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Offseason Outlook: Minnesota Twins

By Steve Adams | November 11, 2016 at 10:51am CDT

MLBTR is publishing Offseason Outlooks for all 30 teams. Click here for the other entries in this series.

After a promising 2015 season that led many to believe the Twins’ lengthy stay in the AL Central cellar had reached its conclusion, nearly everything that could go wrong for Minnesota did in 2016. The Twins lost 103 games, prompting baseball’s most loyal ownership group to move on from GM Terry Ryan along the way. A new front office regime will look to guide the team back to prominence in the AL Central.

Guaranteed Contracts

  • Joe Mauer, 1B: $46MM through 2018
  • Phil Hughes, RHP: $39.6MM through 2019
  • Ervin Santana, RHP: $28MM through 2018 (plus 2019 club option)
  • Brian Dozier, 2B: $15MM through 2018
  • Byung Ho Park, 1B/DH: $9.25MM through 2019 (including $500K buyout of 2020 club option)
  • Glen Perkins, LHP: $7.2MM through 2017 (including $700K buyout of 2018 club option)

Arbitration Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; salary projections via MLB Trade Rumors)

  • Trevor Plouffe (5.162) – $8.2MM
  • Hector Santiago (5.016) – $8.6MM
  • Brandon Kintzler (5.003) – $2.2MM
  • Eduardo Escobar (4.128) – $2.9MM
  • Kyle Gibson (3.056) – $3.5MM
  • Ryan Pressly (3.053) – $1.1MM
  • Non-tender candidates: Plouffe, Escobar

Free Agents

  • Kurt Suzuki ($6MM option did not vest)

Other Financial Commitments

  • Ricky Nolasco: $5MM paid to Angels through 2019 ($4MM for 2018 salary plus $1MM buyout of 2019 option)

Twins depth chart; Twins payroll information

The decision to move on from Terry Ryan was a fairly stunning development for the Twins this summer, as Ryan was one of just three general managers that the notoriously loyal Twins had employed dating back to 1985. Minnesota has been perceived as one of the most traditional organizations in the game, which made the hiring of 33-year-old Derek Falvey as the team’s new top baseball executive a significant departure from the status quo. Joining Falvey will be longtime Rangers assistant GM Thad Levine, who’ll receive a titular promotion to GM but still serve as second in command in his new organization. They’ll be complemented by longtime Twins AGM Rob Antony, who served as interim GM following Ryan’s departure but will return to his previous post following the new hires. At their introductory press conference, Falvey and Levine spoke about building out the club’s analytics department as well as the entire front office staff.

There are any number of issues facing the Twins’ new leadership team, though they won’t need to find a manager, as Paul Molitor will return for his third year on the job at the behest of owner Jim Pohlad. The Twins will be looking for a new hitting coach, though, after firing Tom Brunansky from that role earlier this week.

Beyond that, the first order of business will be to determine whether the club needs to embark on a total reset and further prolong what has already been a lengthy residence in the American League Central cellar (minus a one-year flirtation with a Wild Card spot in 2015). Falvey, perhaps unsurprisingly, didn’t commit to a clear direction during his introduction to the Twin Cities, instead speaking somewhat vaguely about a desire to deliver a “championship-caliber” baseball team, focusing on the long-term health of the organization and keeping an open mind to all scenarios.

Reading between the lines a bit, Falvey did praise the work that the previous regime had done in compiling a nice core of young talent on the position-player side of the spectrum, implying what anyone who has followed the Twins even remotely already knew: the pitching staff is in need of a major overhaul. Outside of Ervin Santana, Minnesota’s rotation is rife with uncertainty.

Former first-round pick Kyle Gibson took a marked step back in 2016 and dealt with shoulder injuries. Phil Hughes underwent thoracic outlet syndrome surgery this summer and hasn’t looked anywhere close to his 2014 breakout in either of the past two seasons. Hector Santiago was acquired to be an upgrade over Ricky Nolasco, but he regressed immediately upon joining the club and posted a 5.58 ERA in 61 innings with the Twins. Young right-hander Jose Berrios, lauded as a top 25 prospect by most pundits, was shelled for an 8.02 ERA in 58 innings, and sophomore Tyler Duffey followed up a terrific rookie effort with a 6.43 ERA in 133 innings (albeit with considerably more promising peripherals).

In the bullpen, Glen Perkins made just two appearances before a shoulder injury ended his season, while starter-turned-setup-man Trevor May dealt with back problems and turned in a poor season of his own after showing great promise in 2015. Veteran setup man Kevin Jepsen pitched so poorly that the Twins released him. Hard-throwing relief prospects J.T. Chargois and Pat Light (acquired from Boston this summer) both struggled in the Majors. Rookie left-hander Taylor Rogers was a bright spot all year, though he wilted in September.

Whatever course the Twins set this offseason, it’s clear that some rotation additions are needed. The team does have another MLB-ready arm at Triple-A in the form of Adalberto Mejia (acquired from the Giants in the Eduardo Nunez trade), while 2014 first-rounder Tyler Jay and 2013 fourth-rounder Stephen Gonsalves had nice years in the minors. But given the rampant uncertainty that permeates their staff, the Twins need additional innings. It wouldn’t be prudent for Minnesota to ink one of the top starters and allocate tens of millions of dollars at mid-rotation arms as they so frequently did in recent offseasons, so look for lower-cost alternatives. Left-hander Derek Holland saw his option declined by the Rangers and is obviously a very known commodity to new GM Thad Levine, for instance, as is right-hander Colby Lewis (in whom the Twins had interest when he was first returning to MLB from Japan).

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If the Twins want to get more creative, they could roll the dice on a Korean starter such as Kwang-hyun Kim or Hyeon-jong Yang, both of whom can be signed without going through the posting process. The Twins did reportedly have interest in Yang when he was posted two winters ago, and the other club that was heavily linked to him was Levine’s Rangers. Both should be affordable targets and could give the team some degree of upside in a thin market. Looking to the ’pen, the Twins are one of many teams reportedly eyeing Greg Holland, and it’d make sense to add a veteran arm or two. There are plenty of options, ranging from Fernando Salas and Joe Blanton to rebound candidates like Daniel Hudson and Shawn Tolleson.

Ervin Santana

That’s not to suggest, however, that the Twins are going to put together a rotation with an eye toward contending in 2017. If anything, it seems likelier that the team will opportunistically listen to offers on its most attractive short-term pieces. That certainly includes Ervin Santana, who with two years and $28MM remaining on his contract (plus a 2019 option) is an unequivocal bargain in this pitching market. Santana would be one of the market’s top starters were he available this winter, and he could probably earn another three guaranteed years near his current annual rate, so some teams may consider him a bargain.

Second baseman Brian Dozier is a steal for the Twins at $15MM over the next two seasons on the heels of a shocking 42-homer season. The number of teams eyeing second-base upgrades isn’t exactly plentiful, though the Dodgers, Angels and potentially the Mets could make some sense in the event that Dozier becomes available. He’s reportedly already drawing some early trade interest, which doesn’t come as a shock.

Ground-ball machine Brandon Kintzler, who operated as the team’s closer in the final months of the year, may not carry significant value on his own, but he could be packaged with a veteran such as Santana or Dozier to sweeten the deal for any interested parties. He’s projected to earn just $2.2MM next season and posted a 3.15 ERA with 5.8 K/9, 1.3 BB/9 and a 61.9 percent grounder rate in 54 1/3 innings this year.

Brian Dozier

Elsewhere on the roster, third baseman Trevor Plouffe seems like perhaps the best bet to depart. That determination will likely be made independent of any larger decision about the team’s 2017 direction. Simply put, it’s tough to see how the 31-year-old fits onto the roster moving forward. Miguel Sano is back at third base after a puzzling experiment in right field somewhat predictably didn’t pan out. Joe Mauer is entrenched at first base across the diamond thanks largely to a $23MM salary each year in 2017-18 and a full no-trade clause. Switch-hitting Kennys Vargas and Korean slugger Byung Ho Park are options at DH. Park flopped in his first stateside season, but it’s worth noting that he hit quite well through mid-May (.257/.339/.578, nine homers in 124 PAs) and ultimately had season-ending wrist injury, which could have contributed to his decline.

Plouffe had an injury-shortened year himself but finished with a hot bat and a triple-slash that closely mirrors his 2014-15 production. He’s projected to earn $8.2MM next year, and for a player with a .253/.314/.427 slash and an average of 21 homers per 162 games since Opening Day 2014, that’s neither an outlandish price nor a significant bargain. A team looking for a one-year stopgap at third could plug Plouffe into the mix before he hits free agency next winter, though the return in a trade wouldn’t be especially overwhelming.

This outlook has been quite a bit of doom and gloom thus far, but the Twins do have reason for optimism, as Falvey alluded to during his intro. Byron Buxton’s overall 2016 season wasn’t impressive, but he hit .287/.357/.653 with nine homers in a ridiculously productive September. While he still whiffed in a third of his plate appearances, he also walked at an improved 8.9 percent clip. Clearly it’s a small sample, but the former No. 1 overall prospect is still just 22, and his first extended taste of big league success is heartening.

Likewise, Miguel Sano hit 25 homers in just 495 plate appearances, lending some credence to the belief that he could eventually be a 40-homer bat. He still needs to curtail his own alarming strikeout habit, and the right field experiment probably set him back a ways at third base, but his arm should play there. Heralded outfield prospect Max Kepler emerged and held his own in right field even when accounting for an icy slump in September. The German 23-year-old showed more power than most projected, belting 17 homers in 447 PAs while slashing .235/.309/.424.

On the other side of the outfield, 25-year-old Eddie Rosario began his sophomore season so poorly that he found himself demoted to Triple-A in May. He hit .305/.335/.477 upon his recall, which seems like enough for redemption, but he’s in severe need of an improved approach at the plate, having walked in just three percent of his career plate appearances against a 25 percent strikeout rate. The blend of pop, speed and athleticism in the outfield is tantalizing, so perhaps a new hitting coach can help him make adjustments. Looking to the infield, it’s not entirely clear where 23-year-old Jorge Polanco will settle in on the diamond, but the young switch-hitter’s bat was impressive (.282/.332/.424). He has the inside track on the shortstop gig next year but could also play third or more likely second base as well, depending on Minnesota’s other moves.

Outside of the glaring need for rotation and bullpen help, there are still areas that the Twins will look to improve in 2017 even if a more long-term approach is taken this winter. Last year’s trade for John Ryan Murphy didn’t yield the results that the Twins hoped, and with Kurt Suzuki now a free agent, they’ll need to add help behind the plate. Some in the Twins’ clubhouse would probably like to see Suzuki re-signed, but Falvey’s Indians showed little to no interest in him after Yan Gomes’ injury this summer due to his poor defense. Matt Wieters and old friend Wilson Ramos are both free agents, but both are probably going to cost more than the Twins would care to spend.

Pitch-framing was a point of emphasis while Falvey was in Cleveland, and Jason Castro stands out as a reasonably priced addition that excels in that regard. He’s never been able to replicate his All-Star 2013 season at the plate, but Castro’s left-handed bat fares well enough against right-handed pitching and could be paired with Murphy’s right-handed bat. The Twins have another right-handed option in former ninth-rounder Mitch Garver, who had a strong year between Double-A and Triple-A (.270/.342/.422). Trades could also be possible — buying low on Derek Norris, for instance — but the addition of a strong defender behind the plate seems likely one way or another, as it’s a quick way to help improve the results of a league-worst pitching staff.

The bench could be an area of focus, as well. Both Falvey and Levine have spoken about wanting to add a veteran or two that can provide some leadership, and a fourth outfielder that would serve as an upgrade over Robbie Grossman could fit the bill. Grossman hit quite well in his first year with the Twins (.280/.386/.443), but his glove was among the worst in all of baseball (-21 DRS, -16 UZR) and he’s limited to the corners. Rosario’s ability to cover center field in a pinch allows the Twins to have a fourth outfielder that isn’t necessarily a center fielder, but a defensive upgrade would be another means of helping to induce better results from the pitching staff. Jon Jay or Rajai Davis could fit that bill and could take on a larger role if any of the incumbent young outfielders stumble.

Elsewhere on the bench, the Twins will need to determine if their preference is to stick with the duo of Eduardo Escobar and Danny Santana or move on from one or both. Escobar is coming off a terrible season and is projected to earn $2.9MM, but he was worth a total of three to four wins from 2014-15 and can play three infield positions plus left field. Santana, meanwhile, is out of minor league options and hasn’t hit at all since his BABIP-fueled rookie season in 2014. With the backup catcher, one of Park or Vargas and a fourth outfielder (either Grossman or a new acquisition) occupying three of the four bench slots, there’s probably only room for one of the two, unless the club once again utilizes Santana as a backup center fielder.

Despite finishing with MLB’s worst record in 2016, the new Twins’ front office may feel enough pieces are in place that a total tear-down isn’t necessary. (Indeed, a GM recently opined to FOX’s Ken Rosenthal that there isn’t one team in full rebuild mode this winter.) The previous regime left enough talent pieces on the position-player side of the equation (Buxton, Sano, Kepler, Polanco) that it’s possible to see the core of a contending team among the group. Now, Falvey and Levine will be tasked with acquiring the same type of group on the pitching side of things. A return to contention in 2017 doesn’t look especially likely unless they receive as much good fortune next year as they did bad fortune in 2016, but with the right pitching pickups the 2018 campaign could be a good one for the Twins.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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2016-17 Offseason Outlook MLBTR Originals Minnesota Twins

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Trade Rumblings: A’s, Rangers, D-backs, Tigers, Dodgers, Rays

By Steve Adams | November 11, 2016 at 8:03am CDT

While the Athletics aren’t exactly shopping any of Sonny Gray, Stephen Vogt or Sean Doolittle, they’re open-minded to trade scenarios involving the three due to the fact that they recognize the unlikeliness of competing in the next year’s AL West with this current group, writes Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports. Per Rosenthal, Oakland will look to build around younger arms like Sean Manaea and Jharel Cotton, though he also notes the difficulty that presents itself when entertaining offers on Gray. Trading the 2015 Cy Young candidate when his value is at all-time low is quite problematic, as teams will be looking to buy low on the still-just-27-year-old Gray, while the A’s rightly would place a higher premium on him. Both Gray and Vogt are controllable for three more years via arbitration, while Doolittle is guaranteed a mere $6.95MM over the next two seasons and has two club options at $6MM and $6.5MM beyond that.

Some more trade rumblings from around the league…

  • Also via Rosenthal, the Rangers and Rays had extensive talks about Chris Archer, Drew Smyly and Jake Odorizzi prior to the non-waiver trade deadline this summer, and the two sides aren’t expected to renew any of those talks. Texas isn’t as aggressive on Rich Hill as other clubs either, though Rosenthal notes that they’ll still probably find a way add a mid-rotation arm or back-of-the-rotation arm at some point this winter.
  • The Diamondbacks are content to hang onto Yasmany Tomas for the time being, Rosenthal reports. The 26-year-old had a huge second half that saw him bat .294/.329/.584 with 18 homers in 258 plate appearances, boosting his season batting line to .272/.313/.508 to go along with 31 homers. However, his highly suspect defense (-16 DRS, -14 UZR), below-average OBP and poor baserunning left him as a replacement-level player in the eyes of both Fangraphs and Baseball-Reference. Rosenthal notes that AL teams may eventually find Tomas more attractive once players like Yoenis Cespedes and Edwin Encarnacion sign, though I’m not sure any team would jump at Tomas’ contract. He’s guaranteed $48.5MM over the next four seasons and has an opt-out clause following the 2018 campaign on his backloaded deal. In other words, if Tomas blossomed into the regular he was projected to be, he could jump ship after just two years and re-enter free agency, but if 2017 mirrors his first two years, an acquiring team would be looking at nearly $50MM for a sub-replacement-level player.
  • ESPN’s Jerry Crasnick spoke to a number of general managers at this week’s meetings to discuss the thin market for starting pitching, including Tigers GM Al Avila. Crasnick writes that the Tigers are willing to dangle Justin Verlander in trades — Avila acknowledged as much earlier this week when saying the Tigers were open-minded to virtually any trade scenario — and notes that the GM has already spoken with Verlander, Miguel Cabrera, Victor Martinez and Ian Kinsler and informed them that they should expect to see their names bandied about in trade rumors this offseason.
  • Crasnick also talked to Dodgers GM Farhan Zaidi about the possibility of L.A. swinging a deal for an arm. Zaidi expressed some confidence in the depth that the team has internally before adding, “…but there’s a reason we went out and traded for Rich Hill at the deadline last year. It’s something we’re going to continue to monitor.” Zaidi’s Dodgers are indeed stacked with depth — in addition to Clayton Kershaw they have options in Julio Urias, Kenta Maeda, Scott Kazmir, Brandon McCarthy, Alex Wood, Jose De Leon, Brock Stewart, Hyun-jin Ryu and Ross Stripling — which is why the GM said the team will be “fairly targeted in looking for guys who come with maximum upside to pitch at the front of the rotation.”
  • Joel Sherman of the New York Post tweets that the Rays left the GM Meetings with a stronger belief than they had upon arrival that they’ll trade one of Archer, Odorizzi or Smyly this winter. He adds that there’s an “outside chance” that Alex Cobb will be dealt as well, although Cobb’s return from Tommy John surgery was delayed in 2016, leaving him with a total of just 22 innings and an 8.59 ERA, so it’d be understandable if Tampa Bay feels that Cobb’s value would increase in 2017.
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Arizona Diamondbacks Athletics Detroit Tigers Los Angeles Dodgers Tampa Bay Rays Texas Rangers Alex Cobb Chris Archer Drew Smyly Ian Kinsler Jake Odorizzi Justin Verlander Miguel Cabrera Sean Doolittle Sonny Gray Stephen Vogt Yasmany Tomas

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Orioles Prioritizing Outfield Additions

By Steve Adams | November 10, 2016 at 10:50pm CDT

NOV. 10: Josh Reddick is one potential target, tweets MLB Network’s Jon Morosi. Baltimore is “pursuing” Reddick, according to Morosi, though there are no indications that the team is in any type of serious negotiations this early in the offseason. Reddick has, in the past, carried a strong defensive reputation, though metrics on him took a step back in 2016. Nonetheless, his left-handed bat would fit the Orioles’ previously reported desire. Reddick should cost less than Trumbo, whom Duquette noted may be too expensive to retain (see below), but he could still command somewhere in the vicinity of $10-12MM per season, so he may not be that much more affordable on an annual basis.

NOV. 9: Ghiroli tweets today that Duquette said he’s already had multiple trade discussions at the GM Meetings and is seeking a left-handed-hitting outfielder. FanRag’s Jon Heyman tweets that their ideal target would also be a defensive upgrade, citing Brett Gardner and Ender Inciarte as the type of outfielder the O’s would like to acquire (though not specifically linking the Orioles to either outfielder).

NOV. 8: The Orioles’ top priority this winter will be adding outfield help, general manager Dan Duquette told reporters at the GM Meetings today (Twitter links via MLB.com’s Britt Ghiroli). While the team’s rotation was clearly its primary downfall in 2016, Duquette said he’s comfortable heading into 2017 with the current depth he has. That includes right-handers Chris Tillman, Kevin Gausman, Dylan Bundy, Yovani Gallardo and Ubaldo Jimenez as well as left-hander Wade Miley. Additionally, the team has some safety nets in the form of righties Tyler Wilson, Mike Wright and the arbitration-eligible Vance Worley.

Baltimore’s outfield picture is decidedly less certain at the moment. Adam Jones, of course, will reprise his role as the Orioles’ center fielder next year, but the corner picture is murkier. Hyun Soo Kim showed rell enough in his rookie season to see an increased number of at-bats in 2017, but the O’s didn’t seem to feel remotely comfortable letting Kim face lefties, as the former Korea Baseball Organization star recorded just 22 of his 345 plate appearances against a southpaw pitcher. Kim, it would seem, required a platoon partner at the very least, and other corner is even more wide open.

Mark Trumbo served as Baltimore’s primary right fielder in 2016, but Duquette suggested today that the team might not be able to afford to retain Trumbo following last offseason’s aggressive spending on the likes of Chris Davis, Darren O’Day and Gallardo (plus the trade-deadline addition of Miley). Baltimore is also facing sizable arbitration raises for Manny Machado and Zach Britton, among others, so it’s not necessarily surprising that Duquette’s resources could be limited this winter. And, if that’s the case, then the report of Baltimore’s interest in Ian Desmond from earlier this morning may be largely inconsequential, as Desmond figures to be in the same financial stratosphere as Trumbo — if not an even higher one.

Trumbo is one of many corner outfield options on the market this winter, though many teams figure to look at him as a first baseman. If the Orioles need to add a more affordable outfielder to their 2017 mix, the likes of Michael Saunders, Jon Jay and Matt Joyce are among the players that landed on MLBTR’s list of top 50 free agents yesterday, though Joyce and Saunders could present similar platoon issues to Kim. Jay, meanwhile, has fairly even platoon splits throughout his career, although his ability to play center field could lead to some competition for his services.

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Baltimore Orioles Josh Reddick Mark Trumbo

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Twins Rumors: Dozier, Ervin, Bullpen, Perkins

By Steve Adams | November 10, 2016 at 8:59pm CDT

Twins second baseman Brian Dozier drew trade interest from multiple teams at this week’s GM Meetings, tweets MLB Network’s Jon Morosi. That’s hardly a surprise, considering Dozier finished the season with 42 home runs on a last-place team and is controlled cheaply ($15MM total) for two more seasons. While many rightly tout Dozier’s preposterous second half — he hit 28 home runs and slashed .291/.344/.646 in 72 games following the All-Star break — the 29-year-old has somewhat quietly been playing at a high level for quite some time, averaging 3.5 fWAR and 3.7 rWAR per season from 2013-15. The St. Paul Pioneer Press’ Mike Berardino noted earlier this week that the lack of teams with obvious holes at second base might make it difficult for new Twins CBO Derek Falvey and GM Thad Levine to extract maximum value in a Dozier trade, but it’s still not a shock to see some teams kick the tires.

A few more notes on the Twins…

  • Berardino spoke to Falvey and Levine about the likely trade interest that the Twins will receive in right-hander Ervin Santana this winter, and the new Minnesota front office duo didn’t sound especially anxious to move him. “I think we look at him as the anchor of our starting rotation and certainly something we want to build around,” said Levine of Santana, who is owed $28MM over the next two seasons and has a club option for 2019 on his contract as well. “…We think (Santana) is one of the most attractive pitchers that could be in consideration, but we view him as the No. 1 starter on our team. That’s an area we’re trying to build, not subtract from.” Berardino spoke to execs from other teams that said the Twins haven’t been aggressively marketing Santana in trades.
  • Also via Berardino (Twitter links), the Twins met with agent Casey Close of Excel Sports Management this week and discussed several of Excel’s free agents, including Joba Chamberlain and possibly fellow right-handed relievers Joe Smith and Shawn Tolleson. Both Chamberlain and Smith pitched with the Indians while Falvey was a member of the team’s front office, and Levine of course is quite familiar with Tolleson, who spent the past three seasons with the Rangers. The Twins are almost certainly casting a wide net when looking at free-agent relievers, so it’s probably early to read too heavily into that trio of relievers. As can be seen in MLBTR’s Agency Database, Excel also reps free agents Alex Avila, Aaron Barrett, Jerry Blevins, Aaron Crow and Brian Matusz. Additionally, Dexter Fowler, Neil Walker, Steve Pearce and Colby Rasmus are all Excel clients, too, although there’s less of a fit in Minnesota for that group.
  • Twins closer Glen Perkins, who made just two appearances this season before hitting the disabled list and eventually requiring shoulder surgery, is about four and a half months through what is expected to be a nine-month rehab process, the left-hander tells Phil Miller of the Minneapolis Star Tribune. Perkins tried to rehab the injury for three months before ultimately going under the knife and having screws inserted into the labrum of his left shoulder. Perkins conceded that given his age (34 in March) and the severity of the surgery, he’s not sure if he’ll recover all of his velocity, but he expects to be competitive next year and hopes to remain with the Twins beyond his current contract. (Perkins is set to earn $6.5MM next year and has a $6.5MM option for the 2018 season.) “I see myself being a part of this organization for a lot longer than my contract,” he said.
  • Also of note from Miller’s column, assistant GM Rob Antony offered praise for the job that right-hander Brandon Kintzler, who inked a minor league deal with the Twins last winter, did upon stepping into the ninth inning out of necessity in 2016. However, Antony suggested that the organization isn’t necessarily expecting Kintzler to reprise that role in 2017. “I’m not sure we see him as a closer,” said Antony, who also acted as the interim GM prior to the hiring of Falvey and Levine. “I don’t think we’ve penciled in anybody.” That would suggest that the Twins could potentially lure a bullpen arm to Minnesota by offering a chance to compete with Perkins and Kintzler for the ninth-inning job.
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Minnesota Twins Brandon Kintzler Brian Dozier Ervin Santana Glen Perkins Joba Chamberlain Joe Smith Shawn Tolleson

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AL West Rumors: Profar, Astros, Street, Angels, Mariners

By Steve Adams | November 10, 2016 at 7:13pm CDT

Jurickson Profar could be one of the Rangers’ biggest trade chips this offseason in their search for starting pitching, writes MLB.com’s T.R. Sullivan, although GM Jon Daniels spoke highly of Profar and said he expects him to be with the team next year. “As we sit here today, I expect him to be a part of the club in a winning role,” said Daniels of the 23-year-old Profar, who missed both 2014 and 2015 due to shoulder injuries but returned to play 90 games for Texas in 2016. The former No. 1 overall prospect batted just .239/.321/.338 in 307 plate appearances while playing first base, second base, shortstop, third base and left field. Daniels did acknowledge that he’s aware of Profar’s desire to play shortstop on an everyday basis, though there’s no avenue for him to do that with Elvis Andrus coming off a career year. However, as Daniels noted, the increase in roster versatility around the league has allowed utility players to effectively become regulars — a role that Profar could hold next year. Profar is under control through the 2019 season.

More from the division…

  • Astros GM Jeff Luhnow tells Jake Kaplan of the Houston Chronicle that he and the rest of his front office are leaving this week’s GM Meetings with a lengthy list of “leads” to pursue in terms of both free agents and trades. “I think we’re going to start making some offers right away, both with teams as well as with agents and players,” said Luhnow. “Whether or not it leads to anything next week, I don’t know. But I would like to have one or two things done before the winter meetings if possible.”
  • Jeff Fletcher of the Orange County Register tweets that Angels GM Billy Eppler has informed Huston Street that he’ll have to win the closer’s role in a competition during Spring Training. Young righty Cam Bedrosian, who took over the ninth inning when Street hit the disabled list with a season-ending knee injury, will also be in the mix. The 33-year-old Street missed a month with an oblique strain early in the year before requiring knee surgery in August, limiting him to just 22 1/3 innings. Street recorded a brutal 6.45 ERA in that time and posted a 14-to-12 K/BB ratio while his fastball averaged a career-low 88.2 mph. Bedrosian, meanwhile, turned in a dominant 1.12 ERA with 11.4 K/9, 3.1 BB/9 and a 49.5 percent ground-ball rate in 40 1/3 innings. The 25-year-old saw his own season end preemptively as well, however; he first hit the DL due to a tendon strain in the middle finger on his right hand before undergoing surgery to repair a blood clot in his arm.
  • Fletcher also reports that the Angels turned down a trade offer for an offensive-minded second baseman at this week’s GM Meetings due to the fact that the unnamed player was a defensive liability (Twitter link). It’s not clear who, exactly, is being referenced with the report — speculate away in the comments section — but Fletcher gets the impression that defense will be a high priority for the Halos as they look to fill add a second baseman. (Of note, Fletcher implied in a followup tweet that the second baseman in question wasn’t exactly a big name.)
  • Mariners GM Jerry Dipoto suggested that his club will pursue a more targeted offseason than it did last year, as Ryan Divish of the Seattle Times reports. “Last year was about heavy lifting and effectively re-creating the way we played,” he said. “This year is about focusing on ways we can get better in the parameters we set up last year.” With some “freedom” in the payroll, Seattle will still be looking to add a right-handed-hitting option at first, a righty-swinging outfielder, and a lefty reliever. Divish ticks through some of the many options on the market.
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Houston Astros Los Angeles Angels Seattle Mariners Texas Rangers Cam Bedrosian Huston Street Jeff Luhnow Jurickson Profar

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Mariners Have Interest In Brett Cecil, Boone Logan

By Steve Adams | November 10, 2016 at 5:32pm CDT

The Mariners have expressed some early interest in free agent lefty Brett Cecil tweets Jon Morosi of the MLB Network, and the M’s are also likely to take a look at southpaw Boone Logan in free agency, Ryan Divish of the Seattle Times tweets. Morosi notes that the Mariners are “determined” to add a lefty reliever, although that much has been known for quite some time, as GM Jerry Dipoto has previously expressed his desire to add a left-handed reliever to the back of his bullpen.

Cecil, 30, registered an inflated 3.93 ERA in an injury-shortened season in 2016, but he was much better after returning from a strained left triceps than he was when pitching earlier in the year. And dating back to the 2013 campaign, Cecil has somewhat quietly been a stellar left-handed option for Toronto, pitching to a 2.90 ERA with 11.5 K/9, 3.1 BB/9 and a 50.2 percent ground-ball rate. In that time, he’s held lefties to a feeble .215/.270/.310 slash but also suppressed opposing right-handers, who batted a mere .218/.306/.350 against Cecil in that four-year span. Cecil’s velocity was down a bit early in the season, but it bounced back as he further distanced himself from from the aforementioned DL stint. Overall, he averaged 92.2 mph on his heater this season.

Logan’s recent track record isn’t as strong as that of Cecil, but his 2016 campaign was arguably superior. The 32-year-old posted a 3.69 ERA with 11.1 K/9, 3.9 BB/9 and a 49.2 percent ground-ball rate in 46 1/3 innings with the Rockies. However, Logan was limited to facing primarily lefties and used in more situational roles than was Cecil, as he faced 68 right-handers against 119 lefties. He’s probably best deployed as a specialist as opposed to a true setup option that would face both left- and right-handed hitters, although there’s no question that escaping a hitter-friendly park would be beneficial to him as well. Logan has spent all but one season of his career calling either U.S. Cellular Field, Yankee Stadium or Coors Field home (2009 with the Braves), so he could relish the chance to play in a more pitcher-friendly setting such as Seattle’s Safeco Field. He’s already been loosely connected to the Blue Jays and Giants this winter.

Other left-handed options available to the Mariners on the free agent market include the likes of Jerry Blevins and Mike Dunn, though it’s worth noting that a couple of the available names — Travis Wood and Clayton Richard — seem likely to market themselves as starting pitchers this winter. And, as Dipoto demonstrated in making 11 trades last offseason, he’s hardly shy about making deals with other clubs to augment his roster.

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Seattle Mariners Boone Logan Brett Cecil

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Minor MLB Transactions: 11/10/16

By Steve Adams | November 10, 2016 at 3:53pm CDT

Here are the day’s minor moves from around the league…

  • The Giants have agreed to a minor league deal with first baseman/outfielder Chris Marrero, per Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports (Twitter link). The 28-year-old is a former first-round pick (Nationals, 2006) that spent the 2016 campaign with Boston’s Triple-A affiliate and hit quite well, slashing .284/.344/.494 with 23 homers and 30 doubles in 544 plate appearances. Marrero appeared in the Majors with the Nats back in 2011 and 2013 but batted a disappointing .232/.256/.272 in 133 PAs across those two stints. He’s a consistently solid bat in the minors though and could provide San Francisco with some depth both at first base and in left field.
  • The Mariners announced yesterday that catcher Steven Baron has been released following last week’s DFA. The No. 33 overall pick in the 2009 draft, Baron has just 11 big league plate appearances under his belt but has hit for respectable average and gotten on base at a solid clip in the upper minors. He’ll turn 26 next month and could serve as a depth piece for clubs that are seeking a relatively young catcher to pick up some playing time in Triple-A next year.
  • The Orioles announced that left-hander Jed Bradley has been outrighted off their 40-man roster yesterday. Baltimore claimed the former first-round pick and top prospect off waivers from the Braves last month, though his stay on the 40-man roster didn’t last long. Bradley made his Major League debut with Atlanta this season, yielding four runs on seven hits and six walks (two intentional) with four strikeouts in seven innings. He also posted a 3.09 earned run average with 108 strikeouts against 40 walks in 107 2/3 innings between the rotation and bullpen at Triple-A this year (13 starts, 22 relief appearances).
  • Outfielder Noel Cuevas has re-signed a minor league deal with the Rockies, the team announced. Cuevas, who turned 25 a month ago, began his pro career with the Dodgers but has spent the past two seasons in the Rockies organization and enjoyed one of his most productive minor league seasons to date in 2016. Splitting time between Double-A and Triple-A — his first action at the Triple-A level — the Puerto Rican center fielder hit .296/.331/.414 across 360 plate appearances.
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Baltimore Orioles Colorado Rockies San Francisco Giants Seattle Mariners Transactions Chris Marrero Jed Bradley Steven Baron

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MLBTR Chat Transcript: 11/10/16

By Jeff Todd | November 10, 2016 at 2:02pm CDT

Click here to read a transcript of today’s MLBTR chat with host Jeff Todd.

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MLBTR Chats

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Cody Anderson Undergoes Elbow Surgery

By Jeff Todd | November 10, 2016 at 1:47pm CDT

Indians righty Cody Anderson underwent an arthroscopic debridement of his right elbow yesterday, per a team announcement. He is expected to resume throwing in early January.

If all goes well with the rehab protocol, the team expects that Anderson will be able to ramp up in Spring Training as usual and be available at the start of the 2017 season. While his role is uncertain after a trying 2016 season, Anderson remains an important part of Cleveland’s pitching staff.

Heading into the year, Anderson was hoping to build off of a rookie year in which he posted a 3.05 ERA over 91 1/3 innings in 15 starts. While he jumped to a 12.2% swinging-strike rate, nearly doubled his strikeout rate (to 8.0 K/9), lowered his walk rate (to 1.9 BB/9), and showed added fastball velocity (93.5 mph) in 2016, Anderson ended with an ugly 6.68 ERA over 60 2/3 frames.

Anderson was somewhat more successful later in the year after transitioning to the bullpen, and showed well at Triple-A. But he’ll need to improve upon the batted ball outcomes to succeed in 2017. Last year, opposing hitters made soft contact at a meager 15.8% rate, which helped them post a lofty .381 BABIP, and hit nearly two home runs per nine with a 19.1% HR/FB rate.

Cleveland will surely hope that Anderson can bounce back from the injury, and his struggles, to function at least as a useful swingman. He could battle with Josh Tomlin, Mike Clevinger, Ryan Merritt, and perhaps others for a spot in the rotation in camp, though the first order of business will be to get healthy. It’s certainly possibly that Anderson could end up in the pen or working to refine his game at Triple-A to open next season.

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Free Agent Rumblings: Encarnacion, Beltran, Cespedes, Mets, Colon

By Jeff Todd | November 10, 2016 at 12:52pm CDT

The Blue Jays are still at the top of the list of free agent slugger Edwin Encarnacion, agent Paul Kinzer said in an appearance on Sportsnet 590 (audio available here). Toronto has made an offer, though it “wasn’t quite where [Encarnacion’s camp] wanted to be,” and it seems that there’s still some hope of a reunion. There are other suitors, but Kinzer notes that Encarnacion will weigh matters beyond the pure contract and that “there’s a short list of where he would go to.” Kinzer noted that the market has thrown some “curves” thus far. The Red Sox have been somewhat less aggressive than had been expected, the agent acknowledged, though he noted that some unexpected teams have been in talks. While it seems there’s a lot of ground still to cover, Kinzer suggested that a signing could come together by the start of the Winter Meetings — and might well take place sooner.

Here are a few more notes on some prominent free agents:

  • The Astros have serious interest in free agent outfielder/DH Carlos Beltran, according to Mark Feinsand of the New York Daily News. The Rangers still have Beltran on their radar, too, per that report. And the Red Sox remain intrigued by Beltran, but view him as one of many possible candidates, per Rob Bradford of WEEI.com (via Twitter). Boston is still casting a “wide net” in seeking a new DH. All told, it seems that the 39-year-old will have multiple options as he chases an elusive World Series title in what will be his 20th major league season.
  • Yankees GM Brian Cashman downplayed any connection between his organization and top free agent slugger Yoenis Cespedes, as Feinsand reports. Cashman acknowledges that there has been some contact, but characterized it as more of a routine opening of a channel to obtain medical information and perhaps pursue dialogue in the future.
  • The Mets had “preliminary talks” involving free agents Jose Bautista and Dexter Fowler over the last several days, according to Mike Puma of the New York Post (via Twitter). But the team remains focused on trying to engineer the return of Cespedes. GM Sandy Alderson met with his agent yesterday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com tweets. Meanwhile, rival organizations have reached out to New York to ask about the availability of lefty-swinging outfielders Michael Conforto, Curtis Granderson, and Jay Bruce, per Marc Carig of Newsday (Twitter links). It’s all supposition at this point, but there does seem to be some sense in the idea of signing a right-handed-hitting outfielder while dealing a lefty. The three possible targets noted above all hit from the right side (with Fowler also switching to the left side to face righties).
  • There have been some conflicting signals of late as to how interested the Mets are in bringing back veteran righty Bartolo Colon, but GM Sandy Alderson said today that there’s still interest, as MLB.com’s Barry Bloom reports. Still, it doesn’t seem as if there’s any sense of urgency, with Alderson suggesting the pitching market will have more clarity in a few weeks’ time. If the Mets don’t push to bring back Colon, the division-rival Braves may be there to step in, as MLB.com’s Mark Bowman tweets that Atlanta has ongoing interest. (Of course, the team already landed an over-40 pitcher today.)
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Atlanta Braves Boston Red Sox Houston Astros New York Mets New York Yankees Texas Rangers Toronto Blue Jays Bartolo Colon Carlos Beltran Curtis Granderson Dexter Fowler Edwin Encarnacion Jay Bruce Jose Bautista Michael Conforto Sandy Alderson Yoenis Cespedes

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