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Archives for March 2025

Reds Sign Jose Trevino To Extension

By Darragh McDonald | March 20, 2025 at 11:57pm CDT

The Reds and catcher Jose Trevino have agreed to an extension. The Paragon Sports International client was already under contract for $3.425MM for 2025 and set to hit free agency after that. This new deal now runs through 2027 with a club option for 2028. Trevino will reportedly get $5.25MM in each of the two guaranteed years. The option is valued at $6.5MM with a $1MM buyout. That means it’s $11.5MM in new money over two years, though the club option means the Reds extend their potential window of control by three years.

Trevino, 32, still hasn’t played a regular season game for the Reds. He was just acquired from the Yankees in December, with reliever Fernando Cruz  and Alex Jackson going the other way. During his time with the Rangers and Yankees over the previous seven seasons, he was never much of a hitter but has emerged as a strong defender behind the plate.

The Yanks acquired Trevino from the Rangers in April of 2022, sending Albert Abreu and Robby Ahlstrom the other way. Through the end of the 2021 season, Trevino had a batting line of .245/.270/.364. That translated to a wRC+ of 65, indicating he was about 35% below league average at the plate. His defense was graded around par during his first few seasons but he seemed to take a leap forward in his final year with Texas. Publicly available metrics graded him as one of the best pitch framers in the league that year.

His first year in the Bronx went quite well and stands out as his best season yet. He hit 11 home runs, more than doubling his previous career high of five. His .248/.283/.388 batting line was still subpar overall, leading to a wRC+ of 90, but that’s about par for a catcher. When combined with his excellent framing and good work behind the plate overall, he was worth 3.8 wins above replacement, per the calculations of FanGraphs.

Injuries got in the way in the subsequent two seasons. A right wrist tear required surgery in 2023 and then a left quad strain sent him to the injured list last year. Over those two campaigns, he got into just 129 games total. His offense fell to a combined .213/.275/.336, wRC+ of 72, but he still produced 2.4 fWAR on the strength of his defense.

The Reds already had Tyler Stephenson as their primary catcher going into this year but clearly liked the idea of Trevino as a complement. They effectively have opposite profiles, since Stephenson is more of a bat-first guy with lesser work while donning the tools of ignorance. The Reds subtracted a big strikeout pitcher from their bullpen in order to get Trevino, sending Cruz to the Yankees. After a few weeks in camp, they are clearly comfortable enough to keep Trevino around into the future as well.

Trevino’s presence has become more important in the short term, as Stephenson is set to begin the season on the IL due to an oblique strain. Trevino himself got a bit of a scare, as he was recently hit on the hand by a foul tip, but his tests came back clean and he appears to be on track to start the season healthy.

Turning to the long term, the Reds are surely hoping this will solidify their catching corps, which was previously fairly uncertain. As mentioned, Trevino was set to hit free agency after 2025. Stephenson is only under club control through 2026.

The top catching prospect in the system is Alfredo Duno, but he’s not close to the majors. He’s only 19 years old, for one thing. His professional résumé consists of 45 games in the Dominican Summer League in 2023 and 32 Single-A games last year. All signs point to a bright future but he won’t be in Cincinnati for a while.

With this new deal, it’s possible for the club to roll with the Trevino/Stephenson pairing for the next two years. By then, perhaps Duno will have worked his way to the upper levels of the minors and put himself in position to replace Stephenson. Even if not, the Reds will have Trevino in place for 2027 and will just need to find a complementary player. If all is going well, they can bring Trevino back for 2028 as well.

The $5-8MM range is a fairly standard AAV for a veteran catcher in his mid-30s, as shown on MLBTR’s Contract Tracker. In recent years, Mitch Garver and Yadier Molina were the only two backstops age-33 or older to surpass that range. Garver was signed to be more of a bat-first catcher/designated hitter while Molina was a legend in St. Louis. Players like Travis d’Arnaud, Kyle Higashioka, Yan Gomes, Martín Maldonado and Roberto Pérez have been in that $5-8MM window.

Looking ahead to next winter, this takes one of the more notable catchers off the board. For the 2025-26 offseason, the top free agent catchers are going to be J.T. Realmuto and Danny Jansen. Realmuto will be going into his age-35 season and might sign an extension with the Phillies before then. Jansen has had good numbers at times but has had a hard time staying healthy. Trevino would have been an interesting glove-first option for clubs but that won’t be the case now that he’s sticking in Cincinnati.

Jon Heyman of The New York Post first reported that the Reds and Trevino agreed to a deal running through 2027 with the 2028 club option. Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reported the full financial details. Photos courtesy of Sam Greene, Imagn Images.

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Cincinnati Reds Newsstand Transactions Jose Trevino

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Padres, Andrew Bellatti Agree To Minor League Contract

By Anthony Franco | March 20, 2025 at 11:36pm CDT

The Padres are in agreement with righty reliever Andrew Bellatti, as first reported by Mad Friars and reflected on the MLB.com transaction log. He’ll likely begin the season at Triple-A El Paso.

Bellatti has spent the past few years with the Phillies. He turned in a strong season in middle relief three years ago. Bellatti rattled off 54 1/3 innings of 3.31 ERA ball while striking out more than a third of opposing hitters. His numbers dropped off dramatically the following season. Bellatti’s strikeout rate fell to 22.1% while his ERA climbed by nearly two runs. That cost him his roster spot during the 2023-24 offseason.

Philadelphia ran Bellatti through outright waivers last February. He spent the entire season in Triple-A, where he allowed 5.48 earned runs per nine over 42 2/3 innings. He recorded a mediocre 20.8% strikeout rate and walked over 16% of batters faced. His fastball averaged 92.4 MPH, down two ticks from its 2022 level.

San Diego can assign Bellatti to Triple-A to begin the season. He’s out of options, so if he does pitch his way to the majors at any point, they wouldn’t be able to send him back down without running him through waivers.

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San Diego Padres Transactions Andrew Bellatti

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Mets Sign Diego Castillo To Minor League Deal

By Anthony Franco | March 20, 2025 at 11:11pm CDT

The Mets signed infielder Diego Castillo to a minor league contract, as reflected on the MLB.com transaction log. Venezuelan journalist Georgeny Pérez first reported the move last week.

Castillo, not to be confused with the reliever of the same name, is a 27-year-old utilityman. He played in four games for the Twins last season, collecting two hits in six at-bats. Minnesota outrighted him off the 40-man roster in July. He spent the rest of the season in Triple-A before electing minor league free agency. The righty-hitting infielder turned in a solid .261/.364/.397 slash with nearly as many walks as strikeouts in 113 games.

It was the second straight season in which Castillo spent a few days in the majors. His only significant big league experience came with the Pirates in 2022. He hit .206/.251/.382 while striking out at a 26.5% clip over 283 plate appearances. Castillo has shown much better strike zone discipline in Triple-A, where he’s a .283/.393/.403 hitter over four seasons. He has minimal power but a good upper minors track record and the ability to bounce around the infield.

This is technically Castillo’s second stint with the Mets. He spent exactly a week on their 40-man roster in January 2024. New York grabbed him off waivers from Arizona and designated him for assignment seven days later. He subsequently bounced around the league via waivers before landing with the Twins in a minor trade in April. Castillo has an option remaining, so the Mets could shuttle him between Queens and Triple-A Syracuse if he secures a 40-man roster spot during the regular season.

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New York Mets Transactions Diego Castillo (b. 1997)

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Brown: Astros “Having Conversations” About Cam Smith Potentially Breaking Camp

By Anthony Franco | March 20, 2025 at 10:01pm CDT

Few players have turned more heads in Spring Training than Astros top prospect Cam Smith. Acquired from the Cubs alongside Isaac Paredes and Hayden Wesneski in the Kyle Tucker trade, Smith was supposed to be the one member of that trio who would not impact the MLB team right away. The 14th overall pick last summer, he has only played 32 minor league games (just five of which have come above High-A).

Smith couldn’t have done much more this spring to force the Astros to consider whether he should break camp. He’s hitting .419 with four homers and a triple in 13 contests. He has worked five walks while striking out eight times in 36 plate appearances. That performance has kept him in big league camp into the final few days of Spring Training. There’s now a realistic chance he’ll make the team.

“We’re making some tough decisions. We want to put our best team forward. We’re having these conversations about Cam Smith,” general manager Dana Brown told Sports Talk 790. “We think he’s really good and we think he has really good upside. We have to make a decision: are we going to start him in the major leagues, or is he going to the minor leagues? … Make no mistake, I’m not afraid to put this guy in the big leagues. We’re having these discussions right now. This guy is really good.”

The Astros have hinted at that possibility with Smith’s recent defensive deployments. He was a collegiate third baseman and played there exclusively in the minors last summer. The Astros used him at the hot corner early this spring. His three most recent appearances have come in right field. That’s a position of greater need in the short term.

They’ll give most of the third base playing time to Paredes. They entered camp with Chas McCormick slated for everyday right field work. He’s coming off a personal-worst .211/.271/.306 showing over 94 games. McCormick entered last season as a career .259/.336/.449 hitter, making him a reasonable rebound candidate. He has had a bizarre spring. McCormick has walked 11 times with four strikeouts in 41 trips to the plate, but he only has four hits without a home run.

Houston presumably wouldn’t start getting Smith right field reps if they weren’t serious about him as a short-term MLB option. That doesn’t guarantee he’ll break camp. Chandler Rome of The Athletic wrote on March 6 (before Smith had any right field reps this spring) that the Astros intended to get him playing time at the position in the minor leagues. Sending him to Double-A or Triple-A for at least a few weeks may still be on the table, but the Astros have already accelerated plans to get Smith in-game outfield work.

If he does force his way onto the MLB roster, McCormick would profile as a fourth outfielder. He could take at-bats in Jake Meyers’ stead in center field. McCormick could also work into left field at times, allowing Houston to occasionally bring Jose Altuve back into second base.

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Houston Astros Cam Smith

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Padres Hire Jake Peavy As Special Assistant

By Anthony Franco | March 20, 2025 at 8:06pm CDT

The Padres announced this afternoon that Jake Peavy has returned to the organization as a special assistant to CEO Erik Greupner. USA Today’s Bob Nightengale reported the news just before the club finalized the hiring.

“I’m incredibly appreciative of this opportunity to reunite with my Padres family,” the longtime MLB starter said in a press release. “San Diego has always held a special place in my heart. I’m a Padre through and through – from the moment I was drafted by the team until this very day, and I can’t wait to work alongside this talented group and contribute in any way I can to the success of this great organization.”

Peavy, 43, played more than half of 15-year big league career in San Diego. The Padres selected him out of high school in the 1999 draft. Peavy reached the majors three years later and broke through as an ace by 2004. The righty won the ERA title with a 2.27 mark over 27 starts that season. That kicked off a run of four sub-3.00 showings across five years. Peavy led the National League with 216 strikeouts in ’05. His 240 punchouts and 2.54 earned run average in ’07 were both best in the majors. He won the Cy Young and finished seventh in MVP balloting.

The Friars traded Peavy to the White Sox at the ’09 deadline. Over parts of eight seasons in a Padre uniform, he worked to a 3.29 ERA with just over a strikeout per inning. Peavy’s big career stretched for another seven years. He played for the White Sox, Red Sox and Giants through the 2016 campaign. The Padres inducted him into their organizational Hall of Fame in 2023.

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San Diego Padres Jake Peavy

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Offseason In Review: Atlanta Braves

By Mark Polishuk | March 20, 2025 at 6:38pm CDT

The Braves scaled back spending this offseason, but still brought in an All-Star outfielder and a lot of depth options to bolster the roster.

Major League Signings

  • Jurickson Profar, OF: Three years, $42MM
  • Alex Verdugo, OF: One year, $1.5MM
  • Bryan De La Cruz, OF: One year split contract, $860K prorated salary for time on active roster
  • Carlos Rodriguez, OF: One year split contract
  • Connor Gillispie, RHP: One year split contract (later lost on waivers to Marlins)

2025 spending: $13.5MM
Total spending: $43.5MM

Option Decisions

  • Exercised $16MM club option on DH Marcell Ozuna
  • Declined $8MM club option on C Travis d'Arnaud
  • Declined $7MM club option on RP Luke Jackson ($2MM buyout)

Trades & Claims

  • Acquired RHP Griffin Canning from Angels for OF/DH Jorge Soler (Canning was later non-tendered)
  • Acquired SS Nick Allen from Athletics for minor league RP Jared Johnson
  • Acquired RHP Davis Daniel from Angels for minor league LHP Mitch Farris
  • Acquired cash considerations or a player to be named later from Angels for RP Angel Perdomo
  • Claimed RHP Amos Willingham off waivers from Nationals
  • Claimed RHP Royber Salinas off waivers from Athletics (Salinas later non-tendered but re-signed on a new minors contract)
  • Claimed RHP Anderson Pilar from Marlins in the Rule 5 Draft (later returned to Miami)
  • Claimed SS Christian Cairo from Guardians in the Rule 5 Draft (later returned to Cleveland)

Notable Minor League Signings

  • Craig Kimbrel, Hector Neris, James McCann, Buck Farmer, Jake Marisnick, Chasen Shreve, Garrett Cooper, Chad Kuhl, Dylan Covey, Jordan Weems, Dany Jimenez, Ray Kerr, Enyel De Los Santos, Matthew Batten, Conner Capel, Wander Suero, Enoli Paredes, Eddy Alvarez, Charles Leblanc, Jose Devers, Zach Thompson, Brian Moran, Kolton Ingram, Chandler Seagle, Jake Diekman (released), Curt Casali (released)

Extensions

  • Reynaldo Lopez, SP: Three years, $30MM (overwrote Lopez's previous contract, adding a guaranteed 2027 season and $4MM more in guaranteed money)
  • Aaron Bummer, RP: Two years, $13MM

Notable Losses

  • Soler, d'Arnaud, Jackson, Canning, Max Fried, Charlie Morton, A.J. Minter, Jesse Chavez, Ramon Laureano, Gio Urshela, Tyler Matzek, Allan Winans, John Brebbia, Cavan Biggio, Eddie Rosario, Huascar Ynoa

President of baseball operations Alex Anthopoulos traditionally makes several moves early in the offseason, and he got a particularly quick jump on things this winter by trading Jorge Soler to the Angels less than 24 hours after the World Series ended.  Since exercising Marcell Ozuna's club option was a no-brainer, Soler became redundant in Atlanta's lineup, and an obvious trade candidate.  Because return piece Griffin Canning was eventually non-tendered, the deal became a pure salary dump, as the Halos took the remaining $26MM of Soler's contract off the Braves' hands.

The Braves also moved quickly in signing Reynaldo Lopez and Aaron Bummer to contract extensions, though since the players were already controlled (Lopez via a previous extension and Bummer via club options), the new deals were more about reshuffling some money and creating some space under the luxury tax.  More payroll space was freed up when the Braves declined club options on Travis d'Arnaud and Luke Jackson, and when arbitration-eligibles Ramon Laureano, Cavan Biggio, and Huascar Ynoa were all let go.

All of these moves indicated that Anthopoulos was preparing for another transaction that would cost his team a significant chunk of money.  It took a couple of months for that next step to happen, but Atlanta finally struck in signing Jurickson Profar to a three-year, $42MM deal.  Profar will now line up as the Braves' everyday left fielder, bringing some stability to an outfield that will still be without Ronald Acuna Jr. until likely sometime in May, as Acuna recovers from his torn ACL.

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2024-25 Offseason In Review Atlanta Braves Front Office Originals MLBTR Originals Membership

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Braves Outright Luke Williams

By Darragh McDonald | March 20, 2025 at 5:40pm CDT

The Braves announced that infielder/outfielder Luke Williams has been outrighted to Triple-A Gwinnett. There wasn’t any previous indication that he had been removed from the 40-man roster, but he was apparently put on waivers recently and cleared. This drops the club’s 40-man count to 37.

Williams, 28, was claimed off waivers from the Dodgers in June of 2023. Atlanta non-tendered him at the end of that season but then re-signed him to a minor league deal. He was back on the 40-man by the middle of April 2024.

He has never been more than a part-time player. He has appeared in each of the past four big league seasons, suiting up for the Phillies, Giants and Marlins before bouncing to Los Angeles and Atlanta. But he has stepped to the plate just 315 times over those four campaigns with a tepid .221/.280/.290 batting line.

He has still proved to be a useful depth piece, despite that lack of offense. He has 20 steals in 26 attempts and has enough defensive versatility to have played every position except catcher. He also had options, meaning he could be sent to the minors and back fairly freely. However, that is no longer the case, as he exhausted his final option season in 2024. That was going to make it tougher for him to hang onto a roster spot, so he has been bumped off today.

Players can reject an outright assignment and elect free agency if they have at least three years of major league service time or a previous career outright. Williams doesn’t meet either of those criteria, so he’ll stick with the club as non-roster depth.

For Atlanta, they now have three open spots on the 40-man roster. Those could be useful since they seem likely to select the contract of catcher Drake Baldwin. They also have a large number of veteran relievers in camp as non-roster invitees, including Héctor Neris, Enyel De Los Santos, Chasen Shreve and others.

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Atlanta Braves Transactions Luke Williams

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White Sox To Carry Rule 5 Pick Shane Smith On Roster; Drew Thorpe Leaves Start With Elbow Discomfort

By Darragh McDonald | March 20, 2025 at 5:25pm CDT

There were a couple of notable updates on the White Sox pitching staff today. For one, the club announced that Rule 5 pick Shane Smith will make the team, along with video of him receiving the news and relaying it to his parents. In a less positive update, manager Will Venable told reporters that Drew Thorpe departed a minor league spring game due to elbow discomfort and will likely require some imaging. Daryl Van Schouwen of the Chicago Sun-Times passed along video of Venable’s comments.

Smith, 25 next month, was the top pick in the Rule 5 draft which took place in November. A Brewers prospect, he had tossed 157 innings over the 2022 through 2024 seasons, allowing 2.69 earned runs per nine. He struck out 32.2% of batters faced while walking 8.4% of opponents, with solid ground ball rates as well.

The workload was fairly minimal. The pandemic had been a major interruption in 2020 and then Tommy John surgery wiped out his 2021. That led to him joining the Brewers as an undrafted free agent. He was working in relief in 2023 but he split his time between the rotation and bullpen in 2024. He got to 94 1/3 innings on the farm last year with a 3.05 ERA.

Despite the solid numbers, the Brewers didn’t add him to their 40-man roster, allowing the White Sox to grab him in the Rule 5. That gave Smith an opportunity to make his big league debut, which he has seized. He has tossed 10 2/3 innings over four spring starts. He allowed four earned runs with 11 strikeouts and four walks. For a White Sox club with little certainty on the pitching staff, that’s more than enough to make the team. As Venable said to Smith in the clip linked above, he made the decision pretty easy for them.

In addition to making the Opening Day roster, Smith might also have a rotation spot to start the year. Venable relayed last week that four rotation spots were taken by Sean Burke, Martín Pérez, Davis Martin and Jonathan Cannon. That seemed to leave Smith and Bryse Wilson as the two favorites for the final rotation job. Wilson has experience pitching as a starter and reliever. As mentioned, Smith has done both in the minors.

Perhaps more clarity will emerge in the coming days about specific roles, but the key thing is that Smith will be with the club. Rule 5 picks can’t be optioned to the minors. If a club doesn’t want to carry a Rule 5 guy on the roster, they need to put him on waivers and then offer him back to his original club if he clears. But Smith did enough to stick around and will get a chance to face major league hitters in official games soon.

Turning to Thorpe, more information will surely come out in the next few days, but it’s an ominous diagnosis for now. One of the top pitching prospects in the league, he was twice part of a blockbuster trade last offseason. He went from the Yankees to the Padres as part of the Juan Soto deal, with the Friars then flipping him to the Sox as part of the Dylan Cease package.

The young righty posted a 1.35 ERA in 11 Double-A starts last year and got promoted to the majors in June, skipping over the Triple-A level. But he posted a 5.48 ERA in his first nine MLB starts and landed on the injured list in early August with a flexor strain in his throwing arm. A month later, it was reported that he would undergo surgery to remove a bone spur from his right elbow. In January, he told reporters that he needed a cortisone shot to deal with some lingering inflammation.

Here in camp, he has been ramping up with bullpens and live batting practice. That led to today’s minor league contest, his first real game action of the year. The fact that it ended with some more elbow discomfort is clearly a worrying development.

Further testing will reveal next steps but a significant injury would be unwelcome in many respects. It’s never good for a pitcher to miss notable development time but Thorpe was also set to have a wide open lane for big league opportunities. The Sox just lost 121 games last year and will have lots of starts available this year for anyone who earns them. If Thorpe is on the shelf, he obviously wouldn’t be able to take advantage of that clear path.

Photo courtesy Rick Scuteri, Imagn Images

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Chicago White Sox Rule 5 Draft Drew Thorpe Shane Smith

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Padres Select Gavin Sheets

By Darragh McDonald | March 20, 2025 at 4:40pm CDT

The Padres announced that they have selected the contract of first baseman/outfielder Gavin Sheets. To make room on the 40-man roster, right-hander Joe Musgrove was transferred to the 60-day injured list. Musgrove is recovering from Tommy John surgery and will miss the entire 2025 season.

Sheets, 29 next month, signed a minor league deal with the Padres over the winter. He had previously spent his entire career with the White Sox but was non-tendered by that club after the 2024 season. He had hit throughout his minor league career with Chicago and debuted in the majors with a good .250/.324/.506 line in 2021. But he then hit .227/.291/.368 over the 2022 through 2024 seasons. Given that he’s not a strong defender or baserunner, that production became untenable.

In camp with the Friars, Sheets has had a monster showing. He has stepped to the plate 49 times over 19 games and hit six home runs. It’s a small sample size but he has an eye-popping line of .311/.367/.756.

Opening Day is still a week away. The fact that the Padres have added him to the roster today suggests he likely had some kind of opt-out or upward mobility clause on his deal. Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune reports that there was some kind of clause in his contract that gave him a chance to leave for another club. With those huge numbers, the Padres didn’t want him to get away and have given him a roster spot today.

Getting added to the 40-man roster doesn’t guarantee Sheets a spot on the active roster. He still has one option year remaining and can therefore be sent to the minors as depth. However, the Friars are looking for affordable upgrades to their lineup.

After the 2024 season, they lost Jurickson Profar, Ha-Seong Kim, Kyle Higashioka, Donovan Solano and David Peralta to free agency. That left them short of a left fielder, an infielder, a catcher and a couple of solid role players.

But the budget in San Diego has been tight for a while. Last winter, that led to the Juan Soto trade. That deal bolstered the pitching depth and brought in Higashioka. Low-cost fliers on Profar, Solano and Peralta all worked out well, especially so in Profar’s case.

This winter, the budget has been tight again. While the heavily-rumored Dylan Cease trade hasn’t come to fruition, the club has tried to patch their holes without big spending. They gave a modest $3.5MM deal to Elias Díaz to bolster the catching mix. Connor Joe and Jason Heyward got a combined $2MM to platoon in left. As for the infield, Xander Bogaerts is going to move back to shortstop, freeing up second base for Jake Cronenworth and first base for Luis Arraez.

All that still leaves some room for guys in the designated hitter/bench bat mix. They have Tirso Ornelas, Eguy Rosario and Brandon Lockridge on the roster. Sheets was in camp as a non-roster invitee alongside vets like Jose Iglesias and Yuli Gurriel.

It might take a few more days for the whole picture to become clear. Gurriel and Iglesias also have opt-outs this weekend, so that will be something to watch in the next week or so. For now, the Padres have prevented Sheets from leaving and hope they have found another diamond in the rough.

Photo courtesy Allan Henry, Imagn Images

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San Diego Padres Transactions Gavin Sheets Joe Musgrove

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Poll: The Red Sox Second Base Battle

By Nick Deeds | March 20, 2025 at 3:21pm CDT

Entering Spring Training, there was plenty of buzz around the future of the second base position in Boston. However, that buzz mostly surrounded the wild card that was the club’s recent addition of Alex Bregman, a third baseman by trade but one who had expressed a willingness to move to second base. That led to plenty of belief that Bregman could slide over to the keystone in deference to incumbent third baseman Rafael Devers, but all indications point towards the club shifting Devers to DH with Opening Day just over a week away.

That leaves a relatively wide-open battle for the second base job this spring. For most of camp, that’s appeared to be a battle between incumbent David Hamilton, top prospect Kristian Campbell, and Vaughn Grissom. While Grissom was the prize of the Chris Sale trade and intended to be the club’s starting second baseman last year, he struggled with injuries and ineffectiveness throughout the year as he got into just 31 big league games and hit a paltry .190/.246/.219 in that time. After Grissom struggled once again in Spring Training this year, hitting just .176/.300/.235 across 13 games, it was hardly a surprise when his bid for the starting second base job came to a close when the Red Sox optioned him to Triple-A yesterday.

Grissom’s exit from the race to start at the keystone in Boston this year didn’t fully narrow the field, however, as another candidate has entered the fray: top infield prospect Marcelo Mayer. While Mayer entered camp seemingly unlikely to earn a spot on the Opening Day roster given the fact that he has yet to play at the Triple-A level and missed much of last year with an injury, the 22-year-old is a consensus top-20 prospect in the sport for a reason and has turned heads this spring with a phenomenal .357/.438/.536 slash line in 15 spring games. That strong work, in conjunction with Mayer’s .307/.370/.480 slash line in 77 Double-A games last year, paint a clear picture of a player who’s ready for a new challenge.

It’s become easier to imagine that challenge being in the majors, though it would certainly be defensible for the club to instead simply promote him to Triple-A and wait for him to prove himself at the position as well. After all, Mayer has spent his entire career at shortstop aside from single-game cameos at third base in each of the past two seasons. He’d not played second base before until this spring and still has only a handful of innings at the position as things stand. While it’s not unheard of for talented players to make the jump from Double-A to the majors and hold their own or even excel offensively, doing that while also learning a new position would be a big ask for any player.

That could make one of the club’s other options more attractive. If the club wants to give Mayer more time to develop while still injecting its Opening Day lineup with some youthful upside, Campbell would be a viable alternative. The 22-year-old is a consensus top-ten prospect in the sport, even more highly rated than Mayer by most services, after a phenomenal year where he catapulted himself from High-A all the way to Triple-A across just 115 games and crushed the ball at every level along the way. After a 19-game stint at Worcester last year where he hit an impressive .286/.412/.486, Campbell entered camp with a clear path to making the club’s Opening Day roster. That path has been complicated, however, by a lackluster spring where he’s hit just .158/.289/.211 in 16 games.

Those offensive struggles, in conjunction with defense at second base that grades out as more decent than spectacular, have created questions as to whether the Red Sox would be better served with more time at Triple-A, serving as depth for the club both at second base but also in the outfield, where he spent 25 games last year in an effort to create more positional versatility. On the other hand, however, Campbell is clearly a strong talent who has proven he can hit at the Triple-A level. He’s also the only right-handed bat in the mix for the everyday second base job with Romy Gonzalez ticketed for a bench role. That’s a factor worth considering given the heavily left-handed makeup for a Red Sox lineup that figures to rely on Devers, Jarren Duran, Triston Casas, Masataka Yoshida, and Wilyer Abreu in significant roles throughout the year, to say nothing of top prospect Roman Anthony. Campbell joining Bregman and Trevor Story as a right-handed hitter who can offer some pop and keep opposing southpaws honest could help balance the lineup in a way that neither Mayer nor Hamilton can offer.

Speaking of Hamilton, he would be a viable alternative to running with a youngster at second base in the event that the club prefers more stable production to begin the season. The 27-year-old doesn’t offer much upside with the bat, having posted a .248/.303/.395 slash line in 98 games last year that probably isn’t too far from his realistic ceiling, but his defense and baserunning are both top-notch and allowed him to put up 2.6 bWAR/1.7 fWAR in just 317 trips to the plate across 98 games last year. Hamilton would also be much easier to justify platooning with Gonzalez than Mayer, who will likely need regular playing time to maximize his development. That could help to alleviate concerns about carrying another left-handed hitting regular for Red Sox brass this year.

As is the case with all top prospects nearing their big league debuts, service time is another consideration. It’s possible that the Red Sox could capture a seventh year of team control over either Campbell or Mayer by holding them down in the minors for at least the first few weeks of the season. And with stars this valuable. that’s surely a tempting possibility. With that being said, the current CBA’s prospect promotion incentive makes the decision to leave a player in the minors to try and get an extra year of service a more complicated one than it was in the days of Kris Bryant and George Springer. If either Campbell or Mayer were to finish within the top two of AL Rookie of the Year voting this year, they would be awarded a full season of service time regardless of how many days they actually spent in the majors.

What’s more, if either player earned a full year of MLB service naturally and either won Rookie of the Year this year or was a finalist in AL MVP voting during his pre-arbitration years, the Red Sox would earn an additional draft pick in the following year’s draft. Given that, if the Red Sox believe there’s a clear path for either youngster to succeed enough that they finish within the top two for Rookie of the Year this season, they might be incentivized to simply put that player on the roster to begin the year in hopes of recouping a draft pick.

Who would you start at second base on Opening Day if you were in Boston’s position? Does Campbell’s Triple-A experience or Mayer’s strong camp hold more weight in your mind? Or perhaps Hamilton is the safest bet that offers the club an opportunity to keep both Mayer and Campbell in the fold for longer? Have your say in the poll below:

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Boston Red Sox MLBTR Originals MLBTR Polls David Hamilton Kristian Campbell Marcelo Mayer

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