Official Elias Rankings

MLBTR has obtained the official Elias rankings for this offseason. The list below includes all unsigned ranked free agents.

Once the regular season ended, the Elias Sports Bureau took all players over the 2010-11 period, divided them into five groups for each league, and ranked them based on various statistics.  Each player was labeled a Type A, B, or none.  Those designations and the possible accompanying arbitration offers determine draft pick compensation.  If a Type A free agent turns down an arbitration offer and signs a Major League deal elsewhere the losing team gets two draft picks, one of them coming from the new team.  If a Type B free agent turns down an arbitration offer and signs a Major League deal elsewhere the losing team gets one draft pick in the supplemental round, and it doesn't come from the new team.  Keep in mind that an arbitration offer is necessary for draft pick compensation.

The numbers beside the players' names represent their rankings. If teams sign more than one Type A free agent, one team gets a top compensation pick and other teams lose out. The team losing the highest-ranked free agent obtains the best pick the signing team can offer and other teams fall in line behind the team that loses the top-ranked player.

Type A

  • Albert Pujols, Cardinals – 95.200
  • Prince Fielder, Brewers – 91.200
  • C.J. Wilson, Rangers – 90.988
  • David Ortiz, Red Sox – 86.000
  • Ryan Madson, Phillies – 82.948
  • Heath Bell, Padres – 81.437
  • Carlos Beltran, Giants – 80.879 (cannot be offered arbitration)
  • Jonathan Papelbon, Red Sox – 80.292
  • Ramon Hernandez, Reds – 78.947
  • Roy Oswalt, Phillies – 78.350
  • Michael Cuddyer, Twins – 77.671
  • Josh Willingham, Athletics – 77.534
  • Kelly Johnson, Blue Jays – 74.725
  • Matt Capps, Twins – 73.788
  • Darren Oliver, Rangers – 72.880
  • Jose Reyes, Mets – 77.249
  • Jimmy Rollins, Phillies – 76.720
  • Francisco Rodriguez, Brewers – 75.671
  • Octavio Dotel, Cardinals – 70.922
  • Takashi Saito, Brewers – 69.627
  • Francisco Cordero, Reds – 68.486

Type B

  • Aramis Ramirez, Cubs – 71.978
  • Mark Ellis, Rockies – 71.429
  • Rod Barajas, Dodgers – 70.489
  • Vladimir Guerrero, Orioles – 70.000
  • Alex Gonzalez, Braves – 69.312
  • Mark Buehrle, White Sox – 68.508
  • Jason Kubel, Twins – 68.219
  • Frank Francisco, Blue Jays – 68.211
  • Raul Ibanez, Phillies – 68.022
  • Ryan Doumit, Pirates – 67.857
  • Bruce Chen, Royals – 67.248
  • Hiroki Kuroda, Dodgers – 66.422
  • Chris Snyder, Pirates – 65.414
  • Brad Lidge, Phillies – 64.477
  • David DeJesus, Athletics – 64.384
  • Derrek Lee, Pirates – 64.000
  • Magglio Ordonez, Tigers – 63.288
  • Edwin Jackson, Cardinals – 63.154
  • Ryan Ludwick, Pirates – 62.637
  • Aaron Hill, Diamondbacks – 62.500
  • Yuniesky Betancourt, Brewers – 61.905
  • Kerry Wood, Cubs – 61.764
  • Freddy Garcia, Yankees – 61.240
  • Juan Pierre, White Sox – 61.233
  • Jon Rauch, Blue Jays – 61.083
  • Dan Wheeler, Red Sox – 60.905
  • Cody Ross, Giants – 60.879
  • Aaron Harang, Padres – 60.294
  • Wilson Betemit, Tigers – 59.740
  • Jose Molina, Blue Jays – 59.586
  • Carlos Pena, Cubs – 59.200
  • Pat Burrell, Giants – 59.121
  • Arthur Rhodes, Cardinals – 59.019
  • Shawn Camp, Blue Jays – 57.680
  • Jason Varitek, Red Sox – 57.143
  • Rafael Furcal, Cardinals – 56.085
  • Clint Barmes, Astros – 55.556

Eddie Bajek reverse-engineered the Elias rankings for MLBTR and was right on every free agent except for Kelly Johnson and Joel Zumaya.



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