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2026 Arbitration Tracker

By Darragh McDonald | January 8, 2026 at 11:33am CDT

Today is the deadline for players and teams to exchange figures in arbitration — an annual deadline that leads to a slew of one-year deals and, typically, a handful of multi-year deals. Today should see upwards of 100 players agree to salaries for the 2026 season, although the majority of clubs and players now wait until the very last minute to agree.

Each player’s service time is in parentheses, and you can of course check back to see each player’s projected salary from MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz. We’ll keep this updated as deals come in — refresh for updates — and break off some of the larger, more prominent agreements in separate entries. All agreements are for one year unless otherwise noted.

Angels

Brock Burke (5.045):
Jo Adell (4.085):
Reid Detmers (3.159):
José Soriano (3.121):
Logan O’Hoppe (3.008):
Zach Neto (2.170):

Astros

Steven Okert (5.089): $2.325MM agreement today (via MLB.com’s Brian McTaggart)
Bryan Abreu (5.022):
Enyel De Los Santos (5.015): $1.6MM agreement reached in November
Isaac Paredes (4.160):
Jesús Sánchez (4.118):
Jake Meyers (4.044):
Jeremy Peña (4.000):
Hunter Brown (3.035):
Yainer Diaz (3.035):
Hayden Wesneski (2.170): $975K agreement today (per Full Seam Ahead)
Nick Allen (2.164):
Bennett Sousa (2.156):
Taylor Trammell (2.144): Agreed to split deal in November, $900K in majors and $500K in minors, before being outrighted off the roster in December

Athletics

Austin Wynns (5.017): $1.1MM agreement reached in November
Shea Langeliers (3.051):
Ken Waldichuk (2.150): $825K agreement reached in November; Waldichuk was designated for assignment last month and is still in DFA limbo
Luis Medina (2.149): $835K agreement reached in November

Blue Jays

Daulton Varsho (5.128):
Eric Lauer (5.091):
Ernie Clement (3.168):
Tyler Heineman (3.066): $1.2375MM agreement reached today (per Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet)

Braves

Mauricio Dubon (5.162): $6.1MM agreement reached in November
José Suarez (4.064): $900K agreement reached in November
Dylan Lee (3.150):
Eli White (3.140): $900K agreement reached in November
Vidal Bruján (3.014): Agreed to split deal in November, $850K in majors and $500K in minors
Joey Wentz (2.166): $900K agreement reached in November

Brewers

Jake Bauers (5.084): $2.7MM agreement reached in November
Andrew Vaughn (4.142):
William Contreras (4.112):
Trevor Megill (4.002):
Ángel Zerpa (3.082):
Garrett Mitchell (3.040):
Brice Turang (2.165):

Cardinals

JoJo Romero (5.045):
Lars Nootbaar (4.076):
Brendan Donovan (4.000):
Andre Pallante (3.145): $4MM agreement reached today (per Fansided’s Robert Murray)
Nolan Gorman (3.114):
Alec Burleson (3.029):
Matthew Liberatore (2.144):

Cubs

Justin Steele (4.143):
Edward Cabrera (3.147):
Javier Assad (3.027):

Diamondbacks

A.J. Puk (5.124): $3.3MM
Ryan Thompson (5.095): $3.9MM
Kevin Ginkel (5.033): $3MM
Pavin Smith (4.015): $2.4MM
Alek Thomas (3.103): $2.2MM
Jake McCarthy (3.074): $1.9MM
Gabriel Moreno (3.061): $2.4MM
Ryne Nelson (3.020): $3.3MM

Dodgers

Brusdar Graterol (5.167): $2.8MM agreement reached yesterday
Alex Vesia (5.078): Dodgers exercised $3.65MM club option in November
Anthony Banda (4.135):
Brock Stewart (4.093):
Alex Call (2.161):

Giants

JT Brubaker (5.162): $1.82MM agreement reached in November

Guardians

Steven Kwan (4.000):
Nolan Jones (3.007): $2MM agreement reached in November
David Fry (2.154): $1.375MM agreement reached in November
Matt Festa (2.153): $1MM agreement reached in November

Marlins

Anthony Bender (4.153):
Braxton Garrett (3.168): $1.53MM agreement reached today (per Fish on First)
Ryan Weathers (3.066):
Andrew Nardi (3.053):
Max Meyer (2.166):
Calvin Faucher (2.156):

Mariners

Randy Arozarena (5.129):
Logan Gilbert (4.144):
Gabe Speier (4.000):
George Kirby (3.151):
Matt Brash (3.121):
Luke Raley (3.106):
Bryce Miller (2.153):

Mets

Luis Torrens (5.105):
Tyrone Taylor (5.093): $3.8MM agreement reached in November
David Peterson (5.089):
Tylor Megill (4.031):
Huascar Brazobán (2.170):
Francisco Alvarez (2.164):
Reed Garrett (2.143):

Nationals

Luis García Jr. (4.142):
Josiah Gray (4.075): $1.35MM agreement reached in December
MacKenzie Gore (4.000):
Riley Adams (3.171): Agreed to split deal in November, $1MM in majors and $500K in minors
CJ Abrams (3.130):
Jake Irvin (2.152):
Cade Cavalli (2.141):

Orioles

Taylor Ward (5.164):
Ryan Mountcastle (5.105):
Keegan Akin (5.083):
Trevor Rogers (5.047):
Tyler Wells (4.132):
Dean Kremer (4.112):
Adley Rutschman (4.000):
Félix Bautista (4.000): $2.25MM agreement reached in November
Kyle Bradish (3.160):
Shane Baz (3.158):
Yennier Cano (3.065):
Gunnar Henderson (3.036):

Padres

Adrián Morejón (5.140):
Jason Adam (5.132):
Gavin Sheets (4.076):
JP Sears (3.065):
Luis Campusano (3.003): $900K agreement reached in November
Mason Miller (2.166):
Freddy Fermin (2.165):

Phillies

Jesús Luzardo (5.165):
Edmundo Sosa (5.140):
Alec Bohm (5.106):
Garrett Stubbs (4.148): Agreed to split deal in November, $925K in majors and $575K in minors
Brandon Marsh (4.078):
Jhoan Duran (4.000):
Bryson Stott (4.000):
Tanner Banks (3.092):
Rafael Marchan (3.006): $860K agreement reached in November

Pirates

Dennis Santana (5.126): $3.5MM agreement today (via Alex Stumpf of MLB.com)
Joey Bart (4.020):
Justin Lawrence (3.167):
Yohan Ramirez (3.135): $825K agreement reached in November
Oneil Cruz (3.110):
Jack Suwinski (2.170): $1.25MM agreement reached in November

Rangers

Sam Haggerty (5.007): $1.25MM agreement reached in November
Josh Smith (3.129):
Jake Burger (3.127):
Ezequiel Durán (3.050):
Josh Jung (3.023):

Rays

Shane McClanahan (4.158): $3.6MM agreement reached in December
Cole Sulser (4.096): $1.05MM agreement reached in November
Taylor Walls (4.092): Club exercised $2.45MM option in November and agreed to $3.1MM club option for 2027
Griffin Jax (4.091):
Garrett Cleavinger (4.060): $2.4MM agreement today (per Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times)
Steven Wilson (3.166):
Nick Fortes (3.149):
Josh Lowe (3.093):
Bryan Baker (3.049):
Ryan Pepiot (3.005):
Kevin Kelly (2.156):
Richie Palacios (2.156):
Edwin Uceta (2.150):

Red Sox

Tanner Houck (4.100):
Johan Oviedo (4.078):
Jarren Duran (3.155): $7.7MM agreement reached in November
Kutter Crawford (3.136): $2.75MM agreement reached earlier this week
Romy González (3.083):
Connor Wong (3.079): $1.375MM agreement reached in November
Triston Casas (3.032):

Reds

Brady Singer (5.156):
Gavin Lux (5.114):
Tyler Stephenson (5.056):
Sam Moll (4.023): $875K agreement reached in November
Nick Lodolo (4.000):
Ben Rortvedt (3.135): $1.25MM agreement reached with Dodgers in November before Reds claimed him off waivers
Graham Ashcraft (3.130):
TJ Friedl (3.112):
Tony Santillan (3.099):
Spencer Steer (3.035):
Will Benson (3.003):
Matt McLain (2.140):

Rockies

Jimmy Herget (4.069):
Mickey Moniak (4.027):
Ryan Feltner (3.071):
Tyler Freeman (3.046):
Brenton Doyle (2.161):
Brennan Bernardino (2.150):

Royals

Kris Bubic (5.135):
John Schreiber (5.027):
Jonathan India (5.000): $8MM agreement reached in November
Kyle Isbel (4.043):
Nick Mears (4.022):
Bailey Falter (3.138):
Daniel Lynch IV (3.136):
Vinnie Pasquantino (3.101):
Michael Massey (3.068): $1.57MM agreement today (via Ari Alexander of 7News)
Maikel Garcia (2.168): Five-year, $57.5MM extension signed in December
James McArthur (2.150): $810K agreement reached in November

Tigers

Tarik Skubal (5.114):
Casey Mize (5.111):
Jake Rogers (5.040): $3.05MM agreement reached in November
Will Vest (4.100):
Zach McKinstry (4.099):
Matt Vierling (4.026): $3.225MM agreement reached in November
Riley Greene (3.110):
Spencer Torkelson (3.076):
Kerry Carpenter (3.057):
Beau Brieske (3.056): $1.1575 agreement reached in November
Tyler Holton (3.047):

Twins

Ryan Jeffers (5.089):
Justin Topa (5.044): $1.225MM agreement reached in November
Bailey Ober (4.093):
Joe Ryan (4.033):
Trevor Larnach (4.014):
Royce Lewis (3.142):
Alex Jackson (3.036):
Cole Sands (3.017):

White Sox

Derek Hill (3.040): $900K agreement reached in November

Yankees

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (5.075):
David Bednar (5.073):
Clarke Schmidt (4.148): $4.5MM agreement reached in November
Camilo Doval (4.071):
Luis Gil (3.073):
Jake Bird (3.051):
Oswaldo Cabrera (3.050): $1.2MM agreement reached in November
Fernando Cruz (3.035):
Anthony Volpe (3.000):
José Caballero (2.170):

Mets Prefer Trade Market To Free Agency In Rotation Search

By Steve Adams | January 8, 2026 at 11:07am CDT

The Mets are still in the market for upgrades to their starting pitching group, but they prefer to bolster the rotation by way of a trade rather than via free agency, Ken Rosenthal and Will Sammon of The Athletic report.

It’s not exactly a surprising revelation. We’re one month removed from initial reporting that the Mets were reluctant to sign a free agent pitcher to a long-term contract, and the Mets have since shown aversions to long-term deals for incumbent stars like Edwin Diaz and especially Pete Alonso — both of whom have now signed elsewhere. The Mets also traded the remaining five years of Brandon Nimmo’s contract for three of Marcus Semien. It seems there’s a real push to avoid clogging up the long-term books with many major deals beyond the lengthy commitments to Juan Soto and Francisco Lindor.

It’s worth noting, too, that the Mets are deep in both top prospects and young big leaguers that could be marketed to other clubs. Their farm system is generally regarded as one of the ten best in the game. Following this year’s draft and trade deadline, Baseball America ranked the Mets’ system ninth in the game. MLB.com ranked it seventh. BA counts five Mets prospects (Carson Benge, Nolan McLean, Jonah Tong, Jett Williams, Brandon Sproat) among the top 100 in the game. Young infielders Mark Vientos, Ronny Mauricio and Luisangel Acuña are all available in trade talks as well, per Rosenthal and Sammon.

One of the market’s most notable trade candidates, Miami righty Edward Cabrera, came off the board yesterday when he was traded to the Cubs for a three-player package headlined by top young outfielder Owen Caissie. Presumably, the Mets would’ve had to pay an even steeper price as a division rival, but Cabrera’s removal from the market only thins out the supply and creates more urgency among teams still looking for meaningful rotation upgrades (e.g. Mets, Yankees, Orioles, D-backs, Padres).

The Mets have been connected to a handful of possible trade targets this winter. They’ve reportedly spoken to the Padres about Nick Pivetta and to the Brewers about Freddy Peralta. They were also among the teams in on Cabrera and had some interest in Minnesota’s Joe Ryan before the Twins signaled that they’re not planning to move him (or rotation-mate Pablo Lopez). They’ve surely at least checked in on other prominent and under-the-radar names on the market alike.

The Mets went to three years to sign Devin Williams in free agency, acquired three years of Semien and (reportedly) were unwilling to go beyond three years for Pete Alonso. Their free-agent deals with infielder Jorge Polanco and righty Luke Weaver only span a two-year term. There’s been no firm indication that they’re wholly against surpassing three years for any free agent, but that certainly seems to be the team’s comfort zone with additions to the roster.

In fact, since being named president of baseball operations, David Stearns hasn’t committed more than three years to any free agent other than Soto, whose signing was more of an ownership-level move. Stearns’ largest signing after Soto was Sean Manaea, whose three-year, $75MM deal contains more than $23MM in deferred money. Currently, the Mets only have four players on guaranteed contracts in 2028 (Soto, Lindor, Williams, Semien). By 2029, Soto and Lindor are the only two players on the books.

If there’s a reluctance to guarantee players anything into 2029 and beyond, as at least ostensibly seems to the be the case, that’ll make it quite difficult to land any of the top remaining free agent names. The Mets sat down with Framber Valdez back in November, and Rosenthal and Sammon indicate that there’s still some interest there. Of course, signing Valdez would surely require going beyond three years — likely to at least a five-year pact. Ranger Suarez, like Valdez, figures to be looking for at least a five-year deal in free agency. If either pitcher lingers into February or March, perhaps they’ll pivot to a shorter-term deal with opt-out opportunities. Beyond that, a match with the Mets seems hard to envision — at least based on the team’s recent tendencies under the current baseball operations regime.

RosterResource currently projects the Mets for a $294MM payroll and just over $296MM of luxury-tax obligations. That puts the Mets about $8MM shy of the top tier of penalization, which they’ve crossed in each of the past four seasons. They currently owe a 95% tax on any dollars spent up to $304MM worth of tax obligations. From that point on, they’ll be taxed at a 110% rate for every dollar spent.

Red Sox Targeting Left-Handed Bullpen Help

By Mark Polishuk | January 8, 2026 at 10:32am CDT

The Red Sox are scouring the bullpen market for free agent southpaws, and MassLive.com’s Chris Cotillo reports that Tim Mayza and Cionel Perez are two of the left-handers on the team’s radar. Boston has also maintained interest in Justin Wilson and Danny Coulombe, as Cotillo initially reported last month.

Wilson is the most known quantity for the Sox, as he posted a 3.35 ERA, 27.5% strikeout rate, and 9.7% walk rate over 48 1/3 innings out of the Boston pen in 2025. While the walk rate was on the high side and Wilson’s fastball velocity dropped from 95.5mph in 2024 to 94.5mph last year, it was still a very solid season for Wilson, and a sign that he is now fully recovered from the injuries that basically erased his entire 2022-23 seasons.

One complication for the Red Sox and any other suitor pursuing Wilson is that the veteran isn’t entirely committed to pitching in 2026. According to The Athletic’s Ken Rosenthal and Will Sammon, Wilson wants “a fair deal with a legitimate World Series contender” and is willing to hang up his cleats after 13 Major League seasons if his demands aren’t met.

As Cotillo notes, Wilson and his agents at ACES could be using the retirement threat as leverage in contract talks. That said, it also isn’t out of the question that Wilson is nearing the end of the line, after turning 38 years old last August. Another one-year guarantee seems likely given Wilson’s age, and he is undoubtedly looking for a raise on the $2.25MM guarantee he received from the Red Sox on his deal for the 2025 campaign.

The Sox have seen plenty of Mayza and Perez over the years in AL East battles. Mayza spent his first seven MLB seasons with the Blue Jays and Yankees before pitching with the Pirates and Phillies in 2025, and Perez has worked out of the Orioles’ bullpen from 2022-25. Either pitcher could be had on a one-year contract and perhaps not even a guaranteed big league deal, as Mayza and Perez are both looking to bounce back from rough 2024-25 seasons.

Mayza (who turns 34 next week) had a 3.78 ERA over only 16 2/3 innings in 2025, as a lat strain and a teres major strain kept him on the injured list for much of the year. He likely would’ve been a deadline trade candidate if healthy, and the Pirates put him on the waiver wire at the end of August, with Philadelphia claiming the veteran to add bullpen depth for the stretch run. Mayza had only a 4.91 ERA in his eight games and 7 1/3 IP with the Phils, and he wasn’t included on their playoff roster.

Perez seemingly broke out with a tremendous 1.40 ERA over 57 2/3 relief innings for Baltimore in 2022, but his results have steadily declined over the past three seasons. The bottom completely fell out for Perez last year, as he had an 8.31 ERA and almost as many walks (18) as strikeouts (21) over 21 2/3 innings. Perez hasn’t pitched in the majors since late May, when the Orioles designated the lefty for assignment and then outrighted him off the 40-man roster.

Since the start of the 2022 season, Coulombe has a 2.38 ERA — the ninth-lowest ERA of any pitcher who has tossed at least 130 Major League innings (Coulombe has 136 1/3 IP). A 26% strikeout rate and 8.1% walk rate support this excellent bottom-line number, though Coulombe struggled after being dealt from the Twins to the Rangers at last year’s trade deadline.

Coulombe turned 36 in October so he’ll likely be limited to one-year offers as well this winter, but he is still drawing a good deal of interest. Rosenthal and Sammon write that five teams are in on Coulombe, which may or may not include the Red Sox.

Aroldis Chapman is the top southpaw in Boston’s bullpen, but with Chapman set to operate as the closer, the Sox are in need of at least one experienced left-hander to work in a more situational capacity. Jovani Moran projects as the top non-Chapman option amongst Boston’s current bullpen mix, but Moran has a 5.44 ERA over 46 1/3 innings since the start of the 2023 season, and he missed most of the last two years recovering from Tommy John surgery.

Cubs Sign Jeff Brigham To Minors Contract

By Mark Polishuk | January 8, 2026 at 9:56am CDT

The Cubs signed right-hander Jeff Brigham to a minor league contract, MLB.com’s Jordan Bastian reports. Brigham’s deal includes an invitation to Chicago’s big league Spring Training camp.

Brigham (who turns 34 in February) is a veteran of six Major League seasons, with 120 2/3 innings pitched over 94 total games with the Marlins, Mets, and Diamondbacks. Three of Brigham’s six seasons included four or fewer appearances, including his work with Arizona in 2025 — the righty posted an 8.10 ERA over four games and 3 1/3 innings.

The D’Backs signed Brigham to a minors deal last winter, and he hasn’t pitched since being released by the team last August while on the minor league injured list. Injuries plagued Brigham for a good deal of the 2025 season, as he only pitched in 18 games (21 2/3 IP) in Arizona’s farm system in addition to his brief time in the majors. This Cubs contract presumably indicates that Brigham is healthy and ready to vie for a bullpen job in Spring Training.

The bullpen has been a heavy focus for the Cubs this winter, with Phil Maton, Hunter Harvey, Hoby Milner, and Jacob Webb all signed to free agent deals. Between this group and swingmen/backup starting options like Colin Rea and Javier Assad also in the mix, Brigham or any other non-roster invites face a tough competition to break camp with the team. Brigham is also out of minor league options, which adds another layer of difficulty in his quest to both make the cut and remain on the 26-man roster.

Brigham has a career 4.85 ERA, with a 10.7% walk rate and an inflated home run rate contributing to his uninspiring ERA. The right-hander has had trouble keeping the ball on the ground in the big leagues, though his 23.8% strikeout rate is respectable. Over 191 2/3 career innings at Triple-A, Brigham has a 4.09 ERA, 30.27% strikeout rate, and 10.7% walk rate, with much better grounder rates but still some issues at limiting the long ball.

Rays Claim Tsung-Che Cheng

By Darragh McDonald | January 8, 2026 at 9:33am CDT

The Rays announced Thursday morning that they have claimed infielder Tsung-Che Cheng off waivers from the Pirates. The Bucs designated him for assignment last month. Tampa had an open spot on the 40-man roster and didn’t need to make a corresponding move.

Cheng, 24, changes teams for the first time in his career. The Pirates signed him as an international amateur out of Taiwan in 2019. By the end of the 2023 season, he had climbed to Double-A. He found some offensive success with a low-power, low-strikeout approach. He was also considered a solid defender at either middle infield spot and showed a knack for stealing bases. Splitting 2023 between High-A and Double-A, he hit 13 home runs, swiped 26 bags, had a 9.7% walk rate and 18.7% strikeout rate. He slashed .278/.352/.456 for a 116 wRC+.

The total package was enough that the Bucs added him to their 40-man roster that November to keep him out of the Rule 5 draft. His offense declined over the past two years, with a combined .217/.319/.312 line and 81 wRC+. He drew walks at a strong 12.2% clip in that time but was also punched out in 23.8% of his plate appearances. He got to make his major league debut last year but went hitless in seven plate appearances with three strikeouts.

The Pirates bumped him off their roster December 19th. DFA limbo normally only lasts a week but there’s more wiggle room over the holidays, so Cheng was out there for almost three weeks. The Rays are a good landing spot for him, as their middle infield is pretty unsettled. They traded second baseman Brandon Lowe to the Pirates last month, the deal which led to Cheng losing his roster spot with Pittsburgh. Ha-Seong Kim was put on waivers late last year and claimed by Atlanta. He opted out of that deal but wound up re-signing with Atlanta.

Taylor Walls is perhaps the favorite for shortstop right now but he has a career batting line of .195/.286/.298. Carson Williams made his debut last year but struck out in 41.5% of his first 106 big league plate appearances. Richie Palacios might be the frontrunner at second base but he is a wild card as he has been injured for most of the past two years.

The club may make further moves between now and Opening Day but there’s a path to playing time for Cheng if he can earn it. He still has an option remaining, so the Rays can send him to Triple-A as depth if they don’t need him in the big leagues or prefer him to get regular reps. He has just ten big league service days, so he can be cheaply retained for the foreseeable future if he’s able to carve out a role in Tampa.

Photo courtesy of Charles LeClaire, Imagn Images

The Opener: Arbitration Filing Deadline, Cubs, Rotation Market

By Nick Deeds | January 8, 2026 at 8:48am CDT

Here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on around the baseball world today:

1. Arbitration filing deadline:

Today is a big day on MLB’s offseason calendar, as Thursday marks the deadline for teams and players to exchange figures ahead of salary arbitration. Most of those cases will end in the two parties settling on a salary to avoid arbitration, but any team that still has unsigned players after today will be scheduled for a hearing in front of a three-person arbitration panel. It’s a messy process that can cause discord between player and team. Arb hearings present a difficult balancing act for teams that simultaneously wish to avoid damaging the relationship they have with their players but also are incentivized to hold a firm line on arbitration-level salaries to avoid setting damaging future precedents. The official deadline to reach an agreement is scheduled for noon CT, but teams and players will continue negotiations until the more firm deadline to file figures at 7pm CT this evening. As always, MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz delivered projected arbitration salaries for every eligible player in the game at the outset of the offseason.

2. What’s next for the Cubs?

After what had been a quiet offseason focused mostly on retooling the team’s bullpen, the Cubs made their first big splash yesterday when they swung a trade for talented right-hander Edward Cabrera. Chicago surrendered top outfield prospect Owen Caissie (alongside younger infield prospects Cristian Hernandez and Edgardo De Leon) to the Marlins in exchange for Cabrera’s services. Cabrera is controlled via arbitration for the next three seasons and is projected for a salary of just $3.7MM in 2026. That should give Chicago ample space in the budget to get involved elsewhere in the free agent market. With a rotation that suddenly looks quite deep, that could mean a more aggressive pursuit of top free agent bats. The Cubs have been connected to Alex Bregman throughout the winter, and in recent days have also been tied to Bo Bichette and even old friend Cody Bellinger. A reunion with outgoing star Kyle Tucker still seems unlikely, but could a big free agent splash be in store for the Cubs before the season begins?

3. Will the rotation market keep moving?

Yesterday’s Cabrera trade took another big piece off of the trade market, leaving only a handful of starters left to pursue on that front. Brewers righty Freddy Peralta is perhaps the most talked-about player at this point and could be an impactful rental for an acquiring team, but other players (e.g. Nationals lefty MacKenzie Gore, Mets righty Kodai Senga, Royals lefty Kris Bubic, Reds righty Brady Singer) could all theoretically be available in the right deal. Meanwhile, the lower tiers of the free agent market saw a bit of movement yesterday when the Rockies agreed to a one-year deal with right-hander Michael Lorenzen. Less active has been the high-end rotation market in free agency, where arms like Framber Valdez and Ranger Suarez still remain.

Cubs Acquire Edward Cabrera

By Steve Adams | January 7, 2026 at 11:58pm CDT

The Cubs and Marlins have completed one of the more notable trades of the offseason — a swap that’ll send righty Edward Cabrera from Miami to Chicago in exchange for top outfield prospect Owen Caissie and minor league infielders Cristian Hernandez and Edgardo De Leon.

Cabrera, 28 in April, is a former top prospect who has shown flashes of excellence in the past but wasn’t healthy enough to deliver on that potential until a breakout 2025 campaign. Though he still logged some IL time this past season, he turned in a career-high 137 2/3 innings with a strong 3.53 ERA and encouraging underlying numbers. Cabrera punched out 25.8% of opponents, logged a career-low 8.3% walk rate — far better than the 13.3% clip he carried into the season — recorded a 46.6% ground-ball rate and sat 97 mph on his four-seamer (and 96.8 mph on his sinker) in 2025.

Early in the 2025 season, Cabrera missed two weeks with blisters on his pitching hand — his second career IL trip due to blister troubles. His second IL trip in 2025 was more alarming, as it was prompted by an elbow sprain late in the year. That’s a far more worrying injury, but Cabrera returned after only three weeks and fired nine generally solid innings across his final two appearances, sitting 97.7 mph on his four-seamer and 97.9 mph on his sinker during that time. Given the trade interest in him this offseason and a deal now complete, it doesn’t appear there’s any current concern about a major elbow injury looming on the horizon.

Beyond his premium velocity and quality rate stats, Cabrera’s contractual situation always figured to hold broad-reaching appeal. He’s entering the second of four arbitration seasons as a Super Two player and is projected by MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz to earn a highly affordable $3.7MM in 2026. He’s under club control all the way through 2028, and based on the fairly low starting point in his arbitration journey, those three seasons aren’t likely to cost much more than $20MM overall.

Cabrera will slot into a deep Cubs rotation mix, joining Rookie of the Year finalist Cade Horton and veterans Matthew Boyd, Jameson Taillon and Shota Imanaga (who accepted a $22.05MM qualifying offer in November). Acquiring Cabrera likely pushes veteran swingman Colin Rea back into a long relief role to begin the season, though he’d be among the first men up in the event of an injury elsewhere on the staff.

Right-hander Javier Assad is also in the mix, though he missed nearly all of the 2025 season due to a severe oblique strain and posted a career-low 15% strikeout rate in the 37 innings he managed to tally late in the season. Assad still has minor league options remaining, so he could be sent to Triple-A to begin the year or else considered for a multi-inning relief role similar to the one Rea might occupy. Other options down in Triple-A include hard-throwing 26-year-old righty Ben Brown and former top prospect Jordan Wicks (also 26). Top prospect Jaxon Wiggins is not yet on the 40-man roster and has barely pitched in Triple-A, but he could be in line for a big league debut this coming season as well.

Of course, the Cubs will be eagerly awaiting the return of ace Justin Steele, ideally at some point in the season’s first half. The 30-year-old Steele was the team’s top starter from 2022-24, pitching a combined 427 innings of 3.10 ERA ball with plus strikeout, walk and ground-ball rates, but he made just four starts in 2025 before requiring UCL surgery in late April. Every rehab process is different, but it’s reasonable to expect that he could be back in June or July.

By the season’s second half, the Cubs could be looking at a rotation led by Steele, Horton and Cabrera, with veterans Taillon, Boyd, Imanaga and Rea among the options for the final couple spots. Injuries will almost always disrupt any team’s best laid plans, but that’s a quality group of arms that doesn’t even factor in Wiggins, who posted a 2.19 ERA and 31% strikeout rate in 18 starts (and one relief appearance) between Double-A and Triple-A last year.

On the Marlins side of things, Cabrera stood as an obvious trade candidate — but one who’d come at a fairly hefty price, given that salary and remaining club control. He landed on the back end of MLBTR’s Top 40 Offseason Trade Candidate list back in November.

It’s obviously not a financially driven move, but the Fish are deep in rotation options — with multiple top prospects nearing readiness — and have various holes in the lineup to fill. Swapping out Cabrera for a package headlined by Caissie works toward that end.

Even with Cabrera departing, Miami can roll out a rotation including Sandy Alcantara, Eury Perez, Ryan Weathers and Braxton Garrett in the top four spots. Journeyman Janson Junk had a surprisingly nice showing with the Fish in 2025 and is an option either in the fifth spot or long relief. The same can be said for righty Ryan Gusto, whom the Marlins acquired in the deadline trade sending Jesus Sanchez to Houston. Former top prospects Max Meyer, Dax Fulton and Adam Mazur are all on the 40-man roster, too. Current top prospects Thomas White and Robby Snelling could both debut this coming season. White, in particular, is regarded as one of the top prospects in the entire sport.

Caissie should step right into the Marlins’ outfield next season. The 23-year-old slugger made his big league debut this past season, struggling in a tiny sample of 27 plate appearances, but is a former second-round pick and longtime top prospect who has shredded minor league pitching. That includes a 2025 campaign in which he slashed .286/.386/.551 (139 wRC+) with 22 homers, 28 doubles and a pair of triples in 99 games/433 plate appearances of Triple-A work.

Caissie is a lefty-swinging corner outfielder with big power and big swing-and-miss tendencies. He fanned in nearly 28% of his Triple-A plate appearances last year. He’s regularly been able to offset the damage of those strikeouts by walking at high clips, however. He drew a free pass in 13.2% of his Triple-A plate appearances last year and has an overall 13.6% walk rate in five minor league seasons.

Scouting reports on Caissie praise his plus throwing arm but predict he’ll be limited to corner work (despite some early-career experience in center field). He has the makings of a prototypical three-true-outcomes right fielder. The Marlins could go with 2025 breakout slugger Kyle Stowers in left field and Caissie in right, thus giving them a pair of high-powered bats to plug into the heart of their order for the foreseeable future.

Because Caissie only made a brief MLB debut this past season, he still has six full seasons of club control remaining. He’s still rookie-eligible, so the Marlins could potentially pick up a draft pick for him via MLB’s prospect promotion incentive program, depending on when he’s brought up for his Marlins debut and (of course) on how he fares in awards voting early in his big league tenure. Caissie was only selected to the major league roster last offseason, meaning he’s only exhausted one minor league option year and still has two remaining.

Caissie joins Stowers and breakout center fielder Jakob Marsee in comprising a talented and intriguing outfield core. The Marlins’ lineup, in general, has gotten more interesting over the past couple years, thanks largely to the emergence of Xavier Edwards alongside those young outfielders. Former top catching prospect Agustin Ramirez hit for power in his rookie campaign this past season but struggled to get on base and played extremely poor defense behind the plate. Marlins president Peter Bendix has emphasized that the club hopes to continue developing Ramirez behind the plate, but he could see time at first base and DH in 2026, especially once top catching prospect Joe Mack debuts.

Hernandez, 22, is a speed-and-defense shortstop who spent the 2025 season with the Cubs’ High-A affiliate. Baseball America recently ranked him 16th among Cubs farmhands heading into the 2026 season, noting that he has plus raw power but hits the ball on the ground far too frequently to ever tap into that pop. (This past season’s seven home runs were a career-high.) BA’s report notes that Hernandez has the tools to be an above-average defender but is often inaccurate with his throwing despite good arm strength.

Improving the accuracy on Hernandez’s throws seems like a more attainable goal than overhauling his offensive approach to get more loft without compromising his lower-than-average strikeout rate, but if the Marlins can fix both those traits, it’s possible they’ll have a starting-caliber shortstop on their hands. Those are big “ifs,” of course, particularly considering that Hernandez just hit .252/.329/.365 as a 21-year-old in his second stint with the Cubs’ High-A affiliate. He’s a project, but a capable shortstop coming off a 52-steal season (61 attempts) is a nice secondary piece to add to the system.

De Leon is the furthest from MLB-ready. He’s an 18-year-old who signed as part of Chicago’s 2024 international class. The 6′, 170-pound De Leon played with the Cubs’ Dominican Summer League club in 2024, hitting .277/.431/.433 in 181 plate appearances. He moved up to their Rookie-level Arizona Complex League affiliate in 2025 and slashed .276/.353/.500 in 153 turns at the plate. BA’s Geoff Pontes listed him as a sleeper prospect to watch heading into the 2026 season, citing his encouraging exit velocities and plus raw power.

With just 334 professional plate appearances under his belt and his 19th birthday still six weeks away, De Leon is a pure development project for Miami. He’s been a productive hitter in each of his two pro seasons, though, even with some moderately worrying swing-and-miss tendencies (28.8% strikeout rate in 2025). He’ll probably head to the Marlins’ Low-A affiliate to begin the 2026 season and doesn’t seem likely to be a potential major league factor until 2028 or 2029 at the earliest.

The Marlins remain a work in progress and will most likely enter 2026 as something of a playoff long shot, but there are a number of upward-pointing arrows on the roster, making it an encouraging time for Miami fans.

Bleacher Nation’s Michael Cerami first reported that a Cabrera trade between the two teams was near completion. Kevin Barral of Fish On First reported Caissie as the likely headliner. Christina De Nicola of MLB.com and Craig Mish of SportsGrid broke the news of the other two prospects in the deal. Jeff Passan of ESPN first reported that the medical review process had been completed and that the trade was official.

MLB Mailbag: Dodgers, Reds, Marlins, Casas, Mets

By Tim Dierkes | January 7, 2026 at 11:57pm CDT

This week's Front Office mailbag gets into the Dodgers adding a top free agent, Boston's offer to Alex Bregman as well as the Triston Casas situation, which bats the Reds could add, what's next for the Marlins and Mets, and much more.

William asks:

Any substance to the rumor that Bichette is signing with the Dodgers? How would that affect their tax? And who might they trade away?

Ron asks:

The Dodgers seem set for 2026 and beyond. They have young starting pitchers coming along and younger outfielders on the way. Left field and third base are the positions that might need tweaking this year or next. Could they grab the 2 best F.A.'s still available?

On January 1st, Jon Heyman of the New York Post wrote that the Dodgers (and Yankees and Cubs) "checked on" Bichette. That's all Heyman gave us in that article - no further context. Two days later in a tweet, Heyman added the Phillies to the list of teams that "have interest," beyond the well-known Blue Jays and Red Sox.

With all due respect to Heyman, that Dodgers-Bichette connection is pretty thin. It'd almost be irresponsible for a big market team not to "check on" a quality player like Bichette as his free agency drags into the new year, especially a club with room for improvement in the infield. We have no idea if anything more than due diligence has occurred between Bichette's camp and some of these clubs.

I hope we get better info, but GMs cannot shoot down free agent interest publicly, so if some of this is overstated we might not learn until after Bichette signs.

In late November, MLBTR's Anthony Franco included the Dodgers as a "plausible/on-paper dark horse" for Bichette, writing:

"There hasn’t been much in the way of Dodgers/Bichette smoke so far. This would feel a bit like overkill, but the Dodgers don’t have anyone locked in at second base. Their farm system is loaded with outfield talent but not as strong in the middle infield aside from Alex Freeland. Locking Bichette in at second would require them to play Tommy Edman mostly in center field coming off ankle surgery."

On Monday, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic wrote, "Dodgers people like to say that Andrew Friedman’s preferred method of operation is 'hanging around the backboard.' If a player’s price in trade or free agency drops, the Dodgers’ president of baseball operations will attempt to grab him on the rebound and dunk on the industry yet again."

Friedman has had the Dodgers' top front office job for more than 11 years now, so we should have evidence of him "hanging around the backboard" and snatching up some top free agents whose market disappointed. Below is what I found, which should help us determine whether the Dodgers might swoop in on Kyle Tucker or Bo Bichette:

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MLBTR Podcast: Contracts For Imai And Okamoto, And Thoughts On The Pirates And Giants

By Darragh McDonald | January 7, 2026 at 11:56pm CDT

The latest episode of the MLB Trade Rumors Podcast is now live on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and wherever you get your podcasts! Make sure you subscribe as well! You can also use the player at this link to listen, if you don’t use Spotify or Apple for podcasts.

This week, host Darragh McDonald is joined by Steve Adams of MLB Trade Rumors to discuss…

The Astros signing Tatsuya Imai (3:15)
The Blue Jays signing Kazuma Okamoto (21:10)
The Pirates agreeing to a deal with Ryan O’Hearn but missing on Okamoto (37:55)
The Giants signing Adrian Houser and Tyler Mahle and maybe being content with their rotation (54:30)

Check out our past episodes!

Three-Way Trade, Murakami’s Short-Term Deal, And Willson Contreras To Boston – listen here
The Mets Sign Jorge Polanco, And The Braves, Blue Jays And Royals Make Moves – listen here
Winter Meetings Recap – listen here

The podcast intro and outro song “So Long” is provided courtesy of the band Showoff. Check out their Facebook page here!

Photo courtesy of Troy Taormina, Imagn Images

Tigers, Burch Smith Agree To Minor League Deal

By Anthony Franco | January 7, 2026 at 11:07pm CDT

The Tigers signed reliever Burch Smith to a minor league contract, reports Evan Petzold of The Detroit Free-Press. The righty receives an invitation to MLB camp and will be guaranteed a $1.5MM base salary if he makes the big league roster.

Smith, 36 in April, has played for seven big league clubs over a 15-year career that has taken him around the globe. Smith has pitched in Japan and Korea in addition to seven seasons at the Triple-A level. He has gotten to the majors in parts of six campaigns, working to a 5.79 ERA through 247 1/3 career innings.

The Oklahoma product’s most recent MLB action came in 2024. He divided that season evenly between the Marlins and Orioles, allowing just under five earned runs per nine over 56 1/3 frames. He spent last year on a minor league contract with the Pirates. Working for their Triple-A club in Indianapolis, Smith was tagged for a 7.08 ERA in 19 outings. He struck out nearly 27% of batters faced against an elevated 12.2% walk rate. The Pirates released him at the end of July.

Smith remained unsigned for the rest of the ’25 season. He has made a comeback in winter ball in the Dominican Republic, recording a 20:6 strikeout-to-walk ratio with three runs allowed in 15 1/3 innings. The Tigers add him to a deep collection of non-roster bullpen arms. Tanner Rainey, Sean Guenther, Scott Effross, Dugan Darnell, Jack Little, Tyler Mattison and Cole Waites have also signed minor league deals.

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