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Regular MLBTR Features

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | April 10, 2012 at 11:20am CDT

If you're a regular MLBTR reader, you'll be familiar with our chats, our Week In Review posts and Mike Axisa's Baseball Blogs Weigh In feature. Here's some more detail on when you'll see our weekly features and exactly what to expect from them:

  • MLBTR Chats - Come by every Wednesday at 2pm CDT to chat about the latest trades, signings and rumblings around the Major Leagues.
  • Baseball Blogs Weigh In - Every Friday morning, Mike Axisa directs you to some of the best writing on baseball blogs around the web. Whether it's opinion, stats or something else entirely, you can connect to the best of the blogosphere once a week on MLBTR. If you want to send Mike a post of yours, reach him at: mike@riveraveblues.com.
  • Week In Review - It's remarkable how much happens in seven days. Every Sunday night, we summarize the week's biggest stories in our Week In Review posts.
  • MLBTR Originals - We gather all our original analysis and reporting in one place every Sunday night.
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Recent Extensions For Pre-Arb Eligible Players

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | April 10, 2012 at 9:25am CDT

As players approach free agency, they generally gain leverage in contract negotiations with their teams. That’s how Joey Votto and Matt Kemp, two superstars within striking distance of free agency, obtained two of the offseason's most lucrative contracts.

But when players sign extensions early on in their careers, the deals take a different shape. Low-revenue Major League teams can’t afford $200MM mistakes, so they often choose to commit tens of millions to relatively unproven players in exchange for extended team control at a manageable rate.  These teams are investing less money in a commodity that’s less certain to pay off.

This offseason has already featured 11 extensions for pre-arbitration eligible players, as MLBTR’s Extension Tracker shows. The group – Andrew McCutchen, Derek Holland, Jon Niese, Alcides Escobar, Cameron Maybin, Sergio Santos, Jonathan Lucroy, Carlos Santana, Cory Luebke, Salvador Perez and Matt Moore — includes some players who have already become stars. Here are some more observations about the deals:

  • Club options are a must. Teams have obtained at least one option on each extension. 
  • These contracts are the domain of small market teams. The Padres (30th in Opening Day payroll), Royals (27th in payroll), Pirates (26th in payroll), Rays (25th in payroll) and Indians (21st in payroll) are responsible for seven of these 11 extensions.
  • WMG was the lone agency to broker more than one of these deals (Santana, Escobar).
  • Teams seem to prefer up the middle position players. Three catchers, two center fielders and a shortstop populate the list of pre-arbitration position players who signed this offseason. 
  • Starting pitchers can also cash in early; they obtained four of the 11 contracts.
  • Santos, a late bloomer who became a pitcher years into his professional career, is one of two players on this list who's over 25. Santana, who celebrated his 26th birthday on Sunday, is the other.

These deals seem to be on the rise. We saw five extensions for pre-arbitration eligible players last offseason and seven the previous year. Perhaps teams are drawing inspiration from the Rays, who have retained star-caliber players affordably with some successful early-career extensions.

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Largest Contracts In Draft History

By Mike Axisa | April 5, 2012 at 8:50pm CDT

Baseball new collective bargaining agreement went to rather extreme lengths to restrict amateur spending, so the days of big money contracts for drafted players appear to be a thing of the past. Clubs are now given a "draft pool" based on their winning percentage, and they face stiff penalties if they spend more than allotted.

Teams were aware that these restrictions could be put in place, so they spared no expense on last year's draft, likely their final chance to spend freely. The 30 clubs combined to spend $236MM on the draft last year, the most in baseball history. Let's take a second to update our list of the largest contracts in draft history…

Major League Contracts

  1. Stephen Strasburg, Nationals (2009, 1st round/1st pick): Four years, $15.1MM. His $7.5MM signing bonus is no longer the draft record, however.
  2. Mark Prior, Cubs (2001, 1/2): Five years, $10.5MM. Prior exercised an opt-out clause near the end of the deal and instead filed for salary arbitration. He earned an extra $1.575MM by doing so.
  3. Bryce Harper, Nationals (2010, 1/1): Five years, $9.9MM. Includes a $6.25MM signing bonus that will be paid out in five installments.
  4. Mark Teixeira, Rangers (2001, 1/5): Four years, $9.5MM. His $4.5MM signing bonus was a draft record for six years.
  5. Danny Hultzen, Mariners (2011, 1/2): Five years, $8.5MM. The deal includes a $6.35MM signing bonus and escalators that could push the total value to $10.6MM.
  6. David Price, Rays (2007, 1/1): Six years, $8.5MM. Like Prior, Price opted out of the final year of his contract and filed for arbitration, earning an extra $2.85MM.
  7. Pat Burrell, Phillies (1998, 1/1): Five years, $8MM. The first of these mega-contracts for draftees.
  8. Dustin Ackley, Mariners (2009, 1/2): Five years, $7.5MM. There's another $2.5MM in incentives tied to how quickly he reached the majors.
  9. Rick Porcello, Tigers (2007, 1/27): Four years, $7.285MM. Porcello also opted out of his contract and filed for arbitration, earning an extra $1.756MM in the process.
  10. Anthony Rendon, Nationals (2011, 1/6): Four years, $7.2MM. All but $1.2MM of the guarantee comes in the form of a signing bonus.

The Hultzen and Rendon deals pushed J.D. Drew and Josh Beckett (both four years, $7MM) out of the top ten. Porcello's contract was designed to match but not exceed Beckett's by pro-rating his 2007 salary.

Big league contracts can no longer be handed out to drafted players according to the new CBA, so this list will not change until the current agreement expires at the earliest.

Minor League Contracts

  1. Gerrit Cole, Pirates (2011, 1/1): $8MM
  2. Bubba Starling, Royals (2011, 1/5): $7.5MM
  3. Jameson Taillon, Pirates (2010, 1/2): $6.5MM
  4. Donavan Tate, Padres (2009, 1/3): $6.25MM
  5. Buster Posey, Giants (2008, 1/5): $6.2MM
  6. Tim Beckham, Rays (2008, 1/1): $6.15MM
  7. Justin Upton, Diamondbacks (2005, 1/1): $6.1MM
  8. Matt Wieters, Orioles (2007, 1/5): $6MM
  9. Eric Hosmer, Royals (2008, 1/3): $6MM
  10. Joe Borchard, White Sox (2000, 1/12): $5.3MM

The Cole and Starling deals pushed Manny Machado and Zach Lee (both 2010 draft picks with $5.25MM bonuses) out of the top ten.

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How Teams Obtained Their Opening Day Starters

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | April 5, 2012 at 2:51pm CDT

The 30 Opening Day starters aren't the 30 best pitchers in the game, but their managers do consider them the best arms currently available. Here's a list of the pitchers who got the Opening Day nod this year and how their current teams acquired them (note that many have since signed extensions that delayed their arrival on the free agent market):

Draft Picks (12)

  • Stephen Strasburg, Nationals – Selected in the first round of the 2009 draft (1st overall).
  • Justin Verlander, Tigers – Selected in the first round of the 2004 draft (2nd overall).
  • Ricky Romero, Blue Jays – Selected in the first round of the 2005 draft (6th overall).
  • Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers – Selected in the first round of the 2006 draft (7th overall).
  • Tim Lincecum, Giants – Selected in the first round of the 2006 draft (10th overall).
  • Jered Weaver, Angels – Selected in the first round of the 2004 draft (12th overall).
  • Yovani Gallardo, Brewers – Selected in the second round of the 2004 draft.
  • Jon Lester, Red Sox – Selected in the second round of the 2002 draft.
  • Josh Johnson, Marlins – Selected in the fourth round of the 2002 draft.
  • Jake Arrieta, Orioles – Selected in the 5th round of the 2007 draft.
  • James Shields, Rays – Selected in the 16th round of the 2000 draft.
  • Tommy Hanson, Braves – Selected in the 22nd round of the 2005 draft.

Free Agent Signings (8)

  • Kyle Lohse, Cardinals – Signed a free agent contract worth $4.25MM in March, 2008. 
  • Ryan Dempster, Cubs – Signed a free agent contract worth $52MM over four years in November, 2008.
  • C.C. Sabathia, Yankees – Signed a free agent contract worth $161MM over seven years in December, 2008.
  • Colby Lewis, Rangers – Signed a free agent contract worth $5MM over two years in January, 2010.
  • Brandon McCarthy, Athletics – Signed a free agent contract worth $1MM in December, 2010.
  • Carl Pavano, Twins – Signed a free agent contract worth $16.5MM over two years in January, 2011. The Twins originally traded for him in 2009, but Pavano has since hit free agency.
  • Bruce Chen, Royals – Signed a free agent contract worth $9MM over two years in November, 2011.
  • Erik Bedard, Pirates – Signed a free agent contract worth $4.5MM for one year in December, 2011.

Trades (7)

  • John Danks, White Sox – Acquired from the Rangers in the December, 2006 trade that sent McCarthy to Texas. 
  • Johan Santana, Mets – Acquired from the Twins in a February, 2008 trade that sent Carlos Gomez, Philip Humber and Kevin Mulvey to Minnesota. 
  • Justin Masterson, Indians – Acquired from the Red Sox in a July, 2009 trade that sent Victor Martinez to Boston.
  • Roy Halladay, Phillies – Acquired from the Blue Jays in a December, 2009 trade that sent Michael Taylor, Travis d'Arnaud and Kyle Drabek to Toronto. 
  • Ian Kennedy, Diamondbacks – Acquired from the Yankees in a December, 2009 trade involving the Yankees and Tigers.
  • Edinson Volquez, Padres – Acquired from the Reds in a December, 2011 trade that sent Mat Latos to the Reds.
  • Jeremy Guthrie, Rockies – Acquired from the Orioles in the February, 2012 trade that sent Jason Hammel and Matt Lindstrom to Baltimore.

International Free Agent Signings (3)

  • Wandy Rodriguez, Astros – Signed as an amateur free agent in 1999.
  • Felix Hernandez, Mariners – Signed as an amateur free agent in July, 2002.
  • Johnny Cueto, Reds – Signed as an amateur free agent in 2004.
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Projected Super Two Cutoff For 2012

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | April 5, 2012 at 11:20am CDT

The cutoff for super two players after the 2012 season will be two years and 134 days of service time, according to preliminary internal studies by CAA (Twitter link). A year ago this time the agency correctly anticipated that the 2011 cutoff would be two years and 146 days of service time.

This would be good news for players such as Josh Thole, Chris Johnson, Michael Saunders, Tyler Colvin, Sam Fuld, Esmil Rogers, Drew Storen and Mark Melancon. They'll project as super twos this coming offseason, assuming they accrue a full year of service in 2012 and the CAA projection is accurate.

Super two status entitles certain players to four years of arbitration eligibility, rather than the usual three. In other words, they'll earn more than their peers. Under baseball's new collective bargaining agreement, 22% of players qualify as super twos. This represents an increase from 17% and helps explain why the cutoff is lower than it was a year ago.

Jonathan Lucroy would qualify as a super two if the cutoff falls at 2.134. If he qualifies, he'll earn an additional $2MM over the course of the extension he recently signed. 

The following players will finish the season with less than two years and 134 days of service time: Carlos Santana, Justin Smoak, Danny Valencia, Michael Brantley, Jordan Schafer, Giancarlo Stanton, Madison Bumgarner, Stephen Strasburg, Daniel Hudson, Dan Runzler, Andrew Cashner and Alexi Ogando. They don't project as super twos, so their teams may only have to worry about going through the arbitration process three times.

I looked ahead to some upcoming first-time arbitration eligible players earlier in the year.

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Record Contracts By Position

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | April 5, 2012 at 10:41am CDT

No right-handed pitcher had surpassed the $105MM contract that Kevin Brown signed in 1998 until this week, when the Giants locked up one of the National League’s best starters. Now that Brown’s contract has been erased from the books, current players hold the record for every position. Let’s check in on the biggest deals in baseball history by position:

  • Right-handed pitcher: Matt Cain signed for five years and $112.5MM in April, 2012.
  • Left-handed pitcher: C.C. Sabathia signed for seven years and $161MM in December, 2008.
  • Relief pitcher: Jonathan Papelbon signed for four years and $50MM in November, 2011.
  • Catcher: Joe Mauer signed for eight years and $184MM in March, 2010.
  • First base: Albert Pujols signed for ten years and $240MM in December, 2011.
  • Second base: Chase Utley signed for seven years and $85MM in January, 2007.
  • Third base: Alex Rodriguez signed for ten years and $275MM in December, 2007.
  • Shortstop: Alex Rodriguez signed for ten years and $252MM in December, 2000.
  • Outfield: Manny Ramirez signed for eight years and $160MM in December, 2000. Matt Kemp signed for eight years and $160MM in November, 2011.
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MLBTR Writer Predictions

By Tim Dierkes | April 4, 2012 at 9:40am CDT

Five MLBTR writers give 2012 predictions!  Click here to see postseason and award picks from Tim Dierkes, Ben Nicholson-Smith, Mike Axisa, Mark Polishuk, and Steve Adams.  Make your predictions in the comments and we'll check back here in November.

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La Russa To Join MLB

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | March 30, 2012 at 9:01am CDT

Longtime manager Tony La Russa will join Major League Baseball as a special advisor, ESPN.com's Buster Olney reports (Twitter link). La Russa's deal, which has yet to be announced, will pay him approximately $2.5MM annually.

La Russa announced his retirement soon after leading the Cardinals to the 2011 World Series championship. The former White Sox, Athletics and Cardinals skipper ranks third all-time in wins as a manager. There were rumblings that the 67-year-old might replace Joe Torre, another former player and manager, as MLB's executive VP for baseball operations. Torre ultimately rejoined MLB after pursuing ownership of the Dodgers.

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Free $400 March Madness Contest (Sponsored Post)

By Tim Dierkes | March 23, 2012 at 3:11pm CDT

Is your bracket busted?  Try DraftStreet, where you can put together a college basketball team this week and compete against other users for real money.

Right now DraftStreet has a college basketball freeroll for MLB Trade Rumors readers, meaning you can take a shot at a chunk of the $400 prize pool for free, with no strings attached.  Here's how it works.

The March Madness freeroll begins Friday at 7:15pm eastern time, so you have until then to create your team.  You're given a $100K salary cap, and each player is assigned a price by DraftStreet.  Your roster will cover these positions: 3 forwards, 3 guards, and 2 utility players.  You get points based on how your team performs through Friday's games in points, rebounds, and assists.  The teams with the most points get the prize money.  Below is a screenshot of a sample roster: 

Draftstreet

If you're interested, sign up and create a roster prior to Friday's games (7:15pm eastern time).  It's quick, easy, fun, and the MLBTR league gives you a free chance to win some of the $400 prize pool.  If you enjoy the competition you can try other leagues for free and earn credits, or deposit real money.

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Joe Torre Rejoins MLB

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | March 23, 2012 at 12:36pm CDT

Joe Torre has rejoined Major League Baseball as its executive VP of baseball operations, MLB announced on Twitter. The longtime player and manager had stepped down from his duties at the league office to join a group bidding for the Dodgers.

Joe Garagiola Jr., Kim Ng, and Peter Woodfork had assumed Torre's responsibilities at MLB while Torre was away. MLB said it would search for a replacement, but never found one. Torre joined MLB as executive VP for baseball operations last February.

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