, Vazquez is, what 33 or 34? That would be your main trade cornerstone, and I don't think the Brewers would trade because they think they have a shot at Lackey.
Posted by: I coulda been a contender | October 31, 2009 at 09:59 PM
How about:
Josh Reddick
Lars Anderson
Junichi Tazawa
Michael Bowden
Thats 2 of the Red Sox top positional players and 2 major league ready pitchers. Thats should be a very good starting point i am sure the padres would ask though for a couple more prospects do they have a need for a catcher because if they do we can addLuis Exposito or Tim Federowicz
Posted by: NYYLastPlace4ever | October 31, 2009 at 10:00 PM
661dodgerblue
If you change Vazquez with Lowe/Kawakami and I'd even add Medlen and that would be a better deal.
So Lowe/Kawakami, Medlen, Johnson and Kimbrel
Posted by: Jay212033 | October 31, 2009 at 09:59 PM"
Yeah that makes all the sense in the world for the Braves.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | October 31, 2009 at 10:06 PM
661dodgerblue
I'm not sure if your trying to be sarcastic or not but that would be an awesome deal for the Brewers especially if Lowe bounces back like most expect, they would get another good starter in Medlen, a possible replacement for Fielder or OF guy in Cody and a future closer in Kimbrel.
Posted by: Jay212033 | October 31, 2009 at 10:13 PM
Are people serious? That doesn't even come CLOSE to getting Fielder.
Posted by: worldchamps08 | October 31, 2009 at 10:18 PM
Sorry I think the Brewers pass on that.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | October 31, 2009 at 10:31 PM
"Right, in 2002. He wasnt good until he went to the NL, then got paid 60m from an NL team. Yankees dont need him, neither do the Red Sox. Angels might need a SP, but not Lowe.
Posted by: Deanezag | October 31, 2009 at 09:53 PM"
How many times have we seen a NL pitcher go to the AL and struggle? Nearly all of them. But AL teams still pursue them. I'm not saying Lowe would pitch well in the AL, but after Lackey there just aren't many options.
If the Yankees lose the WS, it will be because then need one more SP. I believe they will sign Lackey. The Red Sox probably don't want him back, but they have lots of question marks in their rotation. The Angels and Cubs seem like the best fits. Both have the need and the money/bad contracts to trade.
Posted by: Thundersticks | October 31, 2009 at 10:38 PM
That's Ok because if I were the Braves I wouldn't want to give up my pitching anyway for a guy who'd bolt anyway in 2 yrs. The Braves have already traded the farm for a rental not again.
Posted by: Jay212033 | October 31, 2009 at 10:55 PM
"How many times have we seen a NL pitcher go to the AL and struggle? Nearly all of them. But AL teams still pursue them."
If an AL GM wanted to get Lowe for 15m a year they would have signed him last year. He's a year older and not pitching in the NL West anymore, he's not ending up in the AL.
Posted by: Deanezag | October 31, 2009 at 11:08 PM
Well someone AL team about to chunk a lot of cash at an injury prone pitcher in Lackey.
Posted by: Jay212033 | October 31, 2009 at 11:16 PM
can people please think of trades that would happen in real life and not those that would only happen in MLB The Show?
Posted by: NYBravosFan | November 01, 2009 at 12:56 AM
Josh Reddick
Lars Anderson
Junichi Tazawa
Michael Bowden
The Padres are not trading their superstar first baseman for a bunch of second tier prospects. What makes Red Sox fans think the can get such a great player without giving up any of Buchholz, Bard, Westmoreland, Kelly, or Ellsbury? You can throw in two more scrubs and it still isn't worth it. If the Sox aren't willing to give at least 1 of those players a deal is not going to happen.
The Padres do NOT need to trade him. Gonzo hits for a good average, great OBP, 30-40 homers, 100 RBI, gold glove defense, is only 27, and has 2 years and only 11.25 million owed.
Get real people he's not going cheap. I realize no one wants to give up their best prospects but, be realistic.
They gave up Hanley Ramirez+ who was the Sox #1 prospect for three straight years and as high as #10 in all of baseball for Beckett. Beckett only had one year before they had to resign him and they also took on Lowell and Mota's salaries after they both had horrendous years.
Posted by: bkoke | November 01, 2009 at 12:58 AM
If the Brewers wouldn't take Vazquez, Kimbrel and Johnson for fielder than I don't see why the Braves would even need to bother. In my opinion that would be bad deal for the Braves considering that Fielder would he gone in 2 years and the strong looking future for Kimbrel. Not to mention Johnson could develop into a big power threat.
Posted by: GoldenGlove002 | November 01, 2009 at 01:08 AM
My feeling is Vasquez had his best yr in 2009 and will never duplicate it.So I can understand that at this time his trade value is high but having said that it would be prudent to hold onto both he and Lowe and see how the FA market shakes down .Currently the Braves on paper have the best top to bottom rotation in the NL and things could get even more interesting if Medlen pitches to his potential.
Lowe
Vasquez
Hudson
Jurrjens
Hanson
Kawakami
Medlen
Braves should only deal 1 or 2 SP if it nets them a 1st rate power bat if they fail to sign Bay or Holliday.
I'd sit on any deal involving Braves SP until mid-Feb.
If the Red Sox want A-Gon so badly they will have to part ,as someone suggested above, with Ellsbury and Bucholz + 3 top prospects.
Lowe for McAllister and DeLeon ain't gonna happen.
McAllister could be starting games for NY mid 2010 and has a real chance at being a good # 3 starter why take on Lowe's contract?
Posted by: ToBe | November 01, 2009 at 03:07 AM
Well, this Sox fan doesnt even want to listen to anything for Gonzalez..The Pads will want waaaay more than he is realistically worth..Ells is a top CF and only getting better..70 steals only 2 errors in 2.5 years(IDC what FG says)and Buch showed us what hes capable of in the 2nd half..and I can only imagine what prospects they would want..Nope..sorry..not interested..Ill take Youk for now..There will be a lot of questions answered this year with a bunch of the kids on the farm for the Sox..Exposito is proving a solid catcher..Kelly dominated last year as a SP, lets see how AA treats him..Anderson had a down year moving to AA but was coming on towards the end, just to name a couple..I think FA is the way to go this offseason for the sox..If its not for king Felix, Its probably not worth it..Id rather wait a year to see if these kids can up their value before just GIVING them all away for 1 guy...if a couple of themhave another great year,we can get more for them if theres a real need..Id wait to see what Bay does..I believe he will be back in a Boston uni..if not........
Posted by: chowdah | November 01, 2009 at 03:31 AM
cowdah, way to ignore stats to say someone is good... The reason Ellsbury has so few errors is because errors are mainly given on balls that hit the glove and drop(for CF) or throwing errors. UZR rates how well the player covers his postion. He is fast, but makes routine plays look difficult because he doesnt get good reads and must make the diving type catch in order to catch the ball. Thats why he is one SC all the time and so many Sox fans think he is the best CF in the game. He's fast, but isnt a good CF. The routine plays are made hard by himself and he cannot make the hard plays, the ball simply falls before he can get there. Thats why he has very few errors, but his UZR sucks.
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | November 01, 2009 at 03:53 AM
Vasquez
Jurrjens
Hanson
Hudson
Medlen
Best rotation in baseball.
Posted by: Roberty | November 01, 2009 at 04:25 AM
"If the Red Sox want A-Gon so badly they will have to part ,as someone suggested above, with Ellsbury and Bucholz + 3 top prospects."
My feeling as well, sort of *if* Boston makes an offer to Hoyer regarding Gonzalez, or hopefully not, fat butt Fielder.
Ellsbury is under club control for 4 more years and a super star in the making is just the starter in the case of a Gonzalez and would then take a Kelly, plus one of *probably* Wieand, Fife, or Pimental of the top A ball pitchers they can trade (Wilson can not be moved yet, was just drafted in June), then either Reddick, or Kalish and on top of THAT astronomical amount, the Sox would be forced to add either Tazawa or Bowden.
It is far, far too much in my opinion to gut the system, leaving Westmoreland (with his handshake agreement not to be traded) and a few of the top guys left for Gonzo.
To get Fat butt, the cost IMO would not be quite as high, but still start with CF Ells which the Brewers desperately need, still either Tazawa, or Bowden, Reddick or Kalish and the choice of Pimental, Weiand, or Fife. Just no Casey Kelly. You don't pay top dollar for a DH in 1-2 years.
This is all my speculation.
Yeah, I don't make trade offer spec's often and when do, it's always with both sides in mind and fair..
Posted by: johns | November 01, 2009 at 04:48 AM
Frank Wren will consider trading Javy Vasquez if it makes the most sense for the team. Comparing it to Escobar trade rumors is kind of ridiculous. Escobar is young and cheap and the braves don't have anyone younger and cheaper to replace him. There's no reason to thing he would be traded. Javy Vasquez is expensive, aging, and Atlanta has six starters who earn around $43 million collectively. There is plenty of reason to believe he could be dealt.
I would personally love to see the Braves trade Lowe and Kawakami but trading Vasquez makes sense if a team is willing to put together the right package for him.
Posted by: Roberty | November 01, 2009 at 05:03 AM
"If the Red Sox want A-Gon so badly they will have to part ,as someone suggested above, with Ellsbury and Bucholz + 3 top prospects."
Thats a joke right? Ellsbury and Buchholz alone are worth more than Adrain.
Lars Anderson 2008 AA - .316 AVG 5 HRS 30 RBIS 1 SB in 41 GMS
Josh Reddick 2009 AA -
.277 AVG 13 HRS 29 RBIS 5 SB in 63 GMS
Junichi Tazawa 2009 AA - 9W 5L 2.57 ERS 88K'S IN 98 INNINGS
Ryan Kalish A/AA 2009 - A .304 AVG 5HRS IN 32 GMS
AA .271 AVG 13 HRS IN 103 GMS
Haters, prospects stats before you say they suck. Also, this is withough giving you Casey Kellys stats, or Daniel Bards + younger prosepcts like Anthony Rizzo, Ryan Westmorelan, and our 2009 draft picks.
Posted by: BostonsFuture | November 01, 2009 at 09:53 AM
Lowe will go to the Yankees, Red Sox, Angels or Cubs. Only one of them can sign Lackey, leaving the rest longing for a quality SP."
I think these are the teams as well that have the funds to deal for Lowe. Here are some guys that I'd want from each team for Lowe.
Cubs:
Jake Fox
Jay Jackson
Tony Thomas
Angels:
Jose Arredondo
Freddy Sandoval
Red Sox:
Yamaico Navarro
Ryan Westmoreland
Yankees:
Zach McAllister
Kevin De Leon
Are you drunk or High? Westmoreland was a untouchable during the Halladay talks. Westmoreland will not be going anywhere, let alone a horrible albatross salary dump.
Please go back to sniffing glue.
Posted by: BoSox | November 01, 2009 at 10:14 AM
BostonsFuture- Why did you put Lars' 2008 stats when 2009 just finished? In 2009 he went .233/.328/.345 9HRs in 119 AA games.
Posted by: Deanezag | November 01, 2009 at 10:27 AM
Yunel Escobar & Kris Medlen for Elvis Andrus & Nelson Cruz?
Posted by: Thundersticks | November 01, 2009 at 11:21 AM
I just don't realize why the Red Sox and their fans are so reluctant to trade their "top prospects". They are maybe only a hitter like Gonzalez away from winning another World Series. You have to remember guys like Kelly and Westmoreland are not sure things. You would be getting one of the games best young hitters for guys who may never get to the Majors. Now I'm not saying they should trade both for Adrian(although it would be nice, being a Padre fan), but to say these guys are untouchable when they are playing in Class A or lower is crazy. Even if the Red Sox do trade them and they do become stars, they have the money to sign them back as free agents while reaping the rewards of the player they acquire now. I personally would rather have another team go through the learning process with these guys and my team win another championship now.
And this goes for any big market club, not just the Red Sox so please don't think I'm a hater.
Posted by: DB | November 01, 2009 at 11:49 AM
BostonsFuture- Why did you put Lars' 2008 stats when 2009 just finished? In 2009 he went .233/.328/.345 9HRs in 119 AA games.
Posted by: Deanezag | November 01, 2009 at 10:27 AM
Because it doesn't help prove his point and makes Lars less than stellar as a prospect, which as we all know is impossible for a red sox prospect to suck at least according to fans like bostonsfuture. The 4 players he listed (reddick, anderson, kalish, and tazawa) is not netting Adrian Gonzalez. Now on the other end it's ridiculous for other teams' fans to say boston has to include ellsubry and/or buccholz, they can easily make a more than fair offer w/o either of those two. However they're going to have to include Kelly or Westmoreland
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 01, 2009 at 12:08 PM
Because it doesn't help prove his point and makes Lars less than stellar as a prospect, which as we all know is impossible for a red sox prospect to suck at least according to fans like bostonsfuture. The 4 players he listed (reddick, anderson, kalish, and tazawa) is not netting Adrian Gonzalez. Now on the other end it's ridiculous for other teams' fans to say boston has to include ellsubry and/or buccholz, they can easily make a more than fair offer w/o either of those two. However they're going to have to include Kelly or Westmoreland
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 01, 2009 at 12:08 PM
We count Andersons 2008 stats and the stats before that because in 2009 he had i believe a back i njury for a while that stayed for most of the season but he should be fine for next season.
Posted by: NYYLastPlace4ever | November 01, 2009 at 12:53 PM
NYYLastPlace4ever- his 2008 stats were also inflated with his .435 BABIP, this year it was .293
Posted by: Deanezag | November 01, 2009 at 12:56 PM
Anderson had one stretch where his numbers were hurt by injury, not the full season.
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 01, 2009 at 01:24 PM
DB,
You are correct that Red Sox fans should not be labeling anyone "untouchable" in trade talks for top talent. That said, the reluctance to trade some of the unproven talent lies in the fact that Adrian Gonzalez just had his first season in which he put up an OPS over .900. His home splits have been a significant factor, no doubt, but he has only had one "elite" season, which stands in contrast to other fantasy targets, such as Hanley Ramirez or Miguel Cabrera.
Granted, Gonzalez has trended upward and appears to be entering his prime, but he will also become very costly in two seasons. Furthermore, bringing him in at 1B moves Youkilis over to 3B, where he is nowhere near as valuable defensively. This mitigates some of the value, as the Red Sox would not be filling a position of need so much as shuffling personnel around to make room for another potent bat.
While it is painful to watch people through out packages such as "Bowden, Doubront, Navarro" or "Bowden, Kalish, Pimentel," it is equally painful when others go too far to the opposite extreme, suggesting that it would take "Ellsbury, Buccholz, Kelly, and Westmoreland + two top prospects." Proven or unproven, pieces such as Kelly and Westmoreland are valuable enough for their upside that the Red Sox would be better-served moving them in separate packages to acquire players at multiple positions than to gift-wrap the entire farm system for a single player who is only under control for two more seasons. Even with unproven commodities, at some point when you are throwing out six-prospect packages, you have to stop and realize that you are talking about 36 years worth of cost-controlled talent for two years of a single player whose marginal value lies in the upgrade that he provides (since he would be replacing a similarly valuable player at 1B, and Youkilis would then replace Lowell's production at 3B).
So, to sum it up, the reason why the Red Sox wouldn't eagerly gut the farm for Adrian Gonzalez is that these wild proposals would mean that the Red Sox would no longer have the trade chips to fill other holes on the big-league club outside of free agency (recall the Yankees circa 2003-2007). Frankly, they would be better served investing those chips in Felix Hernandez, because the relative upgrade in the starting rotation would likely have a greater impact (Beckett, Hernandez, Lester, Matsuzaka, Buccholz) than the relative upgrade from swapping Lowell's bat (while subsidizing his 2010 cost and losing Youkilis' defensive value at 1B) with Gonzalez's.
Posted by: DunkinDonuts | November 01, 2009 at 01:49 PM
"He speculates that the Seattle Mariners' interest in Aroldis Chapman stems from their desire to still have a front-line starter if they eventually decide to move Felix Hernandez."
Or...maybe, just maybe, he would be a good arm to have, regardless of the Felix situation.
Posted by: baseballismylyf4 | November 01, 2009 at 02:13 PM
"While it is painful to watch people through out packages such as "Bowden, Doubront, Navarro" or "Bowden, Kalish, Pimentel," it is equally painful when others go too far to the opposite extreme, suggesting that it would take "Ellsbury, Buccholz, Kelly, and Westmoreland + two top prospects."
Your right both sides are unrealistic. Your not going to get Adrian with a bunch of scrubs and your not going to get Ellbury and Buchholz+. They are going to have to give up at least 1 proven player (Ellsbury, Bard, Buccholz) or top prospect (Kelly, Westmoreland) and a couple other lesser prospects.
Posted by: bkoke | November 01, 2009 at 02:14 PM
IT'S AMAZING to me that so many say things like "he may bounce back" when talking about LOWE. He wins 15 games, has only one horrible game, is signed for three years and Atlanta wants to dump him? His pay is huge, but how many 200 inning pitchers with 15 wins are you going to find available for much less? AND....no contract problems for three years. Wren did a fine job putting the starting staff together. I'll bet he keeps the whole group, with K staying in the bullpen. If we improve our record for the first half of the season, WATCH OUT! And do not forget that CHIPPER will rebound!
Posted by: secretone | November 01, 2009 at 02:20 PM
Red Sox fans:
YOUR PROSPECTS ARE NOT THE SECOND COMING OF CHRIST.
Bowden and Bard were the ony two in the top 100 last year and they were 83 and 98.
Bard is a reliever maybe future closer and Bowden is projected to be a middle of the rotation starter who was terrible in the majors this year.
Anderson had a terrible year and lost tons of value.
"Anderson had one stretch where his numbers were hurt by injury, not the full season."
I can only laugh at this comment. He hit .233 .328 .345 so I guess it was a pretty good stretch. 9 HR in 447 AB is pathetic. He only missed about 20 games so the injury must not have been that bad.
Don't get me wrong the Sox have one of the best farm systems in baseball but, we are talking about one of the best young players in the game signed for the next two year at practically nothing.
Posted by: bkoke | November 01, 2009 at 02:32 PM
You really could have used a much better argument than wins. He had a lot of hand/grip issues this year adjusting to atlanta humidity (much like hudson in his first year in atl) and i fully expect a bounce back. If Chipper does rebound 2006-2008 form while staying relatively healthy then Atlanta is going to be a heck of a team next year
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 01, 2009 at 02:37 PM
bkoke way to fail at reading comprehension/context. I was merely commenting that Anderson's struggles throughout the season are not solely the result of injury
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 01, 2009 at 03:18 PM
Right. I didn't comprehend that very well. My bad. I just got lost in the Boston prospects love affair everyone is having.
Posted by: bkoke | November 01, 2009 at 03:41 PM
Jed Hoyer informed Jeff Moorad that the Red Sox had no intention of pursuing Adrian Gonzalez. Speculation on the matter is a waste of time. With that said the reason why many fans of other teams don't hold the Red Sox prospects in such high regard is due to one of two reasons, they are jealous or they think that by undervaluing them it might give their team a better chance at acquiring them.
Posted by: Blackcourt | November 01, 2009 at 06:29 PM
^^not really blackcourt, it's more of a we're tired of being told how excellent the boston prospects are and how they're all guaranteed superstars. Obviously this only comes from a few of "red sox nation" but it's enough that it gets pretty tiresome, especially considering boston doesn't have the top system
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 01, 2009 at 06:43 PM
"not really blackcourt, it's more of a we're tired of being told how excellent the boston prospects are and how they're all guaranteed superstars. Obviously this only comes from a few of "red sox nation" but it's enough that it gets pretty tiresome, especially considering boston doesn't have the top system"
Do you think the Red Sox fans you are referring to really know all that much about the farm system? They are reiterating what they read from professional scouts like I do. The Sox farm system is really that good. I don't think anyone is trying to say that they are guarantees, but you can't refute that they are talented or professionals like Baseball America wouldn't be talking about them the way that they do.
Posted by: Blackcourt | November 01, 2009 at 06:56 PM
"Jed Hoyer informed Jeff Moorad that the Red Sox had no intention of pursuing Adrian Gonzalez."
Source? Link?
"they are jealous or they think that by undervaluing them it might give their team a better chance at acquiring them."
How many of these prospects do you really believe are in the top 100 in baseball? How about the top 10 in baseball? I would be surprised if any sniffed the top 10. The Sox gave away Hanley who was the 10th best prospect in baseball and the the Sox #1 prospect for Beckett who only had one year under contract. They also took on two big salaries of players that had terrible years. No one is saying their farm system isn't good only saying Red Sox fans think Kelly and Westmoreland are the best prospects in baseball. Not even close.
Posted by: bkoke | November 01, 2009 at 07:23 PM
I never said they weren't talented, in fact Boston has a strong system. Tops in the majors? Not even close but still very strong. However when you get multiple comments lavishing praise on the Bowdens and Kalishs of your system as being TOP prospects in horrible trade proposals then it gets a little out of hand
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 01, 2009 at 07:24 PM
Hey Blackcourt
Where did you read or hear that Hoyer said the Red Sox have no interest in Gonzalez? It's hard to believe that after all the rumors last year at the trade deadline that the Red Sox have no interest in him.
Was Hoyer the only member of their front office that liked Gonzalez?
Posted by: DB | November 01, 2009 at 07:26 PM
The comment that Lowe has had trouble with heat and humidity in Atlanta is no doubt correct. Back when I pitched, breaking balls worked great in the southeast. The same pitch was worthless in the western mountain states. Low humidity, at much higher elevation, required a totally different pitch mix. Breaking balls broke less, but later, and you had better have an active fastball and changeup. But, Lowe and others know this and make the changes necessary. Lowe should do fine!
Posted by: secretone | November 01, 2009 at 07:38 PM
Vasquez
Jurrjens
Hanson
Hudson
Medlen
Best rotation in baseball.
Posted by: Roberty | November 01, 2009 at 04:25 AM
I believe the white sox rotation is wayyyyy better than that rotatio
Posted by: chisoxTBrayfan | November 01, 2009 at 08:18 PM
Felix is in Seattle to stay, why would an improving team trade there 23 year old ace especially when Chapman is 21 and he will need at least 1 full year in the minors which will put him around the age Felix is now.
Posted by: iloveWa | November 01, 2009 at 08:55 PM
Vasquez
Jurrjens
Hanson
Hudson
Medlen
Best rotation in baseball.
Posted by: Roberty | November 01, 2009 at 04:25 AM
I believe the white sox rotation is wayyyyy better than that rotatio
Posted by: chisoxTBrayfan | November 01, 2009 at 08:18 PM
The White Sox staff is probably better than that but when you replace Medlen with Lowe it tips in favor of Atlanta
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 01, 2009 at 10:36 PM
I think the Braves need to dump Kawakami, Johnson, and Logan. Keep Lowe and Vazquez.
Now for position players:
I say resign Adam Laroche to like a two year 12 million dollar deal. Then, I am still really high on the braves acquiring Delmon YOung from the Twins. If they dont dump the players i listed above^^^, Wren could shop KK or KJ or both for delmon. Delmon is a young talented left fielder with a little bit of pop, speed, and flashes of fielding. Its not the Holliday or Carlos Lee that all the Braves fans want, but he could definately contribute to the Braves postseason hopes.
Also: Luke Scott would not be a bad acquisition.
Posted by: BrentWt34 | November 02, 2009 at 05:16 PM
Yankees 2010
1 JETER SS
2 DAMON LF (1 YEAR DEAL)
3 TEXEIRA 1B
4 A ROD 3B
5 J BAY DH (3 YEAR DEAL)
6 POSADA C
7 CANO 2B
8 SWISHER RF
9 AUSTIN JACKSON CF
1 HARISTON
2 MELKY
3 MOLINA
4 GARDNER
5 CERVELLI
1 SABATHIA
2 BURNETT
3 HARDEN (1 YEAR DEAL)
4 WANG
5 PETTITE (1 YEAR DEAL)
1 RIVERIA
2 CHAMBERLAIN
3 MARTE
4 HUGHES
5 ROBERTSON
6 COKE
7 ACEVES
Posted by: YankeesEmpire | November 13, 2009 at 04:40 AM