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Braves May Have $45MM To Spend

TUESDAY: Dave O'Brien rattles off a few more pitchers of interest for the Braves: Matt Cain, Ryan Dempster, and Brad Penny.

MONDAY: In our Braves Offseason Outlook, we suggested the Braves might have $40MM to spend this winter even if they hold payroll steady.  Instead, GM Frank Wren revealed today that payroll will increase beyond last year's $102.4MM.  MLB.com's Mark Bowman estimates Wren will have $45MM to work with.

As you know, the Braves intend to add two veteran starters as well as a slugging outfielder.  They'll also attempt to re-sign John Smoltz, Tom Glavine, and Mike Hampton.  We covered this in the outlook, but it seems the Braves will sign one of Derek Lowe or A.J. Burnett.  They could complement that signing by inking a Japanese pitcher (or just a Paul Byrd type), and then survey the robust free agent market for left fielders.  The Braves will monitor the trade market, but their top prospects are not available.


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Any chance the Braves can convince CC to go to ATL instead of the West Coast?

I'd love for CC to come to Atlanta, but it's wishful thinking.

With Mike Hampton's contract finally freeing the Braves resources, their two years of not winning division titles may come to an end.

It's crazy to imagine that they have the resources to potentially sign A.J. Burnett, Derek Lowe AND Pat Burrell.

Obviously, that's assuming a monster off-season, but the impact on the NL East in 2009 would be clear.

If Wren made the choice to move on from the Smoltz, Glavine & Maddux era, than he could make these moves and make the Braves THE frontrunner next year. Think about it...

A.J. Burnett
Derek Lowe
Jair Jurrjens
Tim Hudson
Jo-Jo Reyes

Kelly Johnson
Yunel Escobar
Chipper Jones
Pat Burrell
Casey Kotchman
Brian McCann
Jeff Francouer
Jordan Schaefer

Realistically, I see LF being an internal platoon with a Kotsay-type signing for CF.

Also realistically, I see them going after two frontline starters. Ideally, Burnett & Lowe.

I think we could solve our LF problem and avoid trading any of our top prospects if we swing a trade for Magglio...provided that we eat all of his contract.

WestCoastBias: Tim Hudson is not returning next year. At all. He's out of the picture entirely.

Its amazing how $45mm disappears when you're looking for a slugging OF and two veteran pitchers...and I assume that those veteran pitchers don't include Smoltz, Glavine, or Hampton (although some might be back with the team). I don't see us signing either Burnett or Sabathia, and I am very hesitant on Sheets due to our recently being burnt by Hampton on a injury-riddled high cost starter.

I hate to say it, but I see a Garland signing in our future, which would be a mistake at anything over 3/$24mm; A Derek Lowe signing would be ideal, and I'm in favor of bringing back both Smoltz and Glavine, with Glavine around, oh, $5mm and Smoltz at a base of $5mm with huge escalators according with innings pitched. But I do think a Maggs trade would be excellent if our top 5 prospects aren't involved.

WestCoast...as stated above, pull hudson from your dream team. I also don't think adding lowe, burnett, and burell will be enough to make the braves who finished 20 games out this year a clear frontrunner. It will make them better for sure, but remember that they still had tex for 1/2 the season and are probably losing ohman as well. I don't think the team should look at next year as the year they want to contend...look to add some of the younger starters out there. Perez and garland would be great targets if you ask me, and maybe a guy like juan rivera.

Personally, I see one big free agent pitcher signing...possibly Lowe, and another pitcher coming to us through a trade. Maybe someone like Justin Duchscherer.

Funny you mention Maggs profound, I was thinking tonight while watching the sox/tigers game that we could give the Tigers Francoeur and Lillibridge and maybe they'd part with him.

"we could give the Tigers Francoeur and Lillibridge and maybe they'd part with him [Magglio].

Of course they would. I wonder if ATL has any interest in Dontrelle?

Francoeur and Lillibridge... and maybe a low level prospect and it's a deal.

Adding Derek Lowe, Adam Dunn, and some guy from Japan not named Darvi$h would be PERFECT. Trading for Maggs would be a waste when they can sign Adam Dunn and not have to give up any young players.

Realistically,

I think we can make a very competitive offer for Maggs, however if they wanted us to take on Dontrelle, I think we'd either offer much less for the package, or do it on a contingency that some money be coming our way...

Personally, I would want to stay far away from the mess that has become the D-Train de-railing...

That being said, I believe giving Lowe, Burnett, and/or Perez (2 of 3) a reason to sign here would be a great incentive...that means getting the deal for Maggs done 1st and going from there, showing everyone they're serious about contending next season...

Maybe swing a deal w/ someone for another SP using KJ in the deal since Prado has certainly proven he is capable of handling the position...

If we trade KJ we should be able to get a considerable bounty enough to get someone young, talented, and under control for 3+ years...Ian Snell comes to mind as Pitt could use a 2b...then again, maybe someone else has another player in mind (not named Cain or Lincecum or something ridiculous)

But here would be my opinion for a favorable 09 lineup and rotation:

1) Anderson cf
2) Prado 2b
3) Jones 3b
4) Ordonez rf
5) McCann c
6) Escobar ss
7) Kotchman 1b
8) Francoeur lf

1) Burnett/Lowe
2) Perez
3) Snell
4) Jurrjens
5) Hampton/Morton/Parr


That would give us a real chance to be competitive and also not risk much on our farm system...Maggs gives us just enough time before Heyward is ready...

Thoughts?

Why does nobody mention Manny?? 3 years @ 17-18 million per. Sure, he's goofy, but I think the Braves need to shake up the whole stoic thing they've had for 20 years. They won with Sheffield...

Trading Francouer for Maggs makes no sense for the Braves. That would fill one hole (LF), and create another (RF).

I think the Braves are fine giving Frenchy another year to rebound (not saying that's the right thing to do, but it's what I think they will do).

daslied, as much as I want to disagree with you, Manny makes sense in what Atlanta wants to do. Scary thought...

I think Lowe plus either Garland and/or Randy Wolf would be a good revamp of the rotation. (The Wolf acquisition based on whether Glavine can return to form; if not, then it wouldn't hurt to have another lefty)

i think signing a fa OF would be a better option then giving up players for maggs who makes 18m next year unless det takes on much of that salary - but then that leaves a hole in RF if your trade frenchy who i think will have a turn around next year.

i like the idea of signing dunn, burrell, or manny if his isnt resigned - or any chance of vlad or crawfords options arnt picked up?around 16m-18m for an outfielder

then sign a front line pitcher - i like the idea of getting lowe - any ideas on how much lowe might get - say he gets around 15m?

then i like the idea to trade for someone like snell - kj for snell straight up? snell only makes 3m next year and 4.25 2010 and the next two years are club options.

thats around 35m

thats about 10+ million to work out contracts with smoltz glavin and hampton - i would keep two of the three

thoughts?

Looking at it from afar (Red Sox fan) i think it would make sense to dip into the FA market for the Braves. I think Burnett at 4 years at $18M and Oliver Perez at 4 years at $13M for the starting rotation make for a strong front 3 with Jurrjens.

Then, for LF, i think they should take a look at Bobby Abreu if the Yanks let him go. He could be a nice 2 year deal at $12M or so. He'll put up numbers around .290 AVG, .400 OBP, 20 HRs and 40 2Bs.

That makes $43M, and a hole still in CF. I know this is going to sound like me dumping himm off on you Braves fans, but I think Coco Crisp could make sense, if we were to eat some of his salary, so the Braves pay maybe $4M per for the next 2 years, he will play excellent CF defense and combine with Francoeur and Abreu for GREAT defensive outfield with range all around and strong arms at the corners. I also think Coco would be served well by a switch to the NL. (and he has been hitting better lately.)

I feel like this would set the Braves up for a nice stretch over the next few years, with hopefully Hudson coming back in 2010 to make a deep rotation with the other 3 I mentioned, and enough flexibility and short-term contracts in the outfield.

Thing is though, as long as Josh Anderson continues to show what we know he's capable of, there is no hole in CF and he fixes the leadoff problem as well...

To those who think Manny would be a good fit, yes he would to us fans...but he'll command at least 20M per however many years he gets AND he just would not work out w/ Bobby Cox as the manager so thats a no go...

Honestly, I don't see the Mets bringing Perez back...can't exactly explain it other than everything I have heard suggests they are looking in another direction.

I'm sorry but I stay away from Wolf and Garland...we're trying to improve the FRONT of the rotation...we already have Jair and a few others ready to compete for 3-5, especially if we can bring Hampton back...

I do like my idea even more now about making a play for Ian Snell...I still think he has the tools to win 20 on the right team.

I like Abreu BUT I don't think he gives us even close to the type of power we need given if Jeff struggles again and Chipper is out for any length of time...we need a masher...

And please, no more talk about Pat Burrell...we should stay far away from him as well.

Burnett is certainly Option A and then Lowe after him, but I believe I would start w/ seeing if we could acquire Snell and then trade for our bat (i.e. Maggs)

Basically, step it up a notch w/ every move toward the greatest move...the #1 starter.

I believe the Braves are in desperate need of a front line starter like a Lowe or Burnett, preferably Burnett. I also think that adding Dempster would make the braves with a ligament 2/3 guy who i think would battle for the spot with Jurjjens. Jurjjens is coming of a decent year on a bad team, and lets remember this is only his first full season. Hampton has looked good since he has been back so i think he could be a 4 type guy for the braves. Who knows what Smoltz/Glavine will end up doing next season, but i'll take my chances on one of the 2 being healthy. And with the young guys like Reyes filling in the bottom of the rotation.

As for left field i like the idea of Dunn or Burrell both coming off good years.

CF-Anderson
2B-Johnson
3B-Jones
LF-Burrell/Dunn
C-McCann
1B-Kotchman
RF-Frenchy
SS-Escobar

I have seen that the Pirates want to make some changes, but I didn't think Freddy Sanchez was one of them, so I am not sure why they would deal Snell for Johnson. Furthermore I think the Braves would have to throw in another prospect or 2 to get that deal done if Johnson was a target of the Pirates. Snell is a huge value at his ability and salary.

If not Burrell or Abreu, that pretty much leaves Dunn, whom I like as a player a lot, but he will require 4-6 years at $15+M per year. That is why I like Abreu for them because he would be cheaper, and he will hit 20+ HRs and 40+ 2Bs, and will cost less with a shorter contract.

Also, Anderson had a .317 OBP in the month of September, the only month in which he had regular playing time. I think that constitutes a hole in the lineup.

Don't forget, Francoeur is a natural centerfielder so the Braves could easily find a left *and* right fielder.

I wonder if, to try for Cain, the Braves would go for Zito as well? He's pitched better, and could probably use the standard scenery change. Does anyone think that SF would be more willing to part with Cain if Zito was also taken, purely as a salary dump? SF wants C.C., and that would free up some cash. Give them something like Lillibridge, Infante/Prado (they're interchangeable), Soriano, Brandon Jones, Gorkys Hernandez, Charlie Morton and Bobby Cox for Cain and Zito's contract. Maybe they kick in a bit of Zito's salary.

On second thought, that's the dumbest idea ever.

Lowe over Burnett any day. Burnett has a nagging injury history and Lowe is rock solid. And if the "top prospects are off limits" all this trade talk about Maggs is just goofy.

Sign Dunn, Sign Lowe, sign Koji Uehara or someone like him.

That fills all the Braves holes when you take into account the numerous prospects who can play CF, especially one Jordan Schafer.

Obviously you didn't watch Francoeur play RF this year...not even serviceable out there...

And we wouldn't have to give up a top prospect to get Maggs...that has already been stated...Detroit is looking more at just filling positions w/ ML ready players AND salary relief...thats why Lillibridge and BJones have been mentioned as well as a bullpen arm (Soriano?)

I agree that Lowe has lesser injury risk, but Burnett has better peripherals when healthy AND is much younger.

The good thing is that we have 3-4 guys competing for the CF spot next spring...

So really as long as we shore up the pitching (1-3) and the OF power slot, I expect to compete next year...but those are obvious musts.

And really, I wouldn't be opposed to Dunn, but we need a RHH OF bat w/ power as we already have Chipper (SH), Mac (LHH), KJ if we keep him (LHH), Kotchman (LHH), and then whoever wins the CF job as they are all left handed hitters...

Thats why I like eliminating KJ to get a upper rotation pitcher and a RHH OF bat...that brings the numbers a little more even...

I don't care how good some guys are at hitting lefty v lefty...if we got to the playoffs somehow w/ all of those guys in the lineup, we'd get killed by a lefty specialist or lefty starter...you just can't have that many in the lineup at the same time.

Fine Ham has the right idea.

Braves22, what is wrong with Pat Burrell. High OBP, good amount of power...Not seeing any red flags anywhere.

Beeniez, Jeff Francoeur is not a natural CF. That's just plain inaccurate.

$45 million to spend...that means no to Maggs. Why trade prospects when there is an ample amount of talent that can be bought for straight cash? Same with almost all of the trade ideas.

The Braves needs are a #1 Starter, a #3 starter, and a LF. Assuming the Braves aren't going to get CC (seems pretty reasonable assumption, though they can afford him), Lowe seems like the best target. Frank Wren has been spending a significant amount of time with scouts in Japan, so I think the Braves will do their best to ink one of the available Japanese pitchers. Koji Uehara sounds about right (probably about $7-8 million per year). I would be shocked if the Braves don't get one of Burrell or Dunn. This even leaves some money open for other improvements (backup catcher, re-sign Ohman, backup for Frenchy if this "off year" turns out to be permanent, etc.)

Does anyone remember who the Bucs asked for when the Rox were interested in Snell? I believe it was Franklin Morales, an electric arm who has top of the rotation stuff; Chris Nelson, their top SS prospect, and some throw-ins.

What makes you think it would take only KJ to nab him? IamWeasel mentioned Freddy Sanchez, who you all seem to be forgetting about. They would need to get rid of him first to be interested in Johnson. Unless you guys are interesting in a Snell+Sanchez for KJ+other prospects (maybe Gorkys Hernandez and/or Lillibridge? The Bucs might be interested in getting him back).

I suppose the only issue with this is that there is zero percent chance that Dempster doesn't re-sign with the Cubs.

Bleedin,
I think I read somewhere that the Bucs were interested in trading Sanchez. Makes sense for them. Sanchez is at best an empty batting average (doesn't walk much, no power, no speed, nothing special with the glove). If the Bucs can get any value for him, they should absolutely trade him.

That said, I don't think that a Snell to Braves thing would happen because you are absolutely right, the Bucs asking price is high as it should be. KJ might be a good cornerstone for a deal, but it would take significantly more to get a deal done.

I honestly don't see why people are in such a rush to trade KJ. The guy has a lot of potential, and internal replacements Prado and Lillibridge have not proven that they are able to take over at all.

If the Braves can sign one Type A free agent pitcher and acquire a power hitting leftfielder, then this team could compete in 2009 with a strong young infield.

Andy,

Yes KJ does have potential...but potential can fizzle out...along w/ that we only have room for one extremely streaky hitter...and thats Francoeur w/ his little trade value..

At times this year we had lots of trouble scoring because Chipper was out and placing those two I mentioned in the lineup on bad streaks...and the thing is, you just can't hope they're both up at the same time all the time...

I trade KJ because at this time he has the most value and a consistent Prado is waiting in the wings and yes, he has proven capable at multiple positions to take over...unless you don't consider .320/.377/.461 w/ a 122 OPS capable after missing 7+ weeks w/ a broken thumb and only playing 2 games in Double-A as rehab before coming back...

Not only that, anyone who thinks Kelly is even close to the player Martin is in the field is out of their mind!

Thats why I trade Kelly...

And I don't disagree about giving Manny a look, but be realistic, it'll never happen w/ Bobby still in the clubhouse.

And for those wanting to risk money on Pat Burrell...

BA is down...
OBP is down...
RBI are down...

A liability in LF to give us a very poor OF is Francoeur doesn't drop the weight he added this yr...

The only positive I can see are his road numbers .270/.387/.577 and even those look like a fluke compared to the last few seasons..

KJ was the most sought after player for the braves last off season but they were unwilling at the time to part ways with him. I think that getting Snell would probably take KJ along with a young 4/5 starter like Morton. I agree Andy that KJ still has Extreme potential een though he isnt that young, but with his injuries his playing time in the bigs hasnt been to long and he is really starting to find his groove.

I hope neither of my teams (Royals and Braves) go after Burrell. Neither has a park that would suit him offensively or defensively. He's also consistently inconsistent. By that I mean every other year he has a 2nd half swoon that makes the head spin. So whatever you pay for him, he's only going to be worth it every other year.

If I was Braves GM I'd be wondering what it would take to land Fielder. I think Kotchman is pretty pedestrian. If you trade for Fielder (what do the Brewers want? Kotchman, Lilibridge, and Reyes/Jurjens) then sign Lowe you might have the $ left to pursue Juan Rivera and Brian Fuentes.

Anyone else think that if the Angels don't resign Garret Anderson to a cheaper deal, he would be a good addition for the Braves? Kotchman cites Anderson as a major influence and he would provide both offense and defense on a team that needs left-handed power.

The ubiquitous Juan Rivera also makes sense, seeing that he can play both corners and CF in a pinch.

"Trading for Maggs would be a waste when they can sign Adam Dunn and not have to give up any young players."

Signing Dunn means giving up 2 picks, which means 2 players of good potential.

"Why does nobody mention Manny?? 3 years @ 17-18 million per."

If Manny is willing to take that, the Dodgers will lock him up immediately.

Weasel...JJ is a #2, he is not going anywhere.

AA: Our 2 picks are proteced

Burrell makes the most sense for an outfield free agent signing. He's right-handed (need for Braves), he plays left field (need for Braves), and he has power (need for Braves). When facing a division including the likes of Johan Santana, Cole Hamels, Jamie Moyer, Scott Olsen, Odalis Perez, Oliver Perez, etc; you need right-handed power bats.

Pitching-wise. Power pitching is a HUGE need for the Braves, so Burnett makes the most sense for a top-priority (CC costs too much). Without Burnett or an effective, 100% Smoltz in 09, the Braves won't go anywhere. Next ink a Japanese guy that, as stated earlier, is not named Darvish. The fifth spot belongs to Hampton, Smoltz, Glavine (god please no), or Garland. Looks like this:
Rotation

1. AJ Burnett
2. Jair Jurrjens
3. Japanese Guy
4. John Smoltz/Mike Hampton/Tom Glavine/Jon Garland
5. Jorge Campillo

Line-up:

Vs RHP

1. Josh Anderson CF
2. Yunel Escobar SS
3. Chipper Jones 3B
4. Brian McCann C
5. Pat Burrell LF
6. Casey Kotchman 1B
7. Kelly Johnson 2B
8. Jeff Francoeur RF

Vs LHP

1. Yunel Escobar SS
2. Martin Prado 2B
3. Chipper Jones 3B
4. Brian McCann C
5. Pat Burrell LF
6. Jeff Francoeur RF
7. Casey Kotchman 1B
8. Josh Anderson CF

Provided the pen stays healthy and Royce Ring is able to be an effective LOOGY OR we re-sign Will Ohman, that should be an October-bound team.

Pen looks like this:

CL - Mike Gonzalez
SU - Rafael Soriano
LR - Jeff Bennett
LHSP - Will Ohman/Royce Ring
MR - Blaine Boyer
MR - Manny Acosta
MR - Buddy Carlyle

http://atlantabred.mlblogs.com/

FineHamAbound your right!

Burnett is too risky with all his injuries. CC aint gonna happen because he will get an outrageous contract. Lowe is solid! He will be a solid SP for this team. We should then sign someone like Burrell or Dunn. Abreu or Ibanez are second options if we decide to go with another Type A SP. Ibanez could become a solid veteran on this team.

"The [insert name of a major league baseball team] also are said to have some interest in Giants fireballer Matt Cain"

Cain isn't going anywhere. Do these dumb writers do ANY research before writing this crap?

I dont think Anderson can handle the bat well enough to be an everyday starter. What about moving KJ back to the outfield and have Prado everyday at 2nd. He is way better in the field.

How do you guys feel about trying to trade KJ and an outfielder or two for jake peavy? I really like the idea of having a 27 year old guys who can hit 97.

AtlantaBred, when Smoltz comes back, because yes hes coming back, he will be a closer. Unless that shoulder surgery was a miracle they wont want to put too much strain on his arm.

We should package our major league ready players to get a pitcher thats under contract. Trade KJ, Jones, and anderson for a solid pitcher thats under contract. They look just like some of our old prospects like charles thomas and eli marrero, laroche. etc., lots of avergae players we all hope will be great but aren't. McCann is the only great player we have developed in the last decade. Another deal anything close to the Hudson deal would be great. I'd like to see us bring back Renteria. We fell apart down the stretch last year when he got hurt and we haven't played consistently good since. He may be a great help to fill in at 2nd base for a year or two after we trade KJ. He was our most solid player only a year ago.

I really like the idea of trading for duscherer (how ever you spell his name) with a jon garland signing, and using the rest of the money for a slugger in left field and maybe even a trade for maggs. I know everyone is high on schafer but i really like the way josh anderson plays. Why not offer schafer and johnson for matt cain. you build a rotation for the future and save a little money to re-sign smoltz and ohman. think about the rotation. Cain, Garland, Jurrjens, Duschrer (again with the name)with the 5th spot open for campillio, smoltz, hampton. The line up like this

1. anderson
2. escobar
3. jones
4. burrell/dunn/ibanez
5. ordonez
6. mccann
7. kotchman
8. prado

that sounds good. however if the braves traded for duscherer, cain, and ordonez they probably wouldn't field a minor league team this year.

bravesforlife14 I dont think anyone will argue with your "dream team" for the Braves next year. But its not realistic. Your not going to be able to trade for Duscherer, Cain and Maggs. We can't afford to trade away our entire Minor-League system like uwalfos mentioned.

The Braves will probably be shopping KJ/Prado, Brandon Jones and a SP. The only case that the Braves would trade one of their big-three prospects would be to acquire a player signed long-term such as Peavy.

I have thought about this for a long time and the Braves most realistic off-season plan would be to: make an initial offer to CC Sabathia and keep an eye on the bidding-war but go no more than $20 million a year. OR Make a reasonable offer for Peavy is he is truly be shopped like Buster Olney of ESPN reports. Hopefully we can achieve one of those two goals. If not then the Braves will be forced to signing Derek Lowe a reliable workhorse.

This is when it gets interesting. I think the Braves would waste money and talent going after a player such as Maggs. He is older, injury plagued and would cost $15-16 million! I think we could make an offer for Dunn for that money and have him for 95% of the year. I dont like Pat Burrell. I have watched him over the past few years while the Bravos battle Phillies and he is inconsistent and makes too many boneheaded mistakes. Dunn is going to strikeout a lot but he will also put up 40+HR's and 100+ RBI's. Ibanez is also a good option to consider.

I agree that trading for Magglio is just stupid. I have also been impressed with Anderson. I would be willing to give up Schafer. I just dont like being associated with anyone who has done HGH.

The pitcher that can could aquired for cheap that looks to be of the same quality of Jurrjens and really young is Zack Greinke. I think we could land him for very few of our back ups. For craps sake we have three 2nd basemen and three center feilders on our roster. Then make a move at Peavy if at all possible. That is two starting pitchers on trade that might not have to pull from the farm and still leaves the full 45 million to FA about.

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