CC Sabathia Hopes To Return For ALCS

The Yankees sent the Twins to yet another postseason exit Monday, earning a 5-1 victory to complete a three-game sweep in the American League Division Series. New York will face either Houston or Tampa Bay in the ALCS, and it’s possible the Yankees will welcome back injured left-hander CC Sabathia in time for the matchup.

Sabathia, whom the Yankees left off their ALDS roster because of nagging shoulder woes, told Brendan Kuty of NJ.com and other reporters he’s hoping to return for the next round.

“I feel pretty good. It’s just up to them. So, we’ll wait and see how I bounce back. I’ll throw the bullpen and, like I said, go from there,” said Sabathia, who will throw a bullpen session Wednesday.

While Sabathia’s a potential Hall of Fame starter who spent almost all of 2019 in the Yankees’ rotation, he’d been lining up to finish his year (and his career) as a reliever. Sabathia made it known entering the season that it would be his last, though it’s been an injury-plagued struggle for the franchise icon. He just might have a chance to contribute to a possible World Series run on his way out, however.

One of Sabathia’s teammates and fellow lefties, reliever Zack Britton, suffered his own injury scare Monday. Britton entered the game in the bottom of the seventh to preserve a 3-0 lead, but he departed in the eighth with a right ankle problem after throwing 1 1/3 innings of one-run ball. (that run came by way of an Eddie Rosario solo shot) Fortunately for Britton and the Yankees, it appears they averted disaster. General manager Brian Cashman said afterward that Britton will be fine for the ALCS (via James Wagner of the New York Times).

Dallas Keuchel Discusses Free Agency

Although he reached free agency last offseason as one of the most accomplished starters on the open market, former AL Cy Young winner Dallas Keuchel went without a team for a shockingly long time. Keuchel, who looked like a shoo-in to sign a lucrative multiyear deal at the outset of the winter, ended up settling for the Braves’ one-year, $13MM offer shortly after the amateur draft in early June.

The fact that Keuchel’s previous team, the Astros, attached a qualifying offer to him before he became a free agent was an obvious cause for the difficulty he encountered on the market. The longer Keuchel sat without a deal, the closer the draft came. The closer the draft came, the more content teams were to wait Keuchel out and attempt to sign the Scott Boras client without having to give up compensation in the form of a pick(s).

With the qualifying offer system still intact heading into this winter, there could be some soon-to-be free agents who meet a similar fate to what Keuchel and fellow post-draft signing Craig Kimbrel faced earlier in 2019. Keuchel won’t be one of them, as a player can’t receive a QO twice, though he explained to Jesse Rogers of ESPN that he remains frustrated with the setup that’s in place.

“This is whole draft-pick compensation thing went from a throw-in for a team losing a player, to is he really a free agent now?” Keuchel said.“How can you be free if there is a draft pick attached to you? And why do they value draft picks so much when the percentage of picks who make the league, and are better than you, is what, like .01 percent? There are so many things wrong.”

Like many of his fellow players, Keuchel’s irked by the last two offseasons, both of which were notoriously sluggish from a free agency standpoint. “It’s not just us being the bad guys,” Keuchel said of the players.

Keuchel’s among those displeased with the way free agency has been trending, though that doesn’t mean he didn’t receive multiyear offers during his trip to the market. On the contrary, the Angels were among those who were willing to commit more than one year to Keuchel, per Rogers. However, Keuchel believed those teams “undervalued” him, writes Rogers. It also seems signing with a playoff-caliber club was a priority for Keuchel, who, despite his relatively underwhelming results in free agency, believes he’s now “in the best possible for scenario for myself” as a member of a World Series-contending Braves team.

Although he wasn’t the ace-caliber hurler we’ve seen in the past, Keuchel did help the Braves to an NL East title after his midseason arrival. The 31-year-old threw 112 2/3 innings of 3.75 ERA/4.72 FIP with 7.27 K/9 and 3.12 BB/9 and a 60.1 percent groundball rate in the regular season, and then added 4 2/3 innings of one-run ball in the team’s Game 1 loss to the Cardinals in the NLDS. With that series heading to a winner-take-all Game 5 on Wednesday (in which Mike Foltynewicz will take the mound for Atlanta), Keuchel might not make another start for the Braves. The club could try to re-sign Keuchel whenever its season ends, but it if that doesn’t happen, he’ll have to test the free-agent waters again. While it’s likely Keuchel’s next deal will outdo his current pact, he doesn’t seem thrilled about returning to the market.

“I still have to go back into the zoo [free agency] but I figured if this offseason doesn’t present more offers, more swiftly, like the NBA or the NFL, then the normal fan will see exactly what’s going on,” Keuchel said. “That’s what I want people to see.”

Royals GM Dayton Moore Discusses Managerial Search, Roster Needs

Royals GM Dayton Moore held a brief chat with Jon Heyman and Josh Lewin on the Big Time Baseball Podcast (audio link). We’ll touch on some of the highlights here.

With long-tenured manager Ned Yost having retired at the end of the Royals’ season, finding his successor is among the most important tasks on Moore’s plate. As of now, though, the Royals are still “vetting candidates” for the job and “have yet to go through a formal interview” with anyone, according to Moore. It seems in an ideal world, the club will promote Yost’s replacement from within. Moore talked up Royals assistants Mike Matheny, Dale Sveum, Pedro Grifol and Vance Wilson, declaring that they’re “strong candidates.”

Matheny, who possesses by far the most managerial experience of any of the Royals’ possibilities, was at the helm of a Cardinals club that went 591-474 with four playoff berths and an NL pennant from 2012-18. Moore, cognizant of the success St. Louis had in the standings during that run, contends Matheny’s “an amazing leader” who “won every single year” with the franchise. Although Matheny received plenty of criticism throughout time with the Redbirds, Moore’s impressed that he was able to successfully transition from a long career as a big league catcher to that of a manager – all while taking over for Hall of Famer Tony La Russa.

Since last November, a few months after his in-season firing with the Cardinals, Matheny has been serving as a special advisor in Kansas City. He’s “done excellent work” in that capacity, per Moore, who revealed Matheny “has options” and has been “sought out” by other clubs (though it’ s unclear if that implies teams are interested in Matheny as a manager).

Whether the Royals tap Matheny or someone else for the role, that individual will be facing the grueling task of trying to get immediate results in the standings for KC. The Royals are coming off their second straight 100-loss season, though Moore & Co. nonetheless “feel good about our core group of young position players.” He specifically named third baseman Hunter Dozier, right fielder Jorge Soler, shortstop Adalberto Mondesi (“one of the best talents in the game; just needs to get more consistent) and second baseman Nicky Lopez as potential building blocks who have age on their side. With the exception of Soler, whose contract is more complex than most, all of those players come with a few seasons of affordable control. As of now, it’s unknown whether the Royals will try to extend Soler, who’s coming off an age-27 season in which he mashed 48 home runs.

As effective as Soler was in 2019, second baseman/outfielder Whit Merrifield still may be the centerpiece of the Royals’ cast of position players. Merrifield will turn 31 during the offseason, but having signed a team-friendly extension last winter, the rebuilding Royals aren’t under pressure to deal him. Moore has always resisted doing so despite vast interest from other clubs. Now, “nobody is untouchable,” and the Royals need to be “open-minded” until they know which opportunities could present themselves. However, Moore continues to regard Merrifield as a “special talent” and a “special person,” which suggests the club’s more than content to move ahead with the well-rounded All-Star.

While the Royals do have some gems among their position players, they don’t look as well off on the pitching side. The Royals’ hurlers posted the majors’ fourth-worst ERA (5.20) this year, and Brad Keller – a 2017 Rule 5 acquisition – was their lone starter to put up average or better production across a full season. With those struggles in mind, Moore acknowledged that the Royals “gotta do a better job of developing pitching, acquiring pitching.”

Looking ahead to 2020, the Royals will likely be in for another lean year. “We’ve got a ways to go,” said Moore, who didn’t offer a timeline on a possible return to contention. As you’d expect, though, the longtime exec indicated he and the franchise are bent on orchestrating a turnaround.

Cole Vs. Rendon: Who Will Sign The Bigger Contract?

A year ago at this time, the baseball world was gearing up to see outfielder Bryce Harper and infielder Manny Machado reach free agency. They represented a pair of rare 26-year-old franchise players who were on the cusp of hitting the open market, and there was little doubt they’d end up with a couple of the richest contracts in the history of the sport. While the two wound up sitting on the market for longer than some may have expected, they ultimately did score the largest deals ever awarded in free agency before the offseason concluded. Harper left the Nationals for the Phillies’ 13-year, $330MM offer, while Machado waved goodbye to the Dodgers after a short stay in LA and signed with the Padres for 10 years and $300MM.

It wasn’t surprising that Harper and Machado reeled in $300MM-plus guarantees last winter, whereas there’s little chance of a free agent approaching that figure this offseason. That’s not a knock on the absolute best players in the upcoming class, though, as Astros right-hander Gerrit Cole and Nationals third baseman/ex-Harper teammate Anthony Rendon do have cases to collect massive paydays. In fact, both players – a pair of Scott Boras clients – have strong arguments to reach or exceed $200MM in guarantees on their forthcoming contracts.

Cole, who turned 29 last month, could not only win the AL Cy Young after putting up a 2.50 ERA/2.64 FIP with a ridiculous 326 strikeouts in 212 regular-season 1/3 innings, but the ace workhorse may also aid his cause with an epic playoff run. Cole looked to be setting himself up for a postseason in his start this past Saturday. He ran roughshod over the Rays in 7 2/3 scoreless innings, striking out 15 hitters, issuing one walk and allowing four hits during a 3-1 victory.

Regardless of how the rest of the postseason goes for Cole, Boras will likely try to get his client a pact in the vicinity of the all-time record for a pitcher. That honor has belonged to Red Sox lefty David Price since December 2015, when he inked a seven-year, $217MM contract as a free agent. Nationals righty Max Scherzer, another Boras client, isn’t far behind on the seven-year, $210MM deal he scored via the open market the winter before Price landed his accord.

Indications are that Rendon, who’s also 29, has already turned down money in the Price/Scherzer neighborhood in advance of his much-anticipated foray into free agency. Rendon spurned a seven-year, $210MM-$215MM offer (with deferrals) from Washington, perhaps in hopes of signing a contract that’s closer to the seven-year, $234MM extension Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado received before this season. While Rendon, who finally earned his first All-Star nod this year, is neither as decorated nor as young as the four-time All-Star Arenado (28), there’s a legitimate case he’s the superior player.

Dating back to 2017, which is admittedly an arbitrary cutoff point, Rendon ranks fourth among position players in fWAR (19.9; Arenado’s ninth with 17.4), trailing only MVP winners Mike Trout, Mookie Betts and Christian Yelich. And Rendon seems likely to garner serious consideration for this year’s NL MVP honors, having slashed a career-best .319/.412/.598 with personal highs in home runs (34) and fWAR (7.0) across 646 regular-season plate appearances.

It may be a long shot, but we could see Cole and Rendon square off against one another if in the Fall Classic in the next few weeks. No matter how the season ends for their teams, though, which of the two stars do you expect to emerge from the winter with the bigger contract?

(Poll link for app users)

Who will sign the bigger contract?

  • Gerrit Cole 64% (6,425)
  • Anthony Rendon 36% (3,585)

Total votes: 10,010

Sorting The Starting Pitchers Of The 2019-20 Free Agent Class

Major League Baseball’s postseason is in full swing at the moment, and though watching multiple must-win games per day has been exhilarating, it unfortunately won’t go on for much longer. We’re just a few weeks away from the end of the season and the start of free agency, where several teams in need of upgrades will shop in hopes of either staying a playoff team in 2020 or perhaps becoming one.

As always, free agency will present starter-needy clubs the chance to address their rotations. In the case of the upcoming winter’s class of unsigned pitchers, it’s no secret Astros right-hander and AL Cy Young candidate Gerrit Cole is hands down the No. 1 option. He has a realistic chance at a $200MM contract once his marvelous year ends. Beyond Cole, there are several No. 2/3 type of starters with possibly some diamonds in the rough thereafter.

Here’s a look at the upcoming group based on 2019 velocity as well as missing bats, limiting walks, keeping the ball on the ground and minimizing hard contact. All of those skills will weigh on front offices’ minds as they debate whether to dole out contracts to any of the available hurlers (special thanks to FanGraphs for providing the data and for giving the user the ability to create customized leaderboards)…

Hardest Throwers (FanGraphs leaderboard)

League average = 92.7 mph

  1. Gerrit Cole: 97.2 mph
  2. Zack Wheeler: 96.7
  3. Andrew Cashner: 93.6*
  4. Edwin Jackson: 93.4*
  5. Kyle Gibson: 93.3
  6. Matt Harvey: 93.2
  7. Homer Bailey/Michael Wacha*: 93.0
  8. Jake Odorizzi: 92.9
  9. Michael Pineda: 92.6
  10. Ivan Nova: 92.4

*This excludes bullpen work from Cashner, Jackson and Wacha.

Top Strikeout Arms (FanGraphs leaderboard)

League average = 22.3%

  1.  Gerrit Cole: 39.9 K%, 13.82 K/9
  2. Rich Hill: 29.8 K%, 11.05 K/9
  3. Jake Odorizzi: 27.1 K%, 10.08 K/9
  4. Drew Smyly: 24.2 K%, 9.64 K/9*
  5. Madison Bumgarner: 24.1 K%, 8.8 K/9
  6. Zack Wheeler: 23.6 K%, 8.98 K/9
  7. Michael Pineda: 23.3 K%, 8.63 K/9
  8. Cole Hamels: 23.2 K%, 9.08 K/9
  9. Hyun-Jin Ryu: 22.5 K%, 8.03 K/9
  10. Kyle Gibson: 22.4 K%, 8.84 K/9

*This excludes Smyly’s bullpen work.

Fewest Walks (FanGraphs leaderboard)

League average = 7.7%

  1. Hyun-Jin Ryu: 3.3 BB%, 1.18 BB/9
  2. Michael Pineda: 4.7 BB%, 1.73 BB/9
  3. Madison Bumgarner: 5.1 BB%, 1.86 BB/9
  4. Ivan Nova: 5.8 BB%, 2.26 BB/9
  5. Gerrit Cole: 5.9 BB%, 2.03 BB/9
  6. Alex Wood: 5.9 BB%, 2.27 BB/9
  7. Rick Porcello: 5.9 BB%, 2.32 BB/9
  8. Zack Wheeler: 6.0 BB%, 2.3 BB/9
  9. Brett Anderson: 6.6 BB%, 2.51 BB/9
  10. Tanner Roark: 7.1 BB%, 2.78 BB/9

Best Groundball Rates (FanGraphs leaderboard)

League average = 42.7%

  1. Dallas Keuchel: 60.1%
  2. Brett Anderson: 54.5%
  3. Kyle Gibson: 51.4%
  4. Tyson Ross: 51.3%
  5. Hyun-Jin Ryu: 50.4%
  6. Andrew Cashner: 50.0%
  7. Wade Miley: 49.7%
  8. Rich Hill: 49.6%
  9. Adam Wainwright: 48.8%
  10. Felix Hernandez: 48.1%

Least Hard Contact (FanGraphs leaderboard)

League average = 38.4%

  1.  Zack Wheeler: 31.4%
  2. Ivan Nova: 33.1%
  3. Gio Gonzalez: 33.5%
  4. Gerrit Cole: 33.9%
  5. Hyun-Jin Ryu/Rick Porcello: 34.2%
  6. Andrew Cashner: 35.6%
  7. Wade Miley: 36.1%
  8. Cole Hamels: 36.4%
  9. Dallas Keuchel: 36.8%
  10. Kyle Gibson: 36.9%

This is a new version of a Steve Adams post that ran Sept. 25, 2017.

Latest On Angels’ Managerial Search

9:01pm: Maddon’s interview went “very well,” according to Heyman. The Angels are Maddon’s first choice, adds Heyman, who suggests owner Arte Moreno wants to hire him. As of now, signs are pointing to that happening.

8:41pm: The Angels are now fully engaged in the search for their next manager … but is the outcome already determined? Joe Maddon has been seen as the favorite since he parted ways with the Cubs.

Maddon had his interview with the Los Angeles organization today, per Jon Heyman of the MLB Network (Twitter link). There’s no news coming out of the sit-down, but it seems reasonably notable that Maddon is the first person known to have interviewed.

That’s not to say that others won’t have their chance to chat. Bob Nightengale of USA Today adds that three other candidates are expected to interview with Angels brass (link). The others will have their meetings on separate days, Jeff Fletcher of the Southern California News Group reports on Twitter.

While it seems the Halos intend to deliberate over the decision, Scott Miller of Bleacher Report cites “multiple sources” (Twitter link) that don’t quite see it that way. The consensus among Miller’s confidants is that Maddon is going to come away with the job and will likely be announced in relatively short order.

While it may seem like a match made in heaven, there are surely still some potential stumbling blocks. Working out a contract figures to be an interesting aspect. The Angels have previously given out a stupendously long deal (Mike Scioscia’s ten-year pact), while Maddon earned big money with the Cubs, but most skippers aren’t commanding those kinds of paydays in this day and age. And other organizations could yet intervene.

Mets, Carlos Beltran Reportedly Have Mutual Interest In Exploring Managerial Fit

The Mets recently embarked upon a fascinating search for a new manager, with a wide variety of possibilities for GM Brodie Van Wagenen to comb through. Van Wagenen himself was quite the unexpected hire, so perhaps it shouldn’t be surprising that the organization is looking into some unexpected names.

Former star Carlos Beltran may not always have had the smoothest relationship with the Mets during his playing days, but Andy Martino of SNY.tv reports that he and the organization are showing some mutual interest. There’s still no indication that the match is particularly likely to come to fruition, but it now seems there’s a path at least to serious talks.

To this point, the Mets have not requested permission to speak with Beltran, who is still actively engaged with the Yankees’ postseason efforts. But the club is performing “background work” on the 42-year-old, who wrapped up his playing career in 2017. Beltran played in New York in half of his twenty exceptional MLB campaigns, including parts of seven seasons with the Mets and parts of three with the Yankees.

Padres Have Performed Due Diligence On Ron Washington

As the Padres continue compiling managerial candidates, they’ve taken a look at a battle-tested former skipper. The club has at least performed due diligence on former Rangers manager and current Braves coach Ron Washington, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network (via Twitter).

Washington was among the many names floated when the team decided to part ways with Andy Green. But it wasn’t clear then how serious the interest was. It’s still not entirely clear, but nevertheless remains notable that the Friars are looking closely at Washington. With experience said to be a key factor for the San Diego organization, the ongoing connection makes sense.

As Heyman notes, Preller has worked previously with Washington when both were with the Rangers organization. Washington resigned at the end of the 2014 season but joined the Athletics early in the next year as an infield coach and eventual third base coach. He went on to join the Braves as their third base coach in advance of the 2017 campaign and has remained in that role since.

Marlins Will Make At Least Two Additional Coaching Changes

The Marlins have decided to retain manager Don Mattingly, but will make several changes to his coaching staff. Catching coach Brian Schneider and bullpen coach Dean Treanor will both depart, per MLB.com’s Joe Frisaro (via Twitter).

At this point, it’s not entirely clear whether any other changes will be made. The organization is still making its final calls on the remainder of the coaching staff, per Frisaro, with “several … expected back.” Bench coach Tim Wallach had already decided to leave of his own volition.

Schneider, a former big league receiver, has been in his role since the start of the 2016 season. The 42-year-old’s only other non-playing experience came as a minor-league manager in the Miami organization.

As for Treanor, he has a long history of working as a minor-league pitching coach and Triple-A manager. He had served as the bullpen coach for three seasons under Mattingly.