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« A's Decline To Offer Arb To Embree, Thomas | Main | Marlins Decline To Offer Arb To Rhodes, Gonzalez, Lo Duca »
Nick Piecoro of the Arizona Republic has the D'Backs arbitration decisions. They offered arb to Juan Cruz (Type A), Brandon Lyon (Type B), and Orlando Hudson (Type A) while declining to offer it to Adam Dunn (Type A). I'm surprised by all but Hudson. The D'Backs are taking on a risk, as they don't really have room in the budget for the two relievers. They must be confident they'll decline or they can make trades.
Dunn at one year is a worthwhile risk with two draft picks at stake, but the D'Backs were apparently scared off by a possible payday north of $13MM. GM Josh Byrnes said of the decision, "The poor economy has affected some things." I'm sure Dunn doesn't mind; he just became more attractive to other teams. We should know soon whether the Phillies offered arb to his righthanded counterpart, Pat Burrell.
Also, MLB.com's Steve Gilbert adds that Randy Johnson (Type B) was not offered arbitration. No surprise there.
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Seems to me the Dbacks not being able to offer Dunn arbitration encompasses all that is wrong with MLB's free agency compensation system.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 01, 2008 at 09:35 PM
What's wrong with it? The Dbacks WERE able to offer him arb, but passed on the opportunity. Risk vs. reward. That's the chance you take when you trade for someone like that. They knew this day was coming.
Posted by: stellar | December 01, 2008 at 09:39 PM
makes the trade look a little better for the Reds, and only further establishes Dunn as the Rodney Dangerfield of baseball.
Posted by: charliescrabbles | December 01, 2008 at 09:42 PM
They were not able to offer because him accepting would cripple the franchise. Something the big market teams would not have to worry about. When these players are leaving for the bigger money anyway why handicap the teams that have less further by making them risk everything just to receive affordable compensation. Maybe they need a rule about some form of compensation to be eligible for without offering if a player would take up a certain percent of a teams payroll.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 01, 2008 at 09:46 PM
I can see Burrell possibly taking arb and coming back next year when there might be less talent to compete with on the market. Plus it gives him a chance to win another ring. I can't believe the D-Backs didn't offer Dunn arb, that is just stupid. First, he isn't going to take it and even if he does, then you just trade him.
Posted by: rememberthecoop | December 01, 2008 at 09:47 PM
Walkoffblast - you say this is something the big markets don't have to worry about? Well, the Cubs didn't offer Wood arb for financial reasons.
Posted by: rememberthecoop | December 01, 2008 at 09:48 PM
No Arb to RJ, now the dodgers can pick him up. But wont pick up Hudson cause he was offered arb.
Posted by: NedCollettiClueless | December 01, 2008 at 09:52 PM
"They were not able to offer because him accepting would cripple the franchise."
Maybe they should have thought about that when they went into debt to build the 2001 team.
Posted by: richphillies | December 01, 2008 at 09:55 PM
That is a fair analogy but the cubs situation is unique with the team being on the block and such. They definitely could afford him but they decided they did not want to risk using their payroll that way. The Dbacks would be in huge trouble if Dunn accepted, Wood coming back would hardly cripple to franchise. Even to move Dunn the Dbacks would probably have to eat some money or get nothing because of having negative leverage.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 01, 2008 at 09:56 PM
Dunn would represent 20 percent of the Dbacks 2008 payroll. Wood 8 percent of the cubs 2008 payroll.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 01, 2008 at 10:01 PM
Its a give and take between the teams and the players. The teams can get compensation, but in return they must be willing to offer the player a 1 year contract at fair value as determined by an arbitrator. Seems like a completely fair system to me, and MLB can't change it without the MLBPA signing off on it.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 01, 2008 at 10:01 PM
Negative leverage?
Almost any team in the league would take Adam Dunn on a one year deal.
You're really grasping at straws with your theory.
Posted by: stellar | December 01, 2008 at 10:04 PM
Rememberthecoop,
The thing you forget is Adam Dunn is a ONE TOOL player; he hits Home Runs and THAT IS IT!!!
So just imagine what Dunn's value would be if instead of batting .240 and hitting 40 Home Runs and struggling to drive in 100 RBI's, his Home Runs and RBI's were to drop?
Don't think that could happen? Just look at how his Home Run production dropped after he was traded to the D-backs.
Whiile with the Reds in 2008, he was hitting a HR once in every 11.65 At Bats. Over 525 At Bats that would be a 47 Home Run pace.
After he was traded to the D-backs and was playing in larger ball parks on the West Coast, his HR produciton dropped to once in every 18 At Bats. Over 525 At Bats that would be a 29 Home Run pace.
So, for $13 (or more) million dollars, would it be worth it for the D backs to risk Dunn accepting Arbitration and then going out and laying an egg in the Home Run department? Because if he is getting minimal interest from teams now just think how little his trade value would be if THAT happened?
Posted by: ctownboy | December 01, 2008 at 10:09 PM
How much would you give up for a player another team had to trade? Literally has no possible way of keeping. Have you been watching this offseason. I bet 3/4th of mlb would not even hear you out on Dunn right now at his price.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 01, 2008 at 10:10 PM
walkoffblast,
That is exactly what happened with Dunn and KGJ on the Reds. Combined they took up about 30% of team payroll in 2008.
Nixa37,
How is it a fair system when players have BAD years and are still offered salaries in Arbitration that are higher than what they made the year before? Teams might offer what a player might be "valued" at but if that player had a down year, it would look like a low ball offer and the Arbitrators would most likely see that one year as an aberation and choose the much higher salary that the player and his Agent submitted.
Steller,
Obviously both the Reds and D-backs didn't see it the way you do because one team traded Dunn before they had to make that decision and the other team just passed on offering him Arbitration.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 01, 2008 at 10:17 PM
"They were not able to offer because him accepting would cripple the franchise. Something the big market teams would not have to worry about."
They are hardly a "small market" club. They are just cheap.
Posted by: AA | December 01, 2008 at 10:18 PM
ctownboy, his offensive value extends beyond power and production. His ability to get on base is the key. Sure, he strikes out a ton, but gets on base at a 40% clip and that's damn good. And while he won't play good defense, most of the outfielders out there on the market (Abreu, Bradley, Burrell, et al) also are poor defensively.
Posted by: rememberthecoop | December 01, 2008 at 10:30 PM
The dodgers shouldnt have cared about the Dbacks offering arbitration anyway, he wouldnt cost them a pick either way.
Posted by: chicubs25 | December 01, 2008 at 10:46 PM
Don't even bother arguing with ctowncowboy about this one. Trust me, you could point out that Dunn has been hitting just as many HR on the road as at home over the past couple of seasons, but that certainly doesn't matter to him. He's a pissed of Cincy fan that blames the owner and his man crush on Dunn for pretty all the team's problems.
Look, I've seen what happens when a team offers a player arbitration and he unexpectedly accepts. It happened to the Braves with Maddux and it forced JS to trade Kevin Millwood for Johnny Estrada straight up.
What you guys seem to be missing is that if teams didn't have to offer arbitration to get compensation, players could end up priced out of jobs purely because of the compensation it would cost to sign them. Even if they were willing to play for the minimum, there might not be a team willing to give up the draft pick and therefore no one to sign the player. This system addresses that problem by forcing the team to give the player a contract at a price set by a 3rd party arbitrator if they don't find a deal they like on the open market, possibly in part due to the draft pick compensation necessary.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 01, 2008 at 10:56 PM
I never said I thought other teams should have to give up picks for players not offered arbitration. I merely said that in some cases teams should be compensated for the loss when the player made an extreme amount of their budget. I am talking about something like a sandwich pick not stripping another teams first round pick.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 01, 2008 at 11:04 PM
I love how ctown talks about Dunn only being able to hit home runs and then completely refusing to acknowledge his ability to get on base. In fact, Dunn's OPS+ in Cincy was 130. His OPS+ in Arizona was 127. Not quite the drop off.
Posted by: DodgersBruin | December 01, 2008 at 11:49 PM
That's a better idea in theory I guess, but the MLBPA is unlikely to go for it. In return for the reduced leverage compensatory picks give players on the open market, the owners had to agree that an arbitration offer was necessary to get them. I understand where you're coming from, but the main reason the Dbacks couldn't afford to offer Dunn arbitration was the mismanagement of team finances. They put themselves in this mess and this is part of the price they pay. They're not just going to change rules to help out the Dbacks or other teams that really have no one to blame but themselves.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 02, 2008 at 12:01 AM
Either way you look at it this is a big screw-up on AZ's part.
If they couldn't budget enough to offer him arbitration they shouldn't have traded for him to begin with. Dback mgmt. admit they signed Dunn with the thought they would at least get 2 picks for him. Poor management.
Posted by: dgrfns | December 02, 2008 at 12:23 AM
"After he was traded to the D-backs and was playing in larger ball parks on the West Coast, his HR produciton dropped to once in every 18 At Bats. Over 525 At Bats that would be a 29 Home Run pace."
Are you trying to tell me that Chase is a pitching park? I'm confused.
Posted by: mkorpal | December 02, 2008 at 12:26 AM
Nixa, there is no leverage issue if no team has to give up their pick. Why do you continue to not understand this? My point is that the system is screwy in the 10-15 mil bracket. The top teams can afford the risk, the lower teams cannot. This ends up defeating the purpose of the picks to begin with.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 02, 2008 at 10:27 AM
I understand there isn't a leverage issue when they're type B's, but in return for the loss of leverage that type A free agents get owners had to agree that arbitration must be offered to type A and B free agents to get the picks. That's just how collective bargaining works and the owners aren't going to get that changed without making other concessions to players.
I love how you keep saying the top teams can afford the risk too. Philly just did the exact same thing with Pat Burrell that the Dbacks did with Dunn. Neither team had room in their budget to take on the risk and that's their own fault. If the Dbacks didn't know if they could offer Dunn arbitration they never should have given up so much for him in the first place.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 02, 2008 at 11:40 AM