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« Discussion: Pedro Feliz | Main | Trade Market: Left Fielders »

Odds & Ends: Chapman, Bradley, Rays, Twins

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I think that Polanco could make a great fit for the Twins, giving them a plus defender at the position that can consistently be at least decent at the plate.

They still would need to figure out the shortstop situation, unless they really want to go back to the Punto/Harris combo, and third base probably won't be (shouldn't be) filled by Danny Valencia next season.

I still think that trading Joe Nathan isn't the worst idea, although unfortunately his value is likely down given the flood of Closers hitting the market, although Nathan is better than any of them.

I just don't see how the Twins can keep a closer around at that kind of price if they want to keep Mauer, Morneau, and others around.

I wouldn't worry about Bradley going anywhere. The Cubs recognize that his contract is unmovable for the time being and even went and picked up Rudy Jaramillo, the Rangers' old hitting coach, to try and make him useful. They seem to be resigned to their fate.

I think I'd rather see Lopez manning second base for the Twins next season.

I'd prefer to have the additional OBP and speed. The fact that he's a switch hitter is a nice bonus as well, especially since he's been a bit tougher on lefties over the past few seasons, an area which the Twins have historically had issues.

Unfortunately, there's a lot of players I'd like to see the Twins take a shot with, but they won't have the payroll.

Some combination of Beltre, Lopez, a trade for Hardy, and a Harden/Bedard type would make me quite the happy camper though.

mechanicalTurk, I disagree. I haven't seen anything anywhere that would seem to indicate that the Cubs are resigned to the fate with Bradley. In fact just the opposite, I believe they're actively trying to move him and eventually will. The only question will be how much of his salary they have to pick up and what, if anything they take back.

When you look at the Twins need at 2B I think you should look at it from the perspective of what role in the linup it would fill. Because when I look at the Twins lineup next year I see this:

1. Span CF 23SB .392OBP
2. GAPING HOLE
3. Mauer C 28HR .444OBP
4. Morneau 1B 30HR .516SLG
5. Cuddyer RF 32HR .520SLG
6. Kubel DH 28HR .539SLG
7. Young/Gomez LF ??
8. 2B/3B/SS
9. 2B/3B/SS

The single most important thing (outside of locking up Mauer) is finding someone to hit in the two hole in front of Mauer and the 30HR .500+SLG threesome behind him. If you can find a player at 2B/SS/3B who can bring an elite OBP you will score massive amounts of runs from your 1-6 even if the last three in the order are patched together. The answer to the 2B and #2 spot is sitting right there in FA:

Felipe Lopez

Lopez's .383OBP was 4th best for all regular second basemen only behind Zobrist, Utley, and Castilla and 3rd best if you don't count Zobrist as a 2B. He would cost a first round pick and a sizeable chunk of available funds but the Twins would still have enough flexibility to bring in Hardy (I know this is the idea for about 60 other teams) and bring back Pavano. As long as they solidify their #2 spot they should feel comforable finding two starters out of Hardy-trad, Valencia, Punto, Harris, Buscher, Tolbert, Castilla or a bargan FA/trade.

Giving up a first round pick for a cost-conscious club like the Twins is bordering on the insanity. It's an organization that is going to need a constant infusion of young talent to stay competitive and offset what is going to be a huge Mauer extension. Lopez had a very nice year to be sure, but is he really the type of guy an organization like Twins needs to be sacrificing the 21st pick in the draft for?

The Chapman thing is so easy to predict its almost laughable. He flies around country enjoying the sites, comes back to NY, tells Cashman was offered 25 million by the Sox, next day signs with NY for 30.
This is baseball today folks. No hate here just used to it.

I think you are valuing some of that talent incorrectly. Lopez's OBP in 2009 was off-charts high for him. Prior to 2009 his best year was 2006 at 358. As recently as 2007 his OBP was 308. Betting on a repeat of 2009 is incredible risky.

Also, I wouldn't bet on Cuddyer's performance in 2009 to repeat again. In 2009 he out slugged his career average by 80 points. In fact, he has had exactly one year where he slugged higher than 500 prior to 09. A bunch of years where he slugged in the low 400's. And even a year in which he slugged in the 300's (2008).

It's easy to imagine Mauer, Cuddyer and Kubel all taking steps back from their 09 campaigns. I don't see where they are going to make dramatic improvements to off-set those potential regressions. Maybe Young? Doubtful.

The latest Elias Rankings have Lopez as a Type B free agent. Am I misinformed, or are those who are citing Lopez as a Type A?

I agree that signing Lopez at the cost of a first round pick changes things, but if he's a Type B, then I don't see why we wouldn't go after him.

The .383 OBP isn't sustainable, but .350 or better should a reasonable expectation, which would couple nicely with another strong OBP season from Span to set the table for Mauer, Morneau, Kubel, and Cuddyer.

Cyyoung, it would be nice to think a player who is about to become a multi-millionaire, would choose a team for reasons other than top $$; i.e. lifestyle, raising a family, personal comfort levels, etc. Let's amend that. You would think that an agent would have a multi-millionaire player's overall best interests at heart, not just take the bottom line. That said, I am counting on Mauer and Pujols to sign with their home teams, and for Holliday to do the same to play with Albert. I know. Boras won't let that happen.

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