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Cubs Rumors: Fukudome, Dempster, Wood

Let's check in on the Cubs' offseason plans.

  • Cubs manager Lou Piniella says the Cubs will move Kosuke Fukudome to center field to platoon with Reed Johnson.  This move implies Jim Edmonds won't be back.  Technically Edmonds could play right field, but he also needs a platoon partner.
  • The Cubs figure to be in the market for a lefthanded hitting right fielder.  Piniella expects the team to fill their holes via trade.  Brian Giles, Randy Winn, and Jeremy Hermida could fit the bill.
  • Bruce Miles of the Daily Herald reminds fans that Aramis Ramirez and Derrek Lee have no-trade clauses, and does not believe either will be traded.
  • Ken Rosenthal figures the Cubs will re-sign Ryan Dempster and Kerry Wood.  However, he wonders if a three-year offer from another team could entice Wood.  Rosenthal says the Mets like Wood but can't take on that kind of risk.


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Comments

I believe that this spells the end of the Felix Pie era in Chicago, and he will likely be a part of any package to get a left handed bat for right field.

My preference is Giles, not only because I like him, but I'm really hoping to see Pie go to a place where his range can be utilized in a big outfield. Not sure if they have room for him though...

Pie is gonna be the next in the long line of highly rated Cubs prospects who will never do anything for the Cubs. I'd like to see him in a Brian Roberts package, but I've lost pretty much any hope that Roberts will ever play for the Cubs.

Why not sign Adam Dunn to play RF? Package Pie in a deal to try to replace Howry.

Howry has already been replaced by Samardzija. Dunn will be too expensive unless they can dump Marquis' salary and didn't sign one of Wood/Dempster....IMHO.

I don't believe the O's would want Pie, already having Adam Jones. Who else has a need for a young center fielder?

Speaking of Howry, do we dare offer him to stay for that draft pick?

I like Giles too but Hermida is younger and cheaper. Giles is certainly winding down and he could very well fall off the cliff next year, that happens to quite a few players his age. He's not a long term solution and he might not even be the solution for 2009.

Fukudome to center makes plenty of sense, his bat is more of a CF bat than a RF bat. Having Reed Johnson around to platoon with him and cover the other outfield spots is nice. I still think Fukudome will turn it around and be more productive next year. He was good for about 1/2 year, why do we assume that the second half was the real Fukudome? He'll adjust. He may never be as good as everyone was hoping but he'll still be pretty good.

I think the Cubs could land Dunn is they let go one of those pitchers. I just think that Dunn would be too brutal in right for the Cubs to bring him in.

And I would love to see the Cubs trade for any of those guys. Winn/Giles would give them a good OBP lefty, while Winn offers more speed and Giles more power. Hermida could be another nice option with all of his upside, but I'm not sure the Cubs fit too well with Florida.

As for figuring a way to clear salary, I think the Cubs should probably consider letting Wood walk. They already have a top closer of the future ready to step in, and guys like Samardzija, Gaudin, Guzman, Marshall and maybe even Ceda/Cashner can be good set up men. Maybe instead of Wood, sign a cheaper guy like Jeremy Affeldt or Juan Cruz.

Again I say that any Cubs fan that wants to trade Aramis Ramirez is an idiot and Derrek Lee just needs to be moved down in the lineup, he's still a productive hitter and great defensively.

I don't think Kerry Wood will be enticed to go anywhere else. He's one of the very few loyal baseball players left in the game.

Can't decide who I want in right field but I like the idea of platooning Fukudome.

So is it now safe to officially call Fukudome a free agent bust?

I mean 4 years/48 million for a platoon OFer is a lot.

Please take Giles. Please.

At this stage, Giles is a guy that has to be expendable. he's on OBP machine who runs bases well enough, but ultimately that only has value if you have guys behind him who can hit.

SD talks about cutting payroll. Here's a guy with an expensive contract (for SD anyways) who does little to contribute to the score since we can't bring him home. He clearly has more value to other teams than for SD, especially for a team which can use his OBP. TRADE HIM. He should be on the block way before Peavy. I actually think he'd do well for the Cubs.

Unfortunately, Giles has a no trade clause and he really likes SD (he blocked a trade to Boston before the deadline, which clearly shows he has no desire to chase a ring and is happy living his comfy life in 80 degree weather year round). For that reason, he's not going anywhere. I still think he'd be the most interesting player to trade, since he would produce more for other teams, and we could use the trade to improve the team. Shame. Waste of talent and lack of ambition on Brian.

Giles actually has a limited NTC. Does anyone know if the cubs are on that list? If I remember correctly the list is 12 teams, and the majority of teams on there were AL teams...

I think it's premature to call Fukudome a bust. I mean yeah, last season was a bust, but you have to remember that he had never played American baseball before. The guy was still a rookie who posted a .359 OBP and great defense in right.

Even if he can get his batting average up to around .280, then he would be worth it. That would make him a .280/.380/.420 hitter with solid speed and plus defense in right. As far as I can tell, that's pretty close to being worth $12M.

I'd still much rather give Fukudome 4/48 than give Rowand 5/60.

Ryan Church seems like a good fit for Cubs and isnt untouchable...what could he bring to the Mets?

Tomfromsd, why do you say that Giles has no heart. He plays hard, every game, and wants to win. He just didnt want to play in Boston, if you will remember he has a limited no trade clause in his contract, not a full. He didn't have ten-five rights at the time of the wavier claim. Boston was on his no trade list, and he said there was a reason for Boston being on that list (thou he never gave a reason publicly). Who knows why he didnt want to play in Boston, it could have been for a host of different reasons.

But that does not mean he would not go the cubs if present the option. I know that its been said that he doesnt want to leave SoCal, but he hasnt said publicly meaning that its speculation as to thats why he blocked the trade to Boston. None of its known.

But I dont know what would convice mean to waive his no trade rights now. Plus you have to think of what the Padres would want in return. But it would be a nice pick up for the cubs if they could swing it, thou i have a feeling it would be an arm coming back to SD not Pie, or maybe a Pie and an arm. Thats still a large price to play for one year of Giles.

Giles had a limited no trade clause USCD, not he has 10-5 rights. And its was only 6 teams on his no trade listed. Pit/Bos/TB/NYY/ and two others i cant remember. But i do not believe the Cubs were on that list, i of course could be wrong.

I also like the idea of Fukudome platooning with Reed in center.
As for right field I like the idea of bringing in Ibanez. I think he is better defensively than Dunn. He is a consistent hitter, drives in runs and could potentially hit close to 30 home runs in wrigley

I would love to see Wood back, but I am just not sure if he will be worth the money he can command especially with Marmol waiting in the wings

I was wrong, sorry. It was a 8 team no trade list.
Bos/Bal/TB/Fla/Mil/Pit/Was/Det

Giles would not only be the leadoff hitter the Cubs are looking for, but he was the best defensive RF in baseball last year. He's an ideal candidate. Giles cannot block a trade to the Cubs as his NTC is limited to Baltimore, Boston, Detroit, Tampa Bay, Florida, Milwaukee, Pittsburgh and Washington.

Raul Ibanez would be idiotic as he would not be as good as Edmonds and would require a multi-year deal. Hermida is intriguing, but risky. Manny/Dunn would only come in the team sale went through ASAP, which isn't happening.

It's silly to talk about the Cubs gung-ho approach to get more lefties in the lineup. A lefty RF is essentially going to replace Edmonds bat in the lineup (which was outstanding), so the lineup will still have the same Lefty-Righty ratio.

Giles would be a nice addition, but I would be ok with them signing Edmonds for one more year and having the same lineup that won 97 games. They're still likely to be the class of the division and I don't necessarily believe in "built for the playoffs" lineups. Just keep making the postseason and one year it'll click. It's all you can ask for as a fan.

I'd love to bring in Giles. I think his power numbers will surge getting out of PetCo. I know some on here have subtly (and not so subtly) accused him of using performance enhancers, but I can point out that the majority of Giles' power numbers have come while on the road since he joined the Padres... and he's not the only player whose seen his power numbers drop while in PetCo. Also, Giles' numbers dropped when the RF walls were moved back in PetCo after the 2004 season, not before. Giles' power has been a a pull-hitting LH batter. In other words, to RF. To this date, the right-center wall in PetCo is 402 feet, and 387 directly to RF. Wrigley is 363 to right-center and 353 to directly to RF. Giles did have an .891 OPS this year on the road, and doubled his HR on the road compared to at home (8 to 4). 2007, he hit 12 HR on the road compared to 1 at home with an .870 OPS on the road compared to .665 at home. Finally, Giles carries a career OPS of 1.066 in Wrigley Field... and a .947 OPS in day games.

I don't know, but having been a lawyer I can assume that his NTC will carry over with an exercised option. Most options merely add another year to the existing contract at a slightly higher cost to the team. However, some have removed NTCs in the past... but through special stipulations and clauses of the option. Without seeing Giles' contract, I couldn't tell you one way or the other.

Offering arbitration to Howry in order to get the draft pick would be risky. I believe the same standards of arbitration exist if a player accepts arbitration rather than hitting the open market. Thus, you can only reduce his salary by 25%, and with how Howry has performed the past two years... I think he'd jump on that. His salary would drop from $4 mil to $3 mil, and I'm pretty sure he won't get that on the market.

There are a couple of ways to clear up salary. You can send off Marquis and eat half of his remaining salary (or less). That would be $4.5 mil (or more). You can let Blanco go and call up Koyie Hill as the backup to Soto next season. There's another $3 mil. You can let Wood walk, and save the $8-10 mil you'd spend on him.

The problem with letting Marquis go is replacing him. That can be done quite well with a FA, but you end up spending what you just saved to do so. You can move Marshall into the 5th spot, but you hurt the bullpen. You can take the chance with Hill again, but I'd like to see him take great strides in winter ball before that.

Replacing Wood will be easier. I think it's time to bring up Ceda and let him, Hart, Guzman, and Wuertz compete for that 7th inning spot in the bullpen. Smardie becomes the setup man. Marmol becomes the closer. Our problem in the pen is having that second lefty that's worth a damn... for Cotts isn't.

Letting Wood go also nets a solid draft pick, but Hendry will never let Wood go. Last year Wood essentially let Hendry sign him to a blank check contract.

Anybody know what Boston players the Padres agreed on accepting in return before the trade was vetoed?

Why do so many feel the Cubs need a leadoff man? We already have one! All it takes is for Lou to get off his ass and stop babying Sosiano. I guess a guy hitting .307 with a .387 OBP (which was over .400 for 3/4 of the season, exactly 1 K per 10 AB, and 25-30 SB potential doesn't make up a leadoff type these days. That's what Ryan Theriot did this past season, people!

Besides, Giles isn't a leadoff type. Yes, he carries a huge OBP, but he isn't as speedy as he once was. Plus, get him out of PetCo and he has a good capability of putting of 20+ HR and filling the role of a run-producer. Lou has already wasted two years of a topnotch run-producer by hitting Sosiano in the leadoff spot. Why do the same with Giles when we're looking for a LH run-producer?

"As for right field I like the idea of bringing in Ibanez. I think he is better defensively than Dunn"

Ibanez is a poor defensive outfielder. If he is in right, then defense will still be an issue, although his bat is a very good fit.

"Letting Wood go also nets a solid draft pick, but Hendry will never let Wood go. Last year Wood essentially let Hendry sign him to a blank check contract."

As much as I agree with you, logic says that Hendry has to at least consider letting Wood walk. They have the arms to build a damn good bullpen even without him, and they have Marmol to easily slot into the closer spot. That extra cash could be used to improve the rotation or lineup. And either way, it isn't like Wood was totally unreal last season, he was simply a very good closer.

First off, let me mention that lineups don't matter. So leadoff, run producer...etc. means nothing to me. I'm just saying it's what the Cubs/Hendry would ideally want. Soriano can bat wherever he wants, as long as he's OPS'ing in the high 800's-low 900's I'll be happy with him on the Cubs. Theriot-Giles....Giles-Theriot...it'll be one of the two combos at the top of the lineup. Also, Theriot's speed is rendered useless because he gets caught stealing at one of the worst rates in baseball.

Edmonds might retire and Dunn loves K's and sucks in the outfield so I am not huge on bringing him in and I don't think Lee is going anywhere so he can't move to first. Wood will probably come back for cheaper than he could get on the market. I just hope Demp takes a bit of a paycut too to open up some payroll because they do not have an unlimited amount to spend

AirmanSD: Giles had a limited no trade clause USCD, not he has 10-5 rights. And its was only 6 teams on his no trade listed. Pit/Bos/TB/NYY/ and two others i cant remember. But i do not believe the Cubs were on that list, i of course could be wrong.
----------------

Yes, he had a limited NTC. However, if the Padres exercise his option (which is what is expected) Giles will have 10-5 rights. This past season was his 5th full season with the Padres, and he has 12 full seasons under his belt. So, at the moment the Padres exercise his option, Giles will have 10-5 rights and complete veto power over any trade to any team.

Scribble, completely right on Wood, but knowing Hendry's history with loyalty to players and Wood's strong roots to Chicago (charitable organizations, etc.), I simply do not see anyway he goes to another team...even entertains it. Either Hendry signs him to a fair market value contract or Wood signs another discounted deal.

Teetz: First off, let me mention that lineups don't matter. So leadoff, run producer...etc. means nothing to me. I'm just saying it's what the Cubs/Hendry would ideally want. Soriano can bat wherever he wants, as long as he's OPS'ing in the high 800's-low 900's I'll be happy with him on the Cubs. Theriot-Giles....Giles-Theriot...it'll be one of the two combos at the top of the lineup. Also, Theriot's speed is rendered useless because he gets caught stealing at one of the worst rates in baseball.
----------------------

Lineups don't matter? HA! All you have to do is take a look at Sosiano's career stats and dispute that. When he's had guys getting on base in front of him, he's driven in 90+ RBI. When he hasn't, he's driven in 75 or fewer in all but one fluke season in Washington. Yeah, I'm sure it's better to have a guy that barely gets on base (Sosiano and his career sub .330 OBP) in front of the guys that can hit for power and drive in runs than it would be to have 2-3 guys who get on base at a big rate (Theriot, DeRosa, Lee - all with .375 or higher OBP's this past season) increasing the odds for the run-producers to drive them in or even hit multi-run HR.

As for Theriot's getting caught rate... that was this past season. For his career, he has 63 SB and 19 CS... for a 77% success rate. In 2007 he stole 28 while getting caught 4 times. Soriano in his career has stolen 248 bases while being caught 69 times for a 78% success rate. Brian Giles has stolen 108 bases wile getting caught 45 times for a 71% success rate. Brian Roberts, the guy so many want the Cubs to trade for, has stolen 226 bases and has been caught 57 times for a 79% success rate (he also had very similar SB/CS numbers in 2004 and 2005 as Theriot this past season). Wish to retract that comment?

As far as a lineup goes, with Giles in the fold, I'd set it up like this. Why? I believe it holds the highest productive potential.

SS Theriot (.380+ OBP, 30 SB potential)
2B DeRosa (.370+ OBP, 15-20 HR, moderately solid contact)
RF Giles(L) (.390-400 OBP, excellent contact, power and RBI surge out of PetCo)
3B ARam (Best run-producer on the team)
LF Soriano (Better utilized as protection to ARam and as a run-producer)
C Soto (Solid run producer, high K's hidden deep in order)
1B Lee (Could return to his run-producing status, good OBP to keep the lineup moving)
CF Fukudome(L)/Johnson (Gotta put them somewhere in the lineup. Moderate to good potential of keeping the lineup flowing through the pitcher and to the top of the order)

I have to agree with Theriot not being as bad at basestealing as he was this past season...but we'll see. Hopefully that doesn't mean that he lost a step, but we won't know until next year.

OBP is the most important thing about a leadoff hitter, and speed is a nice to have after that. Giles would be more than fine as leadoff...although I actually wouldn't mind having Theriot lead off, and Giles hit in the two hole:

1. Theriot
2. Giles
3. Ramirez
4. Soriano
5. Lee
6. Soto
7. DeRosa/Fontenot
8. Fukudome
9. Pitcher

2 things:

1. Giles may not even consider being traded, and he is going to have that right, in which case all this talk is pointless.

2. I think Fontenot's numbers dictate him getting a real look at more playing time. If you ignore is physical size, and realize that he posted huge numbers and is a left handed bat...you have to think about that.

i agree with tim that giles' option will get excercised making the trade talk useless. trying to force fit dunn/ibanez and others into right, which we discussed ad nauseum in the other cubs post, doesn't seem like the wisest choice, especially given the cubs payroll constraints (which they definitely have). hermida's probably our best bet for that, since he's young and athletic, something lou has said he wants more of. he seems like one of those that could use a change of scenery, but i'm not sure how the cubs/fish match up.
and i'd forget about roberts now, too. if we didn't have enough to get him last offseason when the o's were trying to trade him, how can we get him now that they're trying to lock him up, especially since we gave up 4 players to get harden and gaudin?
i also think fontenot's numbers merit more playing time, and other players' availability that we haven't talked about (derosa, fontenot, johnson) maybe those guys get brought up in trade talks, not just the high salary guys. not that i think any of those will or should get traded, just a thought...

Unlitedsoul,

No I would not like to retract my statement because all those guys listed above should probably not be stealing too often. It kills rallies as much as it creates one. Taking one extra base at the risk of making an out is not worth it. (insert countless statistical studies backing up this statement here). Ryan Theriot...70% in the minors which is horrible and more indicative that last year was the rule not the exception in his base-stealing abilities.

Talking about Soriano's low RBI totals from the leadoff spot is seriously flawed. Batting guys in whatever spot in the lineup merely flows their meaningless "count" statistics to another player and vice versa. I'm talking about judging a player's run production on RBI's and Runs scored.

You run the lineup 64 different ways and run it through a baseball simulator and each lineup will be within 5% of run production from each other. In addition, the best lineup will probably be something wacky looking because of pure chance.

In my eyes OBP is important in the leadoff spot because it's important in every spot in the lineup. There is nothing seriously flawed the Cubs lineup as currently constructed. The addition of Giles would maintain and likely improve this lineup and it doesn't matter where he bats.

And 100backeduptrucks, what the hell are you talking about? How does picking up Giles option prohibit the Padres from trading him?

so much for those "new look" cubs that management and everyone was talking about... this is shaping up to be the exact same team but instead of edmonds, another slightly above average outfielder to play RF instead of CF.

If we aren't going to go after a RF via FA like Bobby Abreu, then we have to somehow acquire a new lead off hitter for there to be significant change

I don't see any reason why Theriot couldn't lead off, and do a very good job of it...and move Soriano down in the lineup. You don't even have to change the players to do this, and it would be a very big change.

Brian Giles has 10 & 5 rights (10 years in MLB, 5 with same team) which mean he has full no trade protection to all 29 other MLB teams.

The partial no trade that was written in his contract was overridden as soon as he became eligible for 10 & 5 rights.

i have a good pick-up for the cub's if the yankees dont re-sign bobby abreu then the cubbies should jump all over him......300 hitter 20 hr 100 rbi every year he fits this team very well......except his is scared of right feild walls and wrigley has the brick wall .....he would be terrified of it........he is a good option though.......oh and fukadome is terrible send him back to japan

I think the Cubs first choice should be Roberts. They can move DeRosa to RF and then have Roberts at 2B.

Line up would look like
Roberts
Theriot
Ramirez
Soriano
Lee
Soto
Derosa
Fuku/Johnson
P

But if they cant get Roberts then Abreu should be 2nd choice.

Then it would look like
Theriot
Fuku/Johnson
Ramirez
Abreu
Soriano
Lee
Soto
DeRo
P

I still think the Cubs should add Furcal if he is not re-signed. After that if you could add Giles, Abreu or Roberts then that would be an amazing OBP for a team.

Lou does not like Theriot leading off for some reason. Not sure why, but more than one reporter has made that point.

I'm thinking the Giles talk will turn out to be just that...talk. I believe he stays. Forget Roberts, that song has been played out.

So Lou says Fukudome will be in CF with Johnson. I agree, the Patterson...I mean Pie experiment is over in Chicago. I was hoping Pie would stick, improve his hitting and maybe he and Johnson platoon. Then let Pie take over in '10, if he does well. It's obvious guys like Felix Pie and Rich Hill are not Lou types of players.

I don't think FA signings like Abreu or Dunn happen, with or without Dempster and Wood's status. Abreu or Dunn are big contracts. Neither is the answer anyway. Read the articles linked with this thread. I agree, it will happen via trade more than likely. Besides, Lou keeps harping he wants more athletic players. We all know half the big club has the NTC, so they don't leave. Besides, what could Pie bring when Lou announces he is not even in consideration for a starting job. His already low value, just got lowered.

Giles would be a nice fit for the Cubbies. He is a decent fielder, consistent hitter and brings a good veteran presence to the team. The Cubs may have the Vets but none of them are classy.

Dlee,Wood,and DeRo are not classy? that team is full of class

Dont forget about Dempster is a great clubhouse guy...he has lots of class.

Hey chief you must not know anything about the Cubs. They have some of the best clubhouse guys in the game.

After reading Phil Rogers make the claim that the Cubs are trying to make a deal for Peavy & Adrian Gonzalez I first laughed along with reading all the criticism, but then started thinking if there was anyway possible to pull off the trade... this is what I came up with:(I know this is far fetched but figured worth speculating) Cubs trade Derrek Lee to the Giants for Matt Cain, but then the Cubs spin Matt Cain along with Sean Marshall, Josh Vitters, Felix Pie & Micah Hoffpauir to the Pads for Jake Peavy and Adrian Gozalez. The Cubs get another top of the rotation quality starter in Peavy and add a left handed Power bat and long time first base solution in Gonzalez. The Pads get 2 MLB proven ready starters (a lefty and a righty in Marshall & Cain), a "cheap" centerfield option in Pie, a left handed power hitting 1st base replacement for Gonzalez in Hoffpauier, and a former first round draft pick and probably best prospect in the Cubs system in Vitters. The Pads also dump salary and get younger. I know this is far fetched and is dependent on the first trade of D Lee to the Giants but let me know what you all think. If this looks familar I also posted as Cubsfan77 at Cubs.com

Not to squash your trades, it appears you put thought into it. I don't see it getting past the first phase. I don't see why the Giants would do a Lee for Cain move. While I do believe Lee has value, not so much straight up for Cain. I believe what Bruce Miles says that Lee and Ramirez stays. Other reports say the same thing that Lou really likes Lee as a player along with his clubhouse presence. The thing I say now and will say all offseason is Lee has to be moved from batting 3rd. As much as everyone is calling for Soriano to be moved from leadoff (rightfully so), Lee is no longer a 3rd slot hitter. The 2 hole seems better, but that depends on hoe Hendry constructs the '09 team and if Lou has the...to move Lee. I went farther on the topic than the trade proposal. Anyway, I don't see that one going one for one. That is even with Cain not living up to his potential. Thinking about it, Lee stays here.

PS Forget Phil. You was right to laugh. Besides, I believe Towers has already said Gonzalez will not be traded. Ofcourse, like most anyone, if he is knocked over with a trade proposal...

Yeah... I agree, very doubtful any of what suggested would happen, I was just trying to speculate what it would actually take. What I would actually like to see happen is the Cubs make a play for Chone Figgins. If the Angels can't resign Teixeira they'll need a 1st baseman and I'd be OK with a D Lee trade if it brings back the left handed lead off bat we need, but if not Lee I wonder if you could bundle Hoffpauir with prospects to make it happen. I like Figgins over Roberts, not because he is better, but more so because he is a better fit and in my opinion probably easier to obtain. He is similar to DeRosa in that he can play anywhere (including CF where DeRosa can not) and where DeRosa has power Figgins has speed. You'd end up with 2 super subs!!! Figgins would bring a left handed bat and take over in the lead off role and wiith Fukudome now moving to the CF Platoon you could send DeRosa to RF and play Figgins at either 2nd or SS with Theriot taking the other position. If you trade away D Lee I say sign Adam Dunn (if there is any money in the budget to do so) to play 1st because Hoffpauir isn't good enough defensively, but if you can make the deal without moving D Lee even better. I like Roberts too, but he most likely will cost Vitters and pitching which I think is to expensive for 1 year of service.

I Don't See why the Cubs couldnt get Brian Roberts....Hes another lefty bat to even up lineup I think Line-up should be something like this

1.Roberts(Switch Hitter,Good OBP,30+ steals)
2.Theriot(With Roberts on good contact hitter,move Roberts.Gets on base for Big Boys)
3.D.Lee (Lots of singles and contact knock in Roberts or Theriot,Takes walks get on base for Ramirez)
4.Ramirez(Hit the ball out of the park :p)
5.Soriano(Still more power not much contact)
6.Fukudome(Gets on base cuz of good eye)
7.Soto(If Fuku gets on base forces pitchers to throw to him,offers bottom of lineup power)
8.Hermida(Dont know much about)
9.Pitcher

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