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Brewers Option Eric Lauer To Triple-A

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The Brewers activated Eric Lauer from the 15-day injured list yesterday, but optioned the left-hander to Triple-A Nashville rather than return him to the Major League roster.  Between injury and inconsistency, Lauer’s 2023 season has been a rough ride, and Brewers GM Matt Arnold told reporters (including Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel) the team felt the Triple-A move was necessary since “we want to get him right, to be healthy and be a contributor.”

Lauer has been out of action since May 22 due to an impingement in his right shoulder.  Though his throwing arm remained fine, Lauer told MLB.com and other reporters that his right shoulder problem still impacted his delivery, which could explain his shaky results this season.  Over 42 2/3 innings, Lauer had only a 5.48 ERA, 21.9% strikeout rate, and 10.7% walk rate, as well as high hard-contact rates.  The southpaw’s 13.5% barrel rate ranks near the bottom of the league, and all of these barrels have resulted in Lauer’s career-worst 20.6% home run rate.

Not a particularly hard thrower to begin with, Lauer had a big velocity drop, going from a 93.4mph average fastball in 2022 to a 90.9mph heater this season.  However, he said that recent bullpen sessions have brought some velo back, adding roughly 3-5mph to his fastball.  The results haven’t been there for Lauer over a pair of minor league rehab starts, but he’ll now get a fuller stretch in Nashville to get himself more fully back on track.

Lauer pitched well for Milwaukee over the last two seasons, moving into the rotation on a full-time basis in 2021 and delivering a 3.47 ERA over 277 1/3 innings in 2021-22.  His quality results and flexibility to work as a swingman if needed has been a valuable part of the Brew Crew’s pitching depth, yet that depth has been pretty severely tested this season by a number of injuries.  Fortunately for the Brewers, Wade Miley is projected to return from the IL this weekend, perhaps giving the team a bit of breathing room to send Lauer to Triple-A.

Heading into the 2023 season, Lauer has four full seasons and 33 days (or, 4.033) of Major League service time.  That total has now increased to 4.110 since Opening Day, so unless Lauer’s stint in Triple-A lasts quite a bit longer than expected, he shouldn’t be in jeopardy of not amassing the six full years of MLB service time required for free agency.  Lauer is currently slated to hit the open market following the 2024 season.

Giants Promote Luis Matos

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The Giants announced Wednesday that they’ve recalled outfielder Luis Matos and infielder David Villar from Triple-A Sacramento. They also formally placed outfielder Mitch Haniger on the 10-day injured list following last night’s forearm fracture and optioned righty Keaton Winn to Sacramento.

The 21-year-old Matos is being thrown right into the fire, starting in center field and batting second in his MLB debut against the Cardinals and lefty Jordan Montgomery. It’s a nice vote of confidence in the former top prospect, who has bounced back from a dismal 2022 season (.215/.280/.356, mostly in High-A) to post a massive .350/.415/.561 showing between Double-A and Triple-A. The right-handed-hitting Matos has decimated left-handed pitching in particular, batting .375/.474/.729 in 57 plate appearances.

Last year’s rough showing dinged Matos’ prospect standing a bit, as he dropped off various top-100 lists after entering the ’22 season as a consensus entrant on such rankings. Baseball America still ranked him fifth among Giants farmhands heading into the season, however, tabbing him as a potential everyday outfielder if he can iron out some of the inconsistency and passivity he showed while trying to refine his approach at the plate last year. At least thus far, Matos has done just that. He’s fanned just 20 times in 249 plate appearances (8%) and draw 24 walks (9.6%).

With Haniger facing an extended absence and Matos rapidly rebuilding his stock in the minors, the latter now looks like he’ll receive a legitimate audition for an everyday role with the team moving forward. Manager Gabe Kapler said today that Haniger might require surgery, per Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle (Twitter link), though even in that scenario he’d have a chance at returning this year.

Still, it doesn’t sound as though Haniger will return to the lineup in particularly short order, so San Francisco’s front office and coaching staff will be able to use the opportunity to gauge Matos’ MLB readiness (or lack thereof). If he hits the ground running, they’ll boast a solid outfield trio of Matos, Mike Yastrzemski and Michael Conforto, with Blake Sabol, Austin Slater, LaMonte Wade Jr. and Joc Pederson also on hand as options. In the event of further injuries and/or struggles from Matos, it’s feasible that outfield help could be an area of focus for president of baseball operations Farhan Zaidi heading into this year’s trade deadline. The Giants are six games out in the National League West but are also currently in possession of the third Wild Card spot in the NL standings.

Future optional assignments can always change a player’s free-agent and arbitration trajectories. For now, however, if Matos sticks in the big leagues he’d be arbitration-eligible after the 2026 season and under club control all the way through the 2029 campaign.

Yordan Alvarez Out At Least Four Weeks

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Astros slugger Yordan Alvarez is likely to miss at least four weeks of action with his current oblique strain, general manager Dana Brown said in this morning’s appearance on the Sean Salisbury Show on SportsTalk 790 AM (audio link).

“It’s going to take at least two weeks for us to get a feel for how it’s healing,” said Brown. “You take those two weeks and then another week to figure out when he starts to have some activity, and OK, how’s his body responding? That’s three weeks right there. You’re looking at, once he’s starting to swing a bat, maybe it’s four weeks or so.”

Brown went on to note that the Astros will be cautious with Alvarez’s return, as they want to avoid a scenario where he rushes back and quickly requires another IL stint and an additional four weeks away from the lineup. Brown declined to put a specific timeline on the return, noting that the team won’t know exactly how quickly Alvarez can return until they see how his body responds to the current shutdown.

There’s no replacing a hitter of Alvarez’s caliber in any team’s lineup. The 25-year-old slugger is on the short list of MLB’s best hitters, batting .277/.388/.589 with 17 home runs this season and .293/.384/.590 with 115 home runs in just 1779 career plate appearances (an average of nearly 44 homers per 162 games played). The Astros currently rank 15th in the Majors both in runs scored (304) and in home runs (76). They’re hitting .246/.316/.401 as a team.

Brown also indicated that Michael Brantley is running, throwing and hitting without any pain at the moment. The 36-year-old veteran can’t replicate Alvarez’s production but could help soften the blow if he’s able to return from the injured list before Alvarez. Brantley hasn’t suited up for the Astros yet in 2023 as he continues to rehab from last year’s shoulder surgery, but he hit .288/.370/.416 with Houston last year and is a .306/.368/.464 hitter in his four prior seasons with the team.

Trevor Rosenthal To Undergo Elbow Surgery

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Veteran right-hander Trevor Rosenthal is slated undergo elbow surgery next week, the Tigers announced within their latest wave of injury updates on minor league players. The former All-Star has been attempting a comeback with the Tigers, but he’s now headed for a revision on a prior Tommy John procedure. Detroit also announced that infielder Ryan Kreidler underwent core muscle surgery and that lefty Miguel Del Pozo had Tommy John surgery.

Rosenthal, 33, hasn’t pitched in the Majors since the 2020 season and has just 39 big league frames under his belt since the conclusion of the 2017 season. Injuries have derailed the career of the former Cardinals closer, who underwent Tommy John surgery in 2017 and thoracic outlet surgery in 2021. Rosenthal also had surgery to repair a torn labrum in his hip during the 2021 season.

A healthy Rosenthal has proven himself capable of being one of the sport’s top relievers. From 2012-15, he boasted a 2.66 ERA and 30.4% strikeout rate, twice reaching 45 saves in a season along the way. His 2019 return from that 2017 Tommy John procedure was a disaster, but Rosenthal pitched 23 2/3 innings of 1.90 ERA ball while punching out 41.8% of his opponents during the shortened 2020 season. This will now be Rosenthal’s third surgery of note since his last big league pitch, however. He pitched in just three minor league games with the Tigers this year before landing on the injured list.

Kreidler, 25, has appeared in 37 games for the Tigers dating back to 2022 but has just a .165/.220/.209 slash in 102 big league plate appearances. He’s slashed .253/.374/.466 with 18 home runs and 22 steals through 446 plate appearances at the Triple-A level in his career, however, and is regarded as an above-average defender who can handle multiple spots around the infield (third base, shortstop and second base). He’s currently in physical therapy following the surgery. A timetable for his return wasn’t provided.

The 30-year-old Del Pozo returned to the Tigers on a minor league deal this offseason. He’d previously pitched 5 1/3 frames as a Tiger back in 2021 and also spent the 2022 season in their Triple-A bullpen, pitching to a 3.88 ERA in 53 1/3 frames. Del Pozo, who’s allowed 20 runs in 18 1/3 big league innings but has a more palatable 4.23 ERA in four Triple-A campaigns, appeared in just six games this season before landing on the injured list. The timing of this surgery will shelve him until late in the 2024 season and potentially all the way into the 2025 season.

Ohtani’s Bat Erases Shaky Control On The Mound

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For the second time this season and the seventh time in his career, Shohei Ohtani homered in the same game that he pitched in en route to a 5-4 Angels win Friday night.

It was a forgettable start for the 2021 AL MVP, who struggled mightily with his control. He issued three hits, five walks, and hit a batter, while striking out six in his five innings of work. Ohtani now has a 3.23 ERA in 13 starts this year. For reference, in his MVP campaign, Ohtani finished with a 3.18 ERA in 23 starts.

Friday night’s struggles came as somewhat of a surprise, as the two-way star pitched on an extra day of rest for the first time this season. He opened the game with a walk, marking the sixth time out of 13 starts he’s done so.

Although he retired the following two hitters, he was consistently working behind in the count. In the second pitch of the at-bat against Jarred Kelenic, Ohtani hung a sweeper and surrendered a two-run homer. It was the seventh homer off of a sweeper, which is one more than all of last season.

Despite the homer to Kelenic, Ohtani was able to erase his early mistake in the way that only he can, with his bat. Ohtani hit a two-run 440 foot blast to deep right field in the third inning, quickly wiping out the 2-0 deficit.

Ohtani got through the second through the fourth inning unscathed, before running into some trouble in the fifth inning. After walking the leadoff hitter and hitting another batter, he gave up an RBI-single to Ty France. He escaped the jam with minimal damage after getting Kelenic to ground out in a double play.

“I didn’t feel really good overall today,” said Ohtani. “Even more than my command, it’s the way I’m moving my body. I feel like I’m being less efficient moving my body.”

Ohtani at the plate was a different story. He finished the day with three hits and was one hit shy of the cycle when pitching for the third time this season. It was also his fourth three-hit game while serving as the starting pitcher.

“I’m feeling really good at the plate right now and more than that, I’m just happy the team won,” said a relieved Ohtani.

Ohtani’s next projected start is on June 15 against the AL West-leading Rangers at Globe Life Field. It should be a fun pitching matchup for Ohtani, who will be facing May’s AL Pitcher of the Month Nathan Eovaldi.

The Opener: Postponement, Giants, Pirates, Cubs

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As the 2023 regular season continues, here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on around the baseball world throughout the day today:

1. Tigers vs Braves doubleheader:

Yesterday’s game between the Tigers and Braves at Comerica Park was postponed yesterday due to rain, leaving the clubs to partake in a doubleheader today, the first game of which will begin at 12:10pm CT this afternoon. Fans who had tickets to yesterday’s game can read about their options for exchanging the tickets here. Last night’s expected starters, right-handers Reese Olson and Spencer Strider, will start the first game of today’s doubleheader, while Michael Lorenzen will take the mound for the Tigers in game two. Atlanta’s game two starter has not yet been announced, though Evan Woodbery of MLive notes that AJ Smith-Shawver has previously been listed as the Braves’ starter for the game.

2. Giants to promote Matos amid injuries:

After outfielder Mitch Haniger and third baseman J.D. Davis both suffered injuries that took them out of yesterday’s game for the Giants, San Francisco appears poised to promote one of their top prospects in Luis Matos. As noted by Andrew Baggarly of The Athletic, both Matos and infielder David Villar could be active tomorrow, though Kapler noted that Davis’s injury may not require a stint on the IL, leaving the club to call up just one of the duo. It would be Matos’s first call up to the big leagues, though the outfielder is already on the 40-man roster.

A consensus top 100 prospect heading into the 2022 season, Matos saw his stock drop last year when he hit .211/.275/.344 in 92 games at High-A. The 21-year-old has rebounded in a big way in 2023. After posting an excellent .304/.399/.444 slash line in 133 Double-A plate appearances this season, Matos was promoted to Triple-A where he’s proceeded to mash to the tune of a .398/.435/.685 slash line in 116 plate appearances.

3. Bido to debut for Pirates as Cubs monitor Happ:

Joining Matos in his potential major league debut is Pirates right-hander Osvaldo Bido, who is poised to start today’s game against the Cubs. The 27-year-old Bido has posted a rather pedestrian 4.55 ERA in 55 1/3 innings of work at Triple-A this season across twelve appearances (10 starts). In three seasons at the level in his career, Bido sports a 23.7% strikeout rate, though it’s paired with an elevated walk rate of 12%. Bido is not yet on the 40-man roster, but the Pirates have multiple vacancieis, meaning only an active roster move will be necessary to promote Bido.

On the other side of the diamond the Cubs are set to monitor the health of left fielder Ian Happ, who was pulled from the game with a right calf issue, as noted by MLB.com’s Jordan Bastian. The loss of Happ for significant time would be a significant blow to a Cubs team that is already without center fielder Cody Bellinger. Youngster Christopher Morel took over for Happ in left field during last night’s game and could continue to see playing time in the outfield if Happ misses additional time.

Marlins Keeping An Eye On Catching Market

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The Marlins have been monitoring the market for catching help with the trade deadline now under two months away, per Barry Jackson and Craig Mish of the Miami Herald. With the team currently sitting seven games above .500 — currently in possession of an NL Wild Card spot and just 3.5 games back of the division-leading Braves — they’re positioned to head into the 2023 deadline as a potential buyer.

Certainly, that stance could change in the coming weeks, depending on whether the team can sustain its hot start to the season. However, even if the Marlins approached the deadline from a seller’s standpoint, finding some long-term help behind the dish could still be a focus. The catcher position has been an area of need in Miami ever since J.T. Realmuto was traded. The team originally hoped that Jorge Alfaro, acquired in that Realmuto swap, could take the reins are the catcher of the future. That didn’t prove true, and a subsequent trade for defensive standout Jacob Stallings has proven similarly unsuccessful.

Stallings, 33, saw his vaunted defensive ratings plummet in his first year with Miami last season. They’ve rebounded to an extent so far in 2023, but the former Pirates backstop has seen his offensive production bottom out at career-worst levels. Stallings is hitting just .161/.238/.226 this season, and since Miami acquired him in the 2021-22 offseason he’s managed only a .210/.281/.278 slash. Paired with his surprisingly below-average defensive grades, the 2021 Gold Glove winner has played at a sub-replacement level since donning a Marlins jersey.

In light of this season’s struggles, Stallings has begun to cede playing time to 26-year-old Nick Fortes. While Fortes isn’t an offensive force himself, his .231/.280/.328 batting line outpaces what Stallings has been able to muster so far in 2023, and Fortes has drawn superior grades for his pitch blocking and pitch framing. Fortes, in fact, leads all big league catchers in Statcast’s new pitch blocking metric. (Stallings has been above-average as well.) Neither catcher has been able to control the running game at all; Fortes has just an 8% caught-stealing rate on the season, while Stallings is only marginally better at 12%. Stolen base success rate is up in general throughout the league with this year’s new rules, but the Fortes/Stallings tandem has allowed the sixth-most steals in MLB (63) and is tied for the fewest runners caught (seven).

Unfortunately for the Marlins — as is often the case, given the scarcity at the position — there doesn’t appear to be a particularly robust catching market on the horizon this summer. Veteran rentals like Yasmani Grandal and Tucker Barnhart (whose two-year deal has a 2024 player option) could become available, but neither is necessarily a major difference maker. Grandal is enjoying a somewhat resurgent .263/.328/.406 performance at the plate, but he’s earning $18.25MM this year and has the worst pop-time of any catcher in baseball (with a 15.5% caught-stealing rate himself). Barnhart hasn’t hit any better than Stallings has.

It’s feasible that some other veterans could hit the market once their respective clubs take a look at top prospects. The Guardians have Bo Naylor largely ready for a big league look but continue dedicating playing time to Mike Zunino. The Pirates have top prospects Endy Rodriguez and Henry Davis both in Triple-A, and either could unseat Austin Hedges in the Majors before terribly long. However, neither Hedges nor Zunino would give the Fish a meaningful offensive upgrade.

As far as some potentially more controllable options go, the Marlins could look to some yet-unproven backstops around the league. Ivan Herrera, once the ostensible successor to Yadier Molina in St. Louis, is now blocked by Willson Contreras but remains a top-100 prospect with everyday catching upside. The Giants recently optioned Joey Bart and will continue taking a look at Patrick Bailey as their primary catcher, perhaps setting Bart up for a potential change-of-scenery swap. Of course, learning a new staff on the fly midseason is a challenge, and that’s even more true for a young catcher who’s also trying to establish himself as a viable big leaguer — perhaps even in the midst of a playoff race.

Some Marlins fans might’ve gotten their hopes up for a potential run at Salvador Perez when his name recently popped up in a few rumors, but Kansas City general manager J.J. Picollo publicly stated yesterday that he has no intention of trading Perez (who has full veto power over any possible deals anyhow, as a player with 10-and-5 rights). The Mets looked into trades of Tomas Nido before passing him through outright waivers, but he’s another veteran option who’s no guarantee to be an offensive upgrade over the current in-house tandem. The last-place Rockies could speculatively look to sell high on Elias Diaz’s solid start, but he’s a volatile performer on a year-to-year basis and the Rox tend to avoid selling off veterans even in losing seasons.

Miami figures to be just one of several teams poking around a limited catching market. Hopeful contenders in Cleveland, Houston and San Diego have also gotten negligible output from their catchers, and injury troubles elsewhere in the league could create other motivated buyers between now and Aug. 1. There aren’t likely to be too many plausible upgrade options on the market, leaving the Fish and other interested teams to get creative as they aim to address the need.

Trevor Bauer Reportedly Facing Additional Sexual Assault Allegation

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A woman has filed a civil action against Trevor Bauer accusing him of a 2020 sexual assault in Arizona, reports Brent Schrotenboer of USA Today. Readers are advised that details of the allegations — which can be found in the USA Today article — are disturbing.

According to Schrotenboer, the woman first filed suit against Bauer last December and recently amended the complaint to include additional alleged details. Bauer has denied the allegations and filed a countersuit. Four women have been publicly known to have leveled sexual assault allegations against Bauer within the past few years.

The first of those allegations came to light midway through the 2021 season. The Los Angeles County District Attorney’s Office elected not to proceed with criminal charges following an investigation, stating they didn’t have enough evidence to prove the charges beyond a reasonable doubt. Two other women subsequently came forward with similar allegations; no criminal charges were filed.

MLB conducted an investigation and handed down a 324-game suspension — the joint domestic violence policy permits the league to impose discipline even in the absence of criminal charges — early in the 2022 season. Bauer appealed and sat out the entire season while the appellate process played out. Last December, an arbitration panel reduced the appeal to 194 games, which Bauer had already served while the investigations were pending.

The Dodgers designated Bauer for assignment shortly thereafter. Los Angeles released him in January. Two months later, he signed a one-year contract with the Yokohama DeNA BayStars in Japan’s Nippon Professional Baseball. Bauer has made six NPB appearances this season.

MLB Considering Limitations On Teams’ Off-Field Spending

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Major League Baseball officials have discussed the possibility of capping teams’ spending in off-field areas such as technology, player development and scouting, report Evan Drellich and Ken Rosenthal of the Athletic. MLB’s owners and league officials are convened in New York this week for a quarterly meeting, though they haven’t announced any changes to this point.

A league official downplayed the possibility of staff restrictions, telling Drellich and Rosenthal that MLB’s focus is on technology. “There is nothing happening on (the staffing) front,” the spokesperson told The Athletic. “What we are focused on is gathering information on vendor costs to find potential cost savings through efficiencies and to ensure equal access to all technology.”

Nevertheless, Drellich and Rosenthal hear that some high-ranking league personnel have indeed kicked around the idea of limits on spending for non-playing staff. That’d be a divisive provision that could impact job security for front office members were it to gain traction.

MLB could frame such a limitation as a competitive balance measure. Smaller-market clubs could argue that revenue disparities among organizations affords larger-market franchises more leeway in bolstering areas such as scouting, analytics and player development — all of which should have trickle-down effects in the on-field results. Limiting spending on non-playing personnel, one could argue, would prevent higher-revenue franchises from leveraging their financial might to gain those advantages.

However, there’s a reasonable case that capping non-playing spending actually reduces the ability for lower-revenue clubs to compete with bigger-payroll rivals. Investment in front office and player development staff generally costs a fraction of teams’ spending on players. For some smaller-market owners, unrestricted spending on non-playing talent can be a means of limiting the advantage for higher-revenue franchises with more leeway on player payroll.

A potential provision that’d force teams to cut costs in non-playing capacities is surely appealing to some on the league side. Each collective bargaining negotiation brings some chatter about MLB potentially pursuing a salary cap. The Players Association has steadfastly refused to entertain that, though. That’s not likely to make it out of collective bargaining anytime soon, but the MLBPA doesn’t represent an obstacle for the league in limiting non-player spending.

Most front office personnel aren’t unionized. As Rosenthal and Drellich point out, the Congressional antitrust exemption for MLB would likely be the basis for a potential limit on front office staff. Whether the league would consider possible litigation, increased scrutiny regarding the exemption, and/or adding an incentive for non-playing personnel to consider unionization efforts of their own — R.J. Anderson of CBS Sports examined that possibility in depth last month in a piece that’s worth a read for those interested in the topic — remains to be seen.

Japanese-Born MLB Player Round Up

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Many star players from NPB have made their way to MLB to take on a new challenge.

Some of them became household names like Ichiro and Hideki Matsui. Some were consistent and solid players for a long period like Hiroki Kuroda and Koji Uehara. Some failed to meet the hype and lofty expectations like Kei Igawa and Kazuo Matsui. Some became fan favorites like Munenori Kawasaki.

The 2021 AL MVP and two-way superstar Shohei Ohtani headlines the current batch of Japanese big-league players, and rightfully so. These players are a fascinating group that features exciting rookies, experienced veterans, and players looking to make their mark in MLB. Their performances go a long way in promoting the globalization of the sport but also provide fans, scouts, and front offices a better baseline for evaluating future talent from NPB.

How are their respective seasons going? Let’s break it down.

(All stats as of 6/11/2023)

Shohei Ohtani

Big surprise, Ohtani is once again among the frontrunners in the AL MVP race with his one-of-a-kind value as a two-way player. At the plate, he is hitting .291/.362/.593 with 50 RBI and an AL-leading 20 homers.

He had a hot start on the mound to start the season, with a 0.64 ERA and a .093 opponent batting average in his first five starts. Since his last start in April against the A’s, Ohtani has really struggled with the long ball. All 11 homers allowed on the season have come since that start.

On the season, Ohtani has a 3.32 ERA in 13 starts, with a 33.3 K% in 76 innings pitched. He has been plagued by shaky control in some starts, and his walk rate is up to 11.1% compared to 6.7% last season.

You can find Ohtani updates, including reports of every start, endorsement deals, and hot stove news on his player page on MLBTR, or shoheiohtanirumors.com.

Kodai Senga

The Mets signed the 30-year-old right-hander to a five-year, $75MM deal last December. Senga was immediately thrown into the fire in the early weeks of the season as the anchor of a depleted Mets rotation that was impacted by injuries to Justin Verlander and Carlos Carrasco and Max Scherzer’s suspension.

So far, Senga has answered the call and shown the talent that made him one of the most coveted starting pitchers in the 2022 offseason. Senga has a 3.34 ERA in 12 starts and 64 ⅔ innings pitched this season. He had a 4.15 ERA in his first five starts, but he has maintained a 2.79 ERA in his last seven. He is striking out hitters at a strong 28.3% rate, but walking hitters at a 14.3% clip.

Senga’s notorious ‘Ghost Fork’ splitter, which made him a household name in Japan, is no fluke. Hitters are only hitting .108 against the forkball and whiffing at a whopping 59.8% rate, one of the highest in MLB.

The next step in Senga’s transition to MLB is building consistency in control that will allow him to be more efficient and pitch deeper into games. In his final season in NPB, Senga walked 8.6% of hitters, so it’s certainly possible.

Masataka Yoshida

The 29-year-old outfielder signed a five-year, $90MM deal with the Red Sox after seven highly productive seasons in Japan for the Orix Buffaloes. The hefty price tag surprised many, given the questions of his slight frame at 5’8″ and power numbers in NPB traditionally not translating well to the big leagues. The ‘Macho Man’ has rewarded the organization’s faith with his patient and disciplined approach, bat-to-ball skills, and sharp swing. Yoshida is now one of the frontrunners in the AL Rookie of the Year race with his borderline All-Star-level production at the plate.

Yoshida is hitting .300/.375/.467 with seven homers, 33 RBI, and a 132 wRC+. After overcoming a nightmarish start (.189/.317/.264 in first 53 at-bats) to his MLB career, he’s been one of the most consistent bats for the Red Sox. Yoshida joined Ichiro as one of only two players this century to have reached base 85+ times and struck out 25 or fewer times in their first 50 career games.

He turned a corner after working with both Red Sox and Orix Buffaloes coaches and making appropriate adjustments, including lowering his hands. He continues to be proactive with his adjustments. After a rare three-strikeout performance against the Diamondbacks, the Sox coaching staff tweaked his approach and Yoshida responded with a .480/.581/.760 line in the next seven games.

Defensively, there is room for improvement for the outfielder. The Statcast metrics are not favorable, as he ranks in the tenth percentile and 12th percentile in outs above average and outfielder jump, respectively. He should be able to make marginal improvements in that area as he continues to familiarize himself with the Green Monster and the unique outfield at Fenway Park. Could he be making his way to Seattle for the All-Star game in July? We shall see. 

Seiya Suzuki

The 28-year-old outfielder is in the second year of his five-year, $85MM deal with the Cubs.  He was limited to 110 games in his first season by injury, hitting .262/.336/.433 along with 14 homers and 46 RBI. 

After a slow start in April where he hit .254/.333/.373 and just one home run, Suzuki had an excellent month in May, hitting .319/.417/.560 and five homers. On the season, Suzuki is hitting .278/.367/.450 with six homers, 19 RBI, and 124 wRC+ in 50 games. 

So far in his big league career, Suzuki has shown fans glimpses of the five-tool skill set that made him an appealing player in the 2021 offseason but has yet to have his breakout moment.

He has shown excellent plate discipline, walking at a 12.1% rate, and ranks in the 92nd percentile on Statcast chase rate. Despite his plate discipline, Suzuki strikes out quite often, with a 26.1 K%. Suzuki seems to struggle against pitches with movement, hitting just .216 against sinkers and .176 against cutters. Four-seamers with “clean” spin are traditionally more valued over moving pitches in Japan, so it is common for Japanese hitters to struggle with movement since they lack reps. 

Suzuki has been as advertised on the defensive end, recording two outs above average, thanks to a 98th-percentile outfielder jump and 92nd-percentile arm strength. 

Yu Darvish

The right-hander signed a five-year, $90MM contract extension in February, keeping him on the team through 2028. Darvish had a self-proclaimed best season of his career in 2022, tossing 194 2/3 innings with a 3.10 ERA, 25.6 K%, and 4.8 BB%.

He hasn’t been at his absolute best in 2023, with a 4.30 ERA, 26.3 K%, 7.5 BB% in 69 innings, but is still putting up above-average peripheral numbers on Statcast and still featuring a unique eight-pitch mix. If you remove his May 28th start against the Yankees where he got knocked around for seven runs in 2 ⅔ innings, his ERA would be 3.53. 

He reached the 100 wins mark in his last start against the Rockies on June 9, joining Hideo Nomo as the only Japanese MLB pitchers to reach that mark.

Yusei Kikuchi

In his second season as a Blue Jay, Kikuchi is still navigating his way to be a consistently productive starter. The left-hander had his worst season in the majors since his rookie season, largely due to poor control and a questionable pitch mix. 

Coming into 2023, Kikuchi made subtle changes in his delivery and mechanics, while sporting a new beard and swagger. He was off to a solid start, with a 3.00 ERA in April, but had a tough May where he gave up nine home runs and had a 5.83 ERA. On the season, Kikuchi has a 4.34 ERA, 22.7 K%, and 7.4 BB% in 66 ⅓ innings, while giving up an MLB-worst 18 home runs. 

The left-hander is throwing harder than he ever has, with average fastball velocity up to 95.3 mph compared to 92.5 mph his first year in MLB. It hasn’t necessarily translated to a high-quality pitch, however. While Kikuchi is getting whiffs at a 29.7% rate with his fastball, hitters are still getting good contact and hitting .315 against it. 

Although Kikuchi has improved his walk rate by five percentage points from last season, his bad starts are still marked by control issues and giving up the long ball while working behind in the count. The Blue Jays will need every solid performance they can get from Kikuchi in a competitive AL East, especially with Alek Manoah being optioned to the Florida Complex League. 

Kenta Maeda

The 35-year-old Twins right-hander is attempting a full comeback from Tommy John surgery in 2021. The veteran has faced several setbacks in his recovery. He took a 111.6 mph liner off his left foot against the Red Sox on April 20. In his next start against the Yankees, Maeda gave up a career-worst 10 runs in three innings. He was then placed on the IL with a strained triceps. 

Maeda completed his third rehab start for Triple-A St. Paul on June 10. He tossed four shutout innings and struck out five, and will be returning to the big league team in the coming weeks. “The (velocity) was good, the splitter was good, the slider was good. Everything was good,” said St. Paul manager Toby Gardenhire (link via Dean Spiros of the St. Paul Pioneer-Press).

Shintaro Fujinami

The Athletics signed Fujinami to a one-year, $3MM deal in January, with the A’s front office rolling the dice on Fujinami’s 100 mph fastball and potential plus strikeout stuff, despite control issues.

He opened the season in the rotation but was quickly moved to the bullpen at the end of April after allowing 24 runs in just 15 innings and walking 12 batters. It has been more of the same for the 29-year-old right-hander since moving to the bullpen, with a 11.12 ERA on the season while walking 17% of hitters.

It’s been a struggle for Fujinami to throw strikes to say the least. His 29 total walks is the most in MLB for pitchers under 40 innings thrown. When he does find the strike zone, the 6’6 righty is getting shelled. He has a hard hit percentage of 49%, which ranks in the seventh percentile.

Fujinami has dug himself a deep hole in terms of establishing himself as a big league pitcher, but he’s continuing to get opportunities to prove himself on an A’s pitching staff with minimal depth.

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