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Archives for February 2013

Players Reflect On Arbitration Hearings: Jeff Mathis

By B.J. Rains | February 25, 2013 at 7:50am CDT

In a day and age where sabermetric stats like wins above replacement have become more and more popular, it can be easy to overlook basic numbers.

In the arbitration case involving catcher Jeff Mathis and Angels in 2010, a difference of $600K was decided in large part because of one simple stat: games started.

Mathis and the Angels couldn’t agree to a contract for 2010, leaving them no choice but to go to arbitration. The club filed at $700K while Mathis countered with a request of $1.3MM.

“If there was any chance to work it out for us to get what we thought was fair, we would have done it,” Mathis said. “We wouldn’t have chanced to go in there and go through all of that.

“It’s not something that any player wants to go through or deal with. It’s a rough process, especially if you go all the way to the hearing like I did. There’s stuff that goes on in that room that I wouldn’t suggest anybody experience or be a part of. … You don’t want to be a part of anything like that.”

The case turned out to be one of the more fascinating arbitration hearings in recent memory. The Angels centered their case around Mathis’ poor offensive numbers. They pointed out that his career .200 batting average was among the worst in arbitration case history. His on-base percentage, slugging percentage and strikeout totals weren’t much better.

“They were really centered in on what the offensive numbers were,” said Mathis’ longtime agent BB Abbott. “That was their entire case, what Jeff had done offensively for the team.”

Because the numbers were poor, it was an easy and obvious area for the Angels to focus on. It seemed like the team had a good argument. And Abbott acknowledged this, saying in his case in chief that Mathis wasn’t someone who would usually impact a game with his bat.

But Abbott and his group found an area where Mathis did impact the game: defense became the focus of their case. A former catcher himself, Angels manager Mike Scioscia put heavy emphasis on the defensive side of catching. Mathis certainly fit that bill.

Mike Napoli received much of the attention in Anaheim because his offensive numbers were much better. He was seen by most as the starting catcher and Mathis was looked at as the backup. And that’s what the Angels argued.

The only problem with this analysis was that Mathis had started more games behind the plate the previous two seasons than Napoli. Mathis started 168 games at catcher during the 2008 and 2009 seasons while Napoli started 155.

“Because of Mike Scioscia and how he handles his catching tandem, they really had a couple of different starting catchers,” Abbott said. “That’s just a very rare thing. Because of Mike Napoli’s numbers and the offensive output that he had, it would be easy to slap that label as a starting catcher on him. Usually in those situations you have a starting catcher and a backup catcher.

“In Jeff’s case, the whole central theme of our case was that they had two starting catchers. They were co-starting catchers. Jeff had caught just as many games, in fact he caught more games than Mike over a two-year period. To put this guy into the salary structure of a backup catcher, in our eyes wasn’t appropriate. In the team’s eyes it was.”

To help prove their case, Abbott and his group used 12 quotes from Scioscia and other front office personnel to show how much weight the club put on a catcher and his defense. They also used a three-year comparable prior to their first time eligible arbitration years to show that Mathis had more starts behind the plate during that time.

The three arbitrators reviewing the case were Elliott Shiftman, Steven Wolf and Margaret Brogan. They took 24 hours to deliberate before deciding in Mathis’ favor, awarding him his number of $1.3MM.

“There were absolutely no hard feelings on either side,” Abbott said. “Jeff knew what was going to be presented in front of him, he was very well prepared. He knew exactly what the team's case was going to be and, like I said, the only thing we made and ultimately what won it for us was that, listen, we understand that he’s going to be at the bottom of the starting catcher salary structure but he should be in that salary structure and not at the bottom of the backup catchers' salary structure. Ultimately the arbitration panel agreed.”

The case was a big one for Mathis because of the future implications it could have had on his earnings. A player’s salary in his first year of arbitration can set the pay scale for the years to come.

“The arbitration panel is going to pick one or the other, so Jeff would have been coming off of either $700K or $1.3MM the next year,” Abbott said. “A win or loss in arbitration can continue to follow you. He was coming off $1.3MM and Jeff went to $1.7MM. If he comes off $700K, he’s going into the low $1MM figures.

“It’s either the gift that keeps on giving or the gift that keeps on taking away so that’s why going to arbitration your first year is a very tough decision and a very tough proposition because the salaries that come in subsequent years could be based on what that award is or that first year salary is and that’s something you have to consider when you are considering whether or not to take a case to a hearing.”

Mathis, now with the Marlins, broke his collarbone in the spring opener Saturday after a foul tip from Matt Holliday fractured his right clavicle. He could be out for as much as six weeks.

But reflecting back on the arbitration process and hearing, Mathis said, “When you first sign up to play this game you don’t ever think of that part of professional baseball and the more years you get into it and the stuff that starts happening with arbitration and free agency and all that. You really get to understand the business side of it.

“It stinks. It’s not something that you want to do or hear or hear from anybody else. It’s part of the game and baseball and the business side and you just deal with.”

It was probably much easier for Mathis to deal with it since he won.

Kyle Lohse reflected on past arbitration hearings in the debut instalment of this series.

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Miami Marlins Players Reflect On Arbitration Hearings Jeff Mathis

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Analyzing The 2014-15 MLB Free Agent Class

By Tim Dierkes | February 25, 2013 at 7:47am CDT

We're always looking ahead here at MLBTR, sometimes way ahead, hence our recent publication of the 2014-15 free agent class.  These players project for free agency after the 2014 season, two seasons from now.  We know plenty of them will sign extensions between now and then, but it's still fun to discuss.

Joining This Group Later

After the 2013 season, several players have club options that seem likely to be exercised, such as James Shields and Jon Lester.  That means they'll play out the 2014 season and then become free agents.

The Under-30 Group

Clayton Kershaw, Elvis Andrus, Asdrubal Cabrera, Pablo Sandoval, Colby Rasmus, Homer Bailey, and Chris Perez are among those who will play the 2015 season at an age below 30.  Kershaw and Andrus, in particular, are primed for monster contracts barring major hiccups in the next two seasons.  Kershaw will turn 27 in March of 2015, and the Dodgers' ace seems the best candidate to soar past the $200MM mark whether through an extension or free agency.  Andrus, meanwhile, will enter the 2015 season as a 26-year-old.  It takes a special kind of player to put in six years of Major League service time by that age. 

Position Players

The 2014-15 free agent class is deep at shortstop at the moment, with Andrus, Cabrera, J.J. Hardy, Jed Lowrie, and perhaps Hanley Ramirez.  Sandoval, Chase Headley, and Nick Markakis are potential middle-of-the-order bats in a market that appears light on them.  Perhaps someone like Melky Cabrera can post a couple of strong seasons to solidify his status.  Otherwise you're looking at a 39-year-old David Ortiz or 35/36/37-year-olds Josh Willingham, Adam LaRoche, Victor Martinez, Aramis Ramirez, and Michael Cuddyer.

Starting Pitchers

Kershaw and Justin Verlander represent a pair of true aces who will seek record-setting contracts, should they reach free agency.  Verlander will turn 32 prior to the 2015 season.  I realize he's not like most pitchers, but the list of seven-year megacontracts given to 32-year-olds is a short one for good reason.  At any rate, it'll be fun times at MLBTR if both pitchers reach free agency, but there's a pretty good chance the Dodgers lock up Kershaw.  Beyond those two, Max Scherzer, Shields, and Lester comprise a strong second tier.  Homer Bailey, Justin Masterson, and Brandon McCarthy can join them with a pair of strong seasons.  And who knows what the mid-30s will bring for Josh Beckett and Jake Peavy.

How accurate can we be, analyzing a free agent class two years early?  Aside from all the guys who will be plucked off the market early due to extensions, some players will just see their stock plummet.  For every Zack Greinke and Josh Hamilton, there's a Stephen Drew, a guy who I considered a $100MM contract candidate two years ago.

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2015 MLB Free Agents

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Quick Hits: Contreras, Indians, Marlins, Yankees

By Jeff Todd | February 25, 2013 at 12:32am CDT

After Brian Sabean traded Matt Williams to the Indians for a package that included eventual San Francisco cornerstone Jeff Kent, the public reaction against the newly minted Giants general manager was so strong that he felt compelled to declare: “I’m not an idiot.”  Sixteen years later, with two World Championships under Sabean’s belt, MLB.com’s Tracy Ringolsby writes that he “has proven that, emphatically.”  Sabean still abides by the credo he adopted while working for George Steinbrenner: “keep your head down and do your job.” Here are some notes on teams hoping to dethrone Mr. Sabean’s Giants in 2013:

  • Having agreed yesterday to a minor league contract with the Pirates, 41-year-old reliever Jose Contreras reported to camp quickly with plans to take it slow, says Tom Singer of MLB.com.  Still recovering from Tommy John surgery, and having just returned from his first visit to his native Cuba since defecting over a decade ago, Contreras said that the Pirates instructed him “to take my time and recover at my own rate.”  Pittsburgh GM Neal Huntington, for whom the signing was a “low-risk” gambit to bolster the club’s bullpen, stated that Contreras would “rehab throughout Spring Training” and that the team would “be patient with him and get him back as quickly as his body allows.”
  • The Indians have set up a three-way competition for the last spot in the team’s starting rotation, according to Paul Hoynes of The Plain Dealer.  Scott Kazmir and Carlos Carrasco, both of whom are attempting comebacks, will compete with recently-acquired prospect Trevor Bauer.  All three pitchers appeared in today’s Cactus League game.  While MLBTR’s Mark Polishuk maintains that Kyle Lohse could fit nicely in the Tribe's rotation, the team seems likely to utilize one of the options it already has on hand.
  • With Marlins catcher Jeff Mathis likely out for more than six weeks with a fractured collarbone, MLB.com’s Joe Frisaro discusses the club’s search for a new second backstop behind presumed starter Rob Brantly.  In addition to considering internal options like Kyle Skipworth, “the club is combing through other rosters, exploring possible trade options and trying to figure out which teams have a surplus.” 
  • Other than Sabean, only one current GM has overseen multiple championship clubs: the Yankees’ Brian Cashman.  Cashman revealed today that, contrary to his previously stated belief, Yankees catcher Francisco Cervelli is in fact out of options, writes MLB.com’s Bryan Hoch.  MLBTR has labeled Cervelli as out of options from the start; check out our full list of players here.  Of the three primary catchers competing to break camp with the Yankees, then, only Austin Romine can still be optioned.  (Chris Stewart, like Cervelli, has had his options exhausted.)  When asked to comment on the catching situation, Cashman wryly reported: “We’ve got two guys out of options and one guy with an option.  I think the two guys are winning.”
  • Of more immediate concern to Cashman and the Yankees, of course, is the injury to outfielder Curtis Granderson.  In addition to the analysis of MLBTR's Tim Dierkes, other commentators have begun to weigh in.  Bill Madden of The New York Daily News explores the options for replacing Granderson and worries that the club could face a power shortage.  MLB.com’s Richard Justice opines that Cashman should stick to his winning strategy of “being smart and efficient” and “not overreacting to every crisis.”  For FOXSports.com’s Jon Paul Morosi, on the other hand, the injury “exposed the Yankees’ flawed roster construction” and leaves the club’s 2013 postseason prospects in doubt.
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Cleveland Guardians Miami Marlins New York Yankees Pittsburgh Pirates San Francisco Giants Carlos Carrasco Curtis Granderson Francisco Cervelli Jeff Mathis Jose Contreras Kyle Skipworth Scott Kazmir Trevor Bauer

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AL Notes: Happ, Verlander, Ross

By Jeff Todd | February 24, 2013 at 9:58pm CDT

On the same day that he broke Curtis Granderson’s forearm with a wild pitch, J.A. Happ finds himself facing a roster squeeze with the Blue Jays …

  • Happ is “mired in a grey zone” in Toronto, writes Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca.  Despite solid credentials, Happ may not even earn a roster spot as a reliever with the new-look Jays.  With another potential lefty long-reliever (Brett Cecil) out of options, Toronto manager John Gibbons admits that Happ is not only “the odd man out” of the rotation, but could find himself “back down in Triple-A.”
  • Justin Verlander was merely stating the obvious when he said he hoped to become the first $200MM pitcher, MLB.com’s Jason Beck reports.  Verlander explained: “The question was posed to me: ‘Do you want to be the first $200MM pitcher?’  Well, yeah.  What kind of question is that?  Of course I do.”
  • Cody Ross revealed today that “Texas was wanting to move pretty quick” towards a deal before the outfielder signed with the Diamondbacks, Barry M. Bloom of MLB.com writes.  While it was previously reported that the Rangers had met with Ross, the Arizona-dwelling Ross explained the "crazy timing" that occurred.  Ross sat down with Texas right after learning that Arizona was interested, and by the end of the next day had “basically agreed” to sign with the Diamondbacks.
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Arizona Diamondbacks Detroit Tigers Texas Rangers Toronto Blue Jays Cody Ross J.A. Happ Justin Verlander

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2014-15 MLB Free Agents

By Tim Dierkes | February 24, 2013 at 8:07pm CDT

MLBTR’s up-to-date list of 2014-15 MLB free agents is below (using a criteria of 50 plate appearances or 20 innings pitched in the 2014 season). These players are currently free agents. Linked names will take you to that player’s Free Agent Profile.  You can look at free agent signings by team with our Free Agent Tracker.

If you have any corrections or omissions, please contact us. To see who represents these players, check out our agency database.

Updated 5-8-15

Catchers

Ryan Doumit (34)
Jose Molina (40, currently injured)
Wil Nieves (37)
Jarrod Saltalmacchia (30)

First Basemen

Mike Carp (28)

Second Basemen

Chris Nelson (29)

Shortstops

None

Third Basemen

Chris Nelson (29)

Left Fielders

Mike Carp (28)
Scott Hairston (35)
Reed Johnson (38)
Jason Kubel (33)
Ryan Ludwick (36)
Cody Ross (34)
Dayan Viciedo (26)

Center Fielders

Endy Chavez (37)
Ryan Sweeney (30)

Right Fielders

Scott Hairston (35)
Ryan Ludwick (36)
Cody Ross (34)
Dayan Viciedo (26)

Designated Hitters

Ryan Doumit (34)
Raul Ibanez (42)
Jason Kubel (33)

Starting Pitchers

Paul Maholm (33)
Kevin Slowey (31)

Closers

Rafael Soriano (35)

Right-Handed Relievers

Kyle Farnsworth (39)
Matt Guerrier (36)
Juan Carlos Oviedo (33)
Blake Parker (29)
Chris Perez (29)
Jose Veras (35)
Brian Wilson (33)
Jamey Wright (40)

Left-Handed Relievers

Sean Burnett (32)
Scott Downs (39)

Cot’s Baseball Contracts was used in the creation of this list.

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2015 MLB Free Agents

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MLBTR Originals

By edcreech | February 24, 2013 at 6:55pm CDT

A look back at the original reporting and analysis found on MLBTR this past week:

  • MLBTR began a six-week series examining the arbitration process from the player's persepective with B.J. Rains' profile of Kyle Lohse's arb experience with the Twins.
  • MLBTR started a second series: Why I Chose My Agency. The Cardinals' Matt Holliday spoke with B.J. Rains about why he engaged the services of Scott Boras and the Boras Corporation.
  • Mark Polishuk examined the market for Kyle Lohse.
  • Ben Nicholson-Smith listed the oldest $100MM players.
  • Steve Adams sees 2013 as a make or break year for Josh Johnson.
  • Mark wrote Tim Lincecum has been a huge part of the Giants' recent past and his 2013 season will likely determine if he is part of the team's future.
  • Ben charted the service time considerations for the top prospects in baseball.
  • Zach Links analyzed how often vesting options are exercised using the past three years as a sample.
  • Ben asked MLBTR readers which 90-win team from 2012 will disappoint in 2013. More than 56% of you believe either the Orioles or Yankees will take that step backwards.
  • Marlins outfielder Juan Pierre told MLBTR correspondent B.J. Rains it was a no-brainer for him to return to Miami and winning will help the front office heal all wounds in South Florida.
  • Ben hosted this week's chat.
  • Zach compiled this week's edition of Baseball Blogs Weigh In.
  • Want the latest rumors for your favorite team? Check out MLBTR's team-by-team links for Facebook, Twitter, and RSS pages and feeds.
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MLBTR Originals

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Filling In For Curtis Granderson

By Tim Dierkes | February 24, 2013 at 6:05pm CDT

A J.A. Happ fastball struck Curtis Granderson's right forearm today in a Spring Training game, which will knock the Yankees' projected left fielder out until May.  GM Brian Cashman intends to look at all possibilities, but of course the team will start by considering in-house corner outfielders such as Matt Diaz and Juan Rivera.  YES Network's Jack Curry tweets a reality check: the Yankees' plan to replace Granderson will be made with the expectation that he's likely to miss 30 games, not the entire season.

That's why a relatively complicated deal for veterans such as Alfonso Soriano or Vernon Wells seems unlikely.  Both players were quizzed by reporters today nonetheless, and both professed a desire to win with their current teams.  Regarding Soriano, Cubs president Theo Epstein told Jon Heyman of CBS Sports, "If we can get him to a winner and get a good package back we'd consider it. We haven't even been tempted yet.  He's a valuable guy here. He's more valuable to us than anything we've been offered…by far." 

A couple of ex-Yankees continue to toil in free agency: Johnny Damon and Bobby Abreu.  Scott Podsednik is available as well.  They'd all be candidates for minor league deals, so the risk is minimal if Cashman wants to add some depth.

Out of options players are worth considering as well.  A few notable outfielders on that list include Jordan Schafer, Ezequiel Carrera, Casper Wells, Gorkys Hernandez, Jose Tabata, Julio Borbon, and Xavier Paul.  Tabata, a former Yankees farmhand, has $12.75MM in guaranteed money left on his contract, so the Pirates would have to be looking to cut bait and assume the vast majority.  If not Hernandez, the Marlins might be able to spare former Rookie of the Year Chris Coghlan.  The Diamondbacks recently added speedster Tony Campana to a crowded outfield, and perhaps Cashman will give Kevin Towers a call.  Dewayne Wise, Scott Cousins, Eric Thames, Aaron Cunningham, Austin Kearns, Darnell McDonald, Felix Pie, Tony Gwynn Jr., and Travis Buck are some other outfielders fighting for jobs who could become available as camp progresses.

Cashman is in a tricky spot.  Anyone who represents a clear upgrade over the team's internal options might come with a decent acquisition cost, which wouldn't make sense if Granderson will be out for one month.  The best strategy might be to make a couple of low-risk acquisitions to give manager Joe Girardi additional options.

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Chicago Cubs New York Yankees Alfonso Soriano Curtis Granderson

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Red Sox Sign Ryan Rowland-Smith

By edcreech | February 24, 2013 at 4:58pm CDT

The Red Sox have come to terms on a deal with Ryan Rowland-Smith, tweets ESPN's Jerry Crasnick. No word on the details of the contract. The 30-year-old lefthander will be pitching for his native Australia in the World Baseball Classic.

The Frye McCann Sports client last appeared in a MLB game in 2010 with the Mariners where he posted career-lows of a 6.75 ERA, 4.0 K/9, 2.1 HR/9, and 11.6 H/9 while appearing in 27 games, 20 as a starter. Rowland-Smith spent last season with the Cubs' Triple-A affiliate recording a 3.94 ERA and 7.2 K/9 in 77 2/3 innings covering 30 games including eight starts.

Last month, Crasnick reported Rowland-Smith threw for seven teams in Arizona, but the Red Sox were not one of them.

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Boston Red Sox Transactions Ryan Rowland-Smith

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NL Notes: Soriano, Teheran, Phillies, Helton

By edcreech | February 24, 2013 at 4:30pm CDT

On this date in 1896, the National League forbids players from deliberately soiling baseballs (and thus enabling the legend of future Hall of Famer Gaylord Perry)‚ declares "a ball cutting the corners of the home plate‚ and being the requisite height‚ must be called a strike" and empowers umpires to eject players. Here's the latest news and notes from this century's National League:

  • The Cubs don't anticipate the Yankees inquiring about Alfonso Soriano in the wake of Curtis Granderson's broken right forearm, tweets Joel Sherman of the New York Post. Earlier today, ESPN's Buster Olney wrote such a deal could make sense for the Yankees.
  • Nate Schierholtz explained to reporters, including the San Francisco Chronicle's Henry Schulman, why he signed with the Cubs when he reportedly had offers from contending teams like the Yankees. "There were a lot of factors that played into it," the outfielder said. "I think this team is young and we have a very good chance to win quick. I really believe in this team."
  • Right-hander Julio Teheran would have to struggle mightily to lose the fifth spot in the Braves' starting rotation, tweets David O'Brien of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. As MLBTR's Ben Nicholson-Smith charted recently, the Braves could maintain team control over Teheran through 2019 by waiting until late-June to recall him. The Braves could also prevent Teheran from earning Super Two status by keeping him in the minors until mid-August.
  • The Phillies have ten outfielders in camp and manager Charlie Manuel says a roster decision on at least four of them will need to be made about two-thirds of the way through Spring Training, reports David Murphy of the Philadelphia Daily News.
  • Todd Helton told Yahoo! Sports' Tim Brown he understands his career is coming to an end. "I realize I'm never going to be sitting here in this moment again," the 39-year-old Rockie said. "There are many factors in this. My family. What it's like to be away from home. I love everything about this, but the travel."
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Atlanta Braves Chicago Cubs Colorado Rockies New York Yankees Philadelphia Phillies Alfonso Soriano Julio Teheran Nate Schierholtz Todd Helton

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AL Notes: Lohse, Cano, Granderson, Orioles

By edcreech | February 24, 2013 at 2:30pm CDT

MLBTR's Mark Polishuk examined the market for Kyle Lohse and wrote it would be very surprising to see the Royals make a move for him. Bob Dutton of the Kansas City Star agrees, even if a rash of injuries were to hit their starters, because the Royals are $10MM over their projected break-even point in payroll. Dutton adds James Shields, Ervin Santana, Jeremy Guthrie, and Wade Davis can't pitch poorly enough this spring to lose their spots in the rotation. Elsewhere around the American League:

  • The Yankees will not let the way Alex Rodriguez's ten-year, $275MM contract has panned out affect their negotiations with Robinson Cano, GM Brian Cashman told ESPN Radio's Ian O'Connor (transcript courtesy of ESPNNewYork.com). "There's only so much you can spend, but we'll look at Robbie as an individual, not as it relates to whatever we're doing with Alex Rodriguez and our commitment and the regression we have experienced with Alex," said Cashman.
  • The Yankees announced Curtis Granderson will miss the next ten weeks with a fractured right forearm after being hit with a pitch during today's Spring Training game. Non-roster invitees Matt Diaz and Juan Rivera plus minor leaguers Melky Mesa and Zoilo Almonte are the in-house candidates to replace the Yankees' leading home run hitter from a year ago, tweets the YES Network's Jack Curry.
  • If the Yankees do go outside the organization to replace Granderson, they can find a better option toward the end of camp, tweets Ken Rosenthal of FOXSports.com. 
  • A deal for Alfonso Soriano could make sense for the Yankees and the Cubs have made it clear to the industry they would be willing to pay much of the $36MM owed Soriano for the next two years, according to ESPN's Buster Olney (Twitter links).
  • Alden Gonzalez of MLB.com asked if the Yankees turn to Vernon Wells to replace Granderson. If so, the Angels would still have to eat a majority of the $42MM due Wells over the next two years (Twitter links).
  • Orioles manager Buck Showalter told reporters, including CSNBaltimore.com's Rich Dubroff, he's satisfied with the DH candidates already in camp and will not scour the free agent market. "We’re answering the questions here,” Showalter said. “We’re going to find it right here. We spent a lot of time getting this group in. We’re going to look in our backyard." Wilson Betemit is the main candidate to DH against right-handers while Russ Canzler and Danny Valencia are the favorites against left-handers. Dubroff also sees Nolan Reimold in the mix as well as regulars whom Showalter wants to give a breather.

 

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Baltimore Orioles Chicago Cubs Kansas City Royals Los Angeles Angels New York Yankees Alfonso Soriano Curtis Granderson Danny Valencia Ervin Santana James Shields Jeremy Guthrie Juan Rivera Kyle Lohse Matt Diaz Nolan Reimold Vernon Wells Wade Davis Wilson Betemit

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