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MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | October 7, 2025 at 12:59pm CDT

Steve Adams

  • Good morning! I’ll get going around 1pm CT, but feel free to submit questions ahead of time, as always.
  • Good afternoon! Let’s get underway

Derek

  • Do Alec Bohm and A Garcia get non tendered? Not sure either team wants to commit 10+million to them

Steve Adams

  • I think Bohm will be non-tendered. Garcia has a chance to be traded somewhere to a team looking to buy low, but a NT is still possible there. I think he’s done with the Rangers one way or another.

Brooklyngail

  • Your prediction. Does HSK pick up his option and stay in Atlanta or does he test the market?

Steve Adams

  • No, I expect him to head back to the market. He got more than 1/16 when he was fresh off shoulder surgery. Even if it’s another two-year deal with an opt-out, he should be able to lock in more guaranteed money now that he’s healthy — plus the market is devoid of actual shortstop options.Braves could always try to get him to sign on for a new three- or four-year deal before he declines the option, but if my choices are “he exercises it or declines it,” I’m pretty comfortably in the latter camp.

Depressed Oriole

  • Mountcastle worth 8 mil in a trade or non tender more likely?

Steve Adams

  • I’d lean toward the non-tender, but he’s not a Nate Lowe-esque lock to be non-tendered. I could see a team giving up a negligible return to plug him in at 1B/DH at that price.

Squints

  • Does Woody end up back with Brewers next year?

Read more

Steve Adams

  • No, I fully expect him to turn down his end of the mutual option and land a multi-year deal beyond what the Brewers feel they can pay. Given how adept they’ve proven at finding affordable starting pitching, paying market price for Woodruff coming off shoulder/lat injuries doesn’t seem like the best use of their resources — fan favorite or not.

Guest

  • Rank the projected total contract value of the top SP this winter: Bieber, Valdez, King, and Suarez

Steve Adams

  • Framber and Ranger are ahead of Bieber and King based on recent health, age and track record. I’d probably go Bieber ahead of King right now just because King’s health is a total wild card and Bieber is healthy/pitching in October.Valdez and Suarez are both comfortable nine-figure guys for me

Ian

  • Any realistic landing spots for Alonso other than the Mets?

Steve Adams

  • Plenty. I don’t think he’ll be back in Queens. Red Sox, Angels, Reds, Mariners, Padres, Rangers, Guardians all make varying degrees of sense, though skeptical about the Texas fit after the Bochy departure and the “financial uncertainty” talk. Obviously not all of those teams are realistic fits (Cleveland’s not paying him $100MM+), but having some of those clubs on the periphery of the market is enough to keep some of the others bidding more seriously. Pretty good fit in Boston, where Craig Breslow sidestepped when asked if he could commit to Casas as his 1B next year the other day.

Adge

  • Do you like Toronto to sign one of Bieber, Framber, King, Cease, Woodruff,or Ranger,

Steve Adams

  • I like the Jays to add at least one notable starter this winter, yeah — whether that’s signing one of those guys or trading for a Mitch Keller, Joe Ryan, whoever.Currently they have Gausman, Yesavage, Berrios, Lauer and a bunch of question marks. (Lauer is a question himself, really)

    And after 2026, Gausman is a free agent and Berrios can opt out. I think they’ll be in the market for multiple SPs

MoonbeamMcSwine

  • Does Chaim Bloom “clean house” w/ the Cardinals.. choosing to stock their farm system over competing against perhaps the toughest division in baseball (w/ Milwaukee & Chicago)?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t expect too many “untouchables” for the Cards this winter. They’re not moving Masyn Winn or JJ Wetherholt, but beyond the pricey veterans (Arenado, Gray, Contreras) I expect them to be open to offers on Brendan Donovan, Lars Nootbaar, Nolan Gorman, Alec Burleson, JoJo Romero, etc. etc.

Larry from Clarksville

  • Can you explain Imanaga’s contract and if you think the Cubs exercise the club option given his alarming home run issues?

Steve Adams

  • Cubs have to choose whether to pick up a three-year, $57MM club option — effectively extending him through 2028. If they decline, he can pick up a $15MM player option for 2026 or decline and head to free agency.If Imanaga exercises his player option, the Cubs would have a two-year club option after 2026. If the team declined that, he’d have another player option for 2027.
  • I am increasingly coming around on the idea that maybe they just don’t want to commit $19MM per year to him for another three seasons, which would’ve seemed silly to me a few months ago. I was texting a bit with MLBTR’s Tim Dierkes and Anthony Franco about this last night. Tim, being in Chicago and closer to the situation than I am up in St. Paul, said he still leans toward the Cubs taking the safe route and picking up the option, but yeah … them declining is definitely a scenario that seems plausible now in a way that was not true even in like, July.
  • I think if the Cubs decline their option, he’ll turn down the player option and do better than $15MM on the open market.

Adam W.

  • Will Pete Alonso or Alex Bregman get a bigger free agent contract this winter?

Steve Adams

  • Bregman, easily

Craig

  • Wandy Peralta of the Padres has a 4.45 million player option for 2026.  Do you think he exercises the option to remain in San Diego or does he decline and become a free agent?

Steve Adams

  • I could see it going either way but I lean toward exercising it since he also has a $4.45MM player option for 2027. He’s guaranteed two years and $8.9MM right now, and the last time he was a free agent (two years younger, throwing a bit harder and with a better K%), the market didn’t exactly love him.

Luxury Tax

  • Does contract money changing hands a/effect a teams luxury tax total? If the Reds were to add an expensive player via trade this winter but the former team sends some money with that player, how does the luxury tax “hit” get allocated? All on Cinci because they have the player? readjusted for Cinci because their dollars will be smaller than the contract? *Cinci used as a placeholder since we all know they will never approach even the hint of Luxury Tax waters*

Steve Adams

  • The money changing hands impacts the CBT hit. If the Cardinals were to trade Sonny Gray back to Cincinnati for a reunion (sticking with your “this won’t happen” motif), the CBT hit would be recalibrated to reflect what’s remaining on the contract. So for the Cardinals, Gray has been a $25MM CBT hit. He signed a three-year, $75MM deal, and CBT hits are based on AAV.When the player is traded, however, the acquiring team is taxed based on what’s left. Gray would be a $40MM CBT hit for the Reds.

    If the Cards kicked in $25MM to help offset that, then he’d still count $25MM against the Cardinals’ tax number and $15MM against the Reds’.

  • (That $40MM being derived from Gray’s $35MM salary in 2026 plus the $5MM buyout on his 2027 option)

TxDude

  • Will we ever see the Red Sox be a force in free agency like they used to be? I feel like it was always either Boston or New York that all the FAs wanted to sign with

Steve Adams

  • They just guaranteed $120MM to Bregman last winter!But I get the question. That was more an opportunistic “soft” (heavy usage of air quotes there, haha) landing for Bregman. I imagine at some point, they’ll be more willing to spend aggressively early in the winter but think the actions of ownership over the past five to eight years have increasingly suggested they prefer not to revisit the “let’s beat the market for a 31-year-old David Price” well anytime soon.
  • So … probably somewhere in between the two extremes we’ve seen. Possibly as soon as this winter, since I do think they’ll look into higher-end SPs

Carson

  • Is there a team that would be interested in a Josh Jung trade? He surely has some value with 3 remaining years of club control and a relatively cheap projected $3M ARB1.

Steve Adams

  • Absolutely. Tigers, Pirates, Nats, Marlins, Mariners, Royals (move Maikel Garcia to 2B) … I can think of plenty who’d love to roll the dice on Jung, and I do think the Rangers will be open to exploring that possibility this winter.

Cleveland

  • Think we could pry one of Adley/Neto with our farm?

Steve Adams

  • Neto feels like an extreme long shot. Rutschman a bit more plausible, but Mike Elias has spoken repeatedly — including on our podcast — about how he fully anticipates Adley to be catching in Baltimore next year. He’s naturally stopped short of definitively declaring “I will not trade this player,” but they’d be selling low and Basallo hasn’t exactly shown he’s ready for a full season as a big league catcher yet. O’s also probably aren’t all that keen on dealing Rutschman “just” for prospects.(Nor would the Angels be keen on doing that with Neto, for what it’s worth)

PolarBearLeaving?

  • You mentioned Alonso and also Bregman.  If what you say is true about Alonso leaving/not being resigned, what about the Mets signing Bregman to play 3rd and Murakami to play 1st.  That would certainly change the vibe and core and you might make up some (but not all) of Alonso

Steve Adams

  • Yeah I think the Mets will be in on both Bregman and Munetaka Murakami, who, for those unaware, is a 25-year-old (26 in Feb) corner infielder who’s hit 22 homers in 224 PAs in Japan this season and will be posted in the offseason. He also has significant defensive and strikeout concerns, but he’s still going to get paid by a major league team because of the 80 raw power.

John

  • Could Cedric Mullins return to the Orioles?

Steve Adams

  • If he’s out there in February and hasn’t found a deal to his liking, sure I can see him going back for a year. I wouldn’t predict it as likely, but it’s not as through any bridges were burned there (at least not that I’m aware of)

Mr. Skenes

  • Am I pitching for the Pirates next year?

Steve Adams

  • Yyyyyyyup

Allen

  • Brooks Lee didn’t make a claim to his SS spot after the Correa trade. Are there any SS available in trade? Preferably in the Twins budget

Steve Adams

  • They’ll give Lee a full year to show whether he can hack it, and if not, they’ve got Kaelen Culpepper, another former first-rounder and top-100-y guy, coming along relatively quickly

@tayyyburrr

  • Lifelong Padre fan here. Does AJ Preller get any credit for at least trying to build a winner?  I know “we” haven’t won anything, but being an annual “contender” has to count for something, right?!?

Steve Adams

  • Gets credit from me. I wish there were more GMs/presidents of baseball ops like Preller, Dipoto, Dombrowski, etc.
  • I feel like so many baseball ops leaders today operate with a risk-averse approach, so as not to risk their job security. And that’s understandable! These guys are paid enormous seven-figure salaries. But it’s also boring. Give me chaos. Always chaos. It’s more fun. Preller is pure entertainment. And he’s better than his detractors give him credit for.

Craig Breslow

  • Would the Royals take Duran straight up for Bubic?  Should I?

Steve Adams

  • The Royals would. The Red Sox wouldn’t.
  • Three years of control remaining for Duran to one for Bubic.

BeBopCola

  • What was your preseason World Series pick and what is it now?

Steve Adams

  • Dodgers over Mariners so now I have to stubbornly stick to it!

GM job

  • As an impartial non Rockies fan. who would want their GM job given the terrible state of affairs throughout their organization ?  They have almost no chance of making the playoffs for many years in the NL West with LA,SD, AZ and SF.  Thanks.

Steve Adams

  • There’s only 30 of these jobs, first and foremost. So yes, plenty of people would want it. Beyond that, imagine being able to claim your legacy as the person who finally brought winning baseball to Colorado. You’d be a legend.Any front office leader is hypercompetitive and driven by challenge. Turning the Rockies around is an Everest-ian challenge (to use a terrible mountain-related analogy)

Jim

  • What prospects would the A’s have to give up in order to get Brady Singer from the Reds?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think Singer would cost a ton in trade. He has a little surplus value, probably, but one year of him at $12MM … it’s not like he’s some raucous, unmitigated bargain. Couple middle-of-the-pack prospects (40 FV types) probably gets it done. He’d cost less than Springs cost them last winter.

Natitude

  • Zac Gallen a fit in Washington?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think the Nats will be aiming that high in free agency, but any pitcher who can be reasonably expected to pitch anywhere close to league-average innings is a “fit” in D.C. based on what they have on the depth chart right now.Still amazed that the Nats (and Rockies, especially) passed on Alek Manoah. Don’t get me wrong, he’s probably just bad now, but for a bit more than $2MM, why not take the shot? He has minor league options left!

Cards

  • Am I the only cardinal fan that still has high hopes for Gorman? Sure he strikes out a ton and has a low average but I still believe there’s a 40 homer slugger around the corner.

Steve Adams

  • I think there should be a balance between “having hopes” and “having high hopes.”Hoping for Gorman to turn into a decent strikeout-prone slugger who’s a defensive liability but hits righties well enough to be a 2-ish win player, sure. But a 40-homer season from a guy whose power has dropped in consecutive seasons and who’s fanned in 34% of his career plate appearances feels ambitious to me.

PJ

  • You see Bendix aggressively trying to move Sandy this offseason or has he backed off on the prospect?

Steve Adams

  • I see him listening to whatever offers are presented and being content to carry Alcantara into the season if he’s getting low-balled coming off an uneven season.

Hector Villanueva

  • Where are earth so the Cubs play Moises next year. I think he’s ready, but he’s not an MLB catcher, they have Busch at 1st, and Suzuki at DH.

Steve Adams

  • They don’t need to pencil him in for 600 PAs. They can option him, and injuries will create openings for him. Plus, they could wind up playing Suzuki in the OF more if (when?) Tucker signs elsewhere. Obviously they still have Alcantara, but he didn’t exactly set the world on fire in AAA this year.Even if they were to go with Happ-PCA-Alcantara in the outfield and Suzuki at DH, there’s still a path for Ballesteros to get 300+ plate appearances next year with minimal time at catcher. And come 2027, Happ and Suzuki are free agents, which only makes it easier to get Moises into the lineup.

HomerHanky

  • Besides a new manager, what do YOU believe are the Twins biggest needs this off-seeason?

Steve Adams

  • An entire bullpen

Yates to Rangers?

  • Hi Steve. With Kirby Yates having a lousy year with the Dodgers, do you think a reunion to be the Rangers closer is possible?

Steve Adams

  • Plausible enough, but no reason to necessarily think it’s likely

Melchez

  • The Rockies need some talent… 1. Trade Kyle Freeland for prospect(s)… 2. Sign aging free agents looking for a chance to build up value and flip at deadline (1B Carlos Santana, DH Marcel Ozuna, CF Cedric Mullins) and 3. what’s stopping them from loading up on rule 5 guys?  They have very little on the farm that’s close.  Rockies have a long road ahead.

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think Freeland nets them much in a trade.A 40-year-old Carlos Santana’s not getting anything at next year’s deadline. Mullins, sure … adding some closer-to-prime-aged pillow guys like that makes sense, but those guys will have understandable concerns about playing at altitude regularly and what it does to recovery and performing on the road.

    Rule 5? Sure, go nuts. They should have several roster spots to work with, and I agree, why not grab two, three — even four guys if you like them better than what’s in your system? Obviously they won’t all stick, but might as well take some looks in spring training/early in the season.

Pontiac bandit

  • Steve, forgot about Owen Cassie in the Cubs OF next year, higher grade prospect then Alcantara.

Steve Adams

  • Ah yeah true, brain fart. Point generally still stands though. Two OF spots open post-2026, and injuries create ample opportunity, especially when the OF/DH is a carousel of 3-4 guys.
  • Or rather a carousel of 4-5 guys. Words. Numbers. Hard. Brain no work good.

Roper

  • Could the Redbirds and Rangers match up on a Gray-Semien trade?

Steve Adams

  • The Cardinals want to create more opportunities for younger players. Bringing Semien aboard when he’s signed for three more years doesn’t really accomplish that. They’d much prefer to just keep Gray and have him eat innings until the deadline.

I don’t know’s on 3rd

  • This the year the M’s acually spend big on a hitter(not like the 2/24  Garv got)??

Steve Adams

  • It’s just not really Jerry Dipoto’s preferred method of team-building, but I could see them at least trying to re-sign either Geno or Naylor (former feels likelier, given the prior connection and the fact that he’ll naturally be capped to a shorter term because of the age discrepancy)

Cardinals

  • What team do you think would actually take the contract of Sonny Gray? Mets, Giants, Phillies, Braves or Orioles have the money, maybe the Angels or Tigers as outside?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think anyone would take the whole contract
  • $40MM for one year is too steep for Gray — particularly for a team like the Mets or Phillies, who are third-time luxury payors in the top tier of penalty. It’s a 110% tax for them, meaning Gray costs them $84MM for one year.
  • Cardinals need to eat $10-12MM or so just to move him for no return. Probably $15MM+ to get any kind of semi-decent prospect.

Twins fan

  • Do you think Lewin Diaz will get MLB interest again after his 50 homer season in Korea?

Steve Adams

  • I do
  • Teams passed him around waivers like 10 times a few offseasons ago because they love the glove at 1B and he had power upside. He’s still under 30. I don’t think he’s going to sign a mammoth contract or anything, but yeah I think he has a real chance to get a major league deal

Still-Krazy

  • Does Ke’Bryan Hayes have any trade value

Steve Adams

  • Reds took basically the whole contract and gave up an actual prospect at the deadline. Hayes hit better in CIN than in PIT (albeit not much better). He could have some marginal value, but the Reds don’t make that trade if they’re not interested in keeping him for the foreseeable future.

dub nation..under God

  • can Reds…in any way….sign Schworber?

Steve Adams

  • Sure. If they offer more money than the Phillies. Simple, right?! Haha… It’s not likely, but hey, Schwarber’s from Cincinnati area.I would not bet on it, but I imagine they’ll talk to him and give it some kind of try.

Dale

  • Would a Taylor Ward for Brady Singer trade make sense?

Steve Adams

  • I think there’s some sense to that, yeah.

pitching chaos for everyone

  • The best ways to improve Mets defense is let Alonso leave, trade for Hoerner, and move Soto to primary DH. Any of those remotely likely?

Steve Adams

  • I think they’ll let Pete leave. The others, not particularly likely.

My name jeff

  • Where will nolan arenado get traded to this winter, and what will it take to get him

Steve Adams

  • This is framed like Arenado has positive value. He does not. It’ll take the Cardinals eating $30MMish of his remaining contract.

Oz

  • No mention of Raisel Iglesias.  What kind of contract does he get?

Steve Adams

  • No reliever in the past decade has gotten more than 2 years for a free agent contract or extension starting at age 36 or older. So Iglesias is probably capped at two years. The high end of this range is Blake Treinen getting two years and $22MM total.I think Iglesias comes in around 1/14 or 2/20.
  • (If you like that sort of answer, you can research stuff like that within seconds in our Contract Tracker!)

Dave

  • Do the Royals cut bait on India or pay him 9 million and hope he doens’t suck again?

Steve Adams

  • Non-tender

Ang T

  • Would adding 1 yr/$25M be enough to keep Edwin Diaz from opting out of his contract with the Mets?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think so, but he re-upped in Queens really quickly last time, so maybe he’s just motivated to stay put. But I think his market value is $80MMish over four years, and tacking on 1/25 really “only” brings him closer to 3/60.

Jason

  • does trevor larnach have any trade value or is he a non-tender?

Steve Adams

  • Can see him being flipped  for a nominal return. I don’t think he’s netting much, but low-spending/payroll-crunched teams might be intrigued as a change-of-scenery guy and his arb price is under $5MM
  • I’ve got to call it for the week.Tim’s mailbag will run later today (I think) or possibly tomorrow, and Anthony will have a subscriber chat on Friday. I’m on X @Adams_Steve and Bluesky @adams-steve.bsky.social.

    If you want more opinions from the MLBTR team, you can learn about our Front Office subscription package and sign up here. In addition to ad-free viewing on the site and in the app, you’ll get weekly analysis/opinion columns from Anthony Franco and myself, a weekly mailbag column from Tim Dierkes, weekly fantasy baseball chats and columns with Nicklaus Gaut (during the season), weekly subscriber-only chats with Anthony and with me (where your odds of getting a question answered are much higher), extra insight from Darragh McDonald, access to our Contract Tracker (a vital offseason resource) our Agency Database, our GM Tracker, our ongoing Offseason Outlook series and more.

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Projected Arbitration Salaries For 2026

By Steve Adams | October 6, 2025 at 11:59pm CDT

Matt Swartz has created a model to project salaries for arbitration eligible players, which we’ve been publishing at MLB Trade Rumors for 15 years.

In the baseball industry, teams and agents determine arbitration salaries by identifying comparable players. To project the entire arbitration class in this way would take a massive amount of time and effort. So, Matt has developed an algorithm to project arbitration salaries that looks at the player’s playing time, position, role, and performance statistics while accounting for inflation. The performance of comparable players matters, but our system is not directly selecting individual comps for each individual player.

As a disclaimer, it should be emphasized that our projections are not to be used as a scorecard for the agent and team on an individual player level. A player doing better or worse than our projection isn’t indicative of anything. Our arbitration projections are created as a tool for our readers to get a general idea of a team’s payroll situation.

While the service time figures included are official, there is not yet an established Super Two cutoff, which delineates which players with between two and three years of service qualify for early arbitration. That could lead to a few late entrants being added to the list. It’s also worth noting that contracts signed prior to the non-tender deadline aren’t generally considered to be normal arbitration comparables; contracts signed prior to that deadline can be skewed by light offers that are presented to borderline non-tender candidates in take-it-or-leave-it fashion (with “leave it,” in such instances, being a non-tender). That’s not universal to all pre-tender deals but is frequently applicable.

One other note: it’s increasingly common for teams to negotiate one-year deals with club options or mutual options covering an additional arbitration season. We’ve noted all of the players who have an option for the 2025 season under the terms of a prior agreement. If the team buys out that option, the player does not become a free agent. He simply is paid whatever buyout (if any) was agreed upon under the terms of the prior agreement and heads back through the arbitration process again this winter.

If you find MLBTR’s arbitration projections useful, please consider supporting us with a subscription. Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers received early access to these arbitration projections, and the subscription also includes the best research tools you can get without actually working for an MLB team: our contract tracker, our agency database and our GM tracker.

The projections:

Angels (10)

  • Taylor Ward (5.164): $13.7MM
  • Brock Burke (5.045): $2MM
  • Connor Brogdon (4.090): $1MM
  • Jo Adell (4.085): $5.5MM
  • Carson Fulmer (4.018): $1.2MM
  • Reid Detmers (3.159): $2.6MM
  • Jose Soriano (3.121): $3.2MM
  • Carter Kieboom (3.009): $800K
  • Logan O’Hoppe (3.008): $2.9MM
  • Zach Neto (2.170): $4.1MM

Astros (16)

  • Mauricio Dubon (5.162): $5.8MM
  • Steven Okert (5.089): $2MM
  • Luis Garcia (5.083): $2.2MM
  • Ramon Urias (5.025): $4.4MM
  • Bryan Abreu (5.022): $5.9MM
  • Enyel De Los Santos (5.015): $2.1MM
  • Chas McCormick (4.161): $3.4MM
  • Isaac Paredes (4.160): $9.3MM
  • Jesus Sanchez (4.118): $6.5MM
  • Jake Meyers (4.044): $3.5MM
  • Jeremy Pena (4.000): $7.9MM
  • Hunter Brown (3.035): $5.7MM
  • Yainer Diaz (3.035): $4.5MM
  • Hayden Wesneski (2.170): $1.5MM
  • Bennett Sousa (2.156): $1.1MM
  • Taylor Trammell (2.144): $900K

Athletics (5)

  • Austin Wynns (5.017): $1.8MM
  • Shea Langeliers (3.051): $5.1MM
  • JJ Bleday (3.029): $2.2MM
  • Ken Waldichuk (2.150): $900K
  • Luis Medina (2.149): $900K

Blue Jays (7)

  • Daulton Varsho (5.128): $9.7MM
  • Eric Lauer (5.091): $4.4MM
  • Dillon Tate (5.018): $1.7MM
  • Nick Sandlin (4.157): $2MM
  • Ernie Clement (3.168): $4.3MM
  • Ryan Burr (3.109): $800K
  • Tyler Heineman (3.066): $1MM

Braves (9)

  • Jake Fraley (5.097): $3.6MM
  • Joel Payamps (4.117): $3.4MM
  • Jose Suarez (4.064): $1.5MM
  • Alek Manoah (4.063): $2.2MM
  • Dylan Lee (3.150): $1.9MM
  • Eli White (3.140): $1.2MM
  • Vidal Brujan (3.014): $800K
  • Joey Wentz (2.166): $1.1MM
  • Nick Allen (2.164): $1.5MM

Brewers (7)

  • Jake Bauers (5.084): $2MM
  • Andrew Vaughn (4.142): $7.8MM
  • William Contreras (4.112): $11.1MM (Brewers hold a $12MM club option with a $100K buyout)
  • Nick Mears (4.022): $1.6MM
  • Trevor Megill (4.002): $4.2MM
  • Garrett Mitchell (3.040): $1MM
  • Brice Turang (2.165): $4.4MM

Cardinals (9)

  • Jorge Alcala (5.165): $2.1MM
  • JoJo Romero (5.045): $4.4MM
  • John King (4.148): $2.1MM
  • Lars Nootbaar (4.076): $5.7MM
  • Brendan Donovan (4.000): $5.4MM
  • Andre Pallante (3.145): $3.4MM
  • Nolan Gorman (3.114): $2.9MM
  • Alec Burleson (3.029): $3.5MM
  • Matthew Liberatore (2.144): $2.8MM

Cubs (4)

  • Reese McGuire (5.110): $1.9MM
  • Justin Steele (4.143): $6.55MM
  • Eli Morgan (4.091): $1.1MM
  • Javier Assad (3.027): $1.9MM

Diamondbacks (11)

  • Ildemaro Vargas (5.129): $1.4MM
  • A.J. Puk (5.124): $3.3MM
  • Ryan Thompson (5.095): $3.9MM
  • Kevin Ginkel (5.033): $3MM
  • John Curtiss (4.078): $1.2MM
  • Pavin Smith (4.015): $2.4MM
  • Alek Thomas (3.103): $2.2MM
  • Kyle Nelson (3.081): $1MM
  • Jake McCarthy (3.074): $1.9MM
  • Gabriel Moreno (3.061): $2.4MM
  • Ryne Nelson (3.020): $3.3MM

Dodgers (9)

  • Brusdar Graterol (5.167): $2.8MM
  • Tony Gonsolin (5.152): $5.4MM
  • Evan Phillips (5.136): $6.1MM
  • Alex Vesia (5.078): $4.1MM (Dodgers hold a $3.65MM club option with a $50K buyout)
  • Anthony Banda (4.135): $1.7MM
  • Brock Stewart (4.093): $1.4MM
  • Ben Rortvedt (3.135): $1.3MM
  • Michael Grove (3.031): $800K
  • Alex Call (2.161): $1.5MM

Giants (5)

  • JT Brubaker (5.162): $2.1MM
  • Andrew Knizner (5.090): $1.3MM
  • Joey Lucchesi (5.047): $2MM
  • Ryan Walker (2.136): $2.5MM
  • Patrick Bailey (2.136): $2.2MM

Guardians (8)

  • Kolby Allard (5.004): $1.9MM
  • Sam Hentges (4.157): $1.3375MM
  • Steven Kwan (4.000): $8.8MM
  • Ben Lively (3.133): $2.7MM
  • Nolan Jones (3.007): $2MM
  • Will Brennan (2.155): $900K
  • David Fry (2.154): $1.2MM
  • Matt Festa (2.153): $1MM

Marlins (7)

  • Anthony Bender (4.153): $2.3MM
  • Braxton Garrett (3.168): $1.53MM
  • Edward Cabrera (3.147): $3.7MM
  • Ryan Weathers (3.066): $1.5MM
  • Andrew Nardi (3.053): $800K
  • Max Meyer (2.166): $1.3MM
  • Calvin Faucher (2.156): $1.9MM

Mariners (10)

  • Trent Thornton (5.148): $2.5MM
  • Randy Arozarena (5.129): $18.2MM
  • Logan Gilbert (4.144): $10MM
  • Gabe Speier (4.000): $1.7MM
  • George Kirby (3.151): $5.4MM
  • Tayler Saucedo (3.146): $1.1MM
  • Matt Brash (3.121): $1.8MM
  • Luke Raley (3.106): $1.8MM
  • Gregory Santos (3.055): $800K
  • Bryce Miller (2.153): $2.4MM
  • Jackson Kowar (2.139): $800K

Mets (9)

  • Luis Torrens (5.105): $2.2MM
  • Tyrone Taylor (5.093): $3.6MM
  • David Peterson (5.089): $7.6MM
  • Nick Madrigal (5.087): $1.35MM
  • Tylor Megill (4.031): $2.6MM
  • Max Kranick (3.011): $1MM
  • Huascar Brazoban (2.170): $1.3MM
  • Francisco Alvarez (2.164): $2.4MM
  • Reed Garrett (2.143): $1.4MM

Nationals (9)

  • Jorge Alfaro (5.160): $1MM
  • Luis Garcia Jr. (4.142): $7MM
  • Josiah Gray (4.075): $1.35MM
  • Mason Thompson (4.022): $1MM
  • MacKenzie Gore (4.000): $4.7MM
  • Riley Adams (3.171): $1.5MM
  • CJ Abrams (3.130): $5.6MM
  • Jake Irvin (2.152): $3.3MM
  • Cade Cavalli (2.141): $1.3MM

Orioles (14)

  • Ryan Mountcastle (5.105): $7.8MM
  • Keegan Akin (5.083): $3MM
  • Dylan Carlson (5.067): $1.5MM
  • Trevor Rogers (5.047): $6MM
  • Tyler Wells (4.132): $2.7MM
  • Jose Castillo (4.112): $1.7MM
  • Dean Kremer (4.112): $5.1MM
  • Adley Rutschman (4.000): $6.8MM
  • Felix Bautista (4.000): $2.1MM
  • Kyle Bradish (3.160): $2.8MM
  • Yennier Cano (3.065): $1.8MM
  • Gunnar Henderson (3.036): $6.6MM
  • Alex Jackson (3.036): $1.8MM
  • Albert Suarez (3.019): $900K

Padres (7)

  • Adrian Morejon (5.140): $3.6MM
  • Jason Adam (5.132): $6.8MM
  • Gavin Sheets (4.076): $4.3MM
  • JP Sears (3.065): $3.5MM
  • Luis Campusano (3.003): $1MM
  • Mason Miller (2.166): $3.4MM
  • Freddy Fermin (2.165: $1.8MM

Phillies (9)

  • Jesus Luzardo (5.165): $10.4MM
  • Edmundo Sosa (5.140): $3.9MM
  • Alec Bohm (5.106): $10.3MM
  • Garrett Stubbs (4.148): $925K
  • Brandon Marsh (4.078): $4.5MM
  • Jhoan Duran (4.000): $7.6MM
  • Bryson Stott (4.000): $5.8MM
  • Tanner Banks (3.092): $1.2MM
  • Rafael Marchan (3.006): $1MM

Pirates (9)

  • Dennis Santana (5.126): $3.4MM
  • Johan Oviedo (4.078): $2MM
  • Joey Bart (4.020): $2.7MM
  • Justin Lawrence (3.167): $1.2MM
  • Yohan Ramirez (3.135): $1.2MM
  • Colin Holderman (3.120): $1.7MM
  • Oneil Cruz (3.110): $3.6MM
  • Dauri Moreta (3.056): $800K
  • Jack Suwinski (2.170): $1.7MM

Rangers (9)

  • Jonah Heim (5.097): $6MM
  • Adolis Garcia (5.095): $12.1MM
  • Josh Sborz (5.055): $1.1MM
  • Jacob Webb (5.046): $2MM
  • Sam Haggerty (5.007): $1.4MM
  • Josh Smith (3.129): $3MM
  • Jake Burger (3.127): $3.5MM
  • Ezequiel Duran (3.050): $1.4MM
  • Josh Jung (3.023): $2.9MM

Rays (17)

  • Shane McClanahan (4.158): $3.6MM
  • Cole Sulser (4.096): $1.2MM
  • Taylor Walls (4.092): $2MM (Rays hold a $2.45MM club option with a $50K buyout)
  • Griffin Jax (4.091): $3.6MM
  • Garrett Cleavinger (4.060): $2.1MM
  • Shane Baz (3.158): $3.1MM
  • Nick Fortes (3.149): $2.4MM
  • Christopher Morel (3.117): $2.6MM
  • Stuart Fairchild (3.114): $900K
  • Josh Lowe (3.093): $2.9MM
  • Bryan Baker (3.049): $1.5MM
  • Ryan Pepiot (3.005): $3.7MM
  • Alex Faedo (2.169): $800K
  • Kevin Kelly (2.156): $1MM
  • Richie Palacios (2.156): $1MM
  • Edwin Uceta (2.150): $1.4MM
  • Manuel Rodriguez (2.139): $1.2MM

Red Sox (9)

  • Nathaniel Lowe (5.145): $13.5MM
  • Tanner Houck (4.100): $3.95MM
  • Jarren Duran (3.155): $8.4MM (Red Sox hold an $8MM club option with a $100K buyout)
  • Kutter Crawford (3.136): $2.75MM
  • Romy Gonzalez (3.083): $1.8MM
  • Connor Wong (3.079): $1.6MM
  • Triston Casas (3.032): $1.7MM
  • Josh Winckowski: (3.003): $800K
  • Brennan Bernardino (2.150): $1.1MM

Reds (14)

  • Brady Singer (5.156): $11.9MM
  • Santiago Espinal (5.149): $2.9MM
  • Gavin Lux (5.114): $5MM
  • Tyler Stephenson (5.056): $6.4MM
  • Ian Gibaut (4.077): $1.5MM
  • Sam Moll (4.023): $1.2MM
  • Nick Lodolo (4.000): $4.3MM
  • Graham Ashcraft (3.130): $1.4MM
  • TJ Friedl (3.112): $4.9MM
  • Tony Santillan (3.099): $2.4MM
  • Spencer Steer (3.035): $4.5MM
  • Will Benson (3.003): $1.7MM
  • Matt McLain (2.140): $2.6MM
  • Brandon Williamson (2.139): $800K

Rockies (7)

  • Thairo Estrada (5.153): $3.8MM (Estrada’s contract contains a $7MM mutual option with a $750K buyout)
  • Jimmy Herget (4.069): $1.5MM
  • Mickey Moniak (4.027): $4.2MM
  • Lucas Gilbreath (3.150): $900K
  • Ryan Feltner (3.071): $2.3MM
  • Tyler Freeman (3.046): $1.8MM
  • Brenton Doyle (2.161): $3.2MM

Royals (16)

  • Taylor Clarke (5.148): $1.9MM
  • Kris Bubic (5.135): $6MM
  • John Schreiber (5.027): $3.8MM
  • Jonathan India (5.000): $7.4MM
  • Kyle Wright (4.151): $1.8MM
  • Kyle Isbel (4.043): $2.7MM
  • Bailey Falter (3.138): $3.3MM
  • Daniel Lynch IV (3.136): $1.3MM
  • Sam Long (3.121): $950K
  • Vinnie Pasquantino (3.101): $5.4MM
  • Angel Zerpa (3.082): $1.2MM
  • Michael Massey (3.068): $2MM
  • MJ Melendez (3.016): $2.65MM
  • Maikel Garcia (2.168): $4.8MM
  • James McArthur (2.150): $800K
  • Lucas Erceg (2.136): $1.9MM

Tigers (15)

  • Tanner Rainey (5.167): $1.6MM
  • Tarik Skubal (5.114): $17.8MM
  • Casey Mize (5.111): $5.4MM
  • Jake Rogers (5.040): $2.9MM
  • Will Vest (4.100): $3.3MM
  • Zach McKinstry (4.099): $3.5MM
  • Matt Vierling (4.026): $3.1MM
  • Jason Foley (3.150): $3.15MM
  • Alex Lange (3.145): $900K
  • Andy Ibanez (3.133): $1.8MM
  • Riley Greene (3.110): $6.6MM
  • Spencer Torkelson (3.076): $5.1MM
  • Kerry Carpenter (3.057): $3.5MM
  • Beau Brieske (3.056): $1.3MM
  • Tyler Holton (3.047): $1.7MM

Twins (10)

  • Genesis Cabrera (5.149): $1.4MM
  • Ryan Jeffers (5.089): $6.6MM
  • Justin Topa (5.044): $1.7MM (Twins hold a $2MM club option with a $225K buyout)
  • Michael Tonkin (5.044): $1.4MM
  • Bailey Ober (4.093): $4.6MM
  • Joe Ryan (4.033): $5.8MM
  • Trevor Larnach (4.014): $4.7MM
  • Royce Lewis (3.142): $3MM
  • Anthony Misiewicz (3.082): $1.1MM
  • Cole Sands (3.017): $1.3MM

White Sox (3)

  • Mike Tauchman (5.143): $3.4MM
  • Steven Wilson (3.166): $1.5MM
  • Derek Hill (3.040): $1MM

Yankees (14)

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. (5.075): $10.2MM
  • David Bednar (5.073): $9MM
  • Mark Leiter Jr. (5.031): $3MM
  • Clarke Schmidt (4.148): $4.9MM
  • Camilo Doval (4.071): $6.6MM
  • Jake Cousins (3.091): $841K
  • Ian Hamilton (3.081): $941K
  • Luis Gil (3.073): $2.1MM
  • Scott Effross (3.063): $800K
  • Jake Bird (3.051): $1MM
  • Oswaldo Cabrera (3.050): $1.2MM
  • Fernando Cruz (3.035): $1.3MM
  • Anthony Volpe (3.000): $3.9MM
  • Jose Caballero (2.170): $1.9MM
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Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat, Today 2pm CT

By Steve Adams | October 6, 2025 at 1:59pm CDT

Steve Adams

  • Good afternoon! I'll get going at 2pm CT, but as always, feel free to submit questions ahead of time. Looking forward to it!
  • Let's begin!

Dave

  • Instead of signing K Tucker to $450 million and 10 years should the Dodgers reunite with Cody Bellinger for $150 million and 5 years?   Thanks

Steve Adams

  • I think that's a bit heavier than what both would get. I don't really expect the Dodgers to be prime players for Tucker, as I've said. Obviously they can afford to, but they've really only gone to the absolute top of the market/long-term for Yamamoto (25 years old), Ohtani (unicorn for obvious reasons) and, to a lesser extent, Betts (who was a year younger than Tucker and was an extension at a price that didn't break the bank as some might've expected).Adding Tucker (or Bellinger, for that matter) when they already have Pages and Teoscar (through 2027) just seems to further take potential ABs away from Dalton Rushing and prospects like Josue De Paula and Zyhir Hope.

    Maybe they just love Tucker and don't care about blocking all those guys -- they could all be traded, I suppose -- but I'm just not big on the idea of the Dodgers shelling out nine figures for any outfielder this winter. (Others on the MLBTR staff are more open to the idea than I am, for what it's worth)

ArchTiger

  • Can a HR-driven team win in the playoffs?

Steve Adams

  • You'd have to go back to the 2019 Nationals to find the most recent time a team outside the top four in terms of home run output won the World Series. I assume you're talking more about teams that are dependent solely on home runs to score, but even that's a little different in the playoffs versus the postseason. You're just not going to face a team's fifth starter or sixth-best reliever in the playoffs unless the game's already out of hand. Every club is a little more homer-dependent in the postseason, because they're facing better pitchers who make fewer mistakes, so the difference will often come down to who can capitalize most often on the relatively fewer number of mistake pitches they see.

Ned Colletti’s Toupee

  • Does Munetaka Murakami’s value take a hit because he’s limited to a corner outfield or first base?  I know he will get paid but I don’t see him getting Yamamoto money.

Steve Adams

  • Murakami's value takes a hit because he strikes out too much in Japan, even against lesser pitching, has struggled in the past against above-average velocity (I don't have his '25 numbers against MLB-caliber fastballs handy, but the average NPB heater is like 91-92 mph), and yes, because he's a poor defender who's best suited at 1B in all likelihood.
  • I imagine there might be clubs willing to play him at 3B briefly early in his MLB run.
  • He's probably a 1B long term, but I don't think 325MM like Yamamoto has ever been plausible since his numbers dipped a bit after the back-to-back MVP wins in 2021-22. He's still going to cash in on something worth more than $100MM in all likelihood, but to your point, I wouldn't be surprised if he signed for less than half of what Yamamoto got

Steve from the Cleve

  • Cleveland needs an OF bat that can hit LHP. Robert Jr can't be had since he's on the White Sox and expensive. Tyrone Taylor was Tim Dierkes suggestion, but you might as well play Petey Halpin instead since he's a great fielder, runner and had a .734 OPS in AAA. Seems like there aren't any good options who are younger than 33

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NPB’s Takahiro Norimoto Mulling Potential Move To MLB

By Steve Adams | October 6, 2025 at 11:51am CDT

Right-hander Takahiro Norimoto of the Rakuten Eagles in Japan’s Nippon Professional Baseball is planning to exercise his international free agent rights and gauge interest from both MLB and NPB teams this winter, per a report from Yahoo Japan (hat tip to Yakyu Cosmopolitan). He’s hired the Wasserman agency to represent him in talks with major league teams, per the report. The now-34-year-old righty moved to the bullpen in 2024 after a lengthy and successful run as a starting pitcher. He’s spent the past two seasons as the Eagles’ closer.

Norimoto is older than most players making the transition from NPB to MLB. He’ll turn 35 in December. The right-hander is coming off a nice year with the Eagles, having pitched to a 3.02 ERA with 16 saves, four holds and only two blown saves. His 17.2% strikeout rate and 8.4% walk rate don’t exactly stand out, though Norimoto has still shown the ability to run his heater up in the 97 mph range since moving to the bullpen last season. He kept nearly 50% of his opponents’ batted balls on the ground this past season as well.

Norimoto hasn’t had issues missing bats in the past. He led NPB in strikeouts for five straight years, from 2014-18, while working out of the Eagles’ rotation. He’s pitched 1838 career innings in NPB and recorded a 3.12 ERA while winning 120 games, saving another 48 and punching out nearly 24% of his opponents (against a 6.3% walk rate).

Due to the fact that Norimoto is at least 25 and has at least six full seasons of professional experience, he’s exempt from Major League Baseball’s international bonus pool structure. The fact that he has more than nine seasons of service in NPB means he is also exempt from the posting system. If he indeed exercises those international free agent rights, he’d be free to sign with any club on a big league or minor league deal — provided MLB teams have sufficient interest in the former Pacific League Rookie of the Year and six-time NPB All-Star.

While we don’t see too many players jump to MLB in their mid-30s, Orioles right-hander Tomoyuki Sugano did just that in 2025. This past year was Sugano’s rookie season in MLB and came in his own age-35 campaign. Sugano, of course, did so as a starter. Former Red Sox righty Hirokazu Sawamura and former D-backs/Mariners righty Yoshihisa Hirano are more recent examples of relievers making relatively successful moves to MLB in their mid-30s; the former signed with Boston ahead of his age-33 season in 2022, while the latter signed with Arizona ahead of the 2018 campaign, his age-34 season.

Big league clubs are always on the lookout for affordable bullpen help, so there could still be interest in Norimoto even if he’s not as coveted at 35 as he might’ve been in his physical peak. As a rotation-mate of former Yankees right-hander Masahiro Tanaka for Tanaka’s first three seasons back in Japan after his run in the Bronx, Norimoto has surely picked the former MLB All-Star’s brain about moving to the majors in the past. It’s not entirely certain he’ll be pitching in North America next year, but he’s an interesting wild card entrant into the offseason bullpen market.

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Skip Schumaker The Favorite To Be Rangers’ Next Manager

By Steve Adams | October 3, 2025 at 11:32am CDT

The Rangers announced earlier in the week that Bruce Bochy would not return as manager in 2026 after his three-year contract drew to a close at the end of the current season. That’s created ample speculation about who’ll step into his shoes. President of baseball operations Chris Young perhaps tipped his hand at today’s end-of-season press conference when he revealed that the club hasn’t yet spoken to external candidates (link via Evan Grant of the Dallas Morning News). Grant adds that former Marlins manager Skip Schumaker, whom the Rangers hired as a senior advisor to the baseball operations department last offseason, is the current “focus” in the Rangers’ search for a new manager.

Schumaker, 45, had an 11-year playing career from 2005-15. Following his retirement as a player, he quickly jumped into the coaching ranks, hooking on a first base coach with the Padres. He eventually moved up to the position of associate manager in San Diego before being hired as the bench coach in St. Louis, where he’d spent the bulk of his playing career. After one season as Oli Marmol’s bench coach with the Cardinals, Schumaker was hired away as the new manager of the Marlins heading into 2023.

Schumaker’s Marlins surprisingly went 84-78 in ’23, narrowly sneaking into the playoffs as a Wild Card club. They were dispatched in short order by the division-rival Phillies, who swept the Wild Card series 2-0, but it looked like a nice step forward for the Fish all the same. Schumaker took home National League Manager of the Year honors for that performance.

The Marlins took a step back in 2024, however, as a newly installed front office opted not to add to the big league roster. Quite to the contrary, Miami wound up trading Luis Arraez to the Padres — in a package including 2025 breakout outfielder Jakob Marsee — in early May. By the time the trade deadline rolled around, the Marlins had shipped out a dozen players in a full dismantling of the team. Prior to the season, Schumaker and the Marlins had agreed to void his 2025 club option — a move reportedly borne out of some frustration from Schumaker over the ouster of general manager Kim Ng, who’d hired him a year prior. By season’s end, Schumaker’s looming departure was one of the worst-kept secrets in baseball. Miami hired Dodgers coach Clayton McCullough to take over the dugout, while Schumaker latched onto a new role in Texas.

Schumaker has now spent the past year familiarizing himself with the organization and building a rapport with Young, general manager Ross Fenstermaker and the remainder of the team’s operation. That experience would seemingly give him a leg up over external candidates if the Rangers went that route, but the fact that they’ve opted not to do so sends strong signals that Schumaker was already considered Bochy’s heir apparent.

If the Rangers ultimately choose to hand the dugout reins over to Schumaker, the 2026 season will be his third as a big league manager. He went 146-178 during his two seasons with Miami, although the Miami front office didn’t really set him up for much success in terms of wins and losses in that 2024 season.

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Offseason Outlook: Miami Marlins

By Steve Adams | October 3, 2025 at 10:46am CDT

The Marlins rode a big September winning streak to the fringes of the Wild Card race and weren't mathematically eliminated from the postseason until Sept. 25. They have very little money on the books for the 2026 season and saw some key young players step up as potential building blocks. The front office, led by president of baseball operations Peter Bendix as he enters his third winter on the job, will now need to determine how real that surge was and how strongly to pursue win-now moves for next year.

Guaranteed Contracts

  • Sandy Alcantara, RHP: $19MM through 2026 (including $2MM buyout of $21MM club option for 2027)

Additional Financial Commitments

  • $10MM annually to Yankees, through 2028, as part of Giancarlo Stanton trade
  • $5MM buyout on 2026 club option for since-released OF Avisail Garcia
  • $500K buyout on 2026 mutual option for since-released RHP Woo-Suk Go

Option Decisions

  • None

Total 2026 commitments: $32.5MM
Total future commitments: $54.5MM through 2028

Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; salary projections via MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz)

  • Anthony Bender (4.153): $2.3MM
  • Braxton Garrett (3.168): $1.53MM
  • Edward Cabrera (3.147): $3.7MM
  • Ryan Weathers (3.066): $1.5MM
  • Andrew Nardi (3.053): $800K
  • Max Meyer (2.166): $1.3MM
  • Calvin Faucher (2.156): $1.9MM

Non-tender candidates: Nardi

Free Agents

  • None

Bendix offered little insight into his club's direction during his end-of-season press conference. The former Rays general manager noted that he was both proud of his club's strong finish to the season but disappointed to be talking to the media when other clubs were still playing. Bendix spoke in typical baseball operations generalities, deflecting questions about his expected level of aggression this offseason to merely say he hoped to build a team that was as good as it could possibly be for as long as it could possibly be. Asked whether fans should expect Sandy Alcantara to be a Marlin by the time spring training rolls around, he sidestepped and stressed the importance of being open-minded to any and all scenarios (link via Isaac Azout of Fish On First).

None of that is meant as a critique of Miami's president, to be clear. The simple reality of running a low-payroll club and trying to navigate some degree of rebuild is that hard decisions will have to be made and that payroll concerns will persist each year. It's unlikely that the Marlins will cannonball into the deep end of free agency this winter, but there's plenty of reason to believe that they could also be a bit more active than they've been in recent offseasons.

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The Opener: Division Series, Rangers, Angels

By Steve Adams | October 3, 2025 at 9:03am CDT

Here are three things to keep an eye on as we head into the weekend…

1. Division Series begin in both leagues:

MLB’s Wild Card round capped off yesterday when the Tigers toppled the Guardians on the strength of some late offense, while the Cubs edged past the Padres — but not before some ninth-inning drama put everyone on the edge of their seats. In the nightcap, Yankees rookie Cam Schlittler delivered a historic performance when he held the Red Sox scoreless and punched out 12 hitters over eight innings as New York advanced.

There are no games today, but the NLDS and ALDS are both slated to kick off tomorrow. Action begins when the Cubs head to Milwaukee, where they’ll be greeted by Brewers ace Freddy Peralta. Chicago has yet to formally name a Game 1 starter. Javier Assad would be on full rest, or they could turn to Colin Rea, who tossed 1 2/3 innings in relief on Wednesday and would presumably be able to go multiple innings to open a de facto bullpen game.

The Yankees will be in Toronto for Game 1 of the ALDS later on Saturday. Neither club has announced a Game 1 starter. New York is deciding between Luis Gil and Will Warren, per SNY’s Andy Martino, with a current lean toward the former. The Blue Jays will go with Kevin Gausman and Shane Bieber in Games 1 and 2 but haven’t yet tipped their hand on which order they’ll be deployed.

The Dodgers will be at Citizen’s Bank Park on Saturday in the only of the four matchups where both starting pitchers have been publicly revealed. Shohei Ohtani (2.87 ERA, 33 K%, 4.8 BB% in 47 regular season innings) will be on the bump for Los Angeles opposite Phillies southpaw Cristopher Sanchez (2.50 ERA, 26.3 K%, 5.5 BB%, 202 innings).

The final game on Saturday’s slate will see the Tigers head to Seattle. If Detroit wants to avoid using ace Tarik Skubal on short rest, they’ll likely need to go with Keider Montero or Chris Paddack to open the series. The Mariners are hoping that Bryan Woo will be ready to go after being down nearly three weeks due to a pectoral injury. He threw a bullpen session yesterday and will be further evaluated today. If not Woo, the Mariners can choose among Logan Gilbert, George Kirby and Luis Castillo to kick things off at home.

2. Rangers press conference today:

The Rangers announced yesterday that president of baseball operations Chris Young and general manager Ross Fenstermaker will address the media this morning at 10am CT for their end-of-season press conference. The team’s two top baseball ops executives will surely take questions on Bruce Bochy’s departure from the organization, the subsequent managerial vacancy created by his exit, the 2025 season and where it went wrong, and the direction for the team moving forward. End-of-season pressers like this typically offer vital insight into what shape the offseason could take — particularly for hopeful contenders that miss the playoffs.

3. All quiet in Anaheim:

It’s another story entirely in Anaheim, where the Angels missed the playoffs for an 11th straight season and have not yet held any media availability. As Sam Blum of The Athletic points out, general manager Perry Minasian had previously indicated that he would address the media this week, but those plans seem to have changed. Blum adds that team sources confirmed to him Minasian is still employed at this time — there’s been speculation about his job status after the club announced a managerial change — but it’s unclear when or whether anyone from the team will take questions about the 2025 season or the upcoming offseason. Press conferences of this nature on a just-wrapped season are standard practice for all teams in MLB, and the fact that Minasian had broadcast a forthcoming media session only to pull back is rather strange.

No one from the Angels has publicly commented on whether Minasian will be back for the 2026 season. He signed a two-year extension covering the 2025-26 seasons (with a 2027 option) in Aug. 2024. Minasian conducted an end-of-season press conference following each of his first four seasons as the team’s GM — including a post-2024 session that was conducted exactly one year ago yesterday.

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The Opener

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Giants Notes: Coaches, Eldridge, Smith, Bochy

By Steve Adams | October 1, 2025 at 3:20pm CDT

3:20PM: The Giants won’t be interviewing any members of the current coaching staff for the managerial opening, the San Francisco Chronicle’s Susan Slusser reports.  The club isn’t renewing any of the coaches’ contracts for 2026, which is standard practice in the event of a managerial change.  While the next skipper will naturally have input in the make-up of next year’s staff, Slusser views pitching coach J.P. Martinez, bullpen coach Garvin Alston, and first base coach Mark Hallberg as the likeliest candidates to return.

2:03PM: The Giants announced Wednesday that top prospect Bryce Eldridge will undergo surgery tomorrow to remove a bone spur from his left wrist. The procedure comes with an eight-week recovery timetable, which should afford Eldridge ample time to be ready for spring training.

San Francisco’s first-round pick in 2023, Eldridge made his big league debut late in the season at just 20 years of age. Giants president of baseball operations Buster Posey had suggested earlier in September that Eldridge wasn’t likely to get the call in 2025, but with the Giants pushing back into playoff contention late in the year, they brought their most promising hitter to the majors in hopes of a late spark.

Perhaps predictably, given his youth and lack of upper-minors experience, Eldridge struggled and often looked overmatched. He appeared in 10 games, took 37 plate appearances and turned in just a .107/.297/.179 batting line with 13 strikeouts (35.1%). None of that diminishes Eldridge’s long-term outlook. He skyrocketed through the minors and logged a .260/.333/.510 batting line with 25 homers in just 433 plate appearances across three levels this year.

Eldridge is still regarded as one of the sport’s 20 best prospects at both Baseball America and MLB.com. News of surgery on the promising young slugger’s wrist might create some concern about his short-term production early in 2026, but the long-term expectation remains that Eldridge and June trade acquisition Rafael Devers will share first base and designated hitter in the long term.

In 2025, first base duties fell primarily to the trio of LaMonte Wade Jr. (designated for assignment in June), Devers and veteran Dominic Smith, who signed a big league deal at the same time Wade was jettisoned from the roster. Smith handled himself well in San Francisco, batting .284/.333/.417 with five homers and a dozen doubles in 225 trips to the plate. The presence of both Eldridge and Devers on the roster doesn’t seem to dovetail with a reunion between the Giants and Smith, who’s a free agent this winter, but general manager Zack Minasian suggested otherwise today.

Speaking with reporters in an end-of-season press conference, Minasian said the Giants “won’t close the door” on bringing the 30-year-old back for the 2026 season (link via Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area). Smith does have a bit of outfield experience dating back to his days with the Mets, but the results weren’t pretty. He’s logged 1330 innings in left field in his career but graded out poorly via both Defensive Runs Saved (-11) and Statcast’s Outs Above Average (-19). If the Giants are comfortable with him being a bench bat and a safety net at first base/DH in the event that Eldridge doesn’t make the Opening Day roster, there could still be a fit. However, Smith’s solid showing at the plate figures to earn him some other opportunities around the league.

Of course, the more pressing question of a potential reunion on the minds of most Giants fans concerns longtime skipper Bruce Bochy, who’s spent the past three seasons managing the Rangers. Bochy and the Rangers announced a mutual parting of ways at season’s end, and San Francisco has a managerial vacancy after dismissing Bob Melvin. Bochy was president of baseball operations Buster Posey’s manager early in his career with the Giants. The pair won three World Series together during the Giants’ even-year dynasty when they won the Fall Classic in 2010, 2012 and 2014. Asked about the possibility of Bochy returning to manage the Giants today, however, Posey suggested it’s not likely (video link via NBC Sports Bay Area):

“I talked to Boch a couple of days ago and told him that where we are currently — and I don’t even know what Boch’s plans are, if he wants to continue to manage or not — that the door is always open here for some sort of role. But the way I think things are coming into picture in my mind, with where we want to go next, I don’t see us going that route with Boch.”

Posey did acknowledge that he’s had some (presumably preliminary) conversations with managerial candidates, but there’s no indication that formal interviews have commenced, nor is there a clear timetable for when the Giants might resolve their search.

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Notes San Francisco Giants Bruce Bochy Bryce Eldridge Buster Posey Dominic Smith

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Bill Schmidt Will Not Return As Rockies’ GM

By Steve Adams | October 1, 2025 at 10:39am CDT

The Rockies announced Wednesday that general manager Bill Schmidt is stepping down from his post. While Schmidt and the team framed it as a mutual parting of ways, Patrick Saunders of the Denver Post reports that Schmidt was fired. Regardless, they’ve begun a search to bring in a new head of baseball operations from outside the organization, according to the team.

“After a number of conversations, we decided it is time for me to step aside and make way for a new voice to guide the club’s baseball operations,” Schmidt said within this morning’s press release. “It’s been an honor to serve the Rockies family for over 25 years. I’m thankful to the Monfort family for the opportunity, to my family for their constant support, and our staff for their tireless dedication. Better seasons are ahead for the Rockies and our great fans, and I look forward to seeing it come to life in the years ahead.”

Schmidt spent four-plus seasons as the GM in Colorado, originally taking over for Jeff Bridich after Bridich was fired during the 2021 season. The Rockies quickly stripped away the interim title following the season and named Schmidt the full-time general manager — just the fourth GM in Rockies franchise history. As was the case with predecessors Bridich and Dan O’Dowd, Schmidt was an internal promotion. He’d previously served as the club’s scouting director dating back to the 2000 season.

The move to hire someone from outside the organization represents a major ideological shift. Owner Dick Monfort would surely prefer to describe his family as loyal — perhaps to a fault — but onlookers and critics would frame the Rockies as an insular organization that has fallen behind the times. Colorado’s baseball operations and analytics departments are reportedly among the smallest in Major League Baseball, if not the smallest. Beyond remaking the roster, the incoming baseball operations head will also have ample work to do in modernizing and bolstering the team’s infrastructure.

“Bill’s departure allows our club to seek a new leader of our baseball department experienced in areas where we know we need to grow within the operation,” Monfort said in the press release.

Monfort’s son, Walker, who was promoted to executive vice president this past June, added: “A new voice will benefit our organization as we work towards giving our fans the competitive team they deserve. We are setting our sights on finding the right leader from outside our organization who can bring a fresh perspective to the Rockies and enhance our baseball operations with a new vision, innovation and a focus on both short and long-term success.”

The Rockies, under Schmidt and Bridich before him, have enjoyed little to no success. Colorado hasn’t made the postseason since back-to-back Wild Card appearances in 2017-18. Those were just the fourth and fifth postseason berths of what is now the franchise’s 33-year history. The Rockies have never won the National League West. This year’s 43-119 record is the worst in franchise history and marks their third consecutive 100-loss season.

As Saunders points out in his piece, this year’s collective 6.65 ERA from the Rockies’ rotation is the worst mark by any club since earned run average became an officially tracked statistic back in 1913. Among the 12 pitchers to start a game for the Rockies this year, only Kyle Freeland (4.98), Ryan Feltner (4.75) and Ryan Rolison (0.00) had an ERA under 5.00. Feltner made only six starts due to injury. Rolison “started” one game, tossing a scoreless inning as an opener.

Schmidt’s four-plus seasons as general manager saw the Rockies move away from the prior core featuring notable veterans like Jon Gray, Trevor Story, Charlie Blackmon and Ryan McMahon. While there have been some high points — the emergence of shortstop Ezequiel Tovar and catcher Hunter Goodman, most notably — they’ve been vastly outweighed by missteps that have left the club with a roster devoid of talent and a barren farm system. Baseball America ranked the Rockies’ system 27th following this year’s draft and trade deadline — the same as when Schmidt took over as permanent general manager.

The Rockies have regularly opted not to trade players at peak value even in losing seasons, holding onto Story, Gray, German Marquez and Daniel Bard, among many others, when any could have been valuable trade chips at the deadline. Colorado netted a draft pick for Story’s departure when he rejected a qualifying offer and signed in Boston, but Gray simply left with no compensation for the organization. Bard, rather than being traded at the 2022 deadline, instead signed a two-year, $19MM extension that did not pan out well for the team. This year’s trade of McMahon to the Yankees marked a notable change in direction, but even that decision was arguably made a year too late. Schmidt was also in the GM chair when Colorado signed Kris Bryant to a disastrous $182MM contract, though that decision very likely falls more on ownership than the front office.

Beyond the team’s distaste for trading veteran players to bring in young talent, the Rockies haven’t capitalized on their perennially high selections in the amateur draft. Colorado hasn’t selected lower than tenth in the draft since 2019, but none of their top picks in that time — Charlie Condon, Chase Dollander, Gabriel Hughes, Benny Montgomery, Zac Veen — have made an impact on the team to date. Condon and Dollander remain promising, well-regarded young players, but Condon’s selection over likely AL Rookie of the Year Nick Kurtz (who went to the A’s one pick later) now looks glaring, even if it was sensible at the time. The last Rockies day one pick with even one WAR, per Baseball-Reference, was Brendan Rodgers, whom they selected third overall back in 2015.

Overhauling this operation will be a daunting task — one that’ll surely take multiple years. The Rockies will need to significantly build out their baseball operations, analytics and player development departments and build a farm system practically from the ground up. That’ll need to happen without the benefit of shopping many players on the current roster, as the majority of their team possesses minimal trade value — as one would expect from a club that just lost 119 games. There are a handful of big leaguers who could bring back a notable return on the trade market, but Schmidt’s ouster has the feel of a total system reboot that could very well see the team extend its streak of 100-loss seasons.

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Colorado Rockies Newsstand Bill Schmidt

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Brian Snitker Will Not Return As Braves’ Manager In 2026

By Steve Adams | October 1, 2025 at 9:16am CDT

The Braves will have a new manager in 2026. Brian Snitker has informed the team that he will not continue in the dugout beyond the 2025 season, ESPN’s Jeff Passan reports. Snitker will remain with the organization as a senior advisor but will hand over the reins in the dugout to a new hire. The Braves formally announced the decision just minutes after Passan’s report and added that Snitker will be inducted into the Atlanta Braves Hall of Fame prior to a game next season.

The 69-year-old Snitker has spent the past decade as the Braves’ manager but has been in the organization for a staggering 49 years. He’s previously managed at nearly every minor league level in the system and held roles as the major league bullpen coach and third base coach.

Snitker was named interim manager in May 2016, when the organization dismissed then-skipper Fredi Gonzalez, who’d been on the job since 2011. Snitker quickly shed the interim label that offseason after an Atlanta club that started the season in a 9-28 swoon rallied to a more respectable 59-65 showing. Snitker signed a two-year contract to see the team through a rebuild but emerged as a mainstay in the dugout on the other side of that youth movement. The Braves won 90 games in 2018, leading to not only their first postseason appearance in five years — but an NL Manager of the Year win for Snitker.

Atlanta has since extended Snitker multiple times. The Braves organization lifer has compiled an 811-668 record as the big league skipper, overseen seven postseason berths (including six straight division titles) and, of course, guided the team to a victory in the 2021 World Series. He’ll step down as the skipper with the second-most wins in Atlanta Braves history, trailing only Bobby Cox’s 2,149. (Frank Selee’s 1,004 wins for the then-Boston Beaneaters in the late 1800s technically stand as second in franchise history.)

The 2025 season was the final year on Snitker’s contract. Between that and the fact that he’ll turn 70 later this month, he’s faced plenty of questions and speculation about his future throughout the season. He’s remained noncommittal and focused on his duties in the dugout but never firmly dismissed the possibility of continuing on as manager. Similarly, president of baseball operations Alex Anthopoulos said late in the season that he had “absolutely not” begun laying groundwork for a potential managerial search, calling the notion of doing so “completely disrespectful” to Snitker and his legacy within the organization.

Anthopoulos will now embark in earnest on a managerial search. Incredibly, the new hire will be just the fourth Braves manager since 1990. Cox led the team from 1990-2010, with Gonzalez stepping in from 2011-16 and Snitker helming the club since. It’s commonplace in situations like this for an organization to allow its coaching staff to at least explore new opportunities, as a new manager will generally be given plenty of say over the rest of his dugout staff. That’s not to suggest that Atlanta will have an entirely new cast of coaches next year; some members of the current staff may even be considered for the newly created vacancy. Bench coach Walt Weiss, for instance, has four years of major league managing experience and has served as Snitker’s right-hand man since 2018.

Snitker’s decision to step down means there are now a remarkable eight teams in search of a new manager this offseason — with the possibility for further turnover still existing, depending on the decisions of clubs still alive in the postseason. The Nationals, Orioles and Rockies all finished the 2025 season with interim managers after firing their skippers midseason. The Twins and Giants fired Rocco Baldelli and Bob Melvin following the season. The 2025 season was the final year of Bruce Bochy’s contract in Texas, and he won’t return to the Rangers in 2026. And the Angels, who elevated Ray Montgomery to interim manager after Ron Washington required midseason heart surgery, have announced that neither Montgomery nor Washington will return to their club next year. This winter will be the most active offseason in recent history with regard to managerial activity.

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Atlanta Braves Newsstand Brian Snitker

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