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« Diamondbacks Talk To Vazquez | Main | Kasten: No Offer Yet For Teixeira »
3:45pm: ESPN is reporting details of the contract. Dempster gets a $4 million signing bonus, $8MM in 2009, $12.5MM in 2010, $13.5MM in 2011, and a $14MM player option for 2012. He can make additional money based on awards. Looks like the Cubs backloaded the deal to leave payroll room.
11:51am: Gordon Wittenmyer of the Chicago Sun-Times also says there's a four-year, $52MM agreement and Dempster will sign the deal today. I consider this an acceptable price. There's a health risk, but Dempster already had Tommy John surgery. He can probably maintain an ERA below 4.00.
11:47am: Dan Graziano of the Newark Star-Ledger has a source saying the Cubs and Dempster have agreed on a four-year, $52MM deal.
11:24am: SI.com's Jon Heyman says the Cubs are "making progress" on a deal with Dempster.
10:50am: Rosenthal says the deal would be worth "slightly more than $50 million."
9:53am: According to Ken Rosenthal, the Cubs are close to re-signing Ryan Dempster to a four-year contract. Depending on their ownership situation, the Cubs may still pursue Jake Peavy or Randy Johnson. They could also be in the mix for Rafael Furcal.
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Big reason why Cubs won division: Jim Edmonds
hence
Big reason why Cards did not win division: terrible team, terrible GM
another big reason: Jim Edmonds success with Cubs
There ya go.
Posted by: valpo034 | November 18, 2008 at 01:44 PM
As for bad FA signings, the only argument that I can say is to look at contract length. Short length doesn't hurt the team NEARLY as much as long term does. We get Schmidt and Jones off the books next season. How long is Soriano signed for? 6 more seasons? That deal will probably end up looking worse than anything the Dodgers signed because he's going to be around so long. And he's already showing signs of turning more injury prone.
Posted by: DodgersBruin | November 18, 2008 at 01:50 PM
congrats Cubbies.. got yourself a pretty good pitcher at a reasonable price
Posted by: mRyAnkEe1231 | November 18, 2008 at 01:56 PM
"I mean, yeah, if you want, you can make really opinionated statements saying like, "Edmonds was a major part in the Cubs winning" but there's really no way to prove any of it. "
Sweet Jesus. Just when I think there can't be another stereotypical idiot Cardinals fan out there.
He was more productive in his AB than all but three hitters on your entire team this year, one of which had about 100 AB.
You seriously can't think there's no way to prove that he was a major part of our wins with those numbers. Please educate yourself about this game. Jesus.
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | November 18, 2008 at 01:58 PM
DB-you might end up being right about soriano's deal and lord knows i have my doubts about it. i'm worried about the 2 leg injuries, but the other one was a broken hand due to a HBP. nothing to be done about that. my point is, 13 mil/yr for 4 years of a potential ace is a good deal. z is locked up for exactly the same amount of time, and i'm very happy to have those 2, along with harden and lilly, going into next season.
we say he might regress, and he probably will, but he also could be even better next year. and, IIRC, out of his 17 wins last year, something like 12 or 13 came at home, the supposed hitter's park.
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | November 18, 2008 at 02:05 PM
Dempster had a 2.86 ERA at home. He only gave up 6 HRs in 129 innings at home. His road numbers were 3.13 ERA and 8 HRs in 77 innings.
I think it's safe to say his home numbers were more of an anomaly than his actual level of talent. ESPECIALLY with Wrigley Field being a hitter's park.
Posted by: DodgersBruin | November 18, 2008 at 02:13 PM
DB, Wrigley Field is NOT a hitters park when the wind blows in, no matter what you think the stats tell you. Wrigley Field is one place you cannot always use stats. When the wind blows in it's PetCo, when the wind blows out it's Coors. That is why the numbers show it as a "hitters" park, but it's less often a hitters park than a pitchers park. Just that when it IS a hitters park, it is one of the easiest to hit a ball out of.
Posted by: Bdlugz | November 18, 2008 at 02:19 PM
This contract is one that nearly every team would love to sign. Dempster is a good bet to be more healthy than Sheets or Burnett, and outperform any free agent other than CC for the duration of it. Maybe he will, maybe he won't...but the people arguing that the contract is bad should go check in with their GMs, who would probably love to have signed it themselves.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 18, 2008 at 02:24 PM
Being that Edmonds did so wonderfully for you I'm sure your all waiting anxiously for him to re-sign. Obviously you can't let the player who was so vital to your success just walk away can you? In reality though, you'd be better off with him than that Godzilla of an unproducing contract that will be platooning CF for you next year. What's Japanese for "keep your eye on the ball and stay in the batters box?"
Posted by: MVPujols | November 18, 2008 at 02:26 PM
Sheets highest ERA+ was 162, but he hasn't had anything close to it since, and that was in 2004.
Burnett has never had a full season of an ERA+ over 122...and when he did that, it was 2002! Oh yeah, he is about to sign an 80 mil contract!
Lowe was awesome at one point...the year 2000. Last year was his best since, and his ERA+ was 131.
Demster's last year? 151, and he signed a deal for 4/52? How can you not like it???
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 18, 2008 at 02:30 PM
"Being that Edmonds did so wonderfully for you I'm sure your all waiting anxiously for him to re-sign. Obviously you can't let the player who was so vital to your success just walk away can you?"
No, I would not want him back. Not because I don't think he could perform, but because we have a logjam in centerfield and have no room for him. He is our version of Jeff Weaver I guess.
Posted by: valpo034 | November 18, 2008 at 02:38 PM
Also, Fukudome may have only had an OPS+ of 90, but he also was the 2nd best defensive right fielder in the majors, so his value is more than you leave it at with his offense.
Posted by: Bdlugz | November 18, 2008 at 02:44 PM
"DB, Wrigley Field is NOT a hitters park when the wind blows in, no matter what you think the stats tell you. Wrigley Field is one place you cannot always use stats. When the wind blows in it's PetCo, when the wind blows out it's Coors. That is why the numbers show it as a "hitters" park, but it's less often a hitters park than a pitchers park. Just that when it IS a hitters park, it is one of the easiest to hit a ball out of."
Well, what the stats show is that Wrigley Field is more "Coors Field" than "Petco Park". And yes, I CAN go by what the stats show.
Posted by: DodgersBruin | November 18, 2008 at 02:46 PM
How is it that when a team signs a good player the haters have to pop up and talk about how bad of a signing it was? How are dodgers fans knocking it? Like you wouldnt have been happy had your team with no pitching signed him for that price! Cards fans knocking it? Lohse is a better signing?Dempster will get injured? Why dont you worry about your top 2 starters staying healthy for a season before you knock the cubs and dempster.
Posted by: ptk420biatch | November 18, 2008 at 02:55 PM
db,
Sounds like with you saying how much of a hitters park Wrigley is, Dempsters outstanding numbers there would be even more valuable and impressive. Thanks, I agree.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 18, 2008 at 03:00 PM
"And yes, I CAN go by what the stats show"
yes. yes you can. and by doing so you can let those of us that go to games at wrigley regularly (i have a package of ten games a year) know that your familiarity with wrigley is limited to what you read on a stat sheet. do you know about the elevated foul lines along the bullpens? about the sun shadows at home plate during afternoon games? about the setting sun shining directly into the right fielder's eyes under the roof overhang? the odd corners in left and right field? i'm guessing you don't.
the wind at that park makes it 2 different ballparks, and the majority of the time, the wind blows in. for the entire month of april it does, and most of may, and the majority of games through the rest of the summer. for every five games there, one, maybe 2 of those will have the wind blowing out. however, when it does, expect home runs to be elevated. you're good with stats, you know how quickly a pitcher's numbers can get skewed from one bad outing. wrigley on a wind blowing out day gives pitchers nightmares. that's a fact. when the wind blows out, bloated era's are sure to follow.
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | November 18, 2008 at 03:02 PM
YOu are all right here.
When the wind is blowing in, the runs scored are further from the mean.
When the wind is blowing in, it is a pitchers park, but not as many runs LESS than what the mean is than the number that is greater when the wind is blowing out.
Overall runs scored for the year is a little more than average...which is true. But that doesn't change the fact that when the wind is blowing in its a pitchers park.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 18, 2008 at 03:06 PM
I think thats 1 more year and 1mm more than i would have went, but im glad hes back. The rotation should be set with Zambrano,Dempster,Lilly,Harden and one of Marquis, Hill or Marshall. I do not see a need for another starter. All the Cubs need now is a Dunn type (lefty with power)or maybe a leadoff hitter and we should be good.
Posted by: clarknaddison | November 18, 2008 at 03:17 PM
Thanks for clarifying 100 and Aduncaroo... it's frustrating that someone looks at stat sheets and instantly thinks they understand the complexity that can create that sheet. It isn't always so cut and dry.
Posted by: Bdlugz | November 18, 2008 at 03:23 PM
"When the wind is blowing in, the runs scored are further from the mean."
This is supposed to say when the wind is blowing OUT, it is further from the mean...but you get the point.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 18, 2008 at 03:27 PM
So the Cubs finally signed Dempster. Now, imagine if they can somehow get Peavy, that would be one beefed-up rotation with Peavy, Dempster, Zambrano on the top.
Posted by: Umair | November 18, 2008 at 03:28 PM
Not a bad move for the Cubs. Hefty price tag, but with the lack of better alternatives for a cheaper price, and the fact that Dempster will likely at the very least be a good #3.
Posted by: 123456789 | November 18, 2008 at 03:28 PM
, it was the right move to make.
Posted by: 123456789 | November 18, 2008 at 03:29 PM
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/8813164/Dempster,-Cubs-agree-to-new-4-year,-$52M-deal
back to more important matters, foxsports has the details. it's another backloaded contract with an option attached. i'm not totally crazy about these deals, but i guess it shows that whoever the new owner is will be able to absorb these costs. with the sale of the club coming relatively soon (hopefully) they must have run this and other prospective offseason moves past prospective buyers, don't you think?
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | November 18, 2008 at 03:36 PM
Glad to see the signing, now I think if the cubs can add one more starter (Peavy, Randy Johnson) and then a RF, I heard that Milton Bradley is the talk of the town today, and finish up with Furcal then this can go down as a very effective offseason!
youngcubs
Posted by: youngcubs | November 18, 2008 at 03:42 PM
ptk420biatch
"Like you wouldnt have been happy had your team with no pitching signed him for that price!"
makes a lot of sense. youre a lame and give cubs fans a bad name.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | November 18, 2008 at 03:43 PM
"Dempster gets a $4 million signing bonus, $8 million next year, $12.5 million in 2010 and $13.5 million in 2011. Dempster has a 2012 option for $14 million."
Hmm...its actually barely backloaded. With the signing bonus toward this year's contract, it comes out to
09-12 mil
10-12.5 mil
11-13.5 mil
2012 player option for 14 mil
Seems good to me. I'd say thats about fair price with a little hometown discount. I'll take it.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 18, 2008 at 05:09 PM
"I think the market value for these #3-#5 pitchers is out of control. Wen players like Loshe and Silva are netting 7 figure per year deals, something is out of whack."
amid all the cubs vs cards and dodgers fans saying "you suck worse than us" someone makes absolute sense
lights out, striker
Posted by: crash | November 18, 2008 at 05:20 PM
Where has anyone seen from a credible source that Cubs are now "out of the running for Peavy?" If I remember correctly I recall seeing that the Cubs would like to have two of the three of Dempster, Peavy, and Johnson. Here's to the best ever six-man rotation.
Posted by: jmancubsfan | November 18, 2008 at 05:28 PM
Smart move for the Cubs. Demp really showed his worth in the playoffs last year.
Posted by: Kevbo | November 18, 2008 at 05:57 PM
does no one remember when Demp was an All Star for the Marlins in '02 (not positive on the year) and he was a starter if i recall correctly.
Posted by: EPraider17 | November 18, 2008 at 05:59 PM
This is a no-brainer for the Cubs despite his injury history. He has been healthy for a few years now since his TJ surgery, therefore, I think he's proven himself in that respect. He has great stuff and seems to have found 'it' through conditioning and letting the movement of his pitches do the work (something that Z needs to do with more frequency). The only time he gets himself into trouble is when he tries to be too 'fine' with his pitches resulting in free passes as we saw in the NLDS. I think the contract and length is par for the course.
I know I'm going to get a few negative responses about what I'm about to say but he's great in the clubhouse. Losing him AND Woody would likely result in the need to find a new club identity or personality. This club needs consistent leadership with a stronger backbone to get to the WS.
Posted by: cr_hartley01 | November 18, 2008 at 06:17 PM
hartley you hit the nail on the head exactly right
I am very relieved that the cubs got him backnow get ibanez or even better abreau and either peavey (hopefully) or johnson and were the team 2 beat and will probably win 100+ 100 anyway
maybe try to get floyd again on the bench and who could beat them
all those guys whining that hes injury a risk would give anything to get him there were reportedly 6+ teams interested in dempsters services and the dogers stink without manny
Posted by: gunsnascar | November 18, 2008 at 06:39 PM
Wow the Cubs have a lot of players with nick names.
Dempster- Demp
Zambrano- Big Z
Lee- D-Lee
DeRosa-D-Ro
Ramirez- A-Ram
Theriot- The Riot
The used to be Cubs
Wood- Woody
Edmonds plus Johnson- 2 headed monster. ( I know Reed Johnson is stil a Cub)
Samardzija- Shark
I think Fontenot has one too but I can't think of it.
Posted by: BLEEDINGCUBBIEBLUE | November 18, 2008 at 10:36 PM
The rotation seems like it set unless Marquis gets traded( Hopefully). And Cubs bring in another Lefty pitcher Perez, Johnson ect. I would take Johnson and give Samrdzija as the set up guy with Gregg as Marmol is closer.
SP- Harden
SP- Zambrano
SP- Johnson
SP- Dempster
SP- Lilly
RP- Kevin Hart
RP- Michael Wuertz
RP- Chad Gaudin
RP- Neal Cotts
RP- Angel Guzman
SU- Kevin Gregg
SU- Jeff Samardzija
CL- Carlos Marmol
Posted by: BLEEDINGCUBBIEBLUE | November 18, 2008 at 10:46 PM